Forecasting 2024: A Systematic Approach
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- čas přidán 12. 05. 2024
- It's time for the obligatory pre-Direct video. In a time of particular uncertainty, we'll try to look through the main options.
00:00 Methodology
01:43 Game Slots
15:31 Overdue Studios
I love your subtle humor. These videos are great listening while doing chores and such.
Thanks!
Spike Chunsoft's American branch straight up said "Buy Shiren the wanderer if you want a new PMD game. We need sales to prove the Mystery Dungeon formula is still profitable to the Pokémon Company" that deconfirms PMD coming out this year.
Hard sell. I really hope it does well enough for a pmd 5
@@laggianput well it's only 30 bucks
Too bad I'm interested in the formula precissely because it's about pokemon. I don't want something else lol.
Any link to the article for that?
Well Shiren ended up being a surprise hit in Japan. But I doubt it did as well WW unfortunately.
We may not get a proper Nintendo Direct until June-to-early-July.
There may be one tomorrow. Nobody knows.
It’s out today!
Sorry. Just woke up was dreaming
Who says? We were supposed to get one in February and didn't, what makes you think they won't not have one in June?
Engage hasn’t actually been selling well. It dropped off the face of the earth after the first couple months and hasn’t even made the 2 million benchmark, let alone approaching 3 houses, despite having a massive installbase and the nostalgia-baiting.
I don’t think they’re worried at all about dropping a new game right now, especially since there’s a HUGE drought of games across the industry right now. FE would get more attention than usual.
They know Engage was a side anniversary project I don't think they are that worried
The biggest problem with Engage was moreso a drastic change in direction that felt more "anime" than anything, a huge departure from the medieval-fantasy based approach.
@@user-be3qc7re9o that was the good part. The washed out colors from Three Houses was terrible to look at.
@Rick.Grayson
That's not what I meant.
The biggest issue with Engage is that the general vibe was more "anime" than what people are used to.
The very fact that the characters were designed by VTuber Artists really set a tone that many aren't comfortable with.
@@user-be3qc7re9o fire emblem has always been "anime", anime characters with anime tropes, on a typical anime fantasy setting, with a predictable anime story, engage does feel less "serious" than other FE games though... My guess is that engage isn't really a "mainline" game, more like a side game that caters to the long standing fans of the series.
Tomodachi Life feels like a game that Nintendo would rather make a sequel of rather than just remester. Either Grezzo is working on a new IP or a remaster for A Link Between Worlds.
Yes, I think I meant to say that they would be external developers working on that game since it's not clear the EPD group have the scope for an HD version. I agree it wouldn't be a remake.
I really hope that Nintendo is having Grezzo work on an original 2D Zelda. Having Grezzo do traditional 2D Zeldas while the main Zelda team works on ambitious open world Zelda games just makes so much sense to me.
We already have Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door as our Mario game.
16:25 Also, Mario vs. Donkey Kong wasn’t a “port”… that was a straight up remake. Aside from only a handful of reused sounds and voice clips (which were NOT compressed this time), everything has been redone from the ground up. A “port” would be something like Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze on Switch. Some new content, but largely the same old game.
Fair point.
The fact that Pokémon Presents are used as marketing tool is the precise reason why we are probably not getting any new mainline/remake/remaster Pokémon game on Switch this year: the marketing cycle for a new big Pokémon title starts with the announcement in February and lasts for around 9 months, ending with the release in October/November/December, so if a new big Pokémon game was coming out this year on Switch, they would have announced it in the Presents they held on Pokémon Day, but instead they only announced a new TCG Mobile game coming out this year and Legends Z-A scheduled for a generic 2025. So I would say that there’s a 90% chance that mainline Pokémon skips 2024 entirely, if something Pokémon related comes out this year, I think it would be a spin-off game or some Switch Online stuff.
The only thing I see TPC doing this year for mainline games, is starting Legends Z-A marketing around the time Nintendo reveals the Switch successor, since the game will most likely come out in the first year of the new console as a cross gen title.
I think we have different definitions of “30% likely” because that sounds like “very unlikely” to me. Like, almost no chance of happening
it's not almost none, it's 30%. that's three whole tenths! pretty close to 1/3.
Haha yeah I don't take 30% rain too seriously
Well I tend to call 10% very unlikely and 30% just flat out unlikely. But I'll be reviewing how close my likelihoods have turned out to be later this week.
I think he don’t want to use 0% or 100% at all, even if there is very high or low possibility
he gave several games a 30% chance which, if he was accurate, meant that at least one of them should come true.
It would make more sense for Nintendo to do A Link Between Worlds and Triforce Heroes as a double pack than The Wind Waker and Twilight Princess together.
Mario & Sonic at the Paris Olympic Games 2024 must surely be in the offing?
It would have been announced in the Feb Partner Direct and launch by now ahead of the actual event.
@@zeldasmash8390Every Mario & Sonic game in the series has released in October or November (Besides Rio 2016 in Febuary). Nintendo will still have a general direct, either in April or in June so they still have time to announce the game. If Paris 2024 doesn’t get announced it will be the First Olympic Games to not be a part of the Mario & Sonic game series since the series began in 2007.
I thought they lost the license? At least I saw people comment on that. Or was that only for the Winter Olympics?
I just want to play Kid Icarus Uprising on the Switch 🥺
You and me both
I predict if we get an April direct we will not get a Starfox announcement.
I can see a Zelda 2D remake made by Link's Awakening's team. I think it could be Spirit Tracks.
Oracle is more likely.
@ Oracle is already on NSO; the Minish Cap as well.
I just want a Zelda II: The Adventure of Link reimagining, something that plays more like a modern search-action game
This is smart analysis, but:
1)I think the "light" year is exacerbated by a relatively last minute next gen delay and
2) It's been so long since 3D Mario, that team is oddly idle
3) With Zelda, Splatoon, Mario Kart, even Luigi's Mansion and 2D Mario have all been active here at the end of the gen
Looking at that, it seems highly likely that the until-recent plan was to have 3D Mario as the holiday title along with the new hardware, and the slip of one means the slip of the other.
They aren't idle... 3D Mario is given the time absolute time between systems. Plus, mid level staff are most likely in the mix between titles in other studios.
@@IISuzakuII I didn’t mean “not working” - that’s bad wording on my part. I meant “oddly silent”.
I’m sure they’ve been working. It’s the longest gap without a game from that team ever. Nintendo has said that they prefer to keep those games to once a generation.
That’s why I’m convinced that the launch title for next gen is 3D Mario. They’ve had plenty of time and other bug franchises - Zelda, Mario Kart, Splatoon, even Luigi’s Mansion have all had major support in the last year of the Switch so I don’t believe Nintendo is going to use those as launch games
If Nintendo planned on launching new hardware this year with Mario, and then slipped the hardware, that slips Mario. You don’t want to double tap 3D Mario within four months of each other so a last minute Galaxy remake or similar seems off the table.
Whatever the holiday title is, it has to be something in the tank that can be repositioned to take Mario/hardware’s slot. And we should expect the leanest year of the switch gen
We don't even know if that "delay" actually happened.
i do believe that if the next Switch is backwards compatible, we would be more likely to receive ports in the slow months as to fill in the gaps and so it won't be a complete loss of resources towards new games as the ports would be able to be bought and playable on the new system
Star Fox is: Nintendo tried so hard, for so long, to make Star Fox a thing. But Star Fox needed concerted narrative polish, not just mechanical polish, to fully work. And, even more than Top Gun, the big "Wait, we have a franchise that fits that" for Star Fox was the "elevated" Saturday Morning Cartoon that started showing up in the 2010s (think Scooby-Doo: Mystery Incorporated, She-Ra: Princesses of Power, or, to mention an original cartoon working on essentially similar grounds, Steven Universe) and Nintendo didn't even really try to bring that energy to Star Fox for a new title. And that's because: They don't have that in them!
July: Fire Emblem 4 Echoes
September: Links Between Worlds port
October: Metroid Prime 2+3HD
November: Super Mario Party 2
November: ILCA's Gen 5 or 6 Pokémon Remake
Intially I wouldn't expect a Direct in April, since we got a Partner showcase recently. However, without a new system this year, the investor's meeting in May would be very awkward with just Paper Mario and Luigi's Mansion (and nothing else for Q2 and beyond), especially if they don't say anything about new hardware.
I think the possibility of a Johto game this year is heavily discounted atm bc ppl want to believe there is an "offyear", which is much more unlikely.
Interesting video! I really liked some of these thoughts.
Another option that I think could tie in with your point about Pokemon Gen 1 and 2 Switch online ports - what about adding another console to Virtual Console?
Putting DS or Wii, while unlikely, would definitely be a good boost for the Switch if this next console is going to be delayed
I think the Gamecube Luigi's Mansion shadow-drop is pretty likely too, considering the remaster of the sequel is coming
I doubt they’d do two of these in the same year.
@@PianistTanooki They ported Pikmin 1 & 2 to coincide with Pikmin 4
I can’t wait for the April direct which I forecast a 30% chance of happening 😅
I think Nintendo might just be waiting for June…
Yeah, I realised I never actually forecast the Direct month. June is a good shout - probably depends on (a) if there's a July game and (b) what hype cycle it needs (but 6 weeks should be plenty).
For F-Zero, both GX remake or a new title, a big reason for why were not getting anything new that people forget about is that GX was made by TEAM DRAGON of Like a Dragon fame. Even if Nintendo were to partner with Sega again its likely they wouldn't be able to get their hands on that team since theyre always making a new Like a Dragon. And with the way nintendo hires and likes to keep their old employees and teams working on the same franchises I honestly don't see them hiring a new team for an F-Zero game
Mario has been really over-served for the past year, the likelihood of a new Mario platformer when Switch 2 is rumored to have one at/near launch is incredibly low.
It’s not even “rumored,” it’s almost a guarantee to either be launch or launch window like Odyssey was.
We had a similar gap after Super Mario 3D World, where the 3D Mario team was awfully quiet after 3D World launched, and after the “NX” was announced and no new Mario was shown, it was all but guaranteed that the next major title was going to be on the next system. Sure enough, October 2016’s Switch reveal teased Odyssey, without formally unveiling it and its title.
I imagine whenever Nintendo teases the Switch successor, we will see a similar tease for the next major Mario game. It’s only been, what, 7 years since Super Mario Odyssey? 3D Marios used to only take 2-3 years to make before the jump to HD, then Odyssey took 3.5-4 years. This game’s had plenty of development time.
@@PianistTanooki The initial Switch trailer had a new 3D Mario shown off. And I set it at because it's wise to not keep expectations too high.
@@KBrolyI think if Mario is not coming, neither is a new system. Maybe they have odyssey DLC to keep people waiting. Mainline Mario is currently feeling dry
The fact that Nintendo has been getting closer with Wayforward is... very interesting.
Nintendo leadership have made it clear their goal is organic internal growth vs rampant outside talent acquisition. However, if I were to ever bet on what studio Nintendo would be interested in buying, it would be Wayforward.
That's QUITE off-base. WF is pretty minor actor in overall nintendo efforts to support indies, without being crucified for promoting "shovelware". And WF is a tiny controversy away from losing the random grace they have as A REAL indie company and not just hated, probably sexist, grifters when that accusation can lose a company's social credit at the drop of a hat.
Western audiences hate actual open marketplace, or to pay for additional curators like reviewers, instead demanding a lot of value for free. Shops that are exclusive for THEIR tastes, and overestimating their "core gamer" influence in the marketplace.
Take Steam Deck for example, it sold 3 million next to Wii U's 12 million, but insulated gamer press thinks Steam Deck is a massive disruptor and an indie darling. But even without purchasing WayForward, Nintendo has basically dragged the company out of obscurity since the game Boy color, supporting it to a great extent to LICENSE ip like Advance Wars. Wii U and 3DS erupted and disrupted Shantae into the public eye, but that didn't help make Wii U more successful.
The "marketing" by supporting indie darlings just doesn't turn into money, because Steam may poach and sell them cheaper in the closed Microsoft markets, inching towards Linux. Imagine that if WF gets the same hate as Pokemon Company, after it becomes "a big corporation" nintendo subsidiary. Without the indie excuses for mediocre quality and Palworld permission to straight-up rip off designs. You would immediately have to stop paying fairly for Shovel Knight plushies and start forwarding that money instead into better graphics, exploiting the merchanidse industry for cash and rely on cheap Chinese merch.
Much more likely WayForward will close like Vanpool, and handful of them, which might be all employees, could be integrated to existing Nintendo and Namco teams. Purchases like the Luigi's Mansion team are quite rare instances to BE that consolidated place for them.
Good point about Wind Waker + Twilight Princess bundle being less likely due to the age rating difference.
I think the biggest factor would probably be that Nintendo doesn’t really need to bundle them. Nintendo could easily sell them for $50 each and people would buy it. It’d be great for us if it was a bundle but Nintendo could easily get away with not bundling them given how incredibly popular each of them is.
I want a Switch port of Yoshi's Woolly World, a double pack of Triple Deluxe & Planet Robobot for Switch, Switch port of F-Zero GX, Super Mario 3D All Stars Plus for Switch which gives us; 64, Sunshine, 64 DS, Galaxy 1, Galaxy 2, & 3D Land. I also want a Switch port of Fire Emblem: Genealogy Of The Holy War, & a new Rhythm Heaven game for Switch!
I NEED a Stikers Charged port for the Switch, perhaps using the Eurocup momentum they could do it?
I’d be curious to hear your thoughts on the likelihood on a new Rhythm Heaven game coming out for Switch. There’s historical precedent for a RH release at this point in the console’s lifecycle (2011 for Fever on Wii, 2016 for Megamix on 3DS), and they’ve also typically had pretty short announcement to release windows. Tsunku (creator of most of the soundtrack) also expressed interest for a new entry in 2022, which would give them a 2 year development cycle, which seems reasonable for a smaller title like this.
Good point. I covered RH very briefly in my video "The Nintendo internal dev team missing since 2015" and gave it 30% before the end of 2025. I think I'd put the likelihood a little higher now with Masami Yone still not having a credit since 2021. Didn't know about Tsunku's comments and I'm not sure Nintendo would like its devs hinting at games (Aonuma excepted) so I don't think it's a particular sign. But the precedent is a good point.
@@nintendoforecastDidn’t know about Yone not having a credit since 2021 - good to know! Thank you for the detailed reply and the excellent video - you’re the only channel I see that actually takes the company’s history and philosophy into account when making predictions, it’s a breath of fresh air amongst all these causal prediction videos on CZcams
Still holding out hope for a Kid Icarus Uprising HD, even if it does seem unlikely.
This seems likely to be eventually but I feel like this would be for the next system, especially if it can match some of the 3DS exclusive features, but in any event for the extra power. Who knows though.
You've mentioned in a few of your videos when you look back on your forecasts you're aiming to get 90% calls right 90% of the time 10% calls right 10% of the time, and so forth. How often are you planning on doing that, and do you plan on doing assessing how you're doing?
This week - the video's already done. The hold-up is that many of these forecasts are quite long-term and so I don't always have enough in each category to be statistically significant. I think once a year minimum - maybe more often if there's a flurry of news.
Hal often does smaller games in between kirby, and with all the ports/remasters I wouldn’t be suprised if we got the original Boxboy trillogy ported over
I believe that we'll see a Golden Sun release in the near future, those games came to the NSO's GBA for a reason I guess. Same thing about F-Zero, probably with a 2025 launch.
Xenoblade is the perfect pick for the Warriors game. Xenoblade 3's setting is particularly well suited for that kind of gameplay. The xenoblade 3 storyline, without going into spoilers, also has plenty of room for expansion on earlier events prior to the game and its dlc. And we could very well have playable characters from each numbered title. I personally think this is quite likely and possible.
I feel like Wind Waker HD and TPHD are more likely than ALbtW. I mean they would be simple to port over, Nintendo could easily charge 50-60 each for them if they wanted, and they’re some of the most beloved Zelda games. And they’re some of the last WiiU games to still be stuck on the system.
I also suspect that WWHD and TPHD Switch have probably been sitting around finished for a while now as backups in case of a gap in the release schedule, and if that’s true then this year would be the perfect time since the Switch 2 has likely been suddenly delayed.
I really want Galaxy 2 but I don’t see it happening since it was excluded from the 3D All Stars collection and that was also a limited release. It’d be weird to suddenly put Galaxy 2 up for sale while Galaxy 1 is no longer being printed. Unless if they brought back 3D All Stars at the same time or something.
Yeah, good calls. Although I think if they did Galaxy 2 it would be with a bit more polish than the All-Stars collection - just enough to justify the price tag.
They're not sitting on games for years. There have been enough gaps to release the games, where are they then? Not even the TotK delay made the games manifest.
Holding out for Konami to step in with their Mario IP and release DDR: Mario Mix 2
what do you think they're going to do long-term with the mainline Zelda designs? I was not expecting to see all of the backlash against tears of the Kingdom
I think I talked about this last year in my Wind Waker & Twilight Princess video. Personally I don't expect them to change too drastically now that they've struck a balance between cel shaded and realism for a few consecutive games and the tech has caught up.
Maybe a new Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games nearby Paris 2024 Olympic Games on July?
This is an excellent shout and there was a news article confirming one was in development over a year ago now. It feels quite late to release one - the 2020 game was released the previous December - but it still seems more likely to exist than not.
I wish Spike Chunsoft would release an updated port of Fire Pro Wrestling World on the Switch?
While Xenoblade X is an easier to make port, I think Monolith would want to prioritize remaking Xenosaga. Xenosaga fits much better with the Xenoblade Switch games lore wise and while Xenoblade 3's DLC did include references to all past Xeno titles, the Xenosaga ones seem to be the most prevalent and least likely to be a simple Easter Egg to the point where Bandai Namco was in the credits for Xenoblade 3: Future Redeemed.
Xenosaga was very heavy on the religious theming and following how Xenoblade 2's dub was handled I could see Monolith using this as an opportunity to rename some things to bring them in line with the Switch Xenoblade titles. Xenosaga was so heavy on the explicit religious references I think it would be hard to fully escape them without changing the story entirely, as one of the main characters was litterally a biblical Saint, but I could very easily see them change terms like "Zohar" being renamed to Conduit/Gate (to bring in line with blade), "Testements" renamed, the years being counted in "TC: Trancend Christ" would find a new name, and especially with the ongoing Israel Palestine war, the planet "Lost Jerusalem" a focal point of the plot, would also be renamed.
This would also be an excellent opportunity to redub the game because Xenosaga 2 has a different voice cast in the west as well as to tie the games narratively better with Xenoblade, perhaps even clearing up some contradictions between the two, however, I could see them also not doing that as Xenoblade: Definitive Edition did not fully retcon its story to bring it in line with two, instead opting to have the events portrayed differently in 2 to be simply be recalled incorrectly or incomple in Definitive Edition. That's not to say DE didn't add in content to connect it with Xenoblade 2 and the unannounced 3, as its extra story definetly did that and there was one character in the main story who recieved a slight redesign to bring him more in line with Xenoblade 2's lore.
I need and want Super Mario Galaxy 2 for the Switch in Spring this year. April, May, or June. Just give that to me Nintendo.
I feel as if miitomo killed the prospects of a tomodachi life remake. That felt like nintendo trying to make the formula a social media of sorts.
I don't believe that. if anything doesn't make a return, there just wasn't an internal pitch. There is nothing mobile has really done anything to Nintendo compared to other companies
If Nintendo has shown one thing it's that no game is out of the question to get a remake or remaster or even new entry.
Custom Robo, lets go.
a man of great culture
Perhaps Nintendo will surprise us with "Xenoblade Warriors"?
I would love that. But i can't help feeling it will be seen as a niché spinoff of a niché series and therefore too low sales to be worth it
Chibi Robo GCN shadow drop?
You think there's a 70% chance we get a Zelda, 90% chance we get a Mario & 90% chance we get a new Pokémon, all at the end of this year?
I really don't see that happening. If anything, we'll get another Mario remaster, as it seems Mushroom Kingdom related stuff is all Nintendo has left in its tank to keep milking.
Even as a huge Mario fan, I'm burnt out. I can't even get excited for Paper Mario TTYD because it seems Mario/Mario-adjacent has been all I've been playing on Switch for a while now.
Mostly based on the release frequency of these games. When's the last holiday season without a Mario title? I think you need to go back to the 90s.
TOMODACHI LIFE MENTIONED
W VIDEO
Uh, did you give any game more than 50% probability? This year really is up in the air.
he gave several games a 30% chance which, if he was accurate, meant that at least one of them should come true.
what about remaking all of the handheld Zeldas?!?!
That would take an insane amount of time and resources for something that probably wouldn’t sell incredibly given how most handheld Zeldas are generally seen as ‘just ok’. I could *maybe* see a Minish Cap remake but even then, I’d say it’d be a miracle if it happened
A Link Between Worlds, Minish Cap, and Oracles are doable. The DS dualogy would be a lot more design work.
we'll get mother 3 this time i swear
Nah, announce the switch 2 in April like the wii u did
If they brought game cube games to the switch online expansion, and didn't make any new switch games til next console id be more than happy. Xbox and ps5 are done til gta 6 so why do anything more
Man if they released a new smash and switch at the same time it'd be the biggest gaming W
Bringing Gamecube games to NSO is tricky because game file sizes got a lot bigger that generation. And NSO has you download all of the games it has for a system together. So a Gamecube NSO app would take up a lot of space.
My guess is that Nintendo won’t add Gamecube to NSO until the Switch 2. Both because that’s a big selling point for a new system and because maybe the Switch 2 will have a lot more storage space.
This is my theory. Nintendo are going to use Directs to announce news on their movies as well as their games. This is just a glimpse at the future.
I'll explain. Nintendo has been capitalising on the success of The Super Mario Bros Movie since its release nearly a year ago. Mario, Luigi, Peach and Donkey Kong have been given special attention. We've gotten remakes of Mario vs Donkey Kong, Thousand Year Door and Luigi's Mansion 2. Peach has been given a new solo game in Showtime.
I can absolutely see a new 3D Mario, Luigi's Mansion 4, a new Peach and even a new Donkey Kong coming out in the rest of this decade, and for the sole purpose of coinciding with sequels and spin-off movies about Luigi, DK and Peach.
When The Legend of Zelda movie with Sony comes out, that franchise will get the same treatment.
Good points. That said, I can't imagine they'll have much to announce on the film front for the rest of the year having already teased the next Mario film and with Zelda still in development. I guess this will all crank up again in 2025.
@@nintendoforecast Absolutely. This year, if there's any new movie info, it'll be 70% Zelda, 30% Mario. I can definitely see Miyamoto saying that Chris Pratt, Charlie Day et al are coming back. Then he'll confirm whether Yoshi has a celebrity voice actor or not.
Zelda on the other hand? We could get a first look or a cast reveal. But it'll get a lot more attention.
But 2025? It'll swing back to Mario, and this is where things get interesting.
No sooner was a follow up announced, that a leaked storyboard panel was shown on Twitter and taken down within the hour. In the unlikely event you don't have it saved on your files, it was taken from an Illumination artist’s private Vimeo account. The image depicts Mario and Luigi walking through a bazaar and wearing cloaks.
Needless to say, this one doodle hyped everyone up. Speculation ran rampant. Not only were people saying Daisy was being introduced, because of the desert backdrop, but Mario and Luigi were going on an actual buddy adventure together. That was what the first movie should have been.
Nintendo or Illumination taking the leak down? On par with shutting the gate after the bull's loose. But that's not to say they won't make the best of what's happened.
The latter half of 2025 will give us our first look at the sequel. Mario and Luigi sneaking through a market? That'll either be the teaser trailer or a Game Awards clip.
May Mario Galaxy 2 save us all 😭
There is a lot more to take into account when talking about Star Fox and if it will get a new games as nintendos design philosophy for it is different from mario and zelda. Instead of gameplay first as it should be, its gimmick first. If they can't find a unique gimmick that miyamoto thinks will work for starfox then there is no new starfox. StarFox didn't get on the wii because according to miyamoto he couldn't find a unique gameplay mechanic for starfox on the wii and so it didn't happen. StarFox Zero happened on the only because they needed a game to demonstrate and justify the gamepad. So they started exploring and they ended stumbling into making it a starfox game and it coasted them the Wii u, StarFox, and the trust of starfox fans.
It only gets worse one you realize that not every starfox game is just 64 like some outsiders might have you think. Only half of the games are just the same game remade or reimagined but the other half are different, maybe too different. Every starfox game that is a sequel ended mostly being different from the first game and not like how twilight princess is different from wind waker or something. Its more like twilight princess is different from hyrul warriors different, basically you aren't getting more of what you love but adding some new things that keeps it fresh. StarFox Adventures is a Zelda like game, StarFox 2 is a real time flight sim strategy game with a transformation, starfox command is a turn base strategy game that is lesser then 2, and StarFox Assault which is the closest to feeling like 64 but clearly not 64 in both story and gameplay.
The long and short of it is that a spin off or another cameo in another game series is only gonna piss starfox fans even more pissed off then they already are. At least Make a new mainline game that isn't sabotaged by gimmicks and doesn't feel like a spin off title. Just like literally every other nintendo IP, Gameplay first.
Star Fox is the idea craft game until it has an advocate. It is what it is. I doubt that even if Nintendo made SF fans dream game, people will show up.
Very interesting post. Thanks for sharing your insight.
Good video, but I think you're overrating Star Fox chances at a new game or even a spin-off there. The last SF game sold baddly, the switch doesn't have a need for a game to Justify a gimmick like the wii u did, and I don't think Nintendo wants a repeat of Metroid Federation Force by making a spin off before a new Mainline game comes out (which ended up getting MFF thrown to the wolves). So I feel it should be closer to a 1% for a new game and a 5% for a spin-off and or camo.
Since I only do five bands of probability, 10% is actually as low as I go. Depending on whether you count Star Fox 2 and Battle for Atlas, 1-3 of the last ten years have had Star Fox games so I think a ~10% chance in any given year feels about right though.
@@nintendoforecast I don't count Battle for Atlas since it's a new IP that's on other systems made by Ubisoft, it's just the Switch version has Star Fox as Nintendo-only content basically like how Shovel Knight had Kratos only in the PlayStation version of the game. Still, you could still count SF2 since it was a new release to the SNES Mini (even if it was a mostly finished game from the 90s). So 5% is still as high as I can see it going.
I predict Animal Crossing Warriors
Amazing concept!
I want to see this now.
🗡🦊🏹
Baseless speculation as always, NintendoTuber cope never changes
Dude. You need to get over yourself. 😂
@@ravenebony2267"Bandai Namco have been really quiet this year" Tekken 8 came out in January, this guy is a moron that just makes it up as he goes along. Enjoy the copium and further disappointment.
I would absolutely *LOVE* to see Tomodachi Life again! If they can add more to do in it and a better Mii creator, all the better!
As for Zelda... I'd much rather see remakes/remasters of the two Oracle games than one of Wind Waker.