Isaac Asimov Predicts the Future (1978)

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  • čas přidán 12. 09. 2017
  • A lecture by Isaac Asimov about his predictions for the future, covering such topics as population growth, the roles of women, energy, war, and space.
    Check out "The Complete Stories of Isaac Asimov": geni.us/R1pksC1
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Komentáře • 922

  • @ManufacturingIntellect
    @ManufacturingIntellect  Před 2 lety +9

    Check out "The Complete Stories of Isaac Asimov": geni.us/R1pksC1
    Join us on Patreon! www.patreon.com/ManufacturingIntellect
    Donate Crypto! commerce.coinbase.com/checkout/868d67d2-1628-44a8-b8dc-8f9616d62259
    Share this video!
    Checking out the affiliate links above helps me bring even more high quality videos at no cost to you by earning me a small commission! And if you have any suggestions for future content, make sure to subscribe on the Patreon page. Thank you for your support!

  • @theweed3800
    @theweed3800 Před 3 lety +104

    Isaac Asimov was more than an incredible author . My life was greatly influenced from his writings.
    Dave a retired small particle physicist.

    • @jamesmorton7881
      @jamesmorton7881 Před 3 lety +7

      Jim a retired CPU design engineer. ditto

    •  Před 3 lety

      do you live at arkham asylum, tell me I will drop you some candies once in a while

    • @1man1bike1road
      @1man1bike1road Před 2 lety +2

      @ church took over the asylum you should know

    • @lethalwolf7455
      @lethalwolf7455 Před rokem

      First science book I ever read as a kid was ‘Atom’. I had so many ‘wow!’ Moments from that book. Asimov was brilliant!

    • @johnstinchcomb8156
      @johnstinchcomb8156 Před 11 měsíci

      He was, for me, essentially a 3rd parent.

  • @paulziolo9241
    @paulziolo9241 Před 4 lety +235

    I’ve read most of his books and the ‘Foundation Trilogy’ defined my life’s work, but I had never heard him speak. He is a formidable lecturer, fluent and forceful. Thank you for the upload.

    • @smashthestateX
      @smashthestateX Před 4 lety +1

      foundation is very slow boring book

    • @MarkAhrens-HeritageFilms
      @MarkAhrens-HeritageFilms Před 3 lety

      Does it hold up?
      What should I read first of his?

    • @paulziolo9241
      @paulziolo9241 Před 3 lety +5

      Mark Ahrens : Read the Foundation Trilogy (Foundation, Foundation and Empire, Second Foundation), then the Robot novels, then the rest of the Foundation series. After that tge choice is yours.

    • @Cerevisi
      @Cerevisi Před 3 lety +2

      @@paulziolo9241 100% agree! Apple+ is in post production on the Foundation series, I HIGHLY recommend reading the trilogy BEFORE 2021 when it drops. I predict that it's going to fall well short of the classic genius behind the series. Oh well, I have hope... just a fair lack of confidence.

    • @TheDeadlyDan
      @TheDeadlyDan Před 3 lety +8

      His science fiction brought me to his work in chemistry and physics. He had a way of using common words to bring understanding to the most complex of principles.

  • @MediaFilter
    @MediaFilter Před 3 lety +65

    Since my teens, when I started reading his novels, I've always felt like Prof. Asimov was a good-humoured personal friend.

  • @deadpiratetattoo2015
    @deadpiratetattoo2015 Před 3 lety +48

    He has the right to predict the future: he wrote our science and physics books. He wrote the science fiction our scientists attempt to reproduce. He shaped our century like Harry seldon.

  • @rbewoor
    @rbewoor Před 3 lety +29

    Eloquence, Brilliance and Cogency, all together. So very rare. Thank you for uploading.

    • @MsDuketown
      @MsDuketown Před 6 měsíci

      cogency? Like coherence?
      But yeah, I'm attracted to his personality as well, although he doesn't arouse me.
      This truly is a valuable broadcast.

  • @reinforcedpenisstem
    @reinforcedpenisstem Před 4 lety +112

    He never wrote or rehearsed speeches. Pretty impressive.

    • @prototype8137
      @prototype8137 Před 3 lety +1

      I mean all it takes is focus and controlling your nerves. Talking is pretty easy.

    • @EdgarFleming
      @EdgarFleming Před 3 lety

      @Tony Moca So true.... What happened? How do we get back to this?

    • @kaninma7237
      @kaninma7237 Před 3 lety +2

      Do you have a source about him never writing or rehearsing his speeches? I would like to read more about that. Thanks.

    • @reinforcedpenisstem
      @reinforcedpenisstem Před 3 lety +2

      @@kaninma7237 I've read it in his biography, It's Been a Good Life. He describes how he started lecturing and discovered his talent for speaking. Later, he is booked to do addresses and mentions that he prepares nothing.

    • @sniffulsquack5608
      @sniffulsquack5608 Před 3 lety

      This is the point of public speaking. The more you know, the less notes and setup you need. I could talk about some things like this.

  • @L2K4D44L4R
    @L2K4D44L4R Před 3 lety +21

    Just stumbled upon. This is the first time I've heard Asimov speak. Amazing orator.

    • @mixerguru
      @mixerguru Před 3 lety

      amazingly shitty boring and a liar can't forget condescending and Im guessing a plagiarist after reading his work and hearing this garbage ...

    • @danjohnson4468
      @danjohnson4468 Před 2 lety

      @@mixerguru Dunning and Krueger told me about you. Most stark example that I've seen in a while.

  • @misformargaret4028
    @misformargaret4028 Před 3 lety +13

    One of my favorite writers... this is my first time to hear him speak. I enjoyed this, thanks for the upload.

  • @robertbetz8461
    @robertbetz8461 Před 3 lety +21

    I owe my worldview to Isaac Asimov. A person in a million! Thanks Dr. Asimov!

  • @blackholeentry3489
    @blackholeentry3489 Před 3 lety +10

    In 1980 I took a cruise from New York City to Bermuda for the purpose of astronomical viewing from a dark sky and Issac Asimov accompanied us, and of course, gave a short talk before the viewing commenced. The first item viewed was Saturn and a line formed. Asimov's wife was kind of pushy and, instead of getting in line, went right to the front....of me. I'll never forget when she looked in the eyepiece at Saturn, and exclaimed with obvious surprise, "Why, it's got a ring around it!"

    • @MsDuketown
      @MsDuketown Před 6 měsíci

      you mean Gertrude Blugerman?
      Or his rebound girl, Janet Jeppson, who later assumed Asimov's last name. They were married on November 30, 1973. Only two weeks after Asimov's divorce from Gertrude!

  • @ou812icufool
    @ou812icufool Před 3 lety +12

    A beautiful human being and shining example of what we should strive to be. One of the best minds I've read or heard. I hope we can take to heart and put into practice the concepts he has so competently presented.

  • @TheHeavyElements
    @TheHeavyElements Před 3 lety +31

    He is so spectacular even 50 years later.

    • @timishere1925
      @timishere1925 Před 3 lety +2

      With all due respect he looks 100 in the picture above. He's still alive?

    • @fabiopilnik827
      @fabiopilnik827 Před 3 lety

      There is a lot of respect due to Isaac Asimov´s amazing books, and here we see him 1) prescribe feminism as a population control method 2) severely over-estimate nuclear fusion´s near-term potential as an energy source 3) Quickly offer solar radiation management to cope with global heating without providing any detail 4) Offer clever guidance on modern warfare 5) Place the moon as opposed to China as the Japan of the 21st century claiming this will motivate a world government 6) Indirectly but not necessarily unwittingly solve the Fermi Paradox.

    • @user-tz2xk4cz5z
      @user-tz2xk4cz5z Před 3 lety +1

      50 years?

    • @timishere1925
      @timishere1925 Před 3 lety

      @@fabiopilnik827 I never knocked or praised his speech, although I hear you. Simply surprised he's still alive. Good for him. You need to relax.

    • @timishere1925
      @timishere1925 Před 3 lety +2

      @@user-tz2xk4cz5z I'm deleting these comments. They don't deserve to be on this channel and this video. Grow old with grace and I'll do the same.

  • @subhrajitdey5513
    @subhrajitdey5513 Před 3 lety +10

    Yes. Strangely enough one person who brought me to Sf is a bengali writer called Adrish Bardhan. He translated Asimov Clarke writings in Bengali for us. He has passed away. Thank you

    • @subhrajitdey5513
      @subhrajitdey5513 Před 3 lety

      @Tony Moca Both
      He had some books in Bengali

    • @Foolish188
      @Foolish188 Před 3 lety +1

      @Tony Moca The best translations usually are by good writers. Sadly, Stanislaw Lem was mostly translated into English by a terrible writer. His best books are ruined, but a few have been translated by others and they are very well done.

  • @drhintjens4915
    @drhintjens4915 Před 3 lety +7

    So utterly likable open and honest, funny too. And truthful. Love it.

  • @franriding6473
    @franriding6473 Před 3 lety +7

    In the photograph he has two arms growing out of his head. Truly futuristic.

  • @WOLFROY47
    @WOLFROY47 Před 5 lety +128

    he understood irony, and, had a sense of humour

    • @jazura2
      @jazura2 Před 3 lety +2

      We all did!

    • @crieverytim
      @crieverytim Před 3 lety +9

      that's, not, how you use, commas.

    • @WOLFROY47
      @WOLFROY47 Před 3 lety +5

      @@crieverytim it's how, i, use them, OK ?

    • @jackroark6928
      @jackroark6928 Před 3 lety +2

      @@crieverytim that IS how you use them!--to express in writing exactly how it comes out of your mouth.

  • @baileyreport.
    @baileyreport. Před 3 lety +23

    Isaac was a very brilliant writer and visionary. I remember one interview he gave revealing he was afraid of flying. What a paradox.

    • @MsDuketown
      @MsDuketown Před 6 měsíci

      why? His courage isn't part of the equation.
      Like Dennis Bergkamp, but brilliance in certain facets doesn't give any guarantees on other topics. And Bergkamp even had the conformation regarding safety per travelled kilometer.

    • @Jay-ft3xh
      @Jay-ft3xh Před 5 měsíci

      Incorrect. Ironic is accurate.

  • @influensre
    @influensre Před 3 lety +8

    That few finishing sentences 🤯 goosebumps... What a beautiful mind, RIP dear good man and thanks

  • @Whydoibother943
    @Whydoibother943 Před 3 lety +8

    I had no idea that Asimov was this great speaker. It’s funny how our misconceptions and polarization shape us so much. About as funny as death!

  • @tinkmarshino
    @tinkmarshino Před 3 lety +9

    He is still one of my favorite authors and was one of my favorite people.. The world is a sadder place now that he is gone.. Sorry to see you go Isaac..

  • @mynightoff
    @mynightoff Před 3 lety +14

    Thank you so much ... like others I have never heard his voice.

  • @benonihiggins8204
    @benonihiggins8204 Před 3 lety +3

    It is great to see he was humble enough to not put on blinders in bringing up possible solutions. He doesn’t claim any solution is without problems and he doesn’t dismiss those problems as being without merit.

    • @kensurrency2564
      @kensurrency2564 Před 3 lety +1

      You’re right on target! There’s always the risk that the solution is worse than the problem. Look at the Aswan High Dam. (It’s ruining the Nile and the Mediterranean)

  • @Welther47
    @Welther47 Před 3 lety +7

    16:20 That casual, dry humor is so great :D

    • @L2K4D44L4R
      @L2K4D44L4R Před 3 lety

      Something in the quality of his speaking reminds me of WS Burroughs.

  • @lethalwolf7455
    @lethalwolf7455 Před rokem +7

    I’m only 3 minutes in at this point…this guy is great! This tiny bit is funnier than most stand up comics these days😂

  • @mannythemanny450
    @mannythemanny450 Před 2 lety +3

    It is so refreshing and uplifting every time you experience human potential realised

  • @bojankotur4613
    @bojankotur4613 Před 3 lety +25

    Well, he wasn't wrong there. In 40 years, we got about 8 billion people on Earth.

    • @franriding6473
      @franriding6473 Před 3 lety +3

      Yep and still haven't moved from reliance on oil.

    • @dougfielding8215
      @dougfielding8215 Před 3 lety

      There should be a maximum number of children each family can have. This, of course, would be difficult to enforce without invasive measures or a worldwide change in attitude toward having children. The main problem mankind (womankind?) faces is not contamination of the earth but the population of the earth outstripping the resources needed by people. This is a far more pertinent concern than just a problem with equitable distribution of the earth's resources.
      Yes, one or two children per family is plenty (and choosing not to have children should never be stigmatized, but respected).

    • @bojankotur4613
      @bojankotur4613 Před 3 lety +3

      @@dougfielding8215 still, people somehow fail to realize (including you?) that it's not the western world that's facing overpopulation. We are not having enough children to sustain the population, overpopulation should be the least of our concerns. The Chinese actually did a good job of enforcing one child per family for a while but had to relax the rules after a while.

    • @Syntax753
      @Syntax753 Před 3 lety +2

      The message from this is equal freedom of men and women

    • @dougfielding8215
      @dougfielding8215 Před 3 lety +2

      @@bojankotur4613 I was thinking globally. If the western world makes fewer babies the influx of immigrants, (hopefully skilled) will easily pick up that slack. The overuse of global resources to satisfy overpopulation is a global problem, not just Eastern.

  • @ustoopia
    @ustoopia Před 3 lety +8

    Wauw this talk is more actual as it was when it was made! Thanks for sharing!

  • @f.michaelbremer-cruz2708
    @f.michaelbremer-cruz2708 Před 3 lety +6

    Thanks for sharing this. It was quite interesting to hear his thoughts on the future, 42 years after he spoke in that lecture hall. He was truly a man ahead of his time in so many ways. Yet he was also somewhat a man of his time, as evidenced by his expectations that we would have run out of oil by 2008. He did however estimate almost exactly how many humans would be alive in 2018, by doing math in his head as he spoke which is arguably quite amazing.
    I hope one day that Humanity may yet bring into fruition ideas like harnessing solar power and mining the Moon to meet our energy needs.

  • @ossosan
    @ossosan Před 4 lety +7

    Hi. I want to subtitle this in portugese. Would you place the subtitles if I send you a .doc with the translation?

  • @skeller61
    @skeller61 Před 6 měsíci +1

    Excellent talk! I thought the parts on population and women’s rights were especially well articulated. Thanks for sharing.

  • @meatwax
    @meatwax Před 3 lety +12

    I'm up on top of a mountain on a beautiful day listening to this rt now. The slight echo makes it like the voice of God booming from the sky. I find this experience acceptable..
    its almost like he's an alien disguised as a human , giving us the solutions to our problems, and waiting for us to grow up so we join the intergalactic party...but we're too into money, racism, and narcissism.

  • @minilogo37
    @minilogo37 Před 3 lety +11

    His cadence reminds me of Bernie Sanders.

    • @yoyo-jc5qg
      @yoyo-jc5qg Před 3 lety +1

      and a bit of christopher walken

  • @bwj999
    @bwj999 Před 3 lety +5

    Its dated but what a great man. 2020 we are taxing solar and subsidizing coal. What nobody talks about is the earthquakes and that come with sea level rise. Those will shut all of us down.

    • @Foolish188
      @Foolish188 Před 3 lety

      Coal is dying out due to competition from natural gas. Governments always seem to subsidize shrinking industries. The Fouding Fathers would have laughed at you if you claimed that in the future farming would be reduced to 3% of the population and "need" subsidies.

  • @Johnny_Croissant
    @Johnny_Croissant Před 3 lety +50

    How is he smiling with an arm growing out of his ear?

    • @joenalaska
      @joenalaska Před 3 lety +4

      Kassetten Studios [Psychedelic Rock & Music Videos] because he knows he has glorious chops that overshadow any genetic abnormality

    • @nethy02
      @nethy02 Před 3 lety +1

      yes, he sought medical advice over that and the Dr asked how it got like that and the arm said "it all started with a pimple on my butt"

    • @jaysomewhereinflyoverterri735
      @jaysomewhereinflyoverterri735 Před 3 lety

      Because three hands are better than two?

    • @Johnny_Croissant
      @Johnny_Croissant Před 3 lety +2

      True. Maybe it also explains how he could write that much 🤔

    • @karenfornwalt9929
      @karenfornwalt9929 Před 3 lety +2

      🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @sarjenka
    @sarjenka Před 3 lety +8

    Good guy Isaac Asimov. He is a hero. What a brilliant mind!

  • @artplant4871
    @artplant4871 Před 3 lety +19

    The only way I can prove I'm smart is if I make a finely timed joke about the arm growing from Issac's head.

    • @MrTexsax
      @MrTexsax Před 3 lety

      That's freaking huge!

  • @jamesholbert8127
    @jamesholbert8127 Před 3 lety +5

    Since any other option requires sanity, rationality, cooperation, and concerted action, Catastrophe is the default decision.

  • @foxmulder3285
    @foxmulder3285 Před 3 lety +2

    "1.5 day is not enough for promotions to come through!!" what an epic line.

  • @thequeen901
    @thequeen901 Před 7 měsíci

    This is my first time ever hearing him speak, and damn he's brilliant. I've never read any of his books before, but I just bought Foundation, and I think I'll like it

  • @4Nanook
    @4Nanook Před 3 lety +25

    He was right on many things but one area of prediction he failed on miserably was oil. He predicted we would run out by 2000 and could at best extend that to 2010 if consumption didn't increase, which it has, now 2020 we have an oil glut and it is clear we will run out of atmosphere before we ever run out of fossil fuels.

    • @darrenclarke4671
      @darrenclarke4671 Před 3 lety +12

      I believe you are not looking at the whole picture. The current oil glut is caused by the drop in demand , obviously. The only thing that has prevented the collapse in the growth of oil consumption is the added fuel from the result of tar sands, shale, and fracking, none of which is really profitable, most is not. They require more calories to produce usable fuel, then the return on usable calories. He just didn't know these technologies were coming decades after this speech was made.

    • @nejm612
      @nejm612 Před 3 lety +3

      I wonder if you realize how many books he's written. I was looking on archive [dot] org for a particularly book of his that I one held. I didn't find that book (Asimov's Encyclopedia of Science, I think), but I found that he wrote tons of books, math, etc, etc!

    • @reinforcedpenisstem
      @reinforcedpenisstem Před 3 lety +7

      He wasn't incorrect at the time of his speech - that was the best information. Your comment uses today's best information too.

    • @rowaneisner6802
      @rowaneisner6802 Před 3 lety +3

      it was pretty much spot on, demand outstripped supply for the first time in 2005 leading to global recession and reduction in oil use. He did get cause and effect the wrong way round with women's education and fertility, but most people still do.

    • @malcolmjw8750
      @malcolmjw8750 Před 3 lety +1

      He didn't understand that we never run out of oil, it just gets too expensive for us to maintain enough growth to keep ahead of our debt. Most people still don't understand that, which is why they don't understand we have been living on borrowed time for several decades already. Ultimately the end comes when the financial system goes down under the impossible weight of debt in a deflationary depression. This will come out of the blue and leave indebted countries back in the 1930s.

  • @angeldamask6550
    @angeldamask6550 Před 4 lety +27

    He has always been far ahead of his time.

    • @hedydd2
      @hedydd2 Před 3 lety

      He is forever destined to be so.

    • @kensurrency2564
      @kensurrency2564 Před 3 lety +1

      Sure, he was, but he only had a more highly developed sense and skill of something that we all have: imagination 🤔 also that was his job. He had the freedom and mental space to be able to do it. That’s what we need ...

    • @jlselc
      @jlselc Před 3 lety

      he was wrong on any point concerning human involvement. his refdrence to energy are proof .
      he should Have stuck to s.f. prophecy was not a strong point of his.

  • @mikaelnilsson5074
    @mikaelnilsson5074 Před 3 měsíci

    what a legend, in fact, to have a mind of his is something I could only dream of having, which also wrote fine books.

  • @offyrtrolley4604
    @offyrtrolley4604 Před 3 lety +3

    Man I wish millions of people would listen to him 🌍🌎🌏🌚😜

  • @arkdark5554
    @arkdark5554 Před 3 lety +11

    Asimov wrote 457 books in total, much much more than any writer on Earth. He, without a doubt, is a master.

    • @Meekseek
      @Meekseek Před 3 lety +1

      oh puke.

    • @Breadfan01
      @Breadfan01 Před 3 lety +3

      While that's impressive, it's not more than any writer on Earth.

    • @kensurrency2564
      @kensurrency2564 Před 3 lety +2

      He’s on the top ten list, but definitely not the most prolific. See
      www.barnesandnoble.com/blog/6-of-the-most-prolific-authors/

    • @arkdark5554
      @arkdark5554 Před 3 lety

      Ken Surrency
      Who’s number one?

    • @kensurrency2564
      @kensurrency2564 Před 3 lety +1

      arkdark555 Probably Charles Hamilton although you know it’s hard to know for sure because there are millions of people writing all the time who don’t get published. So all we can say for sure are the published writers. Read the article. It’s interesting.

  • @petrichor649
    @petrichor649 Před 3 lety +12

    He was a very clever man and I greatly enjoy his monologues.
    Why do we keep electing venal idiots when we have a cadre of moral clever people available?

    • @henkeball
      @henkeball Před 3 lety +4

      Probably because most of us still are primal animals that vote for strong pack leaders instead of intelligent leaders.

    • @metallkopf988
      @metallkopf988 Před 3 lety +3

      Because the likes of Asimov don't express an interest in running for office, usually.

    • @TheMickeyBloo
      @TheMickeyBloo Před 3 lety +4

      Intellectual politicians? I doubt they would cope in such a filth infested, corrupt system without having a breakdown.

    • @Foolish188
      @Foolish188 Před 3 lety

      Most politicians are lawyers, it's why they have trouble with dealing with China, since most of the modern Chinese leaders have been engineers who can think in mathematical terms.

  • @johnnafunkhouser5999
    @johnnafunkhouser5999 Před rokem

    Amazing Thank you so much

  • @K.D.Fischer_HEPHY
    @K.D.Fischer_HEPHY Před 2 lety +2

    Very rarely in the whole existence of biological evolution a self-conscious entity forms that is capable to formulate it's own complex reason and collective responsibility in such attractive manner like this dude.

  • @guillaumerenou4188
    @guillaumerenou4188 Před 3 lety +3

    What a vision so acurate !

  • @davidvernon3119
    @davidvernon3119 Před 3 lety +3

    In the time since this speech was given, our population has doubled.

  • @katalystklub
    @katalystklub Před 3 lety

    Writers, storytellers, producers and directors are running the show we all live in

    • @ShikataGaNai100
      @ShikataGaNai100 Před 3 lety

      He also held a PhD in Chemistry from Columbia University

  • @Stebokanebo
    @Stebokanebo Před rokem +1

    His humor is sometimes fucking else. I love the man.

  • @solexxx8588
    @solexxx8588 Před 6 lety +3

    I can't believe that this video is not viral?

    • @_-AB-_
      @_-AB-_ Před 3 lety +1

      This thing took two whole years to reach me, and within few hours I'd get video of a dude smashing pie in his face. Stupid ideas propagate faster than smart ones, I guess.

    • @jacqdanieles
      @jacqdanieles Před 3 lety

      @@_-AB-_ - & the pie video got more views, shares, & likes ... yeah, that sums up the current world ...

  • @brucermorgan
    @brucermorgan Před 6 lety +6

    In 1978 he saw it all.Thanks.

    • @denisdaly1708
      @denisdaly1708 Před 4 lety +1

      @@Dice69aooooww contaminated blood during an operation.

    • @ytgomer
      @ytgomer Před 4 lety

      except how much oil we have (40 years later) .. 39:40

    • @thechumpsbeendumped.7797
      @thechumpsbeendumped.7797 Před 3 lety

      ytgomer
      So what? He was out by a few years because man found more oil and more efficient (and damaging) ways of retrieving it. It’s still a limited resource and alternatives are the future.

    • @ytgomer
      @ytgomer Před 3 lety

      chump .. why the sneer in your reply? I'm likely as much as or more of a fan of Asimov as you... nobody sees it all ... was I think my point. Scoffing fanboys in search of perfection baffle me. If I was to be more general in my criticism of Asimov .. it would be that he seems to have gotten used to fanboys idolizing him... not a flattering aspect of his character.

  • @damiangall5721
    @damiangall5721 Před 5 měsíci

    What fantastic orator , never mind author ………very comedic and poetic……great stuff 🤙🏻

  • @ivst3655
    @ivst3655 Před rokem

    What a delight! Imagine him in a conversation with Gore Vidal now...

  • @jaimeandres8425
    @jaimeandres8425 Před 3 lety +8

    absolutely brilliant Dr. Asimov.

  • @EdgarFleming
    @EdgarFleming Před 3 lety +3

    "...share with each-other..."

  • @peterP1889
    @peterP1889 Před 2 lety

    Watching in June 2022 and wow! So right!

  • @jcco7250
    @jcco7250 Před 3 lety

    Excellent speech!!

  • @korolev-musictodriveby6583
    @korolev-musictodriveby6583 Před 4 lety +23

    The logic of his vision of the future is undeniable .

    • @ytgomer
      @ytgomer Před 4 lety +2

      maybe, except 39:40

    • @Kyoto_Ed
      @Kyoto_Ed Před 3 lety +1

      120 years ago infant mortality rates were very high. The average lifespan was 30 odd years maybe but if you made it through childhood and avoided accidents and diseases you could easily live to be an old man. The median and the mode averages would be much higher than 30. And scientists have just announced that the world is facing a depopulation catastrophe by the end of the century. So he was way off.

    • @ustoopia
      @ustoopia Před 3 lety +2

      But is it? Considdering what happened in our recent past with the virus and all...
      I would say that predicting the future is per defination unreliable , but this guy's predicton was pretty darn good!!

  • @AdamRayProductions
    @AdamRayProductions Před 3 lety +6

    Takes a genius to be able to grow an arm out of your head so easily.

  • @ghanaboyz
    @ghanaboyz Před rokem

    Brilliant stuff, brilliant man.

  • @EdgarFleming
    @EdgarFleming Před 3 lety

    thank you.

  • @prischm5462
    @prischm5462 Před 3 lety +5

    I am 66 years old and when I was growing up I read a lot of books by Isaac Asimov. He was my favorite author. Everything he said in this speech was true, at the time. Of course he could not have foreseen the way that trends have changed in society. Today, even in many first world countries, population rates are declining rapidly. Many parts of the world are below zero population growth. Dr. Asimov also didn't understand the technology trends that greatly increased food and energy production. Don't get me wrong, we still have lots of threats to overcome, but they aren't the threats we used to think of. Dr. Asimov mentioned nuclear fusion and solar power but he should have realized that nuclear fission works pretty well; it is carbon neutral, and the waste it creates is far less dangerous that many people believe. We have Hollywood and irresponsible journalists to blame for making us think that it is terribly dangerous. Dr. Asimov's talk about solar power from space and putting industrial processes in space are on line, but they will take a while. We are lucky to have sufficient resources to provide power in the interim, with oil, natural gas, and fission until we get there. For all of you who believe the problems at Three Mile Island and Japan prove that fission is too dangerous, consider this: no one was killed due to radiation exposure in either one of those incidents. All of the deaths in Japan were a direct result of the tsunami. Yes, serious mistakes were made and they should never happen again. At Chernobyl, the reactor design would never have been approved in the free world. These things can be corrected and the fear of nuclear power is mostly media driven. I still have great respect for Dr. Asimov.

    • @kensurrency2564
      @kensurrency2564 Před 3 lety +1

      I agree with you about fission as an interim solution. There is a finite amount of U, Pu, and Th in the ground (until the next deep space asteroid crashes), so we will eventually have to replace it as we will have to replace oil as our current cheap supply. Solar should be the ultimate goal: it should last for a few billion more years according to calculations. Now, calculations can be wrong, and we will certainly learn a lot more about the universe in the future. We’re not done learning, folks, and there’s a lot more to be done!

    • @justlikeyouful
      @justlikeyouful Před 3 lety

      @@kensurrency2564 Interesting Fact: Solar is more deadly than nuclear per megawatt generated due to installers tripping off roofs.

    • @kensurrency2564
      @kensurrency2564 Před 3 lety

      Jane Elliot, Jr. what’s your plan?

    • @kensurrency2564
      @kensurrency2564 Před 3 lety

      Holophonic shit, I didn’t think about that. 👍

  • @bengrizzlyadams6187
    @bengrizzlyadams6187 Před 3 lety +3

    I read most of his books, I read “under the fires of the sun” in French I don’t know the original title, but it was about social distancing ....

    • @Foolish188
      @Foolish188 Před 3 lety

      @Nomad Wizard lol Extraordinary Claims require Extraordinary Evidence. Have any? Nope

    • @Foolish188
      @Foolish188 Před 3 lety

      @Nomad Wizard Checkmate, lol. Obvious questions.
      If they lived to be a 1000 years old, why did they have so few children? Each generation should have expanded by an exponential amount. Somehow we have never found evidence of the billions who would have been born. Did they sacrifice the babies to Baal?
      In a 1000 years how often would you break your bones? Somehow no individual body has ever been found with dozens of different healed broken legs.
      Did their teeth somehow resist wearing down, or did they gum their food for 900 years?
      Where are all the remains of the 1000 year old animals? Or was it only humans?
      Why doesn't the Archeological record show nothing? Could it be that the writers of Genesis wanted to show that we were descended from perfection and now we are degenerate?
      Sorry, but you will need EVIDENCE to back up your claim.

    • @Foolish188
      @Foolish188 Před 3 lety

      @Nomad Wizard Well yes, anyone who doesn't has an inability to evaluate Scientific Evidence. That so many don't is very sad.

    • @zarimekmal3551
      @zarimekmal3551 Před 3 lety +1

      That'd be The Naked Sun, I believe.

    • @bengrizzlyadams6187
      @bengrizzlyadams6187 Před 3 lety

      @@zarimekmal3551 OK thanks a lot, aren't we getting there slowly?

  • @sniffulsquack5608
    @sniffulsquack5608 Před 3 lety

    Reminds me of myself rambling. Wish i could have met the man. The energy issue could have used more thought. Solar for daytime and have a hydro generater next to the solar on a river or something of the sort. I like people like this, it strokes my ego.

  • @MI2003
    @MI2003 Před 2 lety

    Spot on, on so many counts.

  • @RodrigoMoura7
    @RodrigoMoura7 Před 4 lety +5

    Inevitable - if we don’t blow everything first...

    • @Natalia_Belenkaya
      @Natalia_Belenkaya Před 4 lety +2

      If they didn't in the 1980s, God willing it won't happen ) Growing up in the Soviet Union, I know what I'm talking about

  • @AndrewRobinson-ee7um
    @AndrewRobinson-ee7um Před 3 lety +4

    “We have the Chinese word for that”. Even in 1978.

  • @bma1955alimarber
    @bma1955alimarber Před 2 lety

    Wonderful. Bravo Azimov Issac! I agree with your vision of the future. Except nuclear fusion as a timeless energy source. Because it is so risky...

  • @gregvanderlaan
    @gregvanderlaan Před 3 lety +2

    This Makes a Lot of Sense... I'm sharing this on Facebook with my Friends and Family...

  • @QESPINCETI
    @QESPINCETI Před 3 lety +3

    Good Man

  • @Prakhar9455305897
    @Prakhar9455305897 Před 3 lety +8

    We are still as clueless at then

  • @jestermoon
    @jestermoon Před rokem

    Take A Moment
    Sir, you still stand on the heads of Giants.
    Keep Talking
    Stay Safe
    Stay Free

  • @candidogalicia5128
    @candidogalicia5128 Před 3 lety

    I have'nt seen this interview yet.
    See the one taped ten years later. I wish I had a photographic memory so that I did'nt have to read The Foundation Trilogy again.

  • @TommyLikeTom
    @TommyLikeTom Před 3 lety +5

    He could have been a stand-up

  • @ytgomer
    @ytgomer Před 4 lety +7

    39:40 .. prediction is hard, particularly about the future

    • @Apjooz
      @Apjooz Před 3 lety

      I just want to note that electric cars have always been more economical but only now they have also become convenient enough.

    • @ytgomer
      @ytgomer Před 3 lety

      i still say that predicting the future is difficult

    • @jacqdanieles
      @jacqdanieles Před 3 lety

      @Whassname Whassname 👏

    • @Foolish188
      @Foolish188 Před 3 lety

      @Whassname Whassname Yeah, I want my Friggin Flying Car!! And my vacation on the Moon!

  • @matiabem2346
    @matiabem2346 Před rokem

    I think that Isaac Asimov was a very visionary and insightful writer, who made some amazing predictions about the future. He was able to foresee some of the technological and social changes that would happen in the 21st century, such as video calls, satellite phones, robots, and miniaturized computers. He also anticipated some of the challenges and dangers that humanity would face, such as nuclear war, environmental degradation, and overpopulation.
    However, he also made some predictions that were not so accurate or realistic, such as underwater housing, levitating cars, and solar-space farms. He also underestimated the complexity and difficulty of some scientific and engineering problems, such as artificial intelligence, nuclear fusion, and space colonization. He also overestimated the progress and impact of some fields, such as education, psychiatry, and sociology.
    Overall, I think that Asimov’s predictions were remarkable for their time, but they also reflect his own biases and assumptions. He was more optimistic about the potential of science and technology than the actual state of affairs. He was also more influenced by his own cultural and historical context than the diversity and dynamism of the world.

  • @rickliles2460
    @rickliles2460 Před 3 lety

    I've been to music festies where there WERE notices to eat food ;)

  • @YnseSchaap
    @YnseSchaap Před 3 lety +12

    He sounds a bit like Jacky Mason 😁

    • @StefanTravis
      @StefanTravis Před 3 lety +1

      I was thinking, Richard Feynmann

    • @YnseSchaap
      @YnseSchaap Před 3 lety

      @@StefanTravis 😁

    • @YnseSchaap
      @YnseSchaap Před 3 lety +1

      @Robert Lee, Countertenor Yes Jacky Mason was Jewish

  • @spiritmolecules
    @spiritmolecules Před 3 lety +7

    As much as I admire Isaac's visionary skills, wit and powerful intellect, his theory that we need a one world government is wrong. Putting too much power into the hands of the few is historically proven to always end in self-collapse and destruction.

    • @MICHAELIAKOVIDIS
      @MICHAELIAKOVIDIS Před 3 lety

      Depends on who you put and how much power you give. Resources should go to global infrastructure, education, healthcare, research, not for the new F-35 or S-500 systems to enrich the military industries. Global government is a natural evolution and a necessity of going into space. Check the Expanse.

    • @spiritmolecules
      @spiritmolecules Před 3 lety +2

      @@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS Global governance is more of a devolution actually. (I'm not going to go into detail on this in a CZcams comment) You also don't need it to empower meaningful resources - that can be achieved on a national level. Also, space projects are already collaborative between countries. Just think in terms of innovation for example - if you have multiple teams finding a solution, from different backgrounds, different budgets, different conditioning, culture, perspectives (the list goes on) then you will always have a better outcome then if you had multiple teams that were all managed by one global team. That's obviously an extremely basic example but hopefully you get my point.

    • @MICHAELIAKOVIDIS
      @MICHAELIAKOVIDIS Před 3 lety

      I believe the way COVID was managed at national level ended up as a global disaster. Nationalism is as real as borders, religions, races...

    • @Dancestar1981
      @Dancestar1981 Před 3 lety +1

      Exactly look what’s happening now. The fabians were talking about this in Australia in 1961 the New World Order. Ring any bells anyone they’re talking about Agenda 21.

  • @DavidLouisLouis-qh9ni
    @DavidLouisLouis-qh9ni Před 8 měsíci

    God bless this genius of a man Isaac Asimov ♥️🇺🇸🗽‼️ American Patriot and scientist ♦️♦️♦️

  • @TubeOnRichard
    @TubeOnRichard Před 8 měsíci

    Wonderful man. More a product of his time than I imagined but still wonderful

    • @beppiek
      @beppiek Před 7 měsíci

      How long had you known him? Did you hang out often?
      I cant Imagine conversations with him

  • @humboldtharry4248
    @humboldtharry4248 Před 3 lety +4

    He’s got more cheek fur than my Persian cat. Amazing guy though

  • @solexxx8588
    @solexxx8588 Před 6 lety +23

    Every leader in the world should be forced to see this daily. We could have a humanist collection of democracies.

    • @josephmelton4721
      @josephmelton4721 Před 6 lety +4

      Solexx X democracy is two wolves and 1 lamb voting on what's for dinner. Try again

    • @thechumpsbeendumped.7797
      @thechumpsbeendumped.7797 Před 3 lety +1

      joseph melton
      Why not 2 lambs and 1 wolf?

    • @normalizedinsanity4873
      @normalizedinsanity4873 Před 3 lety

      The system is the problem. Democracy has never existed anywhere, we have cults led by psychopaths

    • @thechumpsbeendumped.7797
      @thechumpsbeendumped.7797 Před 3 lety +2

      Normalized Insanity
      “Many forms of government have been tried, and will be tried in this world of sin and woe. No one pretends democracy is perfect or all wise. Indeed it has been said democracy is the worst form of government except for all those other forms have been tried from time to time” WS Churchill

    • @waderands3393
      @waderands3393 Před 3 lety

      @@normalizedinsanity4873 our governments are defacto

  • @matthewcollins5344
    @matthewcollins5344 Před rokem

    Thank you for sharing this. Sad Im just starting to learn about him.

  • @thequeen901
    @thequeen901 Před 7 měsíci

    It's crazy to think that it's 45 years later, and fusion power plants are still a long way away.

  • @tripzville7569
    @tripzville7569 Před 3 lety +11

    Sane governments, now thats a radical idea lol.

  • @joselo-zl5wo
    @joselo-zl5wo Před 3 lety +4

    We are going a million miles an hour on wrong direction

  • @MichaelNeeves-wf8ls
    @MichaelNeeves-wf8ls Před 7 měsíci

    His positive scifi contributed to my imaginative teenage years

  • @francescaemc2
    @francescaemc2 Před 3 lety

    grazie

  • @jadawhitt8126
    @jadawhitt8126 Před 6 lety +9

    the best guy in the world a genius! this will make me smart thank you

  • @winesap2
    @winesap2 Před 3 lety +5

    It is true that women’s rights and situation has everything to do with population growth. It’s also that the men just take sex whenever they want it if women have no rights. And the woman has no ability to choose birth control. So access to birth control is another factor.
    But the problems of overpopulation are largely the result of not having access to resources to be able to avoid the problems overpopulation in an area causes. And the problem of overpopulation is also directly related to the amount of resources one consumes. This is the true threat of human population and most of that problem is caused by those in the richest countries...that are never the ones considered to be overpopulated.

    • @tonyduncan9852
      @tonyduncan9852 Před 3 lety +1

      Quite right. *_Absolute_* equality for women brings an end to overpopulation and war, and a beginning for economic stability.

    • @bonumdalek7107
      @bonumdalek7107 Před 3 lety

      Don't worry chaps. Nature is a serial killer and she'll find a way. She's done it in the past and will do it again! Remember the dinosaurs and large mammals?! Two of which come instantly to mind.

    • @tonyduncan9852
      @tonyduncan9852 Před 3 lety

      @@bonumdalek7107 Nature is a liver of life, more than it is a serial killer. Otherwise it would be dead already. If you can only muster up a couple of instances, then you'd better hurry on. More than 99% of all known life is already extinct. Man is the only lifeform _capable_ of surviving his own extinction, having started this process already.

    • @bonumdalek7107
      @bonumdalek7107 Před 3 lety

      @@tonyduncan9852 Hi Tony, thank you for refreshing my memory of Prometheus! The struggle of life and recycling of life. The obstacles nature puts forward is a means of overcoming extinction allowing future generations to progress. We are physically weak, but with our large grey matter that has allowed us to overcome many perils. By inventing machines and medicines to overcome our rivals on this planet we have been successful so far. My point was that nature has a way of putting a spanner in the works. Humans are tribal hunters by nature and you can still see this in our flags. Weak physically and often weak minded. We've overcome other creatures large and small for the fight for food (survival), but our natural instincts for fighting for life my actually be our weakness at this point not our strength. All has to change to remain the same. Hence your remark on liver regeneration. As for your remark to undo my life was very weak.

    • @bonumdalek7107
      @bonumdalek7107 Před 3 lety +1

      As for women's lib I'm all in favour for it. It can only bring about positive change and stop mens bigotry, which so many societies and institutions have...

  • @acerbicatheist2893
    @acerbicatheist2893 Před 3 lety

    Dr.Asimov gives it to you straight.
    Great stuff AGATAN; a superb choice for more anti-theistic content! Indeed, if money were no object to me, I'd be broadcasting his voice in Nyork with Howard Stern as the, err...MC.
    Watch for the first politician who actually suggests that she'd like to see the number of voters, the number of her constituents, actually drop. I'll be keeping an eye out, but I certainly will not be holding my breath.
    This speech/lecture is absolutely beautiful.
    I'm not a fan of using religious language...ever... unless the objective is to laugh at it, or expose the severe dishonesty which inevitably lurks at the core of all religions, but Dr.A. was in full-on prophet mode here, just as the JPL is the closest thing one can truly get towards hallowed ground.
    Drs.Sagan + Asimov (which ought to be spelled with a "Z", I do believe...) RIP. 😈😈👍👍❤️❤️😢😢✨🌎💥😯🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠Grr. We warned you.

  • @Larkinchance
    @Larkinchance Před 6 lety +12

    Concerning Asimov's talk about war, this piece is incredibly prophetic. It is exactly what is going on today reinforced by a theatrical cable media. “CUT YOUR TV CABLE!”

    • @MorpheusOne
      @MorpheusOne Před 3 lety

      A `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY`¿? That's what you believe?

    • @michaelleahy123
      @michaelleahy123 Před 3 lety

      what kind of immature asshole are you?

    • @MorpheusOne
      @MorpheusOne Před 3 lety

      @Vegetable Television: Lol?!
      Television/Cable TV has been `demonized` as basically one thing with, really, two different versions.
      1. A `mInD cOnTrOl` device. Used by multi-national corporations to tell us what we want to buy, who to vote for, etc.
      2. A `mInD cOnTrOl` device. Used by Satan to tell us what we want to buy, who to vote for, etc.
      It's a `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY` and it's completely FAKE. Television is a tool. It's a way to access &, through which, to acquire information. And like any tool it can be misused. If, and...yes...I am stressing "IF", the tool is misused do you blame the tool?! Because, well, obviously, it's the tools' fault, right?¿
      Seriously! You're not right in the head if you believe this crap!

    • @kensurrency2564
      @kensurrency2564 Před 3 lety

      SpookeyR I won’t go as far as conspiracy but the video screen is so powerful that it almost has become primarily used for mind control, propaganda, mis-/dis-information. Turning off the screen is not a bad idea. I hate ads and someone is always trying to sell me something I don’t need or want. Turn off the tube and read. Reading stimulates the brain and leads to THINKING ... hmm what an idea.

    • @MorpheusOne
      @MorpheusOne Před 3 lety

      @Ken Surrency: That IS a `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY`!!
      You are a bottom-feeding crybaby if you are not doing anything more than trolling for your `shits & giggles`!
      It does not look good for you.

  • @wareyhattlonnvy967
    @wareyhattlonnvy967 Před 6 lety +10

    Listen to the man, he knows his stuff.

  • @workingclassclassicalguita730

    was this lecture before or after the 6 day war?

  • @JuanmanuelGomez-wx7sc
    @JuanmanuelGomez-wx7sc Před 7 měsíci

    A prophet is not necessarily someone who sees the future by some "magic way", ..A real prophet is an individual who sees and understands the PRESENT more logically than most of us,, Asimov was one of them, hats off to his brilliant mind

    • @beppiek
      @beppiek Před 7 měsíci

      So you should call him a witch soothsayer and clairvoyant not a prophet

  • @jeffsummstl
    @jeffsummstl Před 3 lety +3

    I want to see a future where Isaac Asimov sideburns become all the rage.