Kornacki: Fmr. Maryland Gov. Hogan could ‘completely upend’ 2024 Senate map for Democrats
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- čas přidán 13. 05. 2024
- NBC National Political Correspondent Steve Kornacki explains how former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) scrambled Democratic plans for the 2024 Senate map.
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#maryland #Senate #2024Election
I love Steve kornacki. He has the most active two arms in the business.
I always get a bit mesmerized watching him because his movements are so robotic yet organic, it feels like he's doing an animatronic impression.
So true 😊
😂
3 party election. & debate & Nov. Election
Your mom also has the most active arms in the businesss
If Maryland votes Hogan in you’ll have another Suzanne Collin’s known for being moderate yet votes a lot with Reps.
The same Suzanne Collins who said Trump has learned his lesson so she voted against impeaching Trump boy was she wrong about him and his SC justices. Hogan is not winning on the Supreme Court alone.
I think it's time to look beyond these empty party titles and vote for someone whose platform you can get behind on specific policies whether that is democrat, republican, or another party.
Alsobrooks is winning the primary by double digits when Trone (the more conservative Democrat) was shown to be in a stastical dead heat with her most of the campaign. It used to be the Democrat/more progressive candidate were always underperforming the polls. Since 2022 though it's flipped and they've been overperforming in almost all the elections.
I think Hogan has little chance.
In what way Trone is conservative?
@Cubus-zapasowy In comparison to Alsobrooks. He's not a _conservative,_ he's just the more conservative of the two.
@@Drawkcabi I dont see anything conservative in him.
@Cubus-zapasowy To put it another way then: Alsobrooks is even more progressive than Trone is.
Alsobrooks is way more likely to have trouble beating Hogan compared to Trone. Obvious stuff.
Polls are a sample of voters.
Everyone in Maryland vote 🗳
I agree. I’ll never vote democrat again.
That’s the problem with dictatorial governments- it’s promising until it’s too late and it no longer works for you.
Post-Mussolini Italy finally knew.
If you can’t see the con, then you are the target. Vote blue if you want rights.
@@PabloTheThinker Could be your last vote ever then. Or maybe you’ll get Russia-style voting where “everything’s made up and the points don’t matter,” like “Whose Line Is It Anyway?”. If you don’t like dictatorships, you’ve got to vote Democrat until Trump passes away, apparently.
We sure will. And it will not be for a Democrat.
Most of us will vote for Angela.
Marylander here, and we won't be duped by Hogan again
I think the majority of Democrats like Hogan. But I also think they know its too much of a risk to give it the senate majority to REP.
I’m hoping you’re right.
I’m hoping you are wrong.
I agree. Voters know there's too much at stake with Trump and his cronies at the top of the ballot, so I think a Dem will pull off a win there. Seems a lot of young people have been voting lately too, so that's plus for Dems.
I actually like Hogan because he had his views but wasn’t forcing to make those decisions for us but yea I don’t want to risk giving them the majority and them not doing anything but debate washing machines and non serious issues
No way with control of the Senate at stake, in a presidential election year with Biden ahead 33 points in Maryland, will the state split the ticket. Hogan doesn't stand a chance. The polls that have him ahead are way off! Just like the polls that had Trone ahead. Alsobrooks will be the next U.S. Senator from MD.
MD likes a repub gov but we would never give the senate to the repubs. hogan will lose
Ohio does something similar. Not a fan. But we might lose Sherrod. Sad days.
MA did this for a long time.
Hogan a republican?? there's the farce...
Well the senate is going Republican with WV and then probably Montana, and that doesn’t even take into account any battleground states or Ohio flipping. So wouldn’t it be nice to at least have a senator who would be able to keep the right flank in check especially after losing Romney
Hogan also went MAGA-y during his primary ads, people in Baltimore remember how little he did for the city
Congratulations Alsobrooks #2024
A lot of these senators that are running don’t have any money though because of the RNC is not giving it to him
You mean their globalist donors? Like the Dems?
Great! 💙
Because they arent the establishment.
Hogan was a great governor, but MD is to blue to let him into the senate
too blue and thank God
@@Thadmotor1044 agreed, but still did like Hogan
Vote red down the ticket
@@Thadmotor1044if God is real he’s not on your side
@@crankedcobra7878god would certainly be more for the side that doesn’t force beliefs on to others bf secondly he would be on the side of the ones that want to uplift the poor. As god has a special place on his heart for the poor and downtrodden.
The most recent poll I saw was from The Hill. It showed Alsobrooks beating Hogan by 10, and Tyrone beating him by 11. I am not sure how that upends it.
You gotta be living in an alternate universe if you want to split your ticket.
As a MD voter I will say that Gov Hogan was a good Gov. We replaced him w Dem Wes Moore.
I voted for Trone in our primary on Tues. I will now get behind Alsobrooks bc all of our democratic reps supported her.
I will VOTE BLUE in ROEVEMBER along w family & friends.
#BidenHarris 2024
I Voted for Alsobrooks and will vote for her in November. Why? She is pro-choice. Hogan is definitely not for a woman or a man to have choice.
I’m excited to vote for Angela. We have the numbers. All we have to do is vote. 🌊
Thanks from another state
@@d.m.3133 let's go
@@kenyonbissett3512 amen and amen
Hogan is popular I guess. But like Steve said, since Maryland is heavily Democratic in presidential elections, and with young people voting in these last couple of midterms, and the idea Hogan would give the GOP an extra senate seat with Trump at the top of the ballot, along with his cronies, I see a Dem win in MD come November for US Senate.
More bogus mainstreaming of trumpists, and Republicans by the legacy mainstream media.
Why didn’t the headline read: “Alsobrooks’” victory over more conservative billionaire white man signals trouble for for Republicans”?
They are spinning things …
As a Marylander, let me dissuade you of your confidence in Alsobrooks taking that Senate election. Hogan was, unfortunately, an incredibly popular Governor - even among many Democrats. And while I appreciated that he refused to become Trump's lackey in MD, he won't have the same independent streak were he to get into the Senate. And many Marylanders don't understand that. Alsobrooks is attempting a MAJOR jump from county executive to Senator, while attempting to defeat the most well-known, and one of the most well-liked MD politicians of the past two decades. If we Democrats don't come out in major numbers this election, and throw all of our support behind a candidate in Alsobrooks (who is relatively unknown in MD outside of Prince George's County), we'll be dealing with a critical blow in our attempt to keep Republicans from gaining control of both houses. Democrats in MD and Congress are going to have to put a lot of money into this race and make a lot of appearances on behalf of Angela Alsobrooks if we are going to ensure a Democratic victory. This is by no means a gimme.
Wes Moore is very popular. I’m sure he will help her get elected. Who knows, maybe Obama will come. Marylanders are smart. A vote for Hogan is a vote for Ted Cruz.
Same thoughts here
I think Republicans expect to lose there but it opens an opportunity to drain some Dem money going into the race.
I refuse to split ticket anymore since Trump. I even voted for Larry Hogan once.
a lot of people are feeling a whole lot different about that we dont all have trump derangement so again "trump bad" is not going to win you this election you guys have nothing to run on and thats why trump is going to win and have a super majority in the house and senate
That was before MAGA, no more split ticket for me. Not if MAGA is around.
Trump 2024. Your family fled their rats nest to come to America for a reason.
Im with you! Vote Trump 2024!
@@83neffline bot
I don’t know if he meant it differently.
I agree. I’ll never vote democrat again.
Whether they are Democrat or Republican, we need legislators who have integrity, who have common sense, and will do things that are for the common good.
There are no such Republicans. Any that would possibly meet those requirements would be summarily REJECTED by the MAGA leadership of the party.
In all likelihood, Democrats will do better on that front
@@seand1011 i highly doubt that.
One party has shown it is incapable of doing anything, so I can’t say I agree
@@ZachToillion I highly doubt that the democrat party will do much good. I have the identical doubt of the republican party.
Regardless of whether Hogan or someone else wins, Maryland will still get a Democrat.
@@MonkeyDLuffy-fc3qb You can be sure. Hogan is a Democrat in everything but name.
The polls were so off in Maryland I am side eyeing all these Trump leading polls.
This is the only thing on MSNBC that could be considered within accuracy tolerances
The legend of Kornacki continues, King of Nerds.
Given the opportunity to have the first black female senator in MD is what will bring Alsobrooks barely in front of Hogan.
I think she will win in a landslide.
Racism is not a reason to vote for a candidate, how is she qualified? From county executive to Senate? A Senator's job is to look after the entire state, I doubt anyone outside of Prince Georges county believes she has any interest what so ever in representing them. I have not heard her make a statement that suggests she is aware Prince Georges county is not the only county in Maryland.
A senators job is to vote in the Senate based on the constituents needs in their state balanced out with the needs of the country. You don't need to have any administrative or executive experience to be a good senator. If she was running for governor I would probably agree with you.
So if we just ran a vanilla Democrat it would be a slam dunk.....instead were rolling the dice again with Biden.
Hogan isn’t beating Alsobrooks. Maryland has a strong black population and they have a chance to put the only black woman in the senate to represent not just them but black women across the country!
That is awfully racist.
@@_TheLONEwolf how is it racist wanting black women to have representation in our government!? Take your reverse racism BS elsewhere.
I thought a Senator is supposed to represent everyone
You're wrong about that, it's not the black population that will do it, it is the government workers that live in 4 counties in Maryland that will vote to assure their own job security and continued raises even while the rest of the country falls into Biden's recession.
@@kb3byu since she represents women and their interests she represents me more than Larry Hogan.
Hogan may be a “moderate” Republican but if he joins the Senate, he will be voting with other Republicans who will pass laws affecting Maryland that are certainly not moderate. Voting for Hogan means voting for the Republican right-wing extreme agenda.
what "right-wing" extreme agenda is that? restoring the family nucleus? reducing taxes? enforcing our border? recognizing property rights? keeping psychologically disturbed biological men out of women's spaces? Ending the war in Ukraine through responsible negotiation? refusal to back a terrorist organization that would happily launch an Oct 7 style attack against mainland US if they could?
He will block any Supreme Court nominee that Joe Biden picks if there is a seat to fill. Even Senator John McCain said he will block Hillary Clinton’s nomination if she won the 2016 election.
This guy is my definition of a geek.
It is true that there have been barely any split ticket situations since 2016, but this is the first time that this particular class of senators have been on a ballot that coincides with a presidential election since then. A potential confounding variable. I don't think Hogan has a very realistic shot, but time will tell. I expect he'll do better than any Republican senate candidate has done in Maryland in decades, but will ultimately fall a bit short. Maybe losing by 8-10 percent overall.
Both candidates seem great. But Hogan’s got much more experience and is capable of working across the aisle. I’m not sure either of those factors can really be said for Alsobrook.
Hope Hogan wins it. He’s done a ton for Maryland and hopefully people vote person over party on this race.
At least
Polls are not always right
He was way off in mid terms and other races why does anyone take Steve seriously
ok where are his kakis??🤔
That is the most laughable Blue/Red map I have ever seen. Honestly it looks like the democrats have a lot to lose come November. Look how Blue Montana is🤣😂🤣
no way is Nevada gonna be simultaneously R+12 presidential and D+2 Senate
And a least known who are our enemies
That NYT poll is horsecrapito.
Voted all Dems out
Vote all republicans out of office
@@user-cw5fr4zn4g I guess you like wars and you must be a illegal
Hogan isnt a bad candidate and isnt a MAGA just like Murkowski isnt. But yes i think a Dem will win this seat.
if you hear his local commercials he sounds maga
He will block any Supreme Court nominee that Joe Biden picks if there is a seat to fill. Even Senator John McCain said he will block Hillary Clinton’s nomination if she won the 2016 election.
Steve, I beg to differ with you, don’t automatically assume that the popular Governor will win in MD
I wish Josh Kelty was an advocate against domestic violence rather than an advocate of domestic violence. I wish he would do his job rather than abuse his position to get men off!
Why do you show Maine in Blue?? We have 1 Republican Senator (Susan Collins) and one Independent Senator (Angus King)!
Angus King caucuses with Democrats so he’s counted as Democrat same thing with Bernie Sanders in Vermont
Because the state voted for Democratic Party since 1992.
@@janmay7961 WRONG! Maine splits it's electoral votes among congressional districts (much more representative voting that way), the 2nd district has voted Republican a majority of the time.
@@raineddrain1184 He is strictly an Independent, and Collins is certainly a Republican so his chart is still WRONG!
@@williamanderson4029okay and Nebraska also has a district that sometimes votes democrat but no one is going to say Nebraska isn’t a Republican state
Sir good photo op. I amaze at your pictures. You are good to go sir ok???
It’s going to be a Montana, where the popular ex dem governor ran and lost by almost 10%. And Maryland has one of the highest educated electorate, so hopefully they vote for whoever but what’s with best with their interest
Didn’t This Fool “Predict a Landslide Victory for Hillary in 2016?” 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣👍🏾
These folks dont know maryland. Majority of the state loves Hogan so his popularity is carrying over. Hogan isnt your typical republican, he actually cares for people and not a cult.
So, why is Hogan running in Trump's Party and not as an Independent?
@obsocky779 just like Bernie is independent but runs Democrat. The political system doesn't support 3 parties only 2. Hence why it's so much money spent to keep the status quo. You only have a chance winning as GOP or Dem.
Steve Kornacki, RETURN THE SLAB!
1st Debate question for mr trump and President Biden at the 1st Debate in June . Who won presidential Election in 2020 ?
Maybe if he ran as a conservative Democrat he would’ve had a better chance.
Love you Steve Kornachi
Raskin better get out there and help his fellow Dems campaign! Save the Senate and the House! Vote Blue!
Zero chance that Dems will hold the Senate. All the Republican held seats are safe this year and Republicans are certain to end up with at least 53.
I’ll be here to collect all those tears come November😈
Nope, not voting blue..sorry.
Total votes cast for senate - Dems 513,000, for Republicans 250,000. I like those odds.
@@darrylbradleyYou will regret it.
West Virginia is a clear example
It’s sad to many people don’t want to vote 🗳️ for common sense
It's common sense that this administration is failing domestically and abroad. And dems in Congress dont seem to have an issue with the extreme direction and failure the party is currently partaking in.
I agree. I’ll never vote democrat again.
Hogan was one of the best governors Maryland has ever had but once he chose MAGA his politics changed drastically
Save America vote republican
What is it with plugging of this sienna college poll there are at least 10 polls including Fox News that have it different yet there seems to be a call to this one pollster it’s bizzare
POLLS SMOLLS
I'll vote for hogan. Did for governor a few times already.
The RNC is under bad management. Hogan might have a shot otherwise. Trump is lacking a message / something he is campaigning for. He could come out in favor of more tax incentives for married couples with children - which would be a totally populist Republican theme that most people would go for. Literally anything people like then Hogan would win.
I would be concerned with Hogan's health issues.
But I’ll bet you think Joke Hiden is a picture of perfect health.
No GOP extras in the senate,we had enough of maga,stand your ground maryland, no matter what, no Maga/GOP, they can't govern,if you send Hogan there,he will never vote with the dems but maga, you all know that,so never make that mistake, no maga/ republicans,they will continue woth the chaos as we have seen.
I’ll be here in November to collect all those tears 😈
This is simply not going to happen
As an independent I would have voted for larry hogan for president
This is absurd. The Senate is gone.
Our election are are not sporting event and I wish you would stop treating it that way
Polls are worthless if still done by landline phone calls. Most anyone under 40, or who lives in suburbia or an urban area doesn't have a land line anymore, and worse, will not answer calls they don't recognize the ID of. Those demographics have more D than R voters historically. The people with landlines, who answer every call and are willing to waste 30 minutes with a pollster are older, are more prone to believe in conspiracy theories (which is why they have a landline...) and demographically are more R than D.
EVERY mid-cycle election since 2020 has been pro-D and the D candidates have outdone the polling by a wide margin. Hopefully that will hold true in November.
Older voters with landlines vote in much larger numbers than Millenials and GenZ so it all balances out.
That poll is a complete outlier in terms of presidential race.
Naw
roll your sleeves down and try as best you can to look like (or at least imitate) a professional!
Pants Man
Illegal Immigrants an vote in Maryland. No proof of citizenship required. All they ask you is if you want to register vote, if you say yes ,they put you on the list
That is a blatant lie. No illegals vote in MD.
So, did ALSOBROOKS win her Primary?! I so hope so! And has anybody else noticed how very much she looks like House Rep. Jasmine Crockett, of TEXAS!
We Sure Hope it’s going to be DEMOCRATS! Larry Hogan did not make it as Presidential Race 🙏🫶💙🇺🇸
He will block any Supreme Court nominee that Joe Biden picks if there is a seat to fill. Even Senator John McCain said he will block Hillary Clinton’s nomination if she won the 2016 election.
I vote Kornacki for the sexiest man alive!!!
Steve, who answers polling calls? Do young people tend to puck up the phone when they don't know who's calling? What does your polling say about that? I don't want to sound angry, but the traditional polling methods seem to be designed to create a closer race and more buzz, thus more clicks for advertising. The last several elections have shown us your methods are not an accurate reflection of what is happening on the ground.
Hogan was a great governor. Conservative but NOT MAGA.
it to early we coming in November 2024 go blue 💙
She will win, we will NEVER vote for Republican for senate EVER.
Dir your photo op is wting there should less red colors out there in your picture. Your boss will be upset with your job ok?
As a Conservative, the only normal people on these crazy stations are the poll guys. Because you can’t lie math.
Polls lie. Who picks the 'likely voters' and who is paying for the poll.
No to Hogan. No. No. No.
No to your no ❤
No to you
NO BLUE NO MATTER WHO
He will block any Supreme Court nominee that Joe Biden picks if there is a seat to fill. Even Senator John McCain said he will block Hillary Clinton’s nomination if she won the 2016 election.
@@Cobaltis49 He will block any Supreme Court nominee that Joe Biden picks if there is a seat to fill. Even Senator John McCain said he will block Hillary Clinton’s nomination if she won the 2016 election.
Why are we listening to this man, has he ever been right?
this man only speaks fact's never has he predicted out comes he only shows data outcomes
you sir are mistaken about him!!
@@redrum707monkeyI agree, Kornacki is a fine analyst but is only as good as the facts he's presented with. I believe the 2024 polls are wildly inaccurate, more than ever before, so his facts are seriously corrupted.
Atlanta hogan is a moderate republican
To be honest, although I don't agree with his politics, Larry Hogan is someone who is there for the right reasons & his distaste for Trump was apparent many years ago.
More like him instead of Cruz/Rubio et all is a plus for the US & the GOP.
@@petepierre6458bulls***, he is a rino period and you know it.
No he’s not. When he was termed out Roe was overturned and he tried that backwoods red state BS but our dem legislature stopped him. Once he didn’t need our vote he showed his true colors.
If the Gov race was on the same year as the Prez, Hogan would’ve not won.
What does this have to do with anything? 🤣 & I seriously doubt that. Christie won NJ, in a presidential year, and the entire East Coast revolted against the Democrats in 2010 because of Obama
I agree. The polls had Hogan's opponent (was it Brown?) ahead of Hogan during most of the campaign, at times he was up by double digits. I think that in 2014, the Democrats voter base was a bit more apathetic to voting during midterms. It wasn't until the Trump era that the Dems were stoked into taking midterms more seriously. Yes, Hogan soundly won reelection in 2018, but that was after 4 years of proving himself to be a good governor and he had the incumbent advantage. If he was running for his first term in 2018, I don't think he would have won.
I know in 2014 I was shocked when Hogan won. I also skipped voting in the 2014 midterms I'm ashamed to say. That was the last time I skipped voting in the midterms.
@@hamish2884 Hi Hamish, you seem to be a little clueless so I'm happy to help streighten some things out. Chris Christie didn't win anything in NJ in a presidential year. Neither 2009 and 2013 were presidential election years, which is when Christie had his GOV elections.
@@hamish2884 New Jersey votes in an off off year, in Christie’s case in Nov.2009 & Nov.2013, which are more sleepy years than the mid-terms.
@@Drawkcabi , you’re right. He also got more sympathy due to his cancer diagnosis. Democrats have taken mid-terms more seriously ever since. Look at 2022, pundits were expecting a red-wave.
Mark my words: Maryland will NOT be competitive. A nationalized Senate race is very different from a gubernatorial one. Democrats should not waste their money there, when there are much more competitive races in Montana, Ohio, Nevada, and Michigan. Angela Alsobrooks will be the next Senator from the state of Maryland, and there is nothing, not even a former Republican governor, that can stop it.
which is sad because she sucks
Will he still be a rino when he gets to Washington?
Kornacki never has good news for Democrats
Days of Biden's presidency are absolutely numbered. It's time for Mr. Inflation to pack and go.
Nope
Our inflation at 4% the lowest in the world.
I think it's very kind of n b c to help black burn victims by advancing their career and putting them on. As on air talent.
This makes absolutely no sense. Who in their right mind is willing to split tickets and let Trump lead the country for 4 more years? Yea right…
I used to. I used to be an independent. I even voted for Hogan once. Honestly I was ignorant. I couldn’t pick a side and I didn’t vote very often. I was pro choice, not that it mattered because Roe was the law of the land.
@@d.m.3133 He will block any Supreme Court nominee that Joe Biden picks if there is a seat to fill. Even Senator John McCain said he will block Hillary Clinton’s nomination if she won the 2016 election.
Vote blue, vote democrats, vote Biden-Harris 2024.
I omen Will Rock🎶2024 Election 💙🇺🇸✌️❣️
Vote blue vote blue 👤👤👤👤👤👤👤👤👤👤
His flip-flopping on Woman's Rights is comedy gold. And the hypocrisy will be exhibited in every DNC ad. He won't win.
Whaaaaa? Trump is a dividing figure? No way.
Steve🤡your polls lied yet again dude😂retire with dignity bruh
I don' t think he is looking for advice from anyone who ends a sentence with "bruh." Pathetic.
The uneducated.
It's called abortion. You should look it up.
OOOH THESE POLLS LOOK BAD FOR JOE
House is looking good for Democrats 🎉
Vote red
MGTOW. For Trump in 2024🎉🎉🎉
Since the GOP is doing such a great job, why change anything?
Hhh, great job you say, you must be living in Mars, or believing those stupid polls.
Great job at what