How to Win at Sports Betting Without Math or Computer Models - Dink Gives His Advice
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- čas přidán 30. 06. 2024
- Legendary Gambler, Alan "Dink" Denkenson sat down for a discussion about how to win at sports gambling without using heavy math or computer models. This is great advice for anyone looking to take their sports betting to the next level.
People mentioned in the video:
Alan "Dink" Denkenson - dinkinc
Eddie DrinkYourMilkshake - walls_edward
Rob Pizzola - / robpizzola
Spanky - / spanky
Joey Tunes - / joeytunes2
I loved how you guys didn’t down talk the $5 or $10 betters we appreciate it! You guys earned a new subscriber.
@mr.alexander bro these guys aren't pros. I've heard many stories of dink and he had family inheritance and lost most of it through sports betting.
@@dreambig987 Any suggestions on other's to watch and learn from?
When i first started betting last year i lost $200 on jorge masvidal then i won it back on a grappling rematch the next day. I started betting all in except leave $100 in case i lost. I bet on the most surest rematches of fights and got all the way to $1400 then i started betting on other sports and lost it all. I came back on another betting site by betting smaller $5 $10 and $20 bets and now im at $700 would have been $900 but i got greedy again and bet straight on the last fight of the night and lost. I always end up doing that when i could risk a smaller amount for more on the underdog
The small bettors need to increase thier bankrolls to bet more. TK
@@dreambig987 yes my dad made billions working in the post office in NYC
Taking the time to watch these professionals talk is how I've learned most of my betting knowledge. This interview is amazing. When I went to read about Dink, turns out he passed away. This is very sad but I'm glad this interview has so many fews. He seemed like a pretty good guy. RIP Sir and Thank You
Great interview! Great to have reliable and wise content on Sports Betting. Appreciate the time and your effort to make the videos great. 👍
I've just come across this fantastic video. Great advice from both of you. RIP Dink
Alan seemed like a great guy. Full of smiles and keeping it real. Great guy!
Thanks guys!
I really appreciate the great insight!!
GREAT SESSION! THANK YOU BOTH!!!!!
Thank you for this video. What a great guest you had !!! I'm a winning recreational poker player and a losing (recreational) sports bettor. I've met many people in both fields, and I don't have very good things to say about them. However, your guest Dink seems to be very kind, humble, and caring (which is rare). On top, he was very generous with the information he gave. Again, thank you for this great video.
Dink is the real deal and the kind of guy you meet and say "Wow, what a nice guy." About a year ago, I attended an event in Las Vegas where all the top names in the world of sports betting got together to socialize. My wife was with me and, predictably, bored. Dink noticed she was disinterested in the conversations being had and went over and talked to her about non-sports things. He didn't need to seek recognition from his peers, he could stop and take time to make someone else feel more welcome. That's why he's a legend.
@@CaptainJackAndrews how do I find such events? :P
Great advice! Great video ! Thank you 🙏!
Thank you both for a perspective education from someone who only recently began NFL handicapping. Although I participated in office confidence pools for 15 years, giving me plenty of trends and traps to look for. Every little bit helps in analysis and Dinks warning on chasing and parlay over moneyline math were great.
Have you ever thought about getting a real job?
Thank you Sir for sharing these vital information.
Full phrase of course is “A jack of all trades is a master of none, but often times better than a master of one.” It used to be a compliment.
I did not know that...interesting!
Hello,if you're having trouble with your online betting account and you aren't winning, join this group, it's a VIP fixed matches group.. winnings is assured..
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Still a complement.
A jack of all trade will beat a master of one everytime
@@hardbodytraining100negative
For years, I have played professional poker, then bet sports professionally, have played daily fantasy sports professionally. In all that, I think "Don't get even today, don't get even this week, don't get even this month. You are even everyday " is the best line I have ever heard in gambling.
Facts. That hit me so deeply because I have the tendency to chase and I hate it.
@@bobsaget8761 everyone does. Don’t be hard on yourself
Ty Dink for the tips! Right there with you almost 60 years!
thank you very much great interview with a ton of knowledge much appreciated
Great job fellas.
Hey Jack yeah your guest here and a person I watched it on a previous video you mentioned. I saw both of them at Santa Anita race track this guest was a guest speaker giving out pics and Roxy roxboro I saw down in the dungeon lower half of Santa Anita having fish and chips didn't want to disturb him.
What a great gift to us all! Thank you. 95% are losing recreational bettors, but would enjoy very much to be slight winners. Try and make $50 a month for 6 months and it can be so much more fun.... then maybe a bit more. Thank you Capt Jack for this video
99%
If all I could make is 50 bucks a month I’d never gamble. I could deliver pizzas one day a month and profit 50 bucks.
@@jamesmathews858 Yes. I believe you could profit $50 a month delivering pizzas! I do not think you could profit $50 a month at sports betting for six months. It would be a great test for you AND if you ever got there.... 10X your bets and go for $500 a month.
I’m trying to win $25 to $50 a day average. Some bigger days, some losing days, some days off. (Trying)
Learned a lot from the both of you. I felt you guys were directly talking to me. Content like this helps me improve. Information is knowledge. Great stuff so, thank you 🙏
I appreciate comments like that. Thank you very much for taking the time to watch.
Great interview. Dink seems like a fascinating guy with a lot wisdom. Thanks for posting.
Glad you enjoyed it!
Excellent video guys!!! Maybe one video you can interview Scott Pritchard ??!!
Thanks so much for this!
thanks so much for this videos.Always wanna learn sport betting
Its been 7 months what have you learned and have you given up yet.
Awesome stuff
Great insight fellas!
No discussion on fading the public and reverse line movements? No discussion on sharp money vs square money? I've bet the NFL for over 15 years and paying attention to those indicators is absolutely essential. Whenever 70% of the public bets are on a side watch out for the zebras in the NFL. The longer you bet on the NFL the more it's obvious that this game is as pure as Madonna and as innocent as an escort.
I'm not a fan of using published bet %'s and reverse line movement to do handicapping. It's essentially handicapping with incomplete information. You don't know what sample size the action is based on. You don't know what timeframe the RLM considers. There's a lot more information that builds a bigger picture that gets ignored when you focus on RLM and published reports of where the sharps are.
However, if it's working for you, I'm not here to rain on your parade - it's just not an approach you'll find me recommending.
Hi Scott! I would like to follow your picks if you don’t mind! Everyone have a different approach… some works and some don’t. But I like to follow whichever works. Let me know. Tks
@@johnnievuong9341 lmk if you got the plays lol
@@CaptainJackAndrews you are so right about that a lot of those specific analytics are there to psych people out when they really mean next to nothing
@@blazingben7131 no I didn’t get any plays
Great Video I hope people listen to all of this knowledge about sports betting!!!
I hope so too!
Good videos with excellent advice.
Cheers Alan and Happy Thanksgiving. John Gavin.
same to you my friend
I like that hat captain Jack, great image
Best advice for sports betting: don't play when you can't afford to pay. You dig yourself in a hole more.
You also find out how good you are and your bread-and-butter methods. Bet what you can *barely* afford that's best. Losing should always sting.
I tell people the same thing.
Two of the best sports betting minds! Great vid 🔥
Teaserking is the best football handicapper he really simplifies it, he's like the Professor. TK
Andrews your awesome man, love the content
Excellent discussion.
But, let's be clear, there was "Math" in the parlay/teaser section.
Not complaining, mind you, I love math!
Well done guys!
You're right - a little mathy there, but just math you need to memorize once and remember for the future.
Horses don't care about your math and they can't read odds. Things happen in horse racing that make no sense , it's an animal. The math will tell you the takeout will crush you in the long run!
Math isn't a science. I learned recently.
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@@beavercleaver7848 However, math be required to apply the science.
Funny I use to hear that can I use the daily news line. I use to tell them call them maybe they’ll take your bet. Thanks for the memories and thanks Jack always great hearing you. Good job Dink.
Hello,if you're having trouble with your online betting account and you aren't winning, join this group, it's a VIP fixed matches group.. winnings is assured..
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Rest in peace Dink. We miss you :(
Great photos of places I bet at in Vegas, before simulcasting!
Thanks for this. I'm a serious sports bettor not based in Nevada, so I have an offshore. I'm very active in Twitter and blogs. Live and quarter betting is where I make most my money. I just want to keep getting better
I switched to strictly live and qtrs..improved alot doing the...im cloudbet. Whats you're blog? I'd like to get insight on your strategy...
What your sportbook use. I’m very interested I am 100k bankroll
@@derrickhatten597 @coreyagre on Twitter....hit me up
@@coreyagre hi
@@nompumelelogumede3150 Hello
Been following “dinkinc” for years. Treasure trove of knowledge. Great interview!
Glad you enjoyed it!
Alan isn’t a tout. On random occasions he will provide some actionable information, but he only asks that you donate to the charity listed at the end of the episode. No locks, no weekly/monthly package bs, so no need to prove to anyone what his result is. Guys that do it for decades as their main source of income should be granted some base level validity.
I saw a comment of Monalisa Tinsley on the internet saying that there is a priest who help win the lottery from Africa, The first question i ask my self was why will he say this on the internet!!!! because to me it was ridiculous to let people know about such secret. But i am a person who believe in spiritual powers because i have seen it work when i visited India years back. All i did was to give a try and truly i won $22 Million jackpot and my life has changed since i became a winner.. I promise the priest that i will tell the whole world about him because he brought me out of bankrupt. I cant give the world money but i can give people a good advise to contact this good man for lottery help. You can whatsapp him via +2348163083041
Alex Trebek born July 22, 1940 died today November 8th 2020. Today has 59 and 39 date numerology 11 + 8 + 20+ 20/ 11 + 8 + 20: Alex Trebek = 167/39th prime and 59/17th prime. "Alex Trebek" = 40 Jeopardy = 40, born in 1940. Died of Stage Four, pancreatic cancer: Stage Four = 40, pancreatic cancer = 71/20th prime, year 2020, death = 20. He "died" on the 313th day of the year(313/65th prime, Pandemic = 65) leaving 53 days left in the year(leap year). His show was in Los Angeles CA, Los Angeles = 53/16th prime number. He hosted Jeopardy for 36 years, 666/36th triangular. "I had chills" = 59. Alex = 42, Lakers = 42, Los Angeles Dodgers = 181/42nd prime. Lakers won their 17th NBA this year 4 games to 2; in the Bubble, Bubble = 17, Dodgers won their first world series since 1988, 4 games to 2, Trump = 88. Span of 32 years, Kershaw = 32 years old. When you sell out to the beast system it's all about the rituals. Sad indeed, great game show but too bad Hollywood is pure evil!
@@CaptainJackAndrews It's so superlative and interesting to watch your videos sir thank you for your presence 🙌🔥
The best tip I took from this is when Dink said don't handicap under immense pressure(basically betting more money than you actually have) I believe that's why I went into a tailspin. I love handicapping nothing else like it. I'm very new and still a rookie, but I am eager to learn. Thanks guys really appreciate the time and effort to help out a young bettor like myself.
Are you betting football ?
@@An_Escaped_Mind NFL yes college no because I need to get more involved in the teams/players.
@@An_Escaped_Mind what about yourself ?
@@greggillings9454 I bet college and NFL , but I am more knowledgeable on the NFL. Which teams do you like this week in the NFL?
What kind of shit ass betting is betting more money than you actually have? This isn’t for you.
When you bet you can’t have favourite team. Check the odd. Odd given to you not to you make money How take your money. When you see easy win always question them. It’s good for you. For now.
On Teasers, Is Dink saying if I take two -7 favorites & tease them down to -1 each "Through -7 & -3" it is a good bet? Please clarify
RIP Dink. Legend
My theory is bet with the house
Don't pay much but good to build
A roll !
what your opinion sir ?
Good video.
Certainly very informative and helpful to a recreational sport bettor like myself. R.I.P. Dink. I wrote down some helpful notes to hopefully propel my skills. I'll definitely be having fun and checking my ego at the door. I really enjoyed the interview, so thank you Captain Jack!!
Is that first picture of "Dink" at the WSOP? It looks like it is :) Makes me happy when the pros are poker players too :)
Thanks guyz👍👍👍
Good information
Great interview. What's the name of the monthly subscription? Fanvest ?
DonBest is the odds screen product.
@@CaptainJackAndrews I appreciate you Captain Jack Andrews
Thanks captain jack your the man!
Dink, what do you think of intuitive type handicapping ... not so much crunching numbers for a small edge on a lot of games, but a huge edge on a few games?
The goal should always be more money on less games ;) thats why I advise my friend on 1-3 games a week and sometimes we have to wait 10 days before a matchup shows up.
R.i.p to dink. Just found this guy and he might be the most genuine guy keeping it honest and jack as well being extremely " clear" on recreational vs professional betting. Appreciate this and all the links to other info as well.
Just bet the opposite of your final conclusion
I bet against the public sometimes
Probably the best advice on the net, if every gambler bet the opposite of what they did they would be millionaires. 👍👊
@@dimitrimassagetherapy4155 The biggest mistake gamblers make are parlays. This strategy wouldn’t work for the average gambler playing those.
I’ve been saying this for years. Just haven’t had guts to try. I went 0-8. Week a go
@@mrcommonsense9074 I feel you
I couldn't understand which podcast to listen. Could someone write them as a response to this comment? Thank you!
The Browns at home Monday night getting +2.5 against Balt. Red flag line right there
Never bet against a home underdog on primetime night games
This was a amazing show
Hi mate. Do you know of any data analysis tool for spots other than football. A tool like Betaminic but for sports like NFL, MMA, NCAAF, NBA etc.
Great video, thanks
Where can we find these podcasts he mentioned?
I think when it comes to sports betting there will always be math......but I also think you can make a profitable betting strategy without the use of a sophisticated computer model or algorithm.
@KireRike Oh, yeah. That happened to me when I was dosed with angel dust. But then it wore off.
You can but it won't be very good 🤷♂️
You can wait for a winning team to be down at half time and pick them to win/cover at a better line *ingame* but thats the best you can do without a model *and by model i meen nothing that some random idiot created* i meen like oddsshark ect < you could eye test and ingame.....but without an oddsshark type "model" then your ass is just guessing imo
Thank you, can you point us to any boxing specialists when it comes to the principles?
great pointers
LOL The Stu Feiner picture was Funny! Go Stu!!!
Legendary content. RIP.
The more minutiae you know about individual players, the more likely you are to LOSE. Knowledge of reverse line movement (esp in football and basketball) is far more valuable. A lot less "point shaving" occurs in baseball & hockey when compared with football & basketball. (PRO TIP - Looking ahead & projecting what a line SHOULD be before it comes out is a great habit to acquire, you'll notice patterns more easily going forward))
Point shaving happens in all sports it’s Vegas baby !!!!
Re: reverse line movement, it ** might ** tip you off as to who the sharps are playing, but it also might not (fake leads midweek, unanticipated big square plays etc). And the sharps are only gonna hit about 54-55% to begin with. When you add in that, as a rec player not watching the line feed all day, you'll pay a point or so more than the sharps originally got, it becomes a losing angle.
Great job
I mess up Jack because I hit some Huge parlays
I’m now trying to avoid that
Still a novice though
This guy is a mark hell yeah
Me come straight to the comments to know if i should watch this
Hey Cap Jack, question for you. Dink mentions having 20 outs with some being shops. My question is how do you line shop efficiently with 10-20 outs? It’s too time consuming to log into every account and look at the line for the game in that many books. By the time you find the best line it might move. And also some books prob aren’t on don best or on screen. How do you go about finding the best line out of the 20 books quickly?
There's probably not 20 different sets of lines in those 20 outs. Many different books share the same back-end lines. Often having multiple outs that are identical in their lines is useful for circumventing limits. In terms of keeping track of line moves. You know which books are good for certain situations. So if you see a line move or you get information about a game, you generally know which of your outs that scenario is probably best at. Those are the ones you check first.
Oddsjam..the best
What bet wins the most often? Money Line, ATS or the O/U?
@Captain Jack Andrews I want to learn how can I contact you thanks.
Very informative. I like parlays but I'm smart about it. No chasing if I loose that's my lesson for the day. Otherwise I do grind.
@J Rose I’m brilliant at parlays
I don't wanna b one of those parlays are sucker bets guys cuz I play/hit em but for the long haul straight bets are the way to go
@@eastsideaction8759 ...yea, most people should at least understand that if they bet parlays you're going against what u should be doing...I'm starting to refine my betting strategy..
@@maddcapper4548 For parlays the key is being good in multiple sports! Combine your top picks in each sport and parlay them together. I’m up over $33 grand doing 12 leg parlays!
@@memphistiger7775 ...do u need a friend?? Lol
Very informative
10 hrs is not enough for me !
Hi , want are your thoughts on doubling down on bets tell you win.
Generally referred to as a Martingale strategy, the problem comes when you hit a losing streak where you can no longer double your wager due to house limits. Since you’re dealing with independent events this will inevitably happen.
Only works in baseball and only on the shittiest team 👍 you can try it next year just dont share it or you will kill it.
You have to bet like $10k-20k to make it worth it BUT there's better ways to profit hommie.
@@jeremyscorpio4170whats the hot pick
I WENT to H.S. with Dink .Bayside high school in queens N.Y. A really nice guy.
Best advice is the house and the bookie ALWAYS WINS. If all bets were 50/50 that would be impossible.
its not winning , its keeping
I specialize in college fb. I look mostly @ the small schools that dont get much action & apx 70% of my picks im betting against teams so i look 4 teams like umass & bet on whoever they play
Smart play against the weak teams in each conference good jpob. becareful in the NFL it's a mess now. TK
@@TheTeaserking Imagine signing off like you’re important. Shut up bozo.
You dont feel like the type of person that plays -25 -35 & -37 spreads lol.....so its easy to SAY that ahit when the season is over but im always here and ill save this and screenshot it and revist you this season so let's see if its that easy haha 😄
.....if it was that easy I would have figure college football out 6 months into my sports betting journey since I was putting in 15 hour days back then 7 days a week outworking everyone including whoever you looked up too at that time 😉
Holding a sign on the corner of an expressway or intersection seems more profitable than sports betting
I know that allot of what these guys are talking about as far as having an edge and positive value is very important but I dont worry about none of that stuff. I tail some great handicappers on every sport and I crush the NFL with special teasers. Of course I dont get shit value on my 4 team super teasers but I win at least 90% of my teasers. I am patient enough to wait another week if I have to leaving an open spot or two and I look for value in taking teams that have been blown out in the previous week usually in prime time so that the line is already inflated and well adding 13 points is almost more than enough. The way I look at it is that they're professionals and dont like to be embarrassed over and over so losing by 21 points on back to back weeks seldom happens. Plus many coaches in the NFL know and or respect the other coach and usually ease up late in the game to not embarrass the other team.
Yes, and you knew when the Chiefs lost 2 in a row, there was no way they would lose the next game. Mahomes is not going to lost 3x. That is when you wait for the right bet and then step up
@@yaimavol didnt age well
@@LuisGomez-vi7jn Yeah they won that 3rd game. I make bank. This weekend sure shot is the Bills. Not gonna lose 2 in a row
@@yaimavol you pay for a handicapper?
@@LuisGomez-vi7jn No, I bet based on trends. Football is the most predictable sport to bet on.
What does he mean by crossing the 3 and the 7 in teasers?
either moving a small dog to 7 1/2 or 8 1/2 or moving down a favorite to - 1 1/2 0r - 2 1/2 ... you now have the favorite winning by 3 or 7 working for you... try to bet two team teasers with 6 points and -110 vig
Eddie "Drink Your Milkshake"? Now that's one hell of a nickname!
Dink what is your formula for betting totals in all sports.
no formula... in baseball pay attention to humidity in football pay attention to weather and try to keep up with changing winds...
Place a bet.
@@dinque basically look closer at things the other bettors or the market aren't placing enough weight on or don't understand.
I also buy the 1 1/2 every time I bet the spread in any sport
jack and denk still have their hair which means they didn't lose it malding over bets so I will follow this advice
People should focus more on live betting, i've done really well with that on college games.
😅
Live betting should only be used for arbing, hedging & middling....
You’ll never stay ahead of that juice in the long run💡
I've been a 70% player live betting NFL over/unders this season. All the analysis in the world gets thrown out the window early in some games. Watching the actual game unfold by the 3rd quarter you've got a template of how it's going to end.
@@jamescourt5201 Yep you're spot on man, even point spread and team total bets too.
@@acramos1 agreed. Only the occasional hail mary like Bills@Arizona or Raider@Jets can fuck you over. But they're few and far between.
Of course people can do multiple sports at once since is the same numbers (EV, -120, -145, +220, + 155, etc etc etc) just pay attention to what spreads cover and what numbers hit!!! Example given some pro sports the +105 is stronger than others just pay attention to every single result. Paper and pencil have become my best friends. Trends vary by season and by sport. Remember that this is a psychological game, the leas info inside your head the better, keep things simple
Are u good at betting?
@@Bgl-fz3cs I am, but i dont know about that other guy lol.
I've had my one friend/client for a little over a year helping him with sports betting.
Most books killed the Wong teasers. Can’t get 6 pointers moving thru the key numbers at -110 anymore except at maybe Bet Rivers.
WHAT IS GOOD PICK FOR THIS WEEK???
what are some of the recommended podcasts?
Hopefully Dink will chime in with the ones he had in mind - but here are some good recommendations from me:
Bet The Process with Rufus Peabody & Jeff Ma
Be Better Bettors with Spanky
Deep Dive with Whale Capper & Andy
@@CaptainJackAndrews Anything with Rob Pizzola as a guest ...Betting with an edge .... wager pager podcast... plenty of good nhl pods and plenty of good fantasy pods which keep you up to date on injuries
eddie walls when he guests or does his own on college football.... for racing Steve Byk is very good especially when a Matties brother is a guest
@@CaptainJackAndrews can you use situational trends to beat the sports book. Example, Kansas games go over at a high rate at home .
If you don't know what you're doing, how could you know if he knows what he's doing? You don't. Professional gamblers are invisible and quiet. They're the ones on the other side of those games you thought were locks but lost. It takes a lot of work and a lot of money and a lot of nerve to win.
The first part of this video is spot on... you have to listen to people talk about the games and hopefully they break down why they are leaning one way or another then based on that you got to search your memory for things that stuck out for you... and the more content you listen to the better because you will get multiple perspectives for a game that your thinking about betting.
Second best advice is learn to be a disciplined gambler, bet properly.
Third best advice is don’t drink and bet.
Last best advice is keep tabulations on wins and losses. Keep a log and make it a habit to fill it out daily. You can be a decent better but your mind and passion have to be in the game.
Doesn’t matter because point spreads and totals are all random
@@kevinwilson3337 absolutely not. Some of them might seem like that if they are off the number by a lot more than by a little but there are many variables that cause that differential. The odds makers are good at their job, sometimes too good but that causes bettors to stay away but ultimately odds makers want action.
@@playb00y360 over 95% of sports bettors lose money in the long run.
@@kevinwilson3337 I’m familiar with that statistic but at the same token I believe that number is that high because of the losses that bettors have in the beginning (first 5 years more or less) and then they spend the next however many years breaking even or trying to break even so overall it isn’t profitable for many people.
@@kevinwilson3337 I know in my case I am seeing more profit every year because I make bettor adjustments and learn to look at different things or stats that I never took the time to look at before. And sometimes I go against the public or sharps when I feel it’s a good spot for me, it just depends on the person and wether they have a knack for this type of money getting activity. Also, I have a lot of disposable income that doesn’t let me play too conservative unless I need to or should... it just depends on the mindset of the gambler more than anything. High IQ helps.
rip dink
Sam Roth stein was the best handi capper in the mid 50s to 82
you mean frank rosenthal?
Back when the mob ran vegas and fixed games? Thats like saying someone who ran a ponzi scheme was the world most "SUCCESSFUL" INVESTOR 🤮
With profit and money made with sports betting i just bought myself a car, Golf 4. Before that, i had and sold Golf 6...😀😀😀 Its just impossible to beat bookmakers..I remember, few years ago i could easy win 6-7 of 10 bets i made..now in this days i am happy if i can hit 4 of 10...
Hear this interview while I'm building a model is so disgusting... And I don't mean it because interview was bad, quite the opposite that was a great interview, but for me I can't afford $100 monthly for get this type of information like all the sports books lines around the world and looking for a handicap with one or two points of EV betting to understand it really better... I will believe that I'm just starting.
Thank you so much for all that I learned from here. ❤
Did he say he chases steam? So, you can do it and not get banned?
Books that ban or limit players for chasing steam are simply deflecting their own deficiencies. They are the ones that failed to keep up with the market price. They are the ones that left themselves open. However, they act offended that someone tried to take advantage of their lazy bookmaking.
@@CaptainJackAndrews I agree. It's on them to hang the line they want to sell.
Very hard to win always upsets anyone can lose
50/50, no way around it
yeah either u win or u lose.