Russian Offensive and Europe's Response
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- čas přidán 14. 03. 2024
- The Russian forces' winter offensive is pushing forward and gaining momentum as the war enters its third year. How far have they advanced and at what cost to both sides? How have Ukrainian forces and their allies responded to this development on the ground? First we’ll start with a consolidation of the information you need to know about the situation across the front line. Then we’ll dive into how both sides are attempting to rebuild and restaff their armies.
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Written by: Chris Cappy and Patrick Griffin
Video Edited by: Michael Michaelides
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#UKRAINE #UPDATE #NEWS
After 2 years the war has gone through several phases. Russia nearly occupied the entire country in the early phases of the war, then Ukraine recaptured thousands of kilometers back. Ukraine has damaged or sunk nearly a third of Russia's black sea fleet and separatists have started to launch attacks into Russian territory in Belgorod. Now Russian forces have regained the initiative, so far they haven't captured large amounts of territory but they've gained the strategic initiative which means they are able to attack at a time and place of their choosing. It can be desensitizing to hear about thousands of causalities on both sides for such a long period of time to the point where it can start to lose all meaning.
The conflict is entering a new phase that brings with it new threats. At one point in 2022 military experts were concerned that a collapse of the Russian front lines might mean Russia would launch a tactical nuclear attack. Now analysts are sounding the alarms that if Ukraine's front lines were to collapse and Russia advanced into their territory it could mean a response from European countries like France who have diplomatically signaled they would be willing to deploy non combat troops into Ukraine.
" non combat" troops so cooks?
@@liuyifei1989or logistics guys
*POKING THE BEAR IN CURRENT YEAR*
__👺NATO: "Nice 4$$ To Offer, Kremlin Gremlin..."
-∫ \\___😫Russia: "Oi blyat! Nyet!!"
_∫∫ _∫∫ \ \
*CLAP CLAP CLAP CLAP*
I see it as a war of attrition, Ukraine will run out of troops before Russia. Russia is not leaving anything behind the lines so there will be no insurgency after the fall.
Aren’t the French gonna go in?
I just pictured the President of Czech taking a walk and stumbling over hundreds of thousands artillery shells.
LOL
Oh darn I just randomly tripped over 800,000 artillery shells. How did they get there?
That Dude is the Czech "Most Interesting Man in the World", I'm sure He'll 'stumble' over all sorts of stuff to help out. I'll tip a Budvar to the Man.
Its convenient that as congress/parliaments in the west start to question sending weapons, a middle man with a high fee "stumbles" upon the weapons that unelected officials want to send.
He actually just might with only selling these shells for 1875$ a piece it is pretty cheap considering what everyone else is trying to push there 155mm shells for this is more priced like the prices from 2019/2020
Update: Petr Pavel found 200k more shells, making it a million.
Some ppl look under their couch and find loose change, Pavel finds other things...
Have friends like Pavel.
makes good buck too.
How many used condoms are they sending to Ukraine is my question.
@@hamsterSNAKEnone needed, you can keep them
Lol out of desperation zelensky is selling out his people for the next 100 years minimum. Ukraine lost its freedom when he thanked Goldman-Sachs for their help lol.
The Czech president "just came across" 800000 artillery rounds, 😂😂😂
At 6,000 a day that will last only a few months. I’d also like to know where he got them from.
Because if it’s from the 3rd world…
He actually had some in his garage, some in his attic and some under his bed...though one shell was left in his bedroom because his mrs uses if for ..uh...u know @deborahhoffman3941
@@deborahhoffman3941old Soviet stockpile most likely. It's not the most unrealistic idea they located a stockpile in some mountain cache that the Soviets just abandoned, slipping through the cracks until now. Not that any major military power would admit it, but they do misplace things sometimes. Hell, the US loaded live nukes into planes, instead of dummies, more than once, and has lost a few over the years.
@@Fazoo247 so 30+ year old shells.
Well, some will work… at least
@@Fazoo247 WDYM hidden Soviet stockpile? We were not part of Soviet union... Those shells are not ours or on our territory, otherwise we would send them for free 2 years ago already (we have given Ukraine every single attack helicopter we had, like third of our tanks and hundreds of thousands of shells and millions upon milions of ammo... first Czech weapons were sent just 5 days after the start of the war and 3 months after the start of the war we already sent tanks and self propelled artillery). Those shell can be bough using our cold war era contacts, but we are not able to pay for them ourselves, thats why our government is asking other NATO countries to support it financially, together with us. Some will be from South Korea, but lot of them will be from Africa, various Asian countries, south America and so on. Our government mentioned that some of those countries even have friendly relations with Russia currently and that only few countries like Iran or North Korea were taken off the table. Otherwise we are willing to buy anywhere and send it to Ukraine.
My hometown had a population of around 14,000. 20,000 Casualties is insane. Imagine you and everyone you’ve ever seen, dead. It’s hard to comprehend.
Casualties doesnt necessarily mean dead no?
@@danielmeb84correct casualties include injured
Imagine when 10 to 25 million combat deaths happened in each world War along with another 30 to 50 million Civilians and another 50 million injuries. That was at least 5 to 10 of the population at the time.
My hometown has a population of 800
How do you not now what casualties are. 14000 casualties means less than 3000 kia. Claims of 14.000 are vastly overstated though.
It blows my mind how an entire year's worth of artillery dueling now, the shell count is what a *single large battle in WW1 would expend.
Hadn’t thought about that, Shelling is a lot more accurate now tho
@@Taskandpurpose at a significantly higher cost however
Yes but you have to also remember that the great war was first and foremost a conventional krieg between the entente and the central powers. Currently and for well over half a century by now it has been unnecessary for major world players to have such war-waging capabilities on account of nuclear weaponry, after all why have WWI/WWII period counterpart conventional warfare waging capabilities in the early twenty first century AD, if that doesn't happen anymore between powerful nation's? Hence the lower conventional artillery shell production and/or amounts of present day major world players (Great Britain, France, the US) when compared to them in earlier years and past major world powers (Germany, Austria, Japan).
@@krovianclass8772I mean yes but also no. Really hard to compare real cost from over 100 years ago but when looking at industrial output when comparing like items it is significantly less labor intensive to produce shells.
Berel Lazar and the j zelensky are just warming up like netanyahu
Cappy, I think this video marks the first time you've correctly said the word "nuclear"! Good job, Cappy!
It only took me two years !
Cappy is evolving. He's learning. Nature is beautiful...
That's it; game over, man! Game over!
Well you still can’t say “foRward”
@@Taskandpurpose😂😂😂 finally
400,000 people is NOT a small town.
if you mean Avdiivka, it was 40,000
@@horoshkoaleksandr273 he just trying to give russians more credit than they deserve .
@@anatolyexlmao, the whole war is just fighting for villages and small towns, like ww1. ukraines lost 10k men trying to take krinki with 991 people living there. They lost 90k soldiers in town bakmut instead of retreating, now they lost ivanovskoe.
@@Serp2.0what kind of propaganda would say russia lost 90k troops in a city💀
@@-Warrior-. Prolly by joe
One of those Abrams tanks destroyed was firstly hit into the side by a T-72. Later finished off by a Kornet missile hit.
I don't think Russians will go into full scale, big arrow offensives. They are quite content with small scale operations. One of the reasons might be that they want to inflict as many casualties possible while sustaining the least possible. In the end, they are fighting the battle of attrition; sooner or later Ukraine will run out of manpower. And with videos of force mobilization in Ukraine circulating online, it appears to be working.
It also works in Russia's favour as Ukraine desperately tries to launch PR to maintain their public image, which comes at a huge cost to them. Following the Russian capture of Artemovsk, the Ukrainians launched an incursion into Belgorod region and their soldiers began uploading selfies, meanwhile footage from the first day showed several destroyed armoured vehicles on the border, not to mention how many died inside Russia.
Then there was the Ukrainian counteroffensive which not only was publicly announced months in advance, but they also made a movie-style trailer for it, and of course we all know how that ended. 20+ brigades reduced to below offensive capability.
Almost immediately after that, Krynki happened to try and take media attention away, some hardcore pro-Ukrainians were screaming about how this was the true offensive. And we know how that ended up.
I can only imagine also the advantage Russia has from capturing abandoned Abram’s on the field. Being able to haul them back to Moscow for study and test them out. Especially since the tanks don’t look horribly destroyed.
@@chiefster11 I mean the Russian's have already known the in's and out's of the Abrams since the 80s.
Russia is also running out of manpower. Which is why they are sending troops to the front line with no tour end date! Once they get there, they aren't allowed home.
@@BlatentlyFakeName Who told you that? They have over 250.000 reservists still in the country. They are fighting the french right now in africa aswell. They started their drone production not so long ago, right now they are producing them in millions. They use 20.000 artillery shells per day and produce 3.000.000 a year. They rebuild the city of Mariupol in record time and are starting to rebuild cities in DNR and LNR regions. They are very very far from running out of anything, equipment, missiles, drones, manpower, shells.
Dont trust your news, watch independent information with proofs to it.
I think the Russians FAB-1500 glide bomb had a lot to do with the taking of Advika as well. My understanding is they used about 250 of those
That, and the ~4 km long pipe that happened to run from the Russian positions then underneath and behind the Ukrainian positions about a kilometre so when the Russians snuck ~2 battalions of their more veteran/well-trained Air-Assault units back there to wreak havoc. Well, that's what they did, they really actually wreaked havoc..!
That happened ~2 weeks before the actual "fall of Avdiivka" which is apparently when Ukraine began pulling out...
These devices ARE a game-changer.
Yeah, for sure, that was a huge factor. Also: it's worth remembering that Avdiivka had been a lone holdout salient nestled right up against firmly established Russian territory with easy resupply lines and strong transport infrastructure for Russian forces. Sustaining a push a couple dozen km beyond that, it's a much tougher game. Ukrainians' new defense line is along a river, backed up by heights overseeing largely open fields. The Avdiivka salient factor also speaks to the fact that it's one thing to peek out over the horizon with an SU-34 for a few minutes at a time, not even getting close to enemy lines, drop payload, and scurry back to safety...and still lose a significant chunk of planes doing it. Much easier to do to a salient like Avdiivka, far more problematic to pull off the further out they have to fly. Let's just hope that those 2 destroyed Patriot launchers were not the only assets shooting down those planes. If Russian pilots now get to enjoy open skies for the foreseeable future, then much of what I just said may be moot.
that was in the south tho the thing that actually killed the city was an attack from the norht that cut the supply to it@@scottsauritch3216
1. the city is arguebly the strongest frotress on the frontline 2. russians only have been activly fighting for it for a month or 2 before it fell 3. where tf are you getting these numbers from?@@highdefinist9697
Really liked that you talked about gloating. I've seen channels where they smile as they talk of the dead in this conflict and seem jubilant. These people (for the most part) were dragged unwillingly into this mess. My heart goes out to the families on both sides.
well said..
Exactly. I remember this drone footage of a Russian soldier lying on the ground shaking in terror and likely in pain aswell, having grenades dropped on him and people in the comments were just mocking him. Disgusting behaviour.
Yeah and it's worse when you see how authoritative the Russian side is in getting info or speaking freely so they're forced to war
@@jameslopez9661i mean its the same for people in the western regions of Ukraine though, their told constantly on state sponsored news that the Russians are a bunch of bumbling & incompetent idiots and that Ukraine is winning the war, then when they get to the front they get a rude awakening...both sides are heavily propagandized.
Very true
The tunnel in Avdiivka was not dugged out. It was an old existing tunnel, and took some effort to get through. They did not put explosives in it, but troops went through and surprised the ukranian forces, creating a bridge head. Where on Earth do you guys get your information from ? 😄
The fact western people think this is the most unbiased and informative videos is sad tbh, thet havent seen the real truth
And it's how they were able to capture the old air defense base
most of the bs this guy talked about is just miserable nato propaganda
this dude is a clown
It was a pipe! The Russians supplied air to the soldiers.
😂 So many fellow supporters memed and laughed their 'arse' about it! "The mighty pipe"
The lesson is tanks can no longer assume where the enemy can shoot it. Drones make it easy to get above and behind.
One of the things you missed is the fact that there were no combined operations because Ukraine wasn’t provided fighter jets. They were not covered from the sky, which defeats the purpose of combined operarions
well russians rush like bots. many drone videos when they literally fail in matter of seconds
Yeah good point. I was thinking as I was watching this "we are supplying Ukraine with some great equipment, but nothing to support it and it's just going to go to waste." M1 Abrams are great tanks, but no tank is invulnerable and if you're not covering the tank's weaknesses with support, Russia is going to exploit the weakness every chance they get. Tanks are useless without air and anti-air support. They're also useless without good training, both in operations and in tactics. We need to either give them the full package or not give them anything at all IMO. As harsh as that sounds, we're just throwing money into a fire that we're probably not going to recover. I want to see Ukraine succeed, but I'm not optimistic they can without a full and well rounded military aid package including F-16s, patriots, tanks, munitions, and proper training and advising on how best to utilize all of the assets together as a cohesive fighting unit. And unfortunately, they just don't have time to properly train F-16 pilots. The process would take more than just a few months for them to be truly effective and not be in the same situation where the equipment becomes little more than fodder.
Oh, they have fighter jets already. Problem is, they are no match for Russian ones. And there's no indication F-16s alone are going to alter this in a decisive way.
Maybe they should build their own instead of begging... 🤷♂️
Having a fighter doesn't mean it can be effectively used. Russia has excellent air defense.
The time for tanks without active protection systems like the trophy, and active drones protection systems, are over.
what should be also over is to send those tanks alone. Sadly that is what happened with those that were taken out
or you know, of tanks without infantry support, which is a time that never happened,
@@beastlysunYes and no. Problem is there are no more eyes in the sky with the advent of drone combat. Its important to remember that ukraine is mined to hell and back now so having rows of men is very dangerous so its hard to spread out. But also if you have collumns of tanks they become easier to spot making them more vulnerable just like what happened in ww2. Drones have significantly shaken up how we look at tactics now. You cannot hide anywhere especially in the fields of ukraine. Ukraine and russia both are figuring out the best tactics to approach this new state of warfare. NATO tactics have never seen this level of combat before so while we can say NATO tactics work becuase of experience we cannot say we experienced combat in a war filled to the brim with drones everywhere.
Its easy to point fingers from the outside in but its important to remember you arnt there, you dont know how far down a road you can walk or run before you run into a drone. You dont know how far the enemy is from you. etc. There are an insane amount of variable that most of us armchair generals dont think about or understand.
Trophy is more like a basic anti-RPG system for common anti-tank weapon systems that Isreal see. They won't help with more advanced top-down attack munitions. I'm sure in the next 5-10 years we will see systems to resolve this limitation.
Was thinking the same, when a 20k drone can destroy a 10mill tank its a problem.
Best update and analysis I have come across on the war in Ukraine.
Great summary of the current situation. I really appreciate how you don't shy away from the reality of the situation.
Most of the other channels I follow didn't cover the HIMARs loss, etc.
they lost some western AA vehicles as well. The big question really is how long can Russia run its economy ragged with this level of spending. Its not about if they can do it, left alone indefinitely as things are Russia will slowly advance. But there is a pocket book at the end of this and the more they spend on this war the less good things will be down the road.
Didn’t cover the congress situation here tho 🤷🏻♂️
@@codytannermcghee5190roflmao are u nuts ! didnt u seen the video where only 1 factory in Tula produces double the shells of entire EU ! what about other factories , China and Korea all have same calibars lol !
@@MicroSBs You are forgeting the high price of oil that is creating great profit and boom for Russian economy so as long the price is high ,both Russia and Usa will profit on oil gas and weapons wich are both main producers and competitors
@perfectly Maybe that’s your clue that you are watching Western propaganda
Not sending ATACMS in 2022 was a give-up move
Yeah, they were set up to fail from the beginning. Promised everything, but the whole effort was a dollar short and a day late from the beginning.
A couple of hundred top tier tanks, and the weapons that have been drip fed them given at the start and they would have had the chance when they took back Kherson.
Sickening levels of hubris and arrogance by the west.
The same accounts for Taurus. The ghost of Richard Chamberlain is out of the bottle.
Yea I’m sure that’s the only reason Russia is steamrolling
@@debrainwasher Yes true but its Neville Chamberlain not Richard. Richard was the actor.
@@debrainwasher Not sending ATACMS understandably makes Germany hesitate to send Taurus.
Loving the longer, more detailed videos, Cappy. Keep up the great work!
Of all the various Ukraine blogs I've seen on YT yours was by far the most interesting, comprehensive and realistic.
And balanced.
"Sending Advisors and instructors" is a smokescreen quote for sending in tier one direct assault units. Lol
Yup. Just like the American "advisors" sent to Vietnam in the 60s
Thats not true. Sure they may engage in combat. But their primary role is not to fight directly. Their job is to act as a liason between the defenders and their own combat arms units.
You know special forces operators were there the minute it started. No way Delta and CIA operators would sit out this game.
Ok keyboard operator
@@ball3677I don't know. Footage from Civ Dev & Co clearly suggests otherwise.
My VNam experience was much like the “expendable” calculus.
Spotter planes spotted suspected enemy movement. The command then sent a couple squads of us 19 year olds with a grizzled 35 year old, combat experienced platoon sergeant with a radio man and a green Lieutenant (light platoon) to push us forward and make contact, or flush the enemy. Often, the enemy had already high-tailed out of the area. But when contact was made, we were supposed to hold them in position while the green Lieutenant (scared shitless) called in coordinates for F4 Fantoms to come in and drop napalm on them.
Once the birds were 3 minutes out, we scrambled out quickly to where Huey choppers were supposed to pick us up.
Basically, us booney rats were bait. It was crazy because sometimes the birds were off coordinate and if we didn’t get our asses fried, we had NVA hot on our tails following us to our pickup point.
Crazy, crazy shit!!😊
I watch videos from that war and it definitely looks like pure hell.
Yeah US Empire and stupidity then, US Empire and stupidity, now. Same outcomes.
Can't believe the NVA fell for that old trick, pursuit of the enemy on the run!!😂😅😊
Russians and americans fight differently/
In Vietnam war for every military death there are 28 civilian deaths, americans just burned everybody with napalm.
In Ukraine there is only 10,000 civilian deaths.
If russians fought like americans there would be significantly less military casualties.
USA invaded Iraq and killed 1,000,000 civilians, occupied and robbed Iraq for years.
Russia invaded Georgia in 2009 won in a week. Left Georgia immediately after, no occupation, no civilian casualties.
truly appreciate the candid moment to those that have lost their lives, casualties are that, it is not a score board, thank you
Very good video Chris, well documented! Congrats to you and the team
I like the way you break everything down barney style for the average Cavalryman like me. I appreciate the work you do to keep us informed.
Southfront.
Expeditionary Force vibes
I was a small cog in the battle staff machine at the battalion level back in 2003-2005 in the S-3 shop and it is just crazy how hard those jobs really are and how much data they have to dig through, probably twice as much now due to advancing technology. Definitely a different type of fight than I was used to as a line infantryman.
Really the unsung heroes in war , very little is understood about their job . Thank you for your service . I only ever saw how company level command and control worked
@@TaskandpurposeI was mainly assisting the S3 so he could do his job, and drive him around like Miss Daisy. There are just so many moving pieces just at the battalion level that many grunts just don't see; if an Air NCO flubs his job then they don't get a seat or even an aircraft for airborne operations. Ammo NCO doesn't do something right you get 5.56 4:1 mix instead of 5.56 ball. Signal people in the TOC don't do their job right no one can talk with each other. It really does take a village to move a grunt.
I was one of the assistants to the Ops NCO, as an E4. If you’re squared away in S3, especially as an E3, E4, you will definitely get big boy tasks. I was literally the only RTO that had real time 9 line experience from Iraq. So on top of my other tasking, I had to get everyone else up to my standard on using the TOC radio. But it was high work, high reward. The BC had my back on a lot of things, so it really evened out. Good times.
It really is a science in its own.
Thank you for the analysis. God bless you.
Thank you Cappy, great research and unbiased.
Thank you for these updates, Chris.
"Ours is not reason why" from his Korean war veteran grandfather is originally from The Charge of the Light Brigade describing it's charge of 600 men into highly fortified positions during the Crimean War.
It is hard to imagine that Chris doesn't know that, it being rather common knowledge (especially among soldiers), but it looked like he delivered it without a wink of some sort.
Or with a non-ironic "hurrah "....
And we all know how that turned out
Crimea was Russian then and Russian it will remain.
We learned this poem in English literature class. The questions came up in my country's version of SAT haha. Neat
Thank you for all the best
Love your videos man, I get so much information that I never knew I’d get but phenomenal job, keep it up 👍🏽
Very informative and honestly the most unbiased review of the war I've seen. Well done.
Talking about casualties is very important to determine the blowback from those familys that lost a loved one. It's also very important to figure out how much closer and bigger the next mobilization wave will be.
You raise great points , thank you for the feedback
With the point he raised about the prison population of Russia reducing by over 200,000 that is a smart move from Russia. Using men that have lived a very violent life for the most violent even humans have ever created. This means a huge of the Russians dying were convicted criminals.
Basically the American neocons started the war by wanting to expanding NATO to Russia border, BUT very, very few neo cons have their children fighting in any conflicts ie always someone's children as canon fodder.
This very channel has pointed out that only one side is running out of recruits.
The scope of this channel- now including more geopolitical info and analysis- has really broadened from its original range.
It's not quite the CSIS, FA, etc, but it provides a good overview of the current situation- and, importantly, imo, it's engaging/entertaining enough to interest people who may not normally seek out decent info on the subjects at hand.
Cheers.
One of your best videos bro, I check out at least 3 a week for the last year
Wow, Chris, this was a great informative video. One of your best on Ukraine.
Thank you for this through update!
Thanks for the update
I served in Iraq and Afghnanistan and maybe I'm not as tough as I used to be, but this just terrifies and depresses me. I think about nuclear war almost every day and feel so hopeless at times. I have to remind myself of what my team leader told me right before my 1st deployment, i cant stress out over things outside my control and just need to focus on what's insode my own "three feet of space". Luckily I live in a neutral country (I have been an expat since I ETS'd because I was having a hard time in my hometown in America) so in a nuclear war I would probably be safe but just thinking of the massive tragedy and suffering if it escalates to that is almost crippling to me. Hopefully it doesn't come to that, but we all really need to talk more about nuclear nonproliferation more
Stay safe brother.
We can't control any of this just like we can't control the waves at the beach.
Try to relax.
Born after 1991, I assume?
Calm down. Nuclear war has been wargamed to death. The end result is *always* that both sides lose. This hasn't changed since Sputnik and the invention of the ICBM. I have never lived more than 100km from a primary strategic target, you get used to it.
Go listen to Sting's "Russians". That tends to help me.
I’m seriously impressed with your ability to present unbiased information. Thank you, keep it up.
I think you have forgot to mention that in Spain sits one of the largest ammo productions plants of Europe, Expal. Recently bought by Rheinmetall, who plans to expand the facility, it has by herself the capacity to keep Ukraine fed with 155 mm. ammunition, but the problem is the lack of politic willpower to do it. Which is stupid beyond belief.
It’s the Spanish they fumble everything
Another quality youtube channel (Anders puck Nielson) said that the succes of the counter invasion of Ukraine in 2022 led to the political lack of wiilpower today.
Increasing arms production in the EU is necessary for the defence of the EU and Ukraine.
Former Warsaw pact countries now in Nato and the EU are going full apeshit due to the serious threath the Russian federation gives.
This European war is affecting everybody in Europe.
Solong a diplomatic solution is out if the question we must sadly rearn.
That's great info. I understand there is a large Russian expat population in Spain. Part of the issue again comes back to the US. We have an ancient President who means well but who can barely speak at times and a VP who is an empty shell and hack. Neither is up to the task to marshal our allies to help Ukraine.
@@chrisstrawn4108 There is a large population of russian expats.. and still more ukrainians. If those populations counted for something the plant will be making shells non stop.
Smart beyond belief.
Thank you vey much for giving those of us that have no concept of war a clearer understanding on the complexity of this conflict.
What a great and honest presentation.
I've been glued to coverage of the war since the start.
Just wanted to thank you from the UK for probably the best analysis on CZcams .
If I really want some as unbiased info, you guys are my go to channel.
Glory to Ukraine.
Incredible video, thx for the good work team !
EU is funding a factory near me that makes artillery shells. They are building out the factory and is expecting to triple production. Europe IS taking this seriously. Albeit a bit late. I hope we get everything going in time.
been at peace for ages and all recent conflicts have been against insurgents so rearming takes time
Reality is, that it is wishful thinking. Artillery production requires big infrastructure like factories, trained workers, material, lots of money and all this take years to do. We are talking about many years not one or two. Not to mention the explosive material used in shells were mostly imported from russia that does not exist anymore. I think people have no idea how much time and work is needed to start factories like this, let alone match russian production that work 24/7 and have many factories built many years now and during soviets. To match russian production i think west will need decade. Also just because you produce shells does not mean its an automatic win. It still requires enormous logistics to get them to the front lines, while russia targets them everywhere. Its far more complicated than people imagine. It can be done, but it cant be done in a day, week or months. Very long time and massive quantities of money, likely hundreds of billions.
Russia outproduces the whole of Europe several times over in munitions thanks to us doing everything we can to "weaken," them smh. They are stronger than they were and we are weaker than we were and it was always obvious this was gonna be the end result of us doing everything the US ordered.
The US didn't even pretend not to be stealing our industry that left thanks to them blowing up German energy infrastructure with the Russians.
If Europe took this seriously they would’ve been prepared, paying their share into NATO. Its not like there was a conflict going on over this very national dispute since 2014. Instead they sat back and let the US do everything while they funded massive social welfare systems. Now? Their caught with their pants down and desperately hoping Ukraine can hold on long enough for them to rearm. And honestly, Ukraine was never going to be able to honestly do that. The reason? Because while everyone was laughing wheb Russia decided to wise up and begin the draft to free up the volunteers to go to the front rather than guard depots or supply lines. Thats when everyone shouldve recognized it was over. Defending every inch of your country against a massive, far more wealthy, more militarily powerful, a larger population and airforce with supply lines just over the border? There is no way to win that conventionally.
@@Stockfish1511 still easier and cheaper than a all out russia nato war, which is likely if the west is weak now and Putin invades the baltics as a result.
I live across the street from a US Conus ammo storage facility. It regularly fires off old munitions. I don't know why that older ammo isn't being shipped.
Have you considered the reason this ammo is being destroyed is that it's unstable and would not be safe to ship or for the Ukrainians to try to use just as it seemingly isn't safe for the US to use.
@@daniels0376uhhhh idk about that dude. I'm pretty sure it has to deal with all the US politicians who are pro-Russian. 😂😂😂😂
@@daniels0376 Right. The US regularly invades other countries because we just f'ing feel like it.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
@@leonelpadilla8484 I'm sorry, I wasn't aware that Ukraine was apart of the US. Maybe the Ukrainians shouldn't have bought yachts and luxurious properties/goods with what was given to them. Not our war, not our problem.
That's an odd take @@daniels0376
THANKS
This channel has honestly provided the best, most comprehensive coverage of this war that I've seen.
This channel is too Ukrainian-biased if you want something neutral about military summer
@@Ngaktahu99 I've watched military summary channel for maybe almost half a year now and I can say that he's definitely more pro Russian... but yes, he also shows the Russians losses.. so, I can recommend it.
Compared to many other videos I've seen from other channels, this video is at least quite balanced and doesn't claim to tell the pure truth (like the 31k losses of the Ukrainians, which is a ridiculously low number)..
You have emerged as a serious, evidence-based analyst on military matters. Very impressive work -- keep it up. I also agree that the blowout panels make western tanks pretty vulnerable to drones. It's a mission kill, at the very least.
Wrong. The channel is very biased towards western propaganda.
yeah with info taken from one side, biased ''analysts'' gtfoh, he only knows what is told to him.
@@undercoverfarts9741what did he say that is biased? Can you bring up any examples or just say nothing?
What evidence? All I saw was slew of Forbes, and NYT articles.
@@skelo903315 downed Russian fighters, and than he said, although there’s no visual evidence.. tells it all
I have a brilliant idea!
Attach a Billion Dollar Ukraine artillery shell package to the Tic Tok regulation bill!
I'm so smart, even I amaze myself sometimes.
We can ban both in one fell swoop
the american way
Eheh, although we have mechanisms against that here in Brazil, which’d indicate that you probably have some sort too
So like how every bill works?
I'm not sure that would work, given the fact that Trump and members of his personality cult are despotic simps for Putin. The democrats gave the republicans everything they wanted with a border deal, but Trump didn't want it - since he wants to take the credit for solving the border crisis. Plus when the democrats tried to make a bill that specifically stated it was to help Ukraine, Trump turned that down as well.
Not to mention the fact that the republican speaker of the house has had business dealings with Russian businessmen, so its likely he's Russian agent.
Good channel
I machined the presidential cuffs for the ch53 heli and worked Army experimental on the AGT 1500 Abrams. It was never designed for muck and mire battle but for Siberia in the snow. When it went to the desert the crew baked.
I designed the quick change air system for sand and would change to a less restrictive system now.
The turbine injector nozzle shields were always cracking in the hot section and the recuperator was copied after a super trapp muffler from dirt bike racing.
I'll bet that driveshaft isnt cheap today.
Hey! I subscribed to your channel, but for some reason I cannot view the content that unlocks. Maybe I am just being impatient, but thought I’d write a note anyway. Looking forward to viewing the Bell and General Dynamics interview in particular!
That’s the 2nd level spare parts army level unlocks all the exclusive content !
Thank you! Upgraded!
I just came across 3 skittles next to my bed!! I'm gonna see if Ukraine wants to strike a deal.
I think telling you opponent what you're not willing to do to defend yourself only emboldens then.
Yes its really dumb to do that. Also dumb to tell in detail and in advance which weapons we deliver.
@@dmitriyzhukov9193 How about elaborately discussing entire planned offensives in the media? For months :')
@@jibberism9910 Its not really relevant what some people without any clue say in the media. But sure, we obviously dont use information as a weapon in the right way.
@@dmitriyzhukov9193 Well, in the case of "the most anticipated offensive in military history" (Ukrainian summer offensive last year) it was pretty much everyone talking about it. Not so much the clueless.
@@jibberism9910 *Spring offensive.
Wow, excellent update, sobering to be sure.
This is not the war NATO expected to fight against the Soviets during the Cold War era. In many ways it is more like the hedgerow-to-hedgerow fighting seen in Normandy in 1944 but along the entire length of the line of contact.
Neither side has air superiority and drones prevent both sides from building up sufficient forces in a location to make a major push.
Excellent information and analysis.
Wow!!! this is one of the best comprehensive updates on the war in Ukraine. this channel has really become top-tier news agency thank you for your non-biased reporting
This is not bad, but definitely NOT non-biased reporting. :-)
20,000 children kidnapped from ukraine, being anti-russia is not a bias. its called being pro human rights.@@marcelma
@@marcelma what would you recommend
@@danielmacdonald8358history legends is way better
@@Icu__hotel_hotel Since it didn't happen claiming it happened is certainly a biased act.
Outstanding video on strategy, tactics and logistical factors.
20:38 I have to point this out. Those are not highways. They are department roads. I notice it often times that Americans mistake them for highways. In Europe highways don’t cut through cities but rather go around them. VERY different.
This man really in the subject on 1000%! Really man... U re best of the better!
Thank you for your video. Very informative.
nice pfp btw o7
The news and analysis has been great. You been doing a great job really like the videos. The information is relevant and important and accurate. Thank you
thanks!!
Thanks for the great video!
An honest analysis is required and necessary to properly judge your opponent. Much appreciated Cappy
This was an excellent summary covering strategic and tactical questions, and gave an unusually thorough examination of logistics of personnel, arms, and equipment.
yes its interesting to see the US Mil-ind-complex narrative sources such as this channel slowly walking back all their claims about Russian incompetence and the impending UKR victory/RU surrender.
Reminds me of afghan, iraq, viet, and others. What is surprising to me is how slow the US public is at figuring out that these sources of information cannot be trusted.
An what I get is, the American Republicans are at fault with not giving ukraine what they need and blood is on their hands.
Thank you for your hard work 🙏
France is also pissed at Russia for using Wagner to help destabilize the former French colonies in the coup belt in northern Africa.
You mean by stabilize African countries?
@tayikolla6205 Not really Russia doesn't exactly have a stabilising influence, they are there to fuck over France and steal the resources @@tayikolla6205
@@tayikolla6205 yeah years later french still colonizing africa
@@starlordyt6151 You mean providing uncorrupted highly effective military support as their express request ? losing our life on the battlefield for them ? Yeas real colonization right here, I'm not saying we didn't make a profit one way or another, but we sent men there, a lot of them, and we helped and trained them for years, no questions asked. We also leaved when they changed governments, it took us 3 weeks in 2013, to basically secure 5000km, which is what you would call a "prouesse" because it's fucking impressive.
France is "pissed" , that's so cute. The little Napoleon is angry LOL
One of the best vídeos of this channel
what ukraine offers that is the most important thing is real world experience with modern combat. it would be in the best interest of many military powers to fully investigate this war and the changes to modern war.
Already being down from day1. All the captured Rus weapons and equipment are being sent to the US and UK for research.
@joselopez-kx3sm
I'm a Reserve Soldier and "Oberstleutnant" (equal to Lieutenant Colonel in the USA) of the Gebirgsjäger of the Bundeswehr (served for 6 years, did 2 tours in Afghanistan with the Gebirgsjägerbrigade 23) and i have helped train Ukrainian Soldiers since the Invasion by Russia and i 100% agree.
While a ton of Ukrainian Soldiers come here to have us train them professionally, once should not ignore the Fact that they literally defend their "Heimat" (Homeland) as we say in Germany, and i definitely can confirm that a lot of the battle hardened Ukrainian Soldiers who we trained also managed to teach us a lot!
@@chartreux1532Thank you, and good luck in your endeavors.
@@chartreux1532 dang just 6 years and lt. Col 👀 did you do some heroic stuff to get promoted so quickly?
1. 122mm and 200+mm cannons are useful
2. ERA is not optional
3. Production economy matters
4. NATO tactics DO NOT WORK!
5. Air support can’t be relied upon.
I told them not to underestimate Russia but nobody listened to me
Thanks for being unbiased
@Taskandpurpose: Russia is now using the 1500 version of the glide munition... not only the 500 version.
thank you for the correction I'll be sure to look into that
Both actually the 1500 is for deep bunkers and 500 for any smaller yet big enough target.
@@asavelakuse6865no, Russians use 1500 to destroy anything that has weapons. Trust, i saw it in the video)
Great reporting! Best real info. about the Ukraine war Ive ever found on CZcams. Thank you for all your efforts. I wish you all the best.
Southfront.
Thank you
Thanks!
By far the best update video on the topic! Thank you so much, Chris 🙏
Really appreciate the enormous amount of research you put into these very informative episodes. Your presentation is top touch, your narration is on point and you don't look too bad in front of the camera. You provide a much-needed service. Stay well.
Excellent like always!🤔
Thanks
This is so informative, subbed.
Southfront.
Great Analysis.
"Visual pictures " are the best kind... *cough*... well done, sir!
The video is better than the media in my country has to offer. Very well-balanced journalism.
Awesome video, I like this new format of dialing the bias back to being neutral to give a truly clear picture 😊
As a German Veteran i'm always happy to see an American Military Channel frequently post about the Ukraine War, because believe it or not, most don't but instead focus mostly on Israel vs Hamas 24/7 for some Reason.
So Thanks for keeping your Videos relevant for everyone around the World instead of just focusing on US Viewers!
Prost & Cheers from Berchtesgaden in the Bavarian Alps
People who make pacifism an identity don't like a scenario that justifies a militant stance. Focusing on the Israel-Hamas situation makes them feel a lot better about themselves. Pacifism is a positive idea when it's treated as "best practice", but so is being able to defend one's civilization.
Simple. Hamas-Israel is more controversial, thus easier to get clicks. You can only report for ukraine here, since russia is literally invading. We have a clear 'bad guy'. For hamas-israel they can just play both side and still bait a huge raging crowd that offer nothing but prayers, racism and religous extremism for the problem.
You can check out a channel called "military summary". They post daily updates on Ukraine war with maps
Израиль это не против Хамас .. Израиль это против Палестины .. это оккупационная война и геноцид
Probably because of the justified allegations that the iarael-Hamas war is essentially an ethnic cleansing with the insane amount of civilian casualty.
Capppy I love your training, sgt Richard Alvin Jackson , Wisconsin Scottish/ Wisconsin high land games , look forward to a repose
@Taskandpurpose With what software do you do those thematic maps? 7:00
They are marvellous.
Its obviously after effects
@@hiraneemindpixels Okay, I can accept that, but I would still wait for Chris's confirmation. :)
Amazing summary of events since November! In the "next" episode, might you cover the logic behind the technological "delta" between the southern and Kherson fronts, and those near Donetsk and Kupyansk? Is there a future advantage to be gained by so obviously supplying the western/northern fronts with markedly better equipment? Also, and I understand that you are an Army guy, but the Ukrainian advances against the Black Sea Fleet, the offshore oil rig network, Russian commercial shipping, and technological advances with sea-based drones are incredible.
What advances are you on about? Why are you deluding yourself with lies from MSM?
To me, this war is pushing Russia to modernize and improve at much faster rate than before. Russia is going up against a lot of Nato equipment, and learning the weaknesses (they're mainly older models keep in mind) The war is basically giving the current Russian army experience fighting a near pear opponent.
NATO isnt near peer for russia lol. Russia really isnt a threat to NATO. China on the other hand...
@@captainalex157 Thinking like this is what gets people killed. If you underestimate your enemy, it'll bite you. The fact is, if Russia went to war with NATO, Russia would undoubtedly lose, but tens of thousands, would die on both sides.
China has a lot of the same problems russia had at the start, not enough body armor for every soldier, not enougb ways to transport all of their soldiers and china hasnt been in a war in awhile@captainalex157
Edit: they have a problem giving out nvgs and thermals to the majority of their troops also
Yes why has nobody even notice?
Colonel Douglas McGregor and Scott Ritter seem to agree with you. America’s military is too woke now to be effective in a real full scale battle.
Great video here! Well done sir
Thanks for that
Excellent presentation and insights - Many thanks
This war needs to end
Love your assessments. Despite being Pro-Ukraine, you do your best to not explain things in such a biased way.
I agree. Most military guys still suffer from the Cold War vibe and it takes a strong intellect to accept facts which conflict with your views and report them accurately. Something not a single major media outlet is able to do.
Its getting harder for the Western hegemons to tell lies.
Reality is just rigged for the West.
I find your videos very informative and accurate and gives a good overview and prospective. Good job
I feel like the fact that the average age of Ukrainian forces being 43 is not taken as seriously as it should. I don’t manpower is a short term problem. I think it may be THE problem.
Good work, as always
This is a really good video, please keep doing what you're doing, it's important work!