Putin may have already lost support of the security force | Mark Galeotti
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- čas přidán 28. 04. 2024
- "Putin is clearly worried about the political consequences of this war."
Putin will not be able to replace exhausted reserves in Ukraine despite pressure from the military as he fears he might have lost support of security forces and the Russian people, Mark Galeotti tells #timesradio
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How does Ukraine negotiate with a country that has a long history of not honoring past negotiations?
Not, the only solution is total dismemberment of the ruSSian Federation with Moscow and St. Petersburg ending up as the capitals of two independent countries.
You negotiate after you've achieved your objectives like freeing Ukraine.
Minsk 1-2 ,Graindeal, Nato enlangement ?
Slow down. Ukraine is not negotiating with U S.
@@niklasnorberg5071 They play the mirror popaganda. Acuse other side of everything you do.
Russian sheep do what they're told even if it's dying in a ditch
With the value of the ruble collapsing, they're going to not even have a ruble left soon
Mushrooms are told to
"Dont look up"
There's already "unrest" within the Russian army and moral decents among soldiers, untrained and without support facing Ukrainians with high moral.
Ukraine does not have high moral.. They are really struggling.. But they are holding in there.@@teardrop-in-a-fishbowl
@@SubjectiveFunny The russian banks have shut down and the ruble has collapsed. Looks like Ukraine and the world laughing at russia again
Actually there are two wars going on: in the military arena and the economic one. While Ukraine's economy is down 40%, it is to note that Russia is hurting too. The value of the ruble hit a low of 1 US dollar for 100 Rubles. Although Putin has requested that India and China pay for oil in rubles, these major supporters of Russia's aggression have refused. Hold on to your Monopoly: the paper money used in this game will soon be worth more than the ruble.
The ruble isn't worth the paper it's printed on.
There are at least three wars going on,. the two you have already mentioned and the political one that ends with who becomes the accepted leader of the RF as Putin's star fades, and passes into the twilight of history. There may be other wars too, republics that may not want to remain in the RF if they are going to be jackbooted over by a dictator that has the same ambitions as Putin. There could be border disputes as Russia is perceived to have become weaker, and a pusch in the Kremlin corridors as the new order is established. If Russia loses its place on the UN Security Council, will that organization put an end to itself to be reborn again as a new institution, but without a Kremlin representative. What will change?
its spelt "rubble"
You can say it about alost every single one of thgem, is irt dollar, piund or frank they are WORTHLESS.@@MrJurgenman
Funny, facts Russian economy is better than the US, Russia has 600 Billion in the Bank (positive), The USA is $33 Trillion in debt..... USA printing money..... So again let's keep to the facts... keep the emotion out.
The big problem with a referendum in Crimea would be that it would reward Russia for the huge crime that was the deportation of the Crimea Tatars. The war criminal in the Kremlin is pointing at centuries of history. Thus this much too close in the past to be forgotten / accepted.
Mark Galeotti's statements are always impressive. My main criticism is that he looks at the military (and a bit at the mood in the population) only. We are looking at Russia's economical collapse (much faster and much worse than the military changes). There will not be a long war.
If it turns out to be a long war, it's because our western politicians want it to be so. We could have ended this last year, if we wanted to.
Ukraine needs Crimea to secure its Black sea coast, the peninsular is a stepping stone for Russia that creates the demand for water from the Dnipro and a land bridge and provides a second base for an attack.
The West should not be rewarding russia for past crimes. You make an excellent point.
What economic collapse? Russia has now higher GDP than Germany. Don’t talk about because of the weak ruble vs dollar, because Russia doesn’t care about the dollar its sanctioned, a weak Ruble is good for Russia , because a strong ruble hurts Russia by eating away at its income from oil and gas exports, which feeds into around 45% of its federal budget. Russia will stabilize the ruble but im sure they need a weak ruble not strong thats why they pushing for new currency by Brick backed by gold.
true, but they were deported to Siberia way back in the late 1940's and it was Ukrainians and Russians who replaced them. From 2014 onwards it was Russification of the peninsula at Ukraine's expense. The idea that the Russians will allow 'free and fair' elections amongst the pre-2014 Crimea population is frankly fanciful.
That's right. Long range modern capability to beat the tyrant. Slava Ukraini! 🇨🇦🇺🇦
🇬🇧 Ukraine 🇺🇦 will triumph over this Tyrant 🇷🇺
Yeah, im sure the 20th wonder weapon will win 🙄🙄🙄
@@bryandimery6509 Didn't russia lose all of Kherson and Kharkiv after HIMARS showed up?🗽🚀
@@bryandimery6509I'm sure shilling for the Kremlin will keep you from joining the next round of mobiks ;)
@@bryandimery6509 In Putin's biography, he tells the story of him, as a child, cornering a rat. The rat jumped and went for his eyes. Never underestimate a small animal fighting for its life. For Ukrainians, this is an existential fight. The Russians at the front don't know what they are fighting for.
A referendum in Crimea is not an option, as Putin relocated a significant number of Russians to the peninsula. Hence, the result would be different from a fair referendum in 2014 and as such not eligible.
Absolutely correct!
The Tartars should be the deciding vote (what's left of them).
@@john_in_phoenix Why? They are invaders from Central Asia.
Those transplanted Russians should be “encouraged” to go back to Russia. Crimea belongs to Ukraine and Russia and transplanted Russians have no say.
This is what Russia does, ships people, against their will largely, around to dominate, colonize it’s federations. Stalin was famous for shipping people to far flung oblasts to outnumber indigenous and spread Russian culture. Russia is a predatory nation. It will not change. It must dissolve.
It's worth remembering that NATO wouldn't even *think* about starting a counteroffensive against any dug-in enemy in well prepared defensive lines without having *total airspace dominance* over the theater of operations.
Ukraine has begun its counteroffensive without this fundamental prerequisite and, albeit heavy losses in men and materiel, it's still achieving some degree of success.
More than the alleged ruZZian "winter offensive", anyways.
Zoom out. Russia was advancing fast. Ukraine slowed them down, stopped them, and now are pushing them backwards slowly. I wonder what happens next.
@@peterbruno657 What will happen next is that Ukraine will continue to push the Russian troops backwards slowly. They probably will manage to break through in the south eventually but even that won't be a decisive victory. It's a long way to Mariupol and the road to Sevastapol is even longer.
Russia's offensive capacity is all but spent but their defenses are still formidable and they can hold out for a long, long time.
I am so sick and tired of Western governments announcing over and over that F16 training will be started on X-date. I've long ago assumed that they're going to keep announcing exactly that -- and not doing it -- until everyone gets fatigued enough to stop holding them accountable about it. How dafuq does the West justify dragging its feet on materiel support and then start hinting around about how Ukraine isn't winning fast enough?!?
@@thomaswhittington6530Bingo!!
@@tessjuel That is the current analysis. It used to be Russia will take over Ukraine in a week or two. Then it was the Ukrainians are fighting hard but the county will fall in the long run. Next it was Russia will take over eastern Ukraine but they don't have the logistics to reach the west. After that it was Russia is struggling to capture territory but they will destroy Ukraine's energy grid and send them back to the stone age. Then Russia will negotiate to hold what they have and Ukraine should accept bc they will not be able to displace the Russians. No we are on Ukraine can maybe push Russia out but it will cost many lives, hundreds of billions of dollars, take many years, and probably isn't worth it. Looking forward to the next expert analysis.
Liberation of Crimea is absolutely essential - as long as Russia controls Crimea, Ukraine will never be secure. Making any sort of deal on Crimea would spell eventual doom for Ukraine, and given how vulnerable occupied Crimea is, it would be utterly insane to give Putin any concessions. It would embolden him to press on with the war indefinitely.
ATM they have no control over Crimea they have kicked there butts out in the last week or 2. The General who was exiled to Britain is back and leading the civilian population
Just want to let you know that your post is exactly and precisely what my thoughts are.
@@atlanticist4763 That wasn't a "liberation" - it was a putsch, a military takeover pure and simple. The parliament members were forced to "vote" in favor of ruzzia literally at the point of guns.
@@atlanticist4763An unwarranted invasion is terrorism not liberation
@@jimmyrichards5595you obviously want to die then 😂😂😂😂
without Crimea there can be NO peace, because Crimea is like a giant Aircraft Carrier in the middle of the Black Sea, always a thorn on the side of Ukraine and an obsticle for true Ukrainian Economic Development and Exports.
lots of good commentary but... missing the key point which is: Any advantage Russia can get from this war will be a reward for the crimes they commit so....Russia simply should have the option of retreat, judge their war criminals and after that start to show some civilized manners to the rest of the word.... and to pay for the rebuilding of every centimeter they destroyed in Ukraine.
Be sure russia will nuke ukraine before that.
It was CNN journalist Diana Magnay that exposed the genocide of the ethnic Russians in the Donetsk 13 July 2014...
Can we apply the same to the British and American soldiers and politicians
Nobody is going to want to be paid in worthless Roubles. Or trust Russian workmen tio do a good job, since they do not have a good work ethic. Ukraine will have to get land currently with Russians living on it, as reparations, land with some geopolitical value. Many poor Russians being translocated yet again. Russia will end up smaller, poorer, and without the teeth that is said it had a year and a half ago.
Moscow-Petrogradia will probably be all they end up with, just another quaint, historic East European tourist state that once thought it ruled half the world.
@@oneinteriors5179what about ism - deflect. Distract. Now let’s get back to the actual point raised.
Never give into fear. Justice for Ukraine.
Justice for 14000 Russian Speaking Ukrainians
Wow you need to look at the facts….
Ukraine will not be safe as long as putin is alive.
Ukraine MUST have air support!!
Then buy them at least one plane
@@corvus4135 - Stop sarcasm, everyone knows it takes a major commitment of a dozen or more planes along with pilot training, maintenance training, weapons systems setup and config for different missions. It will take a major commitment from multiple NATO countries to set up a functional air wing squadron capable of combat missions.
@@WJV9Well, if that happens, I hope they do better than the Afghan Air Force, which curled up into a ball and disappeared just when they were really needed.
@@WJV9 What do you expect me to write when the world has gone mad? Nobody talks about peace anymore, and some even call for an atomic war with Russia.
@@WJV9Ok, 2 planes
If Putin's grip on power is now very tenuous then the importance of taking out the Kerch bridge cannot be overstated. The subsequent very public extreme humiliation would likely finish him off. In fact a black ops operation to get this done might well be the best move NATO has made in a long time.
A black ops mission, like we see in the movies, might sound attractive but that is only if it worked and success is unlikely. It would need a lot of explosives to finally destroy the bridge beyond repair. Approach by submarine, war ship, bomber etc... with sufficient firepower would be detected and likely result in either a loss of the team or, if captured and interrogated, a declaration of war from NATO. Black ops teams are expected to take risks but we generally don't endorse or expect them to undertake suicide missions.
I agree the bridge needs to be sunk.Why not overload the bridge's anti missile systems then smash the bridge with storm shadows. And then hit it with drone boats when they are slightly distracted. Big boom. Can we not lend a destroyer to Ukraine that is fully loaded ready to go.
This is all lies
With the russian ruble collapsing, I think things are about to get very, very bad inside russia. _Real_ bad.
@@AndyOB1TwoBritain needs to send a LOT more storm shadows then. They dont magically appear.
Putin………I will keep on retreating until I win!
this is a great interview; this fella is straight to the point with no weaseling, very well informed
If the political leaders in the West are concerned about "burnout" brought about by a lengthy war, why aren't they giving Ukraine more and better equipment and capabilities? A war that ends earlier reduces the risk of that burnout. The West should be "pedal to the medal" with equipment and training to Ukraine. Ukraine should be getting F-16s, ATACMS, artillery by the mountain, and other advanced capabilities that are available. Russia has no ability to resist Ukraine and her allies IF the West decides that this war needs to end sooner than later. Let's get with it politicians. Get it done!
Excellent interview. I like Mr Galleotti's pragmatic analysis. The interviewer has the sense not to interrupt and allow him.speak.
Judge Napolitano's Judging Freedom show is more interesting...
I don't call human trafficking pragmatic.
There was a referendum when Ukraine gained independence and Crimea voted to leave the Russian Federation, albeit by a smaller margin than elsewhere. Another referendum would be a reward for aggression. When there have been deportations as well as inbound Russian migration, who gets to vote?
There's still HOPE. Very interesting interview with a very small, but POSITIVE , feel.
🤞🙏✊ Peace.
UA has no obligation to agree to another referendum on Crimea as a condition of peace. There was already one conducted in 1991 and the majority of Crimeans opted to remain with UA. Besides, with the demographic maneuverings of RU since its so-called Special Military Operation, many Crimean residents have been displaced snd replaced with RU immigrants. And what makes you think any future RU leader will even honor the results unless its tilted towards RU integration?
First putin screamed "Kyiv in 3 days" and now the ruble is collapsing.....those Ukrainians have sure made a joke out of russia
no 80% turn out 95% voted to go with the Russian Federation
@@stephenglover8828 There was a 67.5% turn out and 54.19% voted to support UA declaration oof independence (which means majority of Crimeans wanted to remain with UA). Check reputable sources before you comment on verifiable facts.
@@dpelpalLike the 3 days to the Sea of Azov fantasy for the Nationalists in Kiev 😂
@@Robert-xy4xi I laugh when I think about the rubles in your bank account. 🤣🤣
It is not being beat on the battle field that will defeat Russia.. it is their economy .. it is in free fall
Excellent commentary. Great thanks, Mark Galleotti! Slava Ukraini!
I'm not sure what performs worse....the russian ruble or the russian army
@@dpelpal it would be funny to watch when ruble will hit 200 for 1 USD. All russian pensionares will get not an 80$ pension, but 15$.
Cope is a dangerous drug.
@@s0ycapitan Is that what drug you're using to forget about the ruble collapsing and the russian banks shutting down? lol
@@dpelpal Banks are all bankrupt due to fractional reserve banking.
We should have let the banks go bust in 2008 but our governments are owned by the bankers so they were baled out at the taxpayers expense.
Prior to Ukraine war or at the start, Putin was very negative when dealing with his military leaders. Its ironic how when there was a Wagner coup (if real), only the Russian air force tried to oppose their March on Moscow.
And Wagner ended up shooting down 8 russian planes lol
@@geocam2 True, but the noteworthy point is the other branches did not respond at all. Some cheered Wagner.
As long as the support of weapons include that none is allowed to be used against Russias land except the annexed its like a tennisplayer is not allowed to serve in a game!
Funny you finally realized Ukraine is controlled by the America
Ukraine needed tanks and ATACMS and HIMARS on Day 1. Far too much foot dragging and hand wringing in the West. We have seen that whatever kit they are given, they will make the best use of it. So give them what they need. There is no higher use for that kit. This is precisely what it was intended for.
You all need to understand a victory for Ukraine which won't happen but if it did would result in world war 3 if you want to die suport Ukraine don't bother demanding a peace deal
The whole of europe can't rely on trump not being elected as our defense strategy
Trump will not be elected.....
You’re correct. The whole of Europe needs to stop relying on the US for it defense in general.
europe has no more real threat because russia turned out to be a clown army. Why does Europe even need defense at this point?
Europe will be attacked by Putin eventually unfortunately...with nukes.
@@dpelpal really? not a sensible thing to say
Well, what a different tone to your interview, Mr Galeotti, from 3 hours ago, may I say. The earlier one appeared extremely negative towards Ukraine's progress. This one, more balanced. I have been incensed at much of the West media's reportage recently on Putin's crime. Ukraine fights for all who cherish democracy whatever its faults, including those pundits who sit in comfort thousands of miles away from the battlefield. Can I suggest that TIMES R and your good self watch up to the minute battle coverage from the Ukraine military? Jane Soole, Dorset, England, aged 79 . Unless Putin is flat out beaten soundly, our freedoms are at stake for decades to come.
I completely agree with you Jane! If we reward genocide and wars of conquests there will be more, we know how that ends.
Where was the earlier inerview? I try to follow him.
Instead of painfully drip feeding Ukraine weapons at a massive cost of lives on both sides we all should have equipped them fully from the start of the war. Sadly NATO countries have drip fed and will probably be making a fortune and amazing deals on allowing this to continue for several years!
It wouldn't have to be a long term war if we would just equip Ukraine with what it needs to win. All these delays in decisions, training and delivery almost seem deliberate. NATO doesn't want Ukraine to lose, but they don't want them to win either.
No they want to keep Putin. He keeps all the corrupt dictatorships going where they get their resources cheap.
What exactly is or are these wonder weapons?
It wouldn't have been this long had not Boris Johnson, no doubt acting at the behest of the US, not interfered in the peace talks in Turkey. Would not even had been a war if NATO and the EU weren't so expansionist
@@mitchyoung93Easy - long-range precision missiles. ATACMS for example.
@@mitchyoung93 NATO will not allow Ukraine to use even NATO regular weapons on Russian territory, so they are allowed on defending themselves.
They are obliged to respect all human rights and war rights if they don't want to risk loosing support.
Oh come on Mark. That won't fly.
Brilliant argumentation Thank you
You like the idea of human trafficking?
Regarding Crimea:
I was in Crimea in the mid 1990s and spent some time at the university in Simferopol. The collapse of Soviet Union was still fresh in the minds of the Crimean people and debates were ongoing as to whether they wanted to be a part of russia or to be a part of Ukraine. I would say the needle tilted towards wanting to return to russia back then. But it is important to take into account that things will be changing now that russia has no economic future. The Ukraine war, NATO, Western Europe and the US have seen to that. For Crimeans, this may take awhile to set in, but I'm confident that in a few years time, one would be hard pressed to fine any Crimeans who want to be attached to a broke, impotent russia while Ukraine is joining the European Union, and benefiting from a steady influx of Western dollars. Therefore I would predict that in five years time, the majority of Crimeans would vote to rejoin Ukraine.
you know nothing ! I've lived in Sevastopol for the last 20 years, and i can guarantee you that the mood when you were in Crimea is nothing like it is now. Russia has almost 100% support here.
@@user-ui6kv2np8i
Russian Rouble collapsing,
$1 - Rouble 100.70
€1 - Rouble 115.11
Everything is going to plan 😂😂, who would want to be part of a collapsing country.
@@user-ui6kv2np8i deport everyone, Ukraine needs to take Crimea
@@user-ui6kv2np8i Sure they are are very good at culteral cleansing.
@@user-ui6kv2np8i You don't know anything! Force deported Crimean Tartars since Stalin must be resettled and the Vatniks need to go back to Russkie Mir. The same goes for the ethnic Cossacks in the Donbas and Zaporozhia. Ukraine, the Crimea and the area east to the Caspian Sea was never ethnic Russkies.
TIME$ never fails to amaze me, by just even looking at the title on every wishful narrative on a daily basis. Very creative! 😁
Indeed, "Times Radio" can always be guaranteed to raise a smile with the nonsense it pumps out.
If the USA abandons Ukraine, I sure hope the same people don’t ‘pass the hat around’ for Taiwan…
Why is it that only the UK people that speak on this war seem to think that Ukraine can survive as a country without retaining Crimea, i really wish they would pull their heads out of their arses.
Great interview. Thank you. 😎
Why does this man have valuable Russian reserve weaponry on top of his bookshelf?
Those the the air defenses that were supposed to protect the _MOSKVA._
Pretty obvious why when you listen to him.
Reserve.,? I thought it was their top tech ordinance. 😂
No vote on Crimea! What ludicrous is this?
SLAVA UKRAINE 🇺🇦
It normally takes about two years to full train a soldier. So expecting Ukraine to do the same in a few months is asking a lot.
They haven't got two years. Americans will pressure their Government to disengage.
They all die within days so why waste the training on them
Yeah a bit
Like the criminals Russia use as ‘soldiers’
Ukraines best where sacrificed in bakmut now only the dregs of Ukrainian military are left zelensky was told to withdraw by nato and US he did not listen and threw his best into it till it was eventually taken by wagner anyway,his best died for nothing ,now he can't move anywhere no matter what is given to him because what's left of his army simply don't have the skill or expertise to use what they have
Yep. And the Ukrainians are training up very fast.
Finally, a Western expert who is brave enough to speak out loud the concept that the war will not end when Ukraine restores its territorial integrity. You can push Ukraine to negotiate all you want, but russian demands haven't changed so far, meaning they are not interested in negotiations
When it does regain its territorial integrity, it's application to NATO will likely go through. After which Russia's desires would be largely irrelevant.
A lot of uncertainty. Noticeable among their diplomats.
Ukraine will never be safe without Crimea, that would be a monumental mistake
Russia must be stopped and educated. Putin will end up as Mussolini. Hope.
The russian banks are closing in order to prevent bank runs.....the ruble is literally in freefall.
@@dpelpal Ruble reversed an hour ago, its 98 something now. Evilina must spending usd/euro for rubles.
And you are the hero who will stop Russia and the wise man who will teach them what they need - submission and greed of the West, right?
Hand Putain over to Ukrainian mothers and turn your head.
I'm amazed they don't have a referendum on what to do next.
Like Australia
A referendum in Crimea? After shipping out all the Tartars and importing Russians for decades?
Why aren't we seeing opposition in Russia gathering in one of the many isolated regions/republics (like for example Tuva) and arming themselves? If it is one thing that Russia probably doesn't have now, it is a lot of military in those areas...
The regions would starve and freeze if their pensions were cut off. They have massive alcohol, unemployment and poverty problems. They have no money left after buying food. They don't even have gas or plumbing.
Asking them to fight for what they want without support is the ultimate irony of the West.
Russians don't get to hear the truth about what goes on inside their own country, never mind outside.
Mr. Galleotti’s analysis is always very informative and welcome. Thank you very much. 🇺🇦✌️
With the value of the ruble collapsing, things could start falling apart real real quick in russia.
@@dpelpalyep they gonna be pushing a wheelbarrow full of roubles to do a days shopping
when Mark Galeotti speaks .. i listen
I laugh !! 😄 😆
@@TREVORALLMAN strange sense of humour but ok 👌
@@user-vn7hb8yv2v Most people laugh at nonsense, do they not ?
@@TREVORALLMANwhat nonsense? Having read everything Mark Galeotti has written on Russia over the years I’ve learned to trust what he says and he’s been spot on with pretty much everything which is why he’s sought after by everyone to talk on the subject , of course if you want to flippantly call it ‘nonsense’ because it doesn’t fit your narrative that’s fine .. knock yourself out chum
Amazing information thanks 🙏
Now putin is attempting to blame *NAFO* for the collapsing russian ruble. You literally can't make this stuff up🤣
I'll tell you what, I won't forget putin screaming his "Kyiv in THREE DAYS!" anytime soon lol.
Did the NAFO clowns tell you that ?
@@dpelpalOK 😂 3 days to the Sea of Azov we were told for the Nationalists in Kiev!
@@dpelpal Putin never said that, and your hallucinations are obviously painful for you and for us here.
@@Robert-xy4xiNever happened d**w*t. I'd ask you for a source showing Ukraine expected to reach the Azov Sea in days, but not even I want you to waste your life looking for what doesn't exist.
When I lived in Russia, a couple of times totalling four years, I never heard a single Russian demoan that Crimea was not part of Russia. I did encounter ethnic Russians in Crimea who felt that but even those were a minority. Nobody was upset with the pre-2014 status quo until the propagandists told them they should be.
You lived in a bubble. Over 90% of Russians in and outside of Crimea see Crimea as Russian as a Briton would see Southampton as English
Why must the audio volume levels be so consistently low on this channel?
I really don't think China is on the fence about this war, it's playing both sides, heard a story recently about a Ukrainian soldier storming a Russian trench and finding 26 boxes of Chinese Drones supplied to the Russians.
I agree but has Amazo stopped selling Chinese drones? Being the world's main supply of drones of course they would be Chinese with USA processors. Plenty of Chinese support for Ukraine exists in China and the Chinese government is not stopping it. There are more Russian botts on Twitter and CZcams, and let us not forget the political botts in the USA.
A control freak has failed😂 Wait until November and put him on top .....Guy faulks 😮
well said
Yes elainesky has failed miserably
@@Realist369🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦💛💙💛💙🔱🔱🔱🌻🌻🌻SLAVA UKRAINE.
@@Fu-orksGive.PEACE.achance. just 3 flags means you don’t really support Ukraine ,that’s lame ,real fans put 400 flags up
I became disinterested when he started talking about making some sort of concessions in Crimea.
why?
Never give into fear. Justice for Ukraine.. Never give into fear. Justice for Ukraine..
Excellent information
Glory to Ukraine !!!
The fighting in the Bocage in Normandy was very like what is now happening in Ukraine.
With putin screaming "Kyiv in 3 days" and now the ruble collapsing, I don't think things are going russia's way lol
Had to look it up:
YT vid "Hedgerow warfare during the Battle of Normandy"
Europe traditionally grew thick hedges to border fields, instead of building fences with metal or wood. These hedges gave the defenders (Nazis) an enormous advantage. Most of the fighting became hand to hand.
BTW, one of my great great grandmothers was an Irish immigrant. She had been a "hedge teacher" in Ireland. The British at the time made schools (burned) and teaching illegal. Teachers would gather classes in the thickest hedges, and post lookouts. If the British caught them teachers were killed on the spot.
Crimea is not ready for a fair referendum . In 15 years then you might consider it. I would not consider it since it would be like England giving Cornwall up to Ireland.
Or Ireland giving Northern Ireland to England you see might is right unfortunately
82 Armored Brigade was thrown into the fray a few days ago, so the Ukrainians went from "half of 10th Corp is still uncommitted" to "all the chips are now on the table" in the space of three days.
That's not good. Not good at all.
NATO people are too much worried about Mr. Putin.
Actually, I think you may find the reverse is true.......
Ninth Corps was rotated out to rest and refit, according to what I've read. That puts them in strategic reserve, or most of ninth, anyway, plus half of tenth. That's still a sizable reserve, especially compared to Russian reserves.
Unrealistic compared to a video game or a TV war.
Very Smart analysis..
I've added Mark Galeotti to the list of people I will always listen to when I new interviews with Times radio or other news outlets. A short list including General Ben Hodges and Professor Michael Clarke.
Good for your echo chamber and peace of mind. Remember this when reality, in the form of a complete Russian victory, runs over your sweet woke dreams.
It is the West’s fault that Ukraine got too little arms too late, and this allowed the Russians the time to entrench . The West then cost Ukraine lives and lost lots of the equipment they themselves provided . 😢
Ahem the "West"??. In the key Allied countries, mostly centre-left progressive or woke leaders in power in 2022 --- Biden (US), Scholz (Germany), Trudeau (Canada), Ardern (New Zealand), Albanese (Australia since May 2022), Pedro Sanchez (Spain). Arguably Macron (France) and Draghi (Italy) were centrist - certainly they are not conservative or libertarian.
Main Western country leading the others with wholehearted support is Britain under the Tories (BJ and Ben Wallace).
A referendum in Crimea any time soon is pretty much pointless.
1. Russia forcefully deported a vast portion of the Crimean Tatar population
2. Many people who left to avoid being under Russian occupation
The only way out for Crimea is independence or as part of Ukraine. Anything else will be unacceptable.
Being former investigator for an Australian Police Force, I find the lack of supporting evidence incredible a lot is based on hearsay, the evidence presented does not represent facts. Regardless of which side you on are on you need to look at facts. Firstly, Ukraine is one of the most corrupts governments (from western sources), Ukraine is desperate, they haven't the troops, the money (reliant on the west), no means to be self sufficient, Ukraine government has major challenges, infrastructure destroyed, they don't have the population or resources to carry a long term war compared to Russia, Stable Government, much larger population to draw resources from, has full Military Support Systems and Resources, they are not short of ammunition, the Russians are financial they started with 600 Billion in the bank (USA is $33 Trillion in Debt), Russians are not short on Ammunition or Men unlike Ukraine. People just look at the facts. Ukraine has not the capacity or resources even with West backing to win the war. This is historical facts, also this war started back with the Minsk agreements that the West did not honour. I just find it fascinating that people do not look at facts you are all caught up in emotion and what CNN or Propaganda of West than to look at just pure facts. I can tell you this based on facts. Russia will win this war, the USA and NATO will sell some excuse that Ukraine failed....
I agree 100%. I have found this baffling from the start.
Unfortunately Ukraine has lost personnel at a high - not to say alarming - rate. This is both causing a personnel shortage as well as having an effect on morale. Meanwhile, the Americans continue deliberately to stall the supply of armaments that would make a difference: ATACMs and F-16s.
THE us IS PUT OF ANY MILITARY EQUIPMENT THAT MAY CHANGE THE CAUSE OF THE WAR even the Raptors won help Ukraine 00000000 RUSSIA ;EADS THE WORLD in electronic war fare
America doesnt know how to win a war .
Biden needs to allow ukraine to win a stalemate is not satisfactory .
America please dont mess up another war.
My I remind everyone how much you would be willing to fight if a foreign power invaded your country!
Don't worry, Ukraine is winning. Cheer up 😊
Where do you get your figures?
If the allies had given ukraine what it needed when it needed , this could have saved so much heartache and destruction. It costs more in the long run through hesitation and dithering.
It’s still trench warfare guys. I’ve watched them clearing Russian dugouts. The tech is not a factor there, it’s still close quarters, bloody, deadly combat. It’s frustrating both hearing complaints about the speed of the counterattack and the money we’re spending. Think about it. Russia is the primary reason we have to be well armed, so it’s disingenuous to avoid accepting that they’re fighting our battle and our children aren’t dying and being maimed. Ukrainians are. Let’s get off the fence and do something you don’t have to lie to your grandchildren about.
I recall the ancient Roman siege of the fortress of Masada on the Dead Sea, (which I visited!), where the Romans resolved to build an enormous earthen ramp to gain access to the walls of the hilltop fortress. Despite the incredible amount of time and materials and losses in manpower they eventually succeeded. The Jews, knowing defeat was inevitable all committed suicide, denying the Romans the opportunity to gloat. The Ukrainians have a similar resolve as did the Romans and they are not too concerned about the time it takes.
Mark Galeotti gets it!
its like blowing up a balloon. The Russians are getting stretched and there will be no obvious win until it pops. Then it will be all over.
Just like a big zit. So, remember, whenever you see a "Z" in russia, just think of a giant zit.
"may have lost"
Sounds too good to be true. Probably means it isn't true.
Totally out of touch with the idea for organize a voting in Crimea.
In war the logic prevail so if you invade a country and thought win in three weeks and in present day past more than year, the logic says that you didn't calculate all options of winning and underrated your opponent, so by the logical Russia already lost this war the only question is where will be the Russians troops where they assume they lost, perhaps inside 200km in Russia.
In that case that will be created an security territory 200km far east Ukraine recognized border deep inside Russia.
War wariness is not the same as Submission. Western Countries dictating to the Ukrainians what should be acceptable for Ukrainians is arrogance to the extreme. Would Germany be prepared to give up Rostock region, would the UK give up the Falklands, should the USA give up Guam or Hawaii so that a settlement could be made? NEVER, especially in light of the Russian atrocities and war crimes. Slava Ukraine.
Cost should not be an issue if you are fighting for values. As far as cost goes anyway the military kit that the US has sent amounts to around $50 billion but put this into perspective, when the US spent over $2.3 Trillion from 2001 in Afghanistan, also the cost of the amounts requested and approved from congress for Ukraine was hugely overestimated as they had not factored in depreciation since the equipment was purchased. Much of the kit sent to Ukraine like the M113's were obsolete and close to being written off anyway and there is an ongoing cost to maintaining stored equipment so it could be argued that in getting rid of this surplus old stuff Ukraine did western governments a favor. Also ongoing supplies would not have been an issue but for the drip feeding of equipment, as an example, Germany has still only sent 50% of what was promised. Why is it that 80% of the computer chips reaching Russia via China are American ?? These are mainly INTEL chips, here's an idea, stop selling computer chips to China. Maybe someone should explain to the American taxpayer that US Corporations are reaping huge profits out of this conflict so from a bottom line cash perspective the longer this goes on the more money they make. US oil companies are selling their LNG now to a reliant Europe and US arms manufactures a rubbing their hands at all the new orders from panicked Eastern Europeans, yep a pretty big win for American Corporations.
Really well said
The kit you say where is it coming from the west is saying it's out of kit and ammo... hence cluster ammo instead...
The west is lying to gullible people like you who do not do basic google search to check them.
The western hegemony is always projecting their own woes and issues onto their enemies as if that will force this projection into becoming reality!
After the war crimes of Putin, to concede one square inch of Ukraine to Russia would be like a recompense to a terrorist. The negotiation should only be related to the delay in which Ukraine can be a member of NATO. I don't think it is a good plan to concede anything to someone using the nuclear threat. Then, Crimea should not be negotiable just for reason of strategy. Ukrainian can lend later some part of Crimea, after years of solid peace and non aggression, maybe.
I've been hearing/reading that the Russian Army is on the verge of collapse for a year now. As much as I want it to be true, I'm not holding my breath.
Yeah, that's what russia said in 1991 and 1998. Then their entire economy and government collapsed lol
He will extend the mobilisation age and keep on mobilising men as he was already planning a long war,Russian men are just cannon fodder this is how dictators work.
yes because you have only heard that from Western media propaganda, it's all just a deflection from the failed counter offensive
It’s clear the flashpoint is Crimea and I tend to agree that Ukraine will not be safe if Crimea is in Russian hand. I also don’t like the position of effectively rewarding Russian aggression by allowing them to keep Crimea. However:
What if negotiations included allowing Russia to nominally keep Crimea but forbidding any military presence, especially requiring the closure of Sevastopol Naval Base.
Ultimately it will, and must, be for the Ukrainians to decide.
International control, no weapons, both side equal access to crimea as an independent state.
25 years of this independence, written in crimean constitution is roundabout one generation of building a peaceful place.
The 14 Challenger 2s will be operationally irrelevant in Ukraine. They were only sent to pressure Germany.
I am reminded of MI6 and Ben Wallace’s prognoses last year that Russia was running out of weapons! Well done, Times, for finding unicorns!
Nobody said running out. Running low. You can run low on petrol and then fill up your car. With weapons you can build more. Now little child. Please remember this simple explanation.
@@Joe-og6br bellingcat said they’d run out by March 2022 . They are funded by nato and western governments. Now go cry into your rainbow flag.
@@HAASMINIMILL1 LOL yes I remember that and it seemed like BS back then, and still seems like BS now !
Hmh, I watched the video, and all I thought was "what's that bow in the background" :D.
Times Radio.Where we all come to get our good portion of cope.
maybe the russians could have a recruitment drive in africa?. but in all seriousness they can't even take the ukraine, how would they expect to fair against the full might of nato?.
@foreverhungry84 Who knows, NATO have never come up against a country that could fight back, so they ain't even been tested yet.
Mark Galeotti brilliant , keep up the good work
He’s a fool spouting nonesense for mi6
its folly without air support , they need f16s and a10s throw in some apaches aswell.
Any more if I see the term “Game Changer” in an article about this war, I skip the article.
Didn't russia lose all of Kharkiv and Kherson after the US gave HIMARS?
SLAVA UKRAINE 🇺🇦 ♥️
The ruble sure ain't doin' well lol. Russia shouldn't have messed with Ukraine....Ukrainians can _fight!_
Slava cocaini!
..Glory to all of the Heroes of Ukraine….💙💛💙
Why does this conversation feel edited…is it even a conversation between people, or is it just edited to almost feel like a conversation? The answers feel pre planned and rehearsed. There is no attempt to talk over each other, or back and forth, just : question/long, elaborate answer/question/long, elaborate answer…..
Perhaps it WAS an interview/conversation, but the dude in the glasses didn’t like the way it went, then decided to record new answers then edit them in afterwards…🤷🏽♂️
He is not out of troops. Russia hasnt even done a full mobilization yet.
It would be interesting to know if the Leopard 11 tank loses were down to their known reliability problem's of by enemy action.
This guy is what we in Norway call a Quisling...
Russia is conscripting up to age 70 not looking good for them.
👆lies😂😂😂😂
@@Realist369 Are you still going around telling people the _MOSKVA_ still sails as well?🤣
@@dpelpal no and I never have.are you still going round misquoting putin with Gen.m Milly assessment that it could be over in 72hours ? Of course you are