Russia’s David vs Ukraine’s Goliath? Manpower woes explained.
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- čas přidán 3. 04. 2022
- This video talks about manpower figures relating to the war in Ukraine. How many troops did each side lose, how many are left, how many troops has Ukraine mobilized and what's stopping Russia to rush ahead with a huge army.
Images used in the thumbnail from Pixabay (Ukraine's military parade) and TASS (Russian soldiers)
Music by Matija Malatestinic www.malatestinic.com
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POV: You started your offensive on aggressive plan without waiting for your divisions to regain organization and equipment.
POV: You're new to HOI4 and you leave your troops on training whilst not bothering to micro the front line
This is literally what happens in HOI4 when you bunch up random units, put them on a front, set invasion line to go forward and press play.
Pov:you forgot to build railways and supply hubs
@@andrewarnold9818 POV: HoI 2 was the last good one.
And you manage every battle by your own, oc
@@notMattGarska ah, so that is why I kept getting massive losses when I tried playing HOI4.
Welp, good thing I'm not a general. Would be massively embarrassed right about now.
Numbers on infantry may not be everything but it seems those man-portable weapons are proving to be quite a force multiplier, especially those which don't require extensive training in their use.
North Korean is far ahead than my inddia in rocket tech wow
Read a great book: Red Storm Rising by Tom Clancy, about how Russia would invade the west with a great offensive. One Russian general said about the same as you said about rpg's, and I felt like it was just a lazy excuse to give the Allies a fighting chance. Since last month, I feel the only exaggeration in the book was the initial Russian successes :D
also to boot Russia refuses to own the skies absolutely
@@Superpooper-2020 Has North Korea sent orbiters to the moon and Mars? Long-range ballistic missiles are child's play for India, they're just not a priority.
@@sjonnieplayfull5859 😂😂😂
Tale old as time. Underestimate your enemy, overestimate yourself
It was understandable to underestimate Ukrainian resistance, look at Crimea in 2014 the Russians were welcomed with open arms and without a shot being fired. That's why the Russian invading force contained so many police and security units, because they assumed minimal fighting and were focussing on controlling the population and suppressing dissent.
Yeah the Nazis learned that lesson in world war II when they attacked Russia.
@@MySpottyGirlfriend
That assumption also informs some early Russian decisions.
"Why didn't Russia bombard Ukraine like Iraq?"
Because civilians really don't like getting bombed. Having their houses blown up would wouldn't make them like you.
"Why didn't they blitz through the country like it's a strategy game where I do this all the time??"
Because there would be no reason to rush if the population is accepting towards one's presence. Occupying a significant area without shots fired could show a weak government that submission is its "best" option.
And so on, and so forth. These two questions were just two that annoyed me in the beginning.
No wonder Russia is losing, half of its troops seem to be in the comment section 😂
Lmao that makes sense why all videos about the invasion kept saying since day 1. Wait till Russia logistics catches up! Russia is just resupplying! Russia is just preparing. It's been over a month and they've lost more then gained.
You are from Ukraine.
@@tubeyou8728 nope
@@fatalis57 then if someone writes a comment different from yours, it doesn't mean that the author is from Kremlin.
@@tubeyou8728 you can blatantly see when it's propaganda though, that maybe why some of the comments get deleted. The machine is hard at work
1. A LOT of mobilized ukrainians have combat experience, because they were fighting and training since war started in 2014. But now they have much better equipment. Right now main limitation is rate of mobilization.
2. Comment section is hell.
There is also difference in motivation.
Ukraine defend itself from.attack by nazi Russia.
Nazi Russia soldiers are no real intention to fight, they see through nazi russia lies about denazification on their own eyes.
Nazi Russia brainwash cannot cope in reality in Ukraine.
The situation is very simple, russian soldiers have the same role like hitlers hordes 80 years ago
If Ukrainian troops didn't have experience in killing Russians, they do now.
Correct.
Second is correct too. Wait a few minutes for people to arrive 😄
If you want an authoritative analysis of what's going on in the Ukraine instead of the Usual Wikipedia/CNN nonsense spun out by clowns like Binkov, listen to this interview by an actual militarily knowledgeable person. colonel Scott Ritter, Marine veteran and one of the planners of Desert storm. You will learn infinitely more about the real military situation in the Ukraine than from this stupid puppet.
czcams.com/video/SN7o-ThhFfY/video.html
I remember reading somewhere that an invasive or occupying force should outnumber the enemy by a 3 - 1 margin. Between the foreign legion growing bigger every day and average citizens taking up arms, Russian troops are the ones outnumbered in this war.
The attacker should outnumber the defender 3-1 was what you read probably
Its true. Also the airforce needs to be alot bigger since the defenders generally have anti air, surface to air missile systems that gives the defenders an edge when it comes to air superiority
Foreign legion was officially dissolved after being bombed repeatedly due to redditors constantly posting their location online.
@@bogdanbogdanoff5164 Everything Ukraine has said is a lie according to you, but THIS part of what they said is true? Boy, are you a picky reader...
@@sjonnieplayfull5859 Are you saying they covertly still recruit new people after openly telling everyone to piss off? How would that work? I'm not denying there still probably are western special forces and glowers on the ground, but OP is clearly mistaken.
Keep it up, Binkov. Your work is very important because you present a balanced and informed view as far as is possible in an ongoing conflict.
It's important to me because I'm bloody angry about it and need to be reminded that cooler heads must prevail at some point, or things could quickly escalate into something nobody wants.
Absolutely embarrassing operation by Russia. That practice footage looks cool but proved useless.
When your strategy is to expect everyone to surrender without a fight or even greet you with flowers - you can't hope for much success. 😅
Taliban embarrassment for usa spent 3 trillion for 2o trillion taliban destroyed them still wearing sandals you brain washed Yankee puppet
Something that needs to be said about the locals who help the effort. The cooks, mechanics, drivers and even the farmers (lol) are doing what russian troops need to do, therefore Ukrainian troops just focus on the fighting while a lot of support functions are taken care of
Russians use locals for s3x only
The farmers definitely should be admired. They’re doing the work of a highly trained army engineer with an expensive ARV with their personal tractor.
That's a great point. They have all been incredibly brave and have taught the world a lesson in leadership and unity. God bless them.
The front line soldiers always need behind lines support particularly in the modern war.
The Russian's countrymen were told it was just Putin's picnic and they would all be back after the holiday trip.
Putin has to lie to his own people 🙄 so to ask them to pass the ammunition and carry the wounded home must be a big problem for the LITTLE man..
I can’t wait for the tractor brigade, a highly skilled and disciplined tank army which has all their tanks taken by and driven by the farmers
(Joke)
So Russia waited 8 years to attack a neighboring country that went from having a dilapidated military to one that has gained years of experience and huge sums of weaponry and training from NATO. It isn’t hard to see why Ukraine is outperforming expectations so far.
Exactly. Sometimes I think Putin isn’t stupid but rather a liberal accelerationist: he takes authoritarian and militarist ideas to absurd that would lead to their downfall and eventual liberal democracy in Russia.
@@Carl-Gauss do you really believe if Putin die or smth Russia will change lol.
No Carl dont be stupid Russia with or without Putin will be same.
Cuz it's fucking superpower
Nah, the more money NATO spends, the sooner the west will fall which is good.
@@Carl-Gauss lol no. He just trying to end all dial with Ukrainian with little blood. Eh hopes that Ukraine finally started to made his part of Minsk agreement
@@vladimirthegreen6097 Bucha.
Ah ! At last someone addressing this topic the right way! Thank you
Congratulations! That video was a masterpiece, which probably had a deep truth inside it. The Russians might now have an upper hand over the Ukrainians in the heavy weapons, but the Ukrainians have at least 100000 soldiers more on the front. The possibilities for Putin to increase his army is limited, but Ukrainians have just got it going, and this going will we even stronger in the future. Now we can say, that Purin will not be able to dictate the peace. A tie is possible and if the West will keep the armament flowing, also the heavy weapons, then Ukraine will win this war. You were the first one, who really explained why everything has gone like we have witnessed, and how Ukraine is now having a good hand in this play, although many Ukrainian soldiers and civilians will still die. Bravo to Your output!
Binkov Operator Starsky also said in a recent vlog that 500k reservists were actively getting trained since 2014, they mostly received training which corresponded with NATO's training to fight Russians. Then they also did a few joint exercises together with other NATO countries, so I wouldn't underestimate the Ukrainian reservse since they have been trained the last 8 years.
That's awesome. Starsky rocks! 🤘
If they have 500K fully armed reservists, then Russia cannot win. When are they going to be all deployed?
He also said that for a period they had joint training with russian army itself for anti-terror operations, so basically they are literally the most competent army in the world regarding anti-russian operations
If you use US Intelligence data then your theory isn't correct or accurate, they constantly lied about who's winning I thought you understood this by now @Binkov.
@@stuartemmanuel3735 Operators Starksy is a vlogger from the Ukranian army that patrols the frontlines not American
"Binkov may talk about hypothetical wars, but only real peace can bring us all together"
Might want to update the first part of that ourtro
I honestly didn't think Putin was stupid enough to do this invasion, all the way up to the day he crossed the boarder, but as soon as he did I knew he funcked up royally.
Differentiating reality from fiction has become harder and harder since 2020 began. I mean who here could have predicted the battle of Chernobyl 🤣
real peace through deadly war, bro ;)
Excellent analysis, which adds significantly to the current debate about numbers. Thank you!
A great video to help answer some questions I have been pondering about the course of the war so far.
So long as Russia refuses to recognize their war in Ukraine as a war, which it is, and insists on calling it a "special military operation", there are legal roadblocks to using conscripts in Ukraine. Now, whether those legal roadblocks actually stop Putin from using conscripts in Ukraine is a completely different issue.
They just sign the contract on their behalf - no longer consript :D
There are dozens of thousands of volunteers in Russia, ready to go. So far they were denied, we'll see how it develops.
A lot of conscripts already were in Ukraine and now back. A lot of them in zink boxes.
@@bogdanbogdanoff5164 Can you provide any credible links supporting that? Also why would government deny them?
It’s less about legal issues and more about moral ones. War is unpopular at home and even those who support it don’t desire the annexation of Ukraine. Therefore conscripts wouldn’t probably fight at all plus huge unrest inside Russia itself.
Don’t give in to the Russia shills or the overly sensitive people who can’t hear anything bad about Ukraine. Appreciate the updates, plz keep doing them
Thank you, finally someone put it into the right words!
I mean there is just as much propaganda coming from both sides
even as im cheering on ukraine side, its still nice to know both sides of conflict
Russia shills or free thinking people who can look for information on their own....like the azov batallion for instance
I’m a Russian shill because I don’t want men who are fathers, sons, brothers and friends to die for a president who has turned 2 nations with a shared history against one another with language laws and even vindicating a battalion that wants to exterminate all Russians from Ukraine
O and he then berates OUR representatives to send US to go and die for his corrupt government of 30 years
Thanks for clarifying a lot from the battlefield point of view in this video!
Great video as usual. Thanks.
The structure of troops must also be considered. Russia's top down command structure negates flexibility and maneuver while Ukraine's small unit guerrilla style tactics allow them to ambush Russian armor and helicopters even in "secure" Russian zones.
And kill hundreds of friendlies in the process and then call them “Russian spies”.
Well said.
Nice story dude.
They have trained under western military doctrine the last 8 years. One of the superior things about western military doctrine IS their small unit flexibility and command structure VS russias old timey strict inflexible military structure.
@@ghost5487 “Old Timey” which is currently winning.
Oh Putin himself proclaimed conscripts wouldn’t go to war… well he seems trustworthy.. I’ll take his word for it
He was trying to convince Russian mothers not to hide their sons.
Is that the same Putin who assured the world he wasn't going to invade Ukraine? Just checking
Russians always lie. Remeber and tell to your son
Very grounded comments, well done.
I don’t know why this surprises people, Russias always been I dreadful at fighting.
There saving grace in ww2 was an absolute disregard for human life !
You are quite obviously an ignoramus. If what you said was true then explain why Field Marshal Montgomery in the preamble to his book said …first rule of war, never ever invade Russia. The Germans had high regard for the Russians fighting spirit.
As to the war, don’t believe what the western press is saying. Russia is winning and will achieve its aims. Just because all the western media lies in unison it doesn’t mean they are correct. Far from it.
say thanks at least
Because contrary to what you may have seen on the Discovery channel, the Soviet / Russia military hardware is actually pretty good, but its deployment in this conflict has been nothing short of disastrous.
@@peter.a.langan5872 what in earth are you on about 😂
So the main reason the Wehrmacht struggled in Russia was simply because of logistical reasons , the sheer size of russia is what made it incredibly difficult to A attack and B consolidate. That and ego - zero reason for Stalingrad to be taken the Germans could of blockaded the Volga river further upstream and should of pressed on for Moscow as a complete army group instead of splitting it.
There’s an absolute incredible amount of footage on the wider web away from western media of how much of a dreadful casualty rate the Russians are actively taking in Ukraine.
If you genuinely think Russia will be able to take , consolidate and hold Ukraine it is you who is “ignoramus” - for the same reason Germany suffered in Russia in ww2 they’ll be in a land where they’re not wanted and where the populace will be completely defiant they’re massively punching above there weight and Russia clearly has massively under estimated this - there tactics and fighting capability is that if a soviet era and has not kept up! There ability to fight in combined arms is terrible and it’ll only get worse as they get sucked unto heavier urban combat where they cannot utilise there textbook artillery tactics and have to approach on foot.
Russian troop figures are currently at around 3 to 100k population or there abouts , nato struggled in Iraq at 8-100k the allies at the end of ww2 20-100k in Germany
Russia will absolutely not pacify and hold on to Ukraine - I suggest you look at why Ukraine utterly detest Russia.
people in comments rambling on which country is good or bad but fail to realize this was a fairly unbiased review of the current strategy & doctrine of both sides
Tribalistic smoothbrains cannot handle analysis without having a meltdown. It's hilarious.
True. Whenever you heat some neutral stance they go crazy man
Agreed
@@riffcrypt8438 aight, i wanted to keep quiet here, but holy shit. You're calling people smoothbrains for having an opinion based on real world actions, just today in the town of Buchs it was found that 300 people were massacred, people tend to remember stuff like that, and bias their opinion on the said conflict. What you're trying to be a smartass when you're hell the fuck not mate, if you can talk and listen, without making an opinion on what's right and what's not, you become a damned Statstard that shares stuff everybody already knows.
Kidna looks like i shat my arse here, but i feel good about it anyway
ngl, russia's probably counting civilians as confirmed kills at this point
Haha so fucking true xD russian army getting deleted
Well Ukranian civilians are taking arms and joining the army so they can count them as confirmed kills
it doesn't matter. whatever will happen, war will be won by Russia, even if we will need to kill millions we must prevail. I don't care what should we do to win, nukes, genocide, destroying every major city, but we must and will prevail
Russia be like "Civilians? Women and children? Executions? Нет! They are actually Nazi soldiers who we liberated from the horrors called life!"
It's more likely that Ukranians are counting their militia losses as civilians
Interesting video. Thank you.
This may be the first time in history where the defenders, fighting as guerrillas, are better armed than the much larger invading army.
*screams in Vietnam*
@@Meme1man No, the Americans were still better armed.
@@Meme1man the North Vietnamese actually had a lot more soldiers involved in the war than America did
Isn't taliban wasa the same during the russo-afghan war? Since the US and their allies provided them weapons
Afghan War against the Soviets
Russia isn't what it was. They've obviously found it difficult to coordinate the troops they have in theatre and their logistics. Plowing more troops in won't help that situation
Huh? Russia is what it was. They are doing the same shit they did for over 100 years. They were never able to win any conventional war except for WW2 when they were equipped by the Allies.
Imagine trying to be a modern effective military in 2022 without NCOs lol.
If you want an authoritative analysis of what's going on in the Ukraine instead of the Usual Wikipedia/CNN nonsense spun out by clowns like Binkov, listen to this interview by an actual militarily knowledgeable person. colonel Scott Ritter, Marine veteran and one of the planners of Desert storm. You will learn infinitely more about the real military situation in the Ukraine than from this stupid puppet.
czcams.com/video/SN7o-ThhFfY/video.html
failed logistics being case only in first two weeks, russians fix this issue already
@@lek8630 Yes. but moving back to Russia and having a shorter logistics line. All the hallmark of great logistics.
POV: You arrived somewhat early and all the comments are all (for the lack of better terms) absolutely idiotic
Thank you for an interesting video.
Nice analysis
This is exactly what I was saying......the big Russian mistake was assuming they could win with just 190,000 men against a country that has enlisted large portions of their population.Even in modern day numbers do matter
You can see many footage video of Ukrainian territorial defense (volunteers) using NLAWS, at a point Ukrainian infantry could only use anti tank, they have so much provided by nato.
Russia was banking on Trump removing America from NATO(which the clown actually tried to do and unsuccessfully tried to get support for). They were also banking on Trump still being in power and if he was, he would not have done a single thing about Russia invading Ukraine.
@@thomaslacornette1282 NATO, and especially the US, have been sending weapons and ammunition in around the clock since the war started. The USA is approaching $3 billion in aid to Ukraine since February 24th.
Yes. While numbers do matter they don’t automatically guarantee victory. The Israelis have won several wars against several Arab countries at once despite being a smaller country with far fewer people.
@@sinpoeanarconna2974 Yes and european countries give a lot, even some not in NATO like Sweden give 10 000 AT4 anti tank.
with the 410 men women and children massacred in Buca, Ukraine that will strengthen Ukraine's resolve even more!!!
*Bucha
Ever notice how autocracies are heavily dependent on conscripts?
Well yes but not the German Empire, they have a decent sized military and a gigantic reserve due to having mandatory military service for a country with that many people living in it.
Very nice work!
Belorussia's government fears an uprising. The regeme there can't risk moving troops to Ukraine.
Yes some belarusians have been helping Ukraine including railroad Crews.
One can appreciate the beauty of the U.S.'s geography through this war. Being on its own continent, it can mobilize all its troops to go on the offense without much fear of being invaded elsewhere, enabling a greater strike force than anybody else in the world.
inb4 Canada invades
inb4 US bombs the one highway that keeps West and East Canada together as one country
Lol Canada can't do shit
The US remembers the War of 1812 and pays an anual tribute of maple syrup to keep the Canadians from returning.
@@AEB1066 ah yes, the war of 1812, when *checks notes* Britain invaded the US
@@jb76489 1812 when Canada decisively repulsed the American invasion of Canada, though Americans do not view it as a defeat???.
Thanks , great info 👍
The thought occured to me that not only would Russia be fudging its official casualty numbers, but that the commanders in the field themselves could also be giving fudged numbers to Moscow. The actual toll could be significantly higher.
I think its unbelievably high. Their army is a joke of the world.
Mobile crematoria are there for a reason.
Well thats actually smart what you are saying on multiple levels.
Report less casualties --> You look like a competent leader
Report someone as not dead --> he still gets his pay, you and your corrupt comrades can share his money
@@wessexdruid7598 russians don't take or burry their dead.
@@JV-un7qw Then why are units complaining of having to ride around with their own dead soldiers for days? They certainly have done so in previous wars.
Having tanks, and having warm bodies to hold rifles isn't much use when you don't have gasoline to move them around as we're finding out them out. The big x factor in this war is that Ukraine is being bolstered by the richest countries on Earth while Russia is becoming a pariah state.
The morale differences also means that Ukraine can afford to lose a lot more people and still win a strategic victory; although if we believe US figures it seems like Russia isn't able to significantly gain a lead on the kill loss ratio.
that could explain the lack of videos of Ukrainian armored columns
@@Marinealver that or they don’t want to show off to keep it secret or away from being found
If you believe US figures, I have a bridge in NY to sell you. Here is the reality
No, they have.managed to brilliantly neutralize a SUPRERIOR force through the brilliant use of maneuver warfare. They made a big show of threatening Kiev, Kharkov and Odessa. The point was to draw Ukrainian reserves away from the real object of attack which was Mariupol which was absolutely essentially. Now that Mariupol is basically captured, they have been able to redeploy some forces from Kiev for the big upcoming battle in the DONBAS. The Ukrainian forces rushed to the defense of the cities are now trapped and can not be used to reinforce the DONBAS. The Russian control the roads any Ukrainian relief convoy will be cut to pieces by air strikes and artillery.
This has been an outstanding example of successful maneuver warfare. It will probably be studied in military academies for years to come as how s numerically inferior force defeats a bigger one.
@@nehronghamil4352 "You see comrade! We lost 7 generals, hundreds of tanks and helicopters, thousands of troops and vehicles, and few battleships! All according to our master plan!"🤣🤣🤣
@@nehronghamil4352 lol bro, lmfao
I went back and re-watched Binkovs video on the state of Russian forces (Sept 29, 2021) He pretty much laid out the story as we saw it unfold this last winter and spring. Kudos to him.
What, like the videos where he explained how Russian army is so well trained and equipped?
@@notMattGarska Nope, not that one. The one from Sept. 29, 2021 where he correctly evaluates Putins army.
And anyway, he wasn't the only one saying that. NATO military planners were fooled as well.
@@notMattGarska You seem to only recall the video title. In the video itself he actually goes into training and pro and cons. Both of which show in the war now. Quite fascinating actually
@@peterblood50 cause Nato didnt count in russian logistics and corupption problems
@@Kumpelblase397 Yup, plus the lack of training and the lack of commitment of the average soldier.
quite hard to find a neutral analysis about this war, great job man
Great analysis!
Even if Russia wins the war, this war only shows how weak the Russian military really is. They are getting their A**es handed to them. They are a logistical, strategic, and tactical failure.
They have proven themselves to be a paper tiger, for sure. They would be done for without nukes.
True but the west has also shown
itself to be far from Invincible lately
We don’t know if they really are getting their asses handed to them because Ukraine and the West have refused to give frequent updates in Ukrainian military losses.
@@ceoofbarkingat3am571 And that's the scary part...
And this is a good that russGAYa is bad,WE dont want criminals to win
The Ukraine has a 100000+ troops, it has western intelligence networks providing info, and advanced anti-tank weaponry.
regular ukrainians dont wanna participate in war against russia
If you want an authoritative analysis of what's going on in the Ukraine instead of the Usual Wikipedia/CNN nonsense spun out by clowns like Binkov, listen to this interview by an actual militarily knowledgeable person. colonel Scott Ritter, Marine veteran and one of the planners of Desert storm. You will learn infinitely more about the real military situation in the Ukraine than from this stupid puppet.
czcams.com/video/SN7o-ThhFfY/video.html
Including foreign legions and volunteers its actually 400,000+
I think everyone underestimated how much of a force multiplier proper Intel provides.
@@ChArLiE-1chaz9 "volunteers" ran away back to europe after missiles destroys training bases under yavoriv and other town which i forget how to named
Ukraine is david and russia is goliath...small country but never underestimated its power of will to defend and win...
Exactly lmao I was like “this title doesn’t seem right”
This time it seems David won't win
Do you know anything at all about history? Ukraine isn’t shit. They always getting they ass whipped. Neo nazis have infiltrated Ukraine.
Stay strong ukraine 💪 from finland 🇫🇮❤️🇺🇦
If memory serves correct.
Before Russia entered war against Germany, they tried to invade Finland. The problem was not equipment or manpower. It was their own people's unwillingness to fight for the land of others. Finland handed them their butt.
Although when Germany invaded them it was another story. Russians fought fiercely for their own lands.
Which tells me their people will only fight hard if it is their land.
I see the same happening now.
To be fair, veterans, at least in scout squads, blamed equipment on their underperformance. I mean uniform, "MREs", etc. Also, USSR won in the end, even with losing a lot of soldiers not just to Finnish bullets, hut also to frostbite.
@Jo It's funny how you dare to call losses at more than 5x the enemy a success.
The winter war was a win for Finland. Finland is still Finland.
The USSR is not in existence anymore.
@@dougkennedy4906 By that standard France defeated Prussia.
Great stuff. Keep it up.
The World:
“Hey Russia, don’t you think you have enough land there?”
Russia:
“Yes, but I like YOUR land”
you think war was over land? watching normies discuss politics is always mindblowing
@@djocharablaikan8601 Its even more hilarious to watch ppl answer to a meme
@@janoycresva919 😂😂😂
@@djocharablaikan8601 What else is Russia suppose to want other than land in this war? They literally said they're going to occupy eastern Ukraine. If they don't want land they would've just backed an armed coup in Ukraine.
Sun Tzu said, "It is the rule in war, if our forces are ten to the enemy's one, to surround him; if five to one, to attack him; if twice as numerous, to divide our army into two."
Putin matched the Ukrainian forces and attacked... at the end of winter. If he had studied history's documentation of invasions of Ukraine and understood what actually beat Hitler and Napoleon, he wouldn't be losing tanks to muddy fields right now. He didn't outnumber his opponent 5-1 as Sun Tzu recommends, or the 1mil allies vs 300k Iraqi troops in Kuwait.
He tried a siege at Keiv with 1-1 odds when every tactician back to Sun Tzu knows that takes 10-1 troop ratios. Unless the Ukrainians just dropped trou and ran like the Afghan "soldiers", that's not going to work. That's a recipe for utter failure.
Putin's being lied to, or Vlad's gone mad. Where is the buildup of the "Little Green Men" he is so known for? Where is the deafening propaganda/ information war he generally wages? Why aren't we seeing the benefits of the "powerful electronic warfare equipment" the Russians have been touting for a decade plus?
I'm starting to suspect, along with many others, that Russia really is a paper bear without their nukes. The world has long feared these people who can't even get an aircraft carrier seaworthy. It's gotta be the nukes. everything else seems to be an illusion.
I guess you have never heard of military feints. Russia had military feints with a small number of troops in Kiev, Kharkov and Odessa. These required large numbers of Ukrainian troops to stay to protect these cities. The real war was in the Donbass where most of the Ukrainian troops are in a pincers move from north, east and south with their backs to the Dnieper River. It is now a killing field, especially since Ukraine has no air support and Russia controls the skies.
Looks like you're the one who has to study history. Neither Hitler nor Napoleon were defeated by the "muddy fields" ... Operation Barbarossa started a little too late precisely because of the mud (and the Balkan war TBH).
Putin made the same mistake those other two did in RECORD time.
Putin won the invade in likely bad weather any% run, now he has the WR.
Putin based the entire operation on 2014's well prepared invasion and successful annexation of Crimea. Since then, the Russian army has been revised so he thought it would go even better this time. You can find pre 2014 footage of pro-Russian demonstrators in major cities such as Odessa, Sevastopol, Mariupol, Kharkiv etc. literally calling for Putin to come and save them.
This is why he thought Ukrainian campaign was going to be easy, not even calling it a war or an invasion but a "special military operation." Something the rest of the world would be unable to react upon because it would be over already soon after getting the news of an actual invasion. That's also why he stalled the rest of the world by claiming that the troops building up around Ukraine were just conducting a military exercise.
Sun Tzu is the one quoted by every arm chair strategist who think they sound cool saying "become like your enemy" or some BS.
I mean the fool was a failure of a military strategist.
Putin wanted Blitzkrieg. Instead he got the opposite - Putinkrieg.
Blyatkrieg
Thanks for sharing this informative video!!!
As a former USAF veteran here from the late 90's we knew Russia was a 3rd rate regional power. Even when I saw the maps of how the Russians were invading Ukraine I laughed out loud. Don't confuse 70 years of American know how in logistics with any other country. Americans are the only ones that can move military manpower and material anywhere on the globe and maintain it.
not trying to sound like some disrespectful person but i don't hate your country but just your government, always have, but don't find what is in Ukraine as humane and as a Russian citizen i condemn the war, i don't care, i can say it but the US didn't proceed it self well in the middle east or vietnam, no disrespect to the soldiers who lost their lives, those who risked their lives, took a bullet, but look at Iraq, your president bush lied to you all
Agreed, the Russian military is just the same corrupt, incompetent soviet military with less funding and newer uniforms.
@@KGBSpyGeorgeCostanza the Russian government, well basically Putin is not the Russian people. Most Americans get that. You have a terrible leader and there is nothing you can realistically do to change that and I don't blame the Russian people for this war. My hope is that you guys get a chance and real freedom soon and maybe this war going very badly for Putin will get you that. In the mean time, stay safe and take care.
Binkov, your really need to *redo* all your *old videos* with *Russian military* combatants.
It turns out all the estimates of Russian military strength was _greatly_ overestimated.
The Russia versus NATO scenarios would most likely now end with a complete loss by Russian forces.
Indeed, that cannot take on NATO or EU on their own, especially without nukes(in which will lead to MAD).
Everyone was fooled by the potency of the Russian Federation, even Putin.
Tbf he was maybe using western assessments.
Russias army is designed to fight nato , it just didnt expect such determined ukrainian resistance and therefore didnt prepare for a war of attrition like it would for nato
Jus like the USA power against rice farmers in vietnam kkkkkkkkkk
The author does not take into account the morale and combat experience of Ukrainians. (For 8 years, 200,000 soldiers went through hostilities in the Donbas)
The Russian army is not getting stronger every day (morale, lack of combat experience, corruption in the army, lack of normal communications, incompetence of command) are making themselves felt. Probability for Russia to reach the borders of Lugansk and Donetsk before May 9, approximately 10%
Plus, a huge number of commanders of the Ukrainian army have real combat experience, which cannot be said about Russia, where the Minister of Defense did not even serve in the army.
Ha, tell that to the Defense Minister of Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium and other European countries...
@@bobigorg1665 These countries are not in a state of constant war. so your argument is shit
@@bobigorg1665 In Europe ministers are members of a civilian goverment, it is unusual to have military men in charge, the armed forces have their own generals and top staff. What is ridiculous is Shoigu being a general, which would be an insult to other generals in Europe.
You didn't even watch the video did you?
@@celebrim1 i said my opinion
Because of the optics and the size of Ukraine, it's hard to imagine Russia being able to hold the country, especially with the Ukrainians receiving armaments from the West. It's already looking like Ukraine will become Russia's Vietnam.
Afghanistan was Russia's Vietnam. Looks like they didn't learn than. 20K Russians sent home in body bags, from the most conservative estimates. Hope they're happy with Putin's drive to have some beachfront property. Nothing but murderers and rapists left in the Russian army. Slava Ukraine.
Russia goal isn't to capture all of Ukraine, they just want to capture and hold eastern and Southern Ukraine where all the oil and coast line is along with the river that supplies Crimea with water. Everything else is just extra ground that they will use as bargainning leverage when they sign the peace treaty.
Russia really is speedrunning Afghanistan + Vietnam. And their own collapse.
@@neotalin7238 yes, Afghanistan 2.0 but with economic collapse too.
@@adamlangton1967 We don't live in some fantasy world. Countries fight wars of conquest to secure vital resources and strategic geographical locations. If you don't fight for resources your own people would just starve to death or die in revolution / civil war when your country's economy collapse or worse have foreign countries with more resources invade yours for resources that they want.
People dying via a hot war vs people dying through economic warfare / starvation is no different.
I suggest you go look up two videos from a channel called "Real Life Lore", look up the video "Why Iraq is Dying" just so you can see the importance of geographical location of a country and the problems it brings as a baseline since it has nothing to do with Ukraine and Russia. Then watch the video "Why Russia is invading Ukraine" which does a pretty good job of explaining the economic and strategic importance of why Russia wants to invade Ukraine. While it covers quite a bit it doesn't explain the history and political aspects.
I've been saying they needed a million men. WW2 armies we're sized in the tens of millions, and at it's peak, the U.S. had nearly 500,000 troops in Vietnam and did not unilaterally control the whole of just South Vietnam. So yeah 250,000 isn't even close to enough.
Military experts before the war said for a complete invasion and lasting occupation of Ukraine Putin needed 4 times what was amassed, or 520k.
“Just like Russia, Belarus is unlikely to send in conscripts.” Except Russia has even admitted to sending in conscripts since the start…
Guess you missed the part of the video where the original Russian conscripts were addressed
yep, I confirm ru conscripts in quite large numbers KIA near Kyiv.
This is the only mistake that russia confirms. They deny everything else.
Now sending them back in would be hard to explain.
Haven't seen any - should have been lots among captured. I think no conscripts were taken prisoner. They are really useless, what's use of a 18 year old kid? The conscript term in Russia is only 1 year. Even if they are used at the end of that term - still, just useless meat. They will run away, surrender, die off uselessly. I know DNR and LNR forces use "reservists" but those are really all male population, and they are very poorly prepared. Many are old men, nearly out of commission. Or kids thrown into the grinder. Again - useless really.
This is a Russian propaganda channel. Has been for years.
He has'nt mentioned the lethal Ukrainian Tractor Batallion.😂
Nice.
Legends
Its not like that russias equipment is completely out of date or that they didn't have the menpower or that the Soldiers are not good fighters. This was just one of the most incompetent strategic assault in history. They ignored so many rules of warfare. This is why they failed so hard.
The three biggest mistakes they made (next to many others):
- poor logistic planning - "A battle is fought by logisticians before it even begins." E. Rommel
- hyperextension of the forces
- underestimating the opponent
I was just about to make those points .You hit it on the nose.
Not completely out of date but their equipment isn’t nearly as good as western kit.
@@mrgeorgeb0062 Sure, but to be fair, Ukraines stuff isn't better. Only some delivered Anti tanks weapons like the Javelin from the west is more advanced.
Are you on drugs buddy?
@@Samurai___Jack What do you mean? See: czcams.com/video/nbc7299kLOE/video.html
nice analysis
You also must consider how many of those 250,000 Russian ground troops are logistic/engineer units, and how many are actually combat units.
That's why it only takes 10% casualties to impair combat ability
I heard that they treat their privates really nice.HaHa
Russian forces do not have the extensive network of support units that Western armies do. We can see that in the first few days of the war the Russians were leaving broken down/out of fuel vehicles by the side of the road. That's old Soviet doctrine. Leave if a vehicle breaks down - leave it behind for the follow-on forces to recover. This way the momentum forward would be maintained. And we did see a second wave of units enter the picture about four days after the war started.
@@colincampbell767 "old Soviet doctrine*
You are 100% correct, and I might add the old Soviet doctrine allowed for massive production of equipment and ammunition to be ultimately ferried to the front by reservists (or replacement troops).
In this case Putin either got bad intelligence on Ukraine or he never seriously factored in logistics in his war plan.
Only real Ukrainian military victory can bring us peace. No other alternative. Anyway, first video about Ukrainian military capabilities that I found reasonably trustworthy. Thank you for that opinion.
That won't happen.
35th
The German people won when the Russians entered Berlin and Hitler shot himself. The Ukrainian people will win when Ukraine is liberated from the Nazis. No other alternative.
The Ukrainians are losing if you read the independent analysts so that seems a far stretch
It needs a stalemate where Putin can claim some hollow victory. Or he will just continue the fight until it happens.
Informative👍
Very informative
Great job Sir
Russia is all talk. They came up against against a better trained, better led and more motivated.
Weird though, if they are actually losing how come Ukraine cannot retake the old cities russian captured and they finally liberate donbass and mariupol is already in their control, so much for them losing 😏
When the war started people thought Russia had the 2nd best army in the world.
Now Russia has the 2nd best army in Ukraine.
@@digitalronin7787 Give them time, give them time, it's not over until it's over.
@@JeikuAnimeReview The Ukrainian army is much larger in manpower, there is total mobilization, the Russian army is only going to special operations, mobilization has not even begun. But the Ukrainian army can't do anything anyway, do you really believe in all these fairy tales about strength? It's better to think how Russia, being in the minority, manages to attack and seize territory.
@@JeikuAnimeReview but maybe you don't know, Russia only sent 150,000 soldiers in this war and they already captured most of the Eastern Ukraine, how much more if that's their full might 😏
The other thing no one talks about is that if Russia and Belarus lose all their loyal experienced soldiers in Ukraine and there's a revolution in their countries they wont have anyone to put it down with.
@Анастасия Борисова pictures of the bodies say otherwise, but sure, cool story
Don't be surprised if Putin turns to contract soldiers
@@aaronsmith8073 mercenaries?
I have to hand it to you, your analysis especially towards the end was flawless.
the numbers are actually a lot more even then it looks on paper. there's a great Preun video breaking down a realistic look at the manpower.
"And for Ukraine, this war is what the great patriotic war was for the Soviet Union in 1941"
You can't be more right.
Yeah,remembering Bucha Massacare and what Russia wants to do with Ukraine,ofc Ukrainians will fight against a tyrannical regime who hates everything about Ukraine.
@jim t. jim. learned what ukraine was from the news in february. he now tells others who to bless and who to condemn. jim is a bot, maybe even in human form
@@bogdanbogdanoff5164 Did you drink antifreeze again Ivan?
@@bogdanbogdanoff5164 You literally don't know that. A lot of people became aware of Ukraine in 2008. Or in 2014. Plenty of time to get acquainted lol
@@bogdanbogdanoff5164 don't project your ignorance onto others, Russian bot. You soon wont be able to buy a turnip with your salary once the sanctions really hit.
Most bizarre conflict in contemporary history.. utterly ludicrous, from every angle and aspect
one crazy madman in kremlin, is all it is. Sadly, this is what happens when one man controls too much, typical dictatorship. Remember, Iraq invasion of Kuwait? Also just 1 madman.
@@victorbukowsky7496 "just one madman"
Please tell me you're not _that_ gullible?!
@@unbearifiedbear1885 You think anybody in Russia wanted this war? This is insanity, all of it. I'm sure there are SOME Russians who supported this. Hey, many people voted for Trump too lolol and that's in a balanced democracy. Russia has none of that. Each and every TV station is pouring out Pukin's propaganda, all newspapers, etc. Of course, there are some who bought into it.
@@victorbukowsky7496 ....are you having a stroke?
Why can't you idiots go 2min without mention Trump?! 😂 it's literally *pathetic*
Ah yes. Replies to now non existent comments.
The mark of victory 😂
After these battles I bet NATO is thinking " apart from Russians nukes, what have we been worried about. "
Pretty much. Nukes are the only thing stopping a direct NATO intervention since when those start flying, everyone starts praying.
You dont understand
the Army of my country has recived extensive training from Russian Ground forces, and yes they are quite formidable on paper, but in practice, well, i can't say they are undeperforming but truly they where better prepared that most European armies, to be honest, Ukranie has hold up so good so far by the sheer amount of combat they had in the past 8 years, and the fact that an invasion is a really costly endevour, so anyways we need to wait and see (i think there is a big chance of Russia claiming and taking control of the Donbass, as well the Sea of Azov, leaving the western parts and Odessa under control of the Ukraninans, after the war, the things look really f*cked up for both sides anyways)
Nukes aside, the Ruzzkies got a very incompentent, toothless sovjet era Army.
Hope it was worth it, becoming a "rogue state" like North Korea 2.0 just when they started to get their economy rolling.
The russian economy is as large as the US state of Texas. No need for companies to ever come back when the dust settles.
Answer is literally nothing. Russia is a spent force.
This video and the numbers are not only true but a very subtle way of justifying Russia's inevitable future loss in this conflict. Well done.
Interesting info. In short Russia's army is not the powerhouse everyone thought it was. Thanks
Russia isn’t good at invading and holding foreign territory. But they are great at defense.
@@iwantyourcookiesnow havent you see a different video than me? because they are terrible. they need 60 to 400% more troops to defend the line.
@@iwantyourcookiesnow why are they doing it so much than. And they don’t need a good defense, nobody is ging to attack them.
@@Zeerich-yx9po ok, so, if you prefer: "in short Russia's army is not the powerhouse that almost every single person on the planet that has ever spoken, written or made a video about it though it was"
All of the internet to confirm, in case of need
@@enricogattone432 @Sergey Kh No, they have.managed to brilliantly neutralize a SUPRERIOR force through the brilliant use of maneuver warfare. They made a big show of threatening Kiev, Kharkov and Odessa. The point was to draw Ukrainian reserves away from the real object of attack which was Mariupol which was absolutely essentially. Now that Mariupol is basically captured, they have been able to redeploy some forces from Kiev for the big upcoming battle in the DONBAS. The Ukrainian forces rushed to the defense of the cities are now trapped and can not be used to reinforce the DONBAS. The Russian control the roads any Ukrainian relief convoy will be cut to pieces by air strikes and artillery.
This has been an outstanding example of successful maneuver warfare. It will probably be studied in military academies for years to come as how s numerically inferior force defeats a bigger one.
Ukraine definitely has many inexperienced soldiers however those soldiers are willing to learn a lot because their home is under attack and Ukraine gained over the years a lot of experience from the international armies, so I would not be surprised if those inexperienced soldiers will become experienced quite fast.
Actually they dont. Pretty much whole army has been on frontline shift in Crimea/Eastern Ukraine. They have been doing frontline shifts almost 8-years. They know what it is to be under fire or what fear of death is. Only inexperienced soldiers are reservist who havent participated to the war in East.
I would go so far as to say that they are probably more competent than many countries standing military forces; You have to consider that while they've been trained over the last 8 years, the majority of that training would have been focused purely on small unit tactics and combat. They would have had to have maximized what civilians were learning in order to make them more effective if the worst case scenario occurred. The average standing forces in a lot of countries don't get the amount of combat training they should due to a variety of internal economic and political factors.
Also of importance is that they're mostly on defence. Less training is needed to defend a fortified position than to attack one.
Yes and they are also willing to fight to the death. That is pretty hard on morale of anyone attacking them.
I must say that people here, in Poland, were rather surprised by russian failure. We have mostly expected that Russia will crush Ukraine within few days, Kiev was supposed to fall within two days. Of course it doesn't mean that we wanted this to happen, but quality of ukrainian army from the former stages of the conflict didn't promise much of the resistance. And then all this has happened. I believe that big part of support towards Ukraine is based on ukrainian resistance. People here actually see how much they struggle to remain free and independent - I think ukrainian army has won a lot of precious time for Ukraine, and this gain has been transfered into external help. But it doesn't mean that external supplies of weapons have stopped russian army - russian army has been stopped before those supplies arrived.
That is because the Russian army has always been incompetent but good at barking. American military members knew we could crush them and even in 2018 American special operations decimated 300 Russian veteran mercenaries and their special operations group in a several hour battle. Russians are not capable fighters and never were, their history shows this. Russia is lucky Patton did not get his way and invade the Soviet Union. Americans would have crushed the Soviets in 1945 and we should have.
@Red Hill Nah, they tried to take all of Ukraine. You don't scrap your army to get few cities.
@@warfarenotwarfair5655 I wouldn't be so sure about 1945, but there are too many details around this to have good discussion about this here. Russia has problems typical for many authoritarian states: really powerfull military requires powerfull leaders, good officers and a lot of initiative ceded to task groups but why would you want to have smart people with guns and power in the country where government is not based on democratic choices but plutocratistic decisions? Massive but stupid army is kind of better than professional and agile army.
@Red Hill That is not what they said on national TV
@Red Hill I guess that's why he poured so many troops and resources into trying to capture Kiev and advances towards Odessa.
“A disorderly mob is no more an army than a heap of building materials is a house”…. Socrates still killing it, two and half thousand years later…
I have no personal beef with Russia, but this Ukraine situation really exposed Russias short comings... Which are many.
You have no humanity if you have no beef with them now. Civilian bodies in the streets, bro.
@@CorePathway in that case we need to have beef with the US, Sweden, France, UK, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Norway, Poland, China, India, Pakistan, All of the MENA, Spain, Portugal, North Korea etc.
As they have all done similar to what Russia is doing right now or are committing mass killings such as France in Libya whose troops have been involved arming rogue generals, being involved in mass killings and mass graves while blocking any investigation against them.
There have no been civilians in war since The French murdered their king. Since then it has always been total war, and only the ignorant think otherwise.
You should have said until now, at least.
Just because it didn't happen to you.
CorePathway, shut up lol. Ukraine is none of our concern. You know the good majority of that country is literally practicing Nazi ideology, and openly condones physical violence against minorities and Gays.
I live in Chicago And not one of you SJW types says a word when 100 or more people get shot in Chicago every weekend. We need to worry about our own country first.
The issue is less about Russia being able to raise a little bit extra manpower, and more about Russia not having the logistical capacity and operational experience to mobilize and support a bigger army in Ukraine. They are really underperforming everywhere, especially it's air force.
and having motivated non conscripts to go fight and die in and unnecessary war
the only thing what i fear is a nuclear war honestly from russia
their ground forces , air force , navy are just a joke
i could totally see that like 2-3 countries of the nato alliance could easily beat Russia in an non nuclear war
without USA
@@Caysari Putin is nuts but he likes power more than anything. Nuclear war is the end of Russia (and everyone else) so it will never be an aim. I don’t trust his morals but his self interest will never lead to crossing the line.
@@alanrogers989 we can only pray
that it never happens
Nail on the head 👍
history is written by the victor, we overestimated russia.
Fear has turned to hatred. That is Putin's legacy.
We had a plausible Russian leak of 10k dead 16k wounded about 2-3 weeks ago. Considering their recent expensive retreats plus POWs and the compounding effects of bad logistics, they might well have lost in the realm of 35-50k (KIA+WIA+POW) by now.
Plausible, as in... you believed it, because Ukraine isn't Russia? Where was your empathy when Barrack Obama & Joe Biden authorized Putin to annex Crimea?
" a plausible Russian leak of 10k dead"
Spend some time in the military before you start trying to guess casualties. 10k dead is genuinely absurd for what is a relatively calm war.
U crazy if u think this numbers are real.
I expected more from the Russian military. Their disorganized rout from Kyiv is pretty telling. They don't even seem to have the troops and equipment to properly retreat.
They haven't been routed, you prepubescent.
They have recently taken Mariupol, which gives them control of the Sea of Azov.
They have now linked Crimea, Southern Russia and both the Donestk and Luhansk republics.
You CNN watchers should go back to playing Call of Duty or whatever you childish nerds do; factually discussing military conlicts is above you.
If Kiev was an actual objective that would be the case but what we've seen so far is that the Russians have avoided urban areas where possible
Uhh what?
Russian forces held at bay Ukrainians during the redeployment...
Otherwise you would see thousands of vehicles captured since Ukrainians record every single one of those...
@@stephenchappell7512 If Kyiv was not an actually objective, they would not have spent so much blood, fuel, and munitions in trying to get there. If it was intended to be a mischerect all this time, then it was a wasteful and stupid misdirection. The simple fact of the matter was the Russians misunderstood the conditions of the ground, and made a bad plan. You can blame whatever you need to help you sleep at night, But that won't change the fact that they they try to take the capital, failed to, and are now redeploying to areas that were more successful. Any claims that this was their plan all along are simply being made to save face.
@@johnmccarron7066
Your logic is solid if it is based purely on the narrative as portrayed by the western MSM but if there is one thing we've learnt over the past two years it is that our traditional sources can no longer be trusted
good vid
Russian soldiers don't want to fight this war, and Ukraine's want to defend. This is a disaster for Russia. Very embarrassing. If Ukraine wanted to be liberated maybe Russian tactics would work.
The pictures of blitzkrieg destruction of Ukraine, proves, very simply, that Putin wanted only to destroy the place, not liberate it, 40 million people, who's homes have been destroyed, now are united in wanting payback, Russians won't be sleeping soundly in their beds for generations, after the crimes committed. Russia should expect to lose Crimea etc too.
@@Zeerich-yx9po I disagree respectly. Anyone country attacking mine, I want to fight to defend. It's why iraq fell so fast, they didn't like the government in charge, so they gave up quickly. And the American soldiers believed Iraq was where attackers came from.
This war would be much different if Ukraine attacked Russia. Moral would be way different for soldiers.
@@Zeerich-yx9po I do agree on logistics also, it can make a huge difference
@@Zeerich-yx9po wrong, most Soldiers want to experience War, after this experience, most never want to do it again.
Feel like the title should be swapped around a bit. Russia is the Goliath and Ukraine is the David. Much like the story, Goliath came in with too much hubris, expecting a quick defeat of his puny foe who he partially thought would simply surrender in fear. David, with his faith, bravely faced a much larger enemy, believing he could win against all odds, or die trying.
Ukraine is the "David" here by all means.
.. yes, but I think he swapped it, because Ukr is now outnumbering russia on the battle field and no one expected that.
@@joecater894, on the field tho. Seems like Ukrainian army tries to defeat the russian force in detail, and it is a sound strategy for their situation. After all, their total reserves (at least officially) are smaller than those of the russian army.
Russia haven't lost yet, though. Plus Ukraine can no longer use a lot of it's power, since last fuel depot was Kalibred few days ago.
@@unknowncommenter6698, not that russians can use all their power too. Because if they could, they would already have aerial superiority and stuff. Instead, we see russian propaganda about ukrainian strike on Belgorod. With effing helicopters.
Good job on this video. You answered a lot of questions that I had.
The only rule in war is don`t lose because the winner decides on war crimes just look at history.
This is why we need a stronger UN.
War crimes are dictated by the winners.
When the war started, I shouted internally to Putin. "Stupid!". I knew of the Ukrainian morale. Evidently he didn't.
And as always in strategic matters, a bad situation naturally descends into a critical situation.
The Ukrainian military is in shambles. Almost all have deserted, hence their new policies of shooting deserters in the back, and forcibly conscripting all men 18-60 and stopping them from leaving the country.
Russia should have started tjis war in 2014. Now the Ukrainians are better supplied better trained and with better moral.
@@user-ju2tn4pj5y They most likely weren't ready to take the sanctions back then
@@user-ju2tn4pj5y Russia should never have started this war.
The problem with Russia is that it can't afford to appear weak in the face of Ukraine. Places like Syria, Chechnya, Kazakhastan, Tajikistan, Armenia... hell even Bellarus are all kept in check by the ever looming threat of Russian military. The last thing Putin can afford is for his Military to be the laughing stock of the world. The next couple of weeks will be pivotal for Ukraine. They need to keep on the offensive to make sure Russia can consolidate it's gains and get more dug in.
Great video, Binkov! Your analysis is as sharp and meticulous as ever.
Excellent summary. thank you.
I always thought this would go similar like iraq or affganistan, where russia would take the country RELATIVLY painless and quickly but would take mounting casualties during ongoing fighting in the occupation that would eventualy force them to withdraw.
Seems more and more likely they cant even archieve an occupation.
@@Fusion_4000 Compared to Iraq in military? HAHAHAHA. No. Iraq actually had a large army with an air force and armored units. In terms of "civilization" Iraq wasn't comparable; that is to say that their military tactics were archaic in comparison. But in terms of military tech? Iraq would have blown apart Ukraine. Issue is of course that defensive wars are MUCH easier.
And that the US is absurdly powerful to the point that that fact barely matters.
Russia doesn't have really problems with occupation.There were only some limited protests...
@@stephenjenkins7971 I really admire what US army did in Operation Desert Storm. They f*cked one of the strongest military forces in the Middle East in a blink of an eye.
Vietnamese and Chinese learnt a lot from the loss of Iraq.
@@Fusion_4000 dude Iraq was the 4th largest military with hard core veterans and experienced soldiers of war with Iran when we invaded.
What's amazing is that Russia has proven itself to be a 2nd rate military not 2nd in the world. SEAD? GPS? Combined arms? Nope. The thing is numbers were always what we feared and they don't even have those. Cut your losses and get out!
most surprising was the lack of sead missions.
Russia is 3rd most powerful army within Ukraine,
1st is Ukraine Army and 2nd is Ukraine Farmer's Union
@@almaniac3453 😂 those farmers are spartans
Even if we accept the Russian low numbers of war dead- that’s not good… like 1500 soldiers in a month… that’s quite a bit. That’s more than American losses in Iraq over the course of 10 years
Well, US lost 4000 dead in Iraq from 2003-2011. But one can't compare Iraq and Ukraine. Ukraine's mixed terrain, urbanisation and population density + NATO trained and equipped Ukrainian army with Donbas battlefield experience from 2014 is incomparable with Iraq's situation in 2003. Any military expert will confirm that for modern well equipped army it is much easier to fight in a desert instead of a country full of smaller towns, big cities, forests, rivers, factories, transportation hubs etc.
@@AB-ys4yn yeah, I’m a month the Russians lost more than in 20 years in Iraq, Afghanistan, Gulf war, Grenada, Somalia, Spanish-American war COMBINED.
@@haruruben Lol you are pathetic trying to manipulate numbers conveniently using small scale conflicts with 3rd world countries dating back to 19th century ahah. Then why don't you mention war of 1812, Mexican-American war, Philippine-American war, Korean War, Vietnam War instead? Originally we were referring to official Russian MOD numbers in March that YOU mentioned. Why are you now throwing in all these other war statistics mainly with small, poor or developing counties? None of these is a match to second largest country and army in Europe equipped and trained (and being backed) by NATO for the past 8 years.
if the russian military turned on putin instead they'd have saved themselves from a lot of suffering
Or ukranian turned on Zelenskii. Maybe that poor souls from Mariupol (which Ukranian side tried to evacuate by helicopters) wont be dyin right now.
@@Alpanzai How bad of a human being do you have to be to gaslight the country and their president that got invaded for trying to defend themselves and just ‘give up’.
A thought, new troops who are defending their homeland are better motivated and more fearless than bland basic troops. When you have a rage of someone attacking your homeland you won't have the fear newbie soldiers have. You'll be pissed off wanting to drink Russian blood.
Blood tastes yucky
Totally agree.Plus, the reports of Russian war crimes against civilians will further motivate the Ukrainian troops I suspect.
Green new troops are also more likely to be killed in action due to their inexperience so they will take high casualties.
It's hilarious that there are comments here accusing Binkov of being both pro-Ukraine AND pro-Russia. Sounds like this channel is doing a good job then. 🤣
The problem with being impartial is you just end up pissing everyone off.
Kiev bot vs Kremlin bot. Perfect online battle, haha.