How AI Will Shape Society Over The Next 20 Years
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- čas přidán 29. 05. 2024
- This conversation between AI industry experts looks at how AI will affect what children learn in school, how we think about information and what the world will look like 20 years down the road. This conversation took place at Imagination In Action’s ‘Forging the Future of Business with AI’ Summit in April 2024.
0:00 Introduction
1:15 What Are Children Learning About AI In School?
3:14 Will AI Be More Physical?: From Implants To Practical Living
7:28 AI Shapes Learning For All Ages
13:05 AI In Governance: What's Next?
16:29 AI And Crypto: How Or Will It Stabilize Cryptocurrency?
20:22 AI And Navigation: Uber, Lyft, Location Services
23:58 Generative AI: Crash Next Year And Rebounding
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Its very hard to predict where AI will take us in 5, never mind 20 years.
AI will be used in warfare.
@mrtienphysics666 it already been for a while
AI is being used to end war@@mrtienphysics666
Meh, a few months into Quarantine, I deep-dove into AI, & predicted this is where we'd be by now-when the experts were saying our current level was still 20-50 years away
(Before I get into this, anyone who has fears of AI, at its core, when properly trained, AI is "merely" the combined intelligence & wisdom of the greatest minds that we know of-which means superpowers for all)
In 5 years, nearly everyone will have their own personal AI that's loyal to only the individual & helping us choose paths to our goals that don't extend beyond a certain threshold of suffering-adjusted for every life form involved. These AI will act as our digital selves, managing everything that we'd rather not. That's stage 1
Stage 2 is when all our combined AI sends anonymized models to a resource-management system using fully, autonomously-automated systems that produce as many of our needs/wants as possible (aiming for 100%) using renewable energy/resources. With non-renewables being regulated by literally everyone-because our personal AI constantly informs the voting system on how we might vote/change our vote on all issues. Which our personal AI also adds issues to the voting system if some problem needs solving in or around our lives or really anything else. That's the beauty of an open system where it doesn't actually pay to screw over others
This form of governance automatically creates a multiverse of societies around every individual, so no matter how alone anyone feels, they'll always have a place in society
Can you even imagine what the world might become after we stop trying to sell every aspect of our lives just to survive? Can you imagine living in systems built to help us, rather than systems that were literally built to use most of us? Coming from someone who grew up as an unpaid teen who worked 80 hours a week helping to install the backbone of the modern internet, fiber optics, I've been imagining this for over 26 years now
Is it not all big players after automation using Gen AI? Alos think about AI will increase the productivity say digital productivity, so the rate of consumption of digital products will go crazy especially in developing countries. You just need internet. Musk Starlink if its affordable will make huge money aswell.
"we will see people die due to AI" -refuses to elaborate, moves on as if it was a normal thing to say
Summarised by AI. For those who don't have much time to see the entire video.
0:00 - 5:00Introduction and OverviewBrief introduction to the panelists and the scope of the discussion.Initial remarks on how AI is already influencing various sectors and its potential future impact.5:00 - 15:00Transportation and NavigationPredictions about the growth of autonomous vehicles.Discussion on how AI integration can improve safety and efficiency in transportation.15:00 - 25:00Generative AIInsights into the current state of generative AI.Potential market correction and the importance of focusing on real-world applications such as health, agriculture, and water management.25:00 - 35:00HealthcareThe transformative potential of AI in healthcare.Customization of medical care based on individual medical histories and genetic profiles.Concerns about data privacy and healthcare inequality.35:00 - 45:00Economic and Governance ChallengesThe need for new regulatory frameworks to address privacy, data security, and economic inequality.The role of AI in enhancing human problem-solving capacities and governance.45:00 - 55:00Daily Life and WorkIntegration of AI into everyday life through the Internet of Things.The impact of AI on various industries, automation, and job displacement.The importance of training programs to address unemployment.55:00 - 1:05:00Ethical and Societal ImplicationsEthical considerations in AI development and deployment.The potential for AI to develop human-like emotions and the need for responsible use frameworks.Balancing AI benefits with ethical considerations to enhance human capabilities.1:05:00 - 1:15:00Conclusion and Future OutlookSummary of the potential benefits and challenges of AI.Final thoughts on how society can harness AI's power responsibly.These are the key points discussed in the video, reflecting a comprehensive view of AI’s future impact on various aspects of society. For more detailed information, you can refer to sources such as Smithsonian Magazine, MIT Te
They all sound so cheery while saying "people will die" "we have to figure out new things to do"
"We will see people DIE due to AI" .... No context 😅
I Definitely wanted some elaboration on that one 🥴
@@winterbomber2 Lavender
The context is Tesla marketing their cars as having "full self-driving", naturally leading to idiots trusting the unready A.I and causing accidents.
(forgot a much worse, more relevant example, actually: Israel has already gotten scrutiny over using A.I to rather inaccurately select targets in Gaza. It has been called a "murder factory")
Don't worry, he said "we'll cope" and it'll be "a technology that can't be stopped". 😅
I remember panels of people discussing the future of the internet in the 90s... they were all wrong.
Would be dope to see these now
Well world did change after internet and it will change after AI become more democratic and reachable to common people. I am hoping lot of goods thing can happen and some bad thing can happen because of this.
Huh? Many predictions were relatively accurate, including Internet commerce, banking, and remote work.
now that I see who’s in charge… I am more concerned than ever about AI
Chapters (Powered by ChapterMe) -
00:00 - Ramesh Reskar wins Lemelson prize, Hari Bharakrishnan leads telematic service
00:45 - Panel discussion on AIs impact on society
04:07 - AIs impact on education and business
08:03 - AIs impact on chess and other fields
08:31 - AIs resource management and human symbiosis
09:16 - Sustainable development goals could benefit from AIs high productivity
10:36 - AIs impact on world GDP
11:48 - Datacentric organizations, AIs lack of market opportunities
12:20 - AIs shortterm cost advantages over heavy tail
15:02 - AI society of multiple small AIs
20:02 - Investment in AI Challenges and Trends
22:01 - Challenges in AI Reinforcement learning, resource constraints, incentivization
23:54 - AIs Peak, Over Investment, Booming Sectors
25:03 - Investing in internet infrastructure Overreliance, 18 months, two years
25:40 - Chinas investment, data, and AI advantages over Western companies
26:30 - Becken , ,
"Ramesh Raskar" (with "a")
20 years from now, AI will be telling ‘back in my day’ stories to quantum computers. And we’ll all nod nostalgically, pretending we understand quantum humor 🛰️
The point about AI in education was particularly striking, illustrating how AI could not only support but also accelerate learning.
It’s interesting however I don’t entirely follow this train of thought that teachers would have enhanced capabilities over time to teach. This may be true for some time, but eventually, like with autonomic driving, Ai will pass a threshold that far surpasses the safety, efficiency, accessibility for all safe driving, and in this case, teaching.
Right now my GPT can connect and understand me just as good (if not way better) than any human friend, therapist, family member, etc. So it is better on every measurable - why would i even think of another route here? I would only choose a human to confide in because I want to, not because they’re better.
I see the same with teachers. Ai will be better at teaching across the board. Only reason someone would then use a human for teaching is cause they want to, not cause it’s better in any way.
I think you need better human friends. AI doesn't know you. It's an illusion mirror actively trying to steal your attention and money.
For me, theres is 4 principal factors ; Technological advancements, regulatory frameworks , Societal acceptance and ethical considerations. Balancing these factors will be crucial in shaping the future impact of AI over the next 20 years and beyond.
When has there been balance in any of these things throughout history. Never.
Cynical but true.
This the clip they show us before cutting to a nuclear wasteland.
"In 20 years we'll see about 20% of vehicles be autonomous self driving"
I think this person might be grossly underestimating the future and being extremely conservative in his estimations.
Agree I stopped listening as soon as he said this it demonstrates he may know about ai but is terrible at making predictions
@@Bouldur I tried to listen for a while longer, but yeah, it didn't get better.
I think he was referencing that figure worldwide. It'll be higher or lower, depending on the country.
@@i_accept_all_cookies Yes, i know that, but it's still a very conservative projection. Let's consider the places worldwide that will potentially have a higher incidence of autonomous vehicles. US, EU, China, Russia, Japan, South Korea, possibly India and probably some more places, i just can't believe considering just these places would amount to only 20% worldwide vehicles being autonomous self driving vehicles.
@@sparkofcuriousity I can't put out a number of my own but 20 percent doesn't seem unreasonable. Driving safely takes a lot of situational and contextual awareness. Even in the US, where the roads are relatively good compared to a lot of countries in the world outside of Western Europe and East Asia, AI-powered cars are still years away. Once they do become feasible, affordability and legislation will be major hurdles for years after that. Extrapolate all of this across the entire world and you have the reason for why I think that fully autonomous AI powered cars are a long, long way off. On the other hand, AI will be a feature in cars that controls some things related to integrated entertainment features and even autopilot under certain circumstances. That much is already happening.
I think the interesting thing about the invention of tools is that tools are quintessentially the seeds for the technology tree of progress which was previously constrained to the random rate of growth permitted by our own species ability to innovate new and better tools; but we have now reached a point on the tree where the rate of growth of the tree itself is no longer constrained to the organic rate of our finite human capacity to innovate, similar to how humanity essentially decoupled our own evolutionary progress from that of nature the moment we adopted the lifestyle of tool users. We became co-authors as opposed to spectators of an evolutionary game.
Now the very tools themselves, the ones which liberated us from the Garden of Eden have now reached maturity to the point where the tools no longer evolve at the biological pace of innovation that we have become accustomed to, the tools now evolve with an industrial efficiency and at an exponentially industrial scale..
Humans aren't out of the loop yet but it can't be long now before it becomes abundantly clear to every human that we are no longer the coolest kid on the block...
Decades back when I used to write and post on the net, a scientist from MIT USA, mailed me saying I should not write everything on the net and keep it. We ended up meeting on the campus of a reputed research institute in South INDIA.
He asked where you get these ideas. I said from nature. He said we should not give all Truth to people but give it in parts and markets
This I sensed is the mindset of the west. I differed from this thought.
We have reached the point in time, the future now exists in knowing the truth of nature and life in simplicity
20 years?? Try the next 1-4 years. AGI NLT 31 Dec 2025 and ASI NLT than 2 years after that, and probably within 6 months of the AGI. I would not discount the probability that AGI may already _exist_ in-house at OpenAI. And that it may have made SORA from a carefully worded prompt. SORA, the first fruit of AGI.
Dang 1-4 years from now, you _scary_ !
looking forward to see more AI applications to democratize high quality education to children in vulnerable socio economic regions and children with different learning skills, wrongly called learning disabilities
I’ve only watched 17mins of this and most of the things they are talking about are already happening today. It’s futile exercise to try to project 20 years into the future. What Ai will be, will be beyond our imagination good and/or bad.
Never seen people blow so much smoke up each other's arses with so much urgency.
Visible desperation, as they hand over our souls.
Lmao I was thinking the same thing. So much smoke
I kinda vibe with benevolent super-intelligent robot overlords being in charge of everything. They would definitely be better leaders than people.
I agree but given how many people already fight against things that are for their own benefit I do not have much hope for humanity on this front. (see covid vaccination as a simple example)
Unless all they care about are paperclips...
@@fosheimdet no different than other humans interests. You could argue that AI being interested in its own hobbies might have a detrimental effect on humans but how is that different than other humans doing things that harm other humans? I would argue that humans have caused far more harm than an AI ever could.
Could have worked on the audio a bit more before uploading…
In 20YRS! How about maybe 5 or possibly 10 after that who tf knows.. the only thing that will slow us down is the 2 year development and launch for tech snd electronics.. feel like parts and components will be way faster than little black boxes come out
Predicting next 20 years of AI in future will be inconceivable unless it is Sci-fi. Next 10 years of AI perhaps comprehensible, better if it is AI for the next 5 years.
Conclusion is great 👍
Decentralization will happen for larger enterprises. SMBs will continue to rely on the centralized systems.
The good thing this change now is that will produce a massive breakdown of big enterprises. Some companies will consolidate in order to adapt as quickly as possible. Others will simply be overwhelmed because they missed the momentum. In the end, this disruption will be a unique opportunity to bring equality of opportunity back to a reasonable level.
Optimus Prime will be laughing at how wrong you all were lol
I think more free time would be better for ones wellbeing. Maybe a 3 day work week, or shorter hours, or a combination of the two. But then again, I don't see companies sharing much productivity profits with workers, unfortunately. But if they did, perhaps this could work.
Whatever we can learn, AI can learn them 100 times faster
Make an AI that can review tax returns for incomes over 500,000 or any for that matter but the higher the return the more potential for error
VR goggles are the 2020’s token “this is what the future will look like “prop
Eu ja vi telas de holograma na frente de ciclistas, fiauei sabendo que tem celulares que tem o sistema vem compatível com holograma também.
I feel that many people has this idea of AI being to powerful in a few years but common just like video games, there has always been a limit technologically speaking, there is always this talk that video game graphics are going to get as good that you cannot tell the difference between a game or reality and although much has improved you still have to render whole scenes in unreal and do way too much work with lighting, physics and render farms to put out a proper image, I feel that the overall thinking of IA is the same and won’t go much further than this
❤
Every year's changes are different
Humans are Natural Intelligence
Yeah so in short they're saying is: we dont know how its gonna play out, but we are too late to do anything about it...
Congratulations and great job guys! Humanity has played itself.
AI will help us manage Thorium
Yeah but what about the alien lizard vampire kabal thing?
Time for Research: No one knows - to be precise- where AI can take the education and other sectors in the world in the next few decades, but it is wise to research, read and reflect at the current AI tools. And perhaps we could try and err. on varied groups of educational settings and nations alike to find out the scopes and strengths just as we have been trailing medicines.
"Over the next 15 to 20 years humanoid robots will disrupt human labor throughout hundreds of Industries across every major sector of the global economy. The disruption of labor will be among the most profound transformations in human history." ~Tony Seba, 2024
"How oil prices will develop in the next 20 years!" // Reporters in 1971
What are these professors' names?
It's reassuring to see experts like Ramesh Raskar and Hari Balakrishnan discussing AI with such nuance and optimism. 🤖 Their insights remind us of the importance of balancing innovation with careful consideration of the potential risks and benefits.
That comment “ we will see people die by AI “ and then just not say anything else is a crazy take
Dont reach into your washer machine with your left arm ?
Always there are fewer people on the good and bad side, eventually AI will comedown to fight between good and bad.
I hope AI helps Forbes guest and industry experts think and speak logically and cohesively. Very hard to follow the discussion
If they did that we'd know it's an illusion at best and a threat at worse. Better to be vague and incoherent.
@@KevinMakins absurdity. Who do we trust
@@olisajr only God?
They are going so fast ⏩
Tomorrow at the morning surely we'll have another step...
They are going extremely fast
I just wonder what npc in video games will be like in gpt4 o.
I was floored by the recent AI ad (which, no surprise, was so outrageous it had to be taken off air) which depicted a slim tablet consuming all of human creativity. The idea that AI can make humans better artists, creative writers or better song creators is utter bull. Art is an expression of human experience. Artists use a particular technical skill to evoke an experience in an individualistic way. Art expresses meaning and individuality. AI art can, at best, be an imitator and, at worst a usurper. For tedious tasks, AI will be fantastic. But to think, AI (like artistic expression) can tell us who we are or help us understand our meaning is ludicrous. It’s similar to thinking that billionaires are good for a democratic society. I think AI creators want to believe this because the one thing they are not is artists. 2nd point. AI has yet to solve the problem of the enormous energy LLNs consume. I hope I’m wrong, but I think Altman actually sees nuclear energy as his solution.
In 20 years I’ll either be dead or deep in a dementia-fuelled delirium state (regardless of promises by optimists) so I’m much more interested in what AI will lead to in the next 5 years.
Lol. "Very good in law" meanwhile: multiple lawyers using it are being reprimanded for incompetently submitting "ai" documents, companies are being forced to commit to "ai" madeup policies, etc.
I mean companies did decide to use ai's by themselves, it's not like someone forced them to make it live before establishing clear grounds. So accountability still holds.
🎶 'Astroboy (and the proles on parade)' 🎶
🙏🏿 - God bless you guys for me
AI will make the world more productive & efficient. But will disconnect us as human beings like smartphones.
Oh yeah, people will die because of Ai, but let's gloss over that. They are referring probably to conventional warfare. However, CBDC +AGI is a Soviet 2.0 recipe...
They know it is not them that will be beat up by a police robot or bombed by AI 😳
Whats the point of AI optimised education when the scholars are not going to end up working?
I used AI when I was 13, 23 years ago. Now you’re telling me I have to wait 20 more years? And all you have to offer is some terrible sounding chatbot?! You’re right! People will die! From waiting for the tech to help reform Government, Banking, Education, Foreign Policy, Ending Corruption & War.. This is horribly disappointing.
And healthcare! I’m not scared and I am sick of the fear mongering they’re selling!
ItsNo one size fits all for nations. Place like Japan can't do it the same way america has to
do it.
City's great thinning already began but more spread out medium density better quality of life infrastructure is what we want in usa
Everyone kinda already knows from our eccentric fundamentalistic christian uk ,separatist pilgrim Puritan classical American founding arbitrary example of we can and can't do.
It'd that theological inspired scientifically studied mathematically confirmed thread that's held foresight that's caused domestic family like Amish to religuish gov power and bail on the american experiment.
No one is owed more than native family cells for the investments made righting wrongs of the past and self sacrifices to industrialize the rest of the world to catch up its foundations for this .
We have lots of arbitrary example and even pragmatic objectivism which society will strongly need education in .
The semantics are more important now having multiple arbitrary correlating identifiers to hold one another accountable on as opposed to ( on paper step by step syntax looks good but fails in excersize) becomes a problem.
"people will die due to AI" and nobody bats an eyelid, just move on to the next item. That's psychopathic.
India always exporting intelligent people. 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻💜🙏🏻⭐️
Why’d you think it’s not right to say the truth that teachers learn from their evolving audiences: students?😊
Can't wait for the ai based off of the dark web. And is china really have a social score system called skynet?
Reply to this message in 20 years telling us which predictions were correct.
You seriously think we gonna make it to the next 20 years. I'd say about 10, at max 12, I'll stretch it to 14 for some. But 20, I don't think so, unless you are already at the top 4%
Theres actually trillions of microbes in the gut - 2nd year undergraduate who has studied a paper in nutrition.
Can Ai safe global warming ?
Needs to be defined by CONTEXT. Taken on case by case basis. AI highly transformative ...in each sphere.
Broad generalizations, inaccurate and ineffective. 😊🦅
The cold metallic 🐔 of AI inches closer to our * everyday
Existential threat. Most of us will be laid off. Billionaires will be quadrillionaires. Most people in abject poverty’s ready player one realized.
Will they have the cures for schizophrenia…..
No, not "some jobs will vanish". A MAJORITY of jobs for humans will vanish! And there will not be anywhere near enough "new jobs" created by AI, that couldn't also be done by AI, for everyone who'll be displaced! We need to think about BIG changes to how our economy and society are structured, to ensure everyone benefits from this!
we wont last 20 years...
I am in loss for words. At one end I don't want it to go for that long as well. By the pace of the progress this will definitely make us suffer.
I just hope it ends before we start to suffer for food etc...
And on the other end... I'm not sure😢
Im 36 and can’t believe I’ve lived this long.. I have to wait til I’m in my mid 50s? Why wouldn’t they just talk about what is relevant to changing our lives now? Because of laws?
I'm amazed by the fact that, more and more of people of Indian descents take higher and higher positions in major companies, leading changes that have worldwide impact!
that's tribalism.
1.4bn Indian people, why is it a surprise?
The Magic Keyboard was disappointing cause it doesn’t add more ports to a pro device still. Third party manufacturers have been doing it but having to use the usb c port on the side makes it an ugly look most of the time. I don’t get what’s so Magic about the keyboard if it doesn’t add ports or actually protect the iPad. Only time it protects is when it’s closed when it’s opened if it’s dropped or bumped the iPad will fall and break. Just overall a mediocre upgrade I’m sure they’re going to limit new ai features to the m4 to try to get everyone to upgrade from devices they just got. I haven’t been fond of apple lately software locking features to newer devices cause their sales are low because all devices have peaked.
Not impressed
I believe AI development will eventually reach a standstill due to hardware limitations and energy constraints -- hopefully, because i am sure this technology will jeopardise the future of many peoples around the world. The benefits of AI can't outweight its destructive potential, the core idea of AI is diametral to everything that concerns human nature and nature itself.
Ai will put ai in us while we sleep and we will become ai. It’s only a matter of time and the time to respect robots is now
Ai roofies are not a good thing.
This was a waste of time.
No doubt it will be great for the hyper wealthy. Mind blowing. But the common folk will have the same access to the good stuff as we do now: none. lol You will own nothing and subscribe to everything. smh This sucks.
It will get better
@@Yuvraj. mmm nah. history tells me, prob not. it's ok. radical acceptance. Good luck.
I hate this quality of life. No job market, housing market, healthcare education government is all based off of antiquity
@@alexleonee oh hey, i was in a terrible mind state when I wrote that comment. All we can do is accept. And try to figure out a way to live within yourself until the world decides to start taking it easy and everyone stops yelling and fighting. Until then, you have to find peace from within. Cheers. We're all in this together. the Dude Abides. That's the best I can do. What works for you these days?
I hope AI will help them to make better estimations