An Update From Raoul on the Geopolitical Situation and What It Means for Investors

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  • čas přidán 6. 03. 2022
  • In this special update, co-founder and CEO of Real Vision Raoul Pal shares with us how he’s approaching the market amid this incredibly chaotic environment. Raoul outlines several scenarios for how the Russia-Ukraine situation could play out and breaks down what war in Easern Europe means for gold, bonds, oil, and, yes, even crypto. Raoul also explains why he thinks the U.S. dollar is now more of a liability than an asset and forecasts the Federal Reserve’s next moves. This is another can’t-miss presentation that will help you understand how Raoul is thinking as he navigates these turbulent times. Recorded on March 6, 2022.
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    An Update From Raoul on the Geopolitical Situation and What It Means for Investors
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    For the transcript visit: rvtv.io/TheInterview
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Komentáře • 842

  • @fredcroft7517
    @fredcroft7517 Před 2 lety +163

    Please keep these coming. This kind of fast, thoughtful analysis is what makes the Real Vision community so valuable.

    • @rajeshupadhyay5683
      @rajeshupadhyay5683 Před 2 lety +10

      Your are right! I am also looking for more smart way to invest this year, any tip?

    • @lezliewhicker8450
      @lezliewhicker8450 Před 2 lety +12

      @@rajeshupadhyay5683I'll suggest you reach out to Christine Lynn Saitta, she's a real investors prodigy and has handled my investments for over 11 months now

    • @mariellewilson8276
      @mariellewilson8276 Před 2 lety +5

      It's fascinating to hear that someone here employ madam Christine's services. She has been managing my investment

    • @davidhudson3001
      @davidhudson3001 Před 2 lety +10

      A CNBC news host spoke so highly of💕Christine Lynn Saitta and her loss prevention strategies been trying to get to her ever since didn’t know she was so accessible

    • @dr.ervingalen1777
      @dr.ervingalen1777 Před 2 lety +4

      I heard she always have a way of linking someone investment into something new and profitable?

  • @shitzUnotz
    @shitzUnotz Před 2 lety +114

    Thanks Raoul, I always appreciate your take on these complicated macro issues.

  • @BigWangLee
    @BigWangLee Před 2 lety +17

    I love when Raoul sold his crypto (he went from 100% crypto to now suddenly having money to buy bonds/gold) he never told us about it. Instead he told us he never sold his holdings.

    • @torso99
      @torso99 Před 2 lety +4

      this guy is not solid... he is out here just saying what he see right now.. but has no future perspective that is 100% accurate.... check out mavrick of the wallstreet... he seen all this like 2 years ago n talked about it everyday

    • @whiteswordwarrior9995
      @whiteswordwarrior9995 Před 2 lety +2

      he didnt lie, 100% PAXG 👌😂

    • @kirstinstrand6292
      @kirstinstrand6292 Před 2 lety +1

      Maverick of Wall Street? BTW, if you think anyone knows how the future will be changed, you have much to learn! The Future is headed down.

    • @standalby6949
      @standalby6949 Před 2 lety +1

      Why should he tell anybody what he does with his own money ? It’s like the big banisters in 29 when they draw out all their portfolios just before the crash , gold will always hold its own , not sure about bonds because they’re backed by the government , what if we end up with a one world government , will the bonds still be viable

  • @alexzagraychuk4717
    @alexzagraychuk4717 Před 2 lety +8

    "Inflation is high, people are struggling with food and energy costs, so governments need to hand out money to people." Yeah that makes a lot of sense.

    • @stuartdoyle4373
      @stuartdoyle4373 Před 2 lety +3

      Nobody is saying that's the RIGHT thing for governments to do; it's just what they're LIKELY to do.

  • @lancechapman3070
    @lancechapman3070 Před 2 lety +115

    It speaks well of your mother that you share this with us so passionately and at no cost. Thank you, Ral :)

    • @ashthegreat1
      @ashthegreat1 Před 2 lety +4

      No cost content that he stole off Peter Ziehan.

    • @chrisdoe6890
      @chrisdoe6890 Před 2 lety +4

      @@ashthegreat1 thanks Winston for contributing, now call your Mother please .

    • @markcranston3145
      @markcranston3145 Před 2 lety +1

      @@ashthegreat1 so what?

    • @pennywise5151
      @pennywise5151 Před 2 lety

      The mark of a true teacher

    • @ClearOutSamskaras
      @ClearOutSamskaras Před 2 lety

      If a person wants to put a halo around someone's head nothing will stop them. And if a person wants to put devil horns on someone's head nothing will stop them.
      Raoul may have had incredible parents, I'm sure he also has a business strategy too. I appreciate the video in any case and realize that no one factor accounts for its "free" upload.

  • @braddonbuckley8629
    @braddonbuckley8629 Před 2 lety +30

    Thanks Raoul, appreciate you taking the time to put out your thoughts in these uncertain times. Greatly appreciated.

  • @paulo4371
    @paulo4371 Před 2 lety +3

    Thanks Raoul that really awesome of you to put this market into perspective.

  • @blair.m
    @blair.m Před 2 lety +6

    Great work Raoul, really appreciate your view during these uncertain times

  • @terfastarik9698
    @terfastarik9698 Před 2 lety +2

    Never stop dreaming. Be hungry and never stop believing in your dreams. If someone can do it, then you too can do it. Be strong

  • @vinnieRice
    @vinnieRice Před 2 lety +2

    Fantastic summary Raoul. Thank you.

  • @Julian-pj2zi
    @Julian-pj2zi Před 2 lety +3

    Thanks Raoul, appreciate your thoughts.

  • @rreii431
    @rreii431 Před 2 lety +24

    I appreciate the “I don’t know” statement and the complex roll through scenarios. Thanks

  • @mohammediqbal123
    @mohammediqbal123 Před 2 lety +2

    Raoul brilliant analysis. Very helpful

  • @Julian_Nade
    @Julian_Nade Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks Raoul , valuable information gathered in one 25min shot.

  • @carlwilson8859
    @carlwilson8859 Před 2 lety +2

    Raoul is saying the best outcome is division of Ukraine. This is a view of Ukraine that conforms to the Russian view: Ukraine is not really a nation at all. If Ukraine is not a nation then it will not fight. This is the view of the Russians. It is also the view of the West. It does not seem to be the view of the Ukrainians.

  • @bradhardman3693
    @bradhardman3693 Před 2 lety +8

    Thankyou so much for everything you add to this amazing blockchain community!

  • @smpyyz
    @smpyyz Před 2 lety +4

    You're right.. We don't know.. And, you give 3 Macro possibilities.. Scenarios 1, 2, or 3
    Thank you Sir! Best Regards

  • @salvatorepuccini4261
    @salvatorepuccini4261 Před 2 lety +5

    I am 41 and the oldest child but I feel like Raoul is like a big brother. At my age you know a lot with more to learn and he's the sounding board. For you young bloods out there he is like Uncle Raoul.

  • @Yodaandhislightsabre
    @Yodaandhislightsabre Před 2 lety +9

    Brilliant episode. Well thought out, logical, scenario based and very interesting to have laid out for the average person to understand.

  • @karlmuller7273
    @karlmuller7273 Před 2 lety +7

    👍🏻, Raoul!
    I think scenario no. 4 could be the escalating China-Taiwan conflict...
    Nothing to do with Russia-Ukraine - but some kind of related.

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @ReedoAce
    @ReedoAce Před 2 lety +1

    Excellent as always! He doesn’t mention China, India etc involvement..

  • @robinmartini7968
    @robinmartini7968 Před 2 lety +9

    Always interesting to listen to someone who brings his doubts as well as insights to the table.

  • @sandymilne224
    @sandymilne224 Před 2 lety +3

    Great rambling overview. You nailed it.

  • @easemailboxes
    @easemailboxes Před 2 lety +1

    What an excellent think out loud. Thanks so much. Keep it coming Raoul.

  • @wilsongalucho1142
    @wilsongalucho1142 Před 2 lety +3

    Thanks Raoul!! Always great to hear your thoughts.

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @angrysackmagic4633
    @angrysackmagic4633 Před 2 lety +1

    Excellent temperament for such descriptions. Impeccable insight!

  • @carrierembrandt
    @carrierembrandt Před 2 lety +3

    Raoul, you are the first person I’ve heard acknowledge the drop in carbon pricing. Why has it fallen so dramatically?

    • @bobhutchins293
      @bobhutchins293 Před 2 lety +3

      Because the net zero green agenda i.e. carbon credits have suddenly been shunted well down the priority list of most countries

  • @__-pl3jg
    @__-pl3jg Před 2 lety +1

    When in doubt....Zoom out! Thanks for the update Raoul.

  • @gusgalvanini
    @gusgalvanini Před 2 lety +1

    Who doesn't love Raoul?

  • @KeepItComing01
    @KeepItComing01 Před 2 lety

    Thanks Raoul.....keep it coming!!!

  • @method341
    @method341 Před 2 lety +5

    So basically Raoul says - less equities, more gold, more bonds, maybe less dollar exposure.

    • @johnbracken7032
      @johnbracken7032 Před 2 lety +1

      He said in the beginning to “buy” dollars.

    • @method341
      @method341 Před 2 lety

      @@johnbracken7032 towards the end he says the dollar might weaken

    • @johnbracken7032
      @johnbracken7032 Před 2 lety +3

      @@method341 got it. So the dollar might strengthen or it might weaken. Now I’m clear.

    • @method341
      @method341 Před 2 lety

      @@johnbracken7032 yeah buy and sell the dollar and you're set!

  • @FrankKoine
    @FrankKoine Před 2 lety +11

    Thank you Raoul, your level headed take on things and your honesty is priceless.

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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    • @PaparazziParadise
      @PaparazziParadise Před 2 lety

      Gee Frank, Raoul's take isn't so priceless when his net worth has now been slashed by 40%. Cryptos are no safe haven, they are not digital gold....they do not go up in times of crisis.

  • @ladyjayne8869
    @ladyjayne8869 Před 2 lety +20

    Thank you, Raul. I appreciate you taking the time to check in on these things. Really helpful for us small retail peeps. Safe travels.

  • @at9048
    @at9048 Před 2 lety +3

    Always look forward to RP market outlook.

  • @mattabraham3549
    @mattabraham3549 Před 2 lety +4

    "Everybody can sound scary and shocking so just be careful of that". Very true. Definitely will be lots of folks trying to add subs by crying armageddon. Thanks Raoul!

  • @stacynelson1585
    @stacynelson1585 Před 2 lety

    Thank you Raoul. Was waiting for your views on what’s going on. You have taught me a lot through your videos. New to crypto and having fun.

  • @420ChrisTodd
    @420ChrisTodd Před 2 lety

    Raoul, THANKS BROTHER......STAY SAFE..

  • @cryptogold8753
    @cryptogold8753 Před 2 lety +1

    Raoul thank you for your thoughts and updates 🙏

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @akesha4138
    @akesha4138 Před 2 lety

    Your communication shows great thoughtfulness, a highly intelligent analysis of very complex global issues.

  • @steveholloway9389
    @steveholloway9389 Před 2 lety +2

    We're probably close to the same age, but whenever i listen to you I feel like you're a wise uncle giving me some life lessons. I could listen for hours. Love your work.

  • @David-fp3qg
    @David-fp3qg Před 2 lety +1

    thanks for the update!

  • @lanebullger
    @lanebullger Před 2 lety +10

    Raoul goes from Bitcoin to all in on eth. Now he's buying bonds. Gtfoh

    • @LeroyPeterson
      @LeroyPeterson Před 2 lety

      The guy still has income... People are able to buy new things and go "all in" on something

    • @johnguanciale258
      @johnguanciale258 Před 2 lety +2

      I don’t think he goes all in on anything

    • @pawfootage
      @pawfootage Před 2 lety +3

      He has a lot more experience than you or I. Pay attention, you might actually learn something new.

    • @jordanaraujo2579
      @jordanaraujo2579 Před 2 lety

      And gold too

    • @johnguanciale258
      @johnguanciale258 Před 2 lety

      @@pawfootage guaranteed he never, never goes all in on one thing.

  • @timkinney8719
    @timkinney8719 Před 2 lety +8

    Why do bonds sound like the most risk on asset available right now? I would rather be irresponsibly long BTC than out any of my money in bonds... what binds would one hold? US? Foreign? Is there any safe haven asset available to retail?

    • @Robbo_547
      @Robbo_547 Před 2 lety

      This is why I question his motives despite an articulate explanation

    • @groundedinfirstprinciples383
      @groundedinfirstprinciples383 Před 2 lety

      He's discussing large intermediate term cash flows during flight to safety

    • @denbywindsor290
      @denbywindsor290 Před 2 lety

      Yeah I'm really confused by his bullishness on bonds. Is he saying that demand destruction will happen so fast that central backs will have to start buying bonds/printing again? Even if that were the case, how would bond holders NOT suffer in the near term as rate hikes occur? And even if they don't raise rates as much or fast as the central banks claim (as Raoul suggests), surely rates will still rise significantly higher than they are now?

    • @beaubeau6498
      @beaubeau6498 Před 2 lety

      @@Robbo_547 then why dont you make a video pal

    • @Robbo_547
      @Robbo_547 Před 2 lety

      @@beaubeau6498 what topic do you need covering Beau?

  • @GenkiSugiru
    @GenkiSugiru Před 2 lety +3

    I'm halfway through this. Raoul has mentioned 3 scenarios. He didn't mention nuclear war as a 4th (and worst case) scenario. I'm extremely antiwar, but even I, being a well-informed realist about geo-political matters, have to admit there could be a 1% - 10% of nuclear weapons being used or intentional damage to a nuclear facility to spread nuclear radiation perhaps. Even if it is a 1% probability, it is a 4th scenario, and the worst case by far. Or maybe a full-scale global nuclear war is a worst case scenario 5? I don't think Raoul goes far enough with his 3 scenarios.

    • @eirik9073
      @eirik9073 Před 2 lety +3

      I don't think it's necessary to plan for a nuclear war. What economy will be left?

    • @GenkiSugiru
      @GenkiSugiru Před 2 lety +2

      @@eirik9073 I live in a place that is probably 500 - 1,000 miles away from the nearest potential nuclear strike and much further from Eastern Europe. So my family could survive. But one wonders if the Internet would work, if bank accounts would be accessible, etc. There are investment ideas that work in such scenarios. Own land that produces food, seeds, cash, long-life food, guns, ammunition, precious metals, etc.

    • @martinjdesmond
      @martinjdesmond Před 2 lety +1

      A full scale nuclear war is, unfortunately, a very likely scenario as Putin's Russia collapses. One should not underestimate his mental instability.

  • @Peter-MH
    @Peter-MH Před 2 lety +8

    Great analysis as always from Raoul! No BS, no 10 minutes of virtue signalling, just straight to it! Awesome!

  • @piotrburgraf7572
    @piotrburgraf7572 Před 2 lety +2

    Thank you Raoul. What an update.

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @lifeisthebestteacher
    @lifeisthebestteacher Před 2 lety

    Best of luck to you too. Many thanks for the insightful update.

  • @deannahouston8801
    @deannahouston8801 Před 2 lety +1

    This was superb. Excellent summary

  • @ninjashhh8344
    @ninjashhh8344 Před 2 lety

    Really appreciate your thoughts. Thank u🙏

  • @nicholasbeirne7263
    @nicholasbeirne7263 Před 2 lety +1

    Thank you Raoul!

  • @sak079
    @sak079 Před 2 lety

    Great to hear Raoul talking about macro and traditional investments again. I was a long time real vision subscriber but do not buy the crypto thesis and real vision turned into a crypto platform. Listening to raoul now - I really miss his logical thinking, articulation of complex issues and framework. More of this please - old school real vision!!!

  • @elitred3589
    @elitred3589 Před 2 lety

    Thanks Raoul you are great 👍
    Thank you for your knowledge

  • @tara5494
    @tara5494 Před 2 lety +2

    Thank you Raoul

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @leeelentar9172
    @leeelentar9172 Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks for the informative video, i will say the best macro outlook update i watched/read this week.

  • @giopm6077
    @giopm6077 Před 2 lety

    Always refreshing to listen to you.

  • @MegaLenny1000
    @MegaLenny1000 Před 2 lety +1

    Best of luck everybody!
    Thanks Raoul!

  • @danmarshall2785
    @danmarshall2785 Před 2 lety +2

    Great update Raoul, thank you

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @itzfifson6140
    @itzfifson6140 Před 2 lety

    thanks raoul, love to hear your insights on macro!

  • @organisedme
    @organisedme Před 2 lety +1

    I love the way you explain I had similar thoughts

  • @monedastacker9487
    @monedastacker9487 Před 2 lety +4

    Thank you Raoul! Scary times! Time for more gold, silver and Bitcoin.

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety +1

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  • @Youalreadyhaveitall
    @Youalreadyhaveitall Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks Raoul🙏🏽

  • @winwintime442
    @winwintime442 Před 2 lety +4

    Raoul , Sir, excellent synopsis and Thank You for your analysis and overviews !! Incredible times no doubt about it !! You and family stay safe, be blessed Sir !! You are much Appreciated and Highly thought of !!!

  • @cainejackson8003
    @cainejackson8003 Před 2 lety +1

    Appreciate your frankness "no body knows with geo politics" thanks.

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @danno1800
    @danno1800 Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks for your best thoughts - much appreciated!

  • @raylway771
    @raylway771 Před 2 lety +1

    Always enjoy your perspective. Thank you!

  • @johnmarshall3007
    @johnmarshall3007 Před 2 lety

    Spot on analysis, as usual. Thanks Raoul

  • @MEGAbrandon281
    @MEGAbrandon281 Před 2 lety +1

    Thank you Raoul!!

  • @ramontiscar9194
    @ramontiscar9194 Před 2 lety +1

    Great, great, great contribution !! Thanks

  • @hanad276
    @hanad276 Před 2 lety +1

    Great video, thanks for your honesty and thoughts

  • @DDWX_
    @DDWX_ Před 2 lety

    Great insight, Raoul! Thanks!

  • @paulofradiano4414
    @paulofradiano4414 Před 2 lety +14

    Raoul, you're brilliant. Thank you so much for this, it is really helpful

  • @maplenook
    @maplenook Před 2 lety +3

    Helicopter money is exactly what caused the inflation- with the addition of supply chain issues

  • @Hopgoodd
    @Hopgoodd Před 2 lety

    Some great work, here! Very much appreciated, Raoul. :-)

  • @SwornInvictus
    @SwornInvictus Před 2 lety +2

    Some of the best analysis out there. Thanks for all the hard work Real Vision team!

  • @Rogcljon
    @Rogcljon Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks for the video 👍

  • @peacefulprepper2402
    @peacefulprepper2402 Před 2 lety

    Thanks for the information and your opinions.

  • @jod5834
    @jod5834 Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks Raoul!💯👍

  • @jdeleszekable
    @jdeleszekable Před 2 lety +1

    Thank you so much for these videos

  • @tihkal
    @tihkal Před 2 lety +2

    You’re the man. Ty

  • @noahbaxter6146
    @noahbaxter6146 Před 2 lety

    Thx 4 the info! Always appreciate your point of view!

  • @scottjohnston9048
    @scottjohnston9048 Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks Raoul. Always excellent

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @ProjectiTriumph
    @ProjectiTriumph Před 2 lety +1

    SO appreciated 🙏 Thank you

  • @erythrocebuspatas
    @erythrocebuspatas Před 2 lety +1

    Hi. A Pole here. PLN/USD has fallen about 16% now. A bitter-sweet aspect of being all in crypto.

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

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  • @ducliciouseats
    @ducliciouseats Před 2 lety

    thanks for keeping it 100 Raoul 🙏

  • @fatfatthewaterrat5010
    @fatfatthewaterrat5010 Před 2 lety

    It’s nice to see Raoul is back to macro instead of being an Eth shill

  • @greengrass3835
    @greengrass3835 Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks Raoul !

  • @trailguy
    @trailguy Před 2 lety +2

    Thanks so much, Raoul. I value your analysis of global econ more than anyone’s. But sell more of your crypto! Lol.

  • @jamiecampbell4456
    @jamiecampbell4456 Před 2 lety +3

    Thanks man. Please keep these coming!!! It helps a lot of people

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

      What'sapp✙𝟭𝟮𝟭𝟯𝟰𝟲𝟱𝟴𝟭𝟴𝟮
      Get updates on ALT coin picks and updates on XRP, NFT, BTC📊🌈..

  • @FiscalWoofer
    @FiscalWoofer Před 2 lety +1

    There has to be a compromise. Glad to hear it being said by you.

  • @adamjinx9932
    @adamjinx9932 Před 2 lety

    Looking forward to this Friday’s daily briefing :)

  • @makotounagi434
    @makotounagi434 Před 2 lety

    Best video from Raoul

  • @robertfarm
    @robertfarm Před 2 lety +1

    Thank raoul, but srilanka had allready the dollar problem before the war came

  • @hoanghoang8104
    @hoanghoang8104 Před 2 lety +2

    We want more of you Mr Rual ❤️❤️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

  • @CM-cy3qo
    @CM-cy3qo Před 2 lety

    Wow Raoul, great work!!

  • @brennden3232
    @brennden3232 Před 2 lety +1

    👏🏻 Great listen while working.

  • @eyzup
    @eyzup Před 2 lety +2

    Thank you.

  • @BurchStephen
    @BurchStephen Před 2 lety +1

    Thank you, Raoul and Real Vision!

    • @pinnedycooltimes6717
      @pinnedycooltimes6717 Před 2 lety

      What'sapp✙𝟭𝟮𝟭𝟯𝟰𝟲𝟱𝟴𝟭𝟴𝟮
      Get updates on ALT coin picks and updates on trending financial information.

  • @patrickobrien2357
    @patrickobrien2357 Před 2 lety +3

    Thanks Raoul , i love your logical assessment of current events .

  • @sirholycow
    @sirholycow Před 2 lety

    What an excellent video, thanks Raoul.

  • @heteshjoosery8542
    @heteshjoosery8542 Před 2 lety

    Thank you. From DegenNik.