Taiwanese experts on Beijing's "regional war trap" strategy to weaken the U.S.
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- čas přidán 12. 10. 2023
- Behind the Middle Eastern crisis looms a war between China and the U.S. When Hamas attacked Israel, shocking the world, Beijing refused to condemn the attack. Its strategy in the Middle East aims to create a new conflict with a united Arab front opposing Israel. And a Chinese think tank revealed that a war in the Middle East is part of Beijing's strategy to tie up the United States and drain its resources before the two superpowers face off in the Taiwan Strait. But will this strategy work? And what lessons should Taiwan learn from this?
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References:
The translated version of the 2 articles from the Kunlunce writer:
leisrealtalk.com/ccps-3-battl...
Phoenix News article: www.backchina.com/news/2023/1...
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#leisrealtalk #china #ccp #israël #hamasattack
Underestimating America's taste for war is a grave mistake.
They don’t understand the beast on the other end of the chain they are rattling. None of us believe in dying.
It wont be just US vs China war. NATO will be involved. China and its allies will get slaughtered
Underestimating America's CAPACITY for war is a grave mistake. As for "taste" for war, I think that the USA has learnt the lesson of knee-jerk response to taunts. Washington is displaying admirable restraint.
After running away from Vietnam and Afghanistan now I laugh at American capability to win any war anywhere.😂😂😂
@@franktoh3041 what is your idea of winning? Slaughtering indiscriminently and turning entire city into rubble like Russians do? Or going in with minimal harm to civillians and taking out enemy combatants one by one? If the latter, no one can do it better than Americans.
Great analysis Lei. I hope our country analysts have caught on.
Its funny when China want Israel to recognize Palestine state as independent, but not Taiwan 😂😂
And while the ccp support Muslim Hamas they slaughter Muslim Urghurs, the rest they place in jails(re-education camps) and destroy traditional mosques in ccp china.
It does seem counterintuitive, so I think CCP has issues and feels more threatened with Zionist controlled American politicians, media and businesses.
Or Tibet, or Xinjiang, or Myanmar, or all border regions. Or the Solomon Islands.
These because UN said Two States solution for Palestine and PRC is the Only Representative of Whole China, replacing ROC.
You need study the historical facts more to understand the Real World, not the one you wished.
Exactly my tots too, u hv nailed it spot on!!! 🤣🤣🤣
Great information and analysis, thank you Lei!
Glad you enjoyed it!
Better information in 12min than 1 hour of cable news in the US. Thank you!
Unlike The PLA military , USA military has plenty of allies around the world.
But you forgot PLA drove US army and its allies back from Chinese Border to the 38th Parallel Line in Korean War.
It could beat US and its allies again in Taiwan Strait War.
Thank you Lei. Wu Jia Long's analysis is pretty good. The US is not involved up to its eyeballs in Ukraine or Israel, thus keep huge reserves available. In WW2, the US fought a 3 1/2 front war and won. To cripple China in a war, it would only need 2 Marine Expeditionary Units (Attack Aircraft Carrier Battle Groups) to shut down 80% of China's imports, including food, oil and energy. The US has 9 plus 11 Super Carrier Battle Groups. This was the strength Mr. Wu was referring to.
So what war in the past 70 years did US win, against men and women in sandal ? remind me ....could'nt even invade Cuba
US aircraft carriers are NOT unsinkable.
An overlooked aspect to Ukraine is that the USA used this as an opportunity to offload outdated weapons an munitions that would otherwise have been expensive to dispose of. It should instead be said that Russia is being weakened, such that they risk losing control of the Siberia region to the CCP.
@@mikerussell3298umm yeah ... NO. Operation Desert Storm completely and absolutely de-nutted an army widely considered a formidable fighting force. I'm going to go out on (not much of) a limb to say that the PLA would be similar. Just like the Russian Army was exposed by this war they started.
@@mikerussell3298 Iraq 1 & 2, Afghanistan. and Syria. Albeit, the US forgot how to win a peace with Iraq and Afghanistan. With China, we just need to blunt their offensive, cut off their energy and let them starve. With a potential famine casualty figure of possibly 500,000,000 to 700,000,000, China will be in no condition to do much of anything after. The US doesn't have to go into China to win. However, I hope it doesn't happen. It would be horrible.
Like all CCP strategies, it will fail spectacularly. Great job Lei!
lei, I am just one voice but I can speak to many other voices. Your posts are so well researched and thought out. Thank you for them so much. Like the ripples in water when a pebble is cast, I am sure that your ideas are spreading widely from each of us, your appreciative audience.
Tho there is a war in Europe, as of now Nato is not involved in any wars. CCP should consider that
China is not making friends in the South China Sea though...
Let me remind the CCP. The U.S. is not at war in Ukraine or Israel. It has all the resources to aid Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack.
Right, a Straits war is primarily in the air and at sea, which are not the weapons we're sending over to our allies to fight the land wars that are getting sparked.
It's a proxy war. Ge them to fight and just handle the logistics.
Spot on as usual Lei 👍
Excellent. One of your best. Thanks for sharing.
Glad you enjoyed it
You are right on Lei!
Seriously? The CCP thinks it won the civil war on strategy? 😂
Hi Lei, thank you for all of your hard work. This was an excellent, well-organized presentation regarding an intelligence matter that must be urgently disseminated.
I hope that your efforts are able to successfully have impact upon strategies and impending events, and that you are able to continue your work toward a better future World, free of authoritarian oppression, cultural extinction, and historical white-washing.
I hope to be able to provide you with support.
Glad it was helpful!
Thank you Lei, stay safe.
Excellent! Thank you
I regularly tuned in to Insight News (Taiwanese political analysis show featured here by Lei). I do wish they offer subtitles for everyone who doesn't understand Mandarin. It'd do all of us here in the west a great service
Very intersting and credible. As a European, I am not used to thinking from this point of view, so thank you.
Glad you enjoyed it!
The CCP has vastly underestimated the military and economic power of the United States and vastly overestimated its own power. The economies of Russia and China are already doomed. Nuclear weapons aside the military capabilities of Russia and China are pathetic. The weapons the US sends to Ukraine are very different from what it sends to Israel. The US is willing to get directly involved in major battles to defend Israel and South Korea but not at all with Ukraine. In a war against China the US would not atrack just the invasion force but targets all over China at the same time. Taiwan vows to destroy the Three Gorges Dam. That would be the worst humanitarian disaster in human history killing one third of China's population. IMO China will not attack Taiwan. It's not that stupid. But then that's what Israel thought about Hamas. So Hamas killked 1300 oeople in In Israel, wounded thousands more, and took about 150 hostages. As a consequence all of Gaza will be destroyed and it aplears all of its population will perish. A gift from China, Russia, Iran to Israel and the United States.
Israel is only targeting Hamas and has no plans to commit genocide.
@guitarista666 I have no idea what their plans are. I don't know how the Paleostonians can survive this and I don't care. If they are doomed they're not the only ones IMO. I put in that category Russia, China, Europe, Iran, Syria, Lebanon, Cuba in its current for , Venezuela in its current form, Argentina, Pakistan, Sri Lanka. I think Russia will break up into a very large number of very small fiefdoms existing around food producing areas.
@@markfischer3626 I suspect Israel
will reoccupy Gaza to make sure Hamas
never regains power again. The total
breakup of Russia could be dangerous
considering the number of nuclear
they have.
US has been smart to find capable allies like ukraine.... able to defend themselves with some help. It seems china is bolstered by this perception that US is weak and they may do first act, showing their cards. Not many know all cards west has, only some are given to allies. This is smart move.
@@guitarista666 They better not. The US might have politicians who support the genocide of Gaza, but lots of regular citizens here are fully against it. If Jews want to be known as blood thirsty terrorists, this is their big chance to achieve it. Bombing the hell out of thousands of innocent people in Gaza is EVIL.
Thanks for the presentation. The connection between Iran, Russia and China (along with others) seems pretty obvious, there totalitarian regimes have relatively few allies that could help them. The West has deep ties and they are trusted and tried. Add India and ASEAN nations if China keeps up the 9/10 Dash line and China will need a lot more help than they can count on. China’s ‘allies’ are using up a lot more of their resources than the West is it seems.
If all BRI project participants just stopped paying their Chinese loans, China would rack up a huge debt.
Europe is strong enough to handle Russia on its own.
Israel is strong enough to handle Iran and its proxies on its own.
South Korea is strong enough to handle North Korea on its own.
India is strong enough to handle Pakistan on its own.
The Quad + Taiwan is strong enough to handle a Chinese invasion on their own.
I agree. And the US is strong enough to handle the ocean shipping lanes on it's own.
Wisdom
However strong, we must be ever vigilant towards their craftiness.
Excellent job 👍
Top-notch journalism. Thank you for all your hard work! ❤
Thank you!
Thanks for sharing, Lei. That Taiwanese fella with the bright tie is impressively smart. One thing I wanted to add is that the United States and its allies are getting to practice in realtime for WW3 while China is doing China things. Also weapons factories are being built all over Europe and North America now so I think that it is backfiring for China big time.
Does Vietnam and Afghanistan remind the US military of anything?
@@franktoh3041 Heroin. The CIA got addicted.
thank you lei for all your help. good karmas you creating.
AMEN, Lei!! AMEN!! 12:19
Rewatched it - very good information, Lei!! And you look FabuLous!! 😊💖
So the Axis forces are now in play. The only question now is when Pearl Harbour will happen.
the audio totally cuts out a few seconds in... what?
Is anyone else seeing this or?
If that really is the CCP's strategy, it's not a very good strategy. And regional proxy wars are hardly new.
You forgot France's troubles in Africa. That is also an anti-NATO front.
That’s mainly a france’s stupidity front
Thanks lei for the info!
Excellent video! Thank you so much, dear @Lei. Please, please more of this kind of indepth information and analysis. Tank you.
I miss Tam, Lei 😢
Yeah 100% the audio is totally cut out.. but nobody else mentions it so idk what happened. I'll come back later I guess
Why kind of device do you use? It's ok from me
Excellent report
Extremely relevant
Good advice
Thanks Lei
Always superb content
🎉🎉🎉🎉
Glad you liked it!
Great work Lei
It's a big mistake. We don't have any forces commited anywhere, and we've had over 18 months to get our logistics and production up to speed because of Ukraine. Just look how long it too to get the first shipment of supplies to Israel. We're good on that front. Of course it's more complicated than that if China initiates hostilities in Taiwan, but our own troops are free to engage and America is still the "arsenal of democracy" as they say.
Thank you for all your hard work, Lei
While I can not speak to Beijing's specific role in the Middle East and the current conflict. I can speak to their role is not without a cost: While the CCP may believe or project the US can only deal with a certain number of items at a single time and have set the number to four international events. Power in the US is delegated, so there is no limit to the number of international, domestic, or geopolitical events the US can juggle simultaneously. Xi Jinping likely can handle four, but I can not say that Joe Biden can handle more than one at a time - He does not need to do more than one thing at a time, because everything has been delegated.
The cost if the CCP encouraged the conflict includes but is not limited to those who were encouraged and feel betrayed. Money comes and goes, betrayal in the Middle East lasts thousands of years. The reason Iran does not like Saudi Arabia is the betrayal or conflict after the death of Muhammad in 632 on over who should succeed him.
You must understand that the Saudis see Israel as a convenient tool/partner to keep Iran and Syria in check.
A strong Shia regime like Iran would weaken Riyadh and the monarchy might be replaced or toppled.
It's in the Saudi's interest to support Israel, at least implicitly. The alternative is to face the Iranians in war and nuclear hegemony.
The Arabs who are mostly Sunnis will never get along with the Iranians of the Shia sect.
Both Turkey, Egypt, Saudi, and Iran are currently vying to be the next Middle East big brother. It used to be Egypt under Nasser/Sadat and the deposed Shah of Iran.
Im not sure we can confidently continue 1500 year old disputes.... does it really matter... if you have quarrel with your neighbor, should 10th generation 1000 years from now still continue that feud?
good work
An excellent production Lei. Informative and to the point. I would like to see more shorter comments like this.
Thank you, Lei. This analysis is an excellent find and fits the known facts. Ironically, Xi's plan is not going well for Ruscia (or was that part of Xi's plan B?). Also ironic, Pooti's failed 3-day jaunt has activated military industries in the US and Europe.
Putin debauched Russian Forces to perverted sadistic terrorist that rape men, women and children, torture and murder civilians and post their own videos of themselves committing those crimes. Sickening.
Absolutely amazing content. Thank you.
Wow! Thank you for shedding new lights on this topic. This makes a lot of sense. Praying for world peace ☮️
The best defense against communist authoritarian dictatorship is to strengthen democracies from corrupting influences and nepotism. It takes an active and concerted effort of the people, to ensure that our democratically elected politicians are truly representing our interests.
We must also address what hostile communist countries are doing, both domestically and abroad. Democratic Nations must stand together against their lawlessness in defense of global security, human rights, and enforce International Law.
Thx - good video
Thank you for the enlightening video. Although very saddening too for the small countries that helplessly watche the unfolding tragedies
A clear & with a common sense explanation.
Thanks to all for your perspective.
Wowww, u look drop dead gorgeous in this vid. The flowing mane n tresses really stood out. Just a little prop up n u will make us viewers hooked for sure. 😊😊😊
The face of deceit and death.
Lei, can you please provide a link to the news article that talked about?
Is it just me or there seems to be no sound for this video
My family has recently been watching the 3 Kingdom's TV episodes here on CZcams. There are many similarities in the philosophies of warfare in that TV series that I see portrayed here in these discussions.
The US only know Kingdom Come and that's where it's heading.
Love your program. To be useful to stop this strategy, what can the people do, as individuals? I suggest we have a day of peace. Nov 2. Day of the dead. No one drives their cars. No use of oil for a single day. Millions to speak up for peace, and oil is the cause of most wars, the black gold is at stake. If oil prices soar, innovation should kick in. This is the real fear of Russia and the Saudis and Iran and Irak. No oil demand means the end of dictators . This should be our goal, in my opinion. This is obvious to me.
I just love your videos
What is dangerous about all these regional conflicts coming into play (e.g Afganistan, Ukraine and now Isreal) is this has happened already during the 1930s. It was these regional conflicts back then (e.g. Spanish Civil War, Fascist Italy's invasion of Abyssinia etc.) that partly lead to World War 2 and the eventual defeat and overthrow or neutralisation of three totalitarian powers, in place before the world war started (Nazi, Germany, Fascist Italy and Showa Japan. These regimes all come to a quick end by 1945 or earlier). I wonder if the CCP realizes that it is playing with fire, becoming pseudo-involved in regional conflicts by backing Russia? Somehow, I doubt they really know what they are doing and probably heading the same way as the Nazis, I.e. extinction.
CCP has a allies in the US. They go by the name: Biden Administration.
What appears as complete stupidity is actual backroom complicity with the CCP.
I could be wrong, but it appears the US is being set up to fail. If it was merely the CCP leadership vs. The mass of US people CCP wouldn't stand a chance. But the economic and Executive powers have been used to weaken the US so that a World War triumph repeat is not the plan this time.
Thank u for this info i just wanted to know what was going on!
Well done video Lei. You really manage to put all of the facts together in a way that makes sense to the average person. If the North Koreans make a move on South Korea or Japan, this will eventually lead to war fatigue here in the US, thus providing the CCP an opportunity to invade Taiwan. The only issue is time. The CCP will collapse within 10 years at most. If they can do this within about 3 years, then MAYBE they will succeed.
And as I have stated in the past, if the CCP were to EVER invade Taiwan, I will personally go back into the US military. The main reason why the CCP will fail at their plans is the COVID epidemic, plus whatever mistakes they make in the future will dissuade the world's population that the PRC is no good.
Again, great video. It is because we in the west share information that this will most likely not happen.
Too many of us see gross HYPOCRISY, only when we look in someone's else's MIRROR.
We need to turn Taiwan into their Afghanistan
If you are facing sound problems (sound stops after a few seconds) open the CZcams options and uncheck 5.1 Surround. Had the problem again and again with Lei's videos, but that worked perfectly on my TV.
Yes, same problems with sound on Apple TV, but no problem on iPad!! Why?
Down the CCP dangerous
Glad someone catching on.
@Lei; don't you think Xi's 3 war strategy will fail? In WW2, USA fought Japanese on behalf of China, would they have strength to fight their own wars?
They have too many "little emperors". Too many little boys raised by their grandparents that spoiled them .
Umm they fought Japan in behalf of China? 😅 Please get an education and read about “Pearl Harbor”😂
@@DreBarsI think he means US fought against japan and helped liberate china from japanese occupation.
@@DreBars What did China's army do to Nanjing? They flied the city and let Japanese went on killing spree. Why didn't they stand their ground to protect Nanjing? If Xi wishes for a war with USA so be it, after dust settles we will know the result provided we don't get caught in cross FIRE!
Hello try to watch but no sound after first 20 seconds 😢. Could you fixing that please. Thanks
Gorgeous woman. Thank you so much.
Super analysis and observations as always 👍 please be safe and alert all the time ....Ccp puppets can be everywhere every neighbour's and online ...vpn thus very helpfull 🙏
One tiny piece of metal through Winnie the Pooh, can fix a lot of problems.
Why are we not employing our best AI to “old yeller” Pooh bear
Like a greedy animal that swallows too much of what it craves! We crave conflicts, we become bogdown in conflicts to our distruction. Lesson from the Nazis!!!!!
Makes much sense Lei.
Thanks
Lei, I have one point as you say China's policy in middle east but from various news reports and several social media reports, the very deep tunnel dug in Gaza and concreting the tunnels is not possible without help from China. Secondly various missile pipes claimed to be ordinary pipes are actually made out of defense material to withstand the shock and it says that these pipes are supplied by China. Even Chinese soldiers are caught in tunnels. If these are the correct assessments it will mean the planning to attack Israel is not a new but must have been prepared from last few years. Your views on this are appreciated.
I don't see a link to the episode of Taiwan Talks...... can we get the link?
You can be resourceful and search them. You need to be spoon fed😂😂😂
OHH
Lei's last statement; "I hope no more lives are lost through ignorance" is morally correct but largely futile. This is because POLITICIANS almost NEVER LEARN LESSONS or they draw the wrong conclusions. Xi Jinping himself is adept at making mistakes, and after him, so is Joe Biden. What is important is that all of us invariably make mistakes, but choose carefully when making a political decision.
Man , I really wish you would fix the audio on these so I could watch them.
If that is the strategy then that would be super dumb. All it would do is put the US on war footing. Create factories for the war machine the US needs for its self and for their partners. Look at how many weapons Ukraine is getting. Israel will want them as well. It means it needs to ramp up production and they would make more than is needed so the US has some for its own defences.
A good lesson for the US government! And the world
I think this has something to do with the war
What has US “leadership” in the Middle East provided for the people there?
Any day now... Heavens speak already, pretty please 🙏
For whether US is prepared for two major wars, you have to cite the US source.
Pentagon said it very clear, it could handle one major war. The middle-east one is too small. But a war with Russia or China or North Korea counts as a major war.
Not all Chinese people cower to the ccp
Thank you Lei for your thoughtful comments. One response is that history does not reflect that the State of Israel has made any efforts to establish peaceful co-existence with the Palestinian peoples. Many decades of violence against the their civilians, and since 2007 turning Gaza into the largest open-air prison in the world, does not reflect well upon the Israeli authorities. There is a pathway to peace, but not when the two extremes openly seek the extermination of the other. In between ordinary people just want to live peaceful lives.
Your reporting and analysis are excellent, Lei. But when you go into numbers and graphs, my eyes glaze over and I wonder where is she going with this. Everyday I check to see if Lei has released a new video. Thank you, Lei, for all the work you put into your videos💕
Now I have a question. You mention China v US; C, Russia v US; C, R and Iran v US; C, R, I and Saudi Arabia v US; C, R, I and the Arab World v US. Ok, I get it. Have you seen or heard whether Xi and his advisers have either deliberately ignored or dismissed even just the possibility that hey, voila! the US may have allies in the Indo Pacific such as Japan, S Korea, Taiwan, Aussies, 2 or 3 SE Asian countries, India, Canada, UK and France?
Historically, wars never start with rational thinking or analysis....rather irrational optimism based on looking at their side of capabilities without understanding the other side and what they can do.....Xi's dictatorial tendencies will lean more toward an irrational mindset.
CCP is so terrifying. Their thrust for power has caused so many innocents lives and suffering.
Another entire video with no audio? This is the second time in a couple weeks this has happened.
WHEN A STRATEGY IS EASILY SPOTTED BY ANYONE WILL IT SUCCEED
Why is there no sound ?
Listen to the Saints..so U know whats going on
Why? Why can't I just watch and enjoy your show? With your soft kind voice. But now apparently you are in surround sound now. Doesn't mean a thing to me. I hope your channel continues on. I'll check again soon to see if things changed. 😪
The CCP may at the moment, be considered as merely untrustworthy, as a trading partner and as a holder of any benevolence. However, if they are seen to commit to actively aiding aggression, then they can only be seen to step into the part of enemy. This can give rise to less trade, more sanctions and a worse economy for themselves. Whether this consequence has any effect on their ambitions, or their continuing anti west agenda, it may well become quite evident to their own population. The CCP has a history of self protection through deliberate control of it's people, but it's belief it can project that control to other countries, must continue to frustrate them when it fails to work completely, hence the threatening rhetoric regularly broadcasted. The notion that Jinping and Putin have got together to pressurise America, may be considered, but even within the political scene there, as the Republicans use the Ukraine war as their personal Piñata to merely antagonise the government, actual support for wars of aggression is seemingly that of like minded dictatorships and their protégés. Even though that pursuit may be appealing to some, it rarely affords rewards that are worth the consequences in the long run. Once embarked on that path, there will be hardly any way of avoiding those consequences. It is worth remembering, “The best laid schemes o' mice an' men Gang aft a-gley.”
Is there something wrong with the video? There is no sound
There is no sound?
I despise of current Iranian government.
No sound?
I have another view. Like Tibet, Russia has land and resources that China needs.
After the Russians have exhausted themselves, with the Ukraine war. They will be a push over, for China.
Will we have the fortitude, to rescue the Russian people?
Yes but only to not let chyna into that pile of resources
I thought Russia was winning that war. They captured the land where the big oil deposit is hiding under the ground. US oil interests wanted it, but the US lost that battle.
@@MAXlMUS True, we don’t want that. But the Russian people have had it hard enough already. With the dictators they have had. With the Chinese, they would be another occupied territory. Subject to forced reeducation, sterilization, organ donation, etc.
On moral grounds, we should protect them.