The 2020 New Zealand Election Explained
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- čas přidán 25. 07. 2024
- New Zealand has had a general election. The question though, was never who would be the governing party, but what would be the exact makeup of that government. In this video, we follow the story of the election campaigns and find out.
Other videos that cover MMP:
How would the UK House of Commons look under MMP? - • How would the UK House...
The 2017 New Zealand Election Explained - • The 2017 New Zealand E...
Time Stamps:
0:00 A National Coup
00:56 Curriculum Vitae: Todd Muller
02:04 Todd Muller’s short leadership
5:33 Another leader for National
06:41 Polling and the Margin of Error
07:15 A Disaster Government
08:01 How MMP works
8:56 A Covid-19 Outbreak
9:56 Changing an Election Date
11:14 The Green School Saga
13:06 Parties and Policies
17:01 Future Soliloquy with the Election Results
Support my videos on Patreon: / soliloquy
Follow me on Twitter: soliloquy084
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A further reading list can be found in this document: docs.google.com/document/d/1O...
#NewZealand #Politics
These election videos are done a little more quickly than usual, so there might be a few little errors. I’ll add any corrections here. So if you spot anything, reply here to help people find it.
None that I could catch. Great job, this would save me from having to explain to my foreign friends on how our elections work. So I can just link them to this instead.
8:39 in the note you have "coving" instead of "covering".
Yeah, there is a typo there, it should be "covering" like @Quintinohthree said
The two ladies who travelled from Auckland to Wellington were not British, they were kiwis returning from the UK. A small point, but should be mentioned.
Thanks for the correction Chris, I still think my historical joke is almost funny though, and probably would have just reworded it to work with that.
Wow, Tolkien’s worldbuilding is impressive
All jokes aside good video!
“Basic Level of Competence” hmmm in current world politics that’s a VERY high bar
What bar? Do you see a bar?🔍
@@sion8 now that’s the winning comment, well done 👍🏽
Well - we live in interesting times.
@@sion8 I don't see a bar and i could really use a drink
just the Americans everyone else doing f8ne
It is surprisingly interesting to hear the details of an election that has absolutely no influence in my life at all.
I sometimes think it is more interesting. Since it docent affect you, you can just understand it from a story or strategy level.
@@Soliloquy084
Indeed.
I bet it does in some way.
I'm used to it, so I find it more interesting when it's finally about my country.
@Jackson Collins
You do realize that international elections can exactly be like that right?
Our health minister David Clark “stepped down” because he drove a couple hours to the beach with his family while telling the rest of the country to lockdown
I bet you knew this and were trying to summarise but I thought I’d share nevertheless
Jeri Brown dang worse than I thought
He messed with the wrong bro at a press conference...
@@BigJaseNZ yes. It was 'interesting' the Opposition just happened to have photos of all these crimes - they had been after him sincehis review of the whole health system was about to challenge the 'privatisation by stealth' programme that was in play via District Health Boards from the previous government. Clark's review was intending a re-structure to the whole DHB and MOH to achieve significant efficiencies in a very extended, run down health system, which had been under funded for a decade by the so-called 'business' government. Business being code for asset sell offs/stripping.
@@gaieellis9376 All that may very well be true, and it certainly made him unpopular... But standing infront of Bloomfield and throwing him under the bus was political suicide. We kind of expect politcians to be scumbags, but Bloomfield is a national hero. Clark is a muppet, but he talked his way out more than anything else.
I have no delusions of the mistakes Labour has made in the past. I really hope they sort out their ministers this time around and don't pile portfolios on single ministers like last time. But I have no doubt. If it weren't for Jacinda and her government. NZ would have suffered far worse from COVID. There is no way National would have locked the country down as fast as Labour would, they'd care too much about the economy and we'd probably end up like Aussie or worse. Now the question is how well can Labour help us recovered. We're all in this together, we need unity.
it will come down to Grant Robertson balancing the cheque book. There is alot of troubling external factors that will have an impact of on rebuilding the economy. Its going to be a bumpy over the next 10-15 years,
I'm an American so take what I say with a grain of salt.
I read some comments from Ardern about whether she would seek a coalition with the Greens. She mentioned that she would need to balance the mandate she was given from the people with her belief in consensus. I can't believe that a politician would care so much about consensus! I'm a hardcore democratic socialist but consensus and cooperation are my primary beliefs. Competition is the law of the jungle, Cooperation is the law of civilization. I wish all of you in New Zealand a unified and speedy economic recovery!
What we need is people to actually do some research into policy instead of voting for personality or who they always vote for. Politics should be evidence based and we'll have a housing crisis, struggling economy, water pollution, and a climate crisis to deal with until NZers are brave and smart enough to vote for evidence
@Jeri Brown - Since the level 4 lock down, we have learnt more about the SARS-cov-2 virus behavior but at the time information was limited. Whilst I agree with level 4 and 2 lock downs might have been a bit longer than they should have been but I believe the government made the right decisions on the information they had about the virus at the time.
@Kevin Warburton didn't simon bridges not push jucinda push to shuting the borders? I think we have our isolation to that as much as politicians
The Muller years seem like a generation ago!!
he really does
I hope Todd Muller is only ever remembered as “the man Chloe Swarbrick said OK Boomer to”.
@@Sukuun wait that was him
@@thomasbrocherie7543 yup, he was the “heckler” when Chloe was giving that speech in Parliament. It was never mentioned at the time, because until he became party leader, who knew or cared who Todd Muller was?
I think its more like the Muller weeks
The note at 3:56 is exactly right.
The implosion of the national party leading up to the election could itself be a video:
Simon bridges era
- Jami LR (national MP) teasing the media about helping Simon Bridges (national leader) hiding donations from a Chinese investor (during the time of HK unrest, camps, etc) resulting in the crazies in the national party changing allegiance to Advance NZ later on.
- their shared racist comments about Chinese being more valued than an Indian or even one of their MPs Maureen Pugh
- Simon bridges calling for an early lockdown lift being received poorly
Todd muller era
- all things mentioned in video
- nikki kaye (national deputy leader) mislabeling one of their MPs as Maori (further showing unfamiliarity within the party)
Judith Collins era
- attacking the Labour Party response to covid as extreme which was against the general response of nz. Would have been better off endorsing Ashley bloomfield and disassociation the successful covid response to Labour.
- mentioned things in the video about the patient info leaks.
- constant internal conflict within the national party of who to lead.
- gerry Brownlee odd conspiritorial tones about covid and people finally fed up with how he handled the Christchurch rebuild.
- very loose attacks around the very end saying Labour will introduce a wealth tax ( ardern already said they won't do), some weird comments about obesity being a choice.
This was a display of disunity and distrust within the party, opposing one of their mottos of a "strong team" and no one likes an insecure team. Potential national voters bled off to NC, advanceNZ, act, and apparently some voted Labour so they have 'no reason to form a coalition with the loony left greens' because 'slightly left is better than complete left'.
The financial hole in the national party budget was especially bad because it mirrored the time Steven Joyce (national party minister of finance) was singing bloody Mary about a Labour fiscal hole. For the 'good-for-business' national party to itself have a fiscal hole isn't going to end well.
+
this is a very good summary
3:13 "I guess it shouldn't of surprised anyone that the British came in with a disease" 😭😭🤣🤣
They also setup a welfare system so people could stop eating each other
@@holdencommodorehsv They were also taught by black people how wash themselves properly and clean their teeth.
@@Limegreenyummyyummy lol sure mate
@@holdencommodorehsv Read about The Moors.
@@Limegreenyummyyummy ok im open to learning
I've been waiting for this for three years now
Multi party systems seem a lot better than a two party system to be honest.
There's not a whole lot of difference in terms of government makeup. The top parties in the US, for example, consist of multiple wings, which is sort of like coillitions, except they come pre-formed.
Two party systems cause division and hate amongst each other, while MMP gives more parties a voice causing less division between each other
I have been looking forward to this one! I'm impressed how fast you had this out.
Next video: "why is sleep not a part of making an election video". Happy you liked it.
This was pretty interesting to watch, especially the proportional representation system. Where I come from, India, we've got the "First Past The Post" system and its so messed coz you have a majority party who takes like 250ish seats out of 500 with just 30% of the total votes cast. And that's so messed up. We also have a low-key genocidal authoritarian prime minister, so it was a refreshing change to watch something about a kind hearted PM coz we stan Adern
Yeah, the problem is that the people who have the power to change the system are exactly those who have benefited from it.
@@Soliloquy084 I think you mentioned somewhere how they changed the system in the 90s so did all the parties consent to it and was it like a constitutional referendum or something, coz switching electoral systems seem like a very controversial thing, I haven't read about many countries doing that, did it face backlash in NZ and how different was the system from earlier?
I could probably make a whole video about New Zealand's switch to MMP. But here is the cliff notes: Prior to 1996 we had FPTP, the same as the UK has today. Under this system third parties found it hard to gain representation. In 1978 the third biggest party (Social Credit) got 16% of the vote but only one seat. The public became disillusioned with the situation, and Labour buckled to pressure and campaigned on promise to establish a Royal Commission into the electoral system. Ultimately, that commission recommended MMP. For years politicians sidelined the issue but National eventually buckled to public pressure too, and ran a series of referendums on the electoral system in 1992 and 1993, in which the public backed changing to the MMP system. The following 1996 election became the first to be run under MMP. A confimational referendum was run in 2011 which retained the system.
@@Soliloquy084 Thankyou so much for answering!!! That really does make sense! I'll prolly go research on it some more hehe :')
Sounds like pre-war Germany. How's Modi's popularity and are the border skirmishes a beneficial distraction?
I was really hoping this video would come out because there's really not much I could find on this.
I hope you liked it.
@@Soliloquy084 loved it as always, now I have to wait till 2023 😭
or 2024 if they do increase the term length.
@@Soliloquy084 Any increase wouldn't take effect this term, it would either take effect for the 2023 election, or because its a major constitutional issue, and under the Electoral Act 1993 it requires either a 75% majority in parliament or a popular referendum, there would be a referendum run alongside the 2023, which if it passed would mean it'd take effect in the 20226 election.
Well, both Ardern and Collins were supportive of the idea in the debate, and together they control 80% of the votes in parliament. So they would pass the supermajority. But, NZ has had referendums on this before so I'm not seriously expecting them to follow through without one.
So happy to see a kiwi CZcamsr, awesome video and I couldn’t tell it was rushed. thank you
Thanks for having the visual resting moments throughout your animations in this video. It’s perfect: keeping it interesting for the whole 22 minutes while not diverting the attention from your story. I love this channel. ♥
They always get 'real businessmen' in government, but never they treat taxpayers like the shareholders and just end up syphoning off cash to their mates and big non-taxpaying corporations. Why is it impressive to have a commercial background aside from just some general experience, and maybe some distance in golf?
Pretty sure you just described insider trading there mate which is illegal and only one person has been prosecuted here for it in nz but what u said sounds so true...
National loves beneficiary bashing, and loves giving money out as corporate welfare.
Hey, wait a minute!!!
@@jo2lovid ikr Bill English received a living allowance for his second home meanwhile there are 10 peope sharing a 3 bedroom house because they cant afford to get their own place alone
It's god damn awesome finding high quality, well made kiwi political content on here. Great work, keep it all up.
Right on!
Great video. Really interesting background information to the result.
This is a really good video. Thank you from across the pond in Australia.
We all where waiting for it! And he delivered 🥳🥳🥳🥳
Very well explained video, keep up the great work! and thankyou
Excellently succinct, comment and analysis. I am delighted to have discovered your channel.
Thanks for watching
Wow that was a really well made video, I can’t believe I haven’t seen your channel until now.
Excellent video! Well made and professional
Your closing statement “the left becoming the new centre” speaks a lot to the working class/lower income families/voters desires for representation and to hold the rich/powerful to accountable. In NZ, polling of centre right National party voters had showed that 35% of its voters support greater taxation on the rich. Mind, National voters them self tend to be of higher income than other party voters. Within this centre right party itself, it’s interesting that a not-insignificant number of them support this quite liberal policy. This generally follows global trends where there has seen a greater support for taxation on the rich.
I think that in conjunction with Ardern’s prioritisation of a welfare govt., National’s leadership being in shambles right now (interesting, as 2011, 2008 Nat campaign marketing greatly emphasised their “talent” w handling the economy, i’m not exactly sure why they didn’t emphasise this more), Ardern has been able to swing the right-leaning centre voters.
I feel like it’s less swinging the country further left as you said, but rather creating a new normal for the roles of government as a welfare-state in a post-covid world where countries over seas has seen an insurgence of populism.
I'm American and everything you mentioned in your comment is seen as far left. Here in America it seems that nobody bats an eye to the poor and disenfranchised and pray to the glorious corporate rulers. I never really thought how far right the U.S really went until i look at the rest of world politics.
I see the centrist 'left' as investing in the people who are the general work force, the economy' iand ensuring work for NZers rather than importing seasonal labourers and cheaper workers. Supporting apprenticeship schemes and education and training for real jobs, rather than focusing on qualifications that force people off-shore to be properly remunerated. Housing and infra-structure were always going to take more than 3 years to organise and get going; the national party have criticised this despite a year being lost to covid - at the same time announcing they would sell off any houses built by the state, and consistently denying the homelessness that ballooned under their governance.
@@gaieellis9376 👍👍
This cleared up some mysteries for me, thank you!
You're very welcome!
8:32 “Hey Vsauce! National here!”
Yeah I was more of a brothers green voter but I guess my vote will run off to the HI
I’m glad you’re alive and well! I’ve been thinking about your opinion on this election since your 2017 election video
I love these videos! They clear things up for me. Thanks for making them!
I'm glad you like them!
If only Canada's major left party was a competent as New Zealand's. Congrats Ardern!
Sorry but they are not competent. Ardern is, the party is not. They are afraid of actually doing anything meaningful and just use Jacinda as their way into power
@@rorybessell8280 nz political parties are leader heavy. Ardern is a useless politician but a good person
@@cottonball5499 Couldn't agree more
Unfortunately only competent when it came to battling COVID-19. They delivered on almost none of the promises that got them into parliament.
Salty national losers out in force :)
Wow you're really fast! I've been looking forward to this!
The secret is I took a night off from sleeping.
This was a really great overview of the election !
What an astonishingly well done video. Thank you, youtube algorithm god, for that random suggestion. This is a comment to feed you: May your light ever shine on this channel.
I was waiting for this video!
Fantastic video. I'm from across the ditch and interested in NZ politics but don't watch too closely, so I was unfamiliar with a lot of recent events, apart from big stuff like COVID and the National leadership changes. As a giant election nerd, the scale of Labour's victory blows me away, and it's great to see all the pieces in the puzzle that made it happen.
Subscribed! Wonderfully educational!
Over 100 days with no cases? I am no longer proud to be an American
I'm from the UK and envy New Zealand. Why can we not have a competent government like that?
An amazing video!
Thanks for the super-explanation.
You're welcome.
This was super interesting thank you!
Would it be possible for you to cover the 2021 election in Germany as well? (if it takes place as planned...)
Btw: I like your channel really much. It's not easy to find CZcamsrs who are interested in current political developments AND questions of political science, who also produce high quality videos. :)
*+*
The problem with covering the German election is the language. I'd need to find another creator to work with, I can think of a couple like khanubis or Will Fox (who both have lived in Germany) but their channels are larger than mine so they would probably want to make the videos for their own channels.
Basically, those videos would happen if my channel grows. So if people want them, the only things you guys can do is share the content.
@@Soliloquy084 Thank you for your response. :) Unfortunately, I'm not a CZcams creator, so I don't know if I would be able to help you with this... I'm German myself and have a Bachelor's degree in political science and philosophy, but the primary problem is time I guess. :(
@@Soliloquy084 i dont think the language matters. what are you worried about anyway? i dont think people would actually mind you pronouncing things a little strangely. I for one as a german myself want you to make the video!
It's not so much the pronunciation, but more that to make the video i need to follow the campaign news very closely. So I'd need to find someone I trust to help me keep up with it, since that would be a fairly big commitment it would make the most sense if it were a creator who could get a shoutout for their work.
Great video, as always!
Hmm, I don't really think this was a swing to the left at all. Labour took great pains to rule out any major left wing policies. Indeed as you mentioned in the video policy had very little role to play in this election at all and the most serious problem facing NZ in a generation, the high house prices, will continue to remain unaddressed-let alone solved :(
Agreed. Despite rhetoric from outsiders that NZ now has a hardline sOciAliSt gOverNmeNt the Lab's under Ardern will likely be even more centrist than where they currently are, with some exceptions and particularly for social issues. Flipping 14 traditionally blue electorates, including some rural ones is a good incentive for them to be incremental (i.e. snails pace) and not rock the boat.
It's weird seeing left wing Americans compare Ardern to AOC or Sanders, when the reality is she's a rather centrist politician.
Yeah, let's make no bones about it National and Act are far right. One wants guns back, the other wants to take away lunch breaks for workers. Labour are centrist.
@@sambell309 America's different standards for what constitutes left wing, for example the quarantine protocols the New Zealand implemented would be considered Marxist by many if not most Americans
@@christianweibrecht6555
But the exact same thing was applied here in the states.
This might get me in a bit of trouble, but here goes.
I hope that Rawiri Waititi holds Waiariki. I'd say there's a 60-40 chance of that happening because the big parties have the resources to chase special votes, and Waititi has an election night majority of just 415.
Here's why I hope he stays:
Parliament needs more than 4 parties. It's supposed to represent NZ. NZers have more than just that. Having a diverse range of views expressed and represented in our parliament is good for a representative democracy, especially if those views are a check on power or a form of criticism of government.
Secondly I'm glad that there is a Maori voice in Parliament that doesn't have to conform to caucus collective responsibility and the whip-system of a major party.
Thirdly, it's a good thing that Labour's monopoly over the Maori seats is challenged. So long as Labour wins the Maori seats every year without having to fight for them there is a major incentive to neglect them and not deliver; for them to say: "who cares? We'll win them anyway".
Labour cannot take the Maori seats for granted anymore, and that's a good thing.
In order to win elections governments must appeal to swing voters, not voters they will always win, and likewise voters who will never vote for them. If Labour actually has to fight for those votes, they might start delivering.
yea we don't usualy get much explanation for politics in New Zealand, so its really good that we have you to explain it all for us. Thanks Soliloquy
great video man, loved that
Great video just subscribed
something that you forgot to mention was that in some of the national local mps seats (including all the ones in the south island) they lost the party vote to labour
Marama Davison and James Shaw for co-deputy prime ministers 🤣🤣🤣
Been waiting for this, certainly did not dissapoint
thanks
The amazing thing here after watching American politics is that in NZ, people actually resign. I was surprise thinking that it was relatively minor and then I remembered that people used to do that until it became common place for American politicians to come out with several scandals a week.
Meanwhile in Good old mother India: scams are a must for any person to run in elections
@@______608 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Fascinating work.
Wow the detailed knowledge about identities and actions of NZ politicians is so refreshing from Canada!
Really great explanation!
That video was NOT phoned in. Great video, thanks.
And yet there was so much else I would have liked to include. Thanks for watching.
IVE BEEN WAITING
That's a lot of drama for a country that doesn't even show up on the maps.
Lol this is like 1800’s level of drama for the modern world 😂😂 almost like kinder garden toddlers fighting 😂😂
It's on OUR map. That other little bit of nothing barely discernable to the ignorant is also lead by a woman and only 1/7th NZ's size. (Switzerland.)
@@Longtack55 Switzerland is led by 4 men and 3 women. They have a federal council of 7 members that jointly assume the position of "head of state". So I don't know how accurate "lead by a woman" is when talking about Switzerland. The Swiss political system seems set up in way that ensures that there is never a single person in charge.
Man you should hear about their flag referendum a few years ago. I saw a video about it a while ago and wow that was a huge mess
It's been on every map since the late 1700s... not sure what inaccurate world geography you've been poring over 🤷♂️
great video!!!
Great video, it was quite informative.
Thanks for watching
I'm a European and today I learned about the existence of Orange Guy. I really hope everyone here voted as he sounds quite dangerous.
Don't worry New Zealand's Orange guy is better than America's Orange Guy.
@@Soliloquy084 Kinda low standards. Reddit tells me your Orange Guy breaks legs, tortures non-voters, holds them hostage and sometimes even hurts voters if the turnout is too low
They gave him an attack dog this election, too.
@@Soliloquy084 Look at third world countries. It's on another level. Check out the Orange guy from India.
@Fresh Turkey Have you seen what he does? Reddit tells me he's holding someone hostage, he broke another one's leg and one hasn't seen his daughter for 2 days.
Great work man
nice analysis!
nice run-down and a really well-edited video. also ka pai for acknowledging the gaps in your te reo pronunciation.
8:34 I like the Elder Scrolls reference
Yay! I love watching videos about Aotearoa politics!
Fuark bro, I completely forgot I was subbed to you. But awesome vid as usual!
Welcome back!
This was interesting to watch.
Happy you liked it
Nice touch with those Elder Scrolls election districts at 8:33 :-)
thanks
Very well done
Thanks
Great video.
Thanks for this very detailed and explained hopefully their is a follow up after advance votes and the referrdum results.
Very interesting video
The video was very informative, thank you! Please try not to split the video up into so many CZcams sections though, as I kept trying to rewind to double check I understood, and it was very hard to as you just speak straight from one section to another.
In MMP, can an electorate candidate be an independent, and if so is it guaranteed to create an overhang seat if it wins?
Yes you can be independent electoral candidate. And no you are not guranteed to create an overhang seat, it depends whether your electoral seat is above the percentage threshold for one seat and the proportion of seat that other parties have.
I appreciate your effort in pronunciation. I hope you continue to work on improving it for the next video!
Thanks. For Maori specifically I think living abroad probably limits me just through less exposure, then again my Dutch isn't great either.
An excellent and concise summary, thank you. What software do you use to generate these?
i love that father ted reference at 21:25
HmmMMm I wonder what this guy's view on the NZ flag is? I can't possibly work it out ;) ;)
I'm very good at keeping my opinions to myself.
@@Soliloquy084 isn't that an opinion 🧐
Who desperately really cares?!
@@Longtack55 John Key?
Great video
Glad you enjoyed it
Great video. Explains NZ politics really well to a foreigner.
who knew i'd enjoy learning about upside down elections
I am Dutch and no nothing about New Zealand politics, so this is a nice insight in a different political system.
How bad has corona been in the Netherlands?
@@goldenfiberwheat238 pretty bad to be honest, we had to go in lockdown again ( if you still care idk )
I LOVED the subtle elderscrolls reference
Can't wait for the 2023 vid
are you gonna do one on the potential 2021 australian election?
Are you planning to do one for 2023?
I was waiting for this
They really need to change their flag to the epic laser kiwi
Change? Yes. Laser kiwi? Come on! No.
No thanks $26 mil was wasted by John Keys nats for a flag change that nobody wanted I like my flag the way it is thankyou.
New Zealand freaking out over 4 cases while the United States Casually getting 100k+ cases a day. lol
Thanks for the info, helped me a lot since I’m a Brit who doesn’t know anything about New Zealand politics
you're welcome
Getting less than 50% of the party vote while still having over 50% of the seats doesn't seem like a good MMP system
Yeah, I'm very curious about that. @Soliloquy, I would, and I'm sure many others also would, be very interested in a video explaining exactly how Labor can get just under half the votes, and end up with 4 seats *more* than half of the seats. If it was a difference of one, _maybe_ two, I could comprehend it with weird overhang maths, but such a large disparity seems absurd.
@@JimCullen more then 7% of the party vote was “wasted” on partys such and New Zealand first, The opportunity’s party (#2ticksTOP) And the new Conservative party, as these votes went to party’s who didn’t make parliament they are proportionally redistributed amongst the other party’s, thus giving labour the majority (aka 49% is more then half of the 93% of non wasted votes)
@@gabrielking1247 It would make more sense if the party list votes had ranking: then they could be transferred to parties above the threshold instead of 'wasted'.
@@EvdogMusic I agree STV or PV would be ideal, Im a opportunities party member and last election 10% of people said they wanted TOP in parlament, but because of the "wasted" vote worry, only 2.4% voted TOP
@@JimCullen You're not wrong, but FPTP elections can deliver vastly more disproportionate majorities. Which is what lead us to this.
20:56 never been more crucial now
Great content and very well done. However, where is the Jami-Lee Ross saga fit in here?
And Sara what's her face from Invercargill?
"How to Dad" for deputy prime minister
I see those Tamriel provinces
do one on the 2019 south africa election pls
Thank you. As a non-Kiwi, this is very helpful and interesting
We are likely to have a few seats flipped after specials are counted. Could be interesting.