Is China's economy in serious trouble? | Counting the Cost

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  • čas přidán 25. 06. 2024
  • China was expected to experience a rip-roaring recovery after it lifted strict COVID-19 restrictions.
    But almost a year after the measures ended, the Chinese economy seems to be stumbling.
    Prices have fallen. Exports and imports have plummeted. Unemployment has risen. And the real estate crisis has deepened.
    The sentiment is so bad that foreign investors fled the stock market last week.
    The situation could get even worse after the nation's biggest property developer, Evergrande, was ordered to liquidate.
    Tech giants are making big profits, but they are laying off thousands of workers.
    Plus, poly-employment is on the rise.
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Komentáře • 481

  • @robbychin-a-loi7292
    @robbychin-a-loi7292 Před 4 měsíci +67

    We should not forget that she lives in Hong Kong and thus has to choose her words carefully.

    • @TheDaftySage
      @TheDaftySage Před 4 měsíci +5

      Ok, but why go do an interview like this then.

    • @robbychin-a-loi7292
      @robbychin-a-loi7292 Před 4 měsíci +2

      @@TheDaftySage Well that's how people are😀

    • @michaelrenper796
      @michaelrenper796 Před 4 měsíci +1

      @@TheDaftySage A biased or filtered opinion is still useful information if you know the bias. I sometimes read news sources with a very strong bias, with which I do not agree, but I can still extract information out of this.

    • @robbychin-a-loi7292
      @robbychin-a-loi7292 Před 4 měsíci

      @pa_2600 🤣🤣😂😂

    • @intothemoat
      @intothemoat Před 4 měsíci

      By that logic, any positive sentiment on China is false and only negative sentiment is true. Right, sheep?

  • @mikeshoults4155
    @mikeshoults4155 Před 4 měsíci +42

    Evergrande is just one of many.
    The ENTIRE Chinese real estate industry follows the same flawed model.
    The writing is on the wall. The entire house of cards is falling down.

    • @banban3591
      @banban3591 Před 4 měsíci +2

      Sorry to tell you, the Chinese government has started to solve the problem, very smart way.

    • @rogerfaint499
      @rogerfaint499 Před 4 měsíci

      But US' housing problem is 100 times worse and yet no mention from you?

    • @fintech1378
      @fintech1378 Před 4 měsíci

      Like your momma

    • @2ry1n
      @2ry1n Před 4 měsíci

      ​@@rogerfaint499
      Worse? Not enough inventory is different from oversupply and unfinished highrises.

  • @TheDaftySage
    @TheDaftySage Před 4 měsíci +32

    She is a chief economist at a bank? Everyone, pull your money out of this bank immediately. 😳

    • @AtarahMata
      @AtarahMata Před 4 měsíci

      Lmaooo, one property developer fails and US media tries to create negative speculation in China. But 3 US banks fail and no news ahahahahahahaha

  • @senm6115
    @senm6115 Před 4 měsíci +64

    So this is precisely the reason US is not cutting interest rates yet. China will see a lot more capital outflows in the months to come.

    • @ryanwalters6184
      @ryanwalters6184 Před 4 měsíci +15

      Rates are not even high in the USA. It's also booming here from all the companies moving back.

    • @deerbeau
      @deerbeau Před 4 měsíci +5

      @@ryanwalters6184Not even high? According to Bloomberg, US Debt Interest Bill Rockets Past a Cool $1 Trillion a Year.

    • @tonysu8860
      @tonysu8860 Před 4 měsíci +13

      Although high US interest rates are cutting Russia and China deeply by ensuring international capital markets have no interest in those countries, I assure you that those are merely side effects and not the central purpose of US economic policy. US economic policy is entirely based on domestic issues. and the US Fed has been trying to make it very hard for US businesses and consumers to borrow money to pay just about any price for goods and services. The American Consumer is doing so well willing to buy stuff at pre-Pandemic levels that businesses are strongly motivated to borrow to feed that Consumer appetite so the Fed is preventing that from happening to fight inflation.
      US economic policy makers are not dreaming up ways to screw up China and Russia, they have their attention 100% on what the US economy needs.

    • @ryanwalters6184
      @ryanwalters6184 Před 4 měsíci

      @@deerbeau who does that pay to? That just boosts the gdp.

    • @deerbeau
      @deerbeau Před 4 měsíci

      ⁠@@ryanwalters6184Yeah, it can only boost the GDP and last forever without consequences. You’re full of bullsh*t.

  • @doughooper9918
    @doughooper9918 Před 4 měsíci +3

    6 trillion lost from the market. Another 1,5 trillion lost from failed belt and road initiatives. Youth unemployment surging. Foreign companies have all left. Sanctions put on the chip markets from the US. And demographics beginning to collapse. Not to mention the ever tightening of freedoms by the government. Things do not look good for China. We are witnessing an epic economic collapse.

    • @Jose-og909
      @Jose-og909 Před 2 měsíci

      Says the guy in the CZcams comments who knows jack about economics lol.

  • @KelzangDorji
    @KelzangDorji Před 4 měsíci +14

    According to the west, China's economy has been in serious trouble for the last 15 years lol

    • @ksrawat88
      @ksrawat88 Před 4 měsíci +5

      Al Jaljeera is not west 😂

    • @icu17siberia
      @icu17siberia Před 4 měsíci +1

      This is a Middle East outlet though

    • @Houthiandtheblowfish
      @Houthiandtheblowfish Před 4 měsíci +4

      @@ksrawat88 al jazieera is in the same building as the previous bbc its just rebranded for regional taste

  • @Robert-sd1iz
    @Robert-sd1iz Před 4 měsíci +56

    Seems like a wildly optimistic analysis from Garcia-Herrero. Time will tell.

    • @chris5248
      @chris5248 Před 4 měsíci +8

      Agree my view is a lot more pessimistic. This is just the beginning of the downturn which will last many years.

    • @HKim0072
      @HKim0072 Před 4 měsíci +16

      She's based out of HK. She's not allowed to speak freely about the CCP economy. It's against national security laws.
      _She is the Chief Economist for Asia Pacific at French investment bank Natixis, based in Hong Kong and is an independent Board Member of AGEAS insurance group._

    • @schloops8473
      @schloops8473 Před 4 měsíci

      all data coming from the ccp or organisms that the ccp can hurt will be complete lies.

    • @user-if1ur5td1x
      @user-if1ur5td1x Před 4 měsíci

      Bette than you anti china losers

    • @ninojanjeremygo463
      @ninojanjeremygo463 Před 4 měsíci

      If you're in China "you're not free to tell any negative about China's economy", it's not a secret, it's CCP's directives. China was infamous with being dishonest and fabricating their data.

  • @shichenyang8147
    @shichenyang8147 Před 4 měsíci +16

    Stock market is not an indicator for CHINA's economy.

    • @Elixir9
      @Elixir9 Před 3 měsíci +1

      No It's much worse

  • @alrivas1477
    @alrivas1477 Před 4 měsíci +6

    LOL China GDP grew by 5.2% LOLOLOL ya right. Says who ? Oh China. Next tell us Russia's GDP.

  • @popcorn6931
    @popcorn6931 Před 4 měsíci +22

    so nobody saw this coming? what about all those ghost cities which accumulated over the years?

    • @bullpup1337
      @bullpup1337 Před 4 měsíci +1

      everyone looking closely at China saw it coming.

    • @mikeshoults4155
      @mikeshoults4155 Před 4 měsíci

      Exactly.......they have been bullying people into accepting this beautiful lie...the lie is now exposed

    • @heroes8844
      @heroes8844 Před 4 měsíci +2

      @@bullpup1337 smart people saw it coming because they know what not to trust.

    • @TheDaftySage
      @TheDaftySage Před 4 měsíci

      When they say nobody, they mean people like this woman here.

  • @user-xb8kz2my7d
    @user-xb8kz2my7d Před 4 měsíci +5

    all these naysayers, uk was in decade of negative equity plus so much default. did uk when bust? also if china tank, the whole world go into recession. and usa will b the worse of the lot. that is why usa is exporting war everywhere. they r trying their best to avoid doing a greece

    • @heroes8844
      @heroes8844 Před 4 měsíci +1

      why the world go into recession when u can move out of china instead =).

  • @gazpacho1234
    @gazpacho1234 Před 4 měsíci +17

    Owning real estate property is a major and sometimes sole retirement-fund investment for over 100,000,000 in China, significantly effecting more people than invest in Chinese stocks and bonds for retirement fund.

    • @brawhite6157
      @brawhite6157 Před 4 měsíci +1

      The main property of more than 70% of households is a house

    • @davidz7858
      @davidz7858 Před 4 měsíci +1

      You do not know China. Not like Americans, For example if you make $120,000 salary, your monthly income is $10,000, but if you do not have any retirement saving, after retirement your income will reduce to around $3,000 from social security. But in China, most moderate salary people, after retirement, their social security benefit matches their previous salary or even more than their working salary.

    • @brawhite6157
      @brawhite6157 Před 4 měsíci

      Many people in China do not have basic medical insurance, pensions, let alone Chinese Premier Li Keqiang once said that 600 million people in China earn $150 a month. Suffering can be seen everywhere on this continent.

    • @notowokeism2418
      @notowokeism2418 Před 4 měsíci +2

      ​@@brawhite6157 healthcare in China is free.

    • @laosasean8482
      @laosasean8482 Před 4 měsíci

      @@brawhite6157 What about 27 millions American people without health insurance and accessible into the basic health care.🥸

  • @EpicLoLs89
    @EpicLoLs89 Před 4 měsíci +14

    Don’t bite the hand that feeds you.

  • @RacerX1971
    @RacerX1971 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Yes it is...not only apartments, condos, buildings and shopping centers sitting idle and rotting away but millions of cars are also sitting idle and rotting. People cant afford the payments anymore, jobs are getting scares. Lots of manufacturing have moved to Mexico and now they have become the USA number 1 trade partner. Its what the Chinese get...got greedy, they bully small nations..its karma in the making.😂😂😂

  • @user-gu1ti9me6i
    @user-gu1ti9me6i Před 4 měsíci +16

    Is America in debt of upwards of 34 trillion?

    • @rodders7744
      @rodders7744 Před 4 měsíci +14

      Yes. And anyone over there is free to say what they want about it. Are Chinese people free to do the same about their economy?

    • @user-gu1ti9me6i
      @user-gu1ti9me6i Před 4 měsíci +5

      @@rodders7744 Yes they're so free that they can't even properly define what a woman is. That's what liberty has given them.

    • @2ry1n
      @2ry1n Před 4 měsíci

      What about the debt?

    • @PeterSedesse
      @PeterSedesse Před 4 měsíci +4

      The debt in the US isn't really that bad. The interest % we pay on the debt is less than the GDP growth of the country right now. Also a big part of our debt came under Trump, most of which was to help us get through Covid... and if you look at Germany and China, economically we definitely got through much better than they did.

    • @user-bl9fj7kf1s
      @user-bl9fj7kf1s Před 4 měsíci

      Debt is not a problem as long as you have the ability to repay it. Most people who talk about this number have no clue about economics. The US is the strongest and richest country in the world and no one comes close.

  • @sdaiwepm
    @sdaiwepm Před 4 měsíci +8

    3:47 I think this misses the point. Many of those people never planned to move in. Real estate is the traditional "investment" in China. Of course, the collapse of real-estate values will be devastating.

  • @JonesJones-np2kq
    @JonesJones-np2kq Před 4 měsíci +9

    In the tech sector, you have what’s called employee farming! Giving a highly specialized job to an individual, you had employees at Google (engineers), and all they did was create buttons for people to click on with an app!

    • @heroes8844
      @heroes8844 Před 4 měsíci +1

      still dont get what u mean. What do u mean create button for people to click? care to give an example?

    • @JonesJones-np2kq
      @JonesJones-np2kq Před 4 měsíci

      @@heroes8844 let's say you wanna sign up for Gmail, you need to somehow click a button to initiate the wizard/process for creating a new email account. Generally, that entire process could be vetted out with just maybe three or four engineers. That have general knowledge on databases, security, front end web. They would have knowledge across those perspective domains. Work together to put that process into place.

  • @syedadeelhussain2691
    @syedadeelhussain2691 Před 4 měsíci

    This trend of investing in physical assets started with SE Asia and later moved on to the Gulf, where sporadic investments were made into real estate sectors, sparking the geospatial led investment planning revolution.
    Later, other economies tried to catch up, but, we saw how excess supply can lead to shareholder value destruction.

  • @cparliam
    @cparliam Před 4 měsíci +25

    This is definitely a Pollyanna view of the Chinese economy. Maybe she knows not to say too much.

    • @HKim0072
      @HKim0072 Před 4 měsíci +3

      Yeap, CCP laws are transferrable to Hong Kong now. Talking bad about the CCP economy is breaking the law in CCP China thus in HK as well.

  • @tonysu8860
    @tonysu8860 Před 4 měsíci +13

    Not impressed with either the host or the interview with economist Alicia Herrera.
    I'm sure she's bright but the discussion had no dept and was contradictory at times without explanation.
    She said she feared for China's inflation woes.
    A couple minutes later, she feared for China's deflation prospects.
    You can't have both at the same time. Maybe she's talking about different parts of China's economy? No one can know because it wasn't explored.
    She also never discussed specifics like what reforms she favors.
    She like many other economists don't describe the contradiction between China's usual GDP growth and the incredible freeze and devaluation of many of China's economic sectors including retail, export manufacturing and of course the real estate property market. Maybe the high tech industry is holding up the overall national GDP figure on its own but maybe not.
    Basically, this Al Jazeera episode is no better than, and could be considered inferior to others reporting on the same topics.

    • @TomTomicMic
      @TomTomicMic Před 4 měsíci

      Inflation from importing goods at higher prices for food and energy and raw materials and deflation caused by nobody buying Chinese goods so manufacturers have to drop their prices. China have not had much of a charm offensive, more like a beligerance offensive to its biggest trade surplus customers and its near neighbours, it's economy has 57 Trillion USD of total debt and is in a pickle as property it's main economic driver has gone kaput and it will not return to the levels it was, it requires a reset to 10 to 15% of GDP and not 25 to 30%, also housing prices need a major reset downwards, it has not reached the bottom, prices are rigged higher by CCP legislation. The stock market is being rigged by CCP manipulation by imposing strict rules on how people access their capital and it is directing Chinese companies to buy and hold stock, it's not leaving the market free, it has also been manipulating it's currency to keep it at a certain level, local governments need a new funding model and that doesn't even exist yet. China is a big avoid for investors, its cheap but for a reason, Japan has better prospects than China that's why Chinese citizens are buying the stock in vast numbers!?!

    • @ainz1325
      @ainz1325 Před 4 měsíci

      6 trillion out from the stock market in just 3 yrs 😂😂 it will just get worse their wumao so u wait 😂

  • @txr8565
    @txr8565 Před 4 měsíci +3

    The worst yet come.

  • @ScottPerkinsLCMT
    @ScottPerkinsLCMT Před 4 měsíci +8

    Sad cant get basic facts right. Evergrande was not the largest property develper they were second or third. Country Garden was the largest developer.

    • @maxpower8429
      @maxpower8429 Před 4 měsíci

      What’s going on with that 1? Was happy to hear the evergrand ceo was arrested, what’s going on with country gardens ceo?

    • @r.l.8170
      @r.l.8170 Před 4 měsíci

      @@maxpower8429 Country gardens executives took massive pay cuts, as high as 96% so they don't get their butts in prison. Plus country garden's ceo and biggest shareholder transfer a lot of their personal shares to a charity controlled by family members. Yes, the left hand is passing to the right hand money... Sneaky sneaky...

  • @detectiveofmoneypolitics
    @detectiveofmoneypolitics Před 4 měsíci

    Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is following this informative content cheers Frank 😊

  • @jeffreyjackson5229
    @jeffreyjackson5229 Před 4 měsíci +1

    While I am no economist or politician, looking at both areas simultaneously, this is what I see: there are those who knew the effect that the tariffs and the collective pullout of so many international companies would have.
    However, it will reach further than just China. With this nation being the second largest economy in the world, what effect will all this have globally? The global effect is the objective.

  • @ck3919
    @ck3919 Před 4 měsíci +1

    people have been saying China's economy is in serious trouble for decades now...

    • @trevor3013
      @trevor3013 Před 4 měsíci

      Yea because they saw the foundation china was putting down. All the sudden the foundation started to shake. While I understand what you mean, we have never seen china's economy behave this way before. This is pure evidence of the problems whereas before it was just conjecture. China released this data itself and even then we all know they like to paint over their numbers to make it seem less disorderly

    • @2ry1n
      @2ry1n Před 4 měsíci

      The CCP has been hiding a failed economy for decades.

  • @justinwolf7490
    @justinwolf7490 Před 4 měsíci +10

    Yes it’s in bad shape. The real estate market has overbuilt by 1 billion homes and the ones that people bought have not been completed. They build the ones they don’t need skimming money and making these houses very unsturdy to get free money from the buyers that already paid. It’s a scheme. There is no demand for anymore houses to be built though maybe forever. The government can’t bail it out even though they will try. The real estate market won’t recover possibly ever. This is only one of the 10 things going on in China that is catastrophic for the economy. If you have any money anywhere in China, get it out now while you still can.

    • @johngate70
      @johngate70 Před 4 měsíci +4

      Can you provide the source for the 1 billion overbuilt home figure you mentioned?

    • @fintech1378
      @fintech1378 Před 4 měsíci

      Huge problem like your life?

  • @user-lj6sp5gf1g
    @user-lj6sp5gf1g Před 4 měsíci +2

    Pulling out business in massive
    What do you think happened to your country ....
    USA japan south Korean and Europe business exudos pull out thier business.....
    World awake on Chinese lies and description

  • @gf5617
    @gf5617 Před 4 měsíci +1

    China is embarrassed of its historic failings.
    Look at the math- USA 300yo v China 4000yo
    China is nothing without the world.
    Chinas marketing is also plain and stupid.

  • @CHixon
    @CHixon Před 4 měsíci +7

    Slashing bank reserves to release cash is "kicking the can down the road" and will sharpen the imminent collapse. It doesn't placate overseas investment, just allows the leaders to grab that cash, take it out of the country to set up their exile.

  • @Buttersausage
    @Buttersausage Před 4 měsíci +5

    America is enjoying economic prosperity

    • @mimimama-vt9hm
      @mimimama-vt9hm Před 4 měsíci

      Enjoying with 35 trilyun debt😂😂

    • @doughooper9918
      @doughooper9918 Před 4 měsíci

      ​@@mimimama-vt9hm 1/3 of that debt was created by trump

  • @lostindixie
    @lostindixie Před 4 měsíci +2

    To quote King Lear, "The worst is not, so long as we say THIS is the worst."

  • @anotherelvis
    @anotherelvis Před 4 měsíci +3

    The Chinese auto industry is doing fine though.

  • @Bicloptic
    @Bicloptic Před 4 měsíci +2

    She keeps going back to Japan haha. If you haven’t noticed Japan is a rich country. China is not.

    • @alfredhitchcock45
      @alfredhitchcock45 Před 4 měsíci

      China is richer than Japan

    • @YourHineyness
      @YourHineyness Před 4 měsíci

      Per capita? No. Not even close. Japan $33,815. China $12,541---Wikipedia@@alfredhitchcock45

  • @briankelly5637
    @briankelly5637 Před 4 měsíci +5

    Natixis lady . Gather she is based in HK ?
    Any reason at all to believe she can tell the truth

    • @tsgu8728
      @tsgu8728 Před 4 měsíci +1

      Likely. Hence she has no balls to say it like it is. Natixis gets to keep their office there 😏

  • @henryhwu4784
    @henryhwu4784 Před 4 měsíci

    Surgeon,38 years in active practice, last 7 years between 3 to 4 jobs, 2 of them active surgical practices between Southern California and northern New Mexico, the other two for consulting,quality review.

  • @Ex.zed.
    @Ex.zed. Před 4 měsíci +2

    Sweet!

  • @Stephen2142
    @Stephen2142 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Pls shorten your initial music introduction. It's too long!

  • @davidgamer321
    @davidgamer321 Před 4 měsíci +1

    China economy will not be in serious trouble in compared to the west. Why? Because it’s a mix of state owned companies and private companies. Most of the state owned companies are in good shape and they control the key part of economy like banks, insurance , utility plus many important major industries.
    Remember, China has over billions of population. Only two countries in the world can say that. China already lifted many poor in years ago. Middle income are growing to few hundred millions. Not to mention about more super rich and mega rich.
    China also has the most foreign reserves including gold in the world.
    When we said China is trouble why China still have growth , maybe not as much in the past, compared to most countries including the west is negative growth ?
    China is now under going a transformation to high end industries and building up a domestic market. To me as a business man. I think some correction is good. The world can’t keep growing without stopping. Rocket high real estate prices is not good for business. A stable growth is much better. Over borrowing and expending crazily also not right.
    The world economy is not good and it’s affecting each other. It’s important for US and China working together peacefully. It definitely good for everyone on the planet. By provoking , sanctioning and decoupling are not going to work!

  • @califomia
    @califomia Před 4 měsíci +1

    Unwatchable with that music. Looking for another source.

  • @tengchuankhoo6585
    @tengchuankhoo6585 Před 4 měsíci +1

    On the hand, US economy is being supported by massive debts while its equity market is partying

    • @doughooper9918
      @doughooper9918 Před 4 měsíci

      Trump added 1/3 to the countries debt in 4 years

    • @YourHineyness
      @YourHineyness Před 4 měsíci

      And Biden is adding more. So?@@doughooper9918

  • @madworld6801
    @madworld6801 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Yes, because they are tied to the dollar

  • @jctai100
    @jctai100 Před 4 měsíci +1

    This host with his leading questions! Really going for that 'end of China' sound bite huh?🤣🤣

  • @AdamWest-qp3yp
    @AdamWest-qp3yp Před 4 měsíci +5

    Maybe don’t flex on your wealthiest customers and we wouldn’t be pulling hundreds of billions out of your economy 😂 they forgot you can’t grow without American money.

  • @brandonbe5351
    @brandonbe5351 Před 4 měsíci +3

    Umm it's been in trouble.....where have you been?

    • @TheDaftySage
      @TheDaftySage Před 4 měsíci

      Drunk or asleep. Doesn't really matter, she clearly wasn't at work.

  • @wendyhoh1244
    @wendyhoh1244 Před 4 měsíci

    If China cannot get to $25,000 per capital when their market was full steam ahead, what makes her think that they can do it with economic slow down and real estate disaster? Some Chinese are paying mortgages for housing that will never be built, thanks to the country's poor housing and banking policies.

  • @user-ew3mq3jy4y
    @user-ew3mq3jy4y Před 4 měsíci +1

    🎉🎉🎉Congratulations 🎉

  • @Buttersausage
    @Buttersausage Před 4 měsíci +5

    That economy is a BIG JOKE LOL

  • @thevindictive6145
    @thevindictive6145 Před 4 měsíci +19

    China economy in serious trouble, but the economy only grew at 5.3%😅😅😅. Developed economies can only dream of hitting that level of growth.

    • @julianbrown3668
      @julianbrown3668 Před 4 měsíci +9

      Correct me if iam wrong but China is known for cutting the books and not being forth coming about the economy

    • @thevindictive6145
      @thevindictive6145 Před 4 měsíci

      @@julianbrown3668 yes and they eat unwanted babies as well usually made in a big couldron. And they stir it with a large stick.

    • @user-ll7lf9pg1t
      @user-ll7lf9pg1t Před 4 měsíci +2

      @@julianbrown3668 You are not wrong, their economy growth is normally actually higher than reported if measured by PPP.

    • @auggieeast
      @auggieeast Před 4 měsíci +2

      China doesn't measure growth after the year is over like Western economies. The government picks a number, then it's up to the provinces to make it happen, and if they don't, they still report back that they did. It's a fictional number. No country with 5% growth would be seeing all the problems China is suffering right now.

    • @taterkaze9428
      @taterkaze9428 Před 4 měsíci +2

      China's economy is shrinking. Property construction and related industries are contracting, exports down, retail/restaurant apocalypse, small manufacturing decimated, mass unemployment, etc. If the economy was growing civil servants across the country wouldn't be taking pay cuts. The CCP lies about everything, especially unemployment and GDP growth.

  • @PureBadBreath
    @PureBadBreath Před 4 měsíci +1

    Unfortunately this lady has underestimated the challenges in China's banking sector, the relative poorness of average Chinese GDP per capita vs Japan at the same stage. Moreover, the key difference is that Japan did not suffer from political divergence with Western economies, China does, so its overhangs with ine child policy, massive debts, ageing demographics amongst other concurrent policy conflicts means it is even worse than Japan in rhe late 80s.

    • @skydragon23101979
      @skydragon23101979 Před 4 měsíci

      Yup Japan didn’t suffer policy divergence they just weren’t able to withstand US sanctions on chip exports and the plaza accord. Those are the 2 major factors that economist miss when talking about China’s economy. Because China withstood US sanctions their economy will be able to grow on innovation and new tech sectors, plus with BRI, China’s exports do not just go to the west they include other countries and with the sanctions on Russia you have basically handed the Russian entire market on a dinner plate to China. With China being the number one car exporter and BYD sales exceeding Tesla, plus Huawei Mate 60 pro and the Chinese own domestic plane in production, China has plenty of growth industries.

    • @user-xd9ss7ru7m
      @user-xd9ss7ru7m Před 4 měsíci +1

      The existing economic data is completely different from what you said, and the world today is also completely different from the 1980s. The West is no longer a force that can completely dominate the world.

  • @HGoyas
    @HGoyas Před 4 měsíci

    Host: so, AI is the problem?
    Interviewee: No, the interest is.
    Host: ok, so are you telling about AI?!
    Interviewee: NO, interest.
    Host: ok, ok, AI. Got it
    🙄😏

  • @steveeuphrates-river7342
    @steveeuphrates-river7342 Před 4 měsíci

    Haha... US unemployment is still 3.7%. "Thousands of layoffs"- when the base is 167 million- is not significant.

  • @deebil8099
    @deebil8099 Před 4 měsíci

    Foreign investors should be paid back first and made whole plus interest. The people in China that paid for homes and will never receive it, too bad for them.

  • @mutou000
    @mutou000 Před 4 měsíci +3

    When China's economy not in trouble for past 30 years? The economists saying this for 30 years

  • @Winter_Jasmine
    @Winter_Jasmine Před 4 měsíci

    Nope!!

  • @JonesJones-np2kq
    @JonesJones-np2kq Před 4 měsíci +9

    AI plays no role in layoffs in the tech sector. If you’ve ever seen AI attempt to create a snippet of code it’s laughable.

  • @sammak424
    @sammak424 Před 4 měsíci

    many commentators here waiting and desperately hoping the chinese economy collapse. But these people will be disappointed. To judge a country economy, a few negative factors will not collapse an economy. Real estate is important but not dead sentence. If it is, the chinese government sure will bail them. Which country does not face problems? most important is the overall development and government policy.

  • @jbrown6367
    @jbrown6367 Před 4 měsíci +9

    Wut???
    🤔
    The biggest impact of the real estate bust is all the Chinese subjects who have seen their life savings evaporate.

    • @duncankowable
      @duncankowable Před 4 měsíci +1

      Homelessness is a less of a problem due to the glut of houses. Biden might want to consider moving the San Francisco homeless people there.

    • @r.l.8170
      @r.l.8170 Před 4 měsíci

      China solve the homeless issue for the world. All we need to do is have a 1 way trip to send all homeless from every country to China for permanent residency...

    • @sunperxi
      @sunperxi Před 4 měsíci

      房地产泡沫破裂最大的好处是未来所有中国人不再需要倾尽所有去买房。

  • @jkardez4794
    @jkardez4794 Před 4 měsíci +4

    When one man is running the show and he is not educated . Same in Russia , Brazil, Argentina...

  • @jodu626
    @jodu626 Před 4 měsíci +1

    hmmm that is a very very very optimistic view of the chinese economy. i’m guessing she’s under orders

    • @TheDaftySage
      @TheDaftySage Před 4 měsíci

      It's more likely that she is really incompetent.

  • @garrytrinh3062
    @garrytrinh3062 Před 4 měsíci

    It's fine. Nothing to see here.

  • @sharathg4386
    @sharathg4386 Před 4 měsíci +3

    China will occupy Pakistan,,Maldives 😂😂

    • @stevewilson4718
      @stevewilson4718 Před 4 měsíci +1

      Myanmar is next Tibet in the making
      China is funding both Military & Rebels.

  • @BeelP.
    @BeelP. Před 4 měsíci

    The stock market is not the economy!

  • @funrecent
    @funrecent Před 4 měsíci

    Hello my dear friend! thank you for the cool video! keep filming! I'll wait for new videos

  • @stopdeforestation
    @stopdeforestation Před 4 měsíci +2

    Anytime adrian is an anchor, i thumbs down & stop the video. He excessively stutters, which is cringey & unprofessional.

  • @awakengyani
    @awakengyani Před 4 měsíci

    Same get reflected to other countries soon and entire financial system will collapse which will lead to new financial system

    • @TheDaftySage
      @TheDaftySage Před 4 měsíci

      Like the new financial system we got after 2008?

  • @banban3591
    @banban3591 Před 4 měsíci +2

    The Chinese government already has a lot of policies on these issues, which have been implemented in many cities. Are you still here yelling, "No, it's going down"?

  • @lostinmuzak
    @lostinmuzak Před 4 měsíci

    Ever-grande unfortunately turned out to be Short-grande. 😀

  • @nathanielsingleton6302
    @nathanielsingleton6302 Před 4 měsíci +4

    Is water wet?🤨

    • @bullpup1337
      @bullpup1337 Před 4 měsíci

      no, but if you say that on the Chinese internet your account might get deleted

  • @rajavishnuvardhana6830
    @rajavishnuvardhana6830 Před 4 měsíci +11

    US companies moving to Vietnam, India from china..

    • @Vikingpoints
      @Vikingpoints Před 4 měsíci

      No more are moving to China. Nobody wants Chinese products in the US anymore

  • @RatTerminator
    @RatTerminator Před 4 měsíci +2

    Yes yes yes!!!😊

  • @HKim0072
    @HKim0072 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Does a bear sh** in the woods?

  • @normantan7796
    @normantan7796 Před 4 měsíci

    Why media kept saying how bad is china and how good is US. Actually it's the reversed how much is US owing? And how much is China's?

  • @normantan7796
    @normantan7796 Před 4 měsíci

    Evergrand is not worth 2 bricks from great wall of China.😂😂😂.

  • @zeviongray6883
    @zeviongray6883 Před 4 měsíci

    一切正在走向数字化……SWFTcoin、XRP、XLM、XDC、HBAR、ALGO、BITcoin 和 VeChain……The world is going digital soon

  • @konsen6149
    @konsen6149 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Garcia should just answer YES or NO whether communist China economy is currently in trouble.
    She never answered by instead talking nonsense all along .because she is not sure what she is talking about
    This session of video with Garcia is wasting my valuable time watching.
    Get lost her

  • @awesome8975
    @awesome8975 Před 3 měsíci

    West is worried in just 300B, china reserve stands at 4T and US still owes China worth 800B.😁

  • @Rachelshmachel63
    @Rachelshmachel63 Před 4 měsíci

    Al jazzera really ? You couldn’t get an economist who didn’t have a heavy Spanish accent ?

    • @YourHineyness
      @YourHineyness Před 4 měsíci

      Yeah, I had to stop listening to her because of that.

  • @psikeyhackr6914
    @psikeyhackr6914 Před 4 měsíci +10

    GDP is Grossly Distorted Propaganda
    How many Ghost Cities are there? That was obviously a problem waiting to burst years ago.
    Where is the data on the annual depreciation of automobiles since Sputnik? Has the London School of Economics ever noticed that Adam Smith wrote "read, write and account" multiple times? He used the word 'education' Eighty Times.
    When have economists suggested that accounting/finance mandatory in high schools?

    • @jctai100
      @jctai100 Před 4 měsíci

      Most of those ghost cities are filled now, but msm will always show one and count the exception as the rule.

  • @abamqc
    @abamqc Před 4 měsíci +6

    Its not about China economy, its through out the world, better do whats only required and also with one's own money , thats the only way for peace and easy way out.

    • @mandarinandthetenrings2201
      @mandarinandthetenrings2201 Před 4 měsíci

      No there is rebellion riots in China.

    • @ryanreedgibson
      @ryanreedgibson Před 4 měsíci

      Not true. In my state I'm still in need of 6000 candidates. This is a Chinese CCP issue!

    • @icu17siberia
      @icu17siberia Před 4 měsíci

      no, with such a large population, thats getting older China has a problem. saying "so does everyone else" is not a solution

  • @ExploreLearnEnglishWithGeorge

    catch 23 - a chinese knock-off of catch 22

  • @yangliauchang272
    @yangliauchang272 Před 4 měsíci

    Yes... Western economists have been talking about the same subject since 2 decades ago...

  • @kicker3595
    @kicker3595 Před 4 měsíci +6

    China still imports the most petrol in the world, a good evidence that China economic is still well.

    • @icu17siberia
      @icu17siberia Před 4 měsíci

      it's become very dependent on other countries for energy, thats true

  • @RealGrandFail
    @RealGrandFail Před 4 měsíci

    The population is dropping 😢

  • @redbeansg
    @redbeansg Před 4 měsíci +1

    China's 40 year turnaround story is being discussed by the West as a miracle. Would China flounder because of a property problem which in many ways is intentional to keep property prices down? China has seen the flaws of high property prices in Hong Kong and Singapore and would not let this to happen in China, leading to fake economic growth but real hardship to the average citizens. Economic growth led by inflating property prices and stock prices is an economy on steroid. Not real growth.
    America's 1% economic growth was hailed as rock solid by western analysts. And this is coupled with a 5% inflation which would make the American economy super rock solid. And the same group of analysts dismissed China's 5% growth as a collapsing economy, even when inflation is nearly zero in China.
    What would the same analysts describe India's 6% growth? Collapsing faster than China or super solid like America's 1% growth?

    • @TheKumbakonam
      @TheKumbakonam Před 4 měsíci

      China is maturing economy while US is matured ..US grew 3.3% last quarter despite many 'analyst' predicted a recession... annual used growth of 2.1% is good...January jobs figure was stellar to say least...same is not about China.. china's market there is outflow of cash...and hude debt Isreal estate sector......China is said to slow more

    • @redbeansg
      @redbeansg Před 4 měsíci

      You believe Biden's 3.3% when US is sanctioning n cutting trades with so many countries, when Boeing n Apple are not selling well? Any fake growth came from a stock market fed with steroids.
      China in debt? It's reserves are more than $3 trillion.
      US no debt? Heard of $34 trillion n growing rapidly?

    • @redbeansg
      @redbeansg Před 4 měsíci

      You believe US economy grew by 3.3% when it was reported that it was heading towards recession?@@TheKumbakonam

    • @TheKumbakonam
      @TheKumbakonam Před 4 měsíci

      @@redbeansg it beat all recession expectation by analyst may be you are in parallel universe where Russia is a economic superpower he he....US economy is resilent

    • @redbeansg
      @redbeansg Před 4 měsíci

      You are living in Hollywood or Bollywood?@@TheKumbakonam

  • @steveeuphrates-river7342
    @steveeuphrates-river7342 Před 4 měsíci

    She's drunk on Chinese tea. She is probably entangled financially and doesn't dare say what she really thinks.

  • @cooldude-bronst
    @cooldude-bronst Před 4 měsíci

    It's true, thank God😅

  • @user-ir9fn5vq9g
    @user-ir9fn5vq9g Před 3 měsíci

    Bank of China Ord Attention to stocks will increase

  • @TheESLtv
    @TheESLtv Před 4 měsíci +4

    All negativity is already priced in ...

    • @bullpup1337
      @bullpup1337 Před 4 měsíci +2

      doubt it - China is still trying to push up the markets with state intervention

  • @anabelyoung4304
    @anabelyoung4304 Před 4 měsíci +9

    Let them poor so that they cannot bully. Invest in democratic country like Philippines, India and allied countries.

    • @user-kc4wb1ce1f
      @user-kc4wb1ce1f Před 4 měsíci

      @pa_2600 Sadly, the only industrial chain the United States can control is Apple.

    • @user-kc4wb1ce1f
      @user-kc4wb1ce1f Před 4 měsíci

      It is a huge joke for medieval countries like India and the Philippines to call themselves democracy.

  • @slumerville
    @slumerville Před 4 měsíci +1

    The host was trying to get her to say China is in crisis and heading into a death spiral. She didn't get the hint 😅

  • @christophermcmasters4649
    @christophermcmasters4649 Před 4 měsíci +14

    I see china doing 30% of manufacturing as a negative. Because cost to manufacture has become too high. Their domestic consumption isnt good enough to keep empty factories going. Chinas entire market is too heavily manipulated to invest in. Long term slow to no growth with a population collapse, rapidly aging with low births. Made in china has always been kind of a synonym for cheap and low quality, but now it means expensive and low quality.

    • @lcg3092
      @lcg3092 Před 4 měsíci +3

      I've been hearing that the Chinese economy is imploding for 5 years now, and their production capacity just keep increasing.
      I believe that if you try to judge China's economy by liberal logic you will always fail to predict anything related to China. To think that the chinese stock market tells you anything is laughable, the only real threat to China is western embargos and sanctions, and not being able to crack the chips market
      And as to quality, it's an objective fact that product quality has greatly improved, and they are even leaders in some areas. To deny that fact to me indicates you are ignoring reality to fit what you want to happen.
      P.S. gotta love the next story, about US "economy" is soaring because of a bullish stock market, driven by tech, which is currently downsizing and fireing people... I for the life of me cannot comprehend how some people still analyze a country's economy like this...

    • @christophermcmasters4649
      @christophermcmasters4649 Před 4 měsíci +5

      @@lcg3092 i think your political views on"liberalism" and nationalism clouds your thinking. Nothing personal just gdp , per capita income population and the chance to make a profit are what i look at when making an investment. Facts not emotions is how you invest.. i dont gamble on long shot dragon miracles.

    • @heroes8844
      @heroes8844 Před 4 měsíci

      @@lcg3092 I dont know how their production capacity just keep increasing when their factories just keep shutting down, when their worker getting payed less than half of what its original salary, unemployment skyrocketed. With a massive withdrawn of investment and no buyers no exports and an increasement of competition across asia like vietnam, india and others.

    • @r.l.8170
      @r.l.8170 Před 4 měsíci

      India and Mexico will replace China as the manufacturing hub of the world.

    • @lcg3092
      @lcg3092 Před 4 měsíci

      @@heroes8844 their average salary has done nothing but increase...

  • @davidjames6295
    @davidjames6295 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Europes whole economy is in serious trouble

  • @eskay2012
    @eskay2012 Před 4 měsíci +4

    It cannot be worst for China as the Chinese had endured and encountered economic hardship before that no one can imagined.

  • @Urdatorn
    @Urdatorn Před 3 měsíci

    A catch 23! A new one :D

  • @PeterSedesse
    @PeterSedesse Před 4 měsíci +17

    The part about layoffs in the USA is completely misleading. Yes, very large companies announced layoffs, but in January 2024, the US economy added 350,000 jobs. If you get laid off from a large company, you immediately have 4 job offers from other companies.

    • @mandarinandthetenrings2201
      @mandarinandthetenrings2201 Před 4 měsíci

      No we are de-globalizing. This happened to the Arabs when in 15th century. Their economy crashed.

    • @jacobmee
      @jacobmee Před 4 měsíci +1

      Completely wrong. You need to see who is doing layoffs, it that’s your strongest company/industry, meaning you’re in trouble.

    • @AnthonyTolhurst-dw1nc
      @AnthonyTolhurst-dw1nc Před 4 měsíci +6

      Stupid gig jobs and part time hustles

    • @PeterSedesse
      @PeterSedesse Před 4 měsíci +2

      @@jacobmee 350,000 jobs were created in Jan 2024. And no, ' the strongest' companies are not ultra large companies, they are smaller companies that are growing.

    • @heroes8844
      @heroes8844 Před 4 měsíci

      thats why america is the #1 ecomony my friends, no matter how salty u are. Rub it in yup yup. Saltiness.

  • @user-jq8ui5ct4g
    @user-jq8ui5ct4g Před 4 měsíci +5

    Sir, I wanna tell you something about Myanmar police. Today 14 Myanmar police came to Bangladesh. If you investigate it will be helpful for Rohingya.

  • @1two3four5sixer
    @1two3four5sixer Před 4 měsíci +1

    Honestly that was a pretty dumb comparison she made with Japanese economy. Japan fully developed before the stagnation, whereas China is still developing. China’s low tech manufacturing is NOT something to be proud of. Every country wants to move away from that and then to high value tech or service economy.

    • @TheDaftySage
      @TheDaftySage Před 4 měsíci

      It's a dumb comparison from a dumb person.

  • @Cristian_M_
    @Cristian_M_ Před 4 měsíci +1

    To obtain financial freedom, one must either be a business owner, an investor or both, generating passive income particularly weekly or monthly basis. That’s the key to living a financially stability......

  • @kennethvenezia4400
    @kennethvenezia4400 Před 4 měsíci

    It's gonna be worse than Japan. I have no idea what china she is looking at. Maybe she's still financially exposed😹

  • @davidz7858
    @davidz7858 Před 4 měsíci +1

    You do not know Chinese, their economy will come back strongly