China's Next 10 Years
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- čas přidán 31. 05. 2024
- Go to establishedtitles.com/Kamome and help support the channel. They are now running a massive Black Friday Sale, plus 10% off on any purchase with code Kamome. Thanks to Established Titles for sponsoring this video!
Xi Jinping's third election will bring profound changes to China, especially in its conflict against the US.
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If you liked this video, please consider supporting the channel on Patreon: / kamome163
Narration by Jasper: pdaefaul@gmail.com
Script editing and proof-reading by @Into Europe
For inquiries: sekishouproduction@gmail.com
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Check out @PolyMatter video on the CCP structure here: • How the Chinese Commun...
My other videos on China here on China : • China's weakness: the ...
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Check my previous videos:
Australia's Maritime Strategy: • Australia Maritime Str...
Strategic Importance of Afghanistan: • Why is Afghanistan so ...
The Malacca Dilemma: • China's weakness: the ...
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Bibliography
[1] www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-w...
[2] www.npr.org/sections/parallel...
[3] asia.nikkei.com/static/vdata/...
[4] www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
[5] The Taiwan Question and China's Reunification in the New Era The People's Republic of China
The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council and The State Council Information Office
August 2022, p. 15
[6] jamestown.org/program/chinas-...
[7] media.defense.gov/2020/Sep/01...
[8] digichina.stanford.edu/work/h...
[9] www.bloomberg.com/opinion/art...
[10] digichina.stanford.edu/work/l...
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Table of content:
00:00 China's Main Issues
02:05 Xi Jinping's oppositions-less power
05:55 Sponsor: Established Titles
06:11 Xi's foreign policy goals and the push for the modernisation of the PLA
12:25 China's race for indigenous technologies
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Stock footage and 3d models credits here:
Tank: "Tank" (skfb.ly/6QTH8) by J_ is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution (creativecommons.org/licenses/b....
Su-30: "Su 30" (skfb.ly/6XzHs) by akashritharan is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution (creativecommons.org/licenses/b....
Pexels and CZcams (C.C. 4.0)
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Music: Premiumbeats and Artlist
Thank you!
and.... if you are here, it means you deserve to be in the super secret Discord Channel:
/ discord
Go to establishedtitles.com/Kamome and help support the channel. They are now running a massive Black Friday Sale, plus 10% off on any purchase with code Kamome. Thanks to Established Titles for sponsoring this video!
Established Titles is arguably a scam, which doesn't sell land/real titles, doesn't show evidence of treeplanting and is run by the same Hong Kong team as Kamimoto Knives and reverse auctions. Scott Shafer did a good expose on it.
Sorry bro, It's a scam
It's a scam, I'd like to see you and other creators to stop promoting it please.
It’s a massive scam, please edit this comment and take this up with the company
hey bro, established titles is a scam
Established titles is kinda an L right now.... heads up
Thank you for the heads up! Is L like legit?
@@Kamome163 L as in loser if you guys don’t know they are kinda being exposed by some people as scam
@@Kamome163 It's kind of the opposite thing!
The main thing that I've heard is that not only the Scottish title law doesn't exist (but that doesn't really matter), but more importantly they don't actually plant anything, they just get people's money
Agreed it’s a scam but not hating on your channel . You have good subscribers giving you the heads up . There are a TON of people being sponsored by them and a lot of apology videos going up soon hehe
it feels like they're all over youtube.
lots of good youtubers that i like are sponsored by them
This channel quickly grew up to be one of my favourites ever. The quality is legit on par to feature documentary. Great stuff.
yea this channel is gonna reach a million subscribers i can feel it
Wow, thank you so much, it means a lot to receive such supportive words ♥
@@Kamome163 Xinjiang, Taiwan, Hong Kong examples of Xi's "aggressive foreign policy" 🤭 you lost me here, maybe you have some good points about Xi (I don't like his cult of personality style), however you seems severely politically tilted and biased - you goal is to weaken or split your opponents ot to inform as a neutral party, hence a propaganda piece it is
Talking trash all you want, (it is) worthless
Yeah.
I’ll occ.
After all the analyses who predicated Russia would conquer Ukraine in weeks, I'm greatly skeptic of any analysis that seems to say the same about Chinese and Iranian military capabilities Though this overestimation often leads to the west being more prepared in the end so I guess it's a good thing.
Kamome is not making a prediction. Watching the video from the start it should be clear that this is laying out Xi Jinping strategy. Its just describing what the Chinese want to do and how this would challenge their neighbors and the US.
I agree with your skepticism. However, just remember that China is watching what’s unfolding right now too, and the US isn’t the only country taking notes
that's true but at the same time, even to this current era, we tend to still somewhat brush off the PLA capabilities, mind you Afghanistan and Ukraine is a huge wake up call, so may be after these if there is a event with China hopefully we are not blindsided in either directions.
@@trixfrank1 Still, history clearly shows totalitarian regimes are not that successful in war against the more democratic superpowers. I would've given China far more chance if Xi wasn't turning them into North Korea 2.0.
They will both watch and learn but ultimately the US will be the one who will act better.
Also what is missing from this analysis is China many issues that US just doesn't have.
Their demographic bomb, them running out of water in the north, their economy and middle income trap, their over reliance on foreign energy imports and the fact that their two biggest allies, Russia and the Islamic regime in Iran are either getting screwed or are leaving on borrowed time.
@@michaelrenper796 Maybe I missed that part. From the rest it seemed like a prediction.
Things i love most about your videos: Great structuring and gorgeous 3d maps
this channel is so underrated
Let's work to make it better!
@@Kamome163 this kinda new doesn't make your channel better, try to find and report real newses instead of making false narratives a manner of western Anglo-Saxon media work.
The quality of your videos are getting better and better every time. I'm excited to see you growing in subscribers
Love your content and quality Kamome. Every video is straight gold.
the visualization in your video is even more amazing, and the way you explain is easy to understand. Keep it up 👍👍👍
I don’t understand how you don’t have a million subs by now, you’re blowing the competition out of the water. You’ve been pumping out a lot of very well made videos
Reeeeeeeaaaaally? China is on drugs and being very delusional. Their banking system failed, China is suffers from Trillions of debt, china' housing collapsed, and tens of millions of college grads can't find jobs. Tens of thousands of companies moved to Vietnam, Thailand, and Phillippines. There are also many protests inside china. This video is definitely a beijing propgranda video.
Because he make a video base on hate and CIA propaganda,not base on reality
Great video! I know that the editing stage consumes sooo much time...
Can't wait for new video
Amazing video as always!!!!! Love how you changed up your animation from just maps to showing articles, charts, and other images. Keep evolving!!!!!!
Thanks man! We'll be Raichu in the blink of an eye! :P I'm glad you like the new stuff! Got to improve more and more tho!
Great video. Liked the editing
This is really well researched and made! Good job!
Great video as always
A number of important issues that weren't mentioned:
The Demographic collapse of China which halves its population by 2050
Supply chain issues as the Trade Lanes become very risky as the US Navy stops policing world commerce.
The supply of credit is limited. World currency will be chasing safety and profit; usually in the US. This means a lack of investment for China.
China is running out of water, oil and gas to maintain its industry. Its Lignite is almost gone which increases its reliance on imports.
The breakdown of China's espionage system in the West.
The bailing out of western companies from China. With them, goes the company's intellectual property.
Mismanagement of COVID lockdowns and vaccines. This undercuts the Chinese economy.
The end of China's hyper financing. The rate at which the Yuan is expanding is astounding. This must come to an end.
A world wide depression will limit China's sales to America and Europe.
Xi may want to control events, but everyone in the world will be hurting. Everyone will be scrambling for supplies. China will get hind tit.
Great points Louis! For the sake of brevity we couldn't talk about these in the video but I welcome everyone to read your comment. BTW, I don't know much of the Chinese foreign espionage system. Do you have any readings?
@@Kamome163 The Confucius Institutes would be a good place to start. Next, every student allowed to study in the US is forced by the Chinese Communist Party to be a spy. Many Chinese companies in the West are in fact controlled by the CCP intelligence agencies. Western companies which attempt to do business in China are often required to divulge their intellectual property. A search for Chinese commercial espionage on the Web will provide more info than you can read in a year.
The Han Chinese are very intelligent , but Chinese politics retards freedom of thought. This fact makes it easier for the CCP to steal info rather than do research. Western researchers have shown that they can be bribed by the CCP. It doesn't help that people like Dr. Fauci of the US Centers for Disease Control paid for Gain of Function research in China which, some say, lead to Covid 19 escaping from a lab in Wuhan, China. It is a huge mess.
Pls. Continue to believe all of what you said. If the Pentagon believed the same, US would've been flattened by China already 😘
@@zexalblazer3314 Excuse me, Are you talking to me? If so, I don't understand anything you said.
Or if China continues existing as China? Maybe it becomes something else. 10 years is far to predict anyways, not to mention 30 years. What if a plague comes and wipes out all the elderly and Middle age population. The demographic problem will no longer exist if majority of people remaining are aged below 30. The country will suffer big issues but might improve
First time I've heard of this channel.
Subscribed.
Amazing audio quality
well spoken as well, nice job
Fantastic piece.
Thanks man!
I love geopolitics channels, just found yours I'm in shocked with the low views, you should be on the top
Very good, informative and high quality video.
Quality stuff man!! 👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻
Thank you so much, Ayush!
@@Kamome163 it's an honour to get a reply from you guys.
Very good free content!
Awesome work! Love this channel's work.
Wonderful documentary 👍🏻
your animation is astonishing . sub'ed
Great video, still waiting for the channel to blow up
Me tooooooo😜
When I read Winnie the Pooh stories as a kid I never expected he would go on to be a massive dictator
Hi! This is a representative of the CCP! We love your comment and would request your location to send you a very special care package.
Lmao
Hahahaha
Nope, pooh has become a competent leader in china compare to US's incompetent sleepy paper tiger.
He is not a very smart bear.😊
@@bjrnhjortshjandersen1286 , yes...sleepy joe is smarter. Lol
Another great video! Let’s keep it going 🎉
Wow I discovered this episode and instantly liked it.
Established titles is a scam. All they do is just put your name on a boilerplate, generic, title. You own nothing except a piece of paper. Whether or not they plant a tree is irrelevant.
Oh I see what you mean! Aren't they clear about it tho when they sell it?
@@Kamome163 no they’re not. You don’t even legally get that title. It’s a lie and a scam
@@Kamome163 Check out the video by Scott Chafer. He delves into the shell companies and management structure of Established Titles and why it's a scam.
@@Kamome163 /watch?v=p2W2TJZYHsw
should help explain it for you. I know you need to get paid but yeah, you wont be roping in many 'customers' for this 'product'
Isn't Establish Titles currently being called out as a scam? Bad time to have them sponsor. Love the videos.
this channel is very underrated
Anyway love your video, your video are great.
Thank you for the heads up iAzy! I appreciate that!
You are greatly underrated.
Just subscribed! Amazing, well made and totally unbiased content. You deserve far more subscribers! Good job!
This is very good quality wow
Thank you!
What is the name of the track you used in this video!?! I've heard it before but can't find it!! Thanks so much if anyone knows!!
Pretty biased take, you get a lot wrong buddy. This is prevailing U.S. State Department narrative. Nothing academic or legitimate about your take. Read more 😂
When I was in high school 14 years ago my teacher and I always spoke about China being a problem if we the U.S. went war against each other
Why his voice like that? Sound like he getting belly rubbed after each sentence 😂 love it
Great stuff. Interesting point regarding China's reaction to Russia's difficulties in Ukraine.
We desperately need strong diplomacy and leadership to accommodate China from our politicians in the West if more serious conflict is to be avoided.
China's need for oil and gas is a weak spot that appears to govern its foreign policies - a video on that would be welcome. Keep it up.
"Strong diplomacy" is the most misused term of the year. "Strong" when paired with "diplomacy" has always meant to negotiate from a position of strengh. It means being willing to initmidate and threaten your opponent. "Strong diplomacy" is indeed that Japan, Korea and the US are pursueing towards China because "soft diplomacy" has failed as it has with Russia.
Perhaps you wanted to suggest "intense diplomacy". Well, if Xi Jinping considers emphasizing the soft power of China and scale back teh threats towards Taiwan then maybe we can go back there.
china needing oil and gas, while russia need costumer to buy their gas and oil. It's pretty much a perfect match
@@user-gc1hg9sp9k Go ahead. The Russians will love China, for sure, certainly, everybody loves China.
whats that super sharp elevation map called around 0:38 or 1:27 or 6:15? does anyone sell wall art like that with those exaggerated but cool looking elevation features & 3D textures?
Relief map?
Brah
U didnt get the memo about established tittles did ya chief
Good video though
Thank you for the heads up brah! Yeah, let's goooo!🙌
I subscribed
Thank you Matt!
Establishe title isn't a scam?
Oh my! Do you have any article?
@@Kamome163 there is many said scam in CZcams community right now.
Love you video though but bad timing with the sponsor
@@Kamome163 look it up on CZcams. Plenty of videos on it
I do some shots in element 3D sometimes and this video is making me cry thinking of the render times
Thank you so much! Yeah, some of those shots were pretty heavy, especially the volumetric. If you ever need help with 3d stuff let me know!
How do you think the information in this video develops the ideas of the reasons why China won't invade Taiwan video? Do we still think an invasion is unlikely or unlikely to be successful?
What a video, wow
❤️
Adage, adagio is a vocalist style. Slower in tempo than an andante.
Wish I'd been notified about this earlier. Stupid CZcams
Oh my! Be sure to hit the bell icon, Joe!
@@Kamome163 I did, the notification came through like a half hour late since it just came through. I love your content, thank you for the upload
in 10 years, probably the issue is not about taiwan, hongkong, but about hawaii, alaska. America is declining very fast.
10:25 most important part of the video to show how the U.S. should've done a better job of innovating defense
The US doing more protectionism for American firms than it already does wouldn't work out well, especially if the goal is the sell stuff abroad. And the Chinese MIC sector already shows signs of politically motivated goals interfering with what's actually efficient.
Rather than video content, I would prefer you to create a video that showcases how you used tools to create such exquisite videos for the public.
Please remember us/me when you are one the biggest youtube channels ;p this stuff is incredible. Love it thanks.
Can they become technologically independent tho? The recent push to grow china's internal high end chip industry failed terribly because the companies would just steal the invested money and lie on the production reports. This is an extremely difficult industry to develop (no wonder only the US and Taiwan are making any progress), it is not the kind of problem a country can solve by just throwing money at it.
US robs, China cheats, perfect！they are all good children of God
And they just claimed to have the first modern computer completely made in china. It had a intel chip lmao
They are already independent and thriving in many technological areas, chips are not one of them. Renewable tech., EVs, ect.
Ha ha ha, it's been a year, do you know mate 60?
Your videos are excellent, but, with public image in mind, you might want to rethink your sponsor. I can't imagine why so many seem to have been oblivious to the obvious scam (I could name others) --- which has now reached the level of a scandal.
Thanks for the heads up!
PLA is not as strong as you thought for the following reasons:
1. Inexperience in combat
2. Soldiers are not as brave as before
3. Technology drawback
4. Corruption in command
And all of its soldiers are single children. Every death is the end of a family line. Most combat soldiers are not married because of their age.
Plus, China's military is notoriously corrupt and many buy positions.
This video left MANY key things out 😂
If we talked about everything I can't even imagine how long it would be
thank you , well understood of china's goal to strengthening its military power by a procurement of more advanced semi conductors. Please post the video about South Korean strategy and North Korea
i am wondering could Korea possibly defend China and East russian forces
Oh yeah that will be in the next year but working on it!
Korea can easily defend against them just like Ukraine
@user-rv6cx3rz7t “easily defend” loses tens of thousands of men and kilometres of land to the Russian Federation and is deadlocked.
Hey Kamome, I enjoyed the video but I have heard a lot of sketchy and maybe fraudulent things about the sponsor of the video. There seems to be a lot of questions of Established Title's legitimacy.
Thank you so much for the heads up Anthony!
PROPAGANDA PROPAGANDA echo chamber of the USA regime
Great video but remember this you need energy to do all that plus food to feed your people plus material to do all that. It's seems like a really good idea but how can xi do all that when he can even keep COVID under control at the moment?
Why are you willing to be brainwashed by such films? I don't understand. Don't you have the ability to think independently? He said tomorrow that your mother is dead, will you also believe it?
Bro, how much does it cost for a video like this?
another banger, mr land
I think this video was well done, however I do think that this doesn't take into account citizen dissatisfaction. They are fed up with current policy, and want to be able to play a more active role in the decision making process.
Right, the Party has all these grand ambitions to "Make China Great Again", but it'll all go out the window once they get punched in the face... most likely by its own people already simmering from abuse of authority and stalling prosperity, and sparking widespread riots is practically guaranteed if civilian trade (with it affordable food and fuel) gets scared off by a crossfire of anti-ship missiles. The unrest would quickly divide and saturate the efforts of its entire security apparatus to include the PLA.
wrong!
they literally hate the rest of the world as their government constantly tells them China is attacked by outside countries in order to defeat them. its a very nationalist sentiment at the moment.
the OPPOSITE of what you say.
China’s assessment of its performance in the Korean War gets it almost complete backwards. They have been technologically lagging the US and western allies, but the PLA was a hardcore veteran force which had recently defeated the Japanese and the Nationalists.
The PLA of today may be on technological parity on paper, but it completely lacks any of the old ideological fervour, theres likely less than 1% of the PLA who have combat experience, none of the PLA’s new doctrines or philosophies have ever been tested in any capacity but stage managed exercises, and multiple generations of single child families will likely make Chinese society far less accepting of military casualties.
In terms of bombing and killing civilians, I think only the US military would meet your requirements.
@@ims3312 Tibet and the Uighurs would like a word. That's not even going into the great leap forward
Don't be arrogant, do you know Chinese? Do you still know China? It has been more than a decade since the end of family planning, and family planning is only implemented in cities, excluding rural areas and ethnic minorities, only targeting the Han ethnic group.
China's army didn't defeat the Japanese, the Americans did.
Once you understand the PLA is basically an internal security force, the rest clicks together nicely
When you can’t make the claim that it’s for foreign occupation (unlike America) so you make stuff up.
What you say about the ‘Military civil fusion ‘ is unreal. the people in china doesn’t have any weapon.even the police
Excellent in depth overview of the often mysterious inner workings of the PRC. Subscribing.
Thank you so much, Marcin!
For a channel that does research, your choice in sponsor makes me reconsider your findings.
Small correction, it is Zhejiang Army 浙江 not Zhijiang 之江.
太真实了，第一次听外国媒体对中共内部这么全面的讲解 非常感谢
The red emperor sit on the crimson dragon throne
I remember in 60's high school civics classes being shown films of Chinese "back yard" steel production and being assured that China would NEVER catch up with AMERICA.
❤
Why does this have so few views?!
😭
Why don't you mention real estate issues?
8:00
My argument would be that the people in charge at the time had been fighting for many many years and had greater experience than the current regime.
China now seems like a bloated mess in many aspects. In terms of poltics.
We have seen throughout history how one nation thinks their military is all powerful and ready and how little is actually grounded in reality.
However it is wrong to completely write China off like that. We will just have to see when it happens.
This show is up there with the quality of info graphics, real life lore, and operations room but doesn’t have the same amount of subscribers…What is going on????
China shouldn’t be underestimated, but from what I’ve seen and heard the PLA has a lot of the problems that the Russian military has.
Possibly worse, given their inexperience in combat especially regarding logistics under fire, shipboard damage control, and aircraft maintenance in less than textbook conditions. I'd wager today's average PLA grunt won't fare too much better than Russia's conscripts in Ukraine ones the missiles start flying and comrades start dying.
Save us all.
大胆预测一下，又是一片，中国崩溃论，没看视频，是的点赞。
Great Video! BUT don't have established titles as a sponsor, they have been exposed as a scam by the legal eagle and others.
first 10 sec i lost interest in what you gonna say when you said CCP..... mate it's CPC if you're trying to be informative
If you can, dump the sponsor. They are a scam.
Thank you for the heads up!
If my grandfather is still alive he would be a fan of your channel. I'll subscribe in his behalf. Your videos are extremely informative and I learned a lot binging them. And now im more aware of what's going on in the world
I don’t know why I always start cutting onions when reading this kind of message. Thank you so much Tsuki, it really does mean so much🥹 Thank you
Might want to get rid of that established titles link and sponsorship from the video.........
This channel LEFT A LOT out 😅
That established title money sure must be worth more then you’re viewers trust 🤔 the level of culture of the video is A1 so I know y’all ain’t misinformed enough to not know about established title
Was watching the video, seems legit info. Then the Established Titles in video ad just killed all credibility.
incomplete map of china, where is Taiwan
🤣
Why would Taiwan be shown as part of the PRC when it isn't? What a strange thing to say.
Xi is one saad panda..
Good video and content quality 👍 Subscribed :)
Civic Ty kydomj😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮
Yeah, and lok at how China has invaded other countries. What, Tibet in the 1950s when the Netherlands warred to keep the Indinesia as its colony? And then symbolic border theatre with the Soviet, Inadia and Vietnam. The latter perhaps as a deal with the US as it happened right after the US was defeated from its attempt to invade Vietnam?
Who is the threat in the world? Especially during the last 33 years. The answer is obvious to everyone who choses to think even a little bit about it. US/NATO is a gonner for simple moral reasons alone.
Maybe you can explain how the Chinese manufacting industry grew and evolved so fast in another episode. I speak of the "forced" tech transfers. The IP, tech, trade secrets theft, and espionage in western nations. The western corporate greed that pretty much gave away decades of advancements. The Civil/Military fusion that uses R&D that is also in collaboration with other nations. How even to this day the US national science institute still shares all of the latest developments with Chinese scientist. I mean China's AI, quantum develpment are still highly dependent on US companies like Nvidia, Intel, Qualcomm but all that could change. New resrictions like the Chips act could see more added that involve anything related to AI/Quantum. My point is that China's rapid development has been largely tied to western relations and that could be changing. I think the US/allies are finally realizing they created the very monster they will now have to face if war breaks out. But who knows, China today is likely not going to see the growth we have witnessed for decades now. Xi is taking China back to the Mao days.
China provides the manpower, Israel provides the knowledge and knowhow's. There are many books about Chinas and Israel co-operation how it enabled China to grow where it is now.
Its not "Forced" tech transfers its all willing transfers of tech how can you manufacture in china without telling them how.
@@davidT.C How? easy, by forcing foreign companies to partner with Chinese ones by law. The same is not forced on Chinese companies that open up abroad. That is the forced part. Mind you, many of these "partnerships" have ended with the foreign company being driven out after transfering the tech.
@@rickjames18 Its not forced think of it this way if you want to enter a stadium or a country you need to follow their rules but nobody is forcing you to go watch the game at the stadium its all on you if you want to go or not.
@@davidT.C it is forced when the CCP is NOT allowing any private foreign companies to do business unless they transfer all their secrets and tech. These rules are not forced on Chinese companies that operate in the US or anywhere else. Using market access to force companies into giving up extremely valuable secrets is blackmail. It would be different if the west did the same to Chinese companies but they don’t. The worst part is how many of these companies have been treated and some forced out after transferring all tech. Imagine the outrages of the Chinese and CCP if the west decided all Chinese companies have to partner with local companies and give up all company secrets or else no access to western markets. No, China was given free and fair access like no other. These companies already bring billions in FDI, create jobs, and train a high tech workforce, that is how they pay for market access.
Kindda US biased.
Your videos are very well made.
My father once told me that China can never be well governed thru democracy because how can you effectively rule over 1.4 billion people?
If you read Chinese history, it has never been really ruled by democratic or egalitarian systems, which, once the Republic China was declared in the 20th century, bestowed fractures and led to the rise of the PRC in 1949, effectively a return to the rule of emperors or one man rule.
In my humble opinion, democracy is inherently chaotic due to the presence of many opposing forces leading to inefficiencies and stunted development. I was fortunate to have lived in an open and democratic system which enabled me to voice my views without fear of reprisals. The question I pose is how will China's future look under the current system in 10-20 years? Is authoritarianism uniquely suited to China?
No, because Taiwan is a wildly flourishing example of the Chinese living with freedom.
Just like civ, Let the nerds focus on war while they establish economic victory
Your videos are so good, but your thumbnails aren't. You should better them if you want to get more engagement, but without clickbait plz
Oh my is it this thumbnail or the previous too?
A foreboding future
The looinrims!! Are you on the discord discord.gg/FYSCJq6F ???? It is indeed!
@@Kamome163 we have a discord? I’ll hop on now!