Kopi Time 107 - Kishore Mahbubani on the Asian century versus the American century
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- čas přidán 13. 06. 2024
- Kishore Mahbubani, Distinguished Fellow at the Asia Research Institute, National University of Singapore, returns to Kopi Time to give his take on China-US relationship, the war in Ukraine and its many facets, and where Asean and India stand in all this. The ever erudite former career diplomat pulls no punches, pointing out poor national strategies, short-term oriented decision making, and hypocrisy on foreign and economic policy across industrialized economies. He worries about US presidential elections next year, although he sees little course correction on US policy toward China, regardless of the outcome. The conflict in Ukraine, however, could be profoundly affected by the US election outcomes. Mr Mahbubani also weighs in on China’s geo-strategic response so far, room for cooperation on climate change, the expansion of Brics, and the outlook for Aaean. We end with a a prognosis on Singapore. The transcript of this chat will be worth saving.
What I appreciate about the views of Kishore is that they are both relevant and concise. Not only is he a master communicator but his grasp of the Asian versus Western dynamic is total.
In fact his accuracy makes me worry sometimes
@@rodger-ef5xyhe's from the future
No respect to people suffering from TDS, total wackos
Kishor is a Chinese agent
All pro PRC loves him. ❤️ Kishore loves PRC deeply 💖 ❤️ 💙 💓 💕 ♥️.
I am being following Kishore comments for a few years now and I think he is very knowledgeable and frankly too honest. In fact he is so honest that the only people who can accommodate him are Chinese because China understand well the kungfu strategies and the go game tactics. Bush said "either you are with us or against us"
Too bad Singapore agreed with the US on the war.
Kishore loves PRC deeply 💖 ❤️ 💙 💓 💕 💗 💖 ❤️
Professor Mr. Kishore….always giving fair comment.. respect Sir
Fantastic. Great job on the inside of Singapore. I did not realise that the 70% vote by the Singapore has so much implication on the maturity of the people. Thank you for the sharing. I am proud to be a Singaorean who voted for Mr Tharman, our President. 新加坡加油！
Credit goes to our Ex-PM Mr Lee Kwan Yew who has brought us together with one commom identity, a Singaporean.
From London, big respect kishore..
great video. I learn a lot from prof kishore mahbubani
Mr Kishore Mahbubani has a very far sighted political knowdege. Yabas to him !
Wow! You invited Mr Mahbubani! Always love to listen to him.
kishore too know this world than most people on this planet
Prof Mahbubani has always been clear, concise and fair in his analysis of the World Economics & Politics. I share with him my fear that at the pace things are going, we will face a WWIII which will wipe out all human beings' achievements. The writing is already on the wall and this is simply something we only pray will not be soon.
If there is a world war 3 that's China's fault because they damn well knew what would happen if you challenge the United States for their throne. ☢️
You are very right about Europe being idiotic in dealing with Russia. They have been both dishonest and unfair.
Big respect Kishore Mahbubani amazing thinking sir.
what a wise man. unfortunately the Americans would not listen
That's cuz you're a Chinese so you would say some stupid junk like this. We will be dealing with China very soon even if it ends the world ☢️
Great viewpoint 台下30年的外交经验和功夫，台上53分钟的精彩观点
There are so many "Americans" elected to European Parliment n European governments
Great Guest!
Spot on as usual. About TIME more ASEAN & other Asian countries statesmen become more out spoke. Over the past couple of I have stepped up my search and purchases of legacy Asian ✍️ author born in & residing in Asia.
Kishor and George Yeo are breath of fresh air, unlike the foreign correspondents that fill the main stream media on geopolitical views.
No doubt Tharman is an outstanding candidate for presidency. But the outcome would be different if this was an election for a prime minister.
George Yeo is too emotional about China for Singaporeans to trust his objectivity and priorities. Kishore is much better than him.
Great program . Looking forward to more !
Baig sahb, bahut achha ji !
Very deep and scientific analysis of the geopolitical situation we are facing today. Kishore is a brilliant geopolitical strategist and analyst
Always love to listen to kishore talks. In depth knowledge..
Excellent interview. Huge admirer of Kishore's analysis of issues over the Longue durée. Curious about his generally positive stance on ASEAN though. Notably, the military coups in Thailand, and Myanmar, thousands of people killed, imprisoned, and disappeared. Yet, ingoing economic support for the junta by ASEAN corporate interests. Although of course, that is their internal affairs, and not a subject to be raised publicly.
similar to libya, iran, afganistan, iraq, cuba. Nothing to different here
Kishore ❤
Hubris keeps the empire afloat but the legs they are standing on have withered.
Corright. Feet of clay, head of stone
Our legs are made of nuclear weapons. If our legs give out the whole world falls with us ☢️
the switch is in US hands@@TacticalMayo
@@adolft_official and we will hit that switch.
unbeatable Mahbubani!
Should be unstable China hack.
Perhaps we are transitioning from 500 years of empires to finally a multipolar world (where countries pay tribute to China!)
42:30 Kishore America's No1 allies in the Region is Australia and Japan. Not Vietnam.
The US should lead, not mafia style but collaboratively with nations rather than divide.
Despite of being huge fan of kishore since long, calling us for Climate change as priority for a country is a weak argument
He does know how to talk.
Because he says the exact same script every single time.
the host seems a bit biased against China.
Asian games
ＭＲ Kishore
A
petervote please do not be narrow minded c'nt you be open minded & self sufficient 😮😮😮
So why didn't Biden take Trumps tariffs off
Why Biden or Trump, why not another American becoming US president
There got no choice if a new president that love China that’s what they afraid of.
HE HAS STOPPED TALKING ABOUT CHINA THESE DAYS,
I am looking forward to reading his new book series, probably starting with “Can Indians think”, to be followed by “The Indian
Miracle”, and “Has India won?”😂
@@jacobbechandersen9029
Correction: "Can India Ever Win?"
I'm Singaporean Chinese and I disagree with Kishore on the elections. Tharman was a very strong Indian candidate facing off two very weak Chinese opponents. The story would be different if the Indian candidate was a very weak one.
totally agree, all of my singaporean friends already decided to elect tharman because he has been in various minister positions including vice PM for a long time, so it's clear he's a favorite coming into the election. even mahbubani himself was promoting tharman since a few months ago. i think it's just lip service to say the result is "quite shocking"
@@wawanhermawan-sz7gl I am not Singaporean and take Kishore analysis a bit differently. I think he is saying that "who would have thought a few years ago when the Lee family has a hold on everything ... that a non-chinese singaporean would become president in 2023"
Imagine someone thinking today that a Chinese-Indian would become India (Bharat) prime minister soon :)
@@rodger-ef5xy previous president was a malay non-chinese, halimah. see, even you didnt know who was singapore's president.
like india, no one remembers who's their president (india had several muslim presidents).
in that regards, to be "quite shocked" that a non-chinese in singapore or a non-hindu in india could become president is a bit..........exaggerating and disigenuous.
@@wawanhermawan-sz7gl You are right, in fact I thought the new guy was Prime Minister, hence my reference to India PM and the Lee Family. Thanks for clarifying
while in malaysia ,how low IQ leader you are,if u belong to one particular race,you will be elected even if he bring you to' hooland'
I have held high respect for Professor Kishore’s analysis and views on the Asian century but bewildered that he has not revised his recent assessment given the stunning geopolitical shift in the Asia Pacific caused by China’s aggressive and hegemonic foreign policy of the CCP regime at Beijing triggered by Xijinping’s regressive ultranationalist policies down the slippery slope of Mao’s era.
You're watching too much western MSM.
The Courageously Competent People, you mean?
Which planet are you from?
Planet where Courageous and Competent People live. The planet where the government could bring out 800 million people out of poverty, have 400 millions high spending power people, where the people with government could build 40 thousand kilometres of high speed rail in just over a decade, build space Station, become the biggest trading partner to over 140 countries, build infrastructure together with 150 countries of over 3000 projects, and so so many more achievement. Great Courageous and Competent People.
@@fajarliong Actually, I was asking the original poster @tstecksuan which planet he is from for his lopsided view of China. Your reply is excellent, nonetheless. 👍
I think you are not accurate. Biden to be president. You are blind Kishore. What has he done to world peace. Hahaha
Kishore should eat his humble pie on his assessment of Biden who has shown himself to be a cognitively impaired not fit to be President, who has threatened nuclear escalation by increasingly supplying inexhaustible amount of weapons to Ukraine in its proxy war against Russia. Further Biden is also racheting up the Taiwan China tension. Alas Biden is fit for the care home, not the White House for the safety of the entire world.
petervote then vote yourself please c'os you don't knows what is politics so please give your advice 😮😮😮
Europe is a rich country and has high technology. If Russia joins Europe, the European Union will be a super power that is stronger than the US or China.
In the past the EU had high technology now they are just America's bixxx
that tech is gift of colonialism
ASEAN was the white Europeans back garden for two centuries. The rise of ASEAN is looked upon with disbelief and jealousy. The tail is now wagging the dog. How the West wishes for a war in the region to destabilize and to trivialize its growth.
ASEAN cannot separate from China and the Chinese immigration in the region. Ethnic Chinese do very well and can be a sore point with the locals. Some natives are still lounging for the white man rule. The Philippines has made a turn towards Americana under Marcos. It sticks out like a sore thumb amongst ASEAN.
You DO NOT KNOW the real reason why Marcos is kow-towing to the US???
His father's fortunes are held ransom in the US ... !!!
I wonder how the good professor processes the sudden sharp downturn in the Chinese economy, and the demographic time bomb ticking away, and the bai lan generation. IMHO the Asian Century is still here but it’s not driven by Chinese economic strength, it’s driven by Chinese instability and security concerns under Xi. And as for the chip technology, it is way over-hyped. Their chips are what AMD was already doing 15 years ago. Its absurd to think that the US government doesn’t do extensive research on China. That’s reductive. It’s absurd to think that the US is using “the Soviet playbook” on China now. That too is reductive. He argues through hypotheticals and not facts.
Well, from the outside, it looks like the US is still using the old playbook. US diplomacy, today, is a fallacy. Furthermore, hey have totally weaponized the US dollar which is definitely not a sustainable long term strategy.
"1990. The Economist. China’s economy has come to a halt.
1996. The Economist. China’s economy will face a hard landing
1998. The Economist: China’s economy entering a dangerous period of sluggish growth.
1999. Bank of Canada: Likelihood of a hard landing for the Chinese economy.
2000. Chicago Tribune: China currency move nails hard landing risk coffin.
2001. Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas: A hard landing in China.
2002. Westchester University: China Anxiously Seeks a Soft Economic Landing
2003. KWR International: How to find a soft landing if China..
2004. The Economist: The great fall of China?
2005. Nouriel Roubini: The Risk of a Hard Landing in China
2006. International Economy: Can China Achieve a Soft Landing?
2007. TIME: Is China’s Economy Overheating? Can China avoid a hard landing?
2008. Forbes: Hard Landing In China?
2009. Fortune: China’s hard landing. China must find a way to recover.
2010: Nouriel Roubini: Hard landing coming in China.
2011: Business Insider: A Chinese Hard Landing May Be Closer Than You Think
2012: American Interest: Dismal Economic News from China: A Hard Landing
2013: Zero Hedge: A Hard Landing In China
2014. CNBC: A hard landing in China.
2015. Forbes: Congratulations, You Got Yourself A Chinese Hard Landing ….
2016. The Economist: Hard landing looms for China
2017. Market Watch: China’s economic problems will come to a head in 2017
2018. CNN: Forget the trade war, China's economy has other big problems
2020. Economics Explained: The Scary Solution to the Chinese Debt Crisis
2021. Global Economics: Has China's Downfall Started?
2022. Cathie Wood: China's COLLAPSE Is FAR Worse Than You Think
2022. Business Basics: China's Economic Crisis, GDP is Crashing, Protests Everywhere. China's financial crisis is here." China
2022. 'The Worst is yet to come'. China's slowdown weighs on Global economy.
2023. 'Why China's economy won't be fixed,' The Economist - An increasingly autocratic government is making bad decisions. The fact that China’s problems start at the top means they will persist
𝗤𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 : Do you see patterns ? 𝗔𝗻𝘀𝘄𝗲𝗿 : Consistent wrong predictions. 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗼𝗻𝘀 : Parts of the US and western propaganda. To smear China. China blind. Sinophobia. 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗳𝗮𝘃𝗼𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗼𝗻𝘀 ?
yes, they have a problem but you watch too much MSM. According to them they'll be collapsing anytime soon. They've been doing this for years, decades. Somebody have to call them out and ask them about their prediction of China downfall every year for years. you should know by now that it is just wishful thinking for the west, perhaps they think that the more they keep talking of China collapsing, the more chance it will happen.
好汉不提当年勇😂
I'm still not convinced about China. For instance if China is following international rules & norms then it boggles the mind as to why have they drawn borders that impinge upon the sovereignty of ASEAN as well as north Asian countries not to mention India and even their allies Russia. This along with belligerent talk of a Taiwan invasion has caused their neighbours in the region to get nervous and to seek security arrangements with the US. Also China lacks one key ingredient they will need to ultimately overtake the US and the West. Freedom of expression that the US has enshrined in its constitution gives them an edge in a lot of areas not just economic even though it has at the same time contributed to its recent internal issues. Without freedom of expression Chinese industry and entrepreneurs will not be able to question the status quo and push the boundaries that allow them to innovate in the same way as the US. In fact the control that the CCP exerts encourages fear and actively discourage any meaningful discussion to innovate and create as evidenced by the troubles in Hong Kong & the exodus of China and Hong Kong citizens to the west in the last several years. So I'm not convinced that China's rise can be sustained especially with the events of the past few months in mind.
FREEDOM!? FREEDOM!? FREEDOM!!! We are hunger for FREEDOM! FREEDOM is yummy and delicious!!! LOL...
You are grossly misreading China.
Freedom of expression !! You are permitted to talk all you want !! Just do not expect the US govt to fix gun violence, robberies, homelessness, inflation, wars, corruptions, drugs & the trillion dollar debt problem.
Chinese industries like Hwawei, Shein, Tik-Tok, Alibaba innovate far ahead of the US. That is how it became the second largest economy in the world. China has the most advance space station, world telescope, satellites, EV cars, high speed rails, automated ports & amazing infra-structures. That is creativity !! Millions of Chinese tourist visit the world every year, spending their hard earned dollars purchasing local goods. And they all RETURNED to China, their beloved country. Do not just repeat the lies of the Western media.
Whether you are convinced about China do not matter a bit. Spend time criticizing others makes people feel superior. I understand.
Biden could not string a complete sentence and doesn't know the direction to walk off stage. He is not doing a good job. He is working for his son, hunter.😂
@@stevewang2no point in teaching the stupid.
Kiss shoe is only a book seller and a conspiracy theorist at that.
And you got nothing to sell except rubbish!