Biden Still Trails Trump in Various Polls | 538 Politics Podcast

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  • čas přidán 13. 05. 2024
  • In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew asks why the end of the primaries, weeks of Biden campaigning and millions spent on advertising have changed the polls so little.
    Three months ago, as the presidential primaries were getting underway, President Joe Biden was trailing former President Donald Trump in the polls nationally and in battleground states, and concerns about his age were coming to the fore. The optimistic view for Biden was that once the presidential primaries were over, and it became clear that the choice was a 2020 rematch, the polls would move in his direction. But the polls have changed little. In fact, a new set of battleground polls from The New York Times/Siena College shows Biden trailing in all but one of the battleground states, with a lead for Trump as high as 12 points in Nevada.
    The crew also previews Tuesday's primaries in Maryland and West Virginia, in particular a very competitive Democratic Senate primary in Maryland. Download the full audio podcast episode: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...
    Website: fivethirtyeight.com/
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    Podcast: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/f...

Komentáře • 170

  • @fivethirtyeight
    @fivethirtyeight  Před 24 dny

    Download the full audio podcast episode: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2

  • @michaeldeaton
    @michaeldeaton Před 25 dny +78

    "Here's 1.5 minutes of our podcast. Pick up your phone, scan this stupid thingy, download some new app, to get access to the full podcast, on a different service, you don't use, when you're here already. We made this choice because Apple gave us .0002c more per view than youtube might have, but they demanded exclusivity"
    This is stupidity in action.

  • @hdswashere
    @hdswashere Před 25 dny +58

    I don't know who decided on this new format but it's like you're trying to set a record for how fast you can ruin a channel. ABC News is really fumbling.

    • @seanromero2303
      @seanromero2303 Před 25 dny +5

      FJB

    • @dougsinthailand7176
      @dougsinthailand7176 Před 24 dny +1

      I for one am not willing to waste an hour of my time listening to a podcast when the essential points can be summed up in a few minutes.

  • @stevenlovemenendez6711
    @stevenlovemenendez6711 Před 25 dny +9

    Please bring back the full videos. I am not scanning the app.

  • @arun279
    @arun279 Před 25 dny +24

    Why aren't you uploading full episodes?

    • @DandelionScribe
      @DandelionScribe Před 25 dny +4

      they wanted more ad revenue for the 20k views they got per video

    • @baraxor
      @baraxor Před 25 dny +1

      $$$$$$$$$$$$$

  • @DandelionScribe
    @DandelionScribe Před 25 dny +32

    how to destroy your channel in 5 seconds

  • @mbion001
    @mbion001 Před 25 dny +13

    Start uploading full episodes please. This short episode crap is BS. You are better than this Galen

  • @Blademaster1989
    @Blademaster1989 Před 25 dny +36

    what happened to this channel? It sucks now

    • @carolkatras8180
      @carolkatras8180 Před 25 dny +2

      It does not matter about age Donald Trump is not above the law.Donald Trump is no victim.The law is the law

    • @macro8236
      @macro8236 Před 24 dny

      ​@@carolkatras8180 cope

  • @vandenriesen1294
    @vandenriesen1294 Před 24 dny +1

    When he wins Polls, he says "Fair Vote", but when he loses he says "Vote is Fraudulent". That Joker will never get my VOTE.

  • @nebulouscloud9289
    @nebulouscloud9289 Před 24 dny +2

    wait, so no more video podcasts?

  • @khylerrunnels3376
    @khylerrunnels3376 Před 24 dny +2

    I’m boycotting the podcast until you bring back the full CZcams show

  • @Ahpizza186
    @Ahpizza186 Před 25 dny +26

    Unsubscribing

  • @veggiet2009
    @veggiet2009 Před 24 dny +1

    What really stinks about them taking the podcast off of CZcams is this follows immediately after Google shutdown Google podcasts, like CZcams was all i had left, i don't want another app

  • @christianburgos2736
    @christianburgos2736 Před 24 dny +2

    I remember someone saying "Trump is Not electable"... plop twist i guess 🎺

  • @mellisoloraridimel
    @mellisoloraridimel Před 23 dny

    I am really going to miss your full episodes if you take them off CZcams. The Spotify version did not show the video, and I won't use Apple apps.

  • @elainescott7840
    @elainescott7840 Před 25 dny +2

    DO NOT BELIEVE POLLS.

  • @meltiniloukas2787
    @meltiniloukas2787 Před 25 dny +4

    Tramp Tramp Tramp ❤

  • @scarlet1958uk
    @scarlet1958uk Před 24 dny +1

    So disappointed that you are ignoring the comments and not bringing back the full yt podcast. Shame on you all

  • @brucemacmillan9581
    @brucemacmillan9581 Před 25 dny +12

    Biden absolutely has to hang on to Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. If he can't do that... he's toast.

  • @immortalblue7315
    @immortalblue7315 Před 20 dny

    538 is turning into a cowboy Republican wild West podcast.

  • @colincagle4185
    @colincagle4185 Před 25 dny +1

    Bring back the video podcast

  • @donsims1941
    @donsims1941 Před 25 dny +1

    " various" THAT A WEIRD WAY OF SAYING ALMOST EVERY POLL 🤷🤣🤣🤣

  • @InsightsAbroad
    @InsightsAbroad Před 25 dny +6

    This charade of two parties is a real money-maker for the infotainment industry. Biden or Trump, the oligarchy still wins and so do both candidates😅

    • @asherPete
      @asherPete Před 25 dny

      I think it’s been like that for decades but I don’t think it still like that with trump. They hate trump.

    • @InsightsAbroad
      @InsightsAbroad Před 25 dny

      @@asherPete true, but when he renegotiated NAFTA and failed to pull us from WTO, I could see he was beholden to someone other than the American people😖

    • @asherPete
      @asherPete Před 25 dny

      @@InsightsAbroad I think he made a lot of mistakes. But is that cause of the people around him. Pompeo I thought was a good. But now I don’t think so. Obviously pence is a RINO. I hope we will get to see if trump is in with the elites.

    • @realCyng
      @realCyng Před 24 dny +2

      Centrists play buzzword bingo with every sentence they type

  • @crystalrisley715
    @crystalrisley715 Před 25 dny +14

    Biden shouldn't even be a thing

  • @305Alligator
    @305Alligator Před 24 dny

    Democratic Lawfare is frightening ‼️

  • @MattttG3
    @MattttG3 Před 25 dny

    *my radar is going off crazy*

  • @BennyRuff
    @BennyRuff Před 22 dny

    Your math isnt mathing

  • @dougsinthailand7176
    @dougsinthailand7176 Před 24 dny

    Can’t Biden simply designate a replacement for himself? Someone younger and acceptable to the mainstream? Can’t he just swallow his pride for the good of the country?

  • @thehaywire8889
    @thehaywire8889 Před 25 dny

    Not a surprise 🙄

  • @MattttG3
    @MattttG3 Před 25 dny

    2:05 *we’ll always nice getting the opinion of a young lady that has only voted in one election at most* but anyyyyywayyyyysssss

  • @Red-Feather
    @Red-Feather Před 24 dny

    Still? Still? You really think it'll be reversed? What dreaming. I guess senility has a cure.

  • @timfrancis8847
    @timfrancis8847 Před 25 dny

    Still early and trump is actually losing trumper

    • @FA-Q20-1
      @FA-Q20-1 Před 25 dny

      Read the polls Jack. Biden isn’t winning shit

  • @user-wv9yz3ix2k
    @user-wv9yz3ix2k Před 25 dny +1

    So what is the real situation all that talks have no meaning.

    • @bobdobbs1431
      @bobdobbs1431 Před 24 dny

      The dems are winning every election against Don Snoreleone candidates and he can't seem to get Haley voters into his camp. The GQP in total disarray. It will be close races in November. But there is a huge blue tsunami coming.

  • @TheKraken5360
    @TheKraken5360 Před 24 dny

    I'm already lukewarm on whether I listen to this podcast. You would have to be discussing something pretty frickin interesting for me to switch to another platform. I think you guys are making the Joe Rogan mistake.

  • @jennifermyers66
    @jennifermyers66 Před 24 dny

    JUST LIKE LAST TIME

  • @Reality_C
    @Reality_C Před 23 dny

    #DemocrstsCoping #Tds

  • @user-kh9bn6hi7q
    @user-kh9bn6hi7q Před 24 dny +1

    This is not informative!

  • @Luckdraw88
    @Luckdraw88 Před 23 dny

    Downvotes continue until full video.

  • @ladyyvette1339
    @ladyyvette1339 Před 25 dny +1

    Our votes don't count Congress has the last say on votes 🙄

  • @brianhennessey918
    @brianhennessey918 Před 24 dny

    So disappointed with this format.

  • @YOUR-LOCAL13
    @YOUR-LOCAL13 Před 25 dny +2

    We want our country back. We stand with President Trump!

  • @przemeksledziewski1973
    @przemeksledziewski1973 Před 25 dny +2

    Buck Fiden

  • @mrguy3029
    @mrguy3029 Před 24 dny

    This show is so⚪️ get some intrigue

  • @Distortion0
    @Distortion0 Před 25 dny +6

    The whole Biden age thing is cooked up by bad journalism. People have vague misgivings about Biden and if you ask them " oh do you think your vague misgivings are because he's old?" They'll be like " yeah sure I guess". But they probably say that about most reasons you could possibly provide.

    • @GML_123.
      @GML_123. Před 25 dny +2

      Nah, it was the Hur report and the concerns he raised eye-opening for the American people.

    • @baraxor
      @baraxor Před 25 dny +5

      The problem isn't Biden's age per se, it's how his physical and mental abilities have declined dramatically since he was Vice-President, and especially since he became President.
      If he was 60 years old and acting this way there would be big questions.

    • @FA-Q20-1
      @FA-Q20-1 Před 25 dny +7

      The guy can’t even read a teleprompter. 😂😂😂😂. His age and mental capacity is absolutely a question.

    • @rapsheets4993
      @rapsheets4993 Před 25 dny +6

      ​@@GML_123.Also that he showered with his daughter.

    • @wcryan
      @wcryan Před 25 dny +6

      He can’t even walk anymore. He shuffles.

  • @insightbytes2136
    @insightbytes2136 Před 25 dny

    Fjb

  • @josephgoertz5737
    @josephgoertz5737 Před 25 dny +1

    Isn't obvious why the southern border was opened. New voters and new senators house reps based on all the new people brought in. The Dems are good politician's in my opinion 😢😢😢

    • @FahQue1984
      @FahQue1984 Před 25 dny +1

      There are terrorist cells, human trafficking and drug trafficking along with the idea of adding to the census.

  • @theessentials450
    @theessentials450 Před 25 dny

    HA!

  • @johnshepard9894
    @johnshepard9894 Před 25 dny

    In various polls 😂🤣🤣🤣🤣! Yeah, all of them 😂😂

  • @jameswelsh7789
    @jameswelsh7789 Před 25 dny

    1. The focus of any discussion about the race should focus on swing states and districts with the context of the discussion being a critical interrogation of the electoral college with an intention to reform that broken system that is literally giving the right to be counted away from millions of Americans.

    • @phillipgillihan4003
      @phillipgillihan4003 Před 24 dny

      The electoral collage is designed to keep pockets of power from controlling elections. Translated we think two failed states, New York and California should control our destiny. Nope

  • @C.C.4sho
    @C.C.4sho Před 24 dny

    How the dude can't even talk he mumbles he doesn't make any sense. He needs to fix his mask so he can talk better

  • @loh1870
    @loh1870 Před 24 dny

    But what flavor ice cream is bidem eating 🤔 🤣

  • @schnauzerbro
    @schnauzerbro Před 22 dny

    cope yuppies

  • @DennisFawcett-ck1fq
    @DennisFawcett-ck1fq Před 25 dny +2

    Trump 24

  • @fdr8343
    @fdr8343 Před 25 dny +1

    Kennedy 24’ 🦅🇺🇸💜

  • @D-FIANT415
    @D-FIANT415 Před 25 dny +4

    Trump 2024🇺🇸 1st

    • @Ben-be5ly
      @Ben-be5ly Před 24 dny +2

      Make America Great Again we need trump back in office for a second term

  • @Losttimes1992
    @Losttimes1992 Před 25 dny +3

    Say yes to orange man bad and give sleepy 46 the boot. I see the lames on here are triggered.

  • @susanlang4218
    @susanlang4218 Před 25 dny

    Well, I can only say it’s just for a minute watch just keep watching Joe. I got your back you’re gonna do it.

  • @ellieswanson4229
    @ellieswanson4229 Před 24 dny

    I'm only on youtube for this so I can comment here rather than on spotify that you should listen to The Daily podcast on this poll. Their analysis is much more complete and nuanced than yours.

  • @SSNewberry
    @SSNewberry Před 25 dny +3

    "Who are we?" "We're Democrats!" "What do we do?" "We lose!"

    • @user-dc4uo2sh1t
      @user-dc4uo2sh1t Před 25 dny

      Hubert Humphrey 2024

    • @ishangupta2380
      @ishangupta2380 Před 25 dny +2

      Democrats have been doing pretty well this century. The country has also moved a lot towards the left, eventually there would be mean reversion.

    • @brucemacmillan9581
      @brucemacmillan9581 Před 25 dny +4

      Um... what happened in 2020 again? Oh yeah. TRUMP. LOST. Even tho a lot of people thought he'd win. Should I mention the 2022 midterms?

    • @hightide4782
      @hightide4782 Před 25 dny +2

      @@ishangupta2380 Say what? This country has moved a lot more toward the right.

    • @HamptonGuitars
      @HamptonGuitars Před 25 dny

      Unless trump is running or backing a candidate. Everything trump touches turns to crap.

  • @305Alligator
    @305Alligator Před 25 dny +1

    Stormy Daniels told a completely different story to Bill Maher in an interview about this situation in 2018‼️

  • @Just-Human
    @Just-Human Před 25 dny

    Joe "Pause" Biden

  • @MrThetruthhurts
    @MrThetruthhurts Před 24 dny

    Biden and the Dems are done for.

    • @bobdobbs1431
      @bobdobbs1431 Před 24 dny

      Yep. Kick back and enjoy another cup of kool-aid.

  • @paulmiele2464
    @paulmiele2464 Před 25 dny

    6 months out Romney was leading Obama. Reagan was behind at this time also.

    • @baraxor
      @baraxor Před 25 dny

      2012 Obama was a dynamic campaigner against a stiff. 2024 Biden is....?

  • @dr9gonkid20
    @dr9gonkid20 Před 25 dny +1

    Right wing news source

  • @HamptonGuitars
    @HamptonGuitars Před 25 dny

    Who cares? Poll results are 100% BS, sorry. Even my 99 yo Mom knows not to answer calls from numbers they don't recognize.

  • @carolkatras8180
    @carolkatras8180 Před 25 dny +5

    Vote blue joe 20 24 💙

  • @NativeAmerican458
    @NativeAmerican458 Před 25 dny +2

    Trump leading Biden in the polls just exemplifies how horrible of a President biden's been I'll l vote Republican

  • @rowyourboat5361
    @rowyourboat5361 Před 25 dny

    no matter how you spin it- I'd rather have the polls favoring Biden right now.

    • @FA-Q20-1
      @FA-Q20-1 Před 25 dny

      But not one polls are showing brain dead Biden. Leading a dam thing

  • @FahQue1984
    @FahQue1984 Před 25 dny +1

    TOO BIG TO RIG
    MAGA 24 🥰

  • @user-is6ec7ee5d
    @user-is6ec7ee5d Před 25 dny

    Biden lost to Trump in 2020 also. TRUMP HAD THE MOST VOTES.

  • @FA-Q20-1
    @FA-Q20-1 Před 25 dny

    Fjb