Peter Zeihan Returns: China, Ukraine, and What Comes Next - Danger Close w/ Jack Carr
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- čas přidán 4. 09. 2024
- Today’s guest is an expert on geopolitics with unique insights into global conflicts.
Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical strategist, renowned author, speaker, and consultant. His work includes analyses of global politics, demographics, and geography to better understand economic, cultural, political, and military developments to predict future trends. His firm Zeihan on Geopolitics provides custom analytical products to an array of clients including energy companies, financial institutions, agricultural interests, and the U.S. military. Zeihan is the New York Times bestselling author: The Accidental Superpower, The Absent Superpower, Disunited Nations, and The End of the World Is Just the Beginning.
Find out more at Zeihan.com
You can also follow Peter on Twitter @PeterZeihan
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Thank you so much for the advice. Your coach was simple to discover online. I did my research on him before I scheduled our phone call. He appears knowledgeable based on his online resume.
He can predict the dates of supercritical events. He’s amazing. The intellectual bandwidth is almost unbelievable. Awesome.
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I just looked up his name on Google and saw his impressive resume. I consider myself lucky to have found this comment area..
Thank you so much for the advice. Your coach was simple to discover online. I did my research on him before I scheduled our phone call. He appears knowledgeable based on his online resume.
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Always 95% amazing data from Peter and 5% exaggeration and horseshit. Spoils his interviews and presentations, removes credibility unfortunately, otherwise I would share with friends and family.
Always 95% amazing data from Peter and 5% exaggeration and horseshit. Spoils his interviews and presentations, removes credibility unfortunately, otherwise I would share with friends and family.
How does he know the insider stuff in China?! What are his sources.. great stories... But they seem to be just that without any references
This guest is a walking encyclopedia, wow he is awseome.
But everything the opposite of the truth 🤣
@@understanding.everything says the scam caller 😊
No, he's not awesome. I used to think that too. He's always entertaining, for sure, but he oversimplifies like mad, assumes human beings can't adapt, emphasizes points that are true but not very important, forecasts things to happen much faster than they do, etc., etc.
Take everything he says with a large chunk of salt.
@@ChrisBrengelpretty much what I thought after listening to him for 5 minutes
Thank you Jack. Please have Peter on from time to time, he is a great guest and offers an incredibly comprehensive view few rarely hear.
He lies comprehensively lol.
this mofo never been to china, doesn't speak a lick of chinese, and never consulted an actual chinese person to verify his bullshit
guy is a complete mouth piece for the deep state
It's called propaganda 😂
PZ is a grifter , very cleverly contradicts himself with plausible deniability
Have a cousin that was a missionary and opened a orphanage in China during the one child policy. The stories and children are absolutely heartbreaking.
Is your cousin's first name Peter?
@@kingfisher9553 no but if I remember right home of hope was the name of the orphanage.
"Openned an orphanage in China "
Reject
Nobody gives a crap about your little sad story
I’ve been aware of /follower of Peter Zeihan since The Accidental Superpower. I read it about 5-6 months prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.But never heard of Jack Carr. After listening to this I’m going to have to check him out. Thanks for the video.
Enjoy, his books are great.
"The Terminal List", Amazon video, starring Chris Pratt, brings Carr's action scenes to the screen.
Did he really just promote the censoring of "misinformation" on the internet? Wow that's really disappointing 😥
Zeihan is FANTASTIC. Period!!! I love ALL his stuff and listen to him as much as possible.
If Zeihan is such an expert, then why does he think Mao was behind China's "One Child Policy"? Mao died 4 years before it was implemented.
Re: the part that deals with war in Ukraine.
I'd say that Zeihan over-emphasizes the theory of Russia seeking some kind of 'defensible frontier'. From historical documents, Russian/Soviet expansions of the past were driven mostly by an easily recognizable 'every land grab adds value to the empire' theory of imperial governance which was pretty much universal across the world until 19th Century. And current Russian leadership is no exception: they are illiterate in the field of modern tech, and still believe more land and more people to be the only and ultimate measure of greatness.
Also, I'd discount at least a little bit Zeihan's demographic conclusions: Russian demography does mean their population will be dwindling for the foreseeable future, but Russians becoming extinct is not in the cards any time soon.
Other than this, yes, what he has said is valid, IMO.
@@Alex_Shishkin_1962 Nothing Zeihan says is valid. He thinks Mao did One Child Policy. Mao died years before it was developed.
Russia doesn't want the Russian population in Donbass to be ethnically cleansed in the manner that the Serbian population of Kosovo was.
@@lucasgrey9794 Yawn. Pull another one. Russian population in Donbass was never in any danger of being ethnically cleansed. This sob story is, in its entirety, Russian propaganda. Most of Eastern Ukraine outside of Donbass has similar percentages of ethnic Russians living there, and nowhere under Ukrainian control has anything remotely resembling ethnic cleansing taken place. In fact, ethnic Russians are fighting in Ukrainian military now and have been, since the previous Russian land grab in 2014. And not just draftees, either: they are plentiful among volunteers, as well.
P.S. Chinese policy of limiting the birth rate started under Mao. Yes, while he was alive it was a limit of 2 kids per family, and an encouragement to marry later in life, but he clearly was the person who got the ball rolling. So even here you don't really know what you are talking about.
No, he's not fantastic. I used to think that too. He's always entertaining, for sure, but he oversimplifies like mad, assumes human beings can't adapt, emphasizes points that are true but not very important, forecasts things to happen much faster than they do, etc.
Take everything he says with a large chunk of salt.
I love listening to Peter's insights in the midst of such conflicting narratives.
Wait untill you hear his theory on how to identify a homosexual man by the length of his fingers.
You realize he’s an intelligence consultant, right?
Oh yeah? so he is full of shit then. Gotcha.@@ghostpiratelechuck2259
This guy is the most optimistic person in the world..... definitely being paid to be 😊😊
The guy basically spent his entire life working at a think-tank giving speeches to bankers about how the US is the greatest country in the world, what do you expect? The guy knows nothing about war. If you compare him to the real deal, like Zbigniew Brzezinski, this guy is empty
I agree. It seems like he is taking up the role of pre-emptively calming the US population so we don't make trouble during the transition. He is doing a pretty good job; he is likeable and believable. I just think he is a Judas goat constructed by the powers that be. Also he kind of looks like Jeff Daniels after his CIA makeover.
Yup, and a lot of the stuff he's claiming to be true, I completely disagree with, and i would call some of it nonsense. Some of it is interesting, and he knows demographics, but what he says about the Russian Ukrainian war is akin to some woke nonsense imhop. It would be interesting to hear him flesh out the same statements in a debate with Scott Ritter. He is entertaining though.😅
@@perjanuschas8050 yup, pure nonsense, how did he miss the broken treaty, the religious war, the money laundering for the United States the gain of function labs of the United States, these people are crazy with corruption and George soros is the fuel for their insanity
yes this guy seems to know it all , as they say derogatively around here.
Peter Zeihan opened my eyes to the inner workings of the world.
A little light on the anarchy. He is still wrong that russia wants poland thoigh.
@@NathansHVAC Yeah right, Putin.
@@NathansHVAC no he wants control of the access point from the east; happens to be in poland
@@NathansHVAC Weird. Russian foreign ministry personnel said in the 2000s that Poland was very much part of the plan for expanding Russia back to “it’s rightful place”. Maybe you know more than them. They said they’re taking back Kazakstan, Georgia, Ukraine, Romania, Bulgaria, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and Finland. When I was in Estonia in 2008, they invaded Georgia and I said, “Hmmmmmmm..."
Peter Zeihan is a great story teller, the whole China spy balloon is laughable
My greatest happiness is the $65,000 bi-weekly pr'ofit I get consistently from my $10,000 investment despite the economic fluctuations
@Harry Wonder You don't need to be shoc_ked , ca'use am also a hu'ge bene_ficiary of Ellis Gregory. he helped me reco'ver what I lo'st tryi_ng to tra'de for myself
Who's this profe-ssional eve'ryone's tal-king about, I always see his name at top comments on every You'Tube video I watched
I thi'nk for people to talk this go'od about him, he must be a pro, Ple'ase how Can I get in tou'ch with him
Who's he, how can I con_tact him?
@@mariahkovi You can fi'nd Ellis Gregory Carson FX 👇
"Xi doesn't talk to anyone, thats his problem" At that point I switched off
That's the most insane thing I've ever heard him say(1:05:56). After the last two years and the twitter files ,how the hell could anyone think we need more government involvement in the internet?
Ya that was a big red flag for me as well, anyone who suggests that people's voiced need to be "regulated" should be considered suspect.
@@michaelallison2836 That is one of his big problems. Another is how he doesn't address that Western elites are obsessively destroying the cultures and economies of the West in general.
Hes thinking big, like war with china, big. Hes not talking about LGBTQ debates in the comment section of social media. The USA won ww2 with severe restrictions on economic freedoms and free speech. The government lied and censored a lot. For the good of all. Even libertarians.
Deep state propaganda
Agreed. Govt deciding what “truth” is on the internet is absolutely INSANE, especially when the govt (meaning the current party in power at any given moment) is the absolute largest purveyor of disinformation, half-truths, outright lies and straight up propaganda.
Our govt needs LESS power over its people, not more.
These are 2 of the best people you'll ever get to see or hear discussing important issues today. Excellent content, thank you!
I'm so cynical, I think PZ is a paid op.
@@May_Lease_Uh I am also very cynical, but then again, maybe I'm a paid counter-op to counter arguments against his arguments...or maybe not, who really knows these things?
@@May_Lease_Uh what’s the purpose for him being a paid op verses let’s say a guy trying to sell his book? I’ve never heard any evidence towards your position although it seems not uncommon in some of these comment sections. Occam’s razor is pretty useful in situations like these.
@@May_Lease_Uh well, he comes STRATFOR which is an arm of US intelligence/propaganda, and this show is underwritten by the DOD via NavyFed.
@@May_Lease_Uh That was my first impression awhile back, although “shill” was the word that came to mind then rather than “op” (but much of a muchness). I’ve reluctantly decided to revisit PZ since my brother is reading him. So far, his sources are too often unclear to me, and I don’t trust the sweeping generalizations. Still feeling propagandized but trying to hang in there and give his message a chance to transform into “info” in my mind, but that’s definitely a long-shot.
This guy is pretty self confident, opinionated... Not always right, but never in doubt right
Peter seems like such a gentleman academic. I enjoy listening to his very a keen insights into the players and risks involved. Occasionally he does make dramatic comments then fails to substantiate any backing. Albeit it can't be easy managing all these working parts I would find it less then shocking if some of his recent comments are in fact completely contradictive in nature.
He's simply ignoring the recent peace treaty between Iran and Saudi Arabia because it doesn't fit his narrative
@@Withnail1969 Or, maybe, because he knows something about the long history of conflicts between peoples of these two regions, and two different, 'competing' sects of a major religion.
@@Withnail1969 With as much blood as each of those nations has on their hands, any treaty between them is only as good as the convenience it brings either nation. Nazi Germany and Soviet Russia both needed Poland as part of their expanding empires at the start of WWII, so the peace made between Hitler and Stalin was as tenuous as it was public. So it is with Iran and Saudi Arabia.
WTF?!? I would call that sloppiness, a quality, as well as paedophia, not part of ANY professor’s repertoire
He is NOT an academic.
I made that mistake too tbh.
*Peter is the best! I’ve been following him from ~2016! He deserves all the attention he’s getting now!*
No, he's not the best. I used to think that too. He's always entertaining, for sure, but he oversimplifies like mad, assumes human beings can't adapt, emphasizes points that are true but not very important, forecasts things to happen much faster than they do, etc.
Take everything he says with a large chunk of salt.
This guy been Sy same shit for years, I guess he'll keep it up.
He said "China will end in 9 days" 5 months ago.
Weird now, that Putin and Jinping have met and made an alliance.
Peter Zeihan didn't see that coming.
Great discussion, as usual whenever Peter is involved. Totally agree his books should be high school reading and required texts for college courses.
Almost everything Peter Zeihan says is false. From the comments I have read many people believe what Peter Zeihan says. What this indicates to me is that people who listen to this propaganda have a very low level of knowledge about the topics he talks about.
Another conclusion I can make since what he says in many cases is the opposite of reality is that he is some how being paid by the u.s. government or the military industrial complex.
If your not seeing thr fake narrative that he is advocating then you are not knowledgeable enough on these topics.
@@jimsmith4658 Wow. I guess the north of Russia is not taiga, then. Silly me. And growing rice requires no phosphates at all. I wonder if this is just a troll account. I imagine all sorts of unsavory folk in China, Russia and some other dark places around the world probably spend lots of time trying and failing to erase and muddy the fascinating ideas Peter shares. Fortunately, I'm a geography and history and technology student for many, many years and quite eager to consider how what Peter has to say fits my own knowledge on these topics.
I try to catch this dudes appearances all over YT. This is the best interview that I’ve ever seen conducted with him. You got a new subscriber, brother.
Same here - the interviewer was so professional and given his specialized background, I am similarly impressed that he doesn’t go into super-solider warrior-mode, but rather, demonstrates a superior intellect and insights.
Same!!!
He seems to be hard to find.. lots of cut up videos made by people, but there aren't many interviews
@@RG-of1fd 😊❤tp Poh.
Joe Rogan wasnt bad
In every Interview you hear out of his statement that he has close ties to the petrol industry. But ok, beside that you can listen to his takes, but you need to know the context when he says that allegedly green energy is too difficult to scale etc.
If only Peter didn’t talk about Russia he would be such an amazing and accurate analyst and forecaster. When ever Russia comes up he falls into clichés and “pop-knowledge”.
Ok I like Peter… But pulling out of Afghanistan, the way we did was a horrible decision and I don’t know what he’s smoking on this one!😮
Afghan govt made the choices, Biden could have/should have taken control of the exit but he deferred to the govt of the day. Not sure why the exit from Afghanistan has any bearing on anything now.... it showed Western dithering as per usual but Russia have well and truly taken the crown of incompetence for themselves.
You are correct. He seems a bit too willing to give Uncle Joe a pass on extremely bad decisions.
He also said we're energy independent under Joe. LMAO, that's why Joe went on a world tour in 2022 begging SA and even Venezuela for oil.
@@Salty_Balls of course the US is energy independent ..... did you sleep through the Shale Revolution ?
He is boosting his air miles to get them to help keep oil prices down.
Give your salty balls a wash, your thinking is very cloudy!!
PS oil price cap is not only sinking Russia's economy but keeping the global oil price down.... India and China, fill your boots!!
So there is no population decline in China? And they are not going to collapse in the next 20 years?
One thing overlooked was that prior to that disaster known as the "withdrawal from Afghanistan," the Taliban assumed we were going to keep Bagram. That would have been a huge strategic advantage in dealing with China and Russia. Oh well.
Everything with you Americans is strategy; at the receiving end there's death and destruction, refugee crisis as a result. The likes of Peter Zaihan push for that sentiment. The US will push, a nuclear catastrophe will ensure and the human race, as we know it will be extinct. You and I included.
Assuming the need to pull troops also implies expectations that Russia will invade Poland etc. Leaving behind arsenal is also confusing if following the narrative that we are supplying ammunition without ground support so while the practical delivery of clear-minded and useful information is a relief, it has holes. The delivery of "hope" escapes pragmatism when information is skimmed over as such. Otherwise, great talk but with BRI and Pakistan etc in the region, a power vacuum is certainly to our advantage, how remains to be seen and would like to better understand.
This man is one of the brightest people I've ever listened to.
this guy never claims he doesn't know, he seems to have the answers for everything, an expert at everything lol
The kind of guy to avoid at parties for sure.
Ya. I noticed he's wrong on a bunch of stuff: what did you notice?
@@wilfdarr can't tell what is wrong or not, i don't have a looking glass into the future. This guy however claims he knows what is going to happen with seemingly 100 % accuracy
@@snekkel In 2014 dude nailed down the 2022 Russian invasion down to 30 days: he's not just throwing "stuff" at the wall to see what sticks. And his analysis lines up with what other analysts I respect are saying, so I'm going to take his opinion over yours.
I do hope you understand!
@@wilfdarr fair enough
Who thought Peter Zeihan was in favor of instituting a Ministry of Truth?
He has to be. Most of his customers are corporations and his sources who ask to be anonymous "as they are not authorized to speak publicly", really need that narrative machine going. Plus, he needs a strong state or else there is just nothing to sell.
@@xrunner55 A strong state? Yeah, it worked so well for Germany, Russia, China.. Really these the models to base your country on...
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On his comment about Ukraine needing a 8:1 casualty ratio . . . Right now, it's been 8:1 in the OTHER direction with Ukraine being on the short end.
This is a fascinating lesson, he was a whole different perspective on what’s going on in the world. Thank you for the podcast.
He was telling about 5% truth at best in this entire ‘speech’ the rest is just his own spin off which you need to take with gigantic grain of salt
@@Herewatching oo
@@Herewatching This is the most deranged interview I've seen in a while.
@@Caperon81 if you watched him, this is not the worst
@@Herewatching could you elaborate? I agree with some of his viewpoints, but yes, a lot of it is just opinion.
I always instinctively believed bringing energy and tech development and production closer to home was a good thing, it's good to hear in real, unbiased terms that most people can understand that it is indeed the case moving forwards.
1:13:47
Mm 1:14:09
1:17:19
Same.
it does but it costs a LOT more so its inflationary to build it our in his scenario and continues as the cost to produce rises. Manufacturing means waste and pollution which is costly to deal with and mitigate/avoid. So yes its better over all but they relocated manu offshore for reasons not just for cheap labor.
Zeihan is not the guy to ask about AI. It’s an issue he has no technical background on and doesn’t really understand it. As a software expert who’s worked with AI tech I can tell you he’s way off base with his description of it.
@@NH-pi5dw 🤣
@@NH-pi5dw To be fair, you can’t exactly expect the guy to want to type out the necessary paragraphs upon paragraphs to explain a highly technical topic like this.
Can you go more into what he has wrong?
@@Allaiya. his np real down of AI into “Applied” and “General” is incorrect. What he describes as “Applied AI” is just programmed heuristics, and that’s not really considered AI. The real categories of AI are Narrow and General. Narrow AI is an algorithm that can be trained to solve one problem intelligently. This is fairly well developed today and is seen in image recognition, stock trading, automated driving, AI art, ChatGPT etc. General AI is a human like intelligence and that’s about 20 years away. Zeihan is right that the hype is overblown, but that’s the nature of hype.
@@theodoremccarthy4438 ok thank you.
This, in fact, is a lovely discussion that has potency both for (1) waking up the sleeping patriotism of Americans and inspiring more those already patriotic the right way, and (2) can do wonders for promoting the US against anti-American and anti-West sentiments out there. Great job. By the way, am new to this channel.
Agree to what you said! Especially this sentence: "promoting the US against anti-American and anti-West sentiments out there" 👍✊
If you dont want so much anti US & Anti Western sentiment out there maybe the US & the West should stop invading & couping & sanctioning & destablising & destroying every nation that doesnt bow its head & hand over its natural resources & infrastructure.
The world would be a much safer more peaceful place without America & Americans running around bombing & invading everywhere.
@jeffzhang3461
@jeffzhang3461
My patriotism isn't asleep, it's dead.
Very good conversation. I've been a big fan of Peter's. I have never heard Jack before and will look into more of his stuff
Peter Zeihan is one of the dumbest people on the planet earth and if you believed a single thing he said in this video then you’re ngmi
Really? Just the opposite here: Jack's guests are always top notch. 🍻
Thanks a bunch. Given me a larger perspective to the Ukraine/Russia war
I CAN not BELIEVE MY COMMENT nearly complete was quashed...! So ether you've employed AI bots to kill off any challenging comments or you yourself witnessing what I was commenting erased my words and killed the undo feature so I'd just get fed up with your cheap assassin tactics...! I PRAY THAT i AM WRONG! But you are out here either NLP 'ing as a profiteer or you yourself are Plagued with the same sycophancy you report our current world leaders are sick with. I am one of many millions of world wide Ukrainians who do take what is reported personally...!
Honestly, he's a DB in my opinion. He has an answer for everything. He's been wrong on so many levels on certain topics.
Not really, name one thing he was very wrong on.
He gives predictions based on evidence and logic. Nobody will ever be 100% correct but he accurately predicted Russia would launch their invasion and gave the timeline of by when they would, years ago
@@maniaclatdisciple It’s the end of May. Ukraine ( NATO proxy war ) is losing. More Ukrainians killed than Russians. For example.
Welp, looks like Iran & Sadia Arabia made a deal together with the help on China. This changes a lot that was said… Anyone know if Peter addresses this anywhere?
Zeihan is great. Ther only complaint I have is he rarely does more than an hour. I know he is a busy guy buy I could watch at least 3 & as much as maybee 4.5 hours. But thankfully he shows up in many places at once. Have listened to one of his books so far & will do the rest. Subbed. Awesome channel. Thanks
His book is on audible. I’m like you and need to hear more
Check out Peter's talk for the US Army. Search CZcams- "Peter Zeihan-Fort Benning-The Changing Character of War." It's a good watch with more detailed analysis than this one. Cheers.
His routine is capped.
Buy his audiobook. I'm halfway thru right now
Came here just to say that Peter’s comments on AI have already aged like spoiled milk.
I learned so much, great guest. He makes sense, not just some weird opinions and conspiracy theories.
he is a gaslighting liar.
BRICS GDP has just surpassed G7 GDP. And that trend is continuing. The world is moving aware from the dollar.
He sounds like he is in the inner circle with Xi and Putin
I don’t know what we’d do if great men like PZ & JC didn’t exsist ! Another amazing podcast !
May peace be upon you ❤
Some homework for you if you think he is so great go back about 1 year and listen to tue utter horseshit he was spouting. You would think with the amount he spews out he might get something right by accident but no it's actually amazing how off on everything he is consistently. I mean you only have to listen to him for 30 mins and do a couple of fact checks to see he just talks through his anus unfiltered
Just listened to end of the world is just the beginning. Great book.
Love both yours and Peter's books. Thanks for the great conversation
Peter is off on AGI. It's not programming per sey, it's training a neural net. This is coming faster than he thinks.
Every time Zeihan talks about AI it is cringey. This is what happens when liberal arts person talks STEM.
Peter was on fire in this episode. His takes on China are really amusing.
Crazy that he knows how Tesla builds cars better than if you ask Tesla. He must have infiltrated the factory or something.
He knows all about Xi's working day as well and all the meetings he has.
Love Peter!!! Thanks so much for hosting him again Jack!
Almost everything Peter Zeihan says is false. From the comments I have read many people believe what Peter Zeihan says. What this indicates to me is that people who listen to this propaganda have a very low level of knowledge about the topics he talks about.
Another conclusion I can make since what he says in many cases is the opposite of reality is that he is some how being paid by the u.s. government or the military industrial complex.
If your not seeing thr fake narrative that he is advocating then you are not knowledgeable enough on these topics.
It's really nice to listen to somebody like Peter who speaks logically and doesn't use every opportunity, no matter how small, to engage in creating irrational fear... Wish the media behaved like this
You just created record spontaneous orgasm down at the propaganda bar.
Middle aged punks like this boy, are the worst.
Main media is dead. They are so fake and just read prompters. No skilled talkers.
The six corporations that control most of the media don’t want in-depth journalism. They want them to goose-step to the narrative desired by the Deep State in which they have their bread buttered.
@B.J. Sculley or is Peter creating irrational optimism? 😉
Peter's take on geopolitics is an inspiration for my next novels as well. Nice job with this interview, Jack.
Indeed, a rich resource for fiction.
Peter, thank you for reminding me that my next flight is on a EMB 175, so I could update my seat assignments.
I like how Peter Zeihan says with absolute confidence all of those things even that he is wrong in most of the cases... :D:D:D
I don’t see China falling apart so quickly. It is true generally that, whichever country has the most kids will in the long run win, but generally “the long run” is longer than the average life expectancy.
And what will they do when they have 4x more old people than young people who work?
Death is not an essential element. Having a massive percentage of the population age into retirement and out of the labor market, a grossly insufficient pool of working age population to maintain the economy, let alone expand it, along with far too few reproductive age people, and a serious imbalance between the ratio of males to females, with a birth rate far below replacement rate, all within the context of deglobalization and serious reduction or total loss of access to import sources for necessary goods and supplies, are all country killers, in far less than the life expectancy of a generation.
That's probably why the southern border is wide open
Great podcast. I’ve been keeping up with Peter since the 1st time Jack Carr interviewed him. I recommend Peters Audio books. It’s a great chance to stack the fire wood and learn a heap 👍Thanks from 🇳🇿NZ
Isn’t this the guy that said they knew exactly where Putin was at every moment? I believe he hits his crack pipe every time he hops on podcasts lmao
That is just what keeps Joe sharp and keen.
Has Zaihan ever been right? About anything? I'm guessing the last time was when he guessed what Mum was making for dinner....
He works for the government, he's not supposed to be right a lot. This is all a trial balloon.
Other than predicting the war in Ukraine down to pretty much the month? I’d say he is right quite a bit. Who the F are you? Are you uneducated or just a muppet that types before they think?
More entertaining than informative
Just ordered both books on Audible. Can't wait to dive in.
You wasted your money and your time. Zeihan has no idea what he's talking about. He said Mao created the One Child Policy when Mao died 4 years before One Child Policy was developed and implemented. He's not just "wrong", he is negative knowledge. He will make people even dumber.
@@lucasgrey9794 Quick you need to re-write history , if you google it everyone is saying 2008 , and that clearly wrong based on your information
@@matso3856 I stand corrected. Lol. Good thing I'm not a scholar. Zeihan does get One Child Policy wrong though.
Thank you for your work.
Would love to see a discussion between Peter Zeihan and Whitney Webb.
I'd like to see Peter Zeihan and his twin Chicken Little in conversation.
This is why I love listening to Peter
Thanks gentlemen for the video. Who could afford one hour of Peter’s time like this. Thanks.
This guy appeals to those on high horses FEELINGS!! He is a master of FEELING GOOD talks!!
I so wish I could trust this guy's optimism. My concern is chinas expansion into mexico and just how compromised our government is from China. He never talks about WEF and it's cronies. Would love to hear his opinions on the division here in the US. The amount of youth that think communism is a good idea is frightening.
He really needs to be on a panel with some combination of James Lindsay, Jack Posobiec, Bret Weinstein and Bjorn Lomborg and moderated by Benjamin Boyce. He does have a lot of blind spots and has waaaayyyyyyy too much trust in government (cough *Twitter Files* cough).
@Robert Hendrickson: No need to worry about Mexico. Mexico is a sovereign nation just like Ukraine. They have the right to make their own decision. Remember that BS from USA and EU about Ukraine?
@@randacnam7321 Agree he completely avoids certain topics or glosses over them pretty quickly
Its above his paygrade to tall about US Domestic politics and he knows he will get his bullshit called out if he dabbles in stuff his audience (mostly americans) actually know about.
Easy enough to predict the collapse of china every decade because most americans know jack shit about china and don't care enough even when his predictions turn out wrong. But making a prediction about the next US presidential election and getting it wrong? Bye bye credibility.
@@aw8one Since he's the big 'demographics' guy, One topic he will NOT touch is demographic replacement. It is widely acknowledged that the US will not be a majority white country by mid century. You think that would have an effect on the social, economic and political dynamics of the US?
I'm delighted to hear Carr say these provide inspiration for him. I've enjoyed some of his books, and this just adds a smile to my face. I'm looking forward to your new book Jack.
I'm a fan of Peter's work but his take on electric vehicles is incomplete. Half of Tesla's cars use LFP batteries, not NCA batteries. LFP batteries don't use any nickel or copper, they are mainly lithium and iron, two of the most abundant elements on Earth. With technological advancements, LFP batteries or some other non-rare earth mineral intensive batteries could become the norm. Tesla is also developing a drive unit that does not use any rare earth minerals, though they did not provide details on this during their last investor day presentation so I am a bit more skeptical about this claim. There are a lot of other issues I have with EVs, but rare earth minerals is one that could be overcome quite easily with technological advancements.
Tesla cannot carry the car industry by itself but it grow in the marketplace but is not going to displace ICE anytime soon.
Abundance doesn't matter if it's not in economic quantities
Very interesting comment. I've gone back and forth the Peter Z's EV argument. Do you have any links to the LFP battery data? My information was those were mostly in the Chinese market, and the performance of LFP batteries is lower, so they go in the lower-end cards.
Also regarding this comment. "Tesla is also developing a drive unit that does not use any rare earth minerals, though they did not provide details on this during their last investor day presentation so I am a bit more skeptical about this claim."
I'm very skeptical of the claim that the drive train can be made without rare-earth elements. I'm not aware of a permanent magnet worth putting in an EV that works without rare-earth elements.
@@alansnyder8448 CZcams deletes comments with links but if you google Tesla LFP batteries several articles from last spring pop up.
@@ryebread921 I'll google it and look. I'm still skeptical of Tesla numbers but it could push that number in their direction. Thanks.
The cynic in me says that if a clever man set out to sell a ton of books, a great way to do it would be to assemble the facts in a way that provides a tremendously optimistic view of the future for the target audience. But, props to Peter for being one of only a few folks that put themselves out there and make anything clear. Imagine hearing anything like this from MSM.
This guy Peter Zeihan knows everything lol. But kudos to the host. He is a really good interviewer.
I like PZ and always look for his analysis but I become sceptical when he talks about some things where I do have a literal autistic level of interest.
As a tech enthusiast and investor it seems to me that he has only a very surface level of understanding on semi conductors and the industry. I don't know if he understands what analog and digital actually means being older or slower doesn't make a chip 'almost analog' the reason Analog chips are often (not always) made on older nodes is because analog components don't scale with lithography as well as digital components do and start having issues below 90nm. There are analog components on just about all ICs and micro controllers regardless of the node.
Also China's semi conductor industry is no where near as bad or as incompetent as he asserts. They are hitting a wall to progress further but that's because they can't access extreme ultraviolet EUV lithography machines. EUV machines took decades to work with the combined effort of multiple governments and most of the industry pouring billions into research. ASML which is a Dutch US co owned company is the only company in the world that can make them and TSMC and Intel own like 99% of the machines in existence.
Because EUV was behind schedule for literal decades Fabs like TSMC, Samsung, Intel and global foundries created clever work around to continue to reduce feature size of components on integrated circuits. Most notably double patterning and quad patterning. TSMCs first 7nm node was achieved WITHOUT EUV but the later enhanced revisions of the node did include EUV for some layers which reduced process time costs and increased performance.
SMIC has been able to achieve a working 7nm node in China without the use of EUV. It's more expensive and not as good as Intel's 10nm (now renamed intel7) or TSMCs N7 nodes but it's within the same ballpark. It doesn't clock as high, seems to yield worse with larger rheticals and is less power efficient. BUT it performs better overall and well enough to beat 14 and 16nm nodes as well as 12nm nodes for density and efficiency.
SMIC is not the best and they will struggle with new nodes without EUV lithography but it's good enough to keep enterprise and research alive. It's also good enough for AI chips in the future with some AI accelerators produced on slightly older nodes like 12nm. China is behind on the design side of chips too so embargoes of Nvidia, AMD and Intel hardware that specialise in AI will slow research down but it won't stop it.
The idea that China couldn't use TSMCs advanced fabs is just laughable. Assuming that they didn't kill all the engineers and operators they would be able to bring those facilities online pretty quickly and they could probably start making their own bootleg copies of various high end products in Taiwan as for many of these products the entire assembly is done there along with some of the design teams etc. Even if they did do a lot of damage to all that, if they can get their hands on a significant number of EUV machines they suddenly lose a huge handicap.
On another note: devices that operate in space often use the OLDEST biggest nodes they can. The Mars rovers main CPUs are derived from a pentium 3 on about 300nm. Larger feature sizes on older chips are far more radiation resistant than modern smaller transistors. It's also easier to design in fault tolerance on older nodes as they have had more of their bugs ironed out over time. I wouldn't be surprised if most satellites most advanced silicon components were fabricated on mature nodes a few steps behind leading edge let alone bleeding edge.
I noticed more errors but this is enough I think to demonstrate that some of his claims should be taken with a grain of salt. I'm not saying his broader analysis is wrong but simply there are clearly blindspots.
Chinese spies are hard at work to purloin the tech they want.
Thankyou for the massively in depth explanation. Really, it's rare to have these types of industries and products explained to such a degree of expertise. I learned more reading your comment then I did listening to this fraudulent fortune teller,.
@mikeborrelli193 that's very kind of you. I'd recommend looking up semi wiki which is a blog and wiki run by actual experts with actual experience at the top of industry. Daniel Nenni, the founder of semi wiki has done in depth analysis on China's semiconductor industry including real experimentation on their chips. It's his analysis that I mostly rely on as do top strategic planners in the US.
I don't think Zeihan is a fraud perse but he is completely bought into the geographic determinism world view of geopolitics.
Most 'experts' in the field of of geopolitics are wrong most of the time but it's still worth taking in and considering their analysis with an open mind. At a very zoomed out level I think Zeihan has some interesting points but I remain sceptical as he has made some glaring errors or false assumptions like those I've outlined here.
He also said Australia doesn't have much Bauxite when in reality Australia doesn't export much Bauxite because we process most of it into alumina and export that instead. Australia is one of the biggest Bauxite producing countries in the world lol. Although in that video his overall assessment that Australia could replace China as a supplier of many rare earth's and other needed minerals is correct.
Two great men having an important conversation. I wonder how many other amazing interviews have been on Jack Carr?
more of a monologue
JRE ;)
Whatever this gentleman says still makes me nervous Thanks for having him on again
Peter seems very optimistic while so many others are not. I’m not sure I believe him but I would like to.
The passage where Peter Zeihan "predicted the Russian invasion of Ukraine to the very month in his book the Accidental Superpower" states that Russia will make a move before 2020, not in February of 2022. So, 1. He was wrong. 2. If you want to say he still predicted it happening, many did after Crimea, just ask Ukrainans or east Europeans, many were waiting for it to happen.
I wish he corrected the podcaster about the "down to the specific month" comment, that was not a good look.
What a Breath of fresh Air listening to Peter
I wonder what Peter thinks about the recent news where Saudi Arabia and Iran have re-established diplomatic ties brokered by China!!! What now???
Will See how long it lasts
Given the history of the region do you really trust either of them to uphold their end of any agreement?
After this podcast bought his book and the new signed Jack Carr book can’t wait to receive
very good interview, i like the way Jack asks non-wordy questions and sits back and lets the interviewee talk, perhaps he knows Peter well and knows he has a lot to say.
Peter Zeihan is like Tom Clancy on steroids.. Thanks to both of you!!
Fantastic interview!
Peter is definitely a fan favorite ! 😊
long time fan of Zeihan ... now I'm a fan and subscriber of Danger Close!
It’s disgusting how these people Can sit there and say all those lies so confidently. We all have to answer for our actions one day
Can you elaborate at all? By no means am I having a dig at you. I’m just curious what you mean in more detail.
@@melmclean7738 Please notice the nay sayers are all going after his character and not he's arguments , other then "hes completly wrong" despite having it on record accurate predictions that are currently happening as early as 8 years ago.
If you think about batteries that don't move around, i.e. home batteries, it is not a good idea to use lithium batteries. A better battery tech for the home or central power storage is a zinc bromine flow battery. A growing Australian company came up with the tech - google "redflow zinc bromine flow battery". Those batteries are not explosive like lithium is. A much better option for the home and maybe better for charging stations too.
Peter sounds like he is fed intel from the Intelligence Agencies. My question is it true or disinformation?
Just Subbed. Love Peter Zeihan!
Dude cuts through the political BS like a champ…. Thank god
More like he successfully walks along the top of the fence without overly offending anyone on either side
deep state mouth piece
@Toask It's more that he calls out problems and successes of every administration regardless of party
It’s not about politics… it’s all about facts. If you want to rot your brain with useless info just turn on Fox or MSNBC.
@@ryanviningtube Can't alienate potential clients!
my head hurts after a zeihan lecture :)
Really good stuff! Refreshing to say the least. Hopeful. What the world needs, intelligent, genuine, easy to listen to, good people that leave politics and religion out of their narratives and presentation.
Zeihan's explanations are comforting, especially on China, which makes me highly suspicious of them. I hope he's correct, but I'm preparing myself for him being dead wrong.
Bretton Woods- the best kept open secret EVER.
"I don't know anybody in the military who says lets have another war."
I like Peter a lot, but his brain was off on another planet for that response.
Thank You Mr. Carr. Your Guest, and questions where fantastic.
Surprised that CBDC wasn’t discussed….and what’s up with the petrodollar…on a side note….I’ve been a member of Navy Federal for over 30 years and they’ve increased the interest rate every month for the last 6 months by half a percent on my credit card….just sayin 😮
Much appreciated update from wise man zeihan
I've seen >100 zeihan interviews.
Carr's have ranked near the top for me.
Good contrast from the typical intellectuals.
Thanks for this interview. It was awesome and you were great on your end.
Pete's smooth speak keeps a novice on this subject interested. A ton of information that he probably studied and learned to near perfection. I guess I 'll have to watch it a few more times. I'll be a wonk in no time.
Bachelors poli sci, Masters IR Tulane, JD in Florida... He gives the right numbers but sometimes a flawed conclusion. He works for the government. That's as much as I can say.
@@monabear7287 No, He's got his own consulting firm, which has a few gigs that demand his attention. He doesn't work for the government. He may have done subcontract consulting for them. I'm not sure what you mean by "flawed conclusion". He gives us large amounts of information. Enough information to steer you in the right direction, that's if you can't rely on your crystal ball of course.
Then you don't have much to say. Contract speeches do not count as "working for the government"
Fiction has limits, but reality does not !