05 Apr: ALL ALARMS TRIGGERED! New Threat of the Biggest Russian Offensive (Kharkiv) | War in Ukraine
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- čas přidán 4. 04. 2024
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I am Ukrainian. My country has been invaded by Russia. In this video, I will tell you what happened on the seven-hundred-seventy-second day of the war.
Day 772: Apr 05
Today, there is a lot of news from the Kharkiv direction.
In recent days, rumors have flourished everywhere about an alleged Russian plan intended to capture the city of Kharkiv in a potential new spring-summer Russian offensive. In addition to Vladimir Putin's statements about a sanitary zone, some senior Russian officials anonymously reported further details of a possible plan for an encirclement operation in Kharkiv, aimed to capture the city without destroying it, employing a contingent of 300 thousand Russian troops.
As an additional indicator, Ukrainian authorities recently reported that Russian forces have begun to strike Kharkiv with a new type of guided bomb called UMPB D-30, which is a glide bomb evolution with improved characteristics. Each munition consists of a unified module with folding wings, a guidance unit, a jam-resistant satellite receiver, and a rocket booster or turbojet in the tail that would give it an estimated combat range of 90km. These improvements bring them closer in accuracy and maneuverability characteristics to a cruise missile at a fraction of the cost. Ukrainian authorities have described the reported use of this new glide bomb over civilian population areas as an attempt to terrorize the civilian population.
Ukrainian authorities and military analysts have stated that, for the moment, there are not enough indications about the creation of such a large force that could be aimed at encircling the city. And the various statements and actions seem more like information operations in an attempt to destabilize Ukrainian authorities, to force the commitment of additional resources in this direction, as well as to create disruption among the civilian population.
First of all, various Ukrainian analysts evaluated that even a force of 300 thousand troops would probably be insufficient to attack and encircle Kharkiv, and they estimated that Russian forces would need at least half a million soldiers. Kharkiv, with a population of almost a million and a half people, is Ukraine's second-largest city, which means that the city is home to many more high-rise buildings, factories, and industrial zones that can be used as powerful fortifications. For context, it took Russians 80 thousand troops and 10 months to take Bakhmut. Kharkiv is 10 times bigger than Bakhmut by size and 20 times bigger than Bakhmut by population and the number of high-rise buildings. Interestingly, the estimated figure of half a million soldiers is, in fact, higher than what Russia currently has deployed along the entire front length.
Secondly, even assuming a possible additional mobilization in Russia, preparing this new force and its logistics for early spring or summer seems unrealistic.
A very relevant Ukrainian military analyst has detailed how Russian forces might approach an advance on Kharkiv.
Firstly, an advance from the west would have to necessarily face two crucial defensive nodes, Okhtyrka and Bogodukhov, which belong to the Kotelva - Valky line. In addition, a great number of new defensive lines have been built throughout the whole Kharkiv oblast in recent months.
Secondly, the allegedly Russian plan explicitly indicates an encirclement of the city, and the reason for that is that Russian would like to avoid much harder urban fighting, particularly in such an extensive city. A Kharkiv encirclement would only be realistic if the Russian forces managed to advance further west of the Oskil River and at least reach the Chuguev - Pervomaisky line, an objective they have been unable to achieve so far, despite countless attempts to advance in the direction of Kupiansk.
As I analyzed in a previous video, an advance from the northern part of Kupiansk is quite challenging due to the funnel formed by the Siversky-Donets and Oskil rivers, which in practice forces an attack to face two solid defensive lines in succession.
Finally, another critical challenge for the Kremlin would be securing the southern flank of such a potential offensive. As an alternative, Russian forces could adopt a third vector precisely from the south only if they could reach Izyum beforehand. From Izyum, they could both compromise Ukrainian resistance east of the Oskil River and advance toward Kharkiv from the south. However, the prospects of seizing Izyum seem unrealistic to accomplish in the short or medium term.
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Bad news for you ... besides all your supplies sent to Zionist .. China has a PEACE proposal ..Russia say's ...acceptable. USA and EU print paper promises to supplies ..but admit it is a manufacturing and supply chain problem ...Bottom line ... If NOT Stefan Bandara ..lay down your weapons ..Food , Medical and going home ALIVE with all body parts ..
If Stefan Bandara [ NAZI ] .... dead or 20 years hard labor [ Dead ] ... You are not allowed to share the same air as us
Your lines should have been built years ago not months.
“We want to capture the city without destroying it.”
They want to destroy it.
Exactly - to your second sentence. Just like Mariopol.
Yes, like children in kindergarten. If they can’t have it, they will try to destroy it.
@@JaneSoole It's not Russian fault that Ukraine was endangering civilians and fighting for every building instead of falling back like Russia did in Kherson
@@yellowtunes2756 it is very much the fault of the Kremlin. Everything in the whole war is the fault of the Muscovians, including all the million+ troops and civilians on both sides.
@@yellowtunes2756 What the F#ck!!. Not russia's fault? BS. ALL this war is PUTIN's fault.
Is fighting in the trenches for your "President" Putin too dangerous for you? Shame on you!!!
The idea of simply "manifesting" half the fighting force of the Battle of Stalingrad in WW2 sounds more like fearmongering than an actual operation.
It's not fear mongering it's a legitimate explanation of what the Russians could do theoretically and only on paper.
@@planderlinde1969 The russians do most things theoretically, and on paper. The T-14, for example.
@@TroIIingThemSoftly It is still not impossible.
@@meilinchan7314 did you not watch the report? RFU clearly says they'd need more people on the offense of Kharkhiv than what is staffing THE ENTIRE FRONT
@@JoseTorres-ry9qeThey want to terrorize Ukrainian nation, Putin is typical sociopath.
Your reporting becomes ever more important as the conflict is fading from the public eye. Please keep up this important work! What is the god-damn holdup Mr. Johnson? Let's get that funding rolling!
Not happening, Chief. America is done with handouts.
Why? Doesn’t the US have terrible problems of its own? Here in the UK we have the food banks emptied, and money we don’t have is being wasted on Ukrainians.
@@user-pg2kj7ps7o Isolationism only brings more problems in the long run.
@@yyyy-uv3po No it doesn’t. Interfering in the affairs of others is what causes problems. Look at the utter nightmares of Vietnam in the 60s, Afghanistan and Iraq? The Americans were defeated after spending trillions and killing millions , and what changed? Nothing. The world kept on spinning. I have no interest in the life’s of others, folk can do whatever the hell they please , charity begins at home.
@@ruks345handouts...Ukraine is losing its sons and daughters...America is democracies arsenal...if we actually adopted your line of thinking Russia would take all of Ukraine and Moldova...then Estonia...as we saw in ww2 when hitler was allowed to go unchecked..you act like America isn't a member of NATO.
Thanks as always for your great coverage.
Thanks!
Thank you for your support!
Thank you
Love from Oz
Thank you
They fought 2 years to take Avdiivka and now they want Kharkiv 😅
10 years, actually.
@@hb9145 They will destroy the city like every city in its path. Tell me what city did the Russians NOT destroy ??
War started back in 2014
10
Avdiivka was fortified since 2014 and was basicaly a forpost just like Bakhmut, there are no other fortified cities like them. But ofcourse it still is going to be difficult since it is a big city. Ukraine cannot defend itself, it is a matter of time untill they give up and lose everething they could have, if they just stayed neutral, or at least accepted Russian terms of peace negotiationы in Istanbul
Those like you who get the word out and keep this war in the eyes of the world are heroes, as much as those giving their lives for the defense of their homes on the front lines. Your words make a difference, and keep us all repeating, Slava Ukraine!!
If the russians were planning a specific attack, they wouldn't be publicizing it. If they were trying to get Ukraine to move troops out of the south and Bahkmut area and up to Kharkiv in order to make it easier to attack elsewhere, they would publish it. And when it was debunked, as this was, they would publish it again, which they have. It appears to be an information operation. Good job covering it, RFU. Slava Ukraini.
It's 2024. You don't move hundreds of thousands of troops without your enemy seeing it. It doesn't matter what they announce, Ukraine and the West watches everything they DO from drones and high altitude surveillance aka satellites. Not to mention lots of HUMINT assets closer to the source.
Heroyam Slava !!
Ridiculous load of bollox..this guy knows bugger all about Russian intentions 😂
Russia can't hide anything as long as the satellites are in orbit.
@@piked261 Who is "this guy"? It's not clear whether you refer to the video commentator or the poster of this comment you replied to.
Thank you for your work. ❤
Very interesting - thanks from London!
Thanks for the updates, much appreciated! 🚨
Thank you.
Thanks for the great reporting.
Great reporting.
Thanks for your great reporting. Keep strong and safe Defenders. Glory to Ukraine 🙏🇺🇦💙💛💕❤️🇨🇦
300k???. where the slag will they hide that man much less the support armor and such?. I mean seriously.. a blind man will see that madness coming.
Вы задаёте умные вопросы . Вам не место на этом канале .
Дякую!!!
With adequate preparation and alertness, without overreaction; this will render Kharkiv invincible.
Thank you Pavlo.
Oh sure, they suffer massive casualties taking small towns and now they want to take Kharkiv? Give me a break....
No . . . Seriously. And putin isn't bluffing this time . . . Like the thousands of previous times. LOL!!
Dude, not every city is fortified for 10 years like Avdeevka
Thx 🙏
Maybe when this war is over Ukraine should establish some independent buffer states from Belgorod and Rostov on Don.
It is historically Ukrainian land
@@jmjones7897 Historically, every human could claim a random part of the steppe in East Africa.
While Russia still refuses to pay reparations, Ukraine should go liberate the Caucasus.
Ok if Russia wins then Ukraine will be the buffer form Russia to nato
😂😂😂😂
Thank you for your smart and levelheaded analysis and reporting 🇪🇺❤🇺🇦
Fantastic thanks again
They no longer have the officer class for this kind of mission. They can’t even organise at a Company level.
It's never had an officer cadre probably the equivalent of a lace corporal
They couldn't do it with a surprise attack and a weaker Ukraine, what makes them think they could do it today?
Exactly the Russian military only degrades over time. How the Russians expect to take any city when in a far worse position currently is really beyond me.
@sundancer811 That is true but given Russias current circumstances any grand offensives seem like suicide missions and really I estimate this war will start coming to a close sometime around mid to late 2025.
@@planderlinde1969
I have a serious question:
If Russia is so desperate for manpower, why haven’t they made it into law that _Women_ can serve in ALL military roles, including on the frontlines?
It would double their recruitment pool instantly, could be used to further shunt “dissidents” to the frontlines, and could be spun as a breakthrough in women’s rights in Russia.
@@ButFirstHeLitItOnFire because russia needs baby factories.
@@ButFirstHeLitItOnFire There are many reasons the main one being Russia still has enough men to throw at Ukraine for the time being. (the quality of those men remain to be seen however) Also Russia is trying to promote traditionalist values and conscription of women to join the Russian military while it would fill a manpower gap it would undermine their political agenda. Also because those women are expected to have babies for future wars.
On your side.
Köszönjük!
Thank you so much for your support!
Two thoughts - 1- This is simply Russian Propaganda to get Ukraine to pull troops from the front lines to reinforce Kharkiv, and 2 - If Russia is going to use what is effectively V1 Buzz bombs to indiscriminately bomb civilians, it is time to concentrate on the oil refineries, or Black Sea fleet. Ukraine seems to keep shifting between Oil, Aircraft and Ships without concentrating on any one for very long. This could be great strategy, but it looks, from the outside, like trying to cover too much strategic frontage.
Is it perhaps as much to test where the air defense is strongest and weakest to know when to hit the bridge as it is to damage aircraft capable of carrying FABs
yea i think it is as much as anything becouse they are forcing the russians to keep moving air defences around
If they keep hitting the same objective all the time obviously the Russians will move their air defences there, hitting them all means they can strike where there isn't much air defence
That's a very good approach. One thing's for sure: Ukraine and their defenders can not afford to underestimate their opponents.
At the end of the day, Ukraine is achieving fabulous results with the resources they have to hand ❤@petermaunsell4575
I guess you don't follow the international news . Joe Biden has told the Ukrainians Not to bomb oil refinerys. Bet you don't know why .
Great report. Thank you!
Great video again thanks
Slava Ukraini from Canada!💙🍁🍁💛
Heroyam Slava !!
🍁👍
Slava from CZ to canada and their maple syrup ♥
I am sure Russia can get 300,000 men there. Not many will be soldiers though.
"WHAT IS YOUR PROFESSION??"
@@VisiblyPinkUnicorn blyat blyat blyat 😂
They Will be out of fuel
TVP World is amazing. Love your content. Cold hard facts. Awesome!
Slava Ukraini
The land will be more fertile
There's always a silver lining.
Thank you 🇺🇦🗽🇺🇦
Thank you for reporting. 😊😊😊
Slava Ukraine!!
screw Ukraine
Bot
💙💛💙💛💙💛
🇳🇱❤🇺🇦
If Ukraine has a damaged one, it means they'll have their own models in like eight months. No way the US hasn't been able to look the debris over.
The USA already has something very similar. The turks too. F16s will make the skys less safe if used correctly with stand off munitions.
@@stevekane4922 Not the point. Knowing the Russian system allows for counter measures. And Ukraine can replicate the system probably with assistance.
They'll have American aircraft operating soon
@@Omegawerewolfx can no longer rely on the USA. More likely to do something homegrown or with Saab or Thales etc.
soviet fever dreams from bunker grandpa
Thank you good sir
Praying for you all in Ukraine! ❤🙏🇿🇦
And all support from another South African.🇿🇦
@@vanettevanhuyssteen5548Nog een...🙏🇺🇦❤️🇿🇦
@@pandoraalberts5267 Jippiee!
Nou is ons drie!
Any more South Africans out there? 🇿🇦 ♥ 🇺🇦
Ruzzia doesnt have the money🥱😎
Putin already has a sanitary zone, it's called Belgorod.
🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
The Russian government only has enough monetary reserves to last until mid-2025, and no one willing to loan them money due to secondary sanctions that will hit them like a ton of bricks. Assuming Russia doesn't do any major and costly offensive actions in the style of Avdiivka, it'll likely take until early-2025 to even raise the forces needed to attempt taking Kharkiv. If they followed through with this they'd be attacking the hardest target in all of eastern Ukraine on a timetable half the length of the battle of Avdiivka. The only way something like this is practical is if either support for Ukraine catastrophically fails, or sanctions are lifted/Russian assets unfrozen. If either of the latter two happen I think Kharkiv will be the least of our worries, at least in the mid to long term.
Thanks as always for your great coverage
🔱💛💙SLAVA UKRAINI💛💙🔱🇪🇺I🇫🇷
Thanks for the update!
Slava Ukraini from Ireland !
They will just liberate it using their love of levelling it.
RuZZia just not human.
Yes, a country isn't human
There orcs.
Orcs are war criminals
Descendants of Khengis Khan (Byzantium or Kievan Rus that is just a propaganda).
I’m against Russia too, but dehumanising them is awful propaganda, same done by the nazis against ‘rats’ etc.
Thank you for your regular analyses. They are always excellent.
If there have been rumours everywhere, it is not the plan.
Russia should just give up. Its losses will make it not worth it. Putin is stupid.
Point to me when in their history has men power losses stopped the Russians? You are using your value to judge a completely different perspective.
The problem is that this has never been about Russia, it has always and only been about the ego of Putin. Now that Putin is faced with losing, he fears that him losing could cost him everything. So he just burns through all reserves and money Russia has to save the only thing that has value in Russia: Putin. All of Russia is just collateral damage for Putin‘s ego, but sadly they want it like that.
you have already given in to gays and lesbians.
The Battle of the Masurian Lakes in WW1 (170,000 casualties) which forced the Russians to retreat from German territory. @@maritimezhang
Russian people live in such squalor that they simply don't care if they die. They think this is all life has to offer and it's better to be done with it. It's practically a death cult.
Ukraine needs war bonds. Both from its own population and us. It would be a way to significantly increase the financial support, but requires our politicians to actually *nut up and explain what happens if Russia wins*
You can buy Canadian government "Ukraine sovereignty bonds" - the funds are administered by the IMF. I bought mine in November 2022. Talk to your bank or investment company.
👍🇨🇦🇺🇦♥️
Thank you for this report. Slava Ukraini
If they go to Kharkiv, they probably have to withdraw everyone/everything from the now occupied areas.
With Russia continuing to exhaust its Soviet era stockpile of hardware, the question arises as to how these hundreds of thousands of mobilised troops would be armed. More Chinese Golf carts? Sling shots? The exhaustion of armoured vehicles and artillery is going to have an effect that will only be made worse if they to arm all these new men.
Chinee takital baroon
You resist to learn... How many times you have to be fooled by media? Once I was reading news that Ukranians are winning on all fronts and soon they will get all of their lost territories back including Crimea, and also Russian army was the most incompetent army in the world and they couldnt achieve anything. Also russia was supposed to collapse economically... You dont remember those news? Or you have a problem with understanding the facts? Wake up, look at the map, and doubt everything you hear, both from western and russian media...
at this point im wondering when China is going to make a dash on their territorial claims in Vladivostok now that Russia has no support, no ability to re-equip (without their help), and internal divisions so massive Putin almost cried on live TV when Prighozin made his dash for bunker boys head - they can have all the manpower in the world and it doesn't make a difference if they have to fight with sticks and stones - no navy, and their airforce is being destroyed by their own air defences, no command structure to adapt because putin values loyalty over competence, the list can keep going on but you get the picture - thing's don't look too good for Russia no matter how you cut it.
@@_Aemselol the propaganda gives you "good" and "bad" but never gives facts on the ground for example 500k ukrops dead plus other wounded not even counted.
US congress: please approve the bloody aid!
We're busy.
@@ruks345busy doing what?😂
@@ruks345 Busy taking vacation ?
@@ruks345 Counting out the Russian back handers?
@@ruks345 Working for russia
Poor old putin. He squats & strains as hard as he can to poop out his dream of the conquest of Ukraine.
May until September is the campaign season in this area. Get ready for the summer sporting events.
There's been no indication that the ruzzians have the manpower, equipment or ( especially ) the inspired generalship to carry out such a massive operation.
Aaahh, don't be fooled, Gerasimov has been working full-time on this plan for months now, codename; 'Kharkiv or Bust!', that's why we don't see him.
Russia has 100+million more people, they have the advantage
Lol they have elder population, by your logic india is the strongest country in the world
Actually yes, they've had the advantage in all those areas for a long time now, Ukraine is struggling to hold back the Russians in the Donbas region. Kharkiv will be not much different from Avdiivka or Bakhmut.
@@artmcteagle I'm sure he will be "dismissed" in 12 months, like the Admiral that was not seen for 12 months.
🇺🇦 Ukraine #SlavaUkraini слава Україні! 💙💛 Героям слава
Do the Russians even have 300K soldiers? 😂
2 things russia will never run out of:
1) stupid people
2) stupid metal(read vehicles)
They over 20 million
Russia is not organised enough to take Kharkiv.
Lol.
As tropas russas não vão precisar lutar para tomar karquiv apenas ocupar. Karquiv será destruida com centenas de canhões, milhares de drones e bombas fab1500 e fab3000. Não ha nada que se possa fazer.
Thank you for the update.
Preemptive strike “an ounce of prevention equates to pounds of cure.”
They already occupied izium and balaklia already, it would be difficult to do it again without the element of surprise. Having said that the glide bombs need to be dealt with in some way.
Encircle the city without destroying it.... (as they say in Russia)
I'm willing to bet they will try to destroy it, like they did with all other towns in Ukraine.
That depends on where the Ukrainian army is, when the hold up in cities, what else would you expect?
Anything can happen in the war
Maybe trying to draw troops north to attack further south
I agree with this sentiment. They may be trying to pull a disinformation campaign the way Ukraine did with Kherson before it's famous counterattack
This analysis confirms my own suspicions regarding these rumors.
🟦🟨Victory to Ukraine!🇺🇦🔱Slava Ukraini!🇺🇦🔱
Thank you!
Why are not reporting the mass evacuation on the City? That hundred of thousands are already left . That the Ukrainian government ordered the evacuation.
Where is the rest of Europe our cowardly politicians should be ashamed much love to Ukraine from the UK
Isn't the Free Russia Army on the outskirts of Belgorod? This makes no sense.
The russian separatists unfortunately are not as grand as people think, they would most likely be compared to a raider gang instead of an army in the scale of the war!
Bilhirod is still in heavy fighting and the russian separatists seem to be holding out but haven't heard much from them in weeks!
Edit: Also this is all just speculation right now so unless there is evidence russia is preparing a northern offensive, I wouldn't really be worried to that level of desperation rn!
this is more like an ongoing plan/intention, not something currently in place. Bilhorod will probably derail this, but we know that's only temporary. They're not about to stay permanently on Russian soil and drive for Moscow or something.
the free Russia Army operates using insurgent tactics & doesn't really take and then hold territory, the attack in Belgorod was a raid, not an offensive action.
while their current battle has more elements of conventional warfare than we have seen from them or other similar groups, their success in the region is more down to luck than a lot of people would like to believe, not to mention their actions inside of Russia are (at least in my opinion) more so targeted to diminishing Russian moral & faith in the Russian government.
you're not wrong though, this does not make a lot of sense, 300k human beings don't just appear in an army and concealing that draft would be a massive challenge.
Unfortunately, because Russians are not normal the Freedom Russia movement is tiny.
@@unfortunately_fortunate2000Putin may be making plans using imaginary armies at this point. Statements directly from him in the past few months seem to be growing increasingly incoherent, so it’s not out of the question that he is ordering his generals to move units that either don’t exist anymore or never existed in the first place and his commanders are presently forced to humor him lest they provoke his wrath. He wouldn’t be the first warmongering dictator to do so.
Beware of Maskirovka
Putins caatle is nice and quiet
Slava Ukrania!!
Thanks
*Stop D.Trump and Mike Johnson.*
I agree. This information seems to me more likely to be a diversion While the actual target will be further south.
Possibly to consolidate and strengthen the parts of occupied Donbas in preparation for a lengthy stalemate during which Ruzzia will rearm in order to be able to start a new offensive.
Watch how hefty this bodybag price will be for RU
Sounds like a smoke screen saying they going one place and go all in at another
🇺🇦 🇦🇺 #Heroyamslava! , #SlavaUkrani 🇺🇦 🇦🇺
Slava Ukraini 🇨🇦
Interesting. And reassuring. It shows the influence of infowar.
Imagine the fortifications that 1 million civilians could build in a week
ty
One must keep in mind that this Putin’s invasion of Ukraine was supposed to last only a few days. 772 days later Ukraine continues to stand strong and undefeated. Any comments? ❤️🇺🇦❤️🇺🇦❤️🇺🇦❤️🇺🇦❤️🇺🇦❤️🇺🇦
Welllll, I don't see Ukraine winning anytime soon
@@unreal4010that's a bit irrelevant when the Z wanted this over in an extremely short amount of time isn't it? The point still stands.
@@unreal4010 Ukraine dont need to "win" anything, they are defending their country... however a "win" for Ukraine means the end of PooTin, or worse.
It would've if zelensky accepted the peace offering and not back out last minute
Ukraine will need a painter like Otto Dix from Germany who visited some hospitals after the First World War and painted the horror he saw there, sometimes inventing reality because it was too crude to paint reality as it was.
Yo