Who will win Eurovision 2023? - Prediction before rehearsals
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- čas přidán 29. 04. 2023
- #eurovision2023
Who will win Eurovision 2023? Looking at possible Jury and Televote compromises and the big favorites to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2023 in Liverpool including Loreen, Käärijä, Teya and Salena, La Zarra, Burnette, Blanca Paloma, Noa Kirel, Marco Mengoni, Tvorchi and more. - Zábava
My mind, my heart, my soul, everything in me says it is Finland!!!💚🇫🇮
There are so many good women artists and i think votes are going to share between them, but Käärijä gets votes from every land equally. Italy is mystery jet, but i predict like a this way.
Finland could get the televote at best but Sweden's gonna get the biggest jury votes with a 100% certainty. The juries have always loved Sweden and put them in top 3 no matter how unpopular the song might have been among the public. There is zero chance that the juries would vote for anyone but Loreen this year.
I am sorry. Finland is unbelieveable this year!!! This is big bäng!!!
🇫🇮 Finland is winner of Eurovision 2023. Käärijä is iconic ✌️🧶😊🧶👍and Cha cha cha is unique and catchy! 💚
I am rooting most for Finland, because I really like originality at eurovision
I would be super happy if Austria wins, Teya and Salena are so charismatic and their song is so fun and satirical
I would also love Norway winning, the song has serious hit potential without being straight forward, and Alessandra seems really nice and is very authentic on socials
Sweden or Italy winning would make me a bit sad because I just feel like we have heard those songs before, but if thats what people want then it is deserved i guess
France: sure why not
Ukraine: if people still solidarity vote then so be it, eurovision is political after all and still deserved
Armenia: not for me
Israel: if this wins it had a massive staging success so congrats
Spain: i do not see it winning because it is a bit too weird for a lot of people, but it might win the jury. if it wins its a nice artsy performance, and even though i dont like it, i wont complain
and if germany or australia win i will lose my mind that would be epic
My head says Sweden will win
My hope says Käärijä will win 💚
My heart wants Germany to win ❤
The little devil in me wants Croatia to win 😈
🤣🤣🤣🤣 my head scrwams no all the time 🙈
The rest I second 👌
Hahaha
😅😅😅😅😂
Then you will vote for Croatia. I predict a huge televote for Croatia
Great comment 😂. I'd only replace Germany with Latvia and I can agree with every single statement.
I think your predictions are quite accurate only I still think Finland can just win. It will be close for sure.
Finland bottom 3 uk in top7 Sweden winners
Unicorn is the most energetic performance with the best dance break in Eurovision history
I saw the clip of Marco Mengoni on german tv here on CZcams and after I had to put the song a bit higher on my top list because it was just something else. I think it's a bit of a dark horse, I didn't think it would be that impactful. I guess combined with the esc cut version and the propably striking live it will really stand out.
I really hope you are right. He deserves at least Top 5
@@eurovisionhistories I have a strange feeling that it will do crazy well (top 6). Reason: wasn't a fan of the song before that, now I love it.
Marco Mengoni is a dark horse, so underrated but wait and see…top 5 I’m sure ❤
Thank you ❤
Get your points, but yeah, just hope for another outcome 😅
I understand ;)
Regarding honourable mentions: Australia, this is a song I can anticipate doing well with the juries (and a bit less in the televote). Germany, on the other hand is more likely to appeal to the televote, as it's a more mainstream catchy rock song with not the same level of musical prowess.
Always love your videos!
Thanks Seth!
🥰
Hi there! This is really well done and nicely reasoned prediction! My top 10 is quite similar to yours, but for some reason, Sweden is not in my top 2 😮
Thank you very much!
Who do you predict for Top 2 then?
@@eurovisionhistories Both of my top 2 are in your top 10... at least 😅 I am new to making these videos, but here is my top 10: czcams.com/video/A9yG7QrcIIQ/video.html
There is a growing rejection towards Loreen in many eurofans.
Yeah I notice that but its not like they (or we) are going to decide the winner
@@eurovisionhistories They could deliberately nix the TV
I am sorry, I don't want to disrespectful to anybody, but I think Eurovision should not allow any previous winner to participate in Eurovision. Laureen had a chance to win 12 years ago, and she did, congratulations. I saw many reactions and ranking during last month, most of them call winner with Laureen not Sweden even in this video. It means they vote for her, not the song. I believe they feel bad to give her low rate just because she is previous winner, and most televoter goes with the idea that she was a winner, she must be good. I believe most of Swedish younger singer who wants to show their talent but they couldn't, are not happy with this choice either. I have heard her a little bit more performances, her voice is all digitized with all equipment around her. I think her participation is effecting every other Eurovision singer, because the rating she is getting is not accurate rating, and base on her previous win, and that shadow covers everybody. Please if you are disagree with me be respectful, and give me your reason that why I am wrong in this matter. Thank you.
I think it is okay as long as they have a good song. I personally don't like "Tattoo" as much as many others do but I understand that it is complicated to sing and you have to train this very often. Even if people talk about Loreen in this context: Most of them have Tattoo in their mind. Being a previous winner doesn't mean you win again. Alexander Rybak participated again and did not win (I think it was 2018). Loreen participated in 2017 at Melodifestivalen and did not win it.
I think that you're right. I'm not an artist of course and obviously they're thinking otherwise but if I were a previous winner I would never agree to participate again, no matter what. Why would I need it? For me, it seems just a bit selfish and desperate at the same time. I have to admit, I haven't thought about it that much by previous returning winners (Dana International, Charlotte Perrelli, Lena and others). Maybe because Loreen can be seen as one of the most iconic winner of recent decades and it's clear that her return will get more attention and raise some questions.
I personally feel Alexander Rybak in 2018 was overrated as well, if anyone else had that song, it would have NQ
Previous winners always flop so it's never been an issue. People are only complaining now because Loreen is expected to win.
@@xenondoro8573 That is my point, you said it, Laureen, not Sweden.
Odds are now (Sweden) 44% & (Finland) 22% after first rehearsals!
I am rooting for my winner Armenia, Finland and Austria
I don‘t know if it‘s just a feeling or hope but I don‘t think sweden will get that many more jury points than other jury favourites. I think they will have maybe 20 points more than spain for example.
There's a ghost in my body and he whispers to me: Well, if Loreen wins I want Croatia to be second. It'crazy, it's traktor. 😏
That would be a crazy outcome 🤣
2012 winning over grandmas, 2023 winning over grandpas. And later Loreen (also called "Mother" by many fans) kupila traktora. And Pasha Parfeni having some kind of deja vu 😂
Croatia will be the Moldova 2022
If one of my non-ESC friends will ask me how Eurovision will be I will repeat this. 😂
There is no way Croatia won't be first, they can teleport directly onto stage AND they can sing well, even Loreen can't do both. I'd also bet she doesn't own a tractor, or even has ANY interest in agriculture whatsoever 😞
France 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉 évidemment on a une chanson ai top une artiste au tip et je zuis sir que la lise en scene vas etre sublime voyez France
Actually Sweden hasn't lost any points but Finland has earned more points in My Eurovision Scoreboard App. It's crazy but actually the winner could be a Nordic country if Norway tops Jury results and Televote too. I think your predictions are very accurate from what I'm feeling, I don't see Ukraine leaving the top10, not in Televote, people still feel the need to support them in any way so Televote would be their forte. Spain has a great voice despite the song is not my cup of tea, she'll give her all on stage so Spain it's gonna be a top10 for sure.
I hope estonia qualifies so she can steal some points from sweden. At this point, I'm actually fine with anyone winning as long as it's not Sweden. I simply can't get behind this song. If Cornelia only got 4th last year, Loreen has no business winning this year.
Why do you think Estonia will steal votes from Sweden? More likely Norway, Israel, Austria do that no?
I think your prediction is quite right. For Sweden to win there's one more important point of view: the publicity Loreen gains. She is everywhere, there's no other artist gaining so much limelight in advance, and as we all know that sort of attention is very powerful. For example, Pasha Parfeny returned to ESC too, but have you seen any article or video about it? The average viewer watching ESC will know who Loreen is, even if he/she doesn't remember her victory in 2012.
I am happy with any of your top 4 prediction winning, I like them a lot, Finland a bit more, but any of them are good with me. I am with you that Italy and France can get somehow through, 2 beautiful songs with great performers, that will get a lot of points from televote, and I am sure the jury is going to appreciate them, and give a lot of points as well. So it is very interesting, so many good songs, I don’t see it so clear this year.
France have a chance and a big potential to win Eurovision Song Contest this year 2023
I would say Sweden is the most likely winner. However 45% in the odds is a bit much though I agree. There are some pretty solid challengers. As it stands now I'd say the fight for the trophy is between Sweden and Finland. But I can see France taking it or Spain. Norway kept most of the MGP staging and I didn't really like that with the glowsticks. But well see, I still think Norway has a shot to win, as does Austria. I would like to see someone come out of left field after these first rehearsals shooting to the upper ranks in the odds and surprise everybody..just for the suspense 😊 Also if Sweden doesn't have the led's their % in the odds will drop immediately. But I do think the Swedish delegation will keep a tight grip on things and not let that number drop too much with another win at their fingertips. They will want to stay in control of the narrative so my guess is al their publicity will be closely regulated. Either way whoever wins will be a deserving winner..let's just have fun these next two weeks and keep things light 😊 It's finally here 🎉 yaaayyy
2017 Italy was first in odds. Result was 6th! I doubt Sweden will win.
I think will win Spain or Sweden
Mi top 5
1. Spain vs Sweden
2. Sweden vs Spain
3. Israel
4. Filand
5. Armenia
I would go as far as to predict Swedish victory with 70-80% probability. It is just so obvious and Eurojuries showed it that it will get high points from juries of majority of countries. And she will be at least 2nd in televote as well, unless something goes wrong in her performance. But no, I can’t see that happening. Of course, as a Finn, I wish I was wrong, because this is a very rare opportunity for us to win. I’m predicting quite sure 2nd Place for Käärijä and of course it is a great result. I don’t personally mind Loreen winning, but I don’t think Tattoo is that good as a song that with another great singer it surely wouldn’t be in this position.
Thank you for the channel! I just recently found it and I enjoy your analysing and style of the videos. Btw. you have very nice and comforting voice and with German accent you are very nice to listen. I hope you can use your voice in your job 😊
2017 Italy was first in odds. Result was 6th. I dont think Sweden will win.
To all readers regarding Sweden. If you think her performance is going to be bad on semi and final (because of rehearsals) you dont know Loreen! Search for her on youtube and listen to her live performances you are going to hear that if there is something she CAN DO is singing and make a magic and remembered performance. She is not a studio artist, she is a live artist and she always delivers. You all already know how she is going to perform because you have the live version from Melodifestivalen. The camera is going to do the work - trust me! Maybe she does not win... but give a good remembered performance....HELL YES!
There are only 7 countries i see winning: (With increasing likelihood)
7. Italy
6. Norway
5. Spain
4. Austria
3. France
2. Finland
1. Sweden
🇫🇮❤
It's gonna be Sweden. The juries have always loved them and this year everyone can give 12 points with good conscience to Loreen since she is expected to win anyway. I think Croatia might be the black horse of the televote and get a surprising amount of votes from the public.
I think Sweden has it. Sweden will win the jury easily and will come 3rd-2nd in televoting. Finland also has a chance but it depends on how many points will get from the jury voting.
I think it also comes down to with how many points Finland will win the televote. I can see Sweden getting about 290-300 points with the juries and about 200 points with the televote. If Finland wins the televote with about 350 points they “only” need 150 points with the juries (which is of course still a lot).
This year I can’t see that many big and great televote songs like we had in 2021 with Italy, Ukraine, Iceland and Finland (in the end Italy still got over 300 points with the televote). But it’s still worth mentioning that Sweden has a bigger mass appeal than Finland. Finland might be too crazy for some people and they tend to choose the solid pop song.
This time I think the running order will be extremely important as well. If Finland is going to perform at 12th but Sweden at 23rd this would definitely make a difference with their televote points. The same thing would happen if Finland would be placed 25rd and Sweden 12th.
It also depends on how the other songs will do. For example what about France, Italy and Spain with the juries. They might “steal” some points Loreen need to win.
I think it’s hard to predict the winner this time. Right now I think Sweden will win because it will reach both the juries and the televote but with a HUGE televote win (350 or more) Finland could get it as well.
We also can’t forget about the fact Sweden isn’t always doing great with the televote, even Euphoria didn’t got a HUGE support in the televote…Both countries can still win!!!
@@sp9459 yep I definitely agree with you. The running order plays an important role.
I think Ukraine will get a lot of televotes that will mean there are fewer to go around and so while Finland may win the televote it won’t be enough to push them into the top spot. I see Sweden or a compromise winner (like France) winning for that reason.
I think Armenia could pull an Azerbaijan 2011, and surprise everyone, it is a dark horse, but it should l do well in the televote, and the jury should also like it.
Irritating and unbearable audacity of the EBU and the BBC, the organizers of the Eurovision competition held in Liverpool this year, to which only the first, second and fourth places of last year were invited while completely ignoring the third place which was not invited to this year's competition, which has already attracted the attention of all CZcamsrs and the bloggers and a very large part of the fans and is causing a great rage in Spain these days, and especially in view of the tiny difference in the final between Sam Ryder, the representative of the hosts, and Chanel, the representative of Spain, who was robbed of second place only because of EBU's interference in the voting proces, and only because of the Lancelide of mercy votes, was she robbed of the first place. One thing is certain: this disgrace of the total ignoring of the third place and not inviting her to this year's competition while the fourth place is invited will not pass in silence and a petition on the matter, which will also be joined by most CZcamsrs reviewing the competition, is going to be released very soon. It is not enough that Chanel was robbed last year, she is also not invited this year. Shame on you the organizers of the competition.
Noone cares
Spain have a big potential to win Eurovision Song Contest this year 2023
I hope Serbia or Finland will win
I wish Spain, France ir Italy
Sweden ❤
Finland all the way, Sweden and Norway are not even on my top 10
Finland will win.🇫🇮💚
You come across as a sensible, rational German and your predictions make a lot of sense, but how accurate have you been in your predictions over the last 3 years ?
Pretty ok. Precicted the winner in the last 3 contests
@@eurovisionhistories Sweden is a typical bland , forgettable act that is custom made to win Eurovision
I think Israel will surprise us all .
MIMICAT
Croatia 🎉🎉🎉🎉❤
If the final were held today, who do you think wins Eurovision 2023?
Sweden
I think Sweden but I HOPE Finland
Sadly, Sweden …
Sweden, Queen Loreen
I think Sweden 😒 But I hope Finland 😃💚
🇦🇲❤
Finland is good but I hope finland will win
Portugal will be on the left side of the scoreboard. Mark my words.
Bottom 3 Finland Latvia france
All parts of my body praying for France 🙏
Ton coeur, Tes mains, tes yeux?
@@eurovisionhistories Sorry, youtube does not translate your comment for some reason 😊 I'll have a chat with google translator 😆
@@eurovisionhistories Got it. Yes, all of it and my kidneys too 😆
Hahah sorry thought you were French ;)
@@eurovisionhistories I have 0% french blood running through my veins 😆
go Spain, go
hope non of them will win, top 5 are not interesting songs
Whom do you want to win?
Puesto 10? Eso sería injusto. Y un boicot a España.
La voz más virtuosa este año en Eurovision y la propuesta más artística, cultural y única del festival quedando décima cuando merece objetivamente ganar? Qué triste. Por debajo de pop comercial, balada pop, pop petardo, y más pop. Lo que trae España trasciende, es arte, es fusión (entre el flamenco y la música trance/atmosférica), es pasión y sensibilidad en estado puro, es voz prodigiosa, es exclusivo (Eso es la música, eso es el arte).
Lo que trae España no se ha visto ni escuchado en ese festival jamás, y de ganar ella sería dar un paso adelante en Eurovision, ganaría el talento, la virtud, el arte y la originalidad por encima de todo, como pasó cuando ganó Nocturne de Secret Garden.
Un premio al arte por encima del pop comercial o la balada pop, o el petardeo y lo estrafalario.
Tengo la sensación de que España NO es querida en Eurovision, y aunque llevemos lo mejor como este año no nos quieren ver ganar. Hay otros paises más amigos a los que prefieren votar con tal de no hacer ganadora a España, aunque sus propuestas sean más simples, superficiales o mediocres.
😢
Si la canción no gusta entonces no hay nada que hacer. Relájate.
Las otras son mas accesibles a un publico internacional. Eso es todo... Veremos que pasa el 13 de mayo