The Correct Score Secret They Never Told You
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- čas přidán 21. 08. 2024
- The Correct Score Secret They Never Told You
Did you know you can use Standard deviation to win football trades?
In short, standard deviation will tell us how likely a score line is.
Based on how the team normally performs home or away.
Use this Correct Score secret they never told you to predict the likely outcome of football results and make more profitable trades.
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Olá! Sou membro do TTM no discord. Poderia compartilhar a planilha apresentada nesse vídeo? Obrigado
Good video and my first thought was the over/under 2.5 market angle but looking at the historic odds, Pinnacle had the over 2.5 at 3.83 and under 2.5 at 1.28 so it was already priced in (as is normally the case)
Brings me back to A-level Maths with stats! Bloody good that and very eager to try it out now, perhaps combined with hedged overs/unders for conservative (and hopefully profitable) trading! Quick question, what makes 8 games the magic number for data? I'd add that I guess less meaningful cup/friendly fixtures may be worth leaving out of your 8 games and would you consider games from the previous season (if early in the campaign) as still equally relevant? Cheers for this lads and keep up the good work.
Looks good, do you make that spreadsheet readily available? Or provide a guide on how to create it?
thanks a lot , very uselful ! not completely clear the value X" 2 ...can you please better explain how is calculated? thanks
Great video .. however when is the time to cashout during the game ? Say you have the trades stated in the video , when the score is 0-1 will you then proceed to cashout the trade ?
Amazing free content as always !
What about taking the average shoe size of each player as long as their socks are not white. You could then multiply this by the power of 2.6 and back o10.5 corners. Works for me. 🤣
This formula is useful for calculating probability scorelines, but without accounting for randomness =RAND(), such as (top goal scorer injured, players rest time between matches, etc.), this can easily cause the game's outcome to deviate from the calculated range.
I'd implement this technique with caution because there is no rule barring each team's statistics from rising or falling during their next eight games.
If it were concrete, I'm sure we'd all heard of it by now. Therefore, could you perhaps include caution in your videos to help avoid someone from chasing and developing an addiction please?
Standard deviation is used by The police, NASA, and governments. It's not something you likely learned at high school. So if you haven't heard about it, then it doesn't mean it's not good.
We often get asked how we profile games and make a living from being a professional trader. Well, it's using a range of skills such as this one.
We made the video before the game was played. So you can see for yourself how the result plays out.
So I won't add in a caution. As always, if people don't like what we do, then no one asks you to be here.
Thanks
Mark
I appreciate your reply, and I have to say that you've made some good/interesting arguments that I respect. Could I, however, ask your opinion on a hypothetical situation?
Well, same to your video, we've backed the formula's results and if the game was still 0-0 in the 75th minute, would you recommend laying the higher scorelines, such as 1-2, to minimise losses and maximise overall earnings, or would it produce a larger risk percentage, making laying pointless?
I am sure they will recalculate it for each game and not keep the same figures ask the time. The deviation will change from one game to another as will the average
I can confidently state that I challenged and was corrected. This has certainly educated me, and hopefully anyone else who had similar questions.
I've only lately begun to take trading more seriously, and I appreciate all of the advise I've received from others. I heard at the end of this video that there is a Discord channel that I can join to assist enhance my knowledge, but do you or anybody else know of any other communities where I could discuss and learn more?
@@seanskinner2068 just join theirs - no bullshit, no sales, nothing.
Brilliant work as always! Is there an Excel Template available for us to work from? Also, which Discord Chat do we discuss this on? Well done again, you guys rock !!!
Another fab video.
I don't get it? Confusing much...
The is a function in excel to work it out or use a SD calculator online
Wouldn't it also be helpful to calculate SD for "conceded goals" - and cross/compare with each team "scored" goals which you calculate on this excellent video - Thanks
Hi there David, this can be a dumb question but I think that this comment of yours make much sense, my question is after you do all this math to the conceded goals, how do you think it's the best way to proceed to do that cross/compare that you've talked? Thanks in advance and a good year!
is there a filter on sports iq for this?
Hi guys, great video as usual. I've just joined Discord, but don't know how to find you there?
Can you help please?
Click the link in the description mate
Found it, thanks!
very clever guys good work 👏
Thank you TTM for taking the time to make this video. No negative comments here just positivity and appreciation
I will be very interested in trying this out but I don't get (cuz I'm not very bright)why if they don't score its a positive number and if they do score its a negative number.cuz if they don't score its below the avg and it they do score its above the avg sorry if its a stupid question.
I tried this method and it brought me at same possible results of the bookmakers 😆
Not very accurate unfortunately guys. Lets presume Tenerife lost every away game 6-1, 5-0, 4-2, 6-0 etc why on earth would I dutch low scores? You haven't factored in how leaky their defence is or related it to the odds on under 2.5 goals. All it would take is Oviedo to score twice and game over. Not to mention you'd end up dutching about 10 score-lines if any team got near 2.0 average. Maybe to make this successful add in a couple of factors - Under 2.5 goals under 2.0 and also a standard deviation of no higher than 1.30?
It does factors in a teams ability to score goals on both sides. The only thing unfortunate is your lack of understanding.
This is profitable and we do it all the time. Small minded. Why you watching trading videos? You already know it all.
cmon Neill get with the program 🙄
Not saying use it on every game; are they? Use the standard deviation to find possibility of score lines that are limited to 4 or 5.
@@Aglgfg2201 No they aren't thats correct and I agree with that part. I'm not disputing the maths, which I get. I'm just trying to establish if there was another factor which would be added to help ie goals conceded standard deviation?
The thing will goals conceded will be it’s not the current opposition who could be really bad at scoring.
Looks interesting but there is a mistake in the spreadsheet...... Don't worry not maths but at the bottom of Tenerife's side shouldn't it be "Range Of Away Score Lines" instead of "Range Of Home Score Lines" ?
Yeah that's my bad. It's caused by a lazy copy and paste. Well spotted it should say away not home.
Thanks
Mark
What a clever idea, it had never occurred to me to use standard deviation on football.
A lot of gems in this 💎💎💎
Nice video explained very well
Profit rocket 😂
Your revenue is going to increase so much from people like me trying to understand the maths!
Talk about overthinking! There's a much more simple approach to predicting goals and it certainly doesn't involve maths like this! The truth is there are so many other components that can influence a scoreline that these offered calculations are pie in the sky...
Obviously you can’t use excel and get the program to work for you…but if you know better, why are you not making a living from it like these guys…
@@Aglgfg2201 Maybe because i actually am making a living from footy trading and i didn't say i knew better but if it helps your minute brain feel better, then who am i to spoil your fantasy?
@@clintonbaptiste998 Cool story bro. Shame it's fiction.
Lets be honest no one ever achieved anything using maths..... Well maybe James Harris Simons to name one.
Now go and crawl back into whatever hole you climbed out of.
@@clintonbaptiste998 maybe there are many ways to skin a cat? What works for you, may not work for anyone else, whilst others may have strategies that work for them and not for you. But hey, no one has forced you to comment on this video; if you are that successful then you have no need to follow the channel. The guys here are trying to stop the rip-off merchants that parade around on YT as successful traders, but yet need to sell crappy courses for hundreds or thousands of pounds to supplement their ‘trading income’. You could always be supportive and share your experience and expertise instead of trying to trash talk constructive people.
Right now it's 0-0. 🙂🙂🙂
Absolute load of nonsense!!
Just because you don't get it doesn't mean it's stupid.
It means you are 💥
Could you expand on why or would that be asking too much of you?
Nonsense??? For what reason...???
Easy way to prove or disprove is to test it out, you can paper test it,
it’s very similar to what Peter web does & he’s alot 🤑 than all of us 😂
I don’t get the hatred or pointless comment with something that’s free?