I don't expect the BOM to be perfect. I understand that its a forecast not a blueprint. I think the Australian public should be able to have a expectation of reasonably accurate information to base the decisions they make re. the weather given we are paying one million dollars a day for the BOM. If climate change is making forecasting not feasible any longer get rid of the BOM and save the money.
I understand your frustration , however I'm sure the international agricultural futures traders are looking a lot deeper for their future weather info. Have you checked out the weatherwatch NZ u-tube channel ? I have been following their channel for a couple of months, they cover Australia ,NZ & south west pacific. Clear , plain English communication and explanation of interpretation of modelling ect.
Lol at the BS meter 🤣🤣 Love your humor John, and I’m pretty sure we think the same on the weather subject. Hope you and Pat are going well xx Cathi xx 😘
G'day Cathi hope you are going good. One thing for sure the weather will do what it does. Humans think they control everything then nature puts them in their place. John
I have a foolproof weather-forecasting system. I just stick my baldy head out the window. If it gets sunburnt it must be fine. If it gets wet it must be raining. 🤔😉😊 Getting some good falls up here over the last few days. But no more than some wet seasons that I remember - walking a mile or so in the pouring rain to catch the school bus as a 6-year old. 🙄
How old fashioned. You should look on your phone. Don't tell me you believe what you see with your own eyes. You have to tune in to the media and get with the swing of things. Next thing you will be thinking for yourself if you keep that up. John
Apart from "everything is subject to change" and they can only make educated guesses to give us a vague idea what to expect, it just proves the point that we are only human, ULTIMATELY, GOD IS IN CHARGE 🙏✝️🙏. We lull ourselves into a false sense of security when we forget that. Thanks for the vid, made me smile, but not funny for many farmers who lost $10,000's on stock they sold, many of my neighbours did. Thanks John and Pat, hope you have a fabulous day, from down Sthn NSW 🦘🦘🙏🦘🦘
Thanks very much. It gets up my nose that people think they control everything. When in reality its most of the people who are getting controlled. As far as the BOM if their predictions are so wild that they ruin peoples lively hood and in some cases worse. Maybe if the BOM is so inaccurate we should get rid of it and save a million dollars a day. John
You would think the forecast was written by a lawyer rather than a meteorologist, they have an escape clause for every segment of the forecast. " Don't shoot the messenger " is something I believe though. Farmers worldwide are gamblers and like any punter need to have some confidence in their "tipster" before placing their bets.
Yeah I think in the currant way that weather has become politicised people have become very critical and upset on both sides of the fence. The only thing I am a bit cranky about is the BOM predictions crashed the cattle market with their dire predictions. John
I think long range forecasts are generally not super reliable, and known to be so. We were also certainly expecting a drier season because of the el nino - but have had more rain than anticipated over the past few weeks, although it was definitely drier back a month or so ago than normal. I'm hoping for the sake of our growing season that summer pushes further into March. BOM may not be super reliable, but the minute that guy basically said climate change was hogwash he lost me. The climate is definitely spitting our more major catastrophes, in smaller time periods, than seen in the last hundred years or more. The rate we get bushfires, floods and cylcones has definitely increased in a proveable way. Anyone denying that is usually backed by, or is supported by mining councils, or other big pollution companies and has a vested interest in changing public opinion for dollars.
i think it's the same here .they seem to make it up as they go along.but i must say that your weather is very bad compared to us.hope you are both ok .stay safe. gary.
I think they look at past outcomes and try to see a pattern, and make a prediction based on that. Unfortunately when it costs peoples lively hoods and lives people get grumpy. John
The other day the bureau site was telling us that there was not going to be any rain that day.... except it was POURING outside our window!!! (Ipswich, Queensland)...... and that has happened before too! I think they might be a dud.
The BOM make forecasts based on models from past weather and their array of scientific equipment scattered all over the place. Unfortunately, it's not a crystal ball with 100% accuracy. The difference is - the BOM gets held accountable when they get it wrong, unlike the amateur services online. But, more rain is always better than less/none for farmers and the bush.
Weather forcasting is based on several very large global models based on extremely detailed datasets. Unfortunately, global warming has made those models less reliable. The bureau bases its forecasts on the probability of certain weather outcomes. Those probablilities are becoming more vague as the air and sea temperatures increase. I would expect that in the future, weather patterns will become more unpredictable, and severe weather events more frequent. Sit down, buckle up, and enjoy the climate change ride; apparently this is what we all wanted when we ignored the warnings for the past 40 years.
I think there is climate change and I think there always was. The earth has had ice ages and warm periods since the start. If the current conditions are making weather forecasting not doable then stop spending a million dollars a day on something that won't work. John
It's like you can get a general idea from forecasts, but up heah (Aussie accent) it's usually 10 degrees colda.. The tool like best is Radar, I mean like two hours ahead of time! ha! Righteo mate. so at 15:00 CST I checked it said -11F now it's -38, but I'm mixing actual temp with "real feel", or wind chill. At any rate, my decision made up to take battery out of Caaar (New England accent-Boston). Cherrio mate!
Oright mate no worries. They forecast it to be as dry as a dead digo's donger, then it pissed down and the whole joint is bloody soaked. Fair dinkum give you a case of the screamin hebejebes. Bout as good as a two bob watch. John speaking Australian.
@@farminglifeaustralia6716 that's funny. About all we know is, "That's not a Knife; this is a knife." I guess the weather radar is the best tool. But it doesn't prognosticate weather. A B.O.W. wow wow.
I think whats happening is that they are taking weather advice from the wef, un, and bill gates just in the same way the our politicians do along with the greens. 😊
I think a lot of people are suspicious of everything thats going on in the world at the moment. Our so called leaders have lost the trust of the people. Lies more lies and statistics. John
LOL love the BS Meters. However if you could predict the future you would be a millionaire. In the end I hope they are trying their best, but things are changing in the environment climate change is here and we are no seeing the results.
I think climate change has always been here. Ice age hot periods etc. I dont think man will destroy the earth. The earth will destroy man when its had enough. John
@@petergoodwin2465 Things are looking a bit grim here at the moment. They plan to put a heap of windmills around us and make our little paradise a windmill capital. John
I don't expect the BOM to be perfect. I understand that its a forecast not a blueprint. I think the Australian public should be able to have a expectation of reasonably accurate information to base the decisions they make re. the weather given we are paying one million dollars a day for the BOM. If climate change is making forecasting not feasible any longer get rid of the BOM and save the money.
I understand your frustration , however I'm sure the international agricultural futures traders are looking a lot deeper for their future weather info. Have you checked out the weatherwatch NZ u-tube channel ? I have been following their channel for a couple of months, they cover Australia ,NZ & south west pacific. Clear , plain English communication and explanation of interpretation of modelling ect.
@@garrybrischke53 Yes I watch that bloke. He's pretty good. John
Lol at the BS meter 🤣🤣 Love your humor John, and I’m pretty sure we think the same on the weather subject.
Hope you and Pat are going well xx Cathi xx 😘
G'day Cathi hope you are going good. One thing for sure the weather will do what it does. Humans think they control everything then nature puts them in their place. John
I have a foolproof weather-forecasting system. I just stick my baldy head out the window. If it gets sunburnt it must be fine. If it gets wet it must be raining. 🤔😉😊
Getting some good falls up here over the last few days. But no more than some wet seasons that I remember - walking a mile or so in the pouring rain to catch the school bus as a 6-year old. 🙄
How old fashioned. You should look on your phone. Don't tell me you believe what you see with your own eyes. You have to tune in to the media and get with the swing of things. Next thing you will be thinking for yourself if you keep that up. John
Apart from "everything is subject to change" and they can only make educated guesses to give us a vague idea what to expect, it just proves the point that we are only human, ULTIMATELY, GOD IS IN CHARGE 🙏✝️🙏.
We lull ourselves into a false sense of security when we forget that.
Thanks for the vid, made me smile, but not funny for many farmers who lost $10,000's on stock they sold, many of my neighbours did. Thanks John and Pat, hope you have a fabulous day, from down Sthn NSW 🦘🦘🙏🦘🦘
Thanks very much. It gets up my nose that people think they control everything. When in reality its most of the people who are getting controlled. As far as the BOM if their predictions are so wild that they ruin peoples lively hood and in some cases worse. Maybe if the BOM is so inaccurate we should get rid of it and save a million dollars a day. John
You would think the forecast was written by a lawyer rather than a meteorologist, they have an escape clause for every segment of the forecast. " Don't shoot the messenger " is something I believe though. Farmers worldwide are gamblers and like any punter need to have some confidence in their "tipster" before placing their bets.
Yeah I think in the currant way that weather has become politicised people have become very critical and upset on both sides of the fence. The only thing I am a bit cranky about is the BOM predictions crashed the cattle market with their dire predictions. John
I think long range forecasts are generally not super reliable, and known to be so. We were also certainly expecting a drier season because of the el nino - but have had more rain than anticipated over the past few weeks, although it was definitely drier back a month or so ago than normal. I'm hoping for the sake of our growing season that summer pushes further into March. BOM may not be super reliable, but the minute that guy basically said climate change was hogwash he lost me. The climate is definitely spitting our more major catastrophes, in smaller time periods, than seen in the last hundred years or more. The rate we get bushfires, floods and cylcones has definitely increased in a proveable way. Anyone denying that is usually backed by, or is supported by mining councils, or other big pollution companies and has a vested interest in changing public opinion for dollars.
I think the world has always had climate change. And always will. John
i think it's the same here .they seem to make it up as they go along.but i must say that your weather is very bad compared to us.hope you are both ok .stay safe. gary.
I think they look at past outcomes and try to see a pattern, and make a prediction based on that. Unfortunately when it costs peoples lively hoods and lives people get grumpy. John
The other day the bureau site was telling us that there was not going to be any rain that day.... except it was POURING outside our window!!! (Ipswich, Queensland)...... and that has happened before too! I think they might be a dud.
A dud that costs one million dollars a day. John
Ya can't trust them!
Jim in Chile
Trust them we shouldn't feed them. The trouble these days is trying to work out how much the stories are politically biased and for what agenda. John
The BOM make forecasts based on models from past weather and their array of scientific equipment scattered all over the place. Unfortunately, it's not a crystal ball with 100% accuracy. The difference is - the BOM gets held accountable when they get it wrong, unlike the amateur services online. But, more rain is always better than less/none for farmers and the bush.
Yes you are right. Unfortunately forecasting has become so unreliable that maybe we should stop spending a million a day on it. John
Weather forcasting is based on several very large global models based on extremely detailed datasets. Unfortunately, global warming has made those models less reliable. The bureau bases its forecasts on the probability of certain weather outcomes. Those probablilities are becoming more vague as the air and sea temperatures increase. I would expect that in the future, weather patterns will become more unpredictable, and severe weather events more frequent. Sit down, buckle up, and enjoy the climate change ride; apparently this is what we all wanted when we ignored the warnings for the past 40 years.
I think there is climate change and I think there always was. The earth has had ice ages and warm periods since the start. If the current conditions are making weather forecasting not doable then stop spending a million dollars a day on something that won't work. John
It's like you can get a general idea from forecasts, but up heah (Aussie accent) it's usually 10 degrees colda.. The tool like best is Radar, I mean like two hours ahead of time! ha!
Righteo mate. so at 15:00 CST I checked it said -11F now it's -38, but I'm mixing actual temp with "real feel", or wind chill. At any rate, my decision made up to take battery out of Caaar (New England accent-Boston). Cherrio mate!
Oright mate no worries. They forecast it to be as dry as a dead digo's donger, then it pissed down and the whole joint is bloody soaked. Fair dinkum give you a case of the screamin hebejebes. Bout as good as a two bob watch. John speaking Australian.
@@farminglifeaustralia6716 that's funny.
About all we know is, "That's not a Knife; this is a knife." I guess the weather radar is the best tool. But it doesn't prognosticate weather. A B.O.W. wow wow.
@@ClickinChicken The weather radar is a great tool alright. We often look at it when there is rain about to see how much is coming, or not. John
Typical Public servants in my view, underworked, overpaid and unaccountable.
I can' argue with that. John
I think whats happening is that they are taking weather advice from the wef, un, and bill gates just in the same way the our politicians do along with the greens. 😊
I think a lot of people are suspicious of everything thats going on in the world at the moment. Our so called leaders have lost the trust of the people. Lies more lies and statistics. John
LOL love the BS Meters. However if you could predict the future you would be a millionaire. In the end I hope they are trying their best, but things are changing in the environment climate change is here and we are no seeing the results.
I think climate change has always been here. Ice age hot periods etc. I dont think man will destroy the earth. The earth will destroy man when its had enough. John
@farminglifeaustralia6716 exactly right again John.
@@petergoodwin2465 Its almost like they want to get it wrong. Its a shame the weather has become a political tool. John
You are always right John. Can bet the pollies have shares in the green industry. @farminglifeaustralia6716
@@petergoodwin2465 Things are looking a bit grim here at the moment. They plan to put a heap of windmills around us and make our little paradise a windmill capital. John