ISRAEL | A Hezbollah War?
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- čas přidán 2. 06. 2024
- The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza raises concerns about a potential widening of the war to include Hezbollah in neighbouring Lebanon. This would mark a significant escalation of the situation in the Middle East. But it could come with dire implications for both sides. So, is a new war between Israel and Hezbollah really likely?
With support from Iran, Hezbollah has evolved into a potent non-state actor in Lebanon. Emerging from Lebanon's complex demographic composition, including diverse religious and ethnic groups, and influenced by historical events, such as the creation of Israel in 1948 and the 1975-1990 Lebanese civil war, Hezbollah was created with Iranian support in 1982. Since the end of the Civil War, it has continued to grow. It not only persisted in fighting Israel in southern Lebanon but expanded its influence within Lebanon, providing essential services and becoming a quasi-state entity. This led to a month-long conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in 2006, the Second Lebanese War. Since then, while Hezbollah continued to launch attacks against Israel, the conflict has remained limited. However, in 2023, amidst the Israel-Hamas confrontation, concerns grew that Hezbollah may launch a new war against Israel. But the first signs suggest that Hezbollah is reluctant to escalate the conflict with Israel. Hasan Nasrallah, Hezbollah's leader, while supporting Palestine, indicated that a full-scale war was not planned. Instead, Hezbollah's attacks on northern Israel seem calculated, primarily targeting military rather than civilian areas. This reluctance stems from an awareness of the catastrophic repercussions on both sides. Israel faces a more organised threat in Hezbollah than Hamas, while Hezbollah acknowledges Israel's military prowess. More to the point, a full-scale could drag Iran and the United States into the conflict - something neither side wants. However, the situation's volatility remains a significant concern, as conflicts of this nature can quickly spiral out of control.
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VIDEO CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction and Titles
00:48 Israel-Hezbollah: A State vs Non-State Conflict
01:27 Lebanon: Location and Population
02:34 The Creation of Israel, 1948
03:18 Palestinians and the Lebanese Civil War
05:10 Iran and the Emergence of Hezbollah
06:26 Hezbollah vs Israel after the Lebanese Civil War
08:01 Hezbollah after the Second Lebanese War, 2006
09:39 Hezbollah and the October 2023 Gaza War
11:30 A Hezbollah-Israel War?
SOURCES AND FURTHER READING
Taif Affords | United Nations
peacemaker.un.org/sites/peace...
Hezbollah | Chatham House
www.chathamhouse.org/2021/06/...
Israel Defense Forces (IDF)
/ israeldefenseforces
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- The contents of this video and any views expressed in it were not reviewed in advance nor determined by any outside persons or organisation.
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#Israel #Hezbollah #Lebanon #Gaza
Wow - great overview of Hezzbullah! I hadn't heard how they formed before. That was particularly interesting. I did once visit Lebanon, in 2001, and because I was with a local we drove to see the ruins of Tyre in the south. We started seeing Hezzbullah's yellow flags all along the street from South Beirut onwards. There wasn't any trouble, but I wouldn't have dared to do this on my own! It would be wonderful to return there - hopefully peace will return soon!
Thanks so much, Fredo! Lebanon is fascinating, isn't it. I was there in 1994, soon after the war ended. They were already rebuilding, but signs of the war were still everywhere. Like you, I found it amazing how obviously segregated they remained. You could immediately tell when you went from Jounieh, the heartland of the Maronites, to Sunni West Beirut, to the Shia south.
Yeah, flags all along the road, but no militant.
"Hezbollah" means "PARTY of Allah" and NOT "Army of God"
They have their own book which has been banned in the US and explains everything from how they were formed, why and etc. US gov hates people informing themselves and finding the truth so of course they would ban such book.
@@JamesKerLindsay Please consider making a video in the future on the prospects* of the Assyrian Independence Movement and on the Sayfo (Assyrian genocide) as well.
Fantastic content as always. Thanks Prof👍🏻👍🏻
Thank you so much, Peter. Have a great weekend.
With all the talk about a possible war between Israel and Hezbollah, I thought to take a look at the group and see whether a conflict is really likely. But what do you think? As ever, I look forward to hearing your views and comments below.
Thank you, Professor for another excellent talk. You're correct: they both want full-scale war, and the devastation for one side would be total and the consequences for the other side deeply injurious - and the catastrophe for everyday people ineffable.
Carefully worded. Since you are talking about the reaction from Palestine and it's allies, why not mention the genocidal apartheid nation that makes such organizations necessary?
@@stonkdude He won't because he has no backbone. He acts as though Hezbollah has not essentially set a line in the sand that they won't really do much more than what has been done, but that 51% of the Israeli population in a recent poll think that Israel should expand the war on the northern front because 11k dead Palestinians just doesn't quite hit the spot when it comes to their bloodlust
What do I think?
The Lebanese government should have demilitarized Hezbollah when they had the chance!
@@nickolas6614lol what a silly motivation. Those Israelis have palestinIns in their army. They have Palestinians on their Supreme Court. Palestinians are in Israeli society but Israelis are not in Palestinian society
Please consider making a video on the Assyrian Independence Movement since i think the Assyrians are often overlooked when discussing Geopolitics in the Middle East like the Druze.
Thanks for the excellent suggestion. This is a great topic. I will try to take a look at it at some point.
@@JamesKerLindsay Alright, thank you very much and have a great day
Another interesting and helpful J-KL video. Thanks so much for making it.
Thank you so much. Lebanon is such an interesting and tragic country. And yet it is too often overlooked when we think about the Middle East.
I've been waiting patiently for your views on this conflict. Thanks again, James, for the education.
Thanks so much, Paul. I hope it was useful. I thought it would be helpful to take a look back at the emergence of Hezbollah. I think many people think of Hezbollah and Hamas as essentially similar because of the Iran link. But they are actually completely different, with very different roots and even ideologies. Hezbollah is not Palestinian. And, as I hoped to show, it thinks of Lebanese Shiites first.
Excellent summary. Thank you
I always appreciate your videos as they are always very insightful. ❤
Thank you so much!
Was waiting for this. Good video
Thanks a lot. I thought it was worth taking a look at this question. It is obviously a very serious concern.
During my time in Lebanon this past winter I got a sense that Hezbollah's overall popularity had greatly degraded since its height during the 2006 war. In the context of the currency and power crises, many felt that Nasrallah's unwavering allegiance to the IRGC was badly weighing the country down when it needed help the most. Initiating a new war could be an avenue to regain its 2006-era status among the Lebanese polity.
Wouldn't that further destroy Lebanon's economy though? And aren't the Lebanese aware that war would be disastrous to the Lebanese economy? With this in mind wouldn't war with Israel just make Hezbollah even less popular?
Doubt it. A war on Israel will devastate an already devastated Lebanon - don't see how that would make Nasrallah and Hezbollah popular with anyone in that country. Part of the reason Israel's retaliatory strikes on Gaza are so devastating is to show its enemies what would happen to them if they waged war on Israel. This is especially true with regards to Nasrallah. Israel's PM and Minister of Defense have made very clear threats to Nasrallah and Lebanon what would happen if Nasrallah crosses the line.
@@shtroizn I meant only in the context of Hezbollah pushing back the IDF during a hypothetical ground incursion but not once hostilities have ended and the Lebanese state's economy and infrastructure are even more shattered.
@@BeorEviols 2006 they were in similar situation, I was there too at the time but that war increased their popularity even among Christians. Same thing during ISIS war on the borders of Lebanon, Hezbollah popularity increased when they fought against ISIS to protect the Christians cities near the Lebanese borders. The part that a lot of people struggle to understand is that the vast majority of Lebanese although they prefer to not be at war especially because of the economic crisis, they will support Hezbollah against any outsider. Also I feel that the Lebanese lost a lot and don't have much more to lose, and you really don't want to fight a beast with nothing to lose.
@@shtroizn You think only Israel could drop bombs like that? Hahaha their wonder defense system couldn’t stop home made rockets not too long ago 😂
Israel needs to find a way to diplomatically co-exist with their neighbors. The US will not be around forever, but the Muslim peoples & powers bordering Israel will be.
This is exactly right. In my lifetime I’ve seen the power of the US on the global scale decline a bit on an economic and military power. And even if it stays strong alliances aren’t forever. My parents remember when the US did the unthinkable of switch from Taiwan to Mainland China relations.
Isn't that what Hamas is trying to prevent from happening with the Saudis? They already have relations with a number of them. Palestine will also seek peace after this war
Israel has been trying to do that. The Hamas attack was almost certainly at least partly motivated by disrupting this diplomatic movement, which is a signal that it was working.
Yes, peace agreements, with Egypt, Jordan then the Abraham accords
We tryde more then once it's hard realy hard most of the times they preferd war over peace so it's hard, at list we did made some agreements with egypt and jorden, but the arab world was never friendly to us, but we don't realy need the usa as mach has people think israel is a strong country and it will stay one in the goll of staing alive, but yes we need to have peace agreements with more countrys if they'll agree.
Love the map-animations, James.
Thank you! I appreciate it. It’s certainly not my strong point, sadly. I wish it were. But pulling off Vox style maps is just impossible with my time. But I am trying to see how I can improve them a bit. :-)
As Israel retreated from Lebanon in 2000 it was agreed that Israel and Lebanon would release all hostages, while Lebanon did, Israel kept 5 Lebanese hostages in Israeli prison which forced Hezbollah to kidnap 2 hostages in 2006 and force Israel to the negotiations to free the remaining lebanese hostages. This hostages exchange happened in 2009 3 years after the 2006 war.
I hope this clarifies the reason why 2006 war happened.
Yes, I was waiting for him to talk about that...but I let it slide ad he didn't go hard on hezbollah..but tried to give info
Thank you for a lucid account of a complicated situation.
Thank you so much.
Least complicated event in history
Great video, you provided a well structured, Comprehensive review. Well done.
Thank you so much.
Great ! As usual, you are informative and you stick to the facts , without involving any "narrative" or "political agenda". Well done !
Many thanks for your insight
Remarkable proper intelligence analysis as always, Professor Jim 🎉🎉
Thank you so much! Really appreciated.
Exceptional presentation James.
Thanks so much!
It's very reassuring to watch such informative, educated content on this conflict. There are so many extreme opinions flying around; and the media are obviously pushing for viewer interaction with their reporting. It is refreshing to hear the discussion you provide Prof. Thank you.
I'm not new in the channel, I'm already here since the beginning. 😊 I wish I would have a so good teacher as you, Mr. James.
Thank you so much! Always especially lovely to hear from an ‘old timer’. Thanks for all the support! :-) Have a great weekend!
Excellent. Thank you.
Excellent content 👌🏻
"Massacre of Palestinian refugees" should add "by Lebanese Christians". You imply by omission that it was Israel.
Good point well taken. The massacres were precipitated by the invasion. But they were indeed carried out by Lebanese Christian forces. www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220914-40-years-on-survivors-recall-horror-of-lebanon-s-sabra-and-shatila-massacre
@@JamesKerLindsay Both Israelis and Lebanese Christians participated in the massacre. The Christian militants who participated in the massacre were suspended at the time and carried out the attack with no orders from the command who was still dealing with the assassination of the leader of the Lebanese Forces Bachir El Gemayel. It's not worthy to point out (although it doesn't justify the massacre) that most of the militants who participated in the Sabra and Shatila massacre, have had family and friends slaughtered and raped by the Palestinians in the Damour massacre. This just adds context to the infinite cycle of unjustified violence during the Lebanese "Civil" war.
A second more deadly massacre happened in the camp a few years later perpetrated by Amal (now the main allies of Hezbollah) during the war of the camps.
Palestinian refugees - women, children, the elderly and infirm - massacred by Falangists who were sent into Sabra and Shatila by the IDF, while the complex was under siege by the IDF. Getting proxies to do its dirty work does not exculpate the IDF.
@@billking8843
At the end of the day it was Lebanese Christians who carried out the massacre, regardless who aided them or not!
@@daraa151 Nonsense. The IDF had laid siege to Sabra and Shatila and it sent the Falangists in to finish off the 'terrorists.' It had complete control of the situation and any attempts to whitewash its role are exercises in bad faith.
شكرا للترجمه بروفسور
الرأي المحايد بحد ذاته انجاز
one more great video! thank you so much for kurdish subtitles. greetings from Kurdistan :)
Thanks you so much. Warmest greeting from my end too! :-)
3 points you missed.1> over 100k israelis from the north are now refugees and cannot return home until Hezballa threat is taken, and Israel's gov. have stated that there will be an action to remove Hez. from the border. 2> The uprising in the west bank and Jordan is increasing daily and could result in an all out Inftifada (revolt) any second. 3> Iran is pushing Hez and the Huthis in Yemen to keep attacking. 1 missile that evades the air-defence could spark hell up, and Irans militias still attack US posts in Iraq.
Thank you, well done ☆
Thank you very much!
Overall, I thought you did a pretty good job of summarizing main events chronologically, however you omitted important context.
You mention Hezbollah continued to attack israel, despite israeli troop withdrawal. But, you left out that israel continued to occupy the Shebaa Farms (since 1967) and then annexed it in 1981. Territory Lebanese lay claim to.
Even the UN says that Shebaa Farms is Israeli territory.
@@stevefix1112UN 😂😂😂😂
@@stevefix1112
FALSE:
“In the absence of an established boundary between Lebanon and Syria, a dispute has arisen whether the area is part of Lebanon or Syria. In the course of establishing the Line of Withdrawal in 2000, on the basis of information made available, the UN determined the Shebaa Farms to be Syrian, not Lebanese territory, and hence placed them south of the Line. Syria has declared publicly that it considers the Shebaa Farms Lebanese territory…”
Source: unifil.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/unifilpresskit.pdf
It has NEVER been considered israeli territory and annexation was not recognized by ANY nation, other than the U.S.
“..and in 1981, the Golan Heights, including the Shebaa Farms, were annexed by Israel, a move only recognized by the United States.”
Source: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shebaa_Farms#:~:text=From%20the%20early%201950s%20to,recognized%20by%20the%20United%20States.
professor thanks for your details explanation about what is going in the middle east. But l pray for peace.
Very articulate
As always, I enjoy watching your very informative and well researched vlogs. Thanks Professor!
Thank you so much!
You are a wonderful historian teacher and remarkable speaker. I KNOW you could make us cry, laugh or sit memorized by your teachings. Thank you for your informative videos.
Thanks so much. I’m certainly very flattered. 😊 Have a great day!
According to the founder of Hezbollah Subhi AlTaufaili, the outfit was not formed by Iran in 1982 but was supported by Iran in the early 1980s, though it existed much before that during the outbreak of Lebanese Civil War
As you know about the Tigray war, it was ended in 2022 on the Pretoria agreement , but one of the most point on the agreement was withdrawal all forces like the Eritrean and Amhara forces and returned all Tigrayan territories back to its origin but Abiy have failed and do not want to implement and he has stated that the western Tigray region known as Welkayit will not return to Tigray and he seems stand or sides with Amhara expansion elite.
Can you make a video regarding this matter of what will happen to the Tigrayan and Ethiopian nationalities and regional states like Oromo if Abiy is helping some regions but not others?
But modern warfare has little to do with the number of troops or the amount propaganda. Modern warfare has much to do with sophisticated arms and defence system that Israel and US rank among the highest. As a result, Iran, Hamas, and Hezbollah of Lebanon will stay away from suicide attempt. To verify this fact yourself, there have been at least 10000 rockets from Hamas and Hezbollah to Israeli this 4 or 5 weeks. Some 99% of all these rockets have been neutralized. Only 2 Israeli got killed as a result of these rocket. Listen to IDF and get real info what the modern warfare is all about.
Dont forget to mention, the Israelis were carrying out genocide at the end of the war in 48. They forced the Palestinians to flee, either flee or die.
Thanks. I do explicitly state that Palestinians fled. In fact, as I explain, the large-scale Palestinian exodus lies at the heart of understanding the emergence of Hezbollah. But let’s also not gloss over the fact that Palestinians teamed up with other Arab states to destroy Israel. Had they won, this would almost certainly have led to ethnic cleansing, if not genocide. History could have gone a very different direction. This is often forgotten.
@@JamesKerLindsay Well to be fair to the Arab states, they did have their land stolen from them. I cant think of any state on earth now or in the past that would willingly stand for such a thing. Plus the Jewish people were warned not to declare independence for a while so as not to upset their neighbours, but they declined that and went for broke anyway. Its certainly not a black and white thing, but given how so much information is floating around trying to justify Israel's heavy handed response. When in truth if you look at past events, even just the events over the last say 5-10 years or even the past 2-3 years. Israel has pushed and pushed the Palestinians into a response. Nobody in the international community is willing to stop the Israelis and their illegal occupations and other belligerent actions. So they go unchecked and eventually, as we saw, things come back around. I don't have a side here. I am also well aware you are very knowledgeable on this entire conflict and the history behind it. Its just nice to put everything out there for others who arent.
@@RoboticDragon The Arab states that had their land "stolen" would not exist if not for the same reason Israel existed: British and UN decision making. We are talking about the Middle East; genocide, imperialism, and the stealing of land goes back to the dawn of civilisation that occurred there. The Arab states did not have their land "stolen" until after they attacked Israel. Also, whilst I agree that the international community should have done more to pressure Israel to stop its settler colonialism in the West Bank, Gaza was given a great opportunity that it squandered. "Palestinian" is a manufactured identity that only exists in response to Israel; Gazans and those in the West Bank aren't more similiar than other Arab groups in other countries. Knowing this, and knowing geography, and history, its silly in my opinion to treat Palestinians as a national identity, and we should instead talk about Gaza and the West Bank individually. And considering how West and East Pakistan turned out I don't think a unified Gaza+West Bank state is a good idea, a three-state solution should be considered.
@@user-cx9nc4pj8weast pakistan and west pakistan didnt share languare, nqtional or ethnic group wheres as gaza and west bank do so this solution is just two state solution with needless extra complexity.
@@user-cx9nc4pj8w By this metric then, Israeli is also a manufactured identity. There is no way to make a 2 state or 3 state area, unless Israel gives back what it stole. As Israel is the dominant power and overall aggressor, they hold all the power. They have never cared for peace, they have cared for expansion and ousting the Palestinians. Since they are the dominant power, they have to be the one to make proper concessions and take the lead in building peace. Shows of good faith and investing and trying to help rebuild Palestine is whats needed. The Israelis though, will never go for that. Thats all I have to say. Cheers.
After the 1948 war, many Palestinians did not flee… they were persecuted and forcefully expelled from their homes and lands.
DUDES CAMERA IS ON ANOTHER LEVEL!!!
Sony FX3. 😀
@@JamesKerLindsay I GUESS IT'S WORTH MORE THAN MY EX.
I'm watching the video now from Lebanon. Great job! A quick unofficial update: as the settlers in the north have officially informed Israel government that they will not return to their homes unless HA move away from the borders, Israel have communicated through french channels that either HA retreats beyond the litani river or they will open a full scale war. Jean Le-Drian visited lebanon last week for a political resolution, and Macron might visit Lebanon next week to further position a diplomatic solution. The next 2 weeks are critical. Let's see!
Thank you so much for the update. That is very worrying. I had heard some rumblings that things were perhaps moving on this. Let’s indeed see. But in the meantime keep safe. Best regards from nearby in Cyprus!
❤Informative channel💙
The United States pays for 20% of Israel's military budget while Israel has a space program, universal health care, subsidized college tuition and still ran a budget surplus last year.
And you're privy to those details and to the accuracy of them, right?
Israel's military budget is $23.6B; military aid to Israel costs the US $3.3B. So, our contribution is about 12% of the total $27B. This is somewhat misleading, however, as their expenditures and ours are very different in kind. Our $3.3B isn't provided to Israel as cash; it's provided to US arms makers, for example, to provide Israel with weapons such as F-35s.
I like how the counter arguments to this aren't saying "why are we doing this" but saying "maybe the numbers are slightly off" because they know the former is unjustifiable
@@nickolas6614 their support is for obvious and justifiable reasons, considering the nature of the governments in neighborhood. The aid provided goes to purchase American military 'materiel' so it's more like technically a handout to Lockheed Martin et al. Furthermore, US alignment with Israel only occurred after the war in 1973, where surrounding Arab nations were backed by the USSR. This made supporting Israel politically expedient in the fight against communism and Israel seized the opportunity. Until that year, relations were nothing more than cordial at best, sometimes cold after being forced by the US to give up land (Sinai) seized from Egypt. Today, the logic behind supporting Israel has changed, but it still remains necessary and everyone knows this without necessarily openly saying it.
@@electrosyzygy I agree with the facts you have here but not the conclusions you come to. I don't think it is justifiable, and I think the sentiment of "the nature of governments in neighborhood" are exactly the sentiment of colonial powers that got us into this mess. Middle Eastern countries have their fair share of human rights issues, but to pretend as though Western countries are not far worse is ahistorical. Britain conquered most the world, Germany caused the Holocaust, the Turks the Armenian Genocide and the Ottoman Empire, and the US the Native American Genocide, the nuking of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and the mass murder of 430k civilian Arabs in the post 9/11 wars. No, the US is far more savage than any country it claims to liberate, and it's direct involvement have caused the rise of both Al Qaeda and ISIS, and the collapse of Libya over their previous and far more stable governments. The ideology is born entirely out of a white supremacy sentiment, and the US's rabid involvement in both Israel and Ukraine has nothing to do with a savior mentality but in providing a convenient location from which to commit more mass murders on other countries, to liberate them of their resources, and to liberate ourselves from the fear of those we consider beneath us. And all of this is funded with our tax dollars by a government that claims to represent democracy and the people while around 70% of citizens want ceasefire while only 5% of our representatives do, most of whom are directly funded by AIPAC. The concept of Western civilization is in itself built on a lie that it serves the people rather than greed.
Hizbullah actually means "the Party of God" not army. Nonetheless, a great video. Very informative.
Thanks so much. Indeed. Well spotted. Silly mistake that I should have caught when editing the script. Thanks for the correction.
@@JamesKerLindsay You're welcome, as a Turkish academic working on East and S.E. Asia, I actually learnt a lot from you about my own region. Now that I am at Cambrdige POLIS, I might mail you later on for a short visit in London.
All the best
I don't think Hezbollah will declare war unless they are willing to sacrifice their political power and legitimacy in Lebanon. Lebanon and Israel have signed a historic deal to jointly exploit natural gas in the Med, Lebanon is desperate for income would be forced to take action against Hezbollah making a 2-front war and permanently losing any support in Lebanon. This would also hamper Iran's influence there if Hezbollah is reduced to ashes.
Thank you. Very interesting point! I had wanted to make a video on the gas deal. I should come back to it.
@@JamesKerLindsay would be a fascinating video, I was surprised when the deal was announced, I didn't think Lebanon's political class to be capable! This pragmatism seems to be gaining steam in the Mideast.
I hope they there be no war in the north for i live in the golan heights and i don't want to a target of missiles and i can't just leave i have a life there and way to many pets to take care of so i can't just leave.
Myanmar conflict video when?
Where does Skibidi Toliet play into all of this?
Is the prevention of refugees seeking safety tantamount to a potential war crime, and if not, should it be considered as such? Conversations with individuals often reveal a lack of awareness regarding A. Israel's imposition of an air, land, and sea blockade on Gaza and B. Collaborative efforts with Egypt to restrict the movement of Gaza residents seeking to depart. I question how these joint actions in light of the bombing d not appear akin to a form of collective punishment?
an entire discussion on Israel vs Lebanon without mentioning Lebanon and by extension Hezbollah is essenitally bankrupt. Just the state of things right now where theres a low key aggression going on has ruined the Lebanese tourism industry which was the only thing they were relying on.
please report on stopping the war please and thanks
what about Turkey?
Turkey won't do anything just like hezbollah and Iran northern gaza is already pretty much under the idf control.
You forgot to mention the land that belong to Lebanon and still occupied by Israel
That might not have been part of his assignment 😉
Wow, Palestinians just bring peace and prosperity everywhere they go…
❤❤❤
Lebanon's population is like a delicate mosaic.
Thanks for the video.
A couple of comments: Hizbullah is attacking also civilian targets, not only military.
There are ~200,000 evacuated Israelis already, from the areas closest to the border with Lebanon and Syria. No idea when they will be able to return to their homes with some sense of security
Lebanese civilians were targeted, so Hezbollah targeted civilians in return.
He had already said that for every one Lebanese civilian they kill, he'll kill an Israeli civilian.
Hezbollah attacking civilian targets? I call BS on that. And those Israelis can return to their native home in Europe.
There are multiple factors that might push Hezballah into escalation and a full scale war, whether it's pressure from Iran or internal instability in Lebanon, targeting their financial investments in Europe, Africa and the Americas. I don't think the massacre in Gaza or the presence of US aircraft is a factor in their decision process.
Hopefully the situation in Gaza will be resolved peacefully otherwise the whole region might descend into chaos.
If one thinks about it, there is much more open opposition to Israel in the West than there was before this tragedy.
Well researched and presented topic. Some points of crucial importance in the developments in the region were -
The shiites were historically treated as 3rd class Lebanese citizens until Iran came to their support.
Israel was created in 1948 after a huge influx of illegal immigrant Jews who were transported from Europe to Palestine and militarized under British colonialism there. Check the Balfour declaration in 1917, and the legacy of Robert Samuel between 1920-1925 and onwards.
Before Israel, Moslems, Christians and Jews were living peacefully together in Palestine for centuries.
Professor thank you for the clarity!
It feels amazing to begin to understand the complex history and situation of Lebanon. You have given us the gift of understanding with your precise and profound explanations. I commend you for your amazing skills in education. I always feel hopeful learning from you and your community of viewers - a feeling that rational thought and understanding have a place in a sometimes confusing world of international politics.
I am sure I am not alone in offering you huge appreciation for your efforts.
Thank you so much for the incredibly kind words. I can’t say how much I really and truly appreciate it. I started the channel to try to explain complex events in international relations, especially at a time when there is so much misinformation and disinformation. It has been brilliant to see how well received it has been. To hear such comments makes all the effort that goes into the videos worth it. Thank you!
There is also the international “mafia” face of Hezbollah that could be interesting to see.
To finance the group they had or have ties with Venezuelan government officials to do drug trafficking.
Also, they have all the money laundries systems with complicity of some Lebanese banks - from Venezuela, Paraguay (Ciudad del Este), or West Africa
You skipped over so much details that were very important during the 80s and 90s in regards to the atrocities committed by Israel but you went into detail about every single assault done by the hisbollah
Good overview linking all the major points though quite a shallow analysis in my opinion.
Я бы сказал что этих оккупантов должны волновать миллиарды людей во всем мире, которые готовы разорвать их на куски, мир не слеп и не глух, люди видят всё что происходит
But why do the Israelis not accept the one-state solution and grant all Palestinians Israeli citizenship and leave Al-Aqsa Mosque to the Muslim Palestinians? If they do that, I think that most of the Palestinian people will accept that and everyone will live in peace, as is the case with the Jews in Morocco and Tunisia. They live in these Arab countries as full citizens. Rights and no one is bothering them. I think that this solution deserves serious study by both parties instead of these tragedies that everyone is suffering from.
🎉🎉
Israel wants to preserve its character as a Jewish state. Granting Palestinians Israeli citizenship would greatly alter the demographics of Israel. Arabs also have a much higher birth rate than Jews and the Arabs already equal the Jews in number. If Israel accepted the one-state solution, then Israel would quite literally "turn into" Palestine gradually in the future.
3:06 the Palestinians didn't flee, they were ethnically cleansed and driven out.
5.53 who massacred those Palestinians? Strange how you phrased it like it just happened as if by nature rather than by Israeli backed militants, and Israeli troops protected those militants while they massacred innocents in Sabra and Shatila.
🤙
Can you please one day make a video about the nearly one million Jewish refugees from Middle East and North Aftica including Lebanon since the early 20th century. While Palestinians are well known, the existance of more than half of Israel's population, descendants of Mizrahi Jews is never acknowledged by international bodies.
Thanks so much. Great suggestion. Let me look into it.
@@JamesKerLindsay Thank you so much. My ancestors were Yemeni Jews who were forced to flee Yemen in 1925 to British mandate Palestine because of the "orphan's decree." One of the platforms being discussed in Israel as a basis for renewed Arab Israeli peace negotiations post Gaza war is an insistence that Arab governments cannot champion the Palestinian refugees while not at least acknowledge the role they played in the ethnic cleansing of their own millenia old Jewish minorities in countries such as Egypt, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon etc.
@@MrPickledede the Palestinians expulsion is not well-known quite the opposite actually infact in Isreal it’s illegal to even teach and talk about…
@@blackwatertv7018 Perhaps for good reasons?
@@toby9999 yes, to propagate and promote genocidal behavior in Palestinian genocide denialists in youtube comments
sorry to say the analysis is wrong. none of both sides interested in fight ans all what they do in shape of bad acting to please their supporters
Think about the issue from a moral point of reference. If you are a fair person and have no bias pro or against either side you can clearly see that the whole territory belongs to the Palestinians and the other folks have no business in those lands. This is perhaps the most inmoral act perpetrated by westerners. I refuse to participate in this atrocity anymore.
הדבר הזה ברור ולכן לשים סימן שאלה בכותרת הסרטון מיותר
04 / 1948: Deir Yassin
05/ 1948: First Arab-Israeli war
Context matters!
Indeed. And you don’t think the Arab preparations were underway for an attack before then? Frankly, the history of 1948 was ever going to go one of two ways. The Palestinians would have destroyed Israel, or Israel would have beaten the Palestinians with all that meant. This is the interesting thing about conflicts. The losing often forgets that it would have been more than happy to have emerged as the victor, and would have carried out atrocities of its own had it done so.bin not using this to make a specific pint only about Palestinians. I’m saying I see this time and time again in conflicts around the world.
@@JamesKerLindsay Yes but for clarification: I did not mean to put it in terms of winning or losing but in terms of perspective or motivation; Palestinians were forcefully kicked out of their homes and that by nature triggers motivation for revenge.
Imagine if Egyptians came up with $160B military to "re-claim" their ancient Middle/New Kingdom homeland, bc of some ancient imaginary friend; including Ursalim/Jerusalem, won't that drive current inhibitors nuts 💁🏻♂
**one more thing, killing civilians in masses & mass graveyards can never be justified; not today, not pre-1948, 1948 or 1967, in all Palestinians territories (incl West Bank, which recognizes Israel but yet under illegal occupation)
@@Iosef426 Okay. So for the current situation where Israeli's were murdered and kidnapped wouldn't that motivate their revenge by nature? Also, when Israel was created it was not done primarily because of religious reasons, but so Jews could have their own country which protected them and did not discriminate against them. Its only recently that religious extremists have taken over Israel, just like radical Islam was far less important in the early Israeli-Arab wars.
@@user-cx9nc4pj8w Yes but my comment was related to the early timeline setup in the video...
Yes it was not too tied w religions in the beginning, as a matter of fact, Egyptian Jews built the first banks, had their names on coins and fought for even Egypt's independence.
Regarding the current situation, partially true, but the right to defend must not be confused with war crimes; killing 10x more civilians (incl children, women & elders) would bring even more hatred; think of it as your children being in school of 1000 children and a bad guy hijacked the place (or some tunnel 2x deeper than London metro that lacks evidence of existence), would you be okay if all people in the building were eliminated?
Would you be praising the "specially trained forces" for such act and be having a "peaceful" talks next day?
I might not be able to provide instant solution but all I can tell, it doesn't seem to be doing more good than harm.
@@JamesKerLindsay I wonder, did you research the mass killings/massacres from 1920 - 1948?
Remember, it was a time when Immigrate Jews were welcomed in British Palestine and where given Palestinian passports; when Egyptian Jews had their coins, biggest banks and fought for Egypt's Independence; Egypt & other regional countries were too secular, no hijabs even in Azhar before Nasser actually tried to ban it.
The way I see it, it was never about imaginary friends & religions, as the some disinformation propaganda propagates but all fight for the ancient Egyptian land of Palestine/Israel.
Nothing justifies unproved war crimes, specially against unarmed civilians
Can you please do a video on how International law is being upheld by the i$raeli state and how ap@rtheid is necessary because the p@lestinians cannot be treated equally. Also mention how taking land is completely ok as long as you have weapons and why forcible removal of a population and 10s of thousands of civilians dead is definitely not genocide and completely fine especially because they are P@lestinians! Thank you Prof.
both are allies secretly they will not fight each other and even with iran too
Kurdıstan İsrail ✌️✌️
There is already a 2nd frount the northern border is going hand to hand
No video about whats going on today between Israel and Hamas ? I wonder why not ?????????????
You can't expect a video today about what happened today. It takes time to produce a video. There was a video on Gaza some weeks ago. Also, this channel is not primarily about current events but about the background to current events. The background has not changed in the past weeks.
@ronald3856 Thank you so much. I don't think people realise how long it takes to make videos. :-)
Thanks. Although I can sometimes add developments that take place on the day of filming, I can't hope to look at anything after Tuesday if it means writing an entire script. I don't have a team behind me. It takes time to write, film and edit these videos. I am not a news organisation. And I don't try to be. I want to explain world events but set them in their historical context. I did a video on Hamas a few weeks ago. As Ronald pointed out, nothing I said then has changed.
Israel's fifth column NOT new front.
With all due respect James; that first sentence in your opening monologue "As fighting continues between Israel and Hamas," is a false narrative.
Am just expression my opinion on the matter!
Persia has had it's day
Between Israeli forces and children you mean?
Allah will remove the fear of you from the hearts of your enemies and put Wahn {love for DUNYA and hatred for death}.
As action speaks louder than words!
Poor Arab leaders need to answer All Mighty!
Shame on you!!
Zion shall be redeemed with justice, and her converts with righteousness. But the destruction of transgressors and sinners shall be together, and they that forsake Jehovah shall be consumed.
Isaiah:1:27-28
So also is the resurrection of the dead. It is sown in corruption; it is raised in incorruption: it is sown in dishonor; it is raised in glory: it is sown in weakness; it is raised in power: it is sown a natural body; it is raised a spiritual body. If there is a natural body, there is also a spiritual body. Howbeit that is not first which is spiritual, but that which is natural; then that which is spiritual. Now this I say, brethren, that flesh and blood cannot inherit the kingdom of God; neither doth corruption inherit incorruption. Behold, I tell you a mystery: We all shall not sleep, but we shall all be changed, in a moment, in the twinkling of an eye, at the last trump: for the trumpet shall sound, and the dead shall be raised incorruptible, and we shall be changed. For this corruptible must put on incorruption, and this mortal must put on immortality. But when this corruptible shall have put on incorruption, and this mortal shall have put on immortality, then shall come to pass the saying that is written, Death is swallowed up in victory. O death, where is thy victory? O death, where is thy sting?
1 Corinthians:15:42-44,46,50-55
Thanks for the overview! I'd be really interested to hear more of the history of PLO and Fatah in Palestine. I don't understand how the more left-wing groups gave way to right-wing fundamentalists in Hamas. I've read that Netanyahu and Israel supported Hamas' rise to power but the articles never go into enough detail. Thanks!
Thanks. Great topic. I really should look into this. It’s a fascinating story.
Regarding Arab nationalism including Baath, Fatah, PLO & Nasserism, they were left-wing in the context of anti-colonialism and wanting to counter the West.
Regarding race, some were quite right-wing. Jews and non-Arabs were somewhat tolerated, never truly accepted. Saddam's uncle, according to Saddam's recollection, supposedly told his nephew some not-very-nice comparisons between flies, Iranians and Jews.
This was of course moderate compared to Hamas.
Israel has fought Hezbollah before...Israel has fought multiple front wars before.
Yes. Isreal fought them to a draw, with the IDF going so far as to admit that Hezbollah isn’t a push over and a long, protracted war with them would be a disastrous for them.
Israel's old front. The Ayatollahs. Now with added Russian incompetence.
IsraeI has long had a “mad dog” approach. By acting with extreme aggression and violence with seemingly little thought for consequences it seeks to intimidate and give pause to adversaries. But it’s a risky strategy if someone calls your bluff.
As you say, they're prepared to use an awful lot of force. Isn't that the definition of *not* bluffing?
You are describing exactly the way arab nations have conducted war the past few centuries. Israël has always been smart about the game of war, since they don't have the numbers. But yeah, arabs have bled for their transgressions against the state of Israël - that was a nescessity rather than mindless agression tho. The dogs have to learn..
First Nakba occured before Arab Israeli War When Zionist Militant attacked killed and displaced Palestinian(Christians Muslims and other religious minority)then the 1st Arab Israel war broke out...
Hezbollah means "Party of God" not "Army of God". In Arabic Hizb is Party while Allah is God
Yes. Thank you. I realised the mistake. I should have caught it in the editing. Sometimes these things happen.
@@JamesKerLindsayespecially when you're an academic and still see things only from the Israeli perspective
There are tens of thousands of internally displaced Israelis who cannot and will not return to their homes in the towns of the north until Hezbollah is dealt with. Of course the next phase of the war after Hamas is no more are the Hezbollah and other Iranian proxies.
Hello! Thank you for your excellent video! Very informative, long term viewer, first time commenter, just a correction:
Hezballah does not mean "army of God". The Arabic word for army is "jaesh", "hezb" however is the Arabic word for a political party, the liberal party would be "hezb al libraly". So what hezballah means actually, is "the party of Allah" or "the party of God"
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20 000 + dead and counting in Gaza now. Most of them children and women. If Israel is not stopped from behaving like a spoiled brat by its Western allies then Hezbollah will inevitably have to enter the conflict to maintain its own stature in Lebanon. This will lead to regional and then potentially global conflict.
Army of God or party of God, this is why i refuse to listen to pilgrims explaining things
Lebanon is too poor and the Middle East hegemon is the US which means support for Hezbollah won't come from the rich nations in the Middle East. So Hezbollah can only afford to attack in raids. They lack alot of equipment necessary for an offensive but if Israel would invade Lebanon then Israel would lose the ground war.
End zionazi apartheid, FREE PALESTINE 🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸
Never gonna happen
I believe there may be a “sacrifice” taking place not only of the Palestinian people but also everyone else in the region…to cause a blasphemous event that by virtue of a religious bond draw all of them ALL into what they believe they have vanquished and conquered and “suddenly comes their destruction” …. all the lambs ….the 144,000 as prophesied will ascend
few things that should have been mentioned but weren't:
- Israel only left (almost all) South of Lebanon due to Hezbollah's armed resistance.
- Israel still occupies an area known as Sheba Farms (South Lebanon).
- The Taif agreement of 1989, gave Hizbollah the right to keep its armed wing to fight against Israeli occupation and to release all Lebanese prisoners in Israeli jail.
- Hezbollah crossed the border in 2006 in an attempt to take Israeli soldier hostages, as a way to force Israel to come to negotiation table to release Lebanese prisoners and they were successful in doing it.
I am sure I would have added few more points had I continued listening to your bias take beyond 7:40 minutes mark
Always best to assume and not verify...
This is the future that awaits the West y'all 😅
This won't happen until the US leaves the area
The second Hezbollah would declare war the us would immediately be forced to intervene
the kings in Persia allowed the Jews to return to Israel , read the book of Daniel in the Holy Bible !