The 5 Best Bets at a Sportsbook
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- čas přidán 9. 08. 2023
- Parlay bets are a waste of time...right? Captain Jack is here to tell you the five BEST bets that you can make at a sportsbook.
Jack's video on the best way to use a free bet: • The BEST WAY to Use Yo...
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As an experienced sports bettor, I can definitively say the 5 best types of bets are moneyline bets, point spread bets, totals or over/under bets, parlay bets, and teaser bets.
the UFC is a great sport to bet on, it's so new that most of the lines are way off
I bet golf. Don’t bet futures on favs, but look for value on long shots. Bet $5 on Wyndham Clark won $355. Throw $2 on 40-50-1 shots that played the course well last year. $5 on defending champ paid $505 when KH Lee won. $500 bankroll up to $2200 last year
I like player props parlays. I feel that you can do your homework on the players and the trends. Look at a lot of variables, and like you said, it's like a logic puzzle to give yourself if done right the best odds or chances on the player prop.
That’s gambling not generating ev, unless your actually calculating it
@@jdkoz98calculating probability of the event vs lines being offered? Or how would you break that down further?
@@daffydaffy5757it’s not necessarily always a probability, more a likelihood. i just made a program for nba player props that takes into account recent trends as well as season averages and compares them against the betting line of a specific sportsbook, which also somewhat takes the odds into account. going to test it out and see how well it works after the all star break
NHL player assists under, and nba player blocks under. Thank me later
@@daffydaffy5757 yuh
Subbed. I’m an economist and I like the way you describe things 🤝
Rahim Mostert was a +100 Anytime TD scorer vs Tennessee. Easy money as had 13TD going into that game. Led team. Still does.
I’ve been killing it with player props.
So has Warren Sharpe.
Where have you been finding your data before betting on them?
Various sources @@daffydaffy5757
Killing it with parlays 😂
Losing 100/150 dollars for 1300/1400 every month.
I'm not living with it, but I'm sure I'm gonna get this 1k every month.
Only 5/10 dollars bet
How bro,advice@@RAZAJK
I will say this about Parleys: free bets are much better to use on Parleys. If you bet cash on 2 games you might be better to bet one at a time. However on a free bet since you don't get that bet back just the win better to add it to a parley as you add everything to the parley and just lose out on the bet at the end of the bet...
Had a $5 free play on the NFL make me $80 in 2022. I made a profit on a super bowl bet on a team that only had 4 wins because of that bet...
LOL good video man
Ive had the most success with betting baseball. 7 is my lucky number for players who will get a hit. The Braves were the most consistent team this past season and made me a lot of money. Im looking so forward to baseball starting up again!
Thank you. Finally someone who advises parlays. That’s where all of my profit comes from. Consistently
In his worst bets videos his number one worst bet on sports books is parlays 😂 this guy just flip flops , I think he needs some sleep with how much he’s up just gambling . His eyes show it
@@catalystv7520😂😂😂
3 leg parlays@@catalystv7520
@@catalystv7520I think you need to work on your comprehension
Actually the parlays were not his worst. @catalystv7520
Awesome channel, had to sub
This channel is awesome
It really is. He’s got it down to a science and an art and mastered them both.
Thanks for advice about bet to be a better player on Hugewin
great video,i just subscribed
Awesome thank you!
Im new to betting and am filtering through all the bets to find the ones i prefer. In order to determine the smartest bets, i guess i need yhe proper online tools that you show and use through unabated? I dont bet big and am not sure about buying this or oddschecker but will if this is smartest/only way?
Hey I love the videos! Do you have any advice for dealing with a back off? In person security in Nevada and also on a sportsbetting app as well?
Sounds like a good topic for another video. What to do when a sportsbook says "no more from you." 🤔
@@Unabated One of the things I've had to try working with over a non-gaming dispute is having the security guards and managers restrained. One of the difficulties in Nevada is that they can also run a recovery, which is what Jack Ma might have run afoul of. I've had other issues in state that were not related but I got to know the system while gambling. I would love to hear your take on it! :D
Hey man just came across your video and loved it and a topic came to mind that I wondered if you can do a video on 😅 "5 ways you know you have a betting edge" cause I'm just beginning and I havent hit in a minute and your video topic caught my eye; trynna get better. The 5 worst bets ycm had me down then I hear about the link to here and I'm like I do all these and have hit. So I was just wondering lol.[ Because winning a 5$bet to get the free promo 200 and place that on a 4ATD SGP Miami vs Giants seemed like a no 🧠 er to me or was that just common sense😅 p.s I only used half 😂 but I was feeling ballzy
Great idea - we'll add that to our list of content ideas. In the meantime, if you don't mind some light reading, we have an article about one way sports bettors measure if they're directionally correct using Closing Line Value: unabated.com/articles/getting-precise-about-closing-line-value
Thanks
Come to the Australian Market we have the most sports books over 150 here
What’s the website??
You should make a hedge video good and bad hedges .
Nice vid
you including live bets as one side of an efficient market? Those maybe the most efficient depending on the point in the game
2:31 is it a good market to bet in Captain? DFS?
What are your thoughts on spreading parlays? Example. If there are 5 spreads you really like. What do you think about mixing those picks up into multiple three team parlays? So for instance if 3/5 of your picks hit, and you mixed those 5 teams into 5-6 different parlays with each having three of those teams. You increase your odds no?
That's a Round Robin. It doesn't increase your odds. However, it does lower your variance. In the case of having 5 picks and mixing them into 3-team parlays, you'd need 10 parlays to make sure you got every permutation. If you only won 3 of the 5 games, you'd still end up losing a little money since each parlay likely pays about 6 to 1, but you made 10 of them. Round Robins are used by sharp bettors sometimes to bet parlays but not have to endure higher variance to do so.
if you bet a 4 team rr into 3.s its 4 bets and then the 4 picks is one play so 5 bets the system does it for you if you indicate it on the bet slip the thing is you need 3 of 4 to get one correct great if you win all 4 games i se 2 keys money lines usually and 4 or 5 plays using the 5th game both ways and 3rd and 4th both ways also small bets and bigger odds if 4 wins and some return if keys win@@Unabated
What's the best way to bet a bonus/free bet or profit booster?
Besides grabbing the biggest ml dog can you reverse teaser or parlay?
draftkings has an everyday 5$ same game parlay win or get 5$ bonus bet. I do one each day. If one of those hit i make close to my 35$ back and if not i have 35$ in bonus bets to place on nfl sunday. cheap way to get the most enjoyment out of your money and you get 14 chances to make your money back.
do well in the parlays...in MBL and NBA betting first halves.
Here are simpler bets:
Find TWO winning teams.......then play a [2] team alt runline parlay for mlb.
Find a favorite thats -250 and play them ingame when they are -140 or better.
Learn to play ingame if a team is -8 and goes to -1 take the moneyline < their are multiple ways to play this strategy use your head.
3 team nfl +10 point teasers ignore the bs people say, find some teams or totals that win and tune everyone else out.
Those are the easiest strategies and if your good you can always find better ways to play them.
Ps nrfi bets are good at the beginning but are trash later in the season I won't say when thats your job to figure out, then when you do you will catch up to what I know peace 😋
So then go yrfi at that point? Lol.
@@SixthSavior no, those nrfi/yrfi bets are garbage
@jeremyscorpio4170 why are they good in the beggining? They get sharper as the season goes along?
@SixthSavior just something I've observed 🤷♂️
Some strategies are better at different times during the season and nrfi is one of them.
But Ralph Michael's at wagertalk likes to kill that edge so good luck 👍
.......it's hard to profit from an edge when your broadcasting it to 100k subscribers 😒
GREAT , JACK...TALK ABOUT OVER UNDER BETTING, THANKS
How can I find a mentor
1st 5 taking bullpens out equation this season!
4:22 NRFI second inning was profitable for me last year get past the bigger bats
Highest scoring quarter (2nd quarter) has proven time and time again to be profitable (NFL-especially matchups of good offenses vs decent D/offense)
Used to get em consistently at +175. Book figured it out and now I don't see anywhere near that anymore.
I saw in the last video that parlays are inferior to straight bets, but when you take the market efficiency into account, shouldn’t you be able to identify attractive risk/return situations? For example, I find soccer parlays attractive for parlays because you can piece together 2 highly probable outcomes, and combine it with a series of riskier bets pays out well relative to the three straight up bets.
Basically, are there specific markets where parlays are more attractive? I really feel soccer falls in this category but maybe it’s just my imagination?
Parlays don't change the math of the payout. If I had two 50% coin-flips both priced at -110, they would (should) pay +264, which is the same odds as -110 * -110. When you have situations where there is correlation between two bets, in other words if one wins they are more likely both to win, sportsbooks price in that correlation. In fact, they over-price it. That's what makes Same Game Parlays so bad.
If two bets have a 10% correlation, instead of reducing the payout by 10%, they'll reduce it by 30-40%. The only way to profit in that scenario is to find situations where they have priced the correlation wrong. However, the big over-correction they use typically makes that nearly impossible to find.
Kentucky just launched mobile betting today; sharing this with everyone I know.
frequently bookies have underdogs that are on a streak at 2.0+ vs favorites on a losing streak, is this a good bet?
I don't bet like this guy at all. When an underdog is say Mercer +325 I never bet the team on the Money Line without getting any points. Even if I like the underdog they usually don't win the game in Basketball. Its loss after loss not getting any points with those bad teams.
Nice to see Stu Feiner again...
If you bet somewhere where many people are betting at the same time then I can tell you the best bets I ever found over and over again. If someone tells you that their favorite team is going to lose then bet against their teams.
Do you have anything on soccer?
0:27 Vegas Dave a fraud but Stu Feiner a legend lol
Yeah as per my experience, the player props is profitable.
Has anyone experimented with systematic approaches to the Over/Under on NHL matches? An O/U of 6 on most matches should create inefficiencies but I can’t find good hockey data and was curious if anyone else knew something about this.
Sportsbooks take into account that an NHL game can't end in a tie. Same with baseball odds. The even numbered totals are worth very little, while the odd-numbered totals are worth more. See for yourself and attempt to buy a half-goal off of an even number and off of an odd number.
5 BesT!!
lol the voices JAHAHAAAA
It's crazy to say but parlays are the best way to beat the bookie in my opinion.. a complex strategy is needed and no one has ever touched on parlay strategy
see the sports whale in vegas he taught me years ag he has a ebook out there he uses rr parlays and also he bets on baseball who will win at least one game of 3 then he doubles if loses big amounts till wins he once won 660k on 2picks college and was lucky on a pick
Love the clips of the fat guy celebrating wins and the same guy losing bets 😂
Good video, but surprised "correlated parlays" didn't make the list. Ie, betting a big dog in CFB ATS and under the total in that game.
Very rare you can get away with those at a profitable ratio anymore. Anymore if they let you do it it’s not profitable.
A few sites still let you parlay home & under in baseball. A few still allow parlaying NFL unders and big dogs. Certain spots can work.
draft kings seems like they dont allow same t parlays fan duel does but not on live bets and not on overseas games
unders and overs in nfl with team in fan duels but draft kings not as much maybe if not live bet nhl fan duel allows total and winner no puck line w totals@@user-lh2zu3yi4y
My favorite team is the Detroit lions and now i can't tell you when we are going to lose or lose the spread lol
Rustin hefferson
😉
I like round robin bets. I'll take 2x3 every time...if I win all 3 great..if I win 2 great.
I only do free plays and protected plays. Its boring but guaranteed money.
He said 1000 bucks for a pick😂. I wonder who paid that.
Actually player prop bets are a known suckers bet
How does the weather affect baseball..? Less runs..?? Less accurate pitching..??
Temperature (high temps = ball flies further), Barometric Pressure (lower pressure = ball flies further), Wind (blowing out = ball flies further), etc.
For more information, read The Physics of Baseball: amzn.to/3H29NAq
America seem so muxh more generous with there bonuses as comaored to Australia
i don’t think that’s justin jefferson
😂😂
Can’t lie if you get on a day when nba has a lot of games . Player props and mosty rebounds and points but never put to much picks in one game
I try to bet on hockey winning streaks. My nickname is the winning streak finisher
there is no way to tell we have double ots and shootouts anyone see the spots betting whale he uses round robins in groups and bets lower when losing and the higher he is often not welcome in vegas with his 2000 rr parlays and he wins over a period of days and 400 each bet he emailed me from his champ group///whats with the fake utuber who shows bricks of money and alush home cant be making 300k bets all for advertising itsall phony to hook people
Are we sure that's Justin Jefferson in that graphic?
Those pictures of JJ at the beginning don’t look anything like him lol
He was having a bad hair day. 😉
No sports betting is not logic to solve, it is gambling 😂😂😂
Stu Feiner the GOAT
Smh don’t hate on Mitch from pickdawgz
Player prop bets have become increasingly harder and harder. Give it a few more years and they'll be just as difficult to beat as sides and totals
guy from jersey happened to be a money advisor won an amazing 14 player prop to score a td 100 ooo to one won 489k 2 weeks ago draft kings account
I agree because people get hurt during the game. ESPECIALLY this year and they get hurt early.
still the prop bet won is as hard as winning lottery 14 picks is impossible harder then a parlay regular big odds
@@rogerrosen2323we missed a 14 legger TD parlay by 2 earlier this year and then we saw that guy from NJ win it all on the same one we missed. Smfh
Hello Jack
I am new subscriber coz i like the ideas you talk about in this channel but i didn't like this video for me a good bet doesn't worth any thing or there's no value in it take for example you put $1000 on a certain game(good bet)and if you win you will get only $10 dollars so a good bet is not worth it , the risk does not equal the return or the reward
Expected value shouldn’t be used to justify a one time free bet promo or a risk free bet. Expected value only matters over many iterations so I feel like your logic is flawed
When n=1 anything can happen. What a bettor should be focusing on is trying to make as many n’s happen. In some states you can find many different promo bets per day. And books are always offering the “risk free” or “no sweat” bets to drum up business. It’s important to know how to use them as they come up frequently.
I keep betting there will be NO run in first inning. I keep losing so do the opposite
Ah the NRFI...here's a thread I did on Twitter about why the NRFI is typically a bad bet:
x.com/capjack2000/status/1512886318707191816?s=20
Sorry, the best bet is NOT BETTING. Don't get started with this nonsense, you will lose in the long run...
He literally says that 1:50
@@ShaheenGhiassy Not exactly...
I can’t get past the Justin Jefferson imposter 🫣