Has Inflation Been Biden's Biggest Political Problem? | 538 Politics Podcast

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  • čas přidán 7. 06. 2024
  • Polling shows that President Joe Biden has a negligible lead over former President Donald Trump when it comes to job creation, infrastructure and the economy.
    Three months ago, as the presidential primaries were getting underway, President Joe Biden was trailing former President Donald Trump in the polls nationally and in battleground states, and concerns about his age were coming to the fore. The optimistic view for Biden was that once the presidential primaries were over, and it became clear that the choice was a 2020 rematch, the polls would move in his direction. But the polls have changed little. In fact, a new set of battleground polls from The New York Times/Siena College shows Biden trailing in all but one of the battleground states, with a lead for Trump as high as 12 points in Nevada.
    In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew asks why the end of the primaries, weeks of Biden campaigning and millions spent on advertising have changed the polls little. They also preview Tuesday's primaries in Maryland and West Virginia, in particular a very competitive Democratic Senate primary in Maryland.
    Download the full audio podcast episode: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...
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    Podcast: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/f...

Komentáře • 38

  • @fivethirtyeight
    @fivethirtyeight  Před 24 dny

    Download the full audio podcast episode: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2

  • @JoshHendrix92
    @JoshHendrix92 Před 24 dny +30

    Please bring back the full uploads or at least stop with these previews. This is what Shorts is for, not video uploads.

    • @inorite4553
      @inorite4553 Před 24 dny +2

      Yeah. These shorts are bullshit!

  • @enduringbird
    @enduringbird Před 23 dny +8

    What happened to the full podcast here?

  • @inorite4553
    @inorite4553 Před 24 dny +8

    Why do I have to download your pods from apple???

  • @Luckdraw88
    @Luckdraw88 Před 23 dny +4

    The downvotes continue until the full podcast returns

  • @johnchessant3012
    @johnchessant3012 Před 23 dny +4

    please post full episodes to youtube

  • @DMBisAwesome
    @DMBisAwesome Před 23 dny +3

    Remember when 538 was run by Nate Silver and he had this sick website that was easy to navigate, colorful with unique cartoony designs, and presented the things right in front of you? Remember when they had this CZcams channel where they released hour long videos every once in while, when Nate felt there was something to talk about?
    Remember when he sold 538 to CMS or CVS or whatever their name is, then retired to an island? Remember when CNN terminated the 538 website and converted it into a tab on their website, while drastically changing the 538 layout by turning it into corpo-trash; redesigned specifically to drive traffic to their shitty dying website that no one under 40 cares about - "3 shot dead in city", "are your kids really safe?", "this thing will give you cancer". Oh no, I better click to find out!
    Remember when they started cutting up hour long videos into 3 min sections to boost CZcams add revenue, but I'm not seeing your Tide commercials because I know how to use addblock?
    You guys remember that?
    God I hate these people.

  • @HeIiax
    @HeIiax Před 23 dny +2

    How about the shrinkflation on these uploads vs. the full video podcasts of before? 👀

  • @joannawarrens5117
    @joannawarrens5117 Před 23 dny +3

    Bring the podcasts back to CZcams! I guess I am no longer a loyal listener.

  • @BennyRuff
    @BennyRuff Před 20 dny

    Imagine getting mad at companies for giving you less product for your money because the money is worth less due to the fact that you printed more money in the last five years than in the previous forty.

  • @nicebluejay
    @nicebluejay Před 23 dny +2

    uggh these clips are not it

  • @onelemonadestand
    @onelemonadestand Před 20 dny

    what about watching the podcast? no more watching?

  • @AbdullaFilmAS
    @AbdullaFilmAS Před 20 dny

    1:01 i mean this fact is easily explainable. it's not rose colored glasses. you shouldn't be comparing his approval on the economy right before the election to now. you should look at 2019 (if there even is any data) or not compare it at all. you have to remember the 2020 election was just half a year into the covid out break. the economy was in a really bad shape due to covid (which was 100% out of trumps control, lock downs and other stuff had to happen). So obviously when people were in the middle of all this they would blame Trump and say his economy was bad due to recency bias. However that's 4 years ago. So number 1, they got to see that nothing changed under biden as it regards to covid so they no longer think of that as exclusively a Trump thing. And 2, since it has been 4 years it will be easier for people to look at Trumps presidency as a whole and not think of those few months he had of his term during covid. I mean isn't this really obvious guys? Like it is so obvious that if you take a poll of Trumps economy during an economic crisis it will be bad, but give people time to look at the presidency as a whole and it will give a more representative view. Especially since they now know for a fact that the alternative (Biden) didn't do a better job on covid even though he became president around the time the pandemic began to slow down and we got vaccines.

  • @TRE45ON.is.Bat5hit.Crazy.U.S.G

    Can you explain why your polls doesn't reflect that in every primary Trump keep losing around 20% of republican voters?

    • @stephaniebrooks8044
      @stephaniebrooks8044 Před 22 dny

      Exactly!

    • @AbdullaFilmAS
      @AbdullaFilmAS Před 20 dny

      they do though? you can check the republican primary polls on literally 538 and see he is polling at around 80%. where did you get the idea that the polls are not reflecting it? instead of writing a comment that 538 won't respond to you could've just checked the literal fucking polls for the republican primaries... 🤦‍♂

  • @onelemonadestand
    @onelemonadestand Před 20 dny

    this is ABC's fault

    • @onelemonadestand
      @onelemonadestand Před 20 dny

      I guess they're owned by Disney, so it's Disney's fault. Guys!! why did u have to sell 538?

  • @alexandervargas5304
    @alexandervargas5304 Před 23 dny

    Biden = Jimmy Carter 2.0

  • @stephaniebrooks8044
    @stephaniebrooks8044 Před 22 dny

    Well,I'm old enough to remember Trump's presidency,and it was Not good!!

    • @AbdullaFilmAS
      @AbdullaFilmAS Před 20 dny

      what was not good about it

    • @stephaniebrooks8044
      @stephaniebrooks8044 Před 20 dny

      @@AbdullaFilmASNot here to educate u on my experience. Google it!

    • @stephaniebrooks8044
      @stephaniebrooks8044 Před 20 dny

      @AbdullaFilmAS Not here to educate u on mine,and a lot of other folks experience, Google it!

  • @jaredmouradian8736
    @jaredmouradian8736 Před 22 dny

    Unsubscribe. Bummer

  • @nroose
    @nroose Před 23 dny

    It's not just inflation, it's also conservative media. Radio news and fox news and Trump social media.

  • @kittywalker2944
    @kittywalker2944 Před 24 dny +1

    It’s not inflation, it’s corporations Overcharging, for goods and services. Greed, corporate greed. Check out the percentage increase, in product costs, vs. a few years ago. 🇺🇸💙

    • @NotANameist
      @NotANameist Před 23 dny +2

      What is “overcharging” exactly?

    • @darqentries
      @darqentries Před 23 dny

      Why weren't they "overcharging" during the Trump years then, and why is Biden allowing it during his own term? 🤔

    • @timesup4688
      @timesup4688 Před 22 dny +2

      you're lost completely lost liberal