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The Great Decline of Europe Part II.
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- čas přidán 14. 08. 2024
- In the 2/2 part of this video series, I talk about the decline of Europe from the point of view of geopolitics and security, governing policies and regulatory environment and I try to summarise the main reasons of the European decline.
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- timestamps -
00:00 - Geopolitic and security
11:21- Regulation and Government
19:57- Why it is happening and what about the future?
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The way they neglected nuclear and went for russian gas still impresses me. Glad this trend is being reversed
Yeah, nuclear is safer then it's ever been and is practically free energy. France will probably do better then most. Germany appears to be the most doomed country in Europe with Nordstream blown up.
@@nicholasphelps3872 France is incredibly bad though, ALL of their reactors have cracks as revealed now. This is due to low maintenence worries beause they wanted to decomission the reactors
It's literally cheap renewable green energy, yet Western Communist still try to find a way to make the solution a Communist Marxist revolution rather than nuclear power.
@@jackylynn Its not renewable. And I doubt you know what marxism is
@@nicholasphelps3872 The problem with EDF is the state of the reactors, wich will take time to solve. To secure suply, Ukraine and other european countries have some uranium. The problem is the constant bias against it in most european nations
I think a lot more people from Europe would be fine with the freedom of movement of persons if the EU put up an iron curtain in the Mediterranean (and on its eastern border) to secure external borders.
Maybe they like immigrants because the birth rate is so low.
Average Whatifalthist fan
Yes
There already is a fence on Polish-Belarussian border.
It should be extended :)
@@jerzyzbiaowiezy6249 and on the hungarian serbian border.
Here in Greece where I live, there is also a fence on the border with Turkey, but most people I know believe that it is not effective, and that the government made it just because many people here wanted it done badly (so they lied). So, many governments (pretty much all I believe) do not want this illegal migration to stop, for reasons we simple people do not know.
Not going to lie, as an American it's huge breath of fresh air to hear a European state what I have felt was obvious.
Glad you like it!
We’re not very self-aware about our decline
@@user-hu3iy9gz5j Tis a common trait in collapsing civilizations. At least not until it's too late and it's already lost.
@@erickentroller4132 The west has lost its way. A civilization in collapse is much like a failing relationship, when every minor disagreement turns into long-winded arguments, and what felt so smooth and natural in the past suddenly stirs up dissonance and tension.
In front of our eyes, the Western self-identity is slippin away, our values are degrading, our norms deconstructed, our institutions evaporating, our homogenity diversified, our history, not reinstated, but mocked, on and on, it goes
@@user-hu3iy9gz5jsome of us are, America is just the hottest fat chick at the fat chick party. We're still fat an ugly just less than everyone else, for now.
I have come to the conclusion that TV and the internet are perhaps the two biggest causes of the underfertility we face.
They are just the mediums of constant societal and cultural brainwashing
@@kostam.1113 I believe that pretty much everything surrounding us is a source of brainwashing. Talking to other people brainwashes us, especially when talking with our parents in the first years of our lives. Brainwashing is by itself not that bad, because we should have an opinion about certain things based on the thinking of generations that are now not in life, otherwise we would have to re-think literally everything, from morality, good manners, dressing ourselves a certain way, every time a person is born and grows up. This would be very time and resource consuming. So I do not consider brainwashing as necessarily negative.
Apart from this, I do not believe that TV and the internet have now the power to brainwash people older than 25 to a deep degree.
I think the bigger cause is too many women taking higher education.
Such lady finishes studies at the age of 24-25. Then goes to work, gathers experience, takes credit for an apartment and suddenly she's 30. 30+ is too late for maternity, so if she delivers a child at all, it's usually a single child. Over 30 there are multiple problems with getting pregnant 🤰, in vitro gives little results and the probability of autism rises.
I am not male chauvinist. That's just biology.
@@jerzyzbiaowiezy6249 I agree
or because having children is very expensive in a situation with damp economic conditions
The hipocrisy is really something important to tackle
That’s what makes Western Europe so unbearable and Eastern Europe superior. The East knows, the West thinks they know.
@@sharingforimprovement155 I wouldn't say superior. The unnecessary hate towards LGBT, and other social issues are problems they face. As well as lack of standard of living
They are superior in some metrics, but inferior in others
Indeed, indeed
In the 19th century Western Europe had the most rapidly changing economies and many technological advances due to the industrial revolution. It’s a shame they forgot the risks one must take to make magic happen. Playing it safe is what is the status quo today.
Sure, Western Europe invented the modern world back then. Now it is just a shadow of its former glory.
I mean its not like Europe doesn't create new technologies or innovate anymore, its just that other parts of the world are surpassing it on that matter
@@joaquimbarbosa896 And if you were offered a quarter million euro job in America for a five-year contract at a high-level tech corporation or a 100 Thousand euro job at an emerging French corporation. Most people would take the job in America and come to their home countries richer than Ever. Or something else the American company wants to use European labor for development that is not contributing to Europe‘s future only Americas. That dynamism of the European continent has been moved to a foreign power.
@@rudysmith1552 TBF literally every country in the world other than USA has to deal with that problem lol. We don't hear how the dynamism of the chinese economy has moved to the US because they get paid more.
With rise of wealth comes the rise of a class of people focused not on creating more, but to channel the wealth somewhere.
The corruption (not just in legal terms) leads to bureaucratization rise of redistribute activism and both moral and rational decline.
All empires succumb to it over time.
It's not just Europe, there is just slightly different flavor to it due to cultural differences.
Poland, Greece, and Israel have taken the right lessons away from WW2: you NEED a strong army to deter invasions.
Strong army is just one side of the coin
You need to have competent and smart politicians who are aware of how the world and surrounding geopolitics work first
And with Poland and Israel, not replacing your majority population with hostile Islamic people.
I think the thing with Greece goes back to Constantinopole siege. :D They don't want the same done to Athens..
@@standadoubal it's not about Athens but there are some places we want to take back
@@nicholasphelps3872 I don’t think Greece wants this either
been waiting for this to come out ever since i watched the first one, keep making more videos on this!
I sure will!
As a religious christian in England I really really love your channel so much. Thank you for talking about geopolitics in the way you do. I enjoy being a subscriber, thanks :)
Ayy same, God Bless you brother, coming from another English Chrsitian
Thank you for your kind words! I am glad you like it!
1 Point you missed is economical espionage from foreign countries like china, turkey, russia etc.
In germany for example its very easy to get the german citizenship and numerous german citizens(with questionable loyalty towards germany) are already gaining influential positions in companies, institutions and even secret agencys... There were many cases of espionage in germany, but the punishment for breach of secrecy is very low.
Economic Espionage is another way to Doom europe.
How is it "easy" to get German citizenship? 8 years for naturalization is one of the toughest citizenship policies in the Western world.
@@Livinivs If thats the case, other countries are even worse. But there was recently made a proposal to decrease it to 4 years. And for a long lasting Spy/Subversion/Infiltration Operation 8 years is not that long.
Russia can be crossed off this list, you will not find worse spies. The invasion of Ukraine is the best example of the incompetence of the Russian special services.
That is an interesting point, Chinese are very famous regarding their stealing of technological know-how, but I am not familiar with cases of Turkish cases in Germany. I will look into it.
Very good analysis, however I doubt the conclusion. In my opinion, mist of Europe will see a massive wave off change in the next tree decades as opposite to a slow decline.
This is because the demographic issue will get uglier exponentially. The more old people there will be, the more burdens will be placed upon the younger generations to support them. This will cause even less people to have kids and more to move elsewhere. At some point the system will simply collapse into street riots and coups, as the remaining young get radicalized.
I think most countries in southern and eastern Europe, as well as the Balcans will see a nosedive like this around mid century (as demographic data suggests). Afterwards, most of these places will probably emerge in a form, borderline unrecognizable to what they are today.
I think migration from Europe/Russia to the English speaking former colonies (and maybe some latin american colonies) is quite probable. My country, Australia, is already attarcting thousands of British healthcare workers for purely economic reasons. Our nurses are paid double what UK nurses are paid (when accounting for exchange rates) and we just straight up paid them to come here. Minimal effort required to convince them.
I imagine the US, with a labour shortage that will incentivize buisness to raise wages and thus standards of living, will attract many Europeans there as well, particularly the wealthier/educated end of blue and white collar work in heavy industry, healthcare and STEM. Some European industry is already going to the US since buisness is cheaper. European companies have noted the US also has better tax credits and when Biden announced his green infrastructure subsidy/development plans the first to shit the bed were the European leaders (specifically Germans and French), and we all know why.
I imagine the catalyst that will finally attract a big wave will be a major tech bubble (maybe industry 4.0, build out of renewables, reindustrialization, AI)
It is possible, it is of course a matter of great interest to me, how the demographic crisis will pan out (I made two videos about it). But it will not help anything, that is for sure.
I would say that radicalization of young people could be just around the corner in Czechia. The situation is bad, pensions are too high, pensioners protected, hosing basically unaffordable and no one is caring about them about the needs and so.
Then you woke up
I really thank you for mentioning how the EU, in its current form, is very inneficient. Either less or more integration, but its literally in the worst state possible
I mean less is ideal if what you really want is more of an American Empire, but if your want any sort of European future there's really only one option.
Hence why I don't think there's even any sense in pondering or debating anything other than strategy for taking action. The stakes are too high, we don't have alternatives and can't afford failure, thus even the slimmest chance must be taken. If Europe must go down, at least let us know we had done everything to preserve her, rather than live with the shame of having sat by and let it happen.
"I really thank you for mentioning how the EU, in its current form, is very inneficient. Either less or more integration, but its literally in the worst state possible"
I have to disagree with you here. For all its failings, the EU is still more efficient that having 27 individual countries negotiate with each other separately. It's easy to see to problems with the actual status quo and less easy to see the (what I think would be worse) problems with an alternative hypothetical status quo.
I agree with you, but I think less is the way to go.
@@kaiserbauch9092 I would say more, but then we have the risk of brusselfs still being sh1t. So I think it depends
@@joaquimbarbosa896 the EU appears to be a mere prototype of a world government entity. The world is not heading to a pure global government in my opinion but we see from the World Economic Forum and the EU, talk of "global governance". The Americans occupied Western Europe after the war and pressured Europe to create a United States of Europe. See American Committee on United Europe. The EU is ideologically globalist first and foremost believing in open borders, state encouraged population mixing (globally) centralized regional government, disillusion of all cultural norms in Europe prior to the world wars and unified currency and economy. With talk of CBDCs, how long till we get an e-Euro with a small elite able to shut off all Europeans bank accounts over leftist hoaxes like "racism" or others alleged issues like climate change and covid. The EU is the antithesis to all that ever was European. I'm an American and believe America has been an evil cancer on Europe and has been such on purpose for its own benefit. No disrespect toward yourself, I can understand the reverence you have had for the Long Peace but I think its come at a terrible cost to Europe.
These 2 videos are such an excellent and in-depth exposè on what's really going on with Europe. Seriously, I applaud you, and I hope you continue hitting the nail right on the head and your channel grows fittingly.
Europe's relative decline to the USA is very remiscent of ancient Greece to Rome
That is true.
I know he's very biased but WhatIfAltHist made a very interesting video on this topic of The USA being the next Rome.
Perhaps not too long for Rome to fall.
Friend, this is a spectacular video. As a Nigerian with a love of history, especially European history, this video really hits several marks. Your presentation was well done. the discussion is objective and the points well researched and analyzed, especially the areas on socio-economic policies, manufacturing, cultural soft-power, regulation and innovation. It reminds me a bit of Whatifalthist but more detailed and analytical. I hope Europe can pick itself up in the future.
Thank you very much!
Would love a video on how this can be reversed, not only on the macro but on the micro scale. What can the regular person do to help reverse the trend? We have a good thing going here, and it's painful to see it slowly degrade..
Unfortunately it cannot be reversed. We are in a political gridlock with protected interest groups that cannot meet in the middle since the compromises would be too severe. The beatings must continue until morale improves.
It is not the atheism of Europe that worries me. The history of Christianity shows it slowly taking a direction more and more towards atheism. Europe was already slowly getting there. Monotheism is just one god away from atheism.
However, what I am especially worried is that the current atmosphere in Europe is not well inclined to rational discussion. The left-wing ideologies have all kinds of social norms that mean impassionate discussion is impossible without offending someone's feelings, which is a taboo that results in exclusion and ostracism. I do understand where they are coming from, there are structural imbalances and I used to bullied at school, but to the extent they go is excessive and leads them to shut their eyes to reality.
But we should not let right-wing ideologues get off the hook either. Their beliefs are quite simple and naive. Either they believe in unending and unfettered economic growth and consumerism, or they are traditionalist hating all of modernity and wanting to return to Christianity, nationalism, traditional gender roles etc. What motivates them is being anti-something. Anti-feminist, anti-liberal. They are sexists, racists etc. just because that's what the left believes in, and they want to offend them.
Similarly, the left is anti-everything, against all structures. Anti-capitalist, anti-fascist, anri-racist etc. They oppose everything and deconstruct, yet construct nothing.
What I would like to see is a cultural revival based on positive beliefs. To believe in something, not just oppose everything else. To find meaning and beauty. By the way, not even the self-professed "conservatives" are actually embracing Europeanism. They are importing all the cultural struggles from America, all the art, movies etc. they like is American in origin. Nobody actually likes traditional European culture and art, it has largely been forgotten. Fewer people still appreciate technological progress, curiosity, learning and philosophy, which are the real reasons behind Europe's success. The printing press and the courage to roam the seas and find new lands did much to the success of Europe.
Thank you for this insight!
The left is to blame for Europe's decline. The right doesn't believe in anything just to offend you, they are actually offended. And the left is where racism and fascism originate these days.
People from traditionally rich european countries are, for the most part, so egocentric and ignorant about the reality, that they are completely unaware about the decline of Europe.
Are you american?
European
I find your analysis fascinaring and pretty accurate to modern Europe's plights.
Thank you!
Thank you very much for your insights brother. Hoping for a good tomorrow. Greetings from Greece 🇬🇷
Thank you! Say hi to Kyriakos grizzly!
A big mistake you made is early in the video where you say America would be glad to relinquish responsibility for European defense. A big reason that US military and diplomatic leadership disliked trump was that he didn't really understand that this security dominance in Europe gives us massive leverage in European foreign policy. It's similar to how the British at the height of their global dominance would operate numerous unprofitable colonies. The increase in overall power more than makes up for the individual unprofitable nature of a given endeavor.
He just doesn't understand this basic fact and renders his analysis lame
The funny thing is, with Nordstream down, Germany now has to buy American gas. At four times the price. Exacerbating their deindustrialization (BASF shut down its Germany operations, for example).
Yes, but germans can blame only themselves. Buying Russian gas was a gamble and now they have to pay the price.
@@kaiserbauch9092 I don't think it was a gamble. It was a logical choice given the price. Considering that American gas has to go through an ocean, it's doubtless that the costs would be higher than Russian gas. The problem is that they're in NATO and NATO refused to disband after the Soviet Union disbanded.
So yeah, the Europeans should've disbanded NATO and carved their own future (even if it's with Russia) instead of binding themselves with NATO after 1990. They should've also stopped being condescending to nations that were their colonies. They might need said nations' help someday.
But alas, that lesson would've been better learned in 1990, and that's not mentioning the CIA stuff.
@@IllusionistsBane Germans misunderstood important difference. Russia does not value money, Russia values territories. It was obvious from beginning that Russian gas will come with much higher price in the future. If there was no war they would use old school blackmailing - like they did it several times in the past. If it was not a gamble it was shortsighted greed combined with eco naivism.
One one side they labeled Russian gas as green source, on the other side they made a fortune on re-selling it to the rest of Europe.
@@kaiserbauch9092 How was buying Russian gas a gamble? It was our government and the EU themselves which started sanctioning and embargoing Russian gas. Russia may have started the war, but Russia did not start with the sanctions. We now buy overpriced American LNG gas and Indian diesel which has been processed out of actual Russian oil. So we still buy Russian energy as well, just through proxies such as India now, and overpriced too.
Therefore we are in an economic recession. And coincidentally, no one is profiting off of this, not Russia, not Germany, not the EU. But the USA again is cashing in the all juicy money out of this crisis..
@@kaiserbauch9092 There is nothing wrong with Germany buying Russian gas. The relationship between Europe and Russia should have been exactly the same one as that exists between China and Russia: one based on complementary economies, mutual interest, and mutual respect. You got so much right in Part I, it is astounding how you could be so wrong about the US and Russia. Europe needn't have made Russia into an enemy! The constant expansion of NATO, the US building military bases and putting missiles in Eastern Europe in the late 2000s, the US starting wars in the Middle East toppling countries that hosted Russian naval bases, the coup in Ukraine, US NGOs seeking to topple Putin when he wasn't doing anything, etc. Russia was NOT Europe's enemy and never wanted to be Europe's enemy. The West turned Russia into an unwilling enemy in the same way it has also turned China into an unwilling enemy. Most of that has to do with US foreign policy. It's astounding that Europe wants to somehow be an independent pole in a multipolar world order where it has a stake. Yet, it was Europe which willingly caved to the US on every single major foreign policy issue, taking the US side even when it was demonstrably stupid. Think of refugees! The US either started or instigated the wars in the Middle East that drove millions from their homes. The Muslim refugees don't go to the US and knock on the door of the country that made them homeless, because it is hard to cross an ocean. But the refugees land in Europe, and it becomes Europe's business. So Europe's interests had been to keep the Middle East stable, don't let the US start wars and destroy their societies. Yet, look what happened? UK, Poland, Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Ukraine enthusiastically joined in these military adventures. You even mentioned Libya... How is Libya's internal affairs any business of Europe? Gaddafi kept Libya stable. Why overthrow him? This is just completely bereft of any rational thinking. On the one hand, Europeans sometimes get it right, like Germany and France refusing to be drawn into Iraq. But then they get it so wrong in the next breathe, and support the exact same military interventions that backfires on European interests. Europe's economic war on its biggest energy supplier (which has backfired spectacularly) has to be its biggest own goal yet.
You're channel is CRIMINALLY under rated.
Europe, its population and its soul, died in the Trenches of World War 1 and the Bloodlands of World War 2, everything we are experiencing now are just the longterm consequences.
Although I definitely agree with most of your arguments, there is one thing you definitely got wrong. The topic I disagree with is when Europe lost its religion. The epoch you first were referring to is called the enlightenment. But it was more a reaction of the thirty years war, a religious war. People were sick of religious extremism and went away from that. But Europe still embraced religion. Plays like Emilia Galotti dealt heavily with that topic. An „enlightened“ man and woman ought to be religious. Even parts of colonisation happened because of a feeling of religious superiority. And kings like Louis 14th and other argued their right to be king because they were chosen by god. Communism was more a reaction to industrialisation and mass-urbanisation. Yes, Marx also said religion was opium for the people but he was in the clear minority. Europe became atheist because of the world wars, like most nations probably would. If America went through the horrors of the world wars like Europe did, it as well would degenerate with atheist (though religion is also declining fast in America). So yeah, that sums it up pretty well. But still a really good two-part series! Keep it up👍
America still being more religious than europe probably has to do with genetics, since a lot of Europeans that went there (especially before the civil war) were religious fanatics.
@@mitonaarea5856 Probably could toss in more reasons too. I've heard the argument that America's religious freedom / diversity means religious life is more robust. One religion fails? Well, it wasn't the state church, everyone has opportunity to move on. Religion dying in America? It's a real thing (political polarization plays into this), but said religious freedom means a re-bound of religion is possible, probably due to a new religion / denomination / movement / revival that addresses the needs of the people.
I'm sure other people here could also throw in other reasons as well. I do agree that trauma from the World Wars is a real thing for Europe.
@@chipcook5346 I am Germanic and Turkic
Marx did not mean opium as a drug, he meant opium as a miracle painkiller. Opium was viewed as a medicine until we invented better ones. Many people like Poe and Nietzche among others were medicinal users.
Although he was still an atheist because he thought we could "invent better medicines".
Thank you! I mean the loss of religion did not happen over night, it was a process that took several centuries, moved in different pances in idfferent countries and most importantly, it moved from up downwards. So it started in the 18th century with the elites and aristocrats and trickled down to the common folk.
So far, I am impressed by your videos. Clear analysis, good explanations. Keep up the good work
Thank you!
Finally someone that is starting to understand we need more new better points of views that you provide we have been infested with degenerate ideas for so long. I hope more people start thinking like this and we can finally reform something
4:45 thank you for showing this my brother. Unfortunately, Greece is in a place where it can't afford to lower military expenditure even if it wanted to. Turkey is actively and officially threatening our country with war, as well as sending hundreds of thousands of illegal immigrants in our country. Our armed forces are doing the best they can on land, sea and air, and our boys especially in the special forces have become some of the most skilled fighters in the world. The problem is that we have few resources to fund this project, and the EU will not just not help us at all, but often times even deters us from doing this for the sake of "Human Rights". I wouldn't think that the European peoples want to commit suicide for the sake of Human Rights. Our country is doing the bare minimum that it has to do, to protect the European civilization and people. And instead of aiding and helping us, Germany keeps on stabbing us in the back
Keep strong brother, as long as Kyriakos Grizzly is alive I am afraid!
Omg, that's heartbreaking! Greece is so lovely and beautiful. I do hope that once war in my country (Ukraine) is over, the attention will shift to helping yours with your cause! Stay strong 💔
@@Li_Tobler stay safe man, Ukraine is at the forefront of the Western battle for survival. Hope you're always well
It is well known in the US (military, at least) that Greece has some of the best fighter pilots in the world. I have heard them referenced many times. Israel also.
@@Joker-no1uh yes it's true. The technology we have is also very good, though our domestic production is very limited, basically non-existent. As long as we can secure arms trade and partnerships with France and America, we should be safe. But our personnel is truly doing the best every day in dog fights, and Greek pilots are some of the best in NATO, even operating in numerous bases abroad, in other parts of Europe. I'm sure that if there's ever a conflict, they will outperform the enemy even if they're outnumbered. The problem is, will we find a way to replenish our losses, both in terms of production and the number of active duty pilots? Or will our numbers dwindle in a relentless war of attrition? The heroic spirit of these brave men in uniform can only be deterred by poor economic management, which has plagued Greece ever since its inception as a modern state
I have observed that the hostility comes overwhelmingly from former empires such as France and Britain. When you compare their behavior to the former Warsaw Pact nations, the difference is stark. At first I thought it was just because the US defeated the Soviet Union and so there was a greater sense of appreciation because it was so much more recent than the Nazis. And that may actually be true, 50 years from now, Eastern Europeans will have no memory of the USSR and so may act the same way, but I think there is more to it than that. Eastern Europe has primarily consisted of colonies. Even the empires like Austria-Hungary were never in the same league as Britain when it comes to something like Global Hegemony. I think that these peoples have a fundamentally different outlook on the US due to the lack of a robust imperial history, and the superiority complex that necessarily entailed.
Empires ostensibly colonized the world for its own good: "We know what's best for you, we are superior to you, submit.". This inherent sense of superiority is likely the driving force behind their behavior today. And it isn't just comparisons in Europe. Ever notice how nations in Asia don't behave the same way? There are many countries the US liberated and developed post-war in Asia which have economic and quality-of-life aspects superior to the US. Japan and South Korea come to mind. Yet instead of being disrespectful, they are extremely good allies and have utterly submerged themselves in Americanism intentionally, while also preserving their native cultures. I think this again comes down to a colonial vs imperial mindset. Korea was a colony of China and Japan forever, the US saved them, therefore US is a friend forever. There is no shame or resentment whatsoever. Japan, desite briefly being an empire, also doesnt have the European imperial mentality. Asia was for centuries the chopping block of Europe, and the US is rightfully seen as the opposite.
All of this is leading up to the reality that the US was a colonial territory that got its independence through war. This is one of the major drivers behind most of its sociological phenomena like extreme individualism, but I have a strong suspicion this is why the former empires take such offense at American success. They were literally surpassed by a colony in every single possible way, including having to be militarily reinstated on their own territory. The US conquered half of Europe in WW2, then gave all of these nations like France independence, when they never did anything even remotely similar for anyone else. I think this is an unforgivable annihilation of imperial pride. The US could have made France and Britain the 51st and 52nd states in 1945 if it wanted to, and the fact it didn't is probably even more painful, since that is exactly what they would have done were the situation reversed. Then afterwards, the US essentially strong-armed them into giving independence to the few colonies they had left. As such you have the US overtaking them militarily, economically, technologically, culturally, politically, morally, even ideologically. All this by a former colony that hadn't even been a country for more than 150 years. The sheer brutality of that for a supremacist worldview must be utterly irreconcilable, and I think that is why, despite the US being a loyal and long-term ally, these nations have such instinctive resentment. It also explains why France is always causing problems, such as trying to collapse the US dollar in the 1970s, resulting in the abandonment of the gold standard. The fact that it wasnt just some one-off, that the US is not only solidly ahead, but the difference continues to grow more and more, must only exacerbate the resentment. It looks to me as though there is a petulant desire to "take the US down a peg", not because it's done anything wrong, but perhaps because it hasn't. Like the older brother that gets overshadowed by his younger brother in every way and since he can't measure up, he feels the need to trash talk him behind his back. It's unfortunate, because Europe could have maintained itself as a strong pillar of civilization, but instead dropped everything to focus on mere subsistence, while all the innovation and development comes from the US, and all the growth comes from Asia.
that makes a lot of sense. I particularly find it interesting with the comparison with Asian countries. And how country like Japan and South Korea could take things made in the US like comic books and pop music, and reinvent them with their own twist. I think you have could’ve definitely done something like that, however chose not to, and like you said, losing the innovation and development race to others.
Might also be why ADL, Blackrock, WEF, and others are so keen on destroying US companies with DIE, ESG, and other incentives! But what I don't understand, is why the mass immigration?
Darn ToS. But it would explain why EU Central companies are giving incentives to US Companies. Of which I can't name due to Lord ToS.
i am an American, and we have done wrong. of course we have. we are human. but overall i think his points are valid ones. @@Eugene535
This channel is highly underrated. It reminds me of whaitifalthist except by a Czech dude focused on Europe.
It seems to me that the social problems you describe facing the continent are mostly the same ones that the entire industrialized world has to contend with. Once a society becomes too comfortable and its people detached from the land they inhabit, they lose touch with reality and give themselves over to some kind of nihilism. The society is bereft of its reason for being and slowly disintegrates. This is true whether in Europe, the US, East Asia, or Russia. In Europe the process may be more advanced due to its earlier industrialization and the trauma of the world wars being followed by a combination of good times largely provided for by the US and communist corruption imposed from Moscow.
America doesn't have the same anti-business regime as in Europe or as much of its contradictory self-aggrandizement, but the social rot has been underway for decades. A healthy society's leading academic and media institutions would not advocate mutilation of children's genitals or actively push the idea that the US is an evil racist country. At the same time, the factors that made America great in the first place - its strong Protestant work ethic and social trust - are being sadly eroded by mass immigration that assimilation cannot keep up with. This won't destroy the country outright but it will cause structural damage as cultural, political, and racial divides deepen. Our left wing basically worships Europe's politics and hates the idea of America; they keep winning elections because the right wing cannot successful branch out to non-whites (soon they will be a majority of the population) or the youth, even when the left's policies destroy the cities these people live in.
Russia's decline hardly needs introduction. They didn't read Sun Tzu before rushing into an unwise war with Ukraine (what do they gain?) and as you mention would not even be a relevant world power if it were not for their massive natural resources and nuclear arsenal. My unpopular opinion is that Russia should be an ally of the West even despite its authoritarianism. If it were not for its reputation as the scary evil empire, nobody would care about such a partnership, just like nobody cares that America supports Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and many other dictatorships. It was a mistake for the West to antagonize Russia time and again after 1991, as this guaranteed that it and its resources would be pushed into China's orbit.
East Asia has in many ways the opposite troubles as Europe or the US. Truth be told, the actual standard of living in these countries is terrible and squeezes every bit of energy out of the population. We often see people in the alt-right praise Japan or China for their ethnic homogeneity but ignore that woke ideas have been spreading in these countries' youth for a long time and unlike in the US there is not even a strong right-wing political force to push back against it. In Asia authority is respected to such an insane degree that there is not really a true concept of left and right, just regime vs rebellion. These societies also lost their reason for being after industrialization, just that instead of enjoying themselves or engaging in showy political activism, the youth compete for each other in endless school hours or in crushing workplace environments. The traditional role of the family in providing economic or psychological support is rapidly fading as young people grow up with completely different values from their parents a couple generations ago, and more importantly, can not or do not wish to have children of their own.
At this stage it might not be so useful to talk about which country or geopolitical bloc will prevail, but which ones will collapse the worst. I suspect that all of industrialized society is heading towards greater division and stratification. Central authorities will slowly find themselves unable to simultaneously maintain regulations, assimilate newcomers (in the case of the West), encourage fecundity, or police popular opinion. The internet is making it easier for people to form strong subcultures apart from and in competition with the traditional media, academia, and entertainment. Over the long run, this could lead to massive upheavals in culture, economics, ethnic identity, and even basic things like scientific and moral paradigms.
Thank you!
Z tvého lehkého přízvuku( žádná veliká výtka) jsem poznal, že jsi Čech. Je přímo neskutečné, jak málo si průměrný Evropan uvědomuje všechny problémy týkající se naší budoucnosti, já jsem měl dříve spíše jen takový pocit ,, kulturního podvědomí", že se něco pomalu hroutí než jsem objevil tebe a další podobný materiál. Jak v ohledu ekonomie tak v hudbě, médiích je cítit, že jako kontinent ztrácíme náš elán. Myslím si, že je ČR v určitém smyslu takový zvláštní mix (jako nejzápadněji smýšlející stát železné opony). I přesto nedokážu pomyslet na moc kulturních záležitostí nedávné doby, které by překročily naše hranice. Nechci, aby se z celé Evropy stalo vymírající muzeum, pro celý svět k nahlédnutí. Jako část nejmladší generace mám pocit, že proti tomuhle všemu opravdu stojíme bezmocně, hlavně kvůli tomu, jak je postavená naše populační pyramida. Respekt za to, že věnuješ něčemu, co by si spousta jak mladých tak starých lidí měla projít hlavou.
Je lepší být umírajícím muzeem než státem umírajícím v agónii falešné majestátnosti a zároveň zabíjet lidi sousedního státu. Doufám, že po mém komentáři pochopíte, že v Evropě to není tak zlé.
Díky ti za slova chvály! Hlavní je neztrácet naději, všechno se může obrátit k lepšímu!
I am glad we have auto-translate. That is an interesting perspective you have on the issue. As someone raised and living in the USA, I do have an outsider’s perspective on this issue. I have heard plenty about the economic, demographic, and geopolitical issues in regards to Europe but its very different hearing your perspective on this issue.
Great stuff, well written videos like this is what CZcams was made for
Thank you very much!
Great video. Thank you so much. The last 10 seconds did make me laugh out loud.
Thank you! Glad you like it!
The decline of Europe is thanks to the European leadership and people who were too ready to quarrel with each other over petty things during the 20th century.
Many English, French, German, Belgian, Polish and Russian leaders were still living in the 18th century of petty statesmanship. WW1 and WW2 completely overhauled and destroyed Europe. It was not just Germany and France that were wrecked, but England became financially broke, Poland collapsed to Soviet domination, Italy was a wasteland and in debt, Norway was broke etc.
Had Europeans not fought a first and Second World War, they could’ve maintained their economic, financial, moral and demographic superiority over the USA and the rest of the world.
The US had the largest economy by 1890. The world wars increased it 10 fold, but it was taking over regardless. Militarily and influence, Europe would dominate.
@@Joker-no1uh Wrong, the USA did not have the largest economy in 1890. Germany had the best economy from 1870 to 1945.
It was the Germans who invented combustion engines, diesel engines, jet engines, and many other industrial R&D were dominated by Germany.
America simply absorbed many German scientists, engineers, technicians etc. after the world wars that allowed America to launch satellites, space craft etc.
@@Joker-no1uh Source:
"The German Genius - Europe's Third Renaissance, The Second Scientific Revolution and the Twentieth Century" by Peter Watson & Erich Fromm
You got me, my slavic brother. I'm subscribed. Pozdravujem z Chorvátska :)
Thanks!!
Pozdrav Hrvatska iz Češke!
Will there be a part 3? I hope there will but I understand there is only so much that can be discussed
Well at this point this video series is finished, but there sure will be other videos regarding similar topics in the future.
Thank you for the effort you put into these videos. I wish you had more subscribers as you definitely deserve them. Keep up the great work, and I'm sure your channel will grow.
Thank you! I am gonna keep on grinding, maybe it will happen :D
Modern Europe is much like the Greek city-states after the rise of Rome... depending upon a major power to protect them, while spitting in its eye. Europe would do well to remember that Greece was simply annexed by Rome after the Achaeans turned against them. I would not be surprised if 50 years out something similar happens in Europe.
Oh yeah, I forgot about Europe. Thanks for the reminder
Nice video man! Keep up the strong work
Thank you! I will
France, Germany and UK need to be divided.
were the E.U. to collapse I could see battlehardened France and Germany splitting the main continent between their spheres of influence. The Nordic countries would likely function as a seperate sphere on their own. the U.K. and its neighbors however would just get further sucked into the American sphere. I think alot of the tough issues the continent will face in the next few decades will rear a drastically different europe. More likely than not one which is geared towards right wing nationalist sentiment. There is visibly alot of frustation there, just as much if not more than the U.S. at times.
Nope
Why would Scandinavia go alone?
Well, they are.
Free Bavaria, Corsica and Scotland
Excellent analysis as usual. But couldn’t you improve your delivery? Please try to express your ideas with more confidence. You tend to read your lines in a staccato, halting manner. If you can deliver your lines in a flowing manner, that would help.
I am all for equal rights of every human being, but I fear that with the amount of immigrants that are coming to the European continent, core European and Judeo Christian values will also fade away. If data are correct then in 2100 Islam will become the majority religion in the continent, as Christianity will cointinue to wain. It will cause huge friction in society between traditionalist, immigrants with different values, and marxist wokisme. I also fear that the rise of extremism, and ultra right-wing will try to take power in more European countries, and try to undo the process. We are already seeing it with Italy. I think more is the come for this continent, and I believe Europe as an entity will face many challenges ahead...
I desagree. I live in Portugal, if that makes any difference here, and while not perfectly, most migrants sure adopt our core beliefs. I receber in my school class, out of 20 students, 6 were migrants or born from migrants. Most of them still shared smiliar beliefs and ethics. So I don't see core values changing that much
@Joaquim Barbosa Yes, I see what you mean. I also come from an immigrant background, and I was born in the Netherlands. However I also see a lot that come here, and aren't putting a lot of effort to adopt western values. Most of them stick to their values, and often times aren't putting a lot of effort in learning the language they are settled in. Only time will tell it is still early what the future for Europe will hold. I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of influx of immigration, mostly from Middle East, and Subsahara Africa will try to dominant their culture in religion in the near future. Immigration can be a positive thing, but it should have it's limits.
@@TheMugenVideos I agree on the last sentence. But for exemple we closed our Doors to russians, wich was a massive lost oportunity not only to cause brain drain but also to atract not so different in values people with important skills.
But overall I agree. Only time will tell
@@joaquimbarbosa896 Once again Europe is in the crossfire of all kinds of conflicts, and tensions around the neighbourhood. Our geography is our curse. We are relying a lot of daddy USA, but it can also be our downfall. We are just following what daddy USA wants, and their ideology. Even if we have to combat the Russians or the Chinese economically or militarily daddy USA commands it. And with all kinds of tension, and food insecurity, and climate change, The African world and the Middle East view Europe as a save heaven, and opportunity for a better life. There will be a point in time where Europe might not have the capacity to deal with all these kinds of pressure, and instability. Europe might go down the Roman Empire path. Once a prosperous civilization, but due to infighting, instability, economic pressure, and immigration (again because of geography) they couldn't hold it together. It isn't that crazy to think that modern Europe will follow the same path as the Romans did.
Many of these muslim are assimilating, look at France. Most muslims there don´t follow their religion strictly, most say that they are muslim but drink alcohol. I am defenitly agaisn´t immigrantion of these people to Europe but we need to realize that these guys sooner or later are going to end up like most europeans, secular and gay.
Excellent analysis starting at about 20 min where you talk about the decline of Christianity and the various ideologies that tried to replace it.
Secularism was a survival mechanism. Religious theocratic governments were always fighting because of the puritans.
Thank you!
@@marcusj9947 secularism is godlessness and a part of the cultural decline of Europe.
My prediction is that western Europe will be in a catastrophic economic position within a decade.
It is possible.
@@kaiserbauch9092 EU GDP per capita is still relatively very high compared to the global average but that is down to a few very fragile factors. Money flows from the GCC, the perceived safety of the banking system, unequal trade relations etc. This is exactly what Russia and China are aiming to change in the coming decades.
Great job articulating your views. Here is a challenge, massive famine in North Africa and the Middle East which has, in some cases, increased its population by a factor of 8 since the 40’s. If that doesn’t sober you up, I don’t know what will. The food production in those regions no where near matches the population.
I prefer the Crazy German Ideology ending
A very cogent video that echoes and expands on my own thinking. It is notable that those countries most resistant to the American cultural and strategic umbrella - France comes to mind - will likely do better as the US withdraws from the wider world. For those countries overly dependent on globalism, I see only pain.
Hey, just bumped in your channel and watched few videos. Very insightfull toughts! Many of them I completly agree with. Grim outlook of our future as europeans (and more broadly - even worldwide) is something that is awfully neglected among popular discourse. Media and so many people would rather talk about really much less important topics - that's just straight up terryfying and makes me ask questions whether it's not done on purpose. Look at Russia's actions in Ukraine - right now we talk about Bakhmut, territories, resources, grain and strategic deep water ports but among these Russia is almost silently currently taking the most imortant Ukraine's resource - its young children to at least somewhat counter their own bad population forecasts down the road. I'd love to have discussion or at least to be able to talk for a while with you, cheers from neighbouring Poland!
Thank you! Glad you like it.
I am currently working on a video about Central and Eastern Europe and the potential future conflict between Poland and Russia, I might like that one!
Polish as always - MEGABASED and GIGAREDPILLED!!! Thank you so so much from a Ukrainian - I've seen this discussed very rarely and mostly by Ukrainians only - the child theft I mean. It's basically trafficking at this point and it's so, so terrifying. How will we get them back?! My heart absolutely breaks for these children, many of them get beaten up and bullied by the orc children because of their origins, and 100% of them are indoctrinated into learning russian, forgetting Ukrainian and their roots. This is so vile, I have no words. It's some kind of murderless genocide, really
@@Li_Tobler It's even worse . Actions taken by Russians (and I do not talk only about their political elites at this point) are horrible - honestly I lack the words to describe the atrocities they are currently doing (their whole nation has history of being really bad tough). This is genocide on multiple levels: they destroy entire cities, economy, kill the people and steal your young children, atack civilian targets, commits active genocides like in Bucha or even worse - at Mariupol (I just hope one day the world would punish Russia for what they've done there) What is the most sad thing about it is that as long as Russia has nuclear weapons they will never be fully held accountable for these crimes.
Great content, keep it up.
Thank you, I will!
If feels that Europe needs some kind of Christian revival to obtain a new reason to exist. Right now they are just coasting on the fumes of the past energy. It is a palpable feeling actually, especially in a place like Versailles and in general adoration of Napoleon in France - something that was relevant more than 200 years ago.
The thing is Western Europe could increase military spending by at least 3% to 4% of GDP while using a Georgist land value tax to raise revenues for finding social services/welfare, other government programs, a citizen's dividend, environmentalist policies, etc in fact this could be coupled or merged with Eco-Nationalism. (Including Corporatist* class cooperation and interdependent* representation of Economic sectors would be great.) But oh well, that's sadly not happening afaik....
Brilliant series, thank you
Fingers crossed for Germany coming up with that ideology...
Involving the conquest of everyone though?
Great work
Thank you!
27:20 Wouldnt less young people actually increase the chances of a revolution? Old people arent revolutionaries in the streets throwing molotovs at buildings, if history shows its always young men that do that.
Wait, I do not understand. How would less young people increase the chance of revolution, if they are responsible for it?
I agreed in most of what you said until you mentioned the flawed idea of "outsourcing". To close factories in one country will simply not devistate the economy of society, or even that of any particular class. Society as a whole will grow by making common goods and services cheaper..
I do think that there are other good arguments to favour national industries however. China is not our friends and we should thus refuse them influence of significant parts of our national economies. If other options are avaliable, such as maintaining national industries, or initiating simular trade exchanges with fellow western nations, those are superior
Your intro jingle always confuses me because it only affects the left side of my earphones, so im left wondering if my right earphone is connected.
That is strange, I do not have this issue.
Amazing!
Thank you!
As someone from the US interested in Eastern Europe as an alternative place to live, your channel is highly insightful. This comes from someone who makes decent money running a software business, which says a lot about how things are no longer working despite any money.
For white, straight, religious, etc., I sense many are deeply concerned with where to find a place that isn't committing cultural and heritage suicide; some also feel directly/intentionally disparaged and targeted for being white, straight, religious, etc.
I've only started watching your videos, but I will likely binge-watch your channel now. Please culminate some of your knowledge into hypothetical action points an individual can at least try to improve their odds at holding on to some sense of culture and heritage. At the least, they can avoid places that are becoming more hostile to those who are white, straight, religious, etc.
Also, I am traveling to Eastern Europe soon for seven months. I will love to talk if you are available.
Most of the countries are US puppets, so the same is being pushed here just with a few years lag. Some try to resist, some not so much. The repatriation here would be just buying a few years unless there is dramatic shift.
Bro, I can even work for you. I will take smaller salary if I can work from my home country.
It's doesn't make sense that you denounce the lack of ambition from EU countries while also laughing at their ambition when they have some.
I live in Ukraine we literally had Chornobyl catastrophe and still think that Nuclear power is better than Fossil fuels power. But for Western world it is either Fossils or Renewable. Nothing in between.
Modern reactors are much safer. And if you count how many died because of coal pollution it isn't even close, but Germany opens old coal power plants? Crazy.
Your point about the fall of European Empires being a result of defeat (rather than moral progress) is very similar to one made by prof. Timothy Snyder. Is it a coincidence or did you hear his argument somewhere?
To be honest I feel like that's the logical conclusion. Countries don't have morals, least of all empires, and most Great Powers tried to keep their domains even as it was becoming increasingly obvious they lacked the strenght to do so.
Still, Europe is weathering the storm much better than most places. It's SLOWLY increasing the cooperation among members states, is making a small attempt at rearming, has diversified its energy sources (away from Russia), and hopefully renewable/nuclear power can help such an energy poor continent. There are even talks about raising the retirement age/increase birthrate (probably to little to late but still), althoughthe demografic situation is desperate. Geopolitical stability, peace, decent infrastructure, rule of the law, small but educated workforce... there is still a lot of hope for the future.
I would not say "EU is slowly increasing cooperation among members", but "EU is forcing it" 😞
And if "rule of the law" is mentioned, what punishment by law should be applied towards Gerhard Schroeder and Angela Markel for promoting and feeding Putin's regime?
Well, I think the worst is stil lawaiting Europe.
@@jerzyzbiaowiezy6249 Or for opening the borders to Europe and inviting millions? No punishment is coming it seems.
@@noreply-7069 Yep. The only way to make politicians answer for their doing is revolution.
But this will not happen in Europe full of elderly ppl
You are certainly not living in a real world.
you critisize germany for its low military spending. but what will happen if u get a militarized germany in the middle of europe? it will disrupt the balance of power, it will force other countries in europe to re-arm and it will also put ur own country in danger.
yes, you will have the necessary defence against russia, but at the same time the uniting force - a united struggle against russia - will go away and the different european countries will find themselves in a military competition with each other.
i think your thoughts are too strongly ancored in the current zeitgeist and you fail to see the long term prospects of re-arming.
Sure, I am quite content eith armless Germany, from the Czech POV. It is their smugness and hypocrisy that is blatant.
It is a very good thing for Europe to rearm itself. I don't see it being a bad thing at all. If the nations of Europe can't grow a pair and chill with all of them being armed then the idea of a united Europe or anything is pointless. Every nation has a responsibility to its citizens to be armed and ready. Germany should re arm. And so should all of Europe.
Fascinating video. I'd love to see a video about the United States of Europe/European Federation and why it isn't really possible.
I mean it is somewhat getting closer to that
Thank you! I will work on it!
I don't mind European hypocrisy, but it is the smugness that really gets me
Yep, Western Europeans can be as smug as it gets.
Maybe we gonna create a new renaissance. And how we can create new hope.
That would be great.
That ending was so uplifting! No, seriously, another eloquent video. Great to see a person from a "post-communist" society vlog about their perspective. I only get my european analysis from Western channels, so this is really refreshing!
low birth rates are probably more influenced by high housing costs and rising expenses than climate change.
For all the dysfunction of the EU, compare the current situation to the situation in Europe pre-1945, when Europe was continually wrecked by warfare between the states. 30 Years War, 9 Years War, War of Spanish Succession, Austrian Succession, 7 Years War, Napoleonic Wars, WW1, WW2- if EU dysfunction is the price to pay to avoid that situation, then its probably well worth it.
basically, GDP per capita is high and growing well in Europe, the problem is with the overall GDP, but this is due to the lack of population growth, which occurs in India, the USA and China, but not in Europe
in "china" lmao you know nothing.
Sir, this is the most unbiased and thorough essay that I have read, on any topic, in the last period. Only Robert Kaplan's "The Revenge of Geography" might rival with it. I am connected to the news, I shared most of your opinions before, but I can say you've said it better than I could ever have. Your channel is really a gold mine, and I bow before you, as I appreciate the work you're doing. Please keep making such great videos. Congrats and greetings from Romania!
Thank you very much!
Where are you from brother? I prefer you over whatifalthist as you have a lot more knowledge on Europe then him.
For what was an excellent Part I, and a pretty good Part II, I am astounded how you can be so wrong in the first third of this video. Russia was never a threat to Europe until the US/NATO made it so! Russia was content to just integrate itself with Europe and be a reliable energy supplier. But what happened? The US kept expanding in Russia's direction, building new military bases and missiles bases when it was doing nothing. It overthrew (or attempted to overthrow) the governments of countries (e.g., Syria, Ukraine) who were allied with Russia and/or provided it with vital military/naval bases. The US used NGOs aimed at toppling Putin when he wasn't an enemy, tried to sow internal dissent, and even backed Chechen separatists for a time. You mentioned Libya and Europe's inability to enforce its will. This is just mind boggling! Libya was never Europe's business! Iraq (under Saddam) was none of Europe's business! Europe's interests is to maintain a stable Middle East and North Africa. Instead, some European sellout countries went with the US to DESTABILISE the Muslim world, and Europe got millions of refugees in return. Notice when the US stirs conflict in the Middle East, it is too far away. Refugees don't cross an ocean and don't turn up on the shores of the country responsible for exporting war to them. But the refugees do go to Europe. Europe should have straight up refused to go along with US wars that were NOT in Europe's interests! Europe should have refused to let the US antagnoise Russia (Europe's most important energy supplier), should have stayed neutral in the geopolitical competition between the US and China (again, not Europe's business, and China is an increasingly important market). Europe wants to be its own pole in a multipolar world, yet on everything that matters, it REFUSES to stand as a pole, and ALWAYS caved to US demands even when they were directly contradictory to Europe's self interests, whether it is in the Middle East, Russia, China, etc.
I love your channel man, very thoughtful and interesting topics.
Thank you!
Please put some sources in your videos, but overall great video. Btw why can't Coopetition be the way forward for Europe, especially the EU? At least for me, I would like to see an integrated future ''EU Federation or European Federation'' that is a (sovereign) superstate federation of cooperative competition (aka co-opetition) that engages in economic, military and cultural coopetition. I think it would combine the best of both competition and cooperation to keep Europe dynamic and cooperative at the same time :) . Also being ''demographically competitive'' would help Europe imo since it ensures that they compete to have high fertility rates and large populations ideally let's say with a total fertility rate of 2 children per woman to 3 children per woman to 4 children per woman. I think this demographic competition would help Europe a lot alongside ideally a zealous or fanatical religious revival/more affordable housing/ and denser, biophilic walkable cities.
Thank you!
I think that European federation is not an option in any conceivable future, because Europeans are not a nation. Either some European nation would have to conquer the rest and dominate it as an imperial nation, but everybody tried and no natin in EUrope is trong enoguh, or there would have to be a process of nation building for many centuries or even millenia.
@@kaiserbauch9092 Yeah, good point
@@kaiserbauch9092 Ok, what do you think of my ''Demographic Competition'' idea? Do you think it is a good idea or not?
The imperium Romana, United States,Brazil and India all only exist because of a monocultural civilization holding it all together
I will tell you 1 bad thing that will happen: Eu is not a united government meaning that soon in 10 years or so many countries will be unable to pay the pensions to their older population: look Italy,Germany but also countries like Greece,Hungary or Romania(trust me is bad in Romania). Having less people in work force and more in retirement means more taxes on younger people,less strive for inovation or business. I expect a big economic decline, look in France people do not want to work extra 2 years they want to keep their benefits. People in Romania work more than those in France ,is it fair? I think not. And when that combination of demographic+economic+privilage style of life will hit (in 10-15 years) you will see a huge chaos in Europe. And the war in Ukraine is not over....and they expect EU to pay for the reconstruction of it.....what a joke. Brace yourselves !
I agree, more or less.
@@kaiserbauch9092 It will be a chain reaction over a longer period of time but the effects will be felted . Btw do you have a discord channel for debates ? would like to ask you about more
22:09 Europe has big duty to cut CO2. Europe is responsible for he big part of historical cumulative CO2 emissions from 1750-2020.
Also climate change will cause even more immigration.
BTW there's a Thomas Sowell video called How Europe has a geographic advantage. Might interest you 👍
Sometimes you tend to forget that the videos were made by a Czech. But then Babiš jumps out at me, my blood pressure rises and it's immediately clear that "I'm home".
That's an interesting map you chose there for the thumbnail 💀
I am always trying to come up with something that will catch an eye
Focusing on the case of France there are few points to take into consideration.
1. The legacy of the past: permanent seat at UN Security Council, nuclear warheads and several territories around the world (French Guyana landmass is bigger than Portugal) with a large negative cost/benefit balance.
2. An elite which is aligned with US interests since around 2 decades... hence a little less than Germany or the UK.
3. A relation with Russia/USSR that was never so negative because Germany/Eastern Europe were a buffer in the past and the historical ennemy of France was always either Britain or Germany... and now the former colonies.
4. I don't buy the narrative that France clings to its former Empire. It was always more a cost than a benefit and served mostly internal political goals... see the situation in Mayotte right now.
5. The French army keeps some strength because of constant use overseas but more than 50% of its budget goes to nuclear detterance. Besides, the "race war" we see in the society spillsover in the Army (remember Yugoslav army in the late 1980s).
Good work though and very interesting to follow !
Canadabro here again. I'm still a eurosceptic at heart, but I am willing to hear your arguments in that possibly future video you allude to. What about the V4? Even in a modest capacity as a defence pact, does it have any bearing on politics at all beyond trying to form a political clique inside the EU itself?
I will talk about the future of Eastern Europe in my next video! As for the V4, people tend to overestimate its internal cohesion. It is a very valuable pact when it comes to pushing certain common interests in the EU (for example during the migratin crisis, possibly even the Green deal policies), but otherwise, the V4 countries have very different geopolitical interests.
22:30 The vocal minority talking about some hellhole shouldn't even be taken under consideration in this video... Those views are not supported by the IPCC reports.
What I see happening is one or the other side using the views of extremists as bullet points for the other side. This isn't something that is taken under consideration by the legislators but people insist on the fact that it is...
love this channel
26:10 How can someone guarantee that the current economic state of the world is the one we have to follow in the next 100, 200, 1000 years to progress as a civilization? Because I definitely do not see it in this or the next century.
Great video
great videos man!
Thank you!
Just to explain, EU is confederation in development as well as European Economic Area.
You shouldn't underestimate how much people all over the world are beginning to resent the actions of American geopolitical foreign policies and the culture war nonsense. Whilst America will still dominate culturally and economically for now, I personally question how much does GDP really matter compared to PPP (Personal Purchasing Power). Most of America's cultural influences stem from European and African migrants. But here's the thing, the newest young Hollywood actors and American pop stars are no longer hyper global superstars. Woke movie franchises have been doing terribly and the new Ariel mermaid movie (which had a black CG actress) had China’s censors change her back to her original white girl with red hair! 😂 America's pop culture has stagnated completely. Instead Korean pop culture has exploded like Squid Game.
At this point both USA & China have peaked. Both
Both USA & China have been leaning towards protectionist measures (Trump’s policies) such as banning international imports and relying upon their superpower status to coast them through these rocky times.
The days of your Elon Musk entrepreneurs flying to USA to make his tech startups might be over. The shifting demographics are arguably worse there than in Europe. I mean the Latin Americans are more woke than conservative, which could dramatically change America's infrastructure from a free market hegemon to a Northern Hispanic socialist disaster state. China’s population will decline and their threats to invade Taiwan and their actions against Uighurs, Hong Kongers and Tibetans has been noted by outsiders.
Europe has been declining, but Eastern Europe might have a chance of success with the chaos going on.
USA's actions in Iraq, Afghanistan and potentially Ukraine have been disastrous. American citizens- right and left wing- have grown tired of seeing their govt of spending huge expenditure on their military, when their homeless and inequality issues have worsened excessively
It will never cease to amaze me that a dark skinned person could ever be this racist towards the immigrants ?! U have some interesting ideas but u surely pretty often r way over the line!! Do u live in India or Europe??
I am Czech person living in the Czech Republic :D I am so dark skinned that when I spend 3 hours without t-shirt on the sun, I get red as a fucking tomato. It is really interesting that my accent sounds Indian to people, but it is just thick Western Slavic accent. And what did I say that you have found racist?
They are not mere immigrants. Stop using these false euphemisms for imported 3rd world settlers.
The most important point made is that Europe needs to change and change at the member state levels is how this can be done.
And the external danger is now wider than across the channel or over the border.
Yes! We would love to have money to spend on our people and infrastructure.
On defense I think you have in general a very good analysis, however I also think that the 2% target is a bit of a red herring. Consider the total military spending of the European Union and what can be achieved with it. It is certainly more than enough to deter Russia. The problem then is in the way this spending is organised through separate states with separate hypocritical foreign policies. Notice how an actual united foreign policy could never possibly disregard half the Union's interests, but any particular state has skewed interests if we care about the overall welfare of Europe. Furthermore a large German military and security umbrella could also increase the influence of Germany and create further political imbalances, which more unified command would not.
As for the economy, while I do think that overregulation can be a problem, I think we can't focus on the EU in isolation. The EU regulating markets does not necessarily mean that without this regulation there would be less regulation or bureaucracy. That these regulations are passed show widespread national support. EU regulations are at the very least standard, or directives at least harmonise national legislation, which is far preferable to the red tape and fragmented market created by distinct national protections. Whether the regulations ought to be lighter is a fair question, but common regulation is undoubtedly less burdensome than national regulations.
I'm also genuinely kind of shocked how dismissive you seem to be of protecting our environment. Even from the most right wing perspective defense of our nature is defense of the homeland. There's no justifiable reason why we should want to see fossil fuels being burned or chemicals leaking into the environment or any other such poisoning of our nature.
On this front I would actually argue that EU policy is, at least in principle, fully rational. Putting a price on GHGs is economically sound policy as it makes producers accountable for negative externalities. Negative externalities which can actually end up being far more harmful to society even economically than what benefit they bring to private individuals. While on other topics I'm an amateur, economics is legitimately my field and I really can't stress this enough.
You are of course correct that this has a the effect of companies attempting to game the system by producing elsewhere, thus avoiding the additional costs while still selling to the European market. Now sure one can simply concede to companies, accept that multinationals are simply more powerful than nations and governments and let them destroy our environment. However is not making them accountable for their emissions a much better method? Yes, it's economic protectionism, which has been unfashionable in our neoliberal globalised world, but while free trade is generally good, we certainly don't have to allow total free trade with countries that undercut us with irresponsibly lax regulation. If anything we also ought to be pushing them to adopt more responsible legislation, but the first step would still be to stop our industries from using such loopholes, and indeed protecting our industry from such competition.
While implementing emissions trading without corresponding environmental protectionism was probably a mistake, implementing the latter now is still a valid solution and really what ought to have been done in the first place. These laws work perfectly in tandem.
On the last topic I think we clearly do need to find identity and meaning in Europe, and we do need to realise that we are in ideological and geopolitical competition with half the world, which alone ought to imbue us with purpose for protecting our ideals and way of life, not to mention a world order we take for granted. I don't have all the answers, but one thing I do believe for certain is that we'll never reverse the decline divided as we are, or worse in competition with one another (aside from more competitive markets which is a different matter). The centre of the world is no longer Europe, the countries that matter are no longer German and French empires, they are the United States, China, eventually India. No European country can hope for anything more than a Britain-like junior situation on their own. Yet on just about every metric the European Union ought to roughly rival countries like China and the US. Thus if those resources can be mobilised by a united administration, Europe can yet experience a revival. It is certainly that, or as you predict, a slow decline. Given that I find said decline unacceptable, and even if inevitable I would prefer we give it our all and are remembered for going down with honour, for me at least there's only one future worth contemplating.
Thank you for your insight! I am unfortunately unable to answer all your points due to time reasons, but I love to read them.
@@kaiserbauch9092 Quite understandable. It's nevertheless good to know they are appreciated!
I am just going to poke at your environment claim.
From my understanding Europe just loves exporting their environmental destruction. It's annoying to hear them talk about protecting it when they fund it's destruction across the globe in other nations with less strict regulations. From oil, to rare earth materials whatever.
@Viktátor 420 Basically, Europe will pass all these laws to protect their local environments all while its governments, citizens, and companies will fund the destruction of nations around the world. That just irritates me so much.
This is more or less spot geopolitical analysis, well done. See my other comment below.
We need to start thinking now beyond the eu, the new groups that will form, the re establishment of national democracy and free trade and military pacts.
Got some good academic resources on this?
What precisely do you mean?
@@kaiserbauch9092 If I were to study this, where should I begin?
I live in Spain. Spain has a population of 55 million. Entrepreurs + self employed + working for the private sector are 16 million.
So basically 16 million paying for 39 million. When I tell this, people answer that the countries with most self employed people relative to population are Somalia and Cameroon and ask me whether I would like to emulate those countries instead of Germany or Denmark.
That's when I realize that don't know about the rest of Europe, but at least Spain is doomed.
That's absolutely insane! Best of luck, I hope your situation improves 😢 love from the US
Spain has 47.5 Million People. Not 55 Million
I have decided not to have children not due to world climate, or due to money, but due to the current society itself. Not only Im not willing to participate in it any more than I have to in order to just survive, but Im perfectly OK with its end. It deeply disgust me, and it will not be missed by me if it crumbles.
Mashallah brother.
and so do I
And with this attitude, your line will die out. Well done coward
Excellent analysis.
Thank you very much!