Universa’s Taleb on Inflation, Global Financial Markets, & Crypto
Vložit
- čas přidán 7. 06. 2023
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Distinguished Scientific Advisor, Universa speaks with Bloomberg’s Tom Keene at Bloomberg Invest New York 2013.
--------
Subscribe to Bloomberg Live on CZcams: / @bloomberg_live
--------
Subscribe to Bloomberg Live on CZcams: / @bloomberg_live
I'm not kidding when I say that the market crash and high inflation have me really stressed out and worried about retirement. I've been in the red for a while now and although people say these crisis has it perks, I'm losing my mind but I get it Investing is a long-term game, so focus on the long run.
I can’t focus on the long run when I should be retiring in 3years, you see I’ve got good companies in my portfolio and a good amount invested, but my profit has been stalling, does it mean this recession/unstable market doesn’t provide any calculated risk opportunities to make profit?
There are a lot of strategies to make tongue wetting profit especially in a down market, but such sophisticated trades can only be carried out by proper market experts
I agree, my profit has been consistent no matter the market situation, I got into the market early 2019 and the constant downtrends and losses discouraged me so I sold off, got back in Dec 2020 this time with guidance from an investment adviser that was recommended by a popular economist on a subreddit, long story short, its been 2years now and I’ve gained over $850k following guidance from my investment adviser.
I’ve been down a ton, I’m only holding on so I can recoup, I really need help, who is this investment-adviser that guides you
Definitely! All of this happened in less than a year after Catherine Morrison Evans told me what to do. I started with less than $100,000, and now I'm about 17,000 short of having a quarter million dollars.
Market declines, soaring inflation, a significant Fed interest rate hike, and rising treasury rates are all expected to result in greater losses for portfolios this quarter. How can I make money now in the erratic market? I'm currently debating whether to sell the million-dollar bond and stock portfolio I have.
Pay attention to two main goals. Learn the best times to sell stocks to limit your losses and maximize your winnings to start protecting yourself. Next, get ready to profit when the market turns around. I suggest talking to a broker or financial advisor.
Yes, I've been in touch with a financial analyst ever since I covid. Investing in trending companies is relatively easy today; the trick is determining when to purchase and sell. I started with a $300K reserve that was initially dormant; my adviser decides when to enter and exit my portfolio; since then, I have accumulated over a million dollars.
@@harod033 Can you leave your investment advisor's contact information here? I absolutely must have one.
@@patrickperez7387 The person directing me is Ruth Loralann Brennan, who I found through a CNBC interview and emailed. She subsequently provided me with entry and exit opportunities for the stocks in which I am interested. Those who need care supervision can look her up online.
@@harod033 I discovered ruth’s website after conducting a search online. She has perfect credentials and exudes the aura of being a very smart woman.
The market and the Fed consistently underestimate the sticky nature of inflation. The markets are still unsure if the Federal Reserve will continue to its plan to raise interest rates until inflation is under control, despite the fact that bond yields are rising while stock prices are falling. What is the greatest strategy to take advantage of the current bear market while I'm still deciding whether to sell my $401k worth of stocks?
Even though there will probably be more pain in the future, investors should look for stocks like Royal Philips NV and Alstom SA that have been sufficiently battered down to be a bargain or get a great portfolio manager.
That's why I'm creating more income streams that I have complete control over. These will take me places that my day job never could. The earlier you start investing your money and putting it to work, the more time compound interest has to work its magic on your portfolio. This is how I'm going to achieve early retirement and it's possible for everyone. understand , know the path needed and stay committed to the craft
@@theresahv How are we going to achieve all that given that the market has being a mess most of the year seems farfetched. I keep hearing that the market is pricing in a 60% probability of a 75 hike. But isn’t it also pricing in a dovish fed that’s going to pívot relatively quickly?
My advisor Julie Anne Hoover’is highly qualified and experienced in the financial market. She has extensive knowledge of portfolio diversity and is considered an expert in the field. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
@@theresahv Thank you for this tip , I must say, Julie appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her online page, I thoroughly went through her resume, educational background, and qualifications, and I must say, it was quite impressive. I reached out to her, and I have booked a session with her.
With inflation running at a four-decade high, Recession is now the ‘most likely’ outcome for the economy and i cannot imagine being a victim of circumstances. My portfolio suffered a big hit, holding it further won’t be any good. I've heard of people netting hundreds of thousands this red season. How can i ensure this?
I'm giddy watching the maket tank as I buy as much stoc'k as possible across my port-folio. The key is keep buyng, don't let the naysayers change your mind..
going well for you so far? I’m certain you have someone guiding you or you’re a guru in the maket yourself.
Definitely! I've been able to scale from $350K to $550K since April because ‘’Eleanor Annette Eckhaus’’ my FA figured out Defensive strategies to protect my port_folio and profit from this roller coaster market.
There's a decline in my portfolio. lost over 12 thousand this week alone. Can you link me up with your handler?
Like Warren Buffet said, dividends are only good if the business you’re investing into can’t make good use of that capital. So if you’re trying to invest into businesses with actual growth, looking at dividends is a waste of time. Why are you investing into a company if they’re returning capital to you because they think you can make better use if it than they can. It’s not much different from bond investing. The way I see it if you have a $1 million at some point, that’d be enough to create a portfolio that would pay you between 50k-70k in dividend income...
It's not difficult, but you have to learn and handle. Another thing is that if you can't manage your home, maybe you shouldn't invest on your own. If so, you should hire a CFP to help you diversify your assets to include ETFs/index funds/mutual funds and stocks of companies with consistent cash flows, rather than betting on penny stocks.
@@sherryie2 A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for license advisors and came across someone of due diligence, helped a lot to grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to approx. $850k so far.
@@kurttSchuster Over the following 3 months, I want to increase my reserve from $280,000 to at least $550,000. I would be grateful for any advice you can give on how to accurately predict the market and how to diversify and balance my portfolio in order to accomplish my goal.
@@tonicruger Have you heard of "NICOLE DESIREE SIMON? She gets featured regularly on CNBC. Everyone in my office works with her including myself. I personally use tax-deferred accounts to hold my investments. That way I avoid capital gains taxes. There are other options your advisor could brief you about.
@@kurttSchuster Thank you. I just checked her out now on the web and I've sent an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. I've been thinking of doing this for a long time now, and I've procrastinated enough already.
Investing is a business of prudence - Don't try to make your money work and preserve it!
When you think have a reason to buy an option, don't buy it as it is already priced in.
Thanks Prof. Taleb
I think there is need to grow your money as a dentist because the future is unknown.
Thank you, Tom
Great thinker of our time
Nassim Taleb is amazing. Thank you for having him.
Thanks for this knowledge.
Nobody understands what Dr. Taleb is saying but he’s smarter than anyone😂
2 of my All time Favorites in Finance ❤
Excellent summary!
Real great the finishing description of a book!
There truly may be no more brilliant thinker in the modern ages than NN Taleb.
These two fellows are very smart and very entertaining. That doesn't mean we take everything as gospel or receive an immediate payoff. I've still got to do a lot of work myself. My experience is I probably always need to know more and work harder no matter who I read or listen to....
That's 100% right. Same with Ray Dalio -super smart guy, well worth listening to/reading his work, but was dead wrong when he said: "Cash is trash."
Very much respect both parties, but Tom Keene did so well on the journalist side. Sorry to play favs I’m just mad impressed. Been following surveillance for a while and heck yeah man
Thank you NNT for your time!
Brilliant!👌
In light of the ongoing global economic crisis, it is crucial for everyone to prioritize investing in diverse sources of income that are not reliant on the government. This includes exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic situation, it remains a favorable time to consider these investments.
The pathway to substantial returns doesn't solely rely on stocks with significant movements. Instead, it revolves around effectively managing risk relative to reward. By appropriately sizing your positions and capitalizing on your advantage repeatedly, you can progressively work towards achieving your financial goals. This principle applies across various investment approaches, whether it be long-term investing or day trading.
@@jessicasquire Despite utilizing the correct strategies and possessing the right assets, there can still be variations in the investment returns among different investors. It is important to acknowledge that experience plays a crucial role in investment success. Personally, I realized the significance of this and sought the guidance of a market analyst, which enabled me to substantially grow my account to nearly a million. I strategically withdrew my profits just before the market correction, and now I am taking advantage of the buying opportunities once again.
@@Lemariecooper Please can you leave the info of your investment advisor here? I’m in dire need for one
@@Erikkurilla01 I am being advised by *STEPHANIE KOPP MEEKS* , an experienced financial professional. If you're interested, you can easily find more information about her as she has accumulated years of expertise in the financial market.
@@Lemariecooper Thank you for the guidance. It was straightforward to locate your contact. She appears highly skilled and adaptable. I have scheduled a call session with her.
Where can I find the Q&A session?
Inflation, bank collapse, severe drought in the agricultural belt, recession, food shortages, diesel fuel and heating oil shortages, baby formula shortages, available automobile shortages and prices, the price of living place.
Government policy has thrown the future under the bus for decades. The day of judgment is near. I predict an 80% drop in the stock market. Investors will abandon stocks in favor of real estate. There will be no money in banks... You must devise a strategy for survival.
I agree. I have pulled in more than $435k since 2020 through my advisor. It pays off more in the long run to just pick quality stocks and ride with those stocks.
@@maryHenokNft Mind if I ask you recommend this particular professional you use their service? i have quite a lot of marketing problems.
I'm guided by *Mary Onita Wier* An experienced coach with extensive financial market knowledge. While you can consider other options, her strategy has yielded positive results for me. She offers valuable insights, including entry and exit points for the securities I concentrate on.
Thank you for the information. I conducted my own research and your advisor appears to be highly skilled and knowledgeable. I've sent her an email and arranged a phone call. Her expertise is impressive, and I'm eagerly anticipating our conversation.
I had Taleb as a prof at NYU/Courant. Interesting lectures.
Anything interesting you remember ?
Did he ever respond to questions by screaming, "IMBECILE!"? Or is that a move he honed on Twitter?
@@alchemist_onehis behavior is very telling.....he drips grifter. He lies or is Ignorant about DLT....old already wealthy out of touch hot head.....Nassim Taleb is a joke
Love it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
brilliant. I did not expect to be so impressed by Taleb.
Where was SEC when Ken Griffen’s Citadel prevented people from buying stocks while naked-shorting them?
The SEC was on his pocket. They are owned by the oligarchs. Lock,stock and barrel.
So gold should do well in this new preservation environment?
What a brilliant mind
First time seeing Nassim quiet nice to an interviewer. He must know or respect him.
What is thename of the introduction song?
Taleb is one of the most interesting human beings in the world. I am huge fan of his. In some points he goes extreme but overall he has done a remarkable job by writing all those books. Ps. The way he write is also very great. You'll enjoy every bit of his books.
I enjoyed his books. Especially his then hardly known approach to mispricings of unlikely events. However, back then I thought it was boring that he continuously had to repeat his opinion that de facto all other people on Wall Street are idiots and that the most intelligent person in the room (apart of him) was the secretary (when he visited Wall Street firms). He sounded like a wounded child that had to emphasize the failures of others non-stop
@@markusd.7409 yes, this is his major flaw. He wants everything to be perfect and if a model works 70% of the time and doesn't work 30% of the time. He thinks the users of such model are stupid people.
@@markusd.7409 That is, sadly, his modus operandi - he has no problems throwing feces at other, but when others start throwing feces at him, he turns into a fragile tinker bell. It's funny what a huge gap there can be bw how a person presents himself and how he actually is (lives, behaves).
He's a liar or a fool. Either way he's either completely ignorant on DLT tech and use or is a liar....either way he's an old out of touch embarrassment
Did you pick this music ?
“Bitcoin is not even good for money laundering”.
From a legal point of view, this is exactly right.
lol don’t try to sound smart; there’s no other point of view to consider for money laundering than the legal point of view 😂
There is a typo in the description about the year.
Nassim Taleb is just amazing, he is way ahead of the curve
Is that normally distributed curve?
Epic, love this.
This just proves how much we need an edged as an investors because playing the market like everyone else just isn’t good enough. I’ve been quite ensured about investing in this current market and at the same time I feel it’s the best time to get started on the market, what are your thoughts?!
I can’t focus on the long run when I should be retiring in 3yrs ,you see I’ve got a good companies in my portfolio and a good amount invested, but my profits has been stalling, does it mean this unstable market doesn’t provide any calculated risky opportunities to make profits?
There are a lot of strategies to make tongue wetting profits especially in a down market but such sophisticated trades can only be carried out by proper market experts.
@@spacecadet6 I'm happy to have stumbled upon this discussion. If you don't mind, could you tell me the name of the financial adviser who helps you with your investments and how I might contact them? It Intrigues me to keep learning
There are advisors in cities around you but I needed services of one who can guide me irrespective of location. *Mary Onita Wier* comes highly recommended especially in times like this. I am hedging and haven't lost much to the recession. I started this year out with less than $200k and I’m just $19,000 short of half a million in profits.
Thank you, I just searched for her online, and I'm genuinely impressed with her qualifications. I've already contacted her because I could use all the help I can get.
I just discovered Taleb last week, excited for to watch this new content of his...
congratualtion, make sure to focus on reading his books, he most impactful when he write stuff down.
Best books I ever read.
Thanks, I started with Dynamic Hedging. Most incredible thing I've ever read. Next I will read Incerto in order@@Learna_Hydralis
Interesting interview! So is he saying that inflation won’t take off but real estate and tech stocks related to AI are going to take a big tumble? Also, is this tumble in commercial real estate, or residential real estate, or both? Also he sounds not too keen on stocks in general. The take away I am getting is that an investor needs to move into the stocks that won’t take a tumble, but which stocks fall into that category? Definitely more questions raised than answers given!
His recommended strategy of buying options for protection is interesting. I believe AQR Capital put out a study that showed historically this is a losing strategy. Would love to hear how successful it is over time.
I feel like it would be weird taking a class from nassim taleb because he would probably disagree with the textbooks for the class and basically say how most of the financial formulas are incorrect lol.
I promise if you can learn to think differently in these terms it can change you're life..I used what I've learned from NNT to make super life & financial decisions..I picked 5 teams pre season NCAA MENS BASKETBALL FUTURES & UCONN WON..I ATTRIBUTE IT TO EXPERIENCE & TALEBS BOOKS & ALL MEDIA..HIS VIEWS ON RANDOMNESS WERE A BIG PART OF MY FACTORING..
I think a generally good rule to follow is to not heed people who use all caps
@@mattslowikowski3530 opinion...contrarian?.
@@mattslowikowski3530 haters everywhere..you heed to whatever ..it's you're choice..put you're cards on the table too soon?
@@mattslowikowski3530 I bet you are a super over achiever non team player..I've dealt with goofy fkrs like you my whole life .but all good as I live like a KING .I feel sorry for you ..I just put on one of my ROLEXES to enjoy my day as a retired CAR DEALER..53...you go on put that CASIO ON & HEAD TO WORK SONNY ..IM GOIN SMALLMOUTH FISHING TODAY .
must be a mistake: this talk was at Bloomberg Invest 2023, not 2013
Date is wrong in the description. I believe it´s 2023 not 2013 :)
Very smart investor. I love reading him. 🔥
Strong ankle game from Taleb
Nassim is incomprehensible.
Read more!
Keeping this to myself isn't a good idea, I decided to tell everyone so you guys can all benefit from this. People keep talking about Stacy Garric but I never knew how her software works until she show me, I will forever be grateful for her strategies of making big profits....
You are right, to be a successful person in life require him or her of hard work and time
You are right. Been thinking of going into gold and cyptocurrency
It's obvious everyone is doing this online Investment
Investment is the key to achieving success with the current pandemic slowing down so many businesses aww
Talking about been successful. I know I am blessed if not I wouldn't have met someone is as spectacular as Stacy Garric
Tom Keene is the worst Bloomberg host ever. He constantly interrupts. There might be guests where it makes sense to interrupt them once ina awhile, but if Taleb talks you listen! Luckily Druckenmiller was interviewed by somebody more respectful.
Agree
is that the pregnant guy with glasses
For real
Perfect
He was probably good in the Muddle Ages
Top, top. 😊
Is the sound quality here terrible or is it just me?
Nassim smiling is the sweetest thing.
A taleb simp ewww 🤢
Taleb may be a genius, but it's hard to glean anything of value from what he says.
I remember when I actually had some respect for this guy. Sometimes Twitter can be a blessing, as it shows what *fragile* tinkerbells - and sore losers - some people truly are.
Yeah, Taleb was a bitcoin investor. Then he cashed out, opened up BTC short positions, and went on a anti-BTC PR campaign.
@@ajstexas Not to mention his drama-queen escapades whenever someone called him out on some of the more pressing questions (from crypto to lockdowns) - even when it was done respectfully, in a cordial manner. I was really utterly disappointed how he handled these exchanges - he came across as the most anti-(anti-fragile) being out there - and have since lost all respect for him.
@HallsofMnemosyne I thought the same thing about him when you came out defending lockdowns and government reactions to covid. Quite antifragile.
He's never coming back from COVID. Fuck this guy
@@ajstexascrypto idiots will realize soon.
Excellent conversation but that music at the beginning must go!
Just ordered another copy of Fooled by Randomness. The first one, left on an aero plane, the second destroyed when my home was flooded. I'm applying pure superstition here and relying on being third time lucky.
5% isn't high but then again it's not the rate of interest but the amount of debt that matters.... Small rate increases can lead to big defaults and illiquidity if companies can't cover the cost of their debts. 10 years of borrowing at zero rates has made markets highly sensitive to this... so would have to disagree with Taleb on this as well.
He would probably answer that the interest rate isn't high, it's the debt that is too big. The answer is some combination of defaults/ haircuts/restructuring etc.
@@blueodum Likely true but if he suggests rates should be "far higher" I am imagining he is thinking rates in line / greater than inflation like paul volcker did. Thing is if the FED did that the global economy would implode and there would be an economic collapse the next week...
24:36 Taleb’s explanation of what they do at Universa seems to be that they ‘Buy far out of the money Options (possibly LEAPS)’. Then they roll them until there is a random dip, or black swan shake-up in the market. Does anyone know if this is correct interpretation ?
Correct. And they are up money in doing so. But the main benefit is doing that for 3% of networth every year allow you to use 97% into good stonks without fear. And ride that wave.
@@kindnesslove5482 I’m sure they are using other complex strategies like CDS etc. but since I’m a small retail trader I am thinking I should use small amounts of $ to keep their 3% as 100% of my portfolio. Roll some 18 month LEAPS.
my only question is what if I’m only 3 months into owning these 24 month OTM LEAPS and they go way up in value due to black swan.. will they be easy to sell? I’m assuming the Fed will come to the rescue within 2 months of any Systemic crisis.
I’m guessing it’s more sophisticated than that but I see why you’d guess that’s what they do. I think Spitznagel used to claim he’d try to buy Puts that were about -30% to break even on the underlying and use 2% of the portfolio on the Puts for some underlying like SPY that should usually appreciate longterm but he never gave details on how he rolled and managed them and made it sound like there was secret sauce on when to buy and sell them, which expiry dates to hold and how to roll them. I’m also guessing he’d never tell you exactly what he’s doing and oversimplify it… and he probably is more capital efficient with futures and not buying Puts on Robinhood.
@@xxyyzz8464 thanks for this. I never knew of the -30%, only the 2%. I suppose it is more sophisticated but I tend to believe that whatever they are doing can be replicated on a smaller retail level. I have heard Spitznagel refer to the concept as being a form of portfolio insurance. Meaning if 98% of my portfolio is generally bullish/long investments then it’s okay to have 2% of the positions in cheap, wildly speculative short positions on major indexes. They view it as a small price to pay for having insurance. I’m not sure why everyone else views it as a drain on their portfolio. A large California Pension Fund left Universa just prior to the Pandemic for this reason.
@@brothergod6633 Spitznagel wrote a book about that „Safe Haven“ where he compares different strategies and also explains the insurance portfolio.
if you listen to taleb about bitcoin, you should DYOR. It´s a personal feud between him and S.Ammous (Author of the bitcoin standard). Taleb even wrote the foreword to the book "the btc standard" in 2018.
Such a brilliant man!
Wow
Salute news
Crypto provides financial privacy and censorship resistance from the state. That's its number 1 use case. It gives regular people agency and an exit from the surveillance state's rules and "protection".
Who needs this kind of protection? Terrorists, money launderers, the corrupt.
He's defending the status quo, the dollar, the FED printing, inflation eating your salary..He's turned, now a insider
bye bye crypto......
Yeh... That's exactly what we've seen from the ecosystem. LOL. Dude, enjoy forgetting your recovery phrase and losing your life savings. Fuck me it's so dumb.
@@giomusah2155 Tether is the money printer in the crypto space, however it's not backed by shit in comparison. You think things are different. Lol.
If you are a toothpaste company focus on making toothpaste.
Whast has been successful has been imagining what the world would be like in 50 years based on undeniable trends. One has been the economic growth in China since the 70s would create a class of the wealthy that would value Chinese art treasures. A side hustle in investing in Chinese art and cultural artifacts in the 80s would have returned multiples in the medium term. Its about riding waves likely a variety of these...
There's a level of risk in that though. For example looking at China's next 50 years, I can't help but fear that there will be massive instability in the country that will touch any investment made into the area.
The better outlook is to have a plan that doesn't require things to go right to work out. Live a healthier, less stressful life now so when you're older you don't have as many health problems that end up deciding things for you. You can have as many clever plans as possible but there's always the possibility of something beyond your control screwing you over when it really matters.
Gee, just about everyone on Bloomberg from Dalio to Taleb to Fitzpatrick say rates need to be raised.
Raise rates? Have a look at the vast quantities of debt everywhere. No, rates are already way too high. They will be cut, and the 'printing press' will be heavily used.
@@latorregolf nope, banks have to collapse for cbdc, so they will keep hiking forcing small banks into defaults and mergers
Be prudent, and put money to work, those two notions aren't in opposition.
Max was here
"there's not too much appetite for inflation!" Lol. Oh yes there is. How else will governments inflate away debt to maintain borrowing. How else will people stay rich if the values of their assets decrease. There is plenty of appetite to for inflation. Been happening for decades.
A bit of a genius with a even larger blind spot.
👌
Can you elaborate on the blindspots
@@TheBanterCity btc
@@BenWilkinsonBin Governments will trash btc
Yes.
🤝
Did they talk about COVID?
Where was plague in Istanbul?
Probably wasn't real (like the 2020 version). Another media hype to promote FEAR
Last three years have not been kind to him. Mentally and physically. Shocked to see him like this.
COVID Nazi
"Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Distinguished Scientific Advisor, Universa speaks with Bloomberg’s Tom Keene at Bloomberg Invest New York 2013." 2013? Really Bloomberg?
when inflation we all big money
Enormous respect for Taleb. The Black Swan is an excellent book containing lessons I have applied throughout life and my investment journey. His arguments against Bitcoin are not well articulated, and that's a bit disappointing.
He probably owns a bunch of bitcoin himself and is trying to scare people away
I bought his two books.....my reaction after reading..... Why i bought....??? 😅
19:57 the video climaxed. Haha
This conversation moved all over the place and was hard to follow. Tom Keen should not be chosen to interview with how much he interrupts and shifts direction.
Right, Taleb says the fed must raise rates because they want to kill inflation.
So if the fed doesn't raise above 5% and pauses in June. Then the Fed really doesn't give a toss about killing inflation.
Taleb shares what should happen. But it's never what actually happens in a world of constant financial engineering.
Looking forward to June.
"Interest rates should be modulated slowly" then goes on to say that rates at 5% are not enough after raising it from 0 in a year...
Jpow will rise 25 bps but that's the last one. He's owned by the oligarch class who made mountains of money in the last years.
almost every government is leveraged to the tits, they actually want inflation, they just dont want it out of control, they will try to control it enough to not cause outrage but let it run enough so it slowly liquidates theyre on balance and off balance liabilities
You guys are morons. Or worse college students. 1 yr inflation is already at 4%. No need to raise rates haphazardly. The effects come with a lag. Wait and see is the right move for now.
So if it happens Downunda', do we call it a
'White Swan'? 🤔🙄
It's never different this time....
It is different this and every time; conditions are different, expectations are different, fundamentals are different, participants are different...
I hate how in financial engineering they try to treat finance as if its a natural science where there are laws and stuff. and you can just plug stuff into a formula to create profits. finance is all about outsmarting other market participants. their loss is your gain. its like poker. if you have a good poker bot but its playing itself, its alpha is 0.
Interesting. Im trying to learn financial engineering from a computer engineering background. Do you have any pointers? I think economics is far worse than finance in terms of fake science
@@seanpierre1338 learn about gambling and probability. it's more similar to investing than finance or economics.
@@seanpierre1338 finance and economics is better than psychology at least. psychiatry the ultimate pseudoscience imo.
@@seanpierre1338 learn about game theory and probability mate. you can make the perfect discounted cash flow model but if your assumptions are wrong all that work was for nothing
@@bbsara0146 hmm. I’ve already taken tons of probability & stochastic processes classes. Im trying to learn q/kdb+ at the moment. Any other tools i should know?
When someone is mumbling it means he knows what he’s saying is not important.
This interview is mostly useless.
Why would he not want everyone investing? This has been one of the best times for transfer of wealth.
“Bloomberg Invest New York 2013” >__< Serious ?
and guess what? there is no Credit Suisse bank anymore
He said crypto is a fad. Can anyone, anywhere, refute his claim😮
Rates
You all pawns.
it pains me so much seeing one of the people I respect the most rallying against bitcoin without good points... "it's not even good for money laundering" . It's clearly a phrase to relate bitcoin towards illegal activities somehow, that's his real interest when it comes to crypto.
because it is backed by nothing but fear. Currencies are backed by governments. where does money come from? governments, can bitcoin exist without outside money coming in?
obviously yes, already proven... learn the history of money, gold, jewels and stuff like that. Also we do not need the government@@blakespower
How could anyone be wrong about COVID in every particular? To start, we are NOT better prepared "for the next one."
Here's just a sprinkling:
1. Well-founded mistrust in established authorities, without any viable substitute (we can't trust them anymore, but no one is coming up who is better);
2. Mitigation measures such as masks either don't work very well, or, such as lockdowns, do unforeseeable harm that offsets their benefit;
3. There is evidence that COVID weakens many people's bodies permanently, not just those who were very sick, and we don't know the full extent of it yet;
That's a mere start. Taleb _is_ brilliant --- _and yet._
Can't Taleb afford some socks? Great interview, other than being totally wrong about BTC.
It's a European fad
Crypto will be here long ago after Taleb and Bloomberg.
I have been a huge fan of Taleb and his writing for many years, and I agree with him on almost everything, BUT he was totally wrong on his takes on Covid, particularly the vaccination campaign. On this front he aligned himself with the facist/technocratic approach of large scale vaccination which went against his very own advice to avoid intervention in a large complex system. The idea that we could mass vaccinate the entire population of the globe was always naive interventionism.
he is also very wrong on Bitcoin. But i think that´s because of a personal feud between S. Ammous and him during the "Covid Plandemic" . He wrote the foreword od the Bitcoin Standrad an nailed it then.
@@stereodachs I hope you are 14
@@armin3057 exactly. to specific:
i am born on January 3 2009 and conceived on October 31 2008
@@stereodachs
HA
Jup, covid separated the real thinkers and the system stooges
Failing to distinguish between bitcoin and the nonsense of 'crypto' is the first sign that someone hasn't done a shred of serious work on the subject.
Also, if it’s so easy to know who is transacting on Bitcoin (when used properly without address reuse and not posting your address online!) then he should use his “basic statistics” to determine Satoshi’s identity, write a book on it, do interviews, and make a quick $10M+ and go down in history as the man who revealed Satoshi’s true identity. Truth is, he’s just a clown 🤡 when it comes to Bitcoin and hasn’t done his homework in how it’s different from “crypto” proper.
What's the difference
@@teardropsonmyfallen Not possible to convey in a short comment. But nowadays loads of great resources: River and Swan have good basic intros, Jameson Lopp has excellent site with more depth. "Mastering Bitcoin" (2019) if you up for a challenge
"Bitcoin is not crypto" shut up you cultist.
Hes actually educating you. Crypto = Hidden
Failing to distinguish from a transparent surveilled ledger and real private, untraceable ledgers is the first sign that someone hasnt done a shrew of serious work on the subject.
NNT is the best
You are correct Talib, but what if people demand that money and state be permanently separated from each other? This could occur after the fiat currency has run its course.
:-) joy
Doesn’t seem he managed to stick to his fasting calendar