How and why Russia might use nukes | DW News
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- čas přidán 22. 09. 2022
- A leading expert explains three circumstances under which Russia might use nuclear weapons. James Acton of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace breaks down Vladimir Putin’s latest threat to use weapons of mass destruction in the Ukraine war, what it says about the state of the conflict and how dangerous things could get.
In an interview with DW’s Richard Walker, Acton warns, “Once the nuclear threshold has been crossed, there is no guarantee you're going to be able to stop short of the end of civilization.” And he explains what the international community should do to reduce the risks.
James Acton last spoke to DW in the early days of the war - rewatch that interview here:
• Nuclear weapons expert...
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#Russia #Ukraine #ukrainewar
The thing with a threat is, the first time you use it there is great shock and fear, but after you've repeated it a hundered times it loses it's meaning.
It's the same words he said in February 24 before launching his war.
Repeated use nuk ? No chance.
@@lenini056" I will not invade ukraine "
They keep repeating it on purpose, so people won't take it serious until it happens. They want people to be caught off guard, not prepare for it.
Exactly. His threat is loosing value quickly.
In such scary times, interviews like this are essential to keep people calm and reasonable. Great work, Mr Acton and DW.
its all propoganda..there is not one of these MSM outlets who doesnt sing the same tune..its straight from the US state departement
I'd be much MUCH more calm knowing that Puitn is taking a very very long nap!
Yes, please consider sharing so at least the people you know are calm.
Lord Owen was asked about Russia's nuclear threat on Radio 4 :-
"Russian generals know the Americans have a massive,
massive superiority in nuclear capability : they know what would happen to their families"
@@vinm300 Do they really? I'd say both are super powers. Russia has so many including the Tsar Bomba; 50 megakilloton weapon, and many lesser so, that could do real damage. I've not thought of them as inferior. Either way, what is inferior in this sense?
Maybe Putin wants us to think it's a bluff, by saying it's not a bluff
But it's actually not a bluff
Lol
Yeah but he alone don't make this decision
People around Putin love their luxury life and have no will to end it and Putin is not the only one to decide about using nukes. Russian nukes must be as poor as russian army. Russia's neighbours like Baltics or Poland are used to it. Germans seem to always have Picacu face that Russia is not a friendly country. It's high time Germans stopped being naive.
Maybe he want just to see how coward some of Westerners are and so having some laughs.
@@sidritqafzezi3958 yeah for sure 😂
What a change to hear someone to give us such a sane analysis.
I have uploaded on Iranian drone reaching its target in odessa.
US has option to sit this one out. Russia is not attacking US or NATO. Ukraine is not part of NATO.
Gasputin is full of hot air.....
Nice word creation. 😆
Offer him a air cooler !
Putin is a real tough guy from hundreds of miles behind the front lines. 🤣
bit like Zelensky ehh..?
@@briancarno8837 He closer tho.
@@briancarno8837 Zelinsky went to visit the front line. Puttin is scare shitless with 6 assassination attempts on him and hide in his palace. Tell Putttin to visit his Frontline warriors.
@@briancarno8837 How, he was in Izyum, u cant get much closer to the front line bot
@@briancarno8837 Zelensky is threatening no one other than the brutish Russians occupying his country.
It is a false comparison.
Russian trolls do that.
Thank you for doing this DW
What a thoughtful and informative interview. Thank you for doing this!
I have uploaded on Iranian drone reaching its target in odessa.
Hardly? Just conjecture no better than in the pub
I must admit that human beings puzzle me. It boggles my mind how one demented old man can cause such death and destruction.
Mr Puding, or Mr. Tromb? Or both?
Open a history book. It’s a an endless list of leaders, old and young, who embarked in bloody and destructive wars for the sake of their own ego. And power, and money.
This shouldn't puzzle you. Humans are power hungry manipulative species.
Welcome to the human race. Don’t beat yourself up so much. As much as you may want to disassociate yourself from the “crazy” humans your rational mind may let you down one day……and you act emotionally😳.
It only takes one person to start a war, I don’t know what is so puzzling about it to be honest with you, just look at your history book.
“I have experienced many terrible things in life, a few of which actually happened." - Mark Twain
I think the discussion was the most interesting and coherent I have heard on the subject.
" it is not a bluff' is exactly what someone says when bluffing. If it wasn't obviously a bluff, you wouldn't need to say that.
great to know
bluff or no bluff the free world cannot cave into this terrorist blackmail; otherwise others like north korea, iran, china, pakistan ...will do the same...
Mad Russians double bluff.
He seems to only care about his tsarist dreams, no matter how many have to die and how much economic or food supply damage it causes globally. Will he sacrifice russian cities to the fires of war rather than admit defeat, who knows. But russians have some hard choices to make it seems. And they are running out of time i think.
Nuclear war and poker are obviously the same thing.
When you are gambling and loosing...it's a really bad idea to "double down"!
Yep, a reminder of the Einstein quote about doing the same thing again and again expecting a different result being the definition of insanity.
@@frglee Exactly right!
Sorry. Where did you see failed gamble in this situation? Russia captured not only Donbas but Zapparizhia, kherson and Luhansk. And the referendum is underway. So, I don't know how you defined a failed gamble here dude
Nooo….don’t let em off the hook now lol. What’s that famous saying? “Every gambler that quits, does so, just before hitting the big one”😂
@@abubakarsadisumuktar932 If you would put down your bottle of Russian vodka and sober up, then you may begin to think more clearly.
I don't expect America's DEFCON level is sitting peacefully at 5.
Perhaps a 4 at best.
Thank you for the content!
Very interesting breakdown from the guess. 👍
Very reasonable analysis unlike many saying it bluff!
There is a reason why the Soviet Union, nor any nuclear power, never launched a first strike (nuclear attack) since Word War 2, despite all of the Cold War fears that the Soviets would. And its because you can't launch a first strike without being annihilated in the second strike. I remember in the 80s when The Day After aired, and everyone hoped the Soviets would see the movie and learn the lesson. Probably not realizing the Soviets can be trusted to act in the best self-interests...which mutually assured destruction is clearly against... and that the Soviets knew this since the 60s, if not the 50s. -- How is it any different today?
Even if Putin had the launch codes (he doesn't), or the ability to order a first strike by himself (he doesn't), even he would know the response is not going to be 'more sanctions'. -- The only way I could fathom Russia using a nuclear weapon in Ukraine, or against any enemy country, is the FSB had a foolproof plan to blame am ISIS terror cell, or rogue Chechen element, or claim the Ukrainians did it in a false-flag conspiracy to frame the Russians. -- But that would require a convincing story on how such an element got the nuclear weapon 'elsewhere', and eliminating everyone involved in the planning and execution. Whatever the case, Russia would need absolute plausible deniability. -- Here's my two cents, if there was really a way to use a nuclear weapon against an enemy without equal repercussions, Russia and China (and the US) would have figured it out a long time ago and did it already.
All NATO must do is take out Moscow and 5 -6 other city's to take out all of Russia.... But Russia must take out city's all over the planet from USA , CANADA ,FRANCE UK. ALL OF EUROPE and as far away as , AUSTRALIA and so on and so on ...
United Kingdom 225 warheads (submarine delivery systems new and up to date systems )
France 300 warheads
(submarine delivery systems new and up to date systems )
United States 7,315 warheads
(Mixed delivery systems new and up to date systems )
Russia 8,000 warheads
(Mixed delivery systems old mostly from the soviet union times NOT up to date systems )
RUSSIA IS AT DISADVANTAGE !!! and they know it Putin's regime knows its and that is why they will not use nukes they will hint and shout about nukes but that's it !!
ON A SIDE NOTE : Missiles require a huge amount of upkeep and if the maintenance that we've seen on Russian captured tanks in Ukriane is anything to go by, or how there nuclear sublime fleet upkeep is I figure half of Russian Missiles would be defect or even blow up on in mid flight ; Any NBC specialist can tell you that they estimate that without extensive maintenance an ICBM has about a 5% per year cumulative failure rate. And mote of Russia ICBMs are form the late 80s early nineties so based on those facts like I say many as much as half of their weapons can end up and would failx.
ALSO ON A 2nd NOTE ; Putin can not just wake up one day and press a button because he wants to when it comes to sending nukes around the world !!!
Thx Jim. Can u elaborate on the last point? Why cant Putin just wake up and give the order for a nuclear strike? Do u think its more complex than that?
So we are safe ?
😶..... Do you have a daytime job besides writing essays?
Thank you interesting information👍♥️
MAD has prevented WW3 for 60 years because no country was suicidal.
Just one Ohio Class Sub has 24 ICBMs with 5 warhead each .
That is 120 cities on its own.
And the US have 18 Ohio Class subs. They can hit cites from 10,000km away while submerged.
Is it guarantee Putin's launch people would obey to destroy Russia?
Yes, grateful for this conversation what is the potential situation, it seems chaotic and a program such as this lends some clarity to what the future holds
EXCELLENT POINTS
I'm not worried about their nukes, I'm worried that they're keeping the location of Steven Seagal a secret.
He could be ANYWHERE and we would never know until it was too late!
I've seen Sniper Special Ops.
I'm not scared.
he was in the Donbass shown on TV
😂
Segal has been doin nuclear tests for 45 years.
Anybody Seen Richie???
Okt: My finger is a foot away from the button
Nov: My finger is less than a foot away from the button
Dec: My finger is 3 inches away from the button
Jan: My finger is 1 inches away from the button
Feb: My finger rests on the button
Mars: Just give me something.
"And i think it would be a profoundly shocking experience.."
I'd say
it bothered me at first. doesnt anymore. you can only get threatened so many times till its meaning weares off
Putin wasn’t backed into a corner before though and his regime wasn’t in danger now it is that’s what we have to watch
Maddening.
Thank you so much for you're continued coverage. In my country (USA) there is nothing comparable so your on going reporting is not only valuable to me but to many more of us here on the other side of the "pond"." Keep up the great work!
It’s not reporting it’s opinion and personal anlysis. He’s incorrect. Putin is hoping we negotiate and keep ceding land to him. He won’t stop until everyone stands up to him so that he is forced to stand down. But he trusts the west leadership are all coward pacifists.
Stay safe my brothers and sisters from the other side of the world we will become one maybe this war will bring the world together and show us our true path as one family one consciousness ❤️❤️❤️
US has option to sit this one out. Russia is not attacking US or NATO. Ukraine is not part of NATO.
US politicians are inviting a nuclear war by helping Ukraine in this war.
Great guest
You forgot the use of nukes as an EMP device…
A thorough look, rationally explained, of many of the likely options on the table for the RUS, and how they might be responded to by the West. This was an important video, well worth my while. Thank you.
At this point nuclear use would only achieve one thing: the international community destroying the current Russian state and denying russian people statehood for the foreseeable future, if not forever. The nuclear taboo is far too strong, and being THE FIRST to break it will make Russia a pariah state on the level of.... well on a level never seen before in human history.
Nuclear winter: the solution to global warming
It would make them to be the enemy of every countries in the world. The effect of nuclear weapon affect the world climate. Countries that have no relation with the war will be affected.
Go look at Eruption of Krakotoa and it's effect on the world.
@@fishlivesmatter I don't know what's funny about that. Russia using nuclear weapons first is basically putting a gun to its own head and pulling the trigger. Nobody wants to resort to nuclear weapons and it's dangerous that putin is threatening to use them.
@@fishlivesmatter how naive for you to think Russia wants to suicide because it is losing the war.
You fools have no idea why even US don't want to risk a direct confrontation with Russia. There is no defence against hypersonic missiles. It doesn't have to hit a target precisely, if there is nuclear warhead. If Russia nukes Ukraine, there will be more sanctions on Russia and that's it.
This guy is too rational to speak on tv. It's really refreshing.
This is the only credible conversation I heard in western media about Putins nuclear option. Russia has non nuclear weapons such as EMP and chemical weapons. Anti satellite weapons can also be crippling for nato.
Email sound got me twice
If you use a nuke, expect a nuke to come back.
@@elementeight8 the civilized countries of the world. You know? The West.
@@elementeight8 Who do you think
@@elementeight8 NATO's restrictions on defensive only weapons they currently import to Ukraine would be gone.
@@elementeight8 You don’t think the entire free world would decide to send a nuke back if Russia uses one?
What do you think will happen? 🤔
@@elementeight8 Well, a nuclear attack has effect on a large scale. So, considering that, NATO territory is impacted. So, under attack, and that means: better get out of Moscow. It won't be there for much longer.
The first threat in February 24 was scary.
Now, feels like empty threats of a petulant child.
Yes we heard. Putin is a little kid, Russia bad, the west good, Russia running out of ammo, go himars ETC...
This WINTER is like never before......
May ∆merica bless EU
yeah a child with nukes that might rain down your head! putin is the last person you want to disrespect
@DB it's not weather, it's energy supply
@@mengreat6982 Europe is actually rich and has no problem surviving winter. The worst case house temperature is 1 Celsius lower in some countries like Germany.
Russia has had to to massive wealth seizures to stabilize the economy. Europe has barely done any economic maneuvers and has more options left.
Russia has already done its worst in the energy sector and made sure Europe will be fine without Russian energy in the future.
honestly im a kid and i shoudlnt be worrying about this but its horrifying how it could end everything
They might use EMP which will send a message and cause damage more over EMP is not considered as nuking
So Putin has nukes, big deal!
I just nuked a dish of Texas Chili and it tasted really good!
What you tested - was it a " joke " ?
Are you from Austin or San Antonio? My girlfriend was from there, but we parted away. I miss her very much. Cheers from Russia.
We need to put all our best minds together to figure out a way to prevent the use of any nuclear weapons by anyone at any time. Right now. There must be a way to make it impossible.
@@alexsilent5603
Sure.
Whatever keeps your mind of the fact you're supporting the one threatening with nuclear weapons.
@@alexsilent5603 you again towing the Kremlin line. If my government was wrong (as it was with Iraq/Afghanistan) I'd shout it from the rooftops. Where is your self criticism? Or are you without fault? Is your government never wrong? Maybe you're too afraid to say for fear of big brother watching.
@@alexsilent5603 funny how Russians are so jealous of US. Always have to blame them for everything. In reality, none really cared last 30 years about Russia. Its a lost case.. Stay there and keep giving all your money to few and keep jealous of US and keep dreaming about big mother Russia. Ukraine made you so weak and this will go down to history. You can't hide it, OK maybe you can. With your nukes..
@@alexsilent5603 Regime change in Russia and Belorussia.
@@alexsilent5603 *_"Russia is a democracy"_* - hahahaha.......I have never been falling off my kitchen chair SO fast from laughing like when I read that.....Jeeeeez, your a funny facker 🤣🤣😂😂😆😆
5:08 - that storage was already put to high readiness at very beginning of the war?
When (not if) he does it...it'll be scary for like 20 minutes then just such a relief.
I respect and agree with his point of view. Thank you so much!!!♥️🇺🇸👍
We can't ignore the threat, but I do think it's worth questioning what state Russia's Nuclear stockpile is in. The fact that the US spends almost the entirety of Russia's annual defense budget just on nuclear maintenance despite having >500 less warheads really gives me a reason to pause, especially when you look at condition the rest of Putin's "modernized" forces have been deployed in. Russia hasn't so much as tested a nuclear weapon since the fall of the USSR out of international agreements, 30 years is a long time for something to just sit unmaintained like that.
a few small nukes against Ukraine forces or even cities would be bad enough. I suspect if its a small tactical bomb Nato wont risk a real nuclear war and do nothing.
@@bullpup1337 : NATO won't respond with a nuclear strike, but it will respond in other ways. The most likely response is a NATO No Fly Zone over Ukraine, with NATO fighters shooting down Russian aircraft and bombing Russian troops on the ground.
@@timonsolus let’s hope so
@@bullpup1337 NATO would do nothing but they would allow Ukraine to use its long range missiles against Moscow. Ukraine has already a couple of long range Western type missiles but aren't allowed to use them against Russian territory. Not sure if those long range missiles are nuks or not.
Putin bunker would be the first being blown up.
You think money is everything. Russia does not .
This video is better than anything I’ve seen on Fox or CNN very informative concerning nuclear use….without all the fear tactics involving
As the playbook is ..it's not a bluff however, as well the opponent circumstances or others had vision too. It's not a good idea to continue on both sides or others. One thinks this about another issuance, and that is a key component toward others chanfex that went on with the shared concetn of goods, trades, wealth or health.
This is a good reasonable interview. Hope he doesn’t get cancelled for trying to calm the drums of war.
That is an excellent discussion considering how little experience the world has been nuclear war, and how totally unpredictable Mr Putin is. Thank you.
He is very predictable. USA's intel has said he would invade. They predicted even the days when his action would take place.
Seems they knew he would start the military mobilisation that's why the lend lease act is coming.
Putin is "unpredictanble" because you refuse to listen. Try listening and taking notice, instead of to the NATO, US, UK EU "experts".
how can you say he's unpredictable, he litterally say what he's gonna do years before doing it, the document explaining the condition for the use of nuclear weapon is public, after years of attack by the us and NATO, he drew a red line and swear he would use any mean necessary if those line are cross, and those line have been cross, i don't know where is there anything unpredictable in this, west leader play dumb to avoid taking any blame on this, but they knew very well how it would go.
I think the only one that's been attacked has been Ukraine by an imperial wannabe aggressor state
The word of the decade “unprecedented”
Very dangerous times we living in the beginning of sorrows
I believe it's a matter of when NOT if it happens. Ah well it's been one heckuva roller coaster ride this world of ours
Don't panic. Putin cannot wipe out the human race. He cannot even conquer his much smaller neighbour (Ukraine).
In Putin's latest love letter to Kim Jong-un, he bet a new tracksuit he could make the most thinly veiled nuclear threats.
did you actually listen to the speech in full for yourself?..or would you trust these shills interpretation..?
Even Kim is now saying that he is not helping Russia.
Putin must have reached a new low, when one of the world's worst dictators disowned him.
kaputIN -racket man🧲🧲⚰⚰⚰
pls make your IT guys explain to everyone how to disable Windows system sounds (or even notifications at all) so no notification sounds pop up during interviews
as a former hiroshima citizen when it dropped you just hope you are closer to its epicenter because it instantly evaporates you like my great grandmother.
For an off-ramp it will need to be something that Putin can spin publicly to his own people. Especially after calling partial mobilisation and the political uprest it has caused.
Unfortunately, it seems that the only way out is a long drawn out war, more like a stalemate, and then a Russian retreat as it becomes politically and economically unsustainable, just like in Afghanistan. A quick overwhelming victory by Ukraine could be interpreted by Russia as an existential threat.
Exactly that. The best and safest thing is to draw this out as long as possible forcing Russia to throw more and more resources at this conflict until it just gives up. It's not unrealistic. See Vietnam, Afghanistan etc. A lot of conflicts actually end that way. Not because the US was actually defeated, but because the war just became unsustainable. We need to do the same thing to Russia. Already now they are investing and losing resources at break-neck speed. All Western countries combined have far more resources. So we can just drag it out endlessly.
@@icerepublic Dragging it out will cost a LOT more Ukrainian casualties too - also civilians. Maybe you should think about that too?. We should not in ANY way let us scare by him. He should be told directly to his face by NATO / by the West: If you use just *ONE* nuclear bomb in / over / near the Ukraine, then we will detonate 50 nuclear weapons in Russia - and they will have 10 times the effect of the bomb that you are detonating in the Ukraine. Since when should we let us affect by a bully? I am *NOT* saying we, the West, should escalate though, Putin should just be told VERY clearly what the consequences are to his actions in terms of WoMD. That also means that IF the Ukraine can defeat the Russians quickly, then let them do it. We can´t expect from the Ukrainians that they should take more losses than necessary, just becuse we are afraid of Putin and want to make this an endless war. The Ukrainians have already suffered enough, and they have lost way, way, way too many innocent citizen to this war already.
What about western support?
I think you’re right and the U.S. and NATO need to stop funding the war because that’s just making things worse.
@@jblazeisme2329 it would be in our best interest and security to stop funding the war and sending Ukraine weapons because that is what is escalating the tensions even more that would be our best option to just back off because no matter what funding the war and giving Ukraine weapons isn’t going to change the fact of Russia taking Ukraine it’s out of our control.
He was only calm because he isn't in the middle of the chaos
He's a positive thinker.
We made a monumental mistake after the USSR fell apart in the 1990's
No real effort was made to strip Russia of nuclear weapons.
Ukraine even gave them theirs, for protection and "peace"/safety... How ironic that Russia broke that.
💖🙏 "Fear is the path to the dark side. Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." -Star Wars
*master yoda
I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.
@@boris3866 -Frank Herbert, Dune 💖💖🤗
@@hedf 💖
I just hope i am asleep when the buttons get pressed.
“I’m not bluffing this time” sounds like a parent threatening to take away the iPad.
As a person that grew up during the Cold War of the 60’s-80’s (I remember the duck and cover drills from school), having the real prospect of a nuclear war is a fear I haven’t really dealt with since the days of Glasnost. I hate that our children are getting this reality blasted all over social media. We (the older generation) were indoctrinated about it from birth. The younger generation are going from the latest Tik Tok challenge to kiss your @$$ goodbye.
Actually the old era does destruction Putin its an old era 60+years .Youngest generation are not like that with the mind complety offline like Putin.
Samo-samo. I wonder if today's kids have had MAD properly explained to them. Russian politicians struggle to grasp the concept as well.
Younger generation dont have a clue what is going on, they could be evaporetad and still would be dancing a tiktok video at the same time
I would say that these times are far less scary than the cold war for 3 main reasons. Firstly, in the 80's there were over 60 thousand nuclear weapons - today there are closer to 6 thousand active nukes. Secondly, missile defense systems have come a long way in the past several decades. Thirdly, nuclear weapons today are on average smaller than they used to be; about 40% of Russia's nukes are tactical grade and not strategic weapons. Lastly, if a strategic thermonuclear device did detonate in your city, unless you were within 10 miles of the epicenter - as horrible as it would be - you would likely survive mostly uninjured.
@@drfelren mostly uninjured means a great dosis of radioactivity, and horrible consequences like poisoning, tumors, etc. Several of them and you got radioactive rain and wind, a hundred of them and you can't live in the surface
The Ukraine army is spread out over 1000 km of front line. The only way i could see Putin using nuclear weapons would be against civilian cities.
Maybe just maybe. No man land at Ukraine. Mushroom views
that's how you stop a war, just like Hiroshima and Nagasaki
@@bootz3755 you don't stop a war by bombing two cities. Japan didn't surrender solely because of nukes but also because the Kwantung Army was repelled by the Soviets in Manchuria and because their carrier air groups were annihilated at the Philippine Sea. I guess, if using this analogy, Russia can't win this war by glassing Kiev and Lviv; it needs to destroy the UA army completely.
@@igorbelonenko4414 Russia has already won the war! Right now its just getting a feel of how to get Ukraines attention!
Off ramp should be setup soon
Watching Nolan’s Oppenheimer after a nuclear war is gonna be something else, if we are alive I mean
Vlad the Mad is unpredictable.
The only thing I know, is that he does not care about peoples lives.
He only cares about his ego.
Most leaders do that. Example - sanctions against Russia.
You are a dead man after Russian mafia traces you and throws you into an old soviet prison
@@shahrahman4368 Keep quite, the sanctions has support by a lot of Europeans that don't want to see a Russian empire making a comeback
he will still be there when all the west puppets are gone
I would the say with some American actors like The Donald.
The risk of failure to act, is greater than most actions we can take.
Exactly. Send more weapons as soon as possible after these threats, and prepare conventional Nato forces.
Clown Joker Wild Biden 🃏🤡🤡🃏 is weak and failed to plan ahead of time on what Putin has planned in doing with Ukraine Brandon is a combination of weakness failing to plan planning to fail.That is basically it This is not a one man war as that frail old fool Biden claim The buck stop at Biden too By the aforementioned reason rationale I laid out here
Watching the interview, I thought my eyesight had suddenly deteriorated, but the guy has a cheap camera without autofocus.😂
What I think is absent from this discussion that I would like to hear is what is the probability that an order to use nuclear weapons is carried out, that being a breakdown in the chain of command by people that realize the order benefits the leader and not everyone else at that point…
if anything i'm stunned they haven't used them yet
Another excellent DW interview. Possibly a key factor here will be how the battle lines look in 2-4 months. Another breakthrough success by Ukrainian forces will pressure Putin in ways that stagnant battle lines will not.
Ukraine is about to have another big success in Lyman. Lyman is a big logistical hub for Russia that Russia call ill afford to lose but Ukraine has surrounded Lyman and it will probably fall back into Ukrainian territory in the next few days.
Russia is clearly winning ATM with. Gain of 6 Millon and 20% of the entire Ukrainian area the guy is winning like it or not
"This is not a bluff" carries no persuasive information when the person saying it has no credibility left.
True. In fact, it's a phrase frequently used by people who bluff and communicate disingenuously by history.
There needs to be consequences to leaders using nuclear threats to prosecute conquest.
As I understand it, all the counties which have nuclear weapons, have a line of communication which is on 24/7 and they know each other and talk to each other in case of accidental activation which almost happened between the USSR and USA many years ago.We have no way of knowing if the Russians are still on this link given the situation in Ukraine. There are also many safeguards agreed to and in place between these countries to avoid any possibility of a nuclear attack. For Putin to order a nuclear attack, one would assume he would have to get the approval and agreement of the officers who are in control of the nuclear weapons.
I don't think that Putin's officers will activate the nuclear weapons while Putin hides in his luxury underground bunker. Putin's days are numbered and he knows it. That's why he resorts to empty threats.
He will inform US and NATO of launch. Before the launch. To avoid escalation.
In reality, most people that use :I’m not bluffing during talking is actually bluffing.
I disagree
It mostly is, but it doesn't matter : the doubt is there, so we'll never be sure. But if you really say you're not bluffing, the threat itself may not have been very convincing.
Wishful thinking that nuclear war is not coming.
Well, we've also moved all of our Nuclear submarines within striking distance of Russia...it helps some restraint on Russia's part maybe
Never underestimate a cornered mad man
Do you see anyone underestimating him here? Theyre literally digging into the minutiae in this video. You are watching people not underestimate him.
Yeah whatever. Fearmongering ruzzian orcs are parroting kim jong uns script.
Except he put himself in the corner. Completely different from being put there by someone else. So... No.
🤦🏻♂🤦🏻♂🤦🏻♂
@@zaphodbeeblebrox9109 not in this particular video but in most interviews and debates people seem to promptly discard his threats and i just think we should handle the situation with extra caution
I just listened to Putin. A lot of what he said gets "lost in translation" by the time the West gets done with it.
Ohhhh so we are totally misinterpreting Putin, and what he actually REALLY says and wants is peace and harmony and that all people in the world can live together in deep friendship?
@@sukhmaidickoff You dont understand war!
@@sukhmaidickoff uh yeah? Putin actually does. You dont hear that kind of rhetoric from the US or Ukraine. Oh wait, it's because the West propagates it's the peace maker in all this. NATO must be dissolved.
@@abrahamgarza537 When has NATO fought an aggessive war where NATO started the war? Maybe NATO isn´t the peace-maker in the Ukraine war - but who started the war? Who brutally attacked a sovereign country called The Ukraine?. Who illegally annexed Crimea in 2014? Who has held illegal and manipulated sham-referenda in 4 Ukrainian Regions - Regions that don´t even belong to Russia? Who has annexed those 4 regions after the sham-referendum? And how do you suggest peace in the Ukraine? We can have peace within less than ONE minute if Russia withdraws totally from the Ukraine. Peace is TOTALLY in the hands of Russia. If the Ukrainians stop fighting - their country will be even more massacred than it already is - and it will be taken over by Russia. If the Russians stop fighting, then there is peace. But do you REALLY think that The Ukraine will accept to give away 12-15% of their total area to the Russians? You must be totally out of your mind. Hence - because of the Russians - peace negotiations are not a realistic scenario.
If you are criticizing NATO for not wanting peace then what do you suggest? That the Ukraine just gives away 12-15% of their area to Russia? It seems your brain does not really work very well. Or do you suggest that Western countries stop the delivery of weapons to the Ukraine and that the Ukraine loses the war and that Russia thereby had success with breaking several Internatinal laws, illegally annexing areas in a foreign country and that their war/crimes will never be sanctioned?
If you want NATO to be dissolved then tell that to Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania, Bulgaria and many other Eastern European countries who begged to become members of NATO - merely because they NEVER want to be suppressed again by Russia (those countries were suppressed for almost 50 years by Russia / Soviet, and they NEVER want anything like that to happen again). All those former Eastern Bloc countries in Eastern Europe they NEED an organization like NATO, to protect them from an aggressive country like Russia, that has already crushed Georgia and Chechnya - and they will crush even more countries in Eastern Europe if NOBODY stops them. That is a fact - but I assume you don´t have the mental capacity to understand that?
Does he have the czar defense as some reports suggest .notice the name comes from prior family ..oddity exists. However, those are deemed pretty bad. There's still ideas of dialect as a notion toward past and current.
I could watch Martyn all day long
DW might not like UK but no need to talk down Truss. She is the one that said she would press the button a few of weeks ago. She would do it if Sholz cannot.
THE MOBILISATION IN uk IS DISTURBING ... ITS BECOME CLEAR THE ANGLO BLOC IS NOT GOING TO STOP ESCALATING VIOLENCE .. most certainly russia is not bluffing and UK is sadly, looking at being destroyed in total ... very sad
its not Truss that press's the button its a RN sub captain whose family has just been killed by russia's nukes
Scholz cannot since he has no nukes. Or balls.
Lord Owen was asked about Russia's nuclear threat on Radio 4 :-
"Russian generals know the Americans have a massive,
massive superiority in nuclear capability : they know what would happen to their families"
That's how MAD has prevented WW3 for 60 years.
No country likes dying.
Russia has hypersonic nuclear weapons, the United States does not have it - s500 can shoot down military satellites and hypersonic charges - no usa
they are not threatening the US directly. But a nuke on Kiev would be horrible. US would not launch nukes in this case. They might send more weapons, but that’s probably it, unfortunately. They cannot risk getting drawn into a nuclear conflict.
@@bullpup1337 So called super power Russia needs nukes to beat on of the poorest countries in Europe.
@@bullpup1337 no one is going to bomb the cities - we are not the British that bombed Dresden - we are at war only with the army
Why don't DW publish the full sentance of what Putin said. Which is basicly what Lis Truss said a fortnight ago ?
I think it's possible with Crimea.
I'm not a prestigious think-tank member but the 'threats' seem pretty straightforward. He announces this immediately after saying he intends to annex eastern Ukraine. Not make them their own republic (thats where the war started at) - but actual Russian territory. Then he ends it with - if you attack Russian territory you could be subject to anything and everything in order to defend our soverignty. That will deter and end any attempt to take back those regions. Then second, the nuclear 'tough-guy' talk was actually a sales pitch to eastern ukraine to join him. They've been getting shot at by foreign mercenaries for 10 years and the Ukranian government hasn't been able to solve it. They go with Russia and mister tough guy with the nukes will put an end to it. Putin is not crazy - he's calculated. Nobody is launching nukes on Europe or the USA including him. Hope this comment saves you the time of watching Mr. Genius from the think-tank.
Ukraine is Europe in case you didn’t know
I'm not sure nukes are the best way to deter mercenaries.
He even said, “this is not a bluff” 😂😂😂 ya and that’s when everyone laughed at him
Remember earlier this year in January, when Putin "threatened" Ukraine with a serious military intervention if they continued to seek NATO membership? He said he wasn't bluffing and yet Ukraine and the rest of the world insisted on calling his "bluff". 7 months later and that "bluff" of his has so far resulted in 100.000 casualties on both sides and counting, not to mention a serious risk of a nuclear conflict breaking out. Now once again Putin is urging the world to start to listen and to take his threats seriously and at this point I don't think anyone is laughing and assuming that he's "bluffing".
If you personally have anxiety about WW3 breaking out and your way of dealing with that anxiety is to try and laugh it off by making edgy comments then that's your right to do so. But if you actually fool yourself into thinking that you're speaking for "everyone" when you try to laugh this off then you're just proving what a fool you are.
At least Putin has the courtesy to issue repetitive strong warnings before he launches the nukes, I bet the Japanese people can appreciate the warnings and no one is laughing over there (or maybe the Japanese were indeed laughing prior to being nuked? Either way, the entire world quickly realized there wasn't nothing to laugh about when it comes to nukes. Btw the nukes used on Japan are fire crackers compared to modern WOMD. And have a nice day i suppose 🙃
If he uses them I hope you continue to laugh
Putin and his minions have already used the Nuclear card too many times. I believe Tzar Putin will be terminated if he tries to use Nucs ! Oh Akeem Hanniford,,, Duck ! Take Cover !
After what the West did to the rest of the world Karma should be served back. I want the West to push to see if its really bluff 😄
He never underestimated how weak emasculated Biden is That He is not only Bluffing but is playing Russian Roulette on Brandon I'm Sure he knows and get the message by now FJB Let's Go Brandon Cmon Man
Discusses nuclear war and international security. Can’t mute email notifications. Sure
Using nukes is like if small evil cannot work uses the biggest one
Maybe I am being naive, but I never heard Putin mentioning "nucler b". But I often hear this word in the west. I don't understand why there is no criticism when this word comes from high officers in the west.
When Putler says it's not a bluff. You know it's a bluff
The notification sounds, that (I think) the interviewer is recieving are disrespectful and disrupting. Could they not be muted, at least during the interview?
Are CND still pressing us to get rid of our nukes?
Nuclear blackmail is part and parcel of Russia's strategy to win back its lost empire, and Russia is "really" prepared to use nuclear weapons if it is necessary just to make its threats credible, if nothing else. Therefore, the West should take these threats seriously and develop counter-strategies to deal with these threats.
there is no counter to nukes
Ignore and act like it didn't happen.
Never give anything to anyone threatening to use nukes.
If you give something you will have to give up even more.
They must never have a calculation that gives them more politically for using them. It must always cost countries more to use nuclear weapons than not to.
yes, first invent hypersonic weapons and then anti-weapons)
@@---fq2kd what does that matter? Russia uses 1 single nuke then its game over for Russia, yes Russia could destroy places too but how could Russia handle a dozen nukes all going to Russia, every other western nuclear power will fire back.. what a mess Russian land will be
@@arcticwulf5796 Spoken like a true neocon. Push, push, and push some more until Russia does use Nukes but only on European soil.
The average Russian is going to suffer from this, If this goes badly for Putin it's the end of his regime.
Nah I suffer more from lack of potato chips in my stomach 😄
@@user-yj7um6hv1d spoken like a true putinbot oligarc
Never underestime Russias abiity to suffer!
Media should stop talking about use of Nuke.
My genuine question here is, why give Putin an offramp ? If history has thought us anything is that you cant negotiate with terrorists, you give him a concessions then what kind of example will that be for the future? whats stopping him from demanding concessions again and again in the future at the threat of nuclear war?
He will never get an off ramp.
Despite the freedom of speech and democracy most of Europe knows and might seem like in fighting for those used to live under a regime, Europe will seize to do business with Russia in any future that doesn't include clear and obvious change in governing.
Edit: a treaty that makes matters less bad and is acceptable for the Ukrainian people is not an off ramp IMO. For clarification.
All IMHO of course.
Putin offered you a peace treaty with NATO on the inviolability of borders - you refused - so who provokes whom?
@@---fq2kd When was that, specifically. We have the UN Charter. Russia is a signatory to that and is a permanent member of the UNSC.
@@---fq2kd
That's where your narrative is broken by state media.
I'm not even gonna explain it. The other point of view is widely known. If you're unwilling to take interest it's your own loss.
The only thing I'll give you is we should have taken this point if view more attention. Not because it's true but you obviously believe it to be.
and other terrorist countries will follow
While we are still on this topic, lets not forget the only nation to use nuclear weapons on another nation.
Screw the off ramp, hate that saying
Who would go to nuclear when the fallout will fly over their own country ?
"The Russian army is very similar to the Serbian army during the breakup of Yugoslavia - it retreats and runs away when faced with a professional force,"
No matter what the topic is there is always an Albanian hating on Serbians or vice versa hahahaha love you shqipe
based