Why Do We Get Russia Wrong? / Former CIA Agent John Sipher On Our Failure To Understand Russia
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- čas přidán 28. 05. 2024
- John Sipher and I discuss how we keep getting Russia wrong.
You can find and support John on Twitter here:
/ john_sipher
OUTLINE:
0:00 - Introduction
1:35 - Why did deterrents fail?
10:25 - Why doesn't expertise on Russia resonate?
18:48 - The Russian narrative and corruption of the West
23:24 - What does the USA need to learn?
30:15 - The Future of Russia
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Music: "Evening Melodrama" by Kevin MacLeod
#Ukraine #russia
If you enjoyed this video, please share, comment, like & subscribe! 💙💛
czcams.com/video/QLDrA0y02Bg/video.html
Can you two please make this a regular thing? This was incredibly valuable.
👍👍👍
Atleast weekly!!!
Whether Putin is taken out or not, lets not think that Russian Imperialism is over. There are plenty of people in his surrounding ready to replace him. I do not believe that the Russian people have it in them to fight against the regime. Russia needs to be isolated for multiple generations until the Russian people are re-educated and have an understand of what freedom is all about.
Ukraine has given us a second chance to do it right this time. Let's honor the heroes of Ukraine by doing it right this time.
Слава Україні! 🤟
(Glory to Ukraine)
Regardless of what happens in this war Russia’s power will be greatly diminished. Russia is basically China’s bitch now.
Exactly this!
I keep mentioning because it has to be done, first, the current Russian Constitution needs to be shredded, 2nd, a new Western-friendly Constitution needs to be created, there is no more international space for the current nasty Russia, period.
Great video, as always! Thanks for all the work you do to cover this topic.
another great video! Thank you Paul and John.
Great! The Truth! No frills! Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦 🇺🇦 Heroyam Slava 🇺🇦 ♥️
Paul, thank you for supporting Ukraine 🇺🇦
Thank you, Paul! 💙💛
Great show! Thank you both. 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
Lol hi Lisa!
💙🐾💛💕🇺🇦💕💛🐾💙
@@Anita-k 😘 HI ANITA 🤗💙🌻💛 long time no "see" 😎
Even now there is knowledge about russians, which is there, and it gets ignored :(
What an incredibly interesting discussion!
Paul, thank you
Is there any way to prevent Russia from being the chair of the Security Council in April?
Also there was Novodvorskaya who was not listened neither in russia, nor in the west. She saw putin for who he really was as early as in the 90s.
Quality 💙💛🤝🇺🇸
Excellent video! Hope you are doing well Paul!!!!🇺🇦 🇺🇸
Thanks for your helpful content !
Confronting bullys is hard, but Worth it.
But confronting bullys needs to be decisive or your doing it the hard way.
👍👍👍
Very interesting video, it's interesting to hear the perspective of americans on russia
Finally, some guys in the West say the right words!
BRAVO, yet again! I can't wait to vote you in as the US President!! Always right on the money, with prevalence on superior common sense, high academic intelligence and quality ethical integrity! Great information, always!
YOU ARE THE MAN!!
Thank you Paul for all your support!
amazing people
Have you read Anatoliy Golitsyn, russian defector who published in the 80's and government preferred to ignore his info to this day. Explains a lot.
Very informative and interesting conversation, I got some valuable new perspectives here. I think John Sipher has very good understanding, great he could be your guest. ANd now let's send that *victory load* of weapons Ukraine needs to soon beat the invaders, thoroughly, push them _all_ the way out, liberate their people and land, and end all the horrors. So Ukraine can return to peace, with many wounds to heal, but a future of freedom, security, prosperity, and with many friends. Slava Ukraini! Stay safe!
It’s great to hear a voice of reason. Thank you so much!
There was no "civil war in Yugoslavia". There was Serbian aggression on Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia. When will Americans stop appeasing Serbia?
Дякую за вашу допомогу в підтримці України. Рухаємось до перемоги.🇺🇦🇺🇲
This was great, Paul. I hope he can be a return guest on your channell and he can provide context and insight as this war evolves. Actually, having both Sipher and Fiona Hill on at the same time for a full hour would be wonderful. Then, later you can have Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Obama to explain why they managed to stay so up and locked all that time ; ) I'm really enjoying your channel!
As always, great video! 👍
As always awesome, thanks Paul 🌻✌🏻👍🏻👏☝🍀
Great interview Paul! Man i hope we send ATACMS for the spring offensive and jets! They need to sink that bridge to Crimea to the bottom of the Black Sea
complacency bordering on complicity
Russia prepared invasion long before Afghanistan withdrawal
If you about it, if we didn't pull out of Afghanistan then we might of not gave Ukraine as much of support as we do now.
Thank you for the video! Your channel is the reason why I appear on CZcams so often
What’s up fella! See you in class at the Culinary Institute!
Fantastic interview
As always, right in the bull eye!
💙💛 NAFO Fella 🤗 👍
Ukraine and its history is a world most important piece of human civilization, and it is a shield & key between humanity and anti-civilization
Finally some adequate analysis on Russia. How many politicians are sharing the same views? 5-10 %?
Дуже цікава людина, цей Джон зроби ще ефіри з ним, дуже цікаво його слухати.
Comment for channel growing
I heard about the laptop again! I just cannot get over it! We expect everyone speaking up from their experience because they are scared and want to help people, protect people, have trauma, to be right all the time! Why would he think he is/they are the exception?!
^for free out of fear/what they felt was right.
Yes, it might influence people if you are voting for Hunter for President.
100%
Maaan, Paul’s vyshyvanka game is flawless!
KGB m also killed Konovalets, the former OUN leader in Rotterdam in a similar style.
russian kgb was after not only politicians. They killed composer Leontovych, author of world famous 'Carol of the bells', just because he was Ukrainian.
Sadly, even the US ambassadors have the mindset that you described at the beginning of the video. Yes, it's bad, but it's how it is, and we shouldn't push hard against that.
Awsome! SLAVA UKRAINI! 💙💛
This video needs more views! ❤
The average Russian simply distrusts "smart" people.
The average Russian distrusts smart people from the west, even if they tell them the truth, where as a smart person high up in State TV propaganda can tell them lies ( eg Nato & US fighting in Ukraine ) can tell them total lies and half lies and they soak it up and take it as gospel…decades of brainwashing at work…only a complete failure for 🇷🇺 in🇺🇦 will change anything in their heads..
@@mike4480 If you think that Russia will be any changed for the better after a defeat in Ukraine, I think it unlikely. After a revolution, maybe. Calling it 50/50 After that.
@@rob6052 it’s true that it took a total loss for Naz 🇩🇪 in WW2…and decades after…to charge their mindset …we can only live in hope that when they see their leaders faults/ defeats…they eventually cop on…We can only live in hope…100% fact, Pitlers mindset will Not Change…we areare hoping for a snowballl effect..🤞🤞🤞
Good video!
Johns the best, we all love him in NAFO too
“It’s the same KGB stuff” - 100%.
This is where putin is closer to communists and Stalin than to Hitler - he relies on KGB a lot.
Thinking that everyone wants what the USA wants perhaps one of the most difficult issues IV had. Admittedly private sector. But this disconnect is even with Europeans.
Nice analysis of the denger to ignore Russian bullying westen democracies.
There is still a policy to embrace russia :(
There is a significant fringe on both the fire right & the far left that is pro-Russia, but it’s not “policy.”
Your guest was so right about how the West continued to treat Russia as a Superpower long, long after they stopped being one. Their economy before the war was about the same as Spain! If we suggested Spain was a Superpower, you'd get laughed out of the room. What Russia really is, is an emerging economy with nukes! And that explains the continuing deference I believe is the nukes. We treated Russia by walking on eggshells around them and in our dealings and policy towards them. I think we did take the blinders off about them after his 2007 speech in Munich but I think the West decided to still treat them like a Superpower BUT, don't become BFF's. Luckily, Russia totally removing it's cloak of respectability DID have one good effect and that is it made us immediately rethink our policy towards China so we wouldn't get hornswoggled again! Great show and great guest as always! Slava Ukraini! And, as much as I did NOT like or vote for Bush II, he DID try to do something if not to check Russia, but the help Ukraine. He pushed really hard to get Ukraine in NATO in '08 after Putin invaded Georgia, Bush saw the writing on the wall that Ukraine was on Putin's list. But, thanks to Germany and France who didn't want to ruffle the Rusky Bear's feathers, Ukraine was not admtted. We can say we are disappointed about the pace of weapon delivery to Ukraine but Every Single Day, I thank the Gods that Trump was NOT president when this happens!!! He totally would have sold Ukraine down the river immediately!
In all seriousness: it seems like with each administration we are losing data sense of history if we keep reintroducing concepts. I do wonder about this with my previous comment as well as with Congress currently why there is not an intelligence/ international relations primer so all have a similar foundation to work toward truly, peace, better relations nationally and globally. Thank you for this interview, both ❣️🇺🇦🇷🇺🇮🇪🇨🇳🇦🇫🇹🇷🇯🇵🇺🇸🏳️⚧️🏳️🌈🌸🦔✨🌻❤️🙏🏻🕊✌🏻✌🏻🌎🌍🌏✌🏻✌🏻
^intelligence briefing on history, past actions, viewpoints and capabilities/how CIA and State Dept and FBI work? I think it can be confusing and also intimidating to ask, and with op eds from the Left from politicians who are domestically so well informed there seems to be a knowledge gap. . ❤️🙏🏻🕊✌🏻🌻
!!!
Slava Ukraine!
what is that mug he is drinking from. Signed with her Royal Highness Queen Margrethe of Denmark's weapon?
Every full moon John turns around in his living room counter clockwise singing “If I could Turn Back Time” thinking about time travel. The mug is his pondering on why W and M look so similar.
^ counter clockwise while reviewing his performance reviews.
It’s also a mug from The College of William and Mary where his youngest son goes to school 🌻🇺🇦🇸🇩🇸🇸🌎🌍🌏🕊✌🏻 Slava Ukraini!
Criticizing or generalizing about Russian’s values seems racist to the West so we are afraid to criticize.
Good point, I never thought about this.
💙💛💙💛💙💛💙💛
We all believed in a natural march of history that would eventually reach Russia. It is also true that the Islamist front appeared to us as the immediate problem as the fall of the Berlin Wall continued to transport us with hope to the point of blinding us to the bandits of the Kremlin. This dialogue is very enlightening and thank you to your guest.
As a wise man once said: yep
Not entirely sure what he means by french defence. French military probably best Europe has and is a nuclear power. I mean only the USA and France operates nuclear carriers in the world.
Interesting guests and discussions. Thank you Paul❤
🇺🇦🫂🇺🇸
🇺🇸 🇺🇦
Great video and very informative.
Is there a way to make the US keep their agreement to protect Ukraine after the nukes were given up? Can't we send in troops because Russia agreed signed the documents? I know it's complicated and I don't understand but it really makes our USA look like liars and weak. And like we really WANT to side with Russia.
Thanks, guys. This was a very useful and valuable video. Very interesting.
I'm in total agreement with you on these points. We really do need to clearly set out the unambiguous goal of defeating Russia this year and resource aid specifically to reach that objective.
Beyond that we should then set a strategic goal (less publicly, perhaps) of" pacifying" Russia. With all the tools in the toolbox. Not just strategic economic sanctions and military aid. But all of them. Including those that the Kremlin is well versed in. We shouldn't be shy about it. They won't be.
It is important that these people learn to fear us as well as their own countrymen.
They should make CIA disinformation courses like EdX, Open Courseware! 💙💛🙏🏻🕊️
🇺🇦💙💛🇮🇱🇵🇸✌🏻🙏🏻
This was a great discussion! 👍👍 We (USA) needs to send Ukrainians everything they need to win! Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦💖🇺🇸💖
28:09
Biden's and other politicians Ukraine visits:
& That's EXACTLY why I think, NATO politicians should visit Kyiv and Ukraine in general at any given time - pretty much like a (torch) relay race - to avoid Russian missile attacks and save the Ukrainian people's lives.
Russia's deadly afraid to accidentally hit a NATO member politician and start WW3.
PLEASE share this idea!
Hi, How did people even get the laptop? I thought people were worried about
@FBI #FBI going after people?
@GOP ❤️🙏🏻🕊✌🏻🌻❤️🇺🇦🇷🇺🇺🇸✌🏻✌🏻✌🏻✌🏻
Funny that The Simpsons got russia right. But then the predicted Trump being president. Just unbelievable.
pulling out of afganistan WAS NOT an embaressment ... staying in afganistan for 20 years is an embarrasent
One thing that is dissonant. First, you say that the failure of the 90s is that the Russians lost the Cold War, but did not feel it. Now we make the same mistake, saying that the war must end when Ukraine regains all the territory of 1991. But in this case, the Russians will not understand anything again. Only by unleashing the war on the territory of Russia, we can break the closed circle
That’s not feasible, either & you know it.
@@grahamstrouse1165 probably you are right. It means that there is only one option push back until 1991 border and isolate they're economics
Thank you for a great interview! Indeed Russia never changed. It always was an evil Empire. Even during the 90s, they created problems in Transnistria, they handled Chechnya very badly, and many other things. Probably KGB never released its grasp on the Russian throat. I was born in the USSR and I should see it earlier, but I didn't. I also was full of hopes that Russia will become more like the West. I moved out of Russia in 2000 and since then I become a US citizen. I should have seen that Russia couldn't be trusted, but I did all the same mistakes as all the people that was born and raised in the USA. I downplayed all the signs and hoped it was a temporal misunderstanding. Now I think it all was planned. I think Russia joining the fight with terrorists was only to get closer and find how to hurt the USA. It is the evil Empire that should be destroyed!
Idea that " CIA exist" is so dumb, when people will learn?
God bless to the Azov battalion
Orthodox Taliban
I like these Ukrainians :) Do not understand why they speak in English...
Both men's understanding of current history is lacking, to be kind.
👍