Ukraine’s situation may keep deteriorating despite renewed US help. Here’s why.
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- čas přidán 17. 05. 2024
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This video explores the recent frontline developments in Ukraine, the problems facing Ukraine and reasons why Russia is making some headway. The US aid is also analyzed as the video answers the question of whether the aid will be enough.
00:00 Intro to topic
01:00 Effects of no US aid
04:19 No artillery / SAM missiles
06:18 Russian missile strikes
08:38 Artillery and troops
10:59 New US aid package
14:22 When might aid arrive?
Music by Matija Malatestinic www.malatestinic.com
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Please tell me how are you capable of doing analysis of aid if you dont even know what the full aid package is for Ukraine? sounds to me like your just making analysis on air.
It should be noted that during this winter Russia received 3000 containers of North Korean ammunition and missiles. So we should be really careful when estimating actual Russian production capacity. It is entirely possible that when North Korean stacks deplete, then Russia would again suffer on munition shortages.
It should be noted that until recently Russia was not deploying too much capable missile types. Recently they start using again Kalibr and Iskander missiles. Most likely activating anti-NATO deep reserves. Shaheds attack civilian targets for a reason. Drop in interception effectiveness could be result refocusing from attacking well protected Kviv on less protected targets, like Odessa and Kharkov.
@@TheRezro deluded claptrap.
Ukraine isn't our problem, DEFUND UKRAINE!
Russia is plugged in to a vast industrial war machine Ukraine can't touch, Russia is also neighbors and plugged in to Chinese industry which Ukraine can't also touch. Russia is also plugged in to North Korean workshops that run 24/7 servicing a war of attrition meanwhile Ukraine is locked in a 24/7 war of attrition and only plugged into unreliable western countries, their home industry is also in ruins as Russia can definitely see and touch their rear. It's the worst situation I've ever seen and everyone just expects Ukraine to win because of emotional support
😂😂😂 exactly! Its almost cult liek the delusion of these "supporters" of ukraine
@@Regarded69我已经不只一次强调过，整个北约现在最具有炮弹生产能力的国家是韩国，而韩国这个北约军工厂有1600种工业原材料依赖中国，这就是北约现状，但是美国依旧会在媒体上假装自己很强大，比如进口大量中国制造的机器狗装上喷火器声称自己在创新，还有美国人工智能实际上也没有中国先进，但是美国非常擅长宣传，世界会相信美国依旧很先进
@@Regarded69美国虽然很弱，但是依旧有再打一次世界大战的能力，因为美国拥有存量优势，还有大量海军，虽然对中国来说只是一次性海军，所以这就是为什么中国现在不主动寻求与美国发生冲突，因为即便中国能赢也会给中国带来伤害，但是记住美国海军也只是一次性海军
All North Korea support of Rusia narrative based only on honest word of UK spy. NK isn't industrial country. They are just little in comparison with Russia. They are isolated, and do not want to trade with any other country. THere is not reason to belive they even can help Russia. And I will not even start about they don't want.
The only reason western nazi are spreading this propaganda is because they already invested for decades in nazi hatered to NK. So they can use one black legend to build another.
On other side Ukrainian home industry do not exist. I literal live in Ukrainian city which had 6 big factories in 1991, including the biggest in Europe in it's industry, and zero works now. 2 were struggling in first 2 decades of independence, like shipbuilding were changed to repair dock, and electro-machine fectory who built equipment for soviet power plants were changed to metal screw plant. And after 2014 everything made unprofitable by corrupt nazi militarist rising taxes for the war effort, and leftovers of industry just closed, with owners getting in the debt and running away to EU.
All Ukrainian military goods are NATO goods. Not even now, they used to be for the last decade. They never were alone, all this conflict it was just a puppet with NATO hand in the rectum. The only problem, NATO can't invest in colonial project, when they will lose it without profit. Because it is all about money for them. Drugging ukrainians into meatgrinder was profitable, but winning isn't.
@@Regarded69 Please stop smoking on your own propaganda, you're only fooling yourself and the Ukranians at this point. North Korea has nuclear weapons and other mechanised industries for Christs sake, basically adopting Chinese and SK practices. If it wasn't that big of an issue then the US wouldn't have cried about it so much
Something to note, even if say your country has 1 million men, in a particular age group available for service, actually putting any more than 7-12% of that into the military, can be absolutely disasterous to your country's economy and really sets you up for a collapse. So anyone thinking "they have a million potential, ergo can pull in ~500k of that" is simply wrong wrong, and wrong.
Someone needs to tell Putin that, as he's not listening right now.
Both countries are already doomed from a demographic perspective.
@@shuathe2ndHe's not using the same priorities we are when he makes decisions.
Ukraine definitely has put in more than that 12% already
@@shuathe2nd he still has a massive population to pull from compared to Ukraine
Ukraine does not have a rest cycle. Russia is able to rotate troops now that things have stabilized
There are far to many videos online from Russian soldiers complaining that they are not allowed to rotate out
Both sides have problems with manpower
Russia can only make advances with meat wave assaults so they burn through troops at an unsustainable rate
Ukraine under more pressure due to being 5x smaller in population ... BUT ... russia has been refusing to rotate it's units because it wants them atttacking constantly and not going home to tell other russians the truth. Russian forces have less rotations and much higher death rate than Ukraines?
third time I have seen the same comment from a different account. I wonder how much they are paying for these bots.
It's not a 'rest' cycle in the way you think. Their rest from the battlefield is significantly longer than that of the typical Ukrainian's leave. Way significantly longer.
Pls go fight for Ukraine dummy if u think Russia aint isshhh n losing 😂😂😂😂😂 🇺🇸🤠💪🏽🇺🇸FAFO open ur eyes (eyes dnt lie)
Newsflash; once you leave troops on the front lines for 2, going on 3 years... if they do get leave. They aren't going back. That's an insane amount of time to fight.
Especially the ones that were kidnapped and forced to fight, they'll never give those poor guys a chance to go home because they know that they'll never go back.
What are you talking about? They fight for glory.
Life is not a Marvel superhero movie, stop projecting onto men with families fighting in trenches
@@Brianbri-nq3cc That's the point conscription. If your country is invaded, you will be conscripted and die, as brutal as that sounds, it's the reality of the world, small countries need conscription, otherwise they are prime targets for being invaded by superpowers. Maybe you should criticize superpowers like Russia, the US, France and China for going around invading people in the past 50 years which causes anxiety in smaller countries forcing them to introduce conscription? Without conscription, Ukraine would have fell in 3 days. If Russia invades Finland, are you going to criticizing the Finnish government too for "kidnapping men forcing them to fight"? If China invades Russia, are you going to criticize Russian government for conscripting men to fight against invaders?
@@theamazingempiricistMen will break if they fight for years on end, this is not a goddamn movie where there's timeskips, it's their 24/7, losing friends or simply not being able to go back home is just too much for a lot of soldiers, even during the world wars soldiers got to have leaves, morale is not infinite.
The thing that will ultimately undo Ukraine is the political pressure to launch offensives. It's an attritional war. Trying to achieve Wehrmacht tier maneuver warfare breakthroughs is foolish, especially since they're the smaller country in basically every metric.
Ukraine’s western backers are far richer than russia, though so and Ukraine’s soldiers are more motivated so Ukraine may win an attritional war eventually
@@njabulolethukthula6854 That's more or less the same thing I said. Ukraine's best strategy was and still is turning the conflict into a meatgrinder for Russia, not trying to actually make some kind of major counteroffensive to win on the field.
@@njabulolethukthula6854 2 problems with that. 1. Mentioning the Western backers money doesn't mean anything if they're not going to give it and it takes months and years to pass aid packages. 2. You completely ignore the Ukrainian lack of volunteers and the fact that the government cancelled any law to demobilise after 3 years meaning the only way you leave the army is either dead, wounded or captured. The only reason Ukraine had to amend it's draft laws is because no one wants to volunteer anymore and simply it's because they started to realise they can't win.
As Blinkov alluded to Ukraines population and military age male demographic right now is much lower than you think. Millions have fled, millions have defected, been drafted, disabled, unwilling, draft dodging, in critical jobs in the rear. Ukraine demographic is one of the worst in the world and it's not a country that's built to win a long war.
Yup. Offensives play right into Russian hands with their stated objective of demilitarizing Ukraine.
@@njabulolethukthula6854 those Western backers are spending with high debt. And you can’t shoot GDP out of a barrel. Also, Russia has far more manpower and willpower, so Ukraine is screwed in both aspects.
Binkov is missing the point. War of atrittion is about grinding down enemy troop formations, not about territorial gains. Territorial gain will come easily at the time of enemy exhaustion and capitulation.
Russia outproducing the entirety of NATO
ammo
100 days offensive, the route after Vittorio Veneto and the advance after the victories in Macedonia at the end of ww1 shows that
Sure, but that goes both ways. If a defender is willing to trade territory for thousands of kia, then that is a war of attrition in their favor
@@matthewarnold4557 That only works when you have the manpower, and strategic depth (territory to give up). Ukraine is neither big enough geographically, and if they were, they don't have the manpower to continue this to utilize that territory for time strategy.
This only worked for the USSR, because it was so de-centralized in terms of population and industry, and the population at that time was enormous.
Unless there is some sort of peace agreement that ends the war, this will end one way. It will continue along as a grind, with one side or the other (most likely Russia) gaining small bits of territory. Then, Ukraine will buckle, and it will all happen at once, very rapidly. ALA South Vietnam collapse. Ala Afghanistan to the Taliban collapse.
Ukraine is following a don't bend, or break strategy, and increasingly you're seeing the stress fractures as units mutiny, disobey orders and retreat. This will only work until it doesn't, it will be interesting to see how this aid package changes that dynamic, but currently, Ukraine looks closer and closer every day to collapse.
For the West this was never about 'winning' Russia, it was about 'hurting' Russia. There were a lot of miscalculations and assumptions flying around. US-NATO have simply received a reality check, at least as far as conventional modern warfare against a continental power.
you are so smart ! For the West this was never about 'winning' Russia, it was about 'hurting' Russia.
why west don't like Putin ?
Kazakhstan gave 90% of its oil to the United States when Nazarbayev was president, and everything is fine with shaking hands with Western rulers.
Putin is disliked by the West because he did not give Russian oil and gas to Western TNCs. And he even partially took back what was given away under Yeltsin.
This behavior of Putin sets an undesirable example for other enslaved peoples and therefore such a example should be punished in an exemplary manner.
It seems the reality check is that Russia is not capable of fighting a war like they would have back in 1983. In 1983 they could have taken a place like Ukraine in a matter of days. Projections in 1983 scenario had them pushing through west Germany like a hot knife through butter.
As well as a reality check regarding how non-modern the modern conventional warfare is.
Russias navy is all but wiped out by an army with no navy. Their airforce cannot get air superiority against an army with hardly any airforce. About 20 percent of Russian oil production is kaput. Good luck with your ignorance :)
@@danthomas6470 that's an 80 IQ take. Why bother?
I'm sure the world is watching and taking note of what American commitments and promises look like.
"Being an enemy of America is dangerous, but being its friend is fatal." -Kissinger
Ukraine is not an American ally, and the US has never promised to directly intervene with troops.
@@realpolitiksanta5980 Haha, that's just great. So the U.S. can cry wolf about how horribly authoritarianism is, how undemocratic and dangerous China and Russia are, but when a nation is actually under threat of having the values America purports to defend is under threat, oh well they're not an official ally, despite all the work that has gone trying to get Ukraine to join the E.U. and NATO knowing full well how it would piss Russia off, despite supporting Euromaidan. You've proven my point spectacularly, what a wonderful attitude. The world is taking note.
The US gave security guarantees in exchange for Ukraine's nuclear disarmament. The world, especially Iran and North-Korea, are very aware of that this means for any nuclear deals with the US.
And many nations who relied on US nuclear umbrella for protection are also taking notes.
South-Korea and Japan, Poland and maybe even Sweden may be looking at reviving nuclear deterrence. Japan and RoK especially. Sweden almost had a nuke, before it got secret US security guarantees during the cold war.
Because I'm sure if Russia invaded France, America would treat them just like Ukraine.
The most important thing is lack of fresh troops. Ukraine trying to mobilize 500 000 more men to replace its losses but unable to do it because there is almost no more men who would want to put their life in danger.
Meat grinder
Which is one of the reasons why Ukraine and all the belligerents involved will eventually have to sign some sort of concordant it is a simple fact of the matter they don't have the Manpower available anymore it's been utilized it's out of capacity they can't continue on the struggle they will have to sue for peace and Vladimir's zelinsky and his cohorts don't want to sequester his country's Eastern Frontier but the problem is it's lost forever it can never be returned and the Germans had to get used to it so the ukrainians will have to adapt
Ukraine said they only lost 30,000 fighters, also they have changed the law, before 36 months or 12 months on the front line = service done, now everyone in the military has indefinite contract. So basically Ukraine doesn't need 500,000 troops, or there lying.
A peace treaty will eventually have to be signed and it's not going to be one of the ukrainians are going to be totally happy with but it is inevitable they just don't have the manpower to carry through to reclaim their lost territory if they could have done it they would have already done it it is an inevitability the war will not end on their favorable terms nor for Russia either but it will come to a close
Once again CZcams you prove you're a fascist regime deleting my comments without calls or justification LOL but all I was saying is it has been a persistent problem since the War Began Ukraine does not have the Reserves of manpower to carry the victory to Total success they're always scraping the bottom of the barrel and it is inevitable that everybody will have to sue for peace but it's not going to be a piece everybody's happy with
looks like Binkov is feeling the heat too his videos are getting more balanced
I wouldn’t say so, the bias is heavy
His videos were never biased he's telling the truth
@@jonslemp5733. John cena gif 😂😂
@@jonslemp5733hes a nato bot
@@jonslemp5733 Translation: "He is saying what i want to hear"
You make the comment that Russia probably is losing more men than Ukraine. Though since before the First World War the vast majority of all casualties have been by artillery. The west says that Russia has a 10 to 1 advantage, though they don’t mention this fact. Whether which side you support, it’s still a fact!
True, but shelling troops advancing in the open vs shelling troops taking cover in trenches is different. Also, the 10-1 advantage was mentioned in the video, in the first five minutes or so.
Russia losses more becauce Russia make "meat assault" and don't care life of soldiers
The West always lies.
also, the Russians are prolonging the war, not because they can't get through, but because they want to drain the life, strength, and soul of NATO and Ukraine.
@VRichardsn except modern advances are done with armour so even in the event of catastrophic failure men have the benefit of the doubt to still survive, sitting in a foxhole all year round and being targeted by modern artillery however....
Doesn't matter how many weapons Ukraine gets if they don't have the trained soldiers to operate them.
You're gonna be surprised, but ukrainians are one of the most prepared soldiers in the world right now, the problem is that their opponent is becoming better and better trained too.... they've been in a real hell for more than 2 years now and are using multiple and various sophisticated weaponry, there was not a conflict similar t since the war in Vietnam. Ukrainians could teach a lot of western countries how to fight a modern war
Bot
Thats the whole purpose of the new Ukrainian conscription act.Those soldiers will be sent to Poland for training by NATO instructors to man new Ukrainian units being stood up to releave front line units in the fall. Ukraine will likely withdrawal over the summer to prepared defensive works to
preserve their manpower and maximize Russian KIAs from frontal attacks. relieving units is easier when in prepared defensive positions.
@@TheLAGopher Some of them when arrive to Poland, take taxi and disappear. I can't balme them. They want to live. Men population is not allowed to cross the border. NATO training is a good possibility to flee from the country. Nobody wants to be a prisoner in own country and serve as cannon fodder.
Well they do, a tone of training was done for deliveries that have yet to arrive. Additionally Ukraine is finally restarting mobilization in earnest.
Aid this, aid that, no one talks about the real problems which are manpower and morale.
He talks about it bro
Lack of aid has a direct effect on morale.
Lack of morale has a direct effect on manpower.
@@Justanotherconsumer It's not moral but material manpower shortages, as in, they simply don't have the people to call up as many as they want. Ukraine does not have 500,000 more available men to call up, so they cut their estimates way back. Not a good sign for Ukraine. Lack of AID may affect morale but it doesn't magically make new troops.
@@Knight_Kin lack of aid directly affects losses, though, and lack of morale directly affects recruiting.
We gave them security guarantees to give up their nukes, and we’re… being pretty unreliable in holding up our end of the bargain.
With $200 billion aid the moral will rise again
Its funny how people say that Ukraine needs funding...
And at the same time saying ukraine is "totally not getting destroyed"
Right, I keep hearing that Ukraine is winning but also keep hearing that NEEDS support DESPERATELY. So what is it?
@@Modelstl063 I would assume they mean Ukraine is succeeding because of the support we are giving it, so we need to desperately get more of that aid to them
@@Modelstl063 Are you dumb enough to need this explained to you or are you just trolling?
It seems to me aid is calculated precisely to damage Russia and hurt the advance, but definitely not overcome and reverse it.
That’s probably right. The Russians have had the same geographic problem since Catherine the Great: the flat plains that surround Russia are east to drive a Panzer division or a Mongol Horde across. But there are choke points (mountain passes and deserts) beyond Russia that could be useful in blocking an invading army’s advance. Those points are roughly the USSR’s borders.
And so for Russia to feel secure, it needs to conquer Ukraine and the Caucuses plus Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, half of Poland, half of Romania . Those nations know this, which is why they joined NATO.
Here’s the West’s problem: They believe Russia will invade Poland and Romania once they finish invading Ukraine. The whole point of the nine wars Russia has started since the end of the USSR has been conquering that territory.
But if the Russians are in a stalemate against Ukraine, what could a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO be other than a complete slaughter of the Russian army? And that risks the Russians using the last resort weapons, the nukes.
So. It is in the west’s strategic interests to keep the meat grinder in Ukraine going until the Russians run out of men. Then, they would have to abandon their dreams of occupying Warsaw.
@@SonnyBubba I honestly think it's not so deeply thought out, people don't like spending stuff on things that "don't affect" them, Ukraine is given stuff but basically the max countries are willing to give, why would you spend billions to push Russia back if you can just give 1/8th to keep the problem away from your lawn
The US has to walk a tight rope as to not totally tilt russia to go nuclear.
More likely that even if NATO supplied all its gear to Ukraine it would not reverse the course of the war. Even if the US donated all Abrams tanks, F-15s and F-16s (even F-35s) and of course, PATRIOT missiles, the Ukrainians would have to man them, and even if they won the war the Ukraine would have to pay the bill with interest and a good part of their male population gone.
Na US air support would be a game changer. Russian anti air is sorta shit, how many American F22s were downed in the Middle East. Russians still mostly using the same anti air missiles they sell to Iran and the Taliban.
I don't see Ukraine winning (taking back territory) unless it gets thousands of tanks and hundreds of aircraft. Whatever tanks they received had insignificant impact and got pulled out.
What they can do, is skew the economics of the invasion.
Well, they had significant impact, I mean, some even made it to Moscow!
Just the impact they had wasn't necessarily to the advantage of the public opinion to supporting the war in the Ukraine.
and more troops, what's the point of weapons when you lack troops operating it
Ukraine had a lot of tanks from the USSR... they've lost most of them by now. They don't build new tanks, they don't get much tanks from the west because of bad PR.... US doesn't want to show their tanks burning.... after all they were supposed to be invincible, game changer, and things like that. Ukraine will use up the remaining tanks, which were send from the former "Warsaw pact" countries... and then it will be over. There is no way Ukraine can win this war. Historically provoking and attacking Russia has never gone well, for the countries and the empires who did that. Also Russia would not forgot nor forgive. Russia has destroyed many empires... it seems the next empire they will destroy will be the US empire. Europe is just a vassal of the US, we don't have a say in anything. US politicians come to my country and they literally dictate what we should or should not do.... we're not an "independent country" my country is in the European Union, if we were independent from the US, no US politician would have ever dared to put pressure on a small country like my country to do whatever. It seems US politicians think we're all idiots and can't comprehend what independent country means. You don't put "pressure" on your small friends, by your heavy weight politicians.
@@Slav4o911 you seem to have lapped up the propaganda like a little kitten laps up milk from a plate.
Nobody attacked Russia. Russia invaded Ukraine without justification.
And you are not entirely correct on how the EU works. While the U.S. has much more influence on the EU than it should, it is uniting under the EU banner which gives individual countries some sort of independence from U.S. interference.
The Russians at the helm of mother Russia are not our friends. They are also not friends of an independent Ukraine. Much less of the Russian people.
'10 to 1 in Russia's favour' - Zelensky
Yeah we know. It's been like that since '91.
Russian losses are about the same ratio too.
@@guyspearing4608 go back to watching tv
@@guyspearing4608 you are so smart !
"Russian losses are about the same ratio too.,"
how can they do it?
if Russia shelling from artilery from long distance. how can u do a meatgrinder?
@@guyspearing4608 The source comes from Ukraine which claims to lose only 30,000+ soldiers but for some reason requires 500,000 more troops at the frontlines desperately.
@@ViolentCabbage-ym7ko you guys really have been latching onto a claim from months ago that never even materialized
According to British intelligence Russia is using hypersonic sharpened shovels delivered by Russia’s washing machine air squadrons. Oh and Ukraine is winning! 🥇
How
Ask British intelligence
@@2sqnbandit379 “Ukraine is winning!”
“Ask British intelligence”
You seem credible 👍
@@MS-qy4sx not me British Intelligence. They’re always right 😂😂
@@MS-qy4sx Ukraine is retreating through Western Europe and the USA to hit Russia in Siberia. - British intelligence
"Ukraine losing less"😂😂😂😂
Binkov forgot that between 2023-2024 Russia has taken 4 cities ( not villages), Soledar, Bahkmut, Mariynka, Avdiivka and now Chasiv Yar is on the verge of collapse..
More like villages, they had populations of 10's of thousands, not hundreds of thousands or millions.
@@Jagonathit’s a little more complex than that. A lot of countries use a population threshold of 50K people. One can also use a density threshold of 1500 inhabitants per square kilometre. Even then, this is an area where a universal standard has never been recognized.
They lost Kherson, and were on the verge of capturing Kharkiv back in 2022 though. Those are real cities; which they could not hold.
@@Jagonathlol "villages" that have tens of thousands of people. Think those are called cities where I'm from.
@@storm___ excues him, bro lives in china or india where a village has more population than some african countries
61 bln dollars - almost 3/4 of it will stay in the US to boost their military industry. Companies will get budget from the govrnment, make more weapons and ammo to Ukraine.
Lol what😂
Source: trust me bro
That's still wasting billions of us dollars. Ukraine should have settled . If They don't gain anything this summer they'll probably do so.
Russia produces 4.5 million artillery shells a year with 3 million more from N korea. USA produces 400k a year set to reach 1 million by 2025 maybe or 2028 at the latest, The factories in the US just dont exist anymore and defense companies dont want to make extra factories that arent permanent. It cant be done sooner.
@@ruhtraeregel you underestimate the power of the military industrial complex
16:12 "It's probably losing fewer troops than Russia while it's defending." - Again, folks think of the presuppositions in this. Fact: most troops are killed by artillery. Which side has a huge artillery, drone, and glide-bomb advantage?
Binkov is biased
Yeah remember Ukraine only lost 30k troops . No way that's true
@@shivanshna7618and Russia has lost only 6k according to russian defense minister 🤡🇷🇺
you really only need common sense. ukraine supposed to have more troops than russia, twice actually, but yet it is ukraine who is having manpower problems and being outnumbered in almost all the frontlines. where did ukrainian troops went? redeployed to heaven and hell?
@@horoshkoaleksandr273they’re definitely lost less than Ukraine, although they have more population weapons etc..
Maybe Europe will wake up from their sleep
and realize that they need to consider the size and quality
of their military and stop looking to Uncle Sam
to protect them from being Bullied.
Bit late to the party with that one Troll. Unless it's escaped your notice Europe stepped into the gap left by the squabbling and Russian interference in the US politics quite well. Back under your stone now please.
socialist free sht or a military you cant have both
@@matthewgibbs6886 Either way. America needs to leave them to sink or swim.
France has already begun to spend substantially more money on their military.
Maybe Europe will wake up and understand that being a US pawn state is not a good idea.
Good luck Ukraine!
God speed Ukraine
Appreciate clarity with the funding of your channel. Your work deserves it, but I hope it wont turn into two seperate channels with a loss to this one
I agree.
A destroyed power plant takes years to replace not months, and also they can hardly weaken Ukrainian power production more than they have currently unless they'd start bombing nuclear power plants, looking at public information with almost all thermal plants destroyed or non-operational/available they must be getting 90%+ of their production from nuclear, some from hydro
you are so smart !
Smaller aero gas turbines can be installed in weeks.
In the mid to longer term the British (probably through the expertise of Rolls Royce) are in talks with both the British and Ukrainian authorities concerning the building of the smaller nuke power stations which probably makes far more sense than any one huge engineering project.
80% of war revenue comes from oil. If oil prices drop, the pyramid collapses.
@@nunya3163 Uh huh, what about piping infrastructure and everything that connects to a plant? If you revise it's power source, supply chains have to adjust too. You should know this.
do you remember when Russia had no weapons, no ammos, no tanks, no missiles, its soldiers were forced to charge in melee with shovels, Putin was mad and Sergey Shoigu died 4 times in a week? Ahhhh back then propaganda was still good.
Putin not only mad but terminally ill evidenced by his shaking leg, the Russian soldiers badly led, poorly trained, low morale, unwilling and mostly drunk, the Russian public likely to rise up and overthrow Putin and if they didn't then some inner circle of disgruntled military would. Besides, the Russian economy was weak and would collapse even if Putin did not die or get deposed.
Anyway, they are only making marginal gains and dying like flies but nobody cares anyway and the wounded are left to fend for themselves - probably cannot even catch a dog to eat. Don't get me started on what they do to the women and children if they can catch them.
Putin died in early 2000's, we have seen four of his body doubles come and go. Also, the same Putin that died in 2000's, died 3 times of cancer in the span of only two years! Amazing man, gotta admit.
Russia definitely has the upper hand in a war of attrition. It doesn’t look likely that either side will be able to get past attritional warfare anytime soon. It really comes down to political will, black swan events, or a political change (in the US, Russia, or Ukraine).
Regardless of who wins this level of attritional warfare is going to have a significant long term impact on both countries.
Russia wants a European empire
Bot
@@dfgdfg_yes différent opinion : Bot 😵💫
Ukraine should be astonishingly proud of their defense and efforts in this long war. They should not expect operational perfection, and it is a blessing that they are still able to hold off 80% of their country from the Great Bear. Attrition warfare is an easy and thoughtless doctrine for Russia to prosecute, but it cannot beat superior planning and manuevers. Ukraine has proven their strategic skills in the past and they will find another opportunity to do it again. They WILL win!
To be fair they can’t sustain current levels of offensive operations long term since according to all visually confirmed estimates of losses they are suffering a disproportionate level of losses in material (losses in personnel are correlated to that). Ultimately it will come down to whether or not Ukraines allies will provide more equipment, enough to launch successful offensive operations. I agree that that a black swan event is likely to lead to the end of the war. There is a high likelihood that the war will end suddenly and unforeseeably
wait.. waht.. but Zelensky told us 61biillion dolar is enough to push Russia out Crimea itself. Plus with additional game changer weapon. Are we be bamboozled?
Probs even 500 billion wont be enough
Do you have any idea how military funding works or you're just yapping
@@ESALTEREGO if only zelensky didnt take like half of the money for himself
@@commonsensedude2039 Good thing he didn't then
Not long before he was replaced Zaluzhny said that he needed 500,000 recruits, 450 billion dollars and 17 million shells to attempt to take back Crimea.
Meanwhile, US is getting invaded by illegals, your streets are getting more tents as days go by, prices of everything skyrocketed and yet, people are completely okay with government giving so much to what even US media called UA - the most corrupt country in Europe.
There's a button on youtube to hide shorts. I recommend it. I had no idea how much time shorts stole from me until I pressed that button.
Where? I looked before and didn't find anything to hide them.
@@st2udent_650 on the start page below the shorts area there's a small text you can press
W-h-e-r-e is t-h-a-t b-u-tt-o-n? 😵💫
Where
The text above or below the shorts column on your CZcams home page.
But the western media said russians only fight with shovels and is out of missiles like 2 years ago ?????😂😂😂😂
Jsut you wait cnn told me Russia would collapse any day now and Ukraine tanks will be in Kiev
Yes, but they forgot to mention that the Russian army shovel is sharpened on one side of the blade as a weapon and is also balanced so that it can be used as a throwing knife. Spetnaz are trained in its use as a lethal weapon. Not joking.
Why you say western? And Russia run out of missiles but they produced more and there was a case where Russians used shovels as weapons on very small scale but still
@@darthsidius9631 The source of the shovels meme is the British intelligence reports. That is why.
@@t.n.h.ptheneohumanpatterna8334Well Ukrainian tanks are in Moscow…
Russia losing more troops than Ukraine? Seriously? Can you show us honest reports of forced mobilization in Russia?
They are not telling you that Russians are turning up for mobilization even without receiving their notice to report.
Russia is losing far more troops in Ukraine. They are on the attack, using poorly trained troops with no motivation at all. They are fighting for nothing, except Putin’s dreams.
He can't because his channel is not basing on facts but on propaganda biggest lie is Russia losing more man then Ukraine while having at least 10-1 advantage in artillery let's not talk for combat helicopters combat aircrafts ballistic and cruise missiles and of course all kinds of drones. This channels for you are like listening to CNN and BBC.
What else would you expect from a brainless NAFO bot?
Exactly. Russia has suffered 170k casualties at most with 60k of them KIA. Ukraine has suffered over 1 million casualties with 600k KIA. This proves that on land - artillery always has been, is and always will be KING
Still remember this channel being high on MIC side.
Looks like when the toll of war affect ordinary citizen life, people start having second thought.
No one in the west has felt any effect..Russians are rationing everything
Why in the world is the U.S sending money to Ukraine?
Because Ukraine is a democracy under attack from an autocracy. But you already knew that, didn't you, my little ruzzian troll?
@@Ifatov LMAO🤣 "Ukraine is a democracy" 🤣🤣🤣
@@solinvictus39 Relative to Russia, pretty much everthing is a democracy, don't you agree?
@@solinvictus39Remember indefinitely delayed elections are just an emergency because it’s too dangerous to vote in a Ukrainian ELECTION right now. Whereas Russia endangers people by asking them to vote during wartime.
Slush fund for criminals
first video in a while that isn't straight cope still coping but now looks like its coming to terms about Ukraine losing.
I like how the ocean of "allies" are just greyed out
When the counter offensive 2 trailer be release?
shhhhhhhh 🤫
Great... It's been over 2 years, this clearly doesn't work
Can we try peace talks now?
It's certainly possible to try. But it's almost unrealistic now, things have gone too far.
But right now would make Ukraine into a smaller country than it was. And the territory is too valuable for them/
@@DoctorDestyNova Well, the territory is important for Ukraine, but they neglect people. As a result, the longer the conflict lasts, the more losses on both sides and the more territories Ukraine will lose.
The losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reached a record 1.5 thousand people per day. That's three battalions, almost a brigade a day.
Ran out of people, after carefully concealing the casualty rates all this time?😢
Russia was smarter in that aspect, they immediately lied about their casualties as soon as the war started. Meanwhile Ukraine only started doing that a year ago
@@kj_heichou Tell that to nth mobilization wave in the Ukraine. Who is kidnapping men on the street and sending the woman and 50 years old men to the frontline? I don't see any of them on the Russia's side lmao.
@viethoangtruong54 not what I said, also it's obvious that those videos are propaganda. Also over 1 million young educated Russians fled the country to avoid getting sent to the front
@@viethoangtruong54dude what kind of drugs did you take because i want some.
@kj_heichou such a wholehearted tool you are
All that money will need to get payed back.. Ukraine is dead with all that dept even if they "win" the war...
Umm this time Binkov sounds like reconciling with reality...
...and whatever happened to those F-16s?
Coming any day now, kind of like the -spring- -summer- -fall- -winter- -spring 2024- summer 2024 counter offensive!
Latest estimates are June this year.
They needed to train the pilots, and that takes a long time especially since new pilots being trained might not know English.
They are expected around June to August of this year.
@@NickCorruption
The pilots might want more time.
Probably part of that 400 mill package
Thanks Binkov, for giving a neutral and balanced take on a very charged topic. It’s hard to know what’s going on with propaganda from both sides along with the standard fog of war.
Let's try simple logic. At the beggining of the conflict Russia had about 250 000 troops on the field (max ammount named). Later they mobilized 300 000. Now the numbers according to the Western media is 600-650k. Russian officials say these are mostly contracted volonteers. No reason to doubt that because there was no additional mobilization in Russia. So if we take 180 000 KIA - russian losses up to February 24 according to Zelensky - there must also be near the same ammount of soldiers severely wounded and left the front. That's 360k losses to Russia. If it is true, then we admit that every third man gone to war from the russian side either killed or wounded heavily. Аnd Russia still have enough volunteers to sign the cotract? And still have enough man to attack and gain ground despite the losses? You must also take into consideration all those soldiers who will desert from the ranks trying to escape almost certian death with this casuality rate. Russia must have lots of barrier detachments to prevent deserters from fleeing. And there must be plenty of evidence of this detachments "in action".
Meanwhile Mediazone + BBC are calculating Russian losses using open sources and their current number is 60-80k KIA. That looks more like real number. So, if we believe in 31 000 ukranian KIA (named by Zelensky in February) that is not 5 times higher. Only 2-3 times.
But, there is a lot of reasons not to believe Zelensky. Officialy Ukraine have 1200k armed pesonnel in total (National Guard, Army, volunteer batallions etc.) So they should not have a problem to man the frontlines with the same numbers Russia have - 600 000 soldiers. That should be enough to hold the line if they inflict higher cusualities to rus army than recieve themselves. But despite that Ukraine keeps losing ground. So, either Ukraine did not inflict higher casulities to Russia or they have less soldiers on the front and Russia heavily outnumber them.
If Ukraine does not inflict higher casualities than russian losses cannot be higher. Thats simple. So lets look over the sitiation 2: Ukraine is probably outnumbered on the frontlines. How did this happen? Officialy total number of Ukraine armed forces is bigger than russian army on the front. They must have no problem to man the front. But they do. In april 24 former ukrainian presidents advisor Arestovich stated that about 100 000 troops have deserted the ranks of ukranian army. Not so long ago new chief commander Sirsky said he need 500 000 more men to mobilize and reinforce the army. The mobilization in Ukraine began at the first days of war and probably never stoped. But recently - after the failed counteroffensive - it has taken a crucial turn. A lot of videos where ukranian drafters forcefuly grab men on the streets, in the buses, on the market and so on. A lot of videos of ukranian men drown in river Tysa while trying to flee to Romania\Moldova and escape the draft. Europe discuss the possibility of returning ukranian male refugees home so they can be drafted. All these facts probably tell us that ukranians in mass don't want to fight anymore. Even for thier country. And ukranian military is in short of manpower. Why? Maybe because Ukranian losses is much higher than 31 000. Probably they are higher than russian casulities, if ukr army now don't have the men to hold russian advance.
I agree with you. One thing that needs to be added to your great assessment in my opinion, is the serious lack of any sort of visual evidence of casualties, even for field commanders, long forget civilian analysts. Drone footage is, speaking relative to the overall amount of operations on both sides, extremely scarce, and usually comes from very well equipped units with a lag of many days due to security reasons. The visually confirmed casualties of both armies would not surpass even several thousands of personell, meanwhile even listening to any number of interviews with fighters or reading the emerging literature from veterans, shows that its not a very uncommon occurance, for example, to lose an infantry platoon in one day, both in attack and in defense. Which means that the true extent of the casualties will likely not be even estimateable until several years after the war via demographic studies on Ukrainian and Russian populations
@@user-is1eq9jm2t agree. A real cost of war for both sides will probably be a question to discuss and research over the next few years.
@@user-is1eq9jm2tthe Pentagon leaks a year ago the ratio was 7:1 in casualties. Now that ratio is much worse. They do have ways of keeping tabs but don't disclose it.
"Russia must have lots of barrier detachments to prevent deserters from fleeing. And there must be plenty of evidence of this detachments "in action"."
Which there isn't. But there's LOTS of it from Ukraine. Including the horrible event where 100 Ukraine soldiers were shot for disobeying orders after they routed.
"So, if we believe in 31 000 ukranian KIA (named by Zelensky in February) that is not 5 times higher."
As i just wrote elsewhere...
When estimating total Ukraine troop casualties just from Russian cruise missile strikes, the minimum baseline ended up around 100 thousand KIAs.
A similar number came up for losses from Russian airstrikes. Russia has literally conducted over 120 thousand airstrikes during the conflict so far.
Then we have an estimate that Ukraine casualties from drones equals that of the above two categories TOGETHER.
That's 400 thousand KIAs already. And Artillery is stated to be the single biggest cause of casualties by a large margin. Noone can tell exactly, but the low end of guesstimates is 300+ thousand KIAs.
That's 700 thousand Ukraine KIAs, minimum.
"Later they mobilized 300 000. Now the numbers according to the Western media is 600-650k. Russian officials say these are mostly contracted volonteers."
Russia signed up 503 thousand volunteers during 2023. All of them are getting 8 months or more training, which is why with few exceptions, they've only started arriving at the frontlines late 2023 and early 2024 and will keep arriving at 25-50 thousand per month.
"Officialy Ukraine have 1200k armed pesonnel in total"
Faerytales. Ukraine's military peaked just over a million soldiers back in September 2022, since then, to my knowledge they have NEVER gotten even close to that again.
Ukraine officials have for example repeatedly during 2023 bragged about how they "once more had over 500 thousand troops", and after the massive casualties of their "offensive" in 2023, they did not suddenly magically get TWICE the troop numbers.
And if they had 1.2M, Russia would not be advancing as rapidly as they are right now.
"The mobilization in Ukraine began at the first days of war and probably never stoped."
A US think tank reported late summer 2023 that by end of July 2023, Ukraine had mobilised over 2 million troops, very roughly around 120 thousand per month.
Those numbers have probably dropped to half since late 2023.
Together with the 700 thousand troops Ukraine started 2022...
"Even for thier country."
Are they? USA has been calling the shots from the start. USA comitted the 2014 coup AND the 2004 coup that failed to get what they wanted.
USA forced the war with Russia to start.
USA, Joe Biden personally even, gave the orders that started the civil war.
Anyone who sees even a glimpse outside of the western propaganda bubble will instantly realise that Ukraine has been used as expendable cannon fodder by USA and the west overall. Why ever would any Ukrainian want to go back to fight for THAT?
"Maybe because Ukranian losses is much higher than 31 000. Probably they are higher than russian casulities, if ukr army now don't have the men to hold russian advance."
My current tracking of Ukraine casualties, although getting less reliable for every week that goes, as the last reliable source of information came in Autumn of 2023, is 900 thousand to 1.7 million KIAs and roughly 2 to 3 million WIAs.
Meanwhile, the Russian's are doing nothing to hide their casualties, and the semi-confirmed number is 32 thousand KIAs from Russian military, 2700 PMC, 7200 ex-convicts and somewhere around 8 to 25 thousand ex-DPR/LPR personnel.
Rough guess around 60 thousand in total.
So no, 31 thousand is just literally laughable.
Already the FIRST leak about casualties from Ukraine back in summer of 2022, said 191 thousand Ukraine KIAs by the end of June 2022.
And that actually tracks well with other known datapoints.
We also have simple facts, Ukraine starts 2022 with 700 thousand troops.
In December 2022, Zalushny in an interview states that Ukraine has 700 thousand troops AGAIN, but only 200 thousand of those are combat capable, ie the rest are untrained new recruits.
Meaning that even if Ukraine did ZERO mobilisation in the 10 months between that, Ukraine's MINIMUM casualties were 500 thousand.
And we know they mobilised over 100 thousand almost every month.
Meaning that total casualties by that time were probably closer to 1.4M.
With around 1/4 KIAs.
Anyone who thinks Russia EVER lost more than Ukraine for even a single week, is very VERY delusional.
UA gov learned from the best liars in the world - USA.
Honestly the only way Ukraine can win this war is if another nation gets involved with boots on the ground, but if that happens, the genie is out of the bottle and can't be put back in, so to say.
Gear alone won't save Ukraine. Young Ukrainian men who have ran away abroad to avoid military service just might. I'm just not sure about their motivation, nevermind time of training.
Ukraine becoming a NAFO proxy really hurt them
I am wondering what freedom they are hoping to win that being neutral would not have given them.
@@Hereford1642 Yeah the word "freedom" is not to be taken literally. "freedom" should be understood as closer ties with the west. Often, only being rich means being "free".
@@Hereford1642What do you mean? You would want to be ruled by Putin?
@@RizZRizZ- In Britain we are offered Sunak or Starmer, in America Biden or Trump. What exactly is it that you think is so dreadful about Putin ?
@@Hereford1642 he kills innocent people for money?
Too little, too late . Wrong kind of aid .
From what I understand Ukraine has a lot of veterans serving on the battlefield. Maybe around 34+ years of age to conserve the younger generation. Now that age gap has extended to compensate for lack of troops as of recently.
A lot of Russian videos of POWs are showing that the majority of the original Uke army in 2022 has been destroyed. It isn't that they just have that many veterans, it's that literally all of their young men have been killed in action or have fled the country rather than serve a regime that is, for all intents and purposes, just as corrupt as Russia.
@@Firespectrum122 they are both so close to falling apart its like ww1 who runs out of money and people first guess we will see this summer maybe france will save them
for context kids Russia has done more in 3 weeks than Ukraine throughout her latest counter offensive. Russia has pushed about 10sqkm into Ukraine in the last week, basically trippling the gains over what Ukraine achieved.
100 кв.км.
That's about how long it took the US to annihilate the 4th largest army in the world 2 decades ago. Keep believing Russia stronk tho lmao
@@DAethrys Iraq is like half the size and less funded than Ukraine. The USA is in a category of her own, teying to compare would be like saying Rome vs Egypt, Carthage, and Parthia. All who were regional pwers who lost repeatedly to Rome to the Point Persian culture was pushed to Iran, Phoenician culture is dead, and the copts are Christians vs their native faith.
@@DAethrys If Serbia got the same aid as UA % wise, 1999. would end up differently.
@@DAethrys What I am saying is, you're comparing apples to frogs.
"It's recently been corrected"??? The US not giving aid to Ukraine isn't something that needs to be corrected. The US doesn't " Owe" Ukraine unlimited money.
The Ukrainian president is demanding 😅
true, but if Ukraine falls then suddenly this highly militarized superpower is fully pressed up against NATO territory; a superpower that, mind you, has proven to the world how they have little regard for human lives and its hunger for more territory. In WW2, countries were eager to maintain peace and stay out of conflict when Germany invaded its first neighbors. This isn't any different.
@@sadiev2778oh now you guys don't want nato right up against Russia? Then why the fuck did nato keep expanding to the russian border?
Yeah, this cr4ppy channel pushing western narrative nonsense.
@@OmegaAlphaDu NATO doesnt "expand" like its taking territory. Nations choose to join willingly. Why does every country near Russia want to join NATO? That's the question you need to ask yourself. And the answer to that? See: Ukraine.
Every country in Europe except Belarus and Serbia is allied against Russia. Ask yourself why 3 dozen nations are in an alliance specifically to guard against Russia. 3 dozen democracies versus one autocrat.
I miss his old country vs country videos
They aer unnecessary, because most of the countries are fighting now (or very soon)
Same
@@derpatrizier not really
This is a RL country vs country video.
So do I. Thats what made Binkov unique
It is not quickly deteriorating, it has been like this since the start of 2023 or maybe even somewhere in the middle of 2022. It is just heavily sugarcoated to make the average voter feel that their tax dollars are making a difference
Oh shit reality checks have started pouring in. Big winner? US | Small winner? Russia | Small loser? Europe | Big loser? Ukraine. A tragic conflict.
One of the best videos yet 👍
But....but mainstream media tell me Ukraine is winning and Russia is running out of everything
They stole the gucci lockheed martin designed washing machines and toilets
They have been telling me Ukraine needs more shells for months.
Pro Russian sources told me Ukraine will lose any day now for over 2 years!?
Fascist Russian mainstream media have been telling you this?
@@brulsmurf They told us Russia would run out of shells in 2022, when in fact, NATO production could not match that of Russia.
The Video have been waiting for
US cleared it's old weapons stocks at high prices for Ukraine to pay back in decades or even centuries!!!
Thank you for reminding me that my country cares more about eastern europe than it does about it's own veterans, border, economy, citizens, and everything else it SHOULD be prioritizing.
You are spending literally 100x more on Ukraine than aid to South America to stem the tide of migrants.
All of those you listed are protected by keeping Europe a diverse area not ruled by one or few dictators. Protects our borders, military personnel, and economy indirectly.
The shovels battalion are unstoppable
Very original I’m sure nobody has repeated that ad nauseam in every comment section whenever there’s even a hint of Russia finally doing decently after two years of humiliation
@@jesusofbullets It's Not Even That Deep Bro, Makes Me Laugh Every Time, You Need To Relax Man, Who Cares If Its Been Two Years, Better late Than Never? 😂
@@huh...845
Why Is Every Word In Your Sentence Capitalized?
And why would it be “better late than never” that Russia is making advances in Ukraine after being the one to explicitly start the entire conflict with the insurgency they made?
@@jesusofbullets maybe western propagandists shouldn't have repeated these ridiculous lies about Russians fighting with shovels and then nobody would make fun of it? 😂
@@PavelBader
In certain places they literally were in the beginning due to the logistical disruptions that Ukraine was able to inflict.
When Prigozhin was outside the Russian MoD with the bodies of his guys yelling at the Russian government that their deaths are on them because he didn’t get enough ammo, I’m inclined to believe they didn’t have much ammo. This is literally caught on video btw.
I once met a Ukrainian citizen in Bali, he said that many young people there finally didn't want to take part in a war that only the government wanted.They see that this war is just a marketing project for western weapons, which of course all this aid is not free. In the end, many people are starting to be skeptical and feel distrustful.
What would the average Ukrainian gain if the war is won? What extra freedom will they get that simply being a neutral buffer state would not have given them? Let alone the death, destruction and debt.
@Hereford1642 corrupted leaders of Ukraine brought by west is the reason all that happened
Ukraine started to make problems for Russia since 2004 , they've been stealing gas from pipeline,
and after they started to bombing donbas region in 2014 Russia cannot stand aside, people demanded from Putin
To liberate donbas in 2014 but he hoped minsk-2 could bring peace
@@Hereford1642That's what stupid leadership does to a country
@@Hereford1642 neutral buffer state? It simply means, Ukraine will become demilitarized zone, with Russia able to take any part of their territory, anytime.
And remember, what russian politicians said - there is no Ukraine, no ukrainian nation, its all Russia. Do they want to live in - basically Putins Russia? Or do they want to live in EU? This was the 2014 about.
Half of ukrainian think of themselves as russian before 2014… That's not a long way back.
"despite renewed US help"
Renewed?
The deliveries from USA never stopped.
And there are no major increases in deliveries coming now or soon.
It's just the same as for the last few months, with a tiny handful of extras on top.
yeah but if the eu doesnt do something like start sending real money and weapons like we are we need to stop sending money if they did their part they would be in a good place to win a bit of land back but they need to know its gonna have to be kyiv or moscow to fall for someone to win they cant just push them back to the border and hold it
@@greenmanzz The deliveries from the EU never stopped either. That was supposed to be implied.
"they would be in a good place to win a bit of land back"
*lol*
Russia+Russia allied KIAs, probably around 60-65 thousand. Plus another 80-150 thousand WIAs.
Ukraine KIAs, somewhere between 900 thousand and 1.7 million.
Plus another 2-3 million WIAs.
As Medvedev has made his standard of expressing it, Ukraine has two choices, unconditional surrender, or cease to exist.
Russia is fighting an extremely effective attritional war, being very careful to minimize its own losses.
And Ukraine has merrily shovelled their soldiers into every meatgrinder and killhouse Russia has created.
And every new Russian soldier that arrives at the frontline consists of volunteers that have previous conscript training AND another 8+ months of training. And they come at a rate of 25-50 thousand per month.
While more and more, Ukraine's military consists of civillians with nothing but 2-6 weeks of wannabe bootcamp training.
And while Ukraine used to mobilise and pressgang around 100-150 thousand per month, they're no longer able to do so.
And so, they're running out of troops.
Just as they're already running out of munitions, vehicles, guns, everything.
Ukraine NEVER had the slightest chance.
But they were never meant to have to really fight a war.
USAs plan was for Ukraine's war to cause a military disaster for Russia, which together with propaganda and the economic warfare of sanctions to cause complete chaos and societal collapse would allow USA to conduct a coup and destroy Russia.
And as usual with the psychopaths in Washington, absolutely nothing of their plans actually worked as intended.
But they don't care. Ukrainian in their eyes is just another name for Russian, so lots of Russian are dying, giving them great comfort.
It boggles my mind that after more than two costly years of war, after the Wagner rebellion and murder of Phrighozhin, after all that, not only has the Russian military not collapsed but they're more powerful than ever.
Russians have an absolutely amazing ability to absorb great suffering and rise to the occasion. No western army could do that.
This is something the west fails to understand. Russian people are used to harsh dictatorship. Russians view Putin as a great leader, because nobody is starving. That is the bar.
"They gave the Germans the propaganda numbers.."
LOL!! Now, where have we heard THAT one before?
Losing Bakmut and the heavy losses on the battle, set the stage for the defeat of the Ukrainian offences. That in turn discouraged the US from sending aid to a losing proposition.
i think its more of the people dont want to send anymore the eu has done nothing we did we more across the planet then they did in their own backyard
Ukraine should not be relying on the US for so much support, as we are too unstable politically.
And yet they must. And russians spent a lot of political capitol having their republican sympathizers and collaborators block the bill for 6 months.
@@macmcleod1188 thank god bro your the type of guy who thinks of your own people last you know most people dont want to send more buddy come to ky and ask for more here see how much money you raise just because people in California want to fund it doesnt mean you should force people in kentucky to waste their much needed tax dollars on a country they have never been too because its the right thing to do and they need it more how about you give your house to a homeless person and send all your money to them
@@greenmanzz well I would answer your post but mine was censored so I have no clue what I said.
@greenmanzz I probably said something like I'm old and these are the best defense sellers we've ever spent in our lives.
And based on their behavior for the last 9 months I regard the Republican party as Russian collaborators.
And I voted for three Republican presidents during my life. But I haven't voted for them since 2007 regardless of the position. They are unfit to be representatives in a constitutional republic
@@macmcleod1188 i see why you didnt iraq was the worst thing we have ever done but saying republican party are russian collaborators sounds like. Propaganda but if you got proof the entire republican party are russian collaborators and that they are not the biggest fighters for the constitution like most people say they are i would like to see it
I have enjoyed your videos fle years
Sound like South Vietnam all over again
What you havent mentioned is that the 61bn is split between Israel,Taiwan as well as Ukraine.
61 bn is just for Ukraine the aid package was 100 billion total
they call it "aid" but it all going to the US defence industry... what a ponzi scheme.
These are crazy figures for a country like the US which borrows 7% GDP now every year @@OmegaAlphaDu
The aid bill made me sick. Democracy is just voting for who gets to fuck you at the behest of big money.
Binkov's depression
Thanks
You can have quality equipment but it doesn't mean you'll have enough hands to use those. Considering how large Russia is, Ukraine is gonna loss in terms of numbers
7:50 interception rates at 50-60% ? At this stage of the war? Are those interception attempts?or successful interceptions. Is there a source to contrast and verify that information? Or this is a "trust me bro" situation, like when they said they had a 90% interception rate.
11,000 launches in 2023 and 50-60% rate, requires an amount of interceptors that not Ukraine nor Europe as a whole have. Nonsensical claims
Good math❤
Kermit still thinks the defender automatically looses less troops. 90% of battles over the last 100 years disagree with you.
Yes, FABs dropping on fixed defenses changes the kill loss ratio
its part of propaganda ofc.
But this is not like "90% of the battles over the last 100 years", this is a very different war than anything before.
For the first time drones are used massively to destroy 1000 of tanks and soldiers.
There is no doubt that ukraine has undeniably much lower losses than the Russian.
Just watch the videos here on CZcams, Russia is losing 1000s of tanks and men (recorded by videos)
Meanwhile Ukraine is barely losing soldiers, because they are hidden under cover in trenches.
@@militaryanalysis5028 because CZcams algorithm doesn't allow Russian videos of destroyed Ukrainian units to circulate. Lemme give you a hint about Ukrainian losses- they had 600k plus at the beginning of the war around 800k including TDF and Border police etc, then there have been several round of mobilization of conscripts; despite that we see Ukrainian and western sources complaining of manpower shortages at the frontline, Ukraine enacting a law that stopped demobilization of conscripted soldiers nearly indefinitely and they are asking EU countries to help deport Ukrainian men who fled before or during the war, they even stopped any consular services to them to force them to return to Ukraine .
he is pro ukrainian what do you expect ?
What a gloomy prognosis. 😢
First - I knew it! Someone would finally do the basic math. The support announced is a lot less than in the past.
No it is much more.
@@maritaschweizer1117 No it’s not. Total of Arms provision is 15.3 billion. With only 8 billion In drawdown authority. For example half of all funds for arms for Ukraine now already committed. They will only be able to do 1 billion per month for rest of year.
I am aware that only about 20 billion if US aid goes to Ukraine, but Europe has increased the aid. Europe has already donated twice S much as ghe US and still increase the donatioms. Not just this year but for many years. The 50 billion from the EU is handed over within 4 years. The individual countries also have commited to pay several years.
@@maritaschweizer1117 This is about the US contribution. It’s less. Haven’t delved into the others but most arms of from the US.
Actually most weapons in 2022 were sovjet weapons from East European countries. In 2023 a big part came from tge USA but this does not mean they were paid by the USA. The 3 patriot systems in Ukraine worth 3 billion were produced by Reyethon but payed by German tax payers. On the other hand the hundreds of Leopard were produced in Germany but financed by a douzend of European countries.
You can't just solo a nation with 11 time zones
Ukraine is not soloing here. West had to give everything for victory, they barely gave enough to hold on.
Better news than usual Binkov. Thank you!
Imagine working in one of those factories knowing your probably a big target 😳
You left out all ath aid coming from other countries.
You skimmed over germany.
There is a lot more aid than just the USA.
No other country gives even close to the amount of weapons US is giving. EU aid is nice, but not on the same scale of importance.
@@_TkiT_EU aid combined is much larger than US’ one actually.
Kiel Institute has a nice updated table to check what was delivered so far.
@@pinotarallino From the Kiel Institiute "...US had allocated EUR 43.1 billion in military
aid, which is just over EUR 1 billion more than European countries."
And that's with half a year of not sending anything, clearly showing US as the most important source of military aid.
It just means the situation is more dire for Ukraine than people assume. Far more aid has flowed to Ukraine than is being summarized, and yet the result is Russia gaining ground.
@@_TkiT_from Kiel institute:
"European donors and the EU have allocated a total of 89.9 billion euros in aid for military, humanitarian and financial support since Russia's invasion of Ukraine two years ago. The US has allocated 67 billion euros."
While Europe hasn't given as much military aid as USA, they have more than compensated with financial aid so claiming that they're not as important as USA is just wrong. If anything they've done more for Ukraine.
So basically you say that they should quit while they can.
No, they just need allies that are willing to actually support them and not give them a drip feed of munitions
@@matthewarnold4557 That's not how the world works brother, the US aid is the best thing you're getting as it is.
@@keatonwastaken Well, if this is the best the west can give, then UA should demand an immediate peace deal, since this amount of aid won't help them win this war.
Ah yes because allies helped Tschechoslowakia ,poland or norway. First rule you have to learn IS the international lie about """"Friends"""" IS bullshit Ukraine Had to have a massive Thing that Allies want so much that they are included to Control to get them to Risks life and limb for them Ukraine doesnt have that Most people think they are Just russians anyway because in reality NOBODY gives a Shit about eastern europeans the Same way Nobody gives a Shit about africa or the middle east and eastern europe IS worse since they arent even Ressources Wörth dying for
Good clip :)
"Ukraine is probably losing fewer troops than Russia" 🤡 🤦🏼♂️
Not probably, most likely. The defender always enjoys this advantage.
I think the excuse that congress didn't pass the 61 billion bill for 6 months is better than admitting that USA simply doesn't have weapons and ammo to give, and would need 6 months to produce anything worth talking about, but if you look at US "aid" package in April 2024, nothing has any quantities, unlike in 2022 and 2023 when most if not all had quantities mentioned.
All of that is irrelevant, money and promises don't win wars, killing the enemy does.
Or simply USA isnt in a financial Position to do that Shit Like they did in ww1 or WW2 since they didnt Sold their weapons Like in the World wars
Binkov sounds dead.
Peremoga turning to zrada will do that to a copium addict :^)
He was addicted to copium, now its wearing off
That's just his voice bro, always has been 🥳
@@hiteshadhikarihow do you know?
@@abdeslamkallis533 go and watch his older videos about this war 😉
When Ukrainians leave the front it's usually a one way trip.
The assumption seems to be that US aid is all going to be used on actual weapons and not stolen. There is no accounting on the aid, and we don't know where most of the weapons go. Is this included in your calculations? Or is it just typical for war?
Actually, 300 million dollars of the aid is earmarked to monitor where the rest is spent this time - trust is no longer enough it seems.
Also, point 1 on the list I saw was that in 45 days Ukraine had to come up with measurable outcomes to show what good the money has done. They want results.
Hadn't watched a video in long time. Quite the change of voice and tone of the videos past of possiblr future wars, than talking the real deal. Which of course is appropriate, as is no longer an exercise of imagination.
Excelent work
The US$61 billion will be as effective as the last US$75 billion that was given to Ukraine.
You mean preventing losing? Thats the point.
You shouldn't wish for such things, the last package had a huge effect on the war.
@@enriqueouro9 I remembered the aid package meant for Ukraine to launch a counteroffensive to take back Crimea and reach the Sea of Azov. Both objectives failed miserably. So, I don't know what you meant by it had a huge effect on the war.
@@ThomyThompson It's not preventing, it's just tightening war.
@@ThomyThompsonso…dragging out Ukraine’s torture in its inevitable defeat. NATO is such a cruel partner.
I do not watch shorts. I find them very annoying.
I agree, they are probably the worst thing youtube has done lately. They probably took a page out of Tiktok and are targeting those kinds of viewers.
Me neither. But we are not target audience.
Shorts are not bad per se.
While the main audience of shorts is.... the short attention span public... they can be leveraged for specific themes and situations.
Agreed. Especially with CZcams sometimes just kind of "dropping" you into shorts, when you open the application 🤷🏻♀️
@@ethereal2620 Watching shorts is detrimental to your mental health. It completely destroys your memory and attention span
With these tough economic times it's only to get worse. That means nobody has money for youtube or any other social media app. Instagram will die fore sure. Who's going to pay?
eye blok3d the shorts with an extension and now yt is 10000% better. best thing i ever did.
Whats it called amigo?
Following
Binkov can you make a hypothetical scenario analysist if entire french force (without nato) help ukraine
Good one, though unbelievable
Or maybe the British army. I know its shit...but
@@bastogne315 still stronger than germany lol
french are famous for surrendering
probably not very much, as ukrainian infrastructure may not be capable of hosting the french army.
Thanks!
Too much is in a sense "not enough" so the title is in a sense correct.
Thank you!
It seems unlikely that Ukraine could push back unless they get enough western jets to capture air superiority, even just at a local level. Western artillery supplies aren't sufficient to make up the artillery gap, so the only way they'd be able to suppress RU artillery enough to de-mine and break through RU lines is UA having enough air superiority to suppress them with CAS strikes. Local air superiority is a large part of why RU is making gains currently, and lack of air superiority for either side is a large part of why the stalemate went on so long in 2023.
And do tell...how will that small amount of F-16s get through Russia's air defense network to even get local air superiority. That's why Ukraine was so careful with whatever they had to begin with. The F-16 is not a wunderwaffe and neither was the Me-262 at the end of WW2 that could turn the tide.
Russia has air to air missiles that outrange the AMRAAMs an F-16 can use.
Ukraine is set to receive 90+ F16s but I don't see how they get around Russia's air defense for offensive operations. Surely they will help defensively, maybe plug some gaps and possible air-to-air combat.
UKR will get 90+ F16s, which will deter russian air power for a time, but they will have a difficult time doing anything else. Russia has an immense amount of s-300 and s-400 AA platforms which would have to be destroyed for them to do anything which won't happen
@@Whiteghost785f16s wont do shit to russian air power
The mig31s are more capable than the f16s in every aspect in air to air warfare
Its radar can detect and track the f16 at +350km and can fire r37m missile at 350km away