Fallout 76 How To Get All Rare Masks // The Science Behind Loot Drops

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  • čas přidán 10. 07. 2024
  • Here's the complete science behind #Fasnachtfallout76 loot drops that shows how to get all rare masks if that's what you're after. Full disclosure - this math HURTS!
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    00:00:00 - Bethesda archives
    00:00:48 - Theories vs Math
    00:01:13 - Conspiracy theory 1
    00:01:48 - Conspiracy theory 2
    00:02:26 - How AFKing affects the game
    00:03:39 - Conspiracy theory 3
    00:04:19 - FO76 slow servers
    00:06:42 - Conspiracy theory 4
    00:06:58 - Event nuked
    00:07:35 - Conspiracy theory 5
    00:08:18 - SCIENCE!
    00:08:23 - Mask rarity drop chance
    00:09:45 - Your ACTUAL chances
    00:10:51 - How many times to run event!?
    00:11:49 - HOLY COW! That math SUCKS!
    00:12:10 - Fasnacht mask pool
    00:13:12 - To AFK or to walk?
    00:13:39 - Thanks for watching!
    We are No0dlP4ntz and oskapt. Thanks for watching!
    If there is anything specific that you would like us to cover in the next #fallout76 video, please drop us a comment.
  • Hry

Komentáře • 472

  • @Gamer_Aviator
    @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +4

    Get special perks as a channel MEMBER: czcams.com/channels/dASLtoFu2Y2ed-lD1LA7JQ.htmljoin

  • @PiLotTRr
    @PiLotTRr Před 4 měsíci +94

    A fun story. The drop rates in 2019 were broken. The uncommon and rare masks both had a 1% drop rate. So when they brought the event back in 2020 they adjusted the drop rates so people would have a better chance to get the uncommon masks they desperately wanted. So they made the uncommon rate higher than the common. And Bethesda being Bethesda, they never bothered to change it again.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +5

      That's funny.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +12

      no way! that's crazy. it explains why the drop rate is skewed. i love how everyone just expects bethesda to screw everything up. -oskapt

    • @asianartist1
      @asianartist1 Před 4 měsíci +5

      fucking a - this makes a LOT of sense. i remember how hard that shit was.... it was so hard i stopped running fasnacht for like 1-2 years...

    • @funrun07haan50
      @funrun07haan50 Před 4 měsíci +3

      U gotta love bethesda for their trolling😂😂

    • @gametime2473
      @gametime2473 Před 4 měsíci +1

      This is the first Fasnacht I have gotten anything decent.

  • @eingames9931
    @eingames9931 Před 4 měsíci +22

    The common masks are tied to how many bots survive. Players are so good at getting the bots to live that most times the odds are in favor of getting the uncommon ones. If some die then it becomes in favor of the common masks.

    • @darthsilversith667
      @darthsilversith667 Před 4 měsíci +2

      If 1 bot dies, you lose all chances at getting a rare

    • @Buderbukz
      @Buderbukz Před 4 měsíci +4

      As darthsilversith667 as said. It's true. If even one bot dies, everyone is automatically disqualified from getting a rare. If that happens, quickly jump to another server and try and join another event that has 5 alive bots before it ends.

    • @fnusecurity5112
      @fnusecurity5112 Před 4 měsíci

      @@Buderbukz Been trying to jump in between events to do it twice in a hour. Your timing has to be perfect. Every time I tried, the Event already been done for and everyone gone. Do you have to wait for the awards to show up before you jump or the completion notice?

    • @Buderbukz
      @Buderbukz Před 4 měsíci +2

      @@fnusecurity5112 In the scenario I stated, if any bot dies, immediately jump, do not wait for rewards. Leave the server and join another asap. If you are just trying to jump servers to get in more events, "no bots died", then yes wait for rewards before jumping. It isn't easy to find an event that hasn't finished on another server, but it can be done.

    • @Buderbukz
      @Buderbukz Před 4 měsíci +1

      Say for example the super mutant stage a bot dies, leave right away and try a new server. There is absolutely no point staying on the server with dead bots as you will not even be in the running for a rare.

  • @jeffbarnesyout
    @jeffbarnesyout Před 4 měsíci +42

    Actually you could argue that AFKers aren't interacting much with the area (no weapons fired, etc.), so they probably have less impact on the speed of the server than ones who are actually playing. Yes, the growing mask pool has been making getting any particular mask that much harder. I think Bethesda should have rethought the drop rate before doing this. Thanks for the video.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +2

      Yeah, good point!

    • @malotonga4957
      @malotonga4957 Před 4 měsíci +3

      Also if adding more masks instead of 1 a hour they should do twice an hour or stating time instead of 7mins to talk to mc make it 10 mins so we can do double dips easier

    • @htmn4712
      @htmn4712 Před 4 měsíci +1

      @@malotonga4957god no, please don’t make us do fasnacht twice every hour

    • @thistle76
      @thistle76 Před 4 měsíci

      I have played and afk 120 times and only got 1 glowing... they are right about as the pool grows the chances of getting the rares go way down...they should of demoted the older rare masks to uncommon the old uncommon to common... then you will have a better chance of actually getting the new rares!

    • @thistle76
      @thistle76 Před 4 měsíci

      ​@@malotonga4957not so easy to double bip unless you have friends on other servers slowing it down...if you rush to get to another server why wouldn't they?

  • @Raziel699
    @Raziel699 Před 4 měsíci +11

    I got lucky with the 2 rare masks off the get when the event first started this time around. the problem is Bugthisduh is overly diluting the loot pool with each year of the event in order to time gate and push despairing people to the cash shop to buy their masks. I say hold out on the atomic shop until you get all the ingame rares just to push back and send a message.

  • @StudioCreations
    @StudioCreations Před 4 měsíci +6

    I have marched in 30+ Fasnacht Events so far this year and not one Rare Mask has dropped for me yet. The odds have not been in my favor.
    I will say, one of those events failed because no one had a God-Weapon in the 4-man group that actually walked in the parade (11 AFKers in the area though) and 3 Robots died at the very end (glowing wolves tore them to pieces) . AFKers need to participate in the event for the event to be successful, or no one will ever get rare masks.
    Ultimately this years Fasnacht has been very frustrating for me. :)

  • @datboi1971
    @datboi1971 Před 4 měsíci +6

    Thank you for capturing footage of me and my friends! Fasnacht is fun and frustrating at the same time lol

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci

      :) yay! Indeed. Well said - fun and frustrating. -NP

  • @Sandyman406
    @Sandyman406 Před 4 měsíci +24

    Got my first glowing mask today after 59 attempts…

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +5

      Rock on. This math hurts, doesn't? :D

    • @jimmyx2834
      @jimmyx2834 Před 4 měsíci

      Yup. Haven't gotten one yet and I've done at least 30...finally got the raven which is the only one I have seen duplicated yet got me. Hopefully glowing blue devil fingers crossed

    • @llkjjjss
      @llkjjjss Před 15 dny

      Got my first on my forth attempt.

    • @Lameloserlmao
      @Lameloserlmao Před 5 dny

      Got mine after 80 or so. But now I have 3.

    • @seanpelletier
      @seanpelletier Před 4 dny +1

      I'm over 200 attempts in and didn't get anything, had to trade a buddy my 2 shot fatman and show him how to increase the damage to 2600×2 for him to trade me one, he get 3 glowing unicorns in a row yesterday. He's blessed by RNGesus

  • @havokstrife7094
    @havokstrife7094 Před 4 měsíci +27

    I have fully participated in over 40 events and nada, so now I do actually afk it,why bust my ass for nothing.

    • @cgimichaelmyers2806
      @cgimichaelmyers2806 Před 4 měsíci +7

      Plus when you try to do the event people kill everything in less than a second so it's just better not to take part in the event.

    • @seanowens3153
      @seanowens3153 Před měsícem +1

      Bright light explosions blind my eyes and afk I go.

    • @lushdog4538
      @lushdog4538 Před 8 dny +1

      Also the less controls I push the more stable my connection and less crashes.

  • @scubasteve3032
    @scubasteve3032 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Hey, great video! Very well put together! I finally after playing hours on end, I got the exact mask I wanted, the Glowing Blue Devil Mask!

  • @sammert7021
    @sammert7021 Před 4 měsíci +11

    Great video, I finally got a rare mask today, a death claw one. Was AFK for 99% as had to make food but helped end the sloth and wolves. Might try that again!

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +2

      Thanks! Niiiice. Congrats on the Deathclaw. That's a really cool one.

    • @seccosec
      @seccosec Před 4 měsíci

      “Helped with the sloth”… I rarely have time to land a hit on it before it gets annihilated by half a dozen of mid-lvl and their uninspired railway op builds…

    • @sammert7021
      @sammert7021 Před 4 měsíci

      @@seccosec yeah I've played a couple of the events and not hit anything as some had one tap guns. Annoying but what's worse is when people spam the fat man and you cant see anything. At least you still get something from the sloth even if did not hit him.

    • @ImperialMunki
      @ImperialMunki Před 4 měsíci +1

      Y'all get mad if we don't participate then get mad if we do 😂😂 ​@@seccosec

  • @twothreeactual9254
    @twothreeactual9254 Před 4 měsíci +5

    Really enjoyed the breakdown. This event is always interesting lol. Toxicity is always up the roof the first week. After it kinda dies down. At least what ive always noticed. Anyway been very lucky this year… and all my rares attained via: AFK!! However when you afk, I got you with my quad rail explosive, nothing gets passed me. And of course a fire healing weapon.

  • @barbadosslim5099
    @barbadosslim5099 Před 4 měsíci +1

    This is the first time I watch a video in which science is actually it. Very, very nice indeed.
    Left my like and also subscribed.
    Very good job, gals 🤝🏻

  • @bellaing6963
    @bellaing6963 Před 4 měsíci +1

    This was a good video. Well done & Informative. Ty guys 👍

  • @qhynie
    @qhynie Před 4 měsíci +7

    Fasnacht needs a purveyor like murmph. Trade in crap masks for a random rare mask or event completion tickets sorta like overseer tickets to prevent hoarding and keep people playing. Just based on the size of loot pools, complete like ten events > trade in those tickets for a random rare mask > still a low chances of being exactly what you want but you're getting something for your effort; this current system is garbage. Imma probably walk away from this years without a rare mask, with almost 35 events/HOURS under my belt so far (sorry Bethesda I work and dont wanna burn up my xbox). Considering how so called community driven/celebrated fasnacht is, people end these weeks feeling burned out and left out. I've literally only had regular sbq and regular honey bee masks drop from new stuff. I had to buy reg blue devil, reg scorchbeast and 2 of the new plans from player vendors. All I want from fasnacht is a glowing sbq and glowing honey bee dammit. Also why wouldn't wastelanders check out this crazy robot parade, at least settlers and maybe raiders. How about revamping the actual event thats not been touched since it launched 5 YEARS ago. I like Helvetia all peaceful without the scorched, maybe add npc's to talk to even if its just easy rudimentary quests/dialogue and limited to just Fasnachts weeks.

    • @faze_blaze7151
      @faze_blaze7151 Před 5 dny

      @@qhynie I completely agree because if your unluck for say (me) I feel as if players who are doing the work and running the event are getting trash while I see people plastering all over fb are like wow got so many glowing while just afking.Which is werid saying I feel as if doing something in the event should impact your loot but at this point im just rambling lol.I feel as if though if they did trade like trade an amount of the normal version of the mask to get the glowing variation would be cool or just straight up as you said trade a certain amount of common or uncommon mask to get a rare mask!

  • @KentuckyRanger
    @KentuckyRanger Před 4 měsíci +4

    Naturally, Reddit is going insane, with people thinking their new shiny glowing masks, should demand insane trades.
    I guess I'll just wait a while, after the event, for the dust to settle, and try to trade some of my rare non glowing masks, when peoples inflated egos come back down to Earth, LOL!

  • @chris5942
    @chris5942 Před 4 měsíci +23

    AFKers did statistically increase the number of bunched panties on any given server.

    • @gutzboy1
      @gutzboy1 Před 4 měsíci

      I call BS because I never saw any dropped panties at Fasnacht!

    • @clymdodds1020
      @clymdodds1020 Před 4 měsíci +1

      You’re a Slacker, Mcfly….

    • @chris5942
      @chris5942 Před 4 měsíci +1

      @@clymdodds1020 I play my share for the next shift AFKers. I have yet to see not enough players to win.

    • @clymdodds1020
      @clymdodds1020 Před 4 měsíci

      @942 It would take a little organisation. But as myth busters say"Failure is always an option" I would add apathy can kill anything and never underestimate human spite when it comes to getting nothing so that You get nothing too.... Anyway Fk the masks the smart money's farming infinite squirrel..... AFKers just drank the cool aid.

    • @seanowens3153
      @seanowens3153 Před měsícem

      ​@@chris5942it's a back to the future reference brotha, no one cares if you afk

  • @kevinmckenna7261
    @kevinmckenna7261 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Got one glowing mask at a nuked event and nothing since, jesters toothies etc. Not bothering now just ignoring the event and all those wasted nukes. Couple of days to go. Happy Fastnacht

  • @matzewrath
    @matzewrath Před 7 dny

    Well done breakdown of the fastnacht odds! I acutally got the glowing scorchbeast queen mask you mentioned. Damn, I guess I drained all my luck for an good while with that drop ^^'

  • @LiberalsAreAllLosers-hp5wj
    @LiberalsAreAllLosers-hp5wj Před 4 měsíci +14

    Had 4 of us running the event for 8 straight hours yesterday and 4 others on another server AFKing....0 glowing mask..

    • @deestonebreaker
      @deestonebreaker Před 4 měsíci

      yup our own testing has shown that glowing mask has about a 0.5% chance. truly we have 1 out of over 240 events

  • @JustAPinkLugia
    @JustAPinkLugia Před 4 měsíci +12

    For Fo76 servers running slow due to AFKers there’s also people who join the game when the game starts. It’s insane how bad loading times become

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +1

      watch the video, dude. ;) -NP

    • @JustAPinkLugia
      @JustAPinkLugia Před 4 měsíci +1

      @@Gamer_Aviator I uhhh.. I did. I don’t remember you mentioning everyone logging on at the same time. Just a lot of players being in 1 location. With each player having to load, render, and have sound to effects, explosions, and other players

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +2

      i agree with you that the additional load of people spawning into the server at event time can cause problems. i've noticed the last few times that i was nuked out or the game crashed, and i tried to rejoin a server within the first 10 minutes of the event starting, that i get put onto a new, empty server where the event never started. i don't know if that's a new development or if i'm just unlucky at trying to get into a server and hit the end of the event. - oskapt

  • @mamayl8592
    @mamayl8592 Před 4 měsíci +3

    Just got my first glowing mask ( non-queen scorchbeast ). Have run the event probably 20-30 times. Just happy I got the first one under my belt, now everything else is gravy IMHO. Also got a father winter helmet.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +1

      That helmet is rare. Hold on to it. -NP

  • @nigelwiffen6743
    @nigelwiffen6743 Před 4 měsíci +2

    a great video ,thank you loved it.

  • @rachetgear
    @rachetgear Před 3 dny

    In 1963, Albert Bandura conducted a famous study known as the Bobo Doll Study 💣

  • @thecoffemug6574
    @thecoffemug6574 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Great vid!

  • @brandonfleming8910
    @brandonfleming8910 Před 4 měsíci +5

    This is my first time participating in the event, missed out the other year and it sucks trying to get the old rare mask. I end up dropping all the common and uncommon ones cause i dont need a shit load of them😂

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +2

      Yeah, you know we wish that they would put the old masks up in the Atomic Shop and offer only new ones during the event. That would make A LOT more sense.

  • @dragonmac1234
    @dragonmac1234 Před 4 měsíci +4

    I usually play the game three or four hours a day and I think I've received more berets than anything else. Owl, Jester, Skull and (in the last couple of days) Scorchbeast masks have been dropping for me. I've also made a few caps selling radtoad and wolf meat to the vendors

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +3

      Oh yes, same here. The radtoad omelettes are the new gulper slurries. :P I also just sell all my legendary weapons right away, since I'm pretty much married to my Holy Fire flamer. -NP

    • @dragonmac1234
      @dragonmac1234 Před 4 měsíci +2

      @@Gamer_Aviator Same here I have three Holy Fire's, one to burn everything to a crisp and another two for that OTT vibe 🔥😄

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +1

      @@dragonmac1234 I wish I had different pint for it though. Mine's just regular looking.

  • @liamjoe3690
    @liamjoe3690 Před 4 měsíci +2

    I’ve run this event over 142 times so far. I keep the masks until Fasnacht is over and run a tally. So far I have over 8 rare drops and no duplicates this year. Run this video again afterwards and I will update my tally.

  • @AnimeShinigami13
    @AnimeShinigami13 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Something bizzare happened to me odds wise at Fasnacht yesterday afternoon. I've been running a camp shop more or less since Fasnacht began south of town by the road. Grahm, the super mutant vendor came walking through my camp and through the intersection where the toads spawn during Fasnacht FOUR TIMES in an afternoon. I'm really curious what the odds of that are because yesterday the RNG really seemed to like him. Made me wonder if it glitched out or something or if I really was that lucky. Each time he was headed towards town I ran ahead, plugged in my headphones and called out "Grahm's coming guys!!! intersection with the toads! he's coming if you need to sell something!!!!"

  • @brianrmc1963
    @brianrmc1963 Před 4 měsíci +3

    I love this. Still waiting for a glowing one.

  • @timostrom426
    @timostrom426 Před 4 měsíci +3

    i run 2 ps4s, 2 accounts. i run the event with one while the other plays tuba. sometimes they both play tubas, on dufferent servers. afk etiquette: play musical instrument or hide really good and don't wear a rare mask. people can push you out of the event, or lure enemies in to kill you, or nuke it. seeing a bunch of dorks spinning with your precious masks on bumms people out and makes them want to mess with you.

  • @poptarget
    @poptarget Před 4 měsíci +3

    I think they should move some of the old rare masks from the rare pool to the uncommon pool when they introduce new ones. Based on popularity, move say the Raven, Winter Man, etc. out of the rare pool. I'm not convinced that there isn't a sub-category in the rare pool. This is my first Fasnacht and I've gotten the Raven, Brahmin, Winter Man and Hag from the rare category. No glowing or loon (the ones everyone wants)

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci

      yes. definitely. the ever-growing pool is making new rare masks nearly-unattainable. -NP

  • @lyricboss115
    @lyricboss115 Před 4 měsíci +2

    you’re pretty good with numbers I need you when I do my taxes 😂

  • @restlessGuy69
    @restlessGuy69 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Did 90+ runs on my main account and got absolutely no rare masks 😭but the moment I decided to make an alt account to AFK for the last week of fasnacht i got 3 in the span of 40ish runs……im absolutely floored at this

  • @johnw8578
    @johnw8578 Před 4 měsíci +4

    I heard from my cousin's girlfriend's mother's ex-neighbor's son's former-best-friend's uncle that if you eat a Fasnacht donut just before the effigy is burnt, you get a better chance at the rare masks.

  • @rickx723
    @rickx723 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Nice video thank you

  • @Regu1arGuy
    @Regu1arGuy Před 4 měsíci +1

    I ran Fas 105 times and received 3 rares total luckily one being a glowing. I got Buffon, Demon, Glowing Scorchbeast in that order. So in theory I should’ve received 2 more masks, however after speaking with several others that have done 100 plus I’ve found similar results. It could just be a dozen people with highly unlucky rng, couple that with the 0.33% chance to hit the rare you want and that’s a rough two weeks. Realistically the best thing to do is afk as much as possible just to try and put more numbers in the pool. I will say though all 3 rares I did receive was when I was actively playing and not AFK. Most likely another statistical anomaly.

  • @ZuulGatekeeper
    @ZuulGatekeeper Před 4 měsíci

    Very happy, it was a long grind must have done over 180 events the last two weeks. My rare haul from 2024's masks 1x glow scortchqueen, 1X glow scorch beast, 1 x glow Bee & from 2019's masks 1x Loon, 2 x Raven, 2 x Hag, 2x father winter & 2 x Buffoon.

  • @Slabbedask
    @Slabbedask Před 4 měsíci +1

    I have so many masks i have no more space on the wall in my room where i display my rare items. The two last fasnachts have been crazy.

  • @spongbob18
    @spongbob18 Před 4 měsíci +4

    ive done 100 ish with 2 characters 1 Afk so 50ish runs and only got 1 glowing its brutal thats on xbox

  • @user-nn8uc7to4j
    @user-nn8uc7to4j Před 4 měsíci +5

    Got 1 glowing atm, But, got god roll fixer from rewards xD I think my rng luck has been drained with that

  • @kevinle1841
    @kevinle1841 Před měsícem

    That opening scene was nuts

  • @DumaVadamee109
    @DumaVadamee109 Před 4 měsíci +1

    To add onto this video, people should be looking at this events loot drop chance like a gacha game or like destiny/borderlands. The reason these drop chanced don't change from anything you do is because the drop chance is tied to a systum randomizer. Gacha games a very similar because they host these shop sellers usually called banners that sell a particular character or weapon a a fixed, randomized percentage rate (and by law they have to publish those ratee to players). Many people have tried many methods to increase the drop rates, and swear up and down that their "rituals" do work, but in reality unless the game company changes the randomizer's code it won't change for anyone. Same thing for borderlands or destiny, you can spend months doing raids or bosses but because of their games randomizer code, they might never get the right weapon or roll of a weapon.
    The who reason they do this is to keep people playing their game. If a gamess too easy or loots too easy to get or can be duped, no one's going to be playing it after a year. If the games too harsh on difficulty or rewards people will strait up quit and never play it again. A randomizer is both a equalizer of luck and a unconscious stop sign to keep players from ruining the game themselves. So long as players have something to Chase, without feeling their being cheated, they are less likely to get upset about results and less likely to try to cheat th systum.

  • @HaydenMarkle-xc3fp
    @HaydenMarkle-xc3fp Před 4 měsíci +2

    I ran the event 83 times and only got the winter man mask but I’m not complaining

  • @ImChurro
    @ImChurro Před 4 měsíci +5

    The odds might be low but the odds are 0 if you don't participate so AFK away I say

  • @takewhataway
    @takewhataway Před 4 měsíci +3

    Thank you for doing this "research". Anyone with basic statistic knowledge wouldve known already about the chances and how the game works, but you're helping more people understand (and it's not gonna do much if you're AFK-ing). It also makes me feel better for not wanting to do AFK while working or sleeping lol goes both ways. All of the tinfoil theories are wrong of course, but the issue that never being mentioned when we focus on AFK is when only a handful of active players are around vs LOTS of AFK, and then the enemy spawn increased, and there's a chance one robot will die, hence ruining the statistic of getting the rare mask. Ive been in that situation and if I didnt have friendly fire, I know for sure at least one robot would die.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +1

      Yes, indeed. When it comes to AFKers outnumbering the players, simply bounce to a different server untill you get a better one. The one only with AFKers will fail and they'll move too. -NP

    • @takewhataway
      @takewhataway Před 4 měsíci

      Easy to say. But by the time I found out Im failing the fasnacht I'm in, that's one chance ruined because of the AFKers. Ofc its easy to say "I'm gonna sit here, you go and find a different server" ☺lovely. But anyway. it is what it is. @@Gamer_Aviator

  • @Exolt-
    @Exolt- Před 4 měsíci +4

    I know it’s anecdotal but I swear 70% of the players who I see have glowing masks are under level 50. There has to be a correlation with your level and the drop rate. Almost feels as if Bethesda gives newer players a better drop rate.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci

      hahaha that's funny

    • @Tyejohnston
      @Tyejohnston Před 5 dny

      @@Exolt- probably trying to get lower players to keep playing the game.

  • @Lameloserlmao
    @Lameloserlmao Před 5 dny

    I have 3, i got 2 at 7am, and 1 at 7pm. I think you have a higher chance at getting it, but only if you've been in the same server for a few hours. At least that's how I've done it. That or Bethesda raised the odds.

  • @Anigma1978
    @Anigma1978 Před 4 měsíci

    The only glowing mask I've got was on a server where over 3/4 of the people in the event were afk. So the afk is false. Then I cycled through every mask I have, changing masks after each event and got 3 rares back to back to back, none glowing though. Then haven't gotten a rare since.

  • @buttkickshibby
    @buttkickshibby Před 4 měsíci +1

    What’s the story if I’m getting 0/20? 0 out of any number. My gf has gotten 2 and seems normal. I’ve done more events by at least double, and haven’t gotten a single glowing :/

  • @johnw8578
    @johnw8578 Před 4 měsíci +1

    I have had bad luck for masks at every Fasnacht season...BUT, I have gotten some of my best legendary weapons from the event.

    • @systemerroar9465
      @systemerroar9465 Před 4 měsíci +1

      Yea seems they didnt bother to nerf legendaries rewards. Guess they thought to give somethin ppl in return cause geting rare mask is wild goose chace for now...

  • @temporary2834
    @temporary2834 Před 4 měsíci +1

    This made me feel a bit lucky cause I've gotten the raven mask and the glowing SBQ mask so far, but I really want the old man winter PA helmet

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +1

      Nice!

    • @user-un7ef5xp3i
      @user-un7ef5xp3i Před 4 měsíci

      Finally got the helmet put it on my union armor and lost the set bonus. In the stash box it went

  • @krazykaz8316
    @krazykaz8316 Před 4 měsíci +2

    I still have yet to get a Glowing Mask

  • @Steve-go6oq
    @Steve-go6oq Před 4 měsíci +1

    My son and i have played when we can. Between us we've gotten : Winter Man, Winterman Helmet, Loon, Deathclaw and glowing Blue Devil. Can't complain.

  • @perceivedvelocity9914
    @perceivedvelocity9914 Před 4 měsíci +7

    It feels like a lot more people are going AFK this year.

    • @chris5942
      @chris5942 Před 4 měsíci +1

      I think they are trying to side husstle the rare masks for $ outside of the game. Cant blame them. Its rough out here.

  • @dookone7279
    @dookone7279 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Love the stats. I’m gonna stop trying to play it. Going to spend my time on stamps instead. Thanks for what you do.

  • @DarkPhoenix87
    @DarkPhoenix87 Před 4 měsíci

    In the first few days I got 3 glowing masks. Since then, I only get the usual masks like soldier, witch, giant.

  • @3meralddoughnut
    @3meralddoughnut Před 4 měsíci +3

    I'm still waiting for a single rare one.

  • @BraveSirPaul
    @BraveSirPaul Před 4 měsíci +1

    133 events run so far this year, and I have only managed to get three rare mask (two from previous years, and one glowing one from this year).... or a rare mask drop rate of 2.26%
    Fasnacht use to be a fun event that my group use to enjoy and looked forward to. We would plan to be on together and make a day of it in game from around the world - now it is a grind and heartbreak with untradeable plans that we cant share amongst ourselves to help those that missed out, or masks with such a low drop rate in bloated loot pools.
    At the moment (2023) with the masks we have
    5 in the common tier
    9 in the uncommon tier
    15 in the rare tier
    Compare this to the original distribution in 2019
    5 in the common tier
    5 in the uncommon tier
    1 in the rare tier
    So, I think BGS need to rework the event to make it more rewarding and enjoyable -
    • Revamp the loot pools
    • Mask pools need to be reworked - the common tier should be say twice the size of the uncommon tier, and the uncommon tier twice (or larger) than the rare tier
    • Ongoing - move all (or some) rare masks from the previous year into the uncommon tier, and move all (or some) uncommom masks in the common tier to maintain the ratio between the tiers
    • Correct the tier drop rate, so to the 2019 rates, so that common dropped more frequently than uncommon, which was more common than rare.
    • Place a "lock out" on rewards to prevent duplication (especially the masks) until all rewards from each tier of rewards are obtained
    • Remove the "untradeable" flag from plans

  • @RuinsOfMetal
    @RuinsOfMetal Před 3 dny

    If you are running the event along people in your friends list friends (not in your group) you share the same percentage of getting the same thing. If they get a rare mask you get the same one.

  • @Lordoftheapes79
    @Lordoftheapes79 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Something you didn't cover is how the percentages shift toward common masks as robots get destroyed. These numbers are based on a perfect completion, tho it's rare to lose robots, it's still a factor.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +1

      That's a very good point. We just haven't ever experienced robots being lost yet, but you are correct, if any get killed during the march the loot quality drops.

    • @Lordoftheapes79
      @Lordoftheapes79 Před 4 měsíci

      @@Gamer_Aviator this is why the uncommon pool actually has the biggest number on your equation. I lost 4/5 in one event due to glowing wolves and no one healing. I didn't get a mask from that one, but it looks like plans are still rewarded.

  • @HillcrestClan
    @HillcrestClan Před 4 měsíci

    Got my first glowing at 1am today, after around 80 runs. No afk.
    Wish it were the sbq glowing, honey bee one sadly but I’ll take it!

  • @billhimself934
    @billhimself934 Před 4 měsíci

    That into was incredible

  • @ScumsaveChris
    @ScumsaveChris Před 4 měsíci +1

    I swear I saw the person on top of the church yesterday morning when I go home from
    Work. I can’t even afk my controller keeps disconnecting.

  • @jamesjosephgilchrist6616
    @jamesjosephgilchrist6616 Před 4 měsíci

    Any research on the decorations, what combinations might affect turn out i run solo to avoid worthless afkers

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +1

      Haven't looked into decorations yet, but I can tell you that I haven't gotten a single new plan for decorations. -NP

    • @jamesjosephgilchrist6616
      @jamesjosephgilchrist6616 Před 4 měsíci

      @@Gamer_Aviator jus a idea but i do know if keep a set of regular mask on you it atleast prevents more the same from popping sucks doing alone but have not had team in years

  • @ScumsaveChris
    @ScumsaveChris Před 4 měsíci +2

    We were on the same server today. I was on my way and someone nuked it. Around 3pm
    Central time. Yesterday I work nights so today is my weds still.

  • @pr0f3ta_yt
    @pr0f3ta_yt Před 4 měsíci +2

    I afk the WHOLE event. Using a old PS4 and a fan for cooling. I took off the plastic body of the ps4. In the whole week and a half of the event I have gotten. 2 Glowing Blue Devil. 1 Loon. 1 Brahim. 2 crazy guys….

  • @robertalexander4310
    @robertalexander4310 Před 4 měsíci +2

    I am at over 100 and no rares

  • @franciscoluna2126
    @franciscoluna2126 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Bro I got my father winter pa helmet while afk and scrapped it without looking twice thesame day. Huge face palm moment but the hunt continues.😂

  • @chuckcookus
    @chuckcookus Před 4 měsíci +2

    I sold my deathclaw and winterman masks for $18K each and bought two mutation serum recipes so they're good for something.

  • @hardcorehypocrite1498
    @hardcorehypocrite1498 Před 4 měsíci +4

    All the old school players hate this event it's slow and boring and takes too long. With the horrible drop rate more and more people are going to go afk. I've been playing since beta and this is the first year I've gone afk. I've done the event around 200 times this season and only got 1 rare mask and the new plans I've probably gotten about 10.

  • @bandardantoly
    @bandardantoly Před 4 dny

    I don't even care about the glowing masks, I just want a Buffoon.

  • @rylanvaudry8016
    @rylanvaudry8016 Před 4 měsíci +3

    I got the glow queen my second time!

  • @darkstar6923
    @darkstar6923 Před 4 měsíci +1

    The odds sound right. I have mostly received more uncommon masks than anything else.

  • @Arnold.Ziffel
    @Arnold.Ziffel Před 4 dny

    On day 2 I got back to back glowing masks (unicorn, pig) then nothing of note for 6 days. Yesterday I got back to back motorized butter churns. Then the lat 4 runs I got nothing of note again. I have been keeping all the dropped items and plan to calculate the drops of the items I got. Then I will be selling really dirt cheap or giving them away after the event.

  • @iiiphameiii1
    @iiiphameiii1 Před 4 měsíci +1

    I run my ps5 level 998, and I just got 1 glowing mask, and I do the events. I afk my ps4 level 50, and I got 6 glowing masks and 3 old rare.so if I only had one playstation and high level I would of been upset I guess.

  • @Gamer_Aviator
    @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci

    Thanks for watching. Please remember to 👍and subscribe to the channel.

  • @RandomBattlePresents...
    @RandomBattlePresents... Před 4 měsíci +1

    It is quite refreshing to see that someone is able to take an almost six year game that everyone and their momma has done videos on, and offer something new to watch. This is the challenge that I have with my own content. Hats off to you for your presentation and effort, my friends.

  • @PuppetDungeon
    @PuppetDungeon Před 4 měsíci +1

    I got a glowing Scorch Beast on my Xbox account... everybody tries to get me to trade it. I do tell them I'll give them a message if I happen to get a 2nd, but the chances of that are pretty slim. Gotta figure a bit of hope is nicer than flat out doing a Gollum impression of, "NO!!! MY PRECIOUS!!!!" ... but yeah that's what it feels like after so many parades to get it.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci

      Hehehehe. Yes, hold on to that precious for now. -NP

  • @griffengranados619
    @griffengranados619 Před 4 měsíci +1

    RedRaider170 here and I must say this years fasnacht been fun 🤩 got 2 demons and 2 old man winters even got a TE15critcharge handmade ❤

  • @ashleyreynolds8443
    @ashleyreynolds8443 Před 7 dny

    I've done the event about 30 times now. Haven't got a single rare mask. Got so many uncommon ones I've been dropping them for the guys I play with. Still haven't seen that butter churn either

  • @salvadorcantu8213
    @salvadorcantu8213 Před 6 dny

    Loved this vid thanks !!!!

  • @SilverDashies
    @SilverDashies Před 4 měsíci +1

    Glowing mask seem have like 1% of drop because I already got 4 rare mask but they not glowing ones

  • @obidasauceman6140
    @obidasauceman6140 Před 4 měsíci +2

    It took me EXACTLY 72 hours to get one glowing mask

    • @obidasauceman6140
      @obidasauceman6140 Před 4 měsíci

      Ik this because I counted the masks, each mask is one event and in total that's amount of masks I have obtained

    • @obidasauceman6140
      @obidasauceman6140 Před 4 měsíci

      I was also afk for all of the events besides 5 when the event first launched

    • @obidasauceman6140
      @obidasauceman6140 Před 4 měsíci

      I just realized the new glowing masks are in the same category of rare masks so in that case I have a total of 4 rare masks only one of them were glowing

  • @notwokevikingrules401
    @notwokevikingrules401 Před 4 měsíci +1

    took me 3 years to get the PA mask and this time I got it twice just scrap since it is no tradable

  • @ruthven78
    @ruthven78 Před 4 měsíci

    I spent 90 hours in the last two weeks. I got 4 rare masks, one was a duplicate (brahma) and found two players selling 1 rare each. Ive been hitting every camp I could between events trying to find players selling masks I didnt have. those were the only two. I proposed that Bethesda retire the very most common masks, and either have those for sale by an NPC vendor, or plans for crafting the masks, and then lower the drop rate of some of the other masks to help keep player interest in the game going. Not by a huge amount but just so that the event will feel fresh next year. Someone else proposed a token system where you get so many tokens for just completing the even and then a lil extra for being an active participant

  • @Vladolak
    @Vladolak Před 4 měsíci

    Sadly, two weeks playing the event on Xbox for me and no rare mask :c

  • @EZEfallout
    @EZEfallout Před 4 měsíci +1

    Never tell me the odds! Good luck everyone!

  • @outlander1321
    @outlander1321 Před 4 měsíci +2

    10:41
    The vault tec lie makes you feel good if you think your getting uncommon

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci

      maybe. Some people speculate that Bethesda simply messed it up, but maybe it's intentional.

  • @RRRobertLazer
    @RRRobertLazer Před 4 měsíci +2

    Wow i fucking love what youve done here

  • @MichaelsExplorations
    @MichaelsExplorations Před 4 měsíci +2

    I was doing AFK and got The glowing scorthbeast queen 👑😂I also got a Loone mask

  • @systemerroar9465
    @systemerroar9465 Před 4 měsíci +1

    So, basically, Bethesda did their math, and they wanted players to be more present on the servers (even with bad performance as a result) and they still succeeded and didn't care for anything else.
    In my case, i did like 100 or so fas events and 10% of those were strict afk ones, and i only got Bafoon mask from second event from start, nothing rare since..

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci +1

      Yeah... if they wanted more players on servers, I would think they would also offer better server support. The servers can barely handle 24 people playing... -NP

  • @CeruleanTalon1
    @CeruleanTalon1 Před 4 měsíci +2

    I've run it 84 times (no AFK) and still no rare masks. LOL A friend has run it 1/2 that many times and has 2 of them. Doesn't matter, I'm just enjoying the challenge of the potential.

  • @kyleportwood6169
    @kyleportwood6169 Před 4 měsíci

    I've played every time I could and crashed on about 40-50 fasnacht events didn't get any rewards for the crashed events I only have 2 rare makes I've done the event over 100 times or the robot freeze in place and I gotta wait another hour to trying hoping I don't crash

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci

      I feel the crashing has gotten worse. -NP

  • @nukacolanut6095
    @nukacolanut6095 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Why not during Faschnat, have random ghouls or scorched around the wasteland wearing masks? More time playing...more exploring.
    Also, I've noticed that when Graham shows up during Faschnat, it causes the event to not start.

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 4 měsíci

      Yes! We saw him too. What's up with that?

  • @Doktor_Calamari
    @Doktor_Calamari Před 4 měsíci

    Dagnabit! I figured it was all down to RNG, but I so wanted to be wrong! Confound my infallible logic! 😅

  • @pixelwalker4964
    @pixelwalker4964 Před 7 dny

    I have insomnia, I dont sleep much at all. Ive missed a total of 16hrs of the event, Ive gotten no glowing mask.

  • @TemporalsonToys
    @TemporalsonToys Před 4 měsíci +1

    See they should make the older masks the rarer ones and the new ones more common.

  • @simontisdell
    @simontisdell Před 9 dny

    How do you know how many times yourve run an event?

    • @Gamer_Aviator
      @Gamer_Aviator  Před 9 dny

      We keep track of how many masks we get and of what type. Total number of masks equals total number of events.

  • @TempestSnipes
    @TempestSnipes Před 4 měsíci +1

    My girlfriend and I played at least 40 events and she’s gotten 4 rare masks with me getting 0. I think it’s just based on luck sadly. You have that 5% chance every game so if I play 20 games the odds of me getting a rare would still be 5% every game.