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Maximizing Profits with Lay 4.5 Goals: My Proven Approach 💥
Maximizing Profits with Lay 4.5 Goals: My Proven Approach
Welcome back to Trading the Market! In this video, titled "Maximizing Profits with Lay 4.5 Goals: My Proven Approach," we dive deep into the effectiveness and profitability of our Lay Over 4.5 Goals strategy. Recently, a CZcams channel attempted to discredit our strategy, and today, we're addressing their points and providing clear explanations on why our strategy works so well.
For over a year, this individual actively participated in our Discord community, positively engaging with our content and enjoying our scammer exposé videos. Despite themselves running a channel dedicated to exposing scammers, they openly admitted that I am not a scammer. Their attitude only changed when I declined to divulge personal information in a private conversation. Interestingly, this person never shows their face or reveals their true identity, raising questions about their credibility. It seems their attack on Trading the Market is a calculated attempt to exploit our channel's success.
We appreciate critical feedback and believe in open discussions to ensure transparency and continuous improvement. In this video, we break down the critic's arguments and explain the robust methodology behind our Lay Over 4.5 Goals strategy.
Here's what we cover:
The context and methodology of our Lay Over 4.5 Goals strategy
Addressing misconceptions about market efficiency and statistical analysis
The dynamic and adaptive nature of our trading approach
The importance of transparency and education in sports betting
Our practical approach to staking and bankroll management
Real results from our community, including live trades and success stories
Stay tuned as I hand it over to Billy, who shares his own experience with the Lay 4.5 strategy, including his impressive results and live trades. Billy provides a comprehensive insight into how he has successfully implemented this strategy, growing his bankroll consistently.
We also delve deeper into the data using Sports-IQ, analyzing over 50,000 football matches to demonstrate the high success rate and viability of our Lay 4.5 strategy. This is exactly what I have done in my previous video, where I executed 201 trades with only 2 losses. The results of my own trades and this extensive back test speak for themselves.
Despite the negativity and toxicity surrounding our strategy, we remain committed to helping our community thrive by providing transparent, reliable information. This negativity only strengthens our resolve to continue sharing valuable strategies and supporting our community in making informed decisions.
zhlédnutí: 3 224

Video

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Komentáře

  • @TheMaggsy1
    @TheMaggsy1 Před dnem

    Is this only for football. What about racing

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 13 hodinami

      At the moment they have begun with football... they have told us in the future they will be covering many more sports though.

  • @user-xz7ix1cb5j
    @user-xz7ix1cb5j Před 2 dny

    I can lay 4.5 at 13 for England final but back over 4.5 with bookies for 20/1 is that profitable

  • @MassimoDzaka
    @MassimoDzaka Před 3 dny

    where is the trade? enter exit point? this sounds like betting

  • @eyesarewatching7205

    Stop your bull crap TTM we all know u are Sports IQ nobody trusts you now I have screen shot comment so removal like many claim you do can be proven 🤣 I knew you we're full of bs

  • @Robbie-sv6wq
    @Robbie-sv6wq Před 6 dny

    This is important to listen to..any chance of removing the music It is so distracting?

  • @JohnBell999-hq2fb
    @JohnBell999-hq2fb Před 7 dny

    Is this a joke. The lay prices on such a bet are massive y. You would only need one to go against you to be in a hole.

  • @attilaherter1034
    @attilaherter1034 Před 7 dny

    Does BETDAQ a better choice than Orbitx? Is it allowed on BETDAQ to use bots? Thanks!

  • @dritanvarfi5274
    @dritanvarfi5274 Před 7 dny

    James, I appreciate your work and am very grateful for guys like you. Please keep it up...regardless of the noise. I believe you are genuine and transparent...currently the main channel I refer to.

  • @rockin4840
    @rockin4840 Před 7 dny

    The video is great, but the links you mentioned are not in the description. cheers

  • @TheMitch1723
    @TheMitch1723 Před 9 dny

    Hi, is the 'goalsense' on the daily google sheet?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 8 dny

      Goal Sense is not on the daily sheet unfortunately. It's a metric used by Sports-IQ.

  • @faithtasha-b3z
    @faithtasha-b3z Před 9 dny

    hi I lost my entire bank on this strategy and guru master exposed you I think , come on and refund me

  • @helend269
    @helend269 Před 10 dny

    I still occasionally look in on the discord server in the vain hope they've opened General to viewing so we read how two years of fun all came to an end.... 😞 I get how there was not much actual trading talk in there, but it was still fun to read and I'm still pissed off with myself for missing the last few hours of it. Sadly, I don't think it'll come back because of all the hassle the admin got from running it. I think they're enjoying having their lives back, and don't miss the grief one bit. The unnecessary shit they got from the 4.5 was the last straw for them, and I don't blame them for closing it. Enough was enough.

  • @elasticharmony
    @elasticharmony Před 10 dny

    This moralizing is not going over, sounds like an envious and weak person crying. Probably another leftist activist trying to smear their political opponents.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 9 dny

      Smear with facts? If you support the actions Caan carried out then that says more about you then me.

  • @steveo4400
    @steveo4400 Před 10 dny

    1:34 - No need

  • @myobs
    @myobs Před 11 dny

    Please turn the music off.

  • @alexh2292
    @alexh2292 Před 11 dny

    I had to use a VPN to watch this video as it's blocked in the UK due to something to do with a defamation issue. I signed up to BTC for month late last year. It seemed ok but went a little bit over my head. The forum was very quite and I though it was a bit pricey. It seems like Ryan has interests outside of trading mainly involving property. That doesn't necessarily mean he isn't a trader in my mind. Adam is the IT guy who is also a trader apparently. Martin seems like the real deal, and doesn't have anything else going on other than trading and making CZcams videos. I'd be interested to know what horse racing software you'd recommend. Cheers 👍

  • @stevezm100
    @stevezm100 Před 11 dny

    anyone using this with sports-iq?

  • @betying1
    @betying1 Před 11 dny

    Cheers TTM. Let's have a IPA. Investigate (with) Paper (and) Adjust.

  • @stevekent3991
    @stevekent3991 Před 11 dny

    I watched the latest video from Gurubuster criticising you. The guy seems very closed minded. In his eyes, if you obtain yields greater than 1-2%, you are full of BS. With this definition I must be full of BS too as my set and forget strategies return far better yields than his golden standard. Carry on making your videos, ignore the guy.

  • @nikosparaskevaidis1048

    Hello everyone, can we use leggingin in with this strategy? I tried but the cash out option became unavailable 😢

  • @stuartrichards5644
    @stuartrichards5644 Před 13 dny

    Many thanks once again, I have made the strategy work for small stakes and I’m a thick Brummie 😂 keep up the good work gents, ignore the c u next Tuesdays and thanks again 👍👍

  • @carlscruton4723
    @carlscruton4723 Před 14 dny

    I see you closed the discord now you got enough subscribers to sports IQ :)

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 14 dny

      Completely unrelated. Not that I will ever convince a select few but hey ho... that's life i suppose.

  • @helend269
    @helend269 Před 14 dny

    Sorry to see the discord server go down. I'll miss chatting to everyone. Will the General thread be available to view again? It's saying I don't have permission to view the message history of # general. Thanks.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 14 dny

      There is so much none trading talk in there it's not worth leaving open to view in all honesty.

    • @helend269
      @helend269 Před 7 dny

      @@TradingTheMarket And how much trading talk is there in Getting Sh1t Off Your Chest, which I've just noticed is still open for reading? And if I recall correctly, General did have a lot of very useful, very relevant trading-related talk in it, it wasn't all non-trading chit-chat. With the Sh1t channel still open and readable, hiding General now makes no sense at all. So please, could you open General for reading again? Pretty please with sugar on top? 🙂

    • @helend269
      @helend269 Před 2 dny

      Aaaaand it's gone. 🙂 I know I'm probably being silly, but all this hidey-hidey, blocky-blocky of the General channel makes me wonder what's in there they don't want us to see...

  • @christillyer3725
    @christillyer3725 Před 15 dny

    Disappointed the way you deleted the discord channel.

  • @mikedavies3475
    @mikedavies3475 Před 15 dny

    I have tried this strategy for a couple of weeks and it isn't going well at all. In the 12 matches I have traded on, 4 games have ended over 4.5, with 2 of the games having 6 goals and the other two having 5. Either I am being extremely unlucky, or I am doing something wrong. The stats I based placing the losing bets on followed by the number of goals in the match are shown below. (AvD = 1, MN = 16.5, gls = 6), (AvD = 0, MN = 11, gls = 5), (AvD = -1, MN = -7.5, gls = 6), (AvD = -2, MN = -9, gls = 5). Would you be able to advise if there are any any flaws in the matches selected based on the values above?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 15 dny

      Can you tell me which matches you lost on? I do believe some of the matches are matches I also traded. The strategy will always have variance... Unfortunately, we can not make money on every selection buddy.

    • @mikedavies3475
      @mikedavies3475 Před 15 dny

      @@TradingTheMarket Hi James, Appreciate you responding on a football evening! My lost matches were Orlando City v Chicago Fire (4-2), Friska Viljor FC v Taby FK (4-1), Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra (4-2), Binh Dinh v Công An Nhân Dân (4-1) and I just lost another tonight - ÍB Vestmannaeyja Keflavik IF AvD Rel = -1, Magic # = -7.5 (5-0 - 2 goals in injury time). I get the stats from the Daily Sheet. I appreciate that nothing is certain, but my hit rate (won 9 lost 5) is abysmal compared to yours, so maybe I'm misinterpreting something.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 14 dny

      The criteria you are using is correct.. Like I say variance will always play a part in any strategy... some people will start trading it and win 100 in a row and others like yourself will start and lose 5 it's the nature of the beast I'm afraid. The best advice I can give you is to paper trade as many selections as you can until you are comfortable with the strategy/criteria/selections 👍

    • @MikeDavies-wv3lx
      @MikeDavies-wv3lx Před 12 dny

      @@TradingTheMarket Sorry to trouble you again, but do you have a link to the Daily Sheet downloads? The link I had before only points to the June ones and I find the one on the website a bit difficult to manage. Cheers.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 12 dny

      drive.google.com/drive/folders/1rzPyFuUJtw-NWE0oJw25B36Aof9FAe8m

  • @mikedavies3475
    @mikedavies3475 Před 17 dny

    Is there a way on Smarkets to filter the market to Over/Under 3.5 goals like you have done on Betfair @ 2:40 ?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 14 dny

      Unfortunately not it seems, you will have to click into each specific match using Smarkets.

  • @mikedavies3475
    @mikedavies3475 Před 17 dny

    Is James's Smarkets intro still available? When I click on the link, it says that "This video is private"

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 14 dny

      The video is private now after a small tidy up of the channel. I may make a new video detailing Smarkets in the future.

  • @TradingTheMarket
    @TradingTheMarket Před 17 dny

    A quick update from TTM... We really do appreciate all the positive feedback and some of the negative....If comments are missing maybe the user themselves have removed their own comments. At the time of writing this comment I have personally removed one person from the channel/comments section, you are all free to comment as you wish with negativity if that is your preference and the comment will stay for all to see but excessive trolling and constantly slagging us off across multiple comments is just uncalled for, helps nobody and will be removed. Kind regards TTM .

  • @christianf.8973
    @christianf.8973 Před 18 dny

    Just show your statement und premium charged paid on last year and everything would be done. Why you instead make a video? You could make them quiet and ashamed forever. A real professional would do it this way.

    • @lukemcmillan5264
      @lukemcmillan5264 Před 18 dny

      jeff you sound like a disgruntled ex ttm member give a rest you're boring 😅

    • @lukemcmillan5264
      @lukemcmillan5264 Před 18 dny

      ​@JeffTownsend-l8v I'm doing fine thanks doesn't sound like you are with all your babbling 😅

    • @lukemcmillan5264
      @lukemcmillan5264 Před 18 dny

      ​@JeffTownsend-l8v I believe you mate haha have a great weekend of trading

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 18 dny

      I don't think you realise just how little I care about what people think of me. The videos are made for a reason... So people don't fall into the trap of spending money to learn to trade, the info is readily available, and the strats people don't know about will be shared by TTM... I am not important... the message the channel gives... is. If the masses don't like that... tough. For the most part our videos and strategies are very well received. As for my P+L and premium charges, maybe one day I will share them with the world when I accumulate some fcks to give.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 16 dny

      There is a difference between scared and care. I don't have to do anything. I don't owe you anything. Plus the joy I get from you and the tin foil hat brigade is just too priceless to give up.

  • @oldboygamer5632
    @oldboygamer5632 Před 18 dny

    Gurubusters video called you out on the nonsense, yet you still persist with this awful 'strategy', I lost a lot of money on it before I was clever enough to see the light.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 18 dny

      And yet here you are...still watching. Good luck in your trading journey.

    • @billyarma8451
      @billyarma8451 Před 17 dny

      you comment the same shite on our videos, yet you dont answer when questioned why your failing, dont play the victim when your the problem not us, victims will always be victims

    • @oldboygamer5632
      @oldboygamer5632 Před 16 dny

      @@billyarma8451 you just had to close down, well done guru!

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 16 dny

      Close Down??? 😂 Turning off a chat function is seen as closing down??? 😝 I have never seen as many conspiracy theories come from all of your mouths...it truly is hilarious the things you guys say over there, proper makes me chuckle. If it helps you sleep at night... happy days.

    • @davegravy1842
      @davegravy1842 Před 16 dny

      More fool you should of paper traded it 🤪

  • @TheJumpiestmonkey
    @TheJumpiestmonkey Před 18 dny

    Haters are always going to hate. Don't listen to the noise

  • @GeordieTheGeordie
    @GeordieTheGeordie Před 18 dny

    Awesome, guys. Keep up the great work 😎

  • @Clampers
    @Clampers Před 18 dny

    Great video as always James.

  • @frantz06600
    @frantz06600 Před 18 dny

    Well done and many thanks again. If I wanted to use this Lay 4.5 method or find it and how much does it cost me?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 18 dny

      It's completely free pal. Check out the channel there are now multiple videos showing how to use it... You can use our free spreadsheet or Sports-IQ for ease of use 👍🏻

  • @stephen11627
    @stephen11627 Před 19 dny

    How did you know that Gurubusters was in your discord group? He's not going to use the same name is he? Just wondering. 😀

    • @sundaybighouse
      @sundaybighouse Před 19 dny

      They were on the same side in the beginning so he was probably using his own account. That's no to say he doesn't have multiple accounts.

    • @stephen11627
      @stephen11627 Před 18 dny

      @@sundaybighouse If he was using Gurubusters as his user name then that would be a give away. But as you say he was probably using another user name in which case how would they know he is Gurubusters? Maybe they know him personally but don't want to identify him. I noticed in the video that they did mention someone by name, this could be Gurubusters real name, I don't know? Thanks for your reply. 😀👍

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 18 dny

      Said person was in our Discord under said title.

    • @stephen11627
      @stephen11627 Před 17 dny

      @@TradingTheMarket Really - Wow!. I've watched his channel and I don't think you are scammers by the way. He analyses strategies to the nth degree, he takes the fun out of betting. If we were to believe what he says, then we might as well stop betting, no point. But we know if we are getting value with are bets / trades then there will be a profit at the end of it. Thanks for your reply much appreciated. Keep up the good work! 😀👍

  • @petarnikolaev6768
    @petarnikolaev6768 Před 19 dny

    Hi James, great video as always. I use the strategy and so far it has been profitable 4 months in a row so all true about what you are showing. Can you tell me how you got to use the Pre-match odds on your Sports-IQ back testing .I looked on mine but could not find this option and it would be great to able to use it . Thanks again for the great work you do for the community !

    • @billyarma8451
      @billyarma8451 Před 18 dny

      Glad your enjoying the strat and its profitable for u, James has access as he's testing it out before release, everybody will have that feature before too long

  • @Hamish007
    @Hamish007 Před 19 dny

    Fucking sexy. Brilliant video James and Billy. Thanks for all you do keep it up legends ❤

  • @shaunjohnuk
    @shaunjohnuk Před 19 dny

    Great use of stock videos

  • @MrCraig1981
    @MrCraig1981 Před 19 dny

    Hi, is there a max or minimum odds you lay at? Also I noticed you have a pre match odds filter on the back testing page, I don’t seem to have that on mine. Cheers Craig

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 19 dny

      Max odds of 12 personally. The pre match odds filter is currently in the beta phase. It will be going live shortly 👍

  • @lukemcmillan5264
    @lukemcmillan5264 Před 19 dny

    are you laying 7.5 and above now after back testing ? do odds between 6 and 7 give a lower strike rate?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 19 dny

      The reason I used odds of 7.5 and above is because in the original video my average odds across 201 trades were 7.8. The odds filter will come to Sports-IQ soon I believe, I couldn't give a specific date because I honestly don't know the answer but you will be able to test it for yourself soon enough 👍

  • @sundaybighouse
    @sundaybighouse Před 19 dny

    Billy, how many trades have you made on this strat?

    • @billyarma8451
      @billyarma8451 Před 18 dny

      over 500, i started doing it with the loose criteria which provided alot more picks

  • @mikedavies3475
    @mikedavies3475 Před 19 dny

    In the original video, no exit strategy was discussed as it was regarded as a set & forget. Are there any plans for further videos to discuss this? I lost one trade on this strategy in a match where it was 0-0 @ half time & 5 goals were scored in the 3nd half, so probably would have been better for me to trade out on this one?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 19 dny

      It all comes down to the individual. It is a set and forget and that is exactly how I use it... Billy on the other hand has added the exit of 1.04 for his own trading... Very much each to their own fella. The choice is entirely yours.

    • @temp911Luke
      @temp911Luke Před 18 dny

      Just because 1 game didnt work out doesnt mean trading out is a good idea. You basically cut your profits and potentially increase losses. You need a bigger picture than that.

  • @colinbest8610
    @colinbest8610 Před 19 dny

    🤣🤣🤣 Yep, that was fun[ny].

  • @daxter224
    @daxter224 Před 19 dny

    Good video and nice to see some more granularity. However you have an error on the quoted ROI. The risk (liability) per trade is £65 in your example, not the £10 stake you win (before commission) on a successful trade. ROI is the total profit achieved for the total capital risked. For 649 trades the total capital risked is £42,185 for a total profit (before commission) of £2,590. This is an ROI of 6.14% (not 39.91%). Assuming a 2% commission the profit is £2,471 (5.86% ROI) and for a 5% commission the profit is £2,292 (5.43% ROI). Don’t get me wrong, 5% ROI is actually very decent over the long-term. The trick here is to maintain a very high win rate as a slight drop equates to meaningfully negative EV and some trades will be north of 7.5 in odds (towards 10) which might lower the achievable strike rate and profit margin at the margins. Still a credible strategy in my opinion if you can stomach higher liabilities.

    • @colinbest8610
      @colinbest8610 Před 19 dny

      Good to see someone else understands the difference between Stakes [Back] & Liability [Lay] when it comes to working out RoI. Whereas TTM mean well, I'm afraid they are not as clued up as they would like to think. Stopped using their Discord Grp because of a few peoples egos, & basic errors such as this. Still, they do have some good ideas which I have adapted into profitable strategies, so can't complain.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 19 dny

      100% mate. At least you now know the reason behind the ROI 😉

  • @sebastiaorj7297
    @sebastiaorj7297 Před 19 dny

    Não está mais habilitado o fitro por datas?

  • @stevelevy4754
    @stevelevy4754 Před 19 dny

    Correct me if I’m wrong but when you calculate the ROI, shouldn’t the stake be £65 rather than the £10 you quote? This would give an ROI of 6.15%

    • @betman6774
      @betman6774 Před 19 dny

      Yup - I agree. Also, he hasn't included commision from the calculation. In the UK it's 2%, in other countries it's more. Still, any system that delivers 5%+ ROI with a very high strike rate is a good system. Unfortunately, it kind of make me question the reliability of this as a pro wouldn't make that mistake.

    • @colinbest8610
      @colinbest8610 Před 19 dny

      @@betman6774 "it kind of make me question the reliability of this as a pro wouldn't make that mistake" ... Couldn't have put it better myself.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket Před 19 dny

      It wasn't a mistake... Very much intentional for a certain somebody and for this very reason 😉

  • @christillyer3725
    @christillyer3725 Před 19 dny

    Another interesting post, thank you. I just dont get why people are complaining. Its not like we are paying you £50 a month for the data, its free. Do what i did and paper trade it for a month or too, that will soon tell you if its going to work or not. Personally this strat has really helped me and i love it. Please do continue to educate and guide us all on this O4.5 journey. Im so looking forward to the 24/25 European season. I do subscribe to Sports IQ but its a very low cost which i think is worth it particularly for the backtest feature. I hope i dont wear it out. Rest in peace BF Trading !!!

  • @LessonsInLogicUK
    @LessonsInLogicUK Před 19 dny

    Great video guys. Keep up the excellent work. Nobody produces trading videos like TTM do

  • @mattg8855
    @mattg8855 Před 19 dny

    Great work lads. Always believed

  • @stevezm100
    @stevezm100 Před 21 dnem

    is there a filter on sports iq for this?