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FiveThirtyEight
United States
Registrace 20. 05. 2015
538 uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, science and life.
Polls Show Some Americans Are Losing Faith in Our Elections | 538 Politics Podcast
Gretchen Helmke of Bright Line Watch discusses how Americans feel about our voting systems and American Democracy.
Concerns about democracy are central to the 2024 election. Late last year, Gallup recorded a record low number of Americans who said they are satisfied with the way democracy is working. And in the latest polling from The New York Times/Siena College, 14 percent of voters said the economic and political system needs to be torn down entirely, while 55 percent said it needs major changes.
To better understand how Americans are thinking about democracy heading into the election, 538 teamed up with PerryUndem, a nonpartisan research firm, to conduct focus groups with voters. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we hear from those voters. We also speak with Gretchen Helmke of Bright Line Watch, which conducts regular polling of experts and Americans on the potential threats to democracy.
Download the full audio podcast episode: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
Website: fivethirtyeight.com/
Merch: fivethirtyeight.com/store
Twitter: fivethirtyeight/
Facebook: fivethirtyeight/
Podcast: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
Concerns about democracy are central to the 2024 election. Late last year, Gallup recorded a record low number of Americans who said they are satisfied with the way democracy is working. And in the latest polling from The New York Times/Siena College, 14 percent of voters said the economic and political system needs to be torn down entirely, while 55 percent said it needs major changes.
To better understand how Americans are thinking about democracy heading into the election, 538 teamed up with PerryUndem, a nonpartisan research firm, to conduct focus groups with voters. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we hear from those voters. We also speak with Gretchen Helmke of Bright Line Watch, which conducts regular polling of experts and Americans on the potential threats to democracy.
Download the full audio podcast episode: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
Website: fivethirtyeight.com/
Merch: fivethirtyeight.com/store
Twitter: fivethirtyeight/
Facebook: fivethirtyeight/
Podcast: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
zhlédnutí: 412
Video
Why are voters worried about democracy? | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 1,7KPřed 2 hodinami
In the latest polling from The New York Times/Siena College, 14% of voters said the economic and political system needs to be torn down entirely, while 55% said it needs major changes. Concerns about democracy are central to the 2024 election. Late last year, Gallup recorded a record low number of Americans who said they are satisfied with the way democracy is working. To better understand how ...
Consolidating the Democratic Base | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 1,7KPřed 2 hodinami
538 Senior Elections Analyst Nathaniel Rakich discusses what can be done to consolidate the Democratic vote behind President Joe Biden. Three months ago, as the presidential primaries were getting underway, President Joe Biden was trailing former President Donald Trump in the polls nationally and in battleground states, and concerns about his age were coming to the fore. The optimistic view for...
Has Inflation Been Biden's Biggest Political Problem? | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 1,7KPřed 4 hodinami
Polling shows that President Joe Biden has a negligible lead over former President Donald Trump when it comes to job creation, infrastructure and the economy. Three months ago, as the presidential primaries were getting underway, President Joe Biden was trailing former President Donald Trump in the polls nationally and in battleground states, and concerns about his age were coming to the fore. ...
Biden Still Trails Trump in Various Polls | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 13KPřed 7 hodinami
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew asks why the end of the primaries, weeks of Biden campaigning and millions spent on advertising have changed the polls so little. Three months ago, as the presidential primaries were getting underway, President Joe Biden was trailing former President Donald Trump in the polls nationally and in battleground states, and concerns about his ...
What Are the Odds Democrats Will Win the Popular Vote? | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 4,8KPřed 14 hodinami
The 538 crew plays a game of “Buy, Sell, Hold” and puts their wisdom to the test. Six months out, how does the conventional wisdom about the 2024 election compare with how we are thinking about the numbers here at 538? Are election watchers thinking in a clear-eyed way about an election that will undoubtedly produce a lot of emotion and narratives? We look at where the betting markets place the...
Could We See a Biden-Trump Debate? | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 2,5KPřed 16 hodinami
Six months out, how does the conventional wisdom about the 2024 election compare with how we are thinking about the numbers here at 538? Are election watchers thinking in a clear-eyed way about an election that will undoubtedly produce a lot of emotion and narratives? We look at where the betting markets place the likelihood of everything from former President Donald Trump picking South Dakota ...
What Are the Odds of a Trump Win This November? | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 11KPřed 19 hodinami
The betting markets place the likelihood of Trump winning the 2024 election at 47% - but does 538 agree? Six months out, how does the conventional wisdom about the 2024 election compare with how we are thinking about the numbers here at 538? Are election watchers thinking in a clear-eyed way about an election that will undoubtedly produce a lot of emotion and narratives? Unfortunately we don’t ...
Will Biden’s Handling of Gaza Impact the 2024 Election? | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 13KPřed 21 hodinou
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we dig into how campus protests over the war in Gaza could shape Americans’ votes this fall. College graduation season is getting underway, with a spotlight on campus protests over the war in Gaza. Some universities have canceled commencement events after local police were called in to numerous campuses to disband encampments and make arrests. Al...
Youth Polling Shows Israel-Hamas War is Not a Top Issue For 2024 Election | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 3,5KPřed dnem
538 Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley breaks down which issues are most important to America’s youth. College graduation season is getting underway, with a spotlight on campus protests over the war in Gaza. Some universities have canceled commencement events after local police were called in to numerous campuses to disband encampments and make arrests. All of this is focusing attention ...
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Says Poll Shows He Could Beat Trump | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 10KPřed dnem
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we ask if a new poll from the Robert F. Kennedy Jr. campaign is a good or bad use of polling. Plus, college graduation season is getting underway, with a spotlight on campus protests over the war in Gaza. Some universities have canceled commencement events after local police were called in to numerous campuses to disband encampments and make arre...
Focus Group Shows Voters Are Down on the Economy | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 1,7KPřed dnem
538 senior politics reporter Monica Potts joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the results from a focus group with undecided voters. For much of Joe Biden’s presidency, political observers have puzzled over a disconnect between economic indicators and consumer sentiment. Unemployment is low, growth has been persistent and inflation is receding. Yet, the vibes aren’t great. Later in the sho...
538 Algorithm Groups House Members by How They Actually Vote | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 3,5KPřed 14 dny
538 researcher and editor Cooper Burton joins the podcast to break down a new algorithm built to cluster House members into “quiet caucuses” based on their voting trends. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we also hear from undecided voters who participated in a focus group with PerryUndem and 538's Senior Politics Reporter Monica Potts, which focused on feelings about the economy...
How Voters View the Economy Depends on Their Politics - and Personal Lives | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 2KPřed 14 dny
538 senior politics reporter Monica Potts joins the podcast to discuss the results from a focus group with undecided voters. Download the full audio podcast episode: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2 Website: fivethirtyeight.com/ Merch: fivethirtyeight.com/store Twitter: fivethirtyeight/ Facebook: fivethirtyeight/ Podcast: itunes.app...
Trump’s Jan. 6 Trial Might Not Start Anytime Soon | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 6KPřed 14 dny
Law professor Jessica Roth joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss how the Supreme Court could rule on presidential immunity. Listen and subscribe to the full podcast episode: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2 Website: fivethirtyeight.com/ Merch: fivethirtyeight.com/store Twitter: fivethirtyeight/ Facebook: fivethirtyeight/
Who Could Testify At Trump’s Trial This Week? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 3,4KPřed 14 dny
Who Could Testify At Trump’s Trial This Week? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential Race | FiveThirtyEight
zhlédnutí 24KPřed 21 dnem
538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential Race | FiveThirtyEight
Are Mike Johnson’s Days Numbered? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 19KPřed 21 dnem
Are Mike Johnson’s Days Numbered? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
In Trump Trial, Jury Selection Is Part Politics | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 13KPřed 28 dny
In Trump Trial, Jury Selection Is Part Politics | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
The Political Stakes Of Trump's First Trial | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 18KPřed měsícem
The Political Stakes Of Trump's First Trial | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
What's Up With The Kids These Days? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 13KPřed měsícem
What's Up With The Kids These Days? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 13KPřed měsícem
Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Where Will People Commune In A Godless America? | 538 Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 11KPřed měsícem
Where Will People Commune In A Godless America? | 538 Politics Podcast
The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 17KPřed měsícem
The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Are US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 21KPřed měsícem
Are US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Is An Election Vibe Shift Underway? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 62KPřed měsícem
Is An Election Vibe Shift Underway? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Who said it: Biden, Trump or someone from 'The Bachelor'? | FiveThirtyEight
zhlédnutí 5KPřed měsícem
Who said it: Biden, Trump or someone from 'The Bachelor'? | FiveThirtyEight
538 Debate Club: Should TikTok be banned? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 9KPřed měsícem
538 Debate Club: Should TikTok be banned? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
How Worried Should Democrats Be About The Polls? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 34KPřed měsícem
How Worried Should Democrats Be About The Polls? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Do Campaign Stops Actually Matter? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
zhlédnutí 13KPřed 2 měsíci
Do Campaign Stops Actually Matter? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Prefer CZcams. No thanks on the qr code
What I got from this is the left's concerns about anti-democratic behavior are based on real problems, while the right's are based on conspiracy theories.
A poll of the comments suggests 538 listeners have lost faith in 538. Good use of polling?
Maybe because with our own eyes we could see that a guy who ran his whole campaign from a basement, and couldn't even get 25 people to show up at his rallies, somehow managed to get 81 million votes? 13 million more than Barack Obama got in 2008. We're just supposed to take that at face value, when I went to bed on election night at around midnight, assuming that Trump won the presidency, only to find out that the 3:00 a.m. vote drops that were all for Biden were somehow legitimate? Only a fool would think that there wasn't at least something nefarious going on. And when there was such a desire to squash any kind of legitimate looks into it, it makes people that much more cynical. There is no way in hell. There is no way in hell Joe Biden got 81 million votes. I'll say that till the day I die. He is a fraud.
Understandable
Ok. Time to unsubscribe.
Polls show 538 has destroyed their channel
Do you plan on making these available on CZcams again? I don't have any other source and I'm so upset I can't view anymore.
You don't care about your audience
It can't be that the president is trying to throw his election opponent in prison in the middle of the election... what can it be 🤔🤔🤔 must be those damn conspiracy theories!
so my question is to all you podcasters and focus groups.... why don't you tell these people who believe in conspiracys that they are believing lies and bring the receipts. It seems to me that could be a huge change to getting people out of their brainwashed stated and voting for the side that is for ALL the people.
Please upload the full podcast to YT. I am so disappointed with you all
North Dakota and South Dakota have the same number of Senators as California and New York. In the House of Representatives Democrats are in the minority but they represent 100 million more people than Republicans. George Bush and Donald Trump did not win the popular vote but they won the electoral college and appointed 6 out of 9 Supreme Court justices. Elections cost billions of dollars, people are being purged from voter rolls, and some people have to wait hours to cast a vote. American elections are not free and fair. American democracy is very weak and flawed. You cannot fix what you refuse to acknowledge.
Unsubscribe. Bummer
You can easily upload clips of these for shorts, and then upload the whole podcast on CZcams. Just a thought.
Well duh.. Unless it is stolen TRUMP will win!
Please upload the full podcast to this channel as you did for a long time and garnered a sizable following. Perhaps if it ain't broke, don't break it??
Your math isnt mathing
These short clips suck. Please bring back full length podcasts.
Fjb
Bring back the video podcasts
I "lean" Trump and believe the election was rigged, but not by "illegals" or "dead" people voting, but by "RUSSIA RUSSIA RUSSIA", an impeachment based on a "perfect" phone call and Covid era changes in voting rules. William Barr recommended challenging those rules. but Trump ignored that advice, and most likely lost because of them. Now the DOJ is an unregistered PAC for Trump, getting him 24/7 coverage helping him with Black men and Latinos. So funny. Trump will win 2024 in those same districts he lost in 2020.
Bring back the full podcast - I already stop watching
Unfortunately, Trump will win. America will be attacked worse than 9/11/01 and what happens to Biden will result in him no longer being our president. These two things will happen this year. Kamala will be the first female president, albeit for a very short time. Trump will be elected out of fear as he will campaign on the premise that only he can save us and keep us safe. Then 7 years of hell, persecution and then annihilation. EOTW is 2032. I pray I'm wrong.
I don't do Spotify you guys are going downhill
Please go back to long form serious discussions
Please go back to long form serious discussions
Trump is losing 20% of the Republican primary vote to a candidate who suspended their campaign weeks ago.
No impact on November, even William Barr and Chris Sununu say they will vote Trump.
cope yuppies
This isn't a podcast, it's just an AD for a podcast. I'd live to see the podcast, here on CZcams, but it seems the new 538 masters aren't going to give us that.
Rightfully concerned
Why are you surprised that trump voters believe in conspiracy theories and false information? That’s the least surprising thing ever
I don't believe in Democrat conspiracies either, including those touting Presidents as dictators. Why don't you just come out and say you are not educated on how the three branches of Government function because clearly anyone calling Trump a dictator forgot that CONGRESS MAKES THE *** LAW *** READDDDD!!
Any chance you'll upload the full thing to youtube at some point? I don't really want another app / location to keep track of.
Well,I'm old enough to remember Trump's presidency,and it was Not good!!
Trump and other Republican leaders have made it very clear that they intend to secure and hold power by fraud and / or force. MAGA love the idea and mainstream Republicans are fine with it.
this is so annoying, please upload the full podcasts
Some genius social media strategist told them that’s the way to get ‘viral clips’ lol so dumb
people are beginning to turn on Biden because of realizing he's a pathological liar. and he's literally betraying us every single day
Joe Biden hasn't created one damn job everybody needs to pick up a second part-time job in order to make ends meet. duck Joe Biden
Sad to see a switch away from full length CZcams videos. :(
But doesn't it feel like it's actually Trump who's having major problems consolidating his Republican base? Haley is still getting ~20% of votes after she dropped out. And that's in closed primaries. That means people are so pissed at him, instead of staying home, they got into a car and voted for a candidate who's already dropped out of the race. That's rage against him.
Biden is rigging sham puppet show trials.
Consolidated will happen because trump is so terrible. I’d rather vote for a rock than him.
He needs to not be such a shitty president.
I recommend unsubscribing so they get the message you aren’t interested in the short form content. I love them but until they return to long form I have no interest in watching them. Unsubscribing kills their metrics.
Could you guys at LEAST explain this move towards teasers and "watch the full podcast here" to us? Like, a video explaining the shift would have gone a long way towards preserving good faith.
Seriously, what the hell!?
They don't care about or respect their audience.
The reason, as we all guessed, is money. It's a lot easier to earn $$$ with a smaller audience on a podcast than youtube videos. It's like night and day. That's why you see so many people starting podcasts.
I am really going to miss your full episodes if you take them off CZcams. The Spotify version did not show the video, and I won't use Apple apps.
Tim Scott would do well with suburban women. Just look at his appearance on The View. He's incredibly likable.
This aged poorly
You are simply ill informed and spreading lies
#DemocrstsCoping #Tds