‘Severe Downside’ This Summer Says Fund Manager Who Called 2008 | Hugh Hendry

Sdílet
Vložit
  • čas přidán 19. 05. 2024
  • Hugh Hendry, former Founding Partner and CIO of Eclectica Asset Management and host of the ACID Capitalist Podcast, gives his outlook on markets and the biggest macroeconomic shifts moving in the world. Eclectica Asset Management returned 31% in 2008.
    *This video was recorded on April 17, 2024
    FOLLOW HUGH HENDRY:
    Website: hughhendry.com/
    Twitter (@hendry_hugh): / hendry_hugh
    CZcams: / @hughhendryofficial
    FOLLOW DAVID LIN:
    Twitter (@davidlin_TV): / davidlin_tv
    TikTok (@davidlin_TV): / davidlin_tv
    Instagram (@davidlin_TV): / davidlin_tv
    For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com
    *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
    0:00 - Intro
    1:13 - America is playing the role of China
    9:25 - BoJ and the Yen
    13:50 - Yield curve
    20:30 - Fed pivot?
    23:50 - Risk off
    28:20 - Bitcoin
    31:10 - Shorting a currency
    33:54 - Goldilocks scenario
    36:47 - AI and growth
    44:00 - Dedollariztion
    46:35 - BRICS currency
    49:30 - Hugh's investment philosophy
    #economy #investing #stocks

Komentáře • 767

  • @TheDavidLinReport
    @TheDavidLinReport  Před 28 dny +127

    Is this correction in the stock markets going to continue and "flail out of control"? What do you think? Comment below and don't forget to subscribe!
    FOLLOW HUGH HENDRY:
    Website: hughhendry.com/
    Twitter (@hendry_hugh): twitter.com/hendry_hugh
    CZcams: www.youtube.com/@HughHendryOfficial

    • @justinb222
      @justinb222 Před 28 dny

      great ep ! cool perspective

    • @wagashimanju
      @wagashimanju Před 25 dny +3

      Did you ask him about how he blew up his hedge fund?

  • @moose7611
    @moose7611 Před 28 dny +376

    When did the lead singer of U2 start giving financial wisdom?

    • @ArkOmen1
      @ArkOmen1 Před 28 dny +8

      One love, but we're not the same, we got to, carry each other, carry each other... One

    • @gen-X-trader
      @gen-X-trader Před 28 dny +22

      That guy has made more money in markets than all of us here combined...

    • @ngmookleong3415
      @ngmookleong3415 Před 28 dny

      when did you see musician giving reviews on concert and on singer,song writer and super star .

    • @williamwilliam5066
      @williamwilliam5066 Před 28 dny

      Both a couple of arses who just got lucky. Bono made some good music though, even though he is a bit of a twat.

    • @sillysausage4549
      @sillysausage4549 Před 28 dny +4

      Well Bono's a billionaire, and he didn't make all that sending food to Africa

  • @Andrian-ch3on
    @Andrian-ch3on Před 5 dny +403

    Our economy struggling with uncertainties, housing issues, foreclosures, global fluctuations, and pandemic aftermath, causing instability. Rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions need urgent attention from all sectors to restore stability and stimulate growth.

    • @JacksonMiley-iq7mo
      @JacksonMiley-iq7mo Před 5 dny +3

      With the US dollar losing value to inflation and other currencies gaining traction, uncertainty looms. Yet, many still trust in the Dollar's perceived safety. Worried about my $420,000 retirement savings losing value, I seek alternative security for my money.

    • @BarbaraRichstone
      @BarbaraRichstone Před 5 dny +1

      With my demanding job, I lack time for investment analysis. For seven years, a fiduciary has managed my portfolio, adapting to market conditions, enabling successful navigation and informed decisions. Consider a similar approach.

    • @Andrian-ch3on
      @Andrian-ch3on Před 5 dny +1

      this is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation

    • @BarbaraRichstone
      @BarbaraRichstone Před 5 dny +4

      Kristin Amy Rose is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

    • @Andrian-ch3on
      @Andrian-ch3on Před 5 dny +1

      I appreciate it. After searching her name online and reviewing her credentials, I'm quite impressed. I've contacted her as I could use all the help I can get. A call has been scheduled.

  • @TopOfPyramid
    @TopOfPyramid Před 28 dny +273

    I can’t tell if this is a spiritual journey or a financial video. But I’m here for it.

    • @TheDavidLinReport
      @TheDavidLinReport  Před 28 dny +49

      both

    • @HoneyBadger80886
      @HoneyBadger80886 Před 28 dny +4

      Money is #Sacred. A tool of measurement one earns for their labor and mind.
      #Inflation is #LaborTheft.
      Sound money -PMs & NonETF bitcoin in self custody . #hodl
      #Equity #Solidarity

    • @genestone4951
      @genestone4951 Před 28 dny +1

      It's interesting you say that. My mentor, Van K Tharp (recently deceased) approached trading in exactly those terms. You might be interested in his books.

    • @ayo9057
      @ayo9057 Před 28 dny +1

      @@TheDavidLinReportright. 😂

    • @Selkirk777
      @Selkirk777 Před 28 dny +1

      Very intriguing. More research to fact check this.

  • @JohnSmith-ft4fz
    @JohnSmith-ft4fz Před 28 dny +63

    I'm available for a chat Friday, and I'll wear a shirt.

    • @kiwicam6419
      @kiwicam6419 Před 28 dny +7

      Buttoned or unbuttoned? It's important.

    • @timbimjim514
      @timbimjim514 Před 28 dny

      Tits oot!

    • @user-lb8bg6kj9m
      @user-lb8bg6kj9m Před 28 dny +8

      ​@@kiwicam6419
      Depends on inflation.
      More inflation means shirts with fewer buttons
      😀

    • @davebellamy4867
      @davebellamy4867 Před 24 dny

      Hugh Hefner always wears a dressing gown. Even in the office.😂 Interesting intellect.
      Besides, it's hot in St. Barts.

    • @2Mile0
      @2Mile0 Před 22 dny +1

      Wear a con artist costume (blue suit).

  • @randyosborne3971
    @randyosborne3971 Před 28 dny +58

    Congress is for sale. On the take. BOTH PARTIES. And Congress mandates the Federal Reserve. What could go wrong?

    • @HANZELVANDERLAAY
      @HANZELVANDERLAAY Před 28 dny +3

      Yessssssssss for sale 💯

    • @tuckerbugeater
      @tuckerbugeater Před 28 dny

      It's been that way since the beginning of time LOL

    • @mohamedAli-kj6fb
      @mohamedAli-kj6fb Před 28 dny

      You mean the fed mandates the congress senate and president

    • @huwhitecavebeast1972
      @huwhitecavebeast1972 Před 27 dny

      It's the other way around. The fed controls congress.

    • @100shot3
      @100shot3 Před 26 dny

      The biggest bidders are israel and now china has learned from them in the past 20 years.

  • @selma5885
    @selma5885 Před 23 dny +7

    One of more coherent Hugh Hendry interviews!

  • @martinmcdade3433
    @martinmcdade3433 Před 28 dny +133

    Since we came off the gold standard in 1971, Economics can be called the study of making things up as you go along.

    • @supermash1
      @supermash1 Před 28 dny +3

      Very funny. And unfortunately true to some extent anyways.

    • @HoneyBadger80886
      @HoneyBadger80886 Před 28 dny +3

      At our expense. NotBest

    • @stanminna1761
      @stanminna1761 Před 28 dny +3

      Since the early mid 30s the united states was on a gold in theory standard, not a gold standard. Do your research

    • @Misiracaltudamecekas-qw8xo
      @Misiracaltudamecekas-qw8xo Před 28 dny

      @@stanminna1761 what is different? wortless paper anyway. removal of silver and copper from the coins in 1963 after JFK was taken out was turning point. Jews used to fill barells of canadian pennies for melt back in the day

    • @HoneyBadger80886
      @HoneyBadger80886 Před 28 dny +6

      @@stanminna1761 Semantics. Ever since Treasury figured out we'd work for fiat and they could just print. We've been robbed.

  • @gen-X-trader
    @gen-X-trader Před 28 dny +30

    It's funny how many people discount this guy just because he's not in a suit. Hugh has made obscene amounts of money in the market, it's not just a little wealth, that dude is rich

    • @briget3456
      @briget3456 Před 27 dny +8

      Precisely! The fact is he is living the life in the Cayman Islands.

    • @timothycarne3151
      @timothycarne3151 Před 12 dny

      @@briget3456St. Barts

    • @BarryKing-mc7vq
      @BarryKing-mc7vq Před 11 dny

      @@briget3456😊

    • @BarryKing-mc7vq
      @BarryKing-mc7vq Před 11 dny

      😊 what a genius and 😊

    • @Norm8179
      @Norm8179 Před 3 dny +1

      It's basically people not listening to what he is saying and paying more attention to looks and their dumb jokes.

  • @patat007
    @patat007 Před 28 dny +10

    Gouvernement deciding what industry is important is a BAD thing. Since when did they ever called something correct.

  • @KenzoTenmaM
    @KenzoTenmaM Před 28 dny +8

    Traders after they have been too successful and spend their free time doing mushrooms because they don’t need to work.

  • @francisravenscroft-dw6gi
    @francisravenscroft-dw6gi Před 28 dny +19

    There s this place called Russia- its having a war in Europe- The US in printing money to fund the Ukraine-
    Russia is part of OPEQ and the US is not... what could possibly go wrong ??
    Japan has no oil- where does it oil come from?
    Where does most of the oil and gas from Europe and India come from ?
    6 stocks run the US stock market- what could go wrong?
    Bitcoin is a notional asset class, it has no commodity exchange value other than notional monetary exchange- what could go wrong?

    • @mikehardwicke23
      @mikehardwicke23 Před 23 dny +1

      And you forgot the Gold Standard - the deflationary period when normal people became more secure and wealthier.

    • @callspreadzero854
      @callspreadzero854 Před 17 dny

      I don’t mind making “money” off bitcoin. Every time there’s been a nice run up, I sell and turn it into cash. I like bitcoin, it’s made me some decent money, but it doesn’t work unless there’s internet connection.

    • @joythought
      @joythought Před 11 dny

      The US isn't printing money for Ukraine. The US annual economy is 25,360 Billion (latest figures) and the Ukraine aid this year is 61 Billion. Notice that makes it a fraction of one percent. And 80% of that "aid" doesn't leave the US but is fiscal stimulus for US manufacturing while Ukraine gets old equipment made 30 years ago and new shells because the US stopped making shells in volume a long time ago.
      If you understand Hugh Hendry's talk much of the money printing is occurring outside of the US through the Eurodollar system in places like Tokyo and London. The world works nothing like how you assume it works.

  • @disndat1000
    @disndat1000 Před 28 dny +13

    Been watching Hugh since the early 2000s. A brilliant mind. His timing though practically always off to years off. Timing of course is everything in this business.

    • @lesleyjohnson8488
      @lesleyjohnson8488 Před 20 dny

      Being early is the same as being wrong

    • @klmn2000
      @klmn2000 Před 11 dny +1

      Agreed, plus some of his rationale can be considered 'over thinking' certain matters. Markets aren't that intelligent. They can only process one thing at a time in risk off environments. If Fed cuts, DXY weakens, risk on is given a boost, Yen strengthens, EM gets a boost. If Fed cuts by a lot, this would imply a greater crisis in the US econ, which by extension would imply trouble for the global economy, so ditto but risk off prevails and EM is softer initially before rebounding in late 2025 or 2026.

    • @disndat1000
      @disndat1000 Před 10 dny

      @@klmn2000 Wow, an astute market observer in the YT comments. That's new! I think you nailed it. At the end of the day herd theory explains a lot as well. One algo sells, all the others follow if the first one is big enough. Bots more or less already are for trading what FSD is for driving.

    • @bosco9028
      @bosco9028 Před dnem

      You would have gone broke multiple times in the last 10-12 years if you listened to this clown. He had his day and it was way back when he was clean cut, off the drugs. Today he is a joke and irrelevant seeking fame.

  • @alansimon1354
    @alansimon1354 Před 28 dny +27

    I'm 16 minutes into this and this is all-time great content. HH's ability to zoom out and give a wide, historical perspective is unique. His ability to articulate the most complex opinions raises it to yet another level. Congrats on this David. I'll probably need to watch this 2-3 times to digest what he's saying!

    • @patriciomora9663
      @patriciomora9663 Před 28 dny +1

      Indeed!

    • @williamwilliam5066
      @williamwilliam5066 Před 28 dny +1

      Yes, listen but be critical. Useful nuggets, but also quite a lot of BS Blarney stone.

    • @alansimon1354
      @alansimon1354 Před 27 dny

      Don't confuse approval with lack of critical thought. Hugh Hendry's value doesn't lie in the fact he gets everything right but in his ability to give a clear analysis of different markets in different asset categories, in different regions and knit them together to form a coherent narrative @@williamwilliam5066

    • @lesleyjohnson8488
      @lesleyjohnson8488 Před 20 dny +1

      Me too. This was brilliant. He has me thinking about risk assets in a new way

  • @h7qvi
    @h7qvi Před 28 dny +34

    If you compounded at 7% over last 30 years, congrats, you've just caught up to simply holding gold and not even having to do any work

    • @deseosuho
      @deseosuho Před 28 dny +7

      If ever, over a decades long period, broad equities indices do not outperfrom an asset that doesn't do any work (like gold sitting in a safe somewhere), that's an incredible indictment of the economy as a whole. "You had all that money and you accomplished what?". I believe total returns with reinvested dividends on S&P 500 since 1990 is around 9% and for Nasdaq it's around 14%.

  • @thomasmazzola4760
    @thomasmazzola4760 Před 28 dny +10

    No one ever mentions the 36 trillion dollar deficit and annual deficits of 2 trillion. I. The very near future 100% of tax receipts will just pay interest on that debt

    • @2Mile0
      @2Mile0 Před 22 dny +2

      All of us have already been in the 100% tax bracket for a long time.

    • @joythought
      @joythought Před 11 dny

      That's all everyone seems to talk about. This is all sheepie thinking. The US dollar will roll on strong for decades to come and the solution for investors is to look at trends and buy Bitcoin, stocks, gold etc but only when trending...

  • @Utsu-P_Enjoyer
    @Utsu-P_Enjoyer Před 28 dny +37

    Hugh Hendry is one of my favorite people ❤️

    • @champstar9669
      @champstar9669 Před 27 dny +1

      You must be his supplier of "substances." lol

  • @crouchhill
    @crouchhill Před 28 dny +48

    Ffs every mf called the 08 crash (apparently) 😂

    • @trapOrdoom
      @trapOrdoom Před 28 dny

      On god bro! Lmaooo it’s so funny seeing that as such a common title 😂

    • @joshtri2067
      @joshtri2067 Před 26 dny +2

      Nobody like Harry dent lol

    • @tristan1505
      @tristan1505 Před 24 dny +3

      He has proof of it. His fund had massive returns that year and he himself is worth a lot of money from markets. It’s not that everyone called it, it’s that the people that did are well known for it and sought after for interviews, so that’s who you see on CZcams.

    • @cg5648
      @cg5648 Před 22 dny +1

      @@joshtri2067 , Peter Schiff called it.

    • @ashmanz
      @ashmanz Před 20 dny +1

      Perfect example of survivorship bias

  • @gary-bl1lu
    @gary-bl1lu Před 26 dny +4

    Glad to see he still has a little humility and admitted his TLT trade was wrong.

    • @bosco9028
      @bosco9028 Před dnem

      He's been wrong the last 10-12 years. He is irrelevant.

  • @p.c.h.6721
    @p.c.h.6721 Před 28 dny +4

    Very well structured, great rhythm, perfect questioning, combined with an intelligent guest who's been around the block. Congrats David 👏

    • @chrislastnam6822
      @chrislastnam6822 Před 28 dny

      Are you his mother or father? I learned nothing from that arrogant guy.

  • @xesentertainment
    @xesentertainment Před 28 dny +19

    Lol I thought you were interviewing bono from U2 looking at thumbnail😂

    • @champstar9669
      @champstar9669 Před 27 dny

      That would have been a more insightful interview.

  • @Arteshir
    @Arteshir Před 28 dny +54

    This is like listening to a wino rambling in a bar

    • @williamwilliam5066
      @williamwilliam5066 Před 28 dny +4

      True, I had the same experience in Greece 30 years ago.

    • @scottosborne8735
      @scottosborne8735 Před 28 dny +12

      And years later you find out he was right.

    • @dannymcneely
      @dannymcneely Před 28 dny +1

      true dat

    • @Arteshir
      @Arteshir Před 26 dny

      @scottosborne8735
      That He was right but this He is not ...not all winos are created equal

    • @bosco9028
      @bosco9028 Před dnem

      Hugh has been irrelevant for over a decade. Listen to him these days and you will go broke guaranteed.

  • @James-bb8xs
    @James-bb8xs Před 28 dny +2

    Great interview here from David with the incomparable genius Hugh Hendry. Not too many ads this time too which made watching much more enjoyable. More like this pls! 💯

  • @myutube8x
    @myutube8x Před 8 dny +1

    Wow, David you had an E.T. on. Amazing how much these advanced civilizations have to share with us. Fantastic really.

  • @davidaponte7521
    @davidaponte7521 Před 28 dny +9

    Severely honest guest, breath of fresh air

  • @MMM-tr3cm
    @MMM-tr3cm Před 27 dny

    Love this guy. What a great and unique points of view he is bringing. Very interesting persona definitely not boring to watch. Thank you for bringing him in.

  • @havamaltgaming7887
    @havamaltgaming7887 Před 28 dny +4

    David is a very good host and asks the questions that the viewer really cares about. Listen to almost all these interviews.

  • @prolific1518
    @prolific1518 Před 28 dny +36

    Only Europeans and Americans think being a "consumption based economy" (materialistic society) is a positive thing.

    • @davisutton1
      @davisutton1 Před 28 dny

      I guess that's why China is so desperate to increase consumption as a percentage of GDP.

    • @bennyboy5374
      @bennyboy5374 Před 28 dny +1

      Yeah because other nations fail to become that kind of economy, China tried and now clearly failed as the inner consumption have collapsed

    • @tuckerbugeater
      @tuckerbugeater Před 28 dny

      Yes consuming is terrible if we all stop consuming we wouldn't have humans and that would be

    • @williamwilliam5066
      @williamwilliam5066 Před 28 dny +1

      I think you need to take the word "Europeans" from that sentence surely?

    • @user-lb8bg6kj9m
      @user-lb8bg6kj9m Před 28 dny +2

      Consumption...at other people's expense.
      But now those other people are wondering what the IOUs are worth.

  • @VibraFinance
    @VibraFinance Před 28 dny +16

    Keep Crushing David💥🔥

  • @rof8200
    @rof8200 Před 28 dny +12

    Why gold? Because for BRICS+ nations, the USD is no longer tenable as the only global reserve currency. Parallel alternatives are needed.

    • @rocking1313
      @rocking1313 Před 28 dny +3

      Neutral Reserve Asset is what Luke calls it

    • @joythought
      @joythought Před 11 dny

      Never going to happen. Exporters want to weaken their currency to be competitive. Why do they need a currency when they are happy to deal in the Eurodollar market? On the margin it will strengthen gold and Bitcoin and a few BRICS currencies from time to time but the long term trend is against you.

  • @method341
    @method341 Před 28 dny +73

    Hendry is just a showman. Interesting to listen to but offers little of actual value.

    • @scottmoering9810
      @scottmoering9810 Před 28 dny +11

      He is always talking a crisis yet non comes and he loses out always. An old relic he is.

    • @johns4412
      @johns4412 Před 28 dny +6

      Overrated

    • @LarsLarsen77
      @LarsLarsen77 Před 28 dny +4

      Eventually he'll be right, and when you get a trade like that right you get PAID.

    • @edwri9759
      @edwri9759 Před 28 dny +4

      Yep, just rambling guff

    • @huwhitecavebeast1972
      @huwhitecavebeast1972 Před 27 dny

      His take on gold was idiotic. That or disingenuous. Talks about gold from 1980 to 2002 getting massively outperformed by the stock market but not how from 2002 to now gold has massively outperformed the stock market. He would be more right if there was no such things as hyperinflation, if the US government is wasn't crumbling around us under the weight of massive corruption. If there wasn't ww3 around the corner, he'd be right. I'm sure when the SHTF he will scurry off somewhere and hide with what money he as left.

  • @Landofsmiles999
    @Landofsmiles999 Před 6 dny

    Hugh is decades ahead of the macro. His leading explanation describing decades of Macro was flawless and digestible.

  • @homesigns
    @homesigns Před 22 dny

    This is my first exposure to Mr. Hendry. He has a powerful understanding of history and, at the same time, current global trends. I really appreciate his ability to self reflect and overall comments on the market. I also enjoyed watching Hugh making David laugh so much.

  • @DeFi-Macrodosing
    @DeFi-Macrodosing Před 28 dny

    His vision and depth are unparalleled. Love his unconditional touch too.

  • @awankstain
    @awankstain Před 28 dny +4

    David's hair is back under control or almost. Hugh didn't get the memo about the dress code but that's ok I liked this interview

  • @graceamsterdam5404
    @graceamsterdam5404 Před 27 dny

    Thank you gentlemen, refreshing interview. The more different type of substantiated views, the better forecasts we can make.

  • @kasummers7182
    @kasummers7182 Před 23 dny

    I love the amazing minimalist decorating style of the room he is in. I like his rambling too, you can tell he is a bit of a philosopher as well as knowing his stuff.

  • @MichaelLoweAttorney
    @MichaelLoweAttorney Před 28 dny +10

    You really need to zoom in on the gold chart to see the gold sell-off in 2008. It’s funny how HH cherry picks his time series to describe the performance of gold. Who is married to their beliefs?

  • @maxiewex1496
    @maxiewex1496 Před 23 dny

    David, you always get interesting guests. I haven’t seen Hugh Henry for awhile. Mr. Hendrey is always interesting and smart!

  • @jimmydean4509
    @jimmydean4509 Před 28 dny +29

    July cut is exactly what Dr Benjamin Cowen is theorizing. It makes sense to me as I expect unemployment is going up in the next 2 months. Layoffs are picking up speed fast

    • @BootsieTheGreek
      @BootsieTheGreek Před 28 dny +4

      That’s my guy also

    • @prolific1518
      @prolific1518 Před 28 dny +7

      Layoffs have exploded since last year. Severance pay has kept people out of the unemployment data. So many people have been stuck in the gig economy since the plandemic so they aren't counted as unemployed either. This entire house of cards is about to face a tornado.

    • @jimmydean4509
      @jimmydean4509 Před 28 dny

      @@prolific1518 idk about a pandemic, but agree the Warn notices are on fire

    • @byduhlusional
      @byduhlusional Před 28 dny +2

      Maybe. It went from 3.7 to 3.9, then back to 3.8. The trend does seem it's going up, just very slowly given how strong the economy is. Whether it accelerates is unknown, it rising is a basic fact though. It's rising but in a healthy manner. I will agree that it's hard to control though once it spirals.

    • @HoneyBadger80886
      @HoneyBadger80886 Před 28 dny

      ​@byduhlusional I do not believe their Numbers. Look around. Inflation, REAL inflation, is around 15% right now.
      And the dollars are banned in foreign countries. And at home the dollar has about 2 cents Value. Theft. Civert.

  • @RebelPlebe
    @RebelPlebe Před 26 dny

    Hi David please enable the clip button so we can share portions of the show. Lots of great stuff.

  • @chrislastnam6822
    @chrislastnam6822 Před 28 dny +3

    He said he got 7% / year for just 15 years. How much would a vanguard index fund have gone up in those years? 15 years is a short term. I didn't get anything from his video.

  • @docdoc4526
    @docdoc4526 Před 28 dny +5

    He is telling TLT is the asset to have since month 🤡

  • @mc-kz8zn
    @mc-kz8zn Před 28 dny

    Fascinating. Great to hear other opinions and Hugh definitely leaves a lot of food for thought. Great pod!

  • @neilfowell690
    @neilfowell690 Před 28 dny +2

    What a fab interview. Needed some reality and humour with great knowledge

  • @user-ed4yp6fi7k
    @user-ed4yp6fi7k Před 28 dny +9

    We can all learn from others, Hugh is unconventional to say the least but When he speaks i listen and always learn something... I recommend others do the same, He is extremely intelligent, Thanks David and HH

  • @Leo-kg7og
    @Leo-kg7og Před 28 dny +1

    your very humble man for somebody who accomplished a lot:)) :))

  • @thomasjones2067
    @thomasjones2067 Před 28 dny +7

    1913 was the cause of 1971

  • @jackwalsh1468
    @jackwalsh1468 Před 28 dny +6

    David, a very insightful report and guest speaker. Cheers, Mate.

  • @EthanMiller1
    @EthanMiller1 Před 28 dny

    Love this guy. His adjectives are way more accurate and properly than any US traders and investors. Love it.

  • @HANZELVANDERLAAY
    @HANZELVANDERLAAY Před 28 dny +7

    One man's notoriety..... Is another man's Fame...
    Well done🎉

  • @KLFHOG
    @KLFHOG Před 27 dny

    A Legend, and credit to you for bringing him in!

  • @Brent687
    @Brent687 Před 28 dny +3

    I think Hugh tries to hard to say something and ends up saying nothing, I find myself hoping for some interesting tidbit or some point of view I havent considered but leaving disappointed.

  • @clutchboy24
    @clutchboy24 Před 26 dny +2

    Just took some peyote and mushrooms and watched this video. Thanks David

    • @bosco9028
      @bosco9028 Před dnem

      Hugh was on mushrooms too doing this interview. You're in good company.

  • @CjackJamie
    @CjackJamie Před 24 dny

    I had to watch this 2x to really get what Mr. Hendry is saying. He is a complex thinker and dreamer. There must be a lot going on at the same time in his head 😊

  • @cjswa6473
    @cjswa6473 Před 28 dny +30

    Bitcoin 😂😂. Just tried to send $8.59 of Bitcoin. Fee was $89. Also told it would take 30 minutes.😮. Indexed Money laundering

    • @xmonikerhotmailcom
      @xmonikerhotmailcom Před 28 dny +4

      Wait 1 week. The Runes goofballs have clogged the network.

    • @scepisle4970
      @scepisle4970 Před 28 dny +7

      Use lightning.....

    • @casamurphy
      @casamurphy Před 28 dny +11

      You're behind in your bitcoin knowledge. For such a small transaction you shouldn't use the main chain. Lightening (various apps) or Liquid (the Aqua app) would be more appropriate OR just US stablecoins.

    • @RocketScientist1
      @RocketScientist1 Před 28 dny

      @@scepisle4970 If all 80 yo widows can’t figure it out, it isn’t feasible.

    • @RocketScientist1
      @RocketScientist1 Před 28 dny

      @@casamurphy see above 👆👆👆

  • @imjustalilbit
    @imjustalilbit Před 28 dny

    I have the same dilemma. I cant fathom another currency to replace the Dollar. For those who say Gold and BTC, I see an upside down pyramid. I love your guest today. He took me on a financial spiritual journey to the other side. Please have him back soon.

  • @crazypuss007
    @crazypuss007 Před 28 dny

    Superb job David. Many thanks. Another excellent interview.

  • @AIIG-zd5dx
    @AIIG-zd5dx Před 28 dny +29

    Thanks for the advice! I'm new to financial planning and wasn't sure where to start. Any tips on finding a reliable financial adviser or resource to guide beginners?

    • @inicMich-rc5wo
      @inicMich-rc5wo Před 28 dny

      As a beginner, it's essential for you to have a mentor that is verified by finra and SEC to keep you accountable. I'm guided by a widely known financial consultant Stacey Macken

    • @nissan38p69
      @nissan38p69 Před 28 dny

      Wow, I'm supprised Stacey Macken is being mention here. I started off with 5K.... Now with massive portfolio highly recommended...

    • @tryleraaron9244
      @tryleraaron9244 Před 28 dny

      I met Stacey Macken at a conference in 2018 and we have been working together ever since.

    • @BulentKizilaslan
      @BulentKizilaslan Před 28 dny

      Her reputation already speak for her $ 150K last Month.

    • @FranklyHunt
      @FranklyHunt Před 28 dny

      Though I started with as low as $13,000 actually because it was my first time and it was successful, She's is a great personality in the state

  • @RandyBaker-cg9uf
    @RandyBaker-cg9uf Před 28 dny +18

    Get out, are you going to trade against Ai thats a thousand times smarter than you , buy gold before these gangsters steal all your money.

  • @hailandfire1822
    @hailandfire1822 Před 20 dny

    Trading. Surfing. Markets. Windsurfing. Talks to David. A cocktail at sunset. He’s living the life.

  • @beerius2349
    @beerius2349 Před 28 dny +3

    Hugh looks like JPowell if he decided to go live on an island instead of run the FED

  • @HuiChyr
    @HuiChyr Před 28 dny +3

    It annoys me everytime a host asked if BRICS will come out with a new currency for their group. THEY DON"T NEED TO. They are trading amongst themselves using their OWN CURRENCIES. China is already doing that with some ASEANS countries. India is buying oil from Russia with Rupee. Priced in USD, pay with their own currencies following the current exchange rate. That phased out USD all together.

    • @wildcsgotactics
      @wildcsgotactics Před 27 dny

      So let's say China is buying commodities from Russia and is paying Russia in Chinese currency. Do you think Brazil is happy accepting Chinese currency from Russia when Russia wants to import stuff from Brazil?

    • @joythought
      @joythought Před 11 dny

      And to what implication? This trade still keeps the US dollar at the center of the trade because both currencies are denominated in dollars and, why, because there is no liquidity in the other currencies. They still want dollars but this is a good sovereign solution for the buyer and it makes it the problem of the seller to then get it back into something they want: trade goods from the other nation if possible and otherwise use the currency with another trading partner or on the open market and either way expect a haircut. I think you assume that this weakens US dollar hegemony but it really doesn't. It addresses a lack of US dollar availability or affordability. Check out the Eurodollar system.

    • @HuiChyr
      @HuiChyr Před 11 dny

      @@joythought Yes Eurodollar. Yes Jeff Snider. Yes Brent Johnson and his Milkshake Theory. All those system are Dollar centric due to DEBT that are USD based. They hone in on that bcoz USD had been widely used and accumulated since 1945 to be the "gold standard" for international trade. USD becomes entrenched in the global monetary system.
      However, fiat money is still fiat money. It is based on trust. Two nations honour their commitment to deliver promised goods and services based on currencies they deal in. Breaking away from USD is when you can still get actual GOODS (Commodities and Final products) with other fiat currencies.
      My family buy products from China and sell in Malaysia. Before covid, we had to convert our Ringgit to USD to buy from China. NOW, we convert our Ringgit directly to Renminbi (Chinese Yuan) to purchase Chinese products. What happened? Because China and Malaysia had an agreement and currency swap between countries. Each holds the others' currency and balance the account yearly or quarterly with that money. The pricelist or "menu" is still in USD but not single dollar was used in our transactions. USD is out.
      Sure Malaysia and China still need USD for some imports but it a transition and it takes time. Euro$ is good for present and immediate future. So speculate in stocks, commodities etc base on Euro$ centric outlook. But the world is getting tired of USD and moving away from Euro$. We don't need BItcoin or gold based currency or a completely new currency to trade. We are doing it now our own currencies.

    • @HuiChyr
      @HuiChyr Před 11 dny

      @@joythought Yes Eurodollar. Yes Jeff Snider. Yes Brent Johnson and his Milkshake Theory. All those system are Dollar centric due to DEBT that are USD based. They hone in on that bcoz USD had been widely used and accumulated since 1945 to be the "gold standard" for international trade. USD becomes entrenched in the global monetary system.
      However, fiat money is still fiat money. It is based on trust. Two nations honour their commitment to deliver promised goods and services based on currencies they deal in. Breaking away from USD is when you can still get actual GOODS (Commodities and Final products) with other fiat currencies.
      My family buy products from China and sell in Malaysia. Before covid, we had to convert our Ringgit to USD to buy from China. NOW, we convert our Ringgit directly to Renminbi (Chinese Yuan) to purchase Chinese products. What happened? Because China and Malaysia had an agreement and currency swap between countries. Each holds the others' currency and balance the account yearly or quarterly with that money. The pricelist or "menu" is still in USD but not single dollar was used in our transactions. USD is out.
      Sure Malaysia and China still need USD for some imports but it a transition and it takes time. Euro$ is good for present and immediate future. So speculate in stocks, commodities etc based Euro$ centric outlook. But the world is getting tired of USD and moving away from Euro$.

  • @carlkennedy7481
    @carlkennedy7481 Před 21 dnem

    Hugh's explanation of the reason to short Yen, gave me a lot of confidence in the trade and I was very early probably one of the first on Fin twit talking about that trade.. Now it's on everyone's radar.. USD/JPY

  • @anaestereo810
    @anaestereo810 Před 27 dny +1

    Please more out of the conventional establishment opinions like this one ❤
    FED= James Bond

  • @snoke6664
    @snoke6664 Před 28 dny +8

    My boy hugh hendry! Thanks david!

  • @sorrellcom
    @sorrellcom Před 28 dny

    Man, this Hugh Hendry character is really good! I had my doubts looking at him till he opened his mouth. Really insightful, thanks for this interview David.

  • @free-qe6wx
    @free-qe6wx Před 28 dny +5

    This guy called 2008 like DiMartino called 2023.

    • @bdek68
      @bdek68 Před 28 dny +1

      DiMartino didn’t call anything. She just laid out the obvious facts and macro which are a complete dumpster fire. She was right about everything

    • @free-qe6wx
      @free-qe6wx Před 28 dny

      @@bdek68 Oh, for sure. Right about everything. 🤣🤣🤣

    • @bdek68
      @bdek68 Před 28 dny

      As opposed to running your mouth tell all of us what she isn’t right about

    • @free-qe6wx
      @free-qe6wx Před 27 dny

      @@bdek68 Looks like someone got triggered. DiMartino was 100% wrong on her recession call. She did not get one thing right. If this, right now, is a "complete dumpster fire," you better hope recession never comes knocking on the door.

    • @bdek68
      @bdek68 Před 27 dny

      @@free-qe6wxyour are full of shit😂I’m assuming Biden supporter😂

  • @annasillanpaa1111
    @annasillanpaa1111 Před 28 dny

    Thank you! One point though, if the BRICS currency would be backed by commodities, gold or what ever, it can be completely separate from the countries monetary policy. So, the BRICS countries could still do that independently.
    Other thing, if China has challenges, I think other countries will replace the void, Southeast Asia, India etc.

  • @CatPDX
    @CatPDX Před 28 dny +12

    Always enjoy seeing Hugh on YT!

  • @jaym9846
    @jaym9846 Před 28 dny +2

    I feel like I got spun around a few times and now I don't know which direction north is.

  • @klowranc
    @klowranc Před 23 dny

    I wanted to not like this guy but he’s smart and pretty cool! Haha. Thanks for the interview! 🍻

  • @jacknaneek1681
    @jacknaneek1681 Před 28 dny +3

    Hugh. Always interesting. Not always right.

  • @eyadsaheb5672
    @eyadsaheb5672 Před 26 dny

    entertaining AND educational! these are the guests everyone wants

  • @JoeHarnden1991
    @JoeHarnden1991 Před 28 dny +1

    Got a question for you … doesn’t that fact we printed 40% more money just completely kill the fact the markets will crash..
    I mean where else you going to put 10s of trillions of dollars ?

  • @randalnelson1820
    @randalnelson1820 Před 28 dny +5

    I wouldn't give this guy $1

  • @talkCRYPT0
    @talkCRYPT0 Před 25 dny

    Its always great to listen to Hugh’s insights 👌

  • @charlesdidonato5478
    @charlesdidonato5478 Před 27 dny

    Hugh is great! Been following him for a couple years now. 😊

  • @FatherGapon-gw6yo
    @FatherGapon-gw6yo Před 28 dny +4

    Nobody knows.

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 Před 28 dny

      Exactly which is why we just use charts. They tell us exactly what to do and where to set our stop loss orders in case we are wrong. Done correctly you can be wrong 60% of the time and still make money. After looking a charts for years you can get pretty good and be correct over 70% or the time. But folks are lazy they won't put in that work, they would rather listen to someone ... anyone... wich is why they are late, or worse wrong and not get out with a small loss. Just follow and trade the charts.

  • @Casey-rr7th
    @Casey-rr7th Před 27 dny

    Hugh is pretty awesome. Great interview!

  • @bssb936
    @bssb936 Před 28 dny +1

    Great interview thanks 😊😊

  • @klmn2000
    @klmn2000 Před 11 dny +1

    As usual, Hugh talks in riddles, making it hard work to decipher what the hell he is actually trying to say. He talks about Fed cuts by July, but is still short JPY, which immediately jumps out as it doesn't make much sense. If the Fed cuts earlier than most expect, this will send USDJPY lower - i.e. the Yen will appreciate. Add to this the fact that the BOJ have effectively drawn a line in the sand at 160 Yen to the dollar and are intervening in size at opportune times to maximise impact, plus also consider that the BOJ are in hiking mode vs the Fed who has peaked and short Yen seems like an improbable trade. While I'm not a gold bug, I definitely wouldn't discount gold as much as Hugh seems to be - I wouldn't own it but understand fully those that do. Also, BTC is not in correction mode, it has just been consolidating before the next move higher. Again, if the Fed cuts (on weak jobs numbers rather than a stock correction) then this would weaken DXY, it would give impetus for a final leg higher in risk assets like stocks and crypto and Treasuries would also rally. So when Hugh says he was wrong on his options on long-dated Treasuries last year, he will be proved right about those options holdings in 2024 and 2025 (as I believe he bought the underlying on some of those contracts).

  • @paulginsberg6942
    @paulginsberg6942 Před 28 dny +2

    An entertaining man. Smart. Wouldn't trust him with my capital however.

  • @Castellanocreep
    @Castellanocreep Před 28 dny +3

    Does anyone know what kinda glasses those are?

    • @DaveEPie
      @DaveEPie Před 25 dny +1

      If you have to ask - you can’t afford them.
      Lol
      I was wondering that the whole interview-
      I want them bad now.
      Just to F with everyone.

  • @grahamdougherty226
    @grahamdougherty226 Před 28 dny

    Best interview yet! Acid!

  • @trading8
    @trading8 Před 28 dny

    He’s great when I can understand what he’s saying. Or the CZcams subtitles can understand for that matter

  • @user-sm6te1gl4f
    @user-sm6te1gl4f Před 26 dny

    Thank you for an interesting interview.

  • @lclaudiosg2350
    @lclaudiosg2350 Před 20 dny

    Brazilians here; actually, China will invest in EV factories, mainly after Ford left the country after many decades. I don't think the Dollar will be replaced, but certainly there is room to trade using regional currencies.

  • @jacklonergan9991
    @jacklonergan9991 Před 28 dny

    Hugh is one of the few people who truly understand money! 👍

  • @salvinomatos7547
    @salvinomatos7547 Před 28 dny +5

    How has your TLT done. Go to safe you can bury it in the backyard and wait 20 years

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 Před 28 dny +1

      A huge amount of folks got TLT wrong. Why? They listen to economics who said rate cuts, and can't look at a chart. The 10 year yield has broken out of its 40 year down trend on a weekly chart. That means it is most likely is going to continue to go higher. Also, folks think a FED rate cut is a bullish event it is not ... again folks need to look at a chart and see what the market has done every single time they cut after an inversion. IMHO folks long TLT are on the wrong side of the trade.

  • @omerarduc7371
    @omerarduc7371 Před 23 dny

    Always enjoy Hugh's rantings and ravings!

  • @danielthomas9673
    @danielthomas9673 Před 27 dny

    I don't agree with the discussion about the BRICS common currency, the discussion cast it as though it would be the same as the Euro with one central bank and each nation giving up their own currency.
    This does not need to be the case, a common currency for trading between members (international currency) can be established whilst maintaining the independent of the national currencies for trading internally within the home market.

  • @michalmaziarz8943
    @michalmaziarz8943 Před 27 dny

    Bravo Hugh! Nice to see you again!

  • @marknorth7361
    @marknorth7361 Před 28 dny

    Brilliant, refreshing, entertaining

  • @supermash1
    @supermash1 Před 28 dny +1

    I don't understand Hugh. Can anyone tell me what his choices were in the 100 million to invest? I heard about bitcoin and nasdaq at about 30% total. What else did he choose?

  • @paulginsberg6942
    @paulginsberg6942 Před 28 dny +1

    A true contrarian capable of original thought which doesn't mean he's right.

  • @88peyote
    @88peyote Před 27 dny

    Hugh today not on drugs. Nice to watch and listen! 😀

  • @TheTenners
    @TheTenners Před 28 dny +1

    Is he saying that trade surplus countries send their money to America for investment in risk on assets?

  • @jacknaneek1681
    @jacknaneek1681 Před 28 dny +6

    BTC is the settlement layer now.

    • @HoneyBadger80886
      @HoneyBadger80886 Před 28 dny +1

      Currency free from State. Impossible to debase. And decentralized. Open Source #integrity. NonETF bitcoin 😎 self custody.

    • @jonathanmack6285
      @jonathanmack6285 Před 28 dny +3

      How can BTC ever become the worlds or nations currency when there’s only 21 million bitcoin and will always be 21 million. If I’m correct, that’s simply not enough money for it to be a nations currency. It would actually force the value of BTC to drive up so much that it’s unattainable for the average American. Big banks and billionaires would be the only ones able to own the majority of it causing us to be broke. Instead of actually using btc to buy things we would hoard it due to scarcity. Therefore since nothing would be purchased, economy would be destroyed…

    • @HoneyBadger80886
      @HoneyBadger80886 Před 28 dny +1

      @jonathanmack6285 21 million coins whic can be further divided into 1 million satoshis each. With the Value of a Sat Increasing over time. Get some NonETF bitcoin satoshis.

    • @BlueToronto
      @BlueToronto Před 28 dny

      @@HoneyBadger80886 100,000,000 satoshis, actually.

  • @BaadMotorFinger
    @BaadMotorFinger Před 28 dny +5

    Looks like Bono