Percent Chance Brian Kelly and other Year 3 coaches can win a Natty | Always College Football

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  • čas přidán 1. 06. 2024
  • Greg McElroy takes a look back at the 2022 coaching carousel and discusses the percent chance the year three coaches can win a National Championship at their current spot, including Kalen DeBoer at Alabama. Mario Cristobal may be closer than you think, and Dan Lanning could bring the first National Championship to Eugene. And is Kalen DeBoer a near lock to win a Natty at Alabama? McElroy breaks it all down while also answering questions from the mailbag.
    0:00 Intro
    2:32 Revisiting the 2022 Coaching Hires
    4:05 Percent chance Brian Kelly wins a Natty at LSU
    7:25 Percent chance Lincoln Riley wins a Natty at USC
    9:44 Percent chance Marcus Freeman wins a Natty at Notre Dame
    12:05 Percent chance Billy Napier wins a Natty at Florida
    14:16 Percent chance Brent Venables wins a Natty at Oklahoma
    16:39 Percent chance Dan Lanning wins a Natty at Oregon
    18:49 Percent chance Mario Cristobal wins a Natty at Miami
    21:27 Percent chance Kalen DeBoer wins a Natty at Alabama
    24:07 Mailbag - How many teams would a ‘super league’ be?
    26:12 Mailbag - Why should I watch the CFB regular season?
    29:15 Mailbag - Can Colorado make a bowl game?
    31:47 Mailbag - Will former Pac 12 teams run the Big 12?
    33:20 Thanks for watching - leave reviews!
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Komentáře • 60

  • @dawncemberwillis3766
    @dawncemberwillis3766 Před 24 dny +2

    Good Morning, Happy Early Birthday ❤. Thanks for sharing this video. I'm a Bama Alum so Roll Tide. I hope that Alabama will be on fire this upcoming season and take it all the way. Have A Great Day.

    • @sebazelaya3445
      @sebazelaya3445 Před 24 dny

      Go Alabama Football 🏈
      Go Auburn Football 🏈

  • @Ducks4Life91
    @Ducks4Life91 Před 22 dny +2

    You could’ve put Dan the man Lanning at 85-100% cause he finna win a natty in Eugene VERY VERY SOON💚💛🦆

  • @robertwidby2205
    @robertwidby2205 Před 24 dny +5

    We can no longer measure coaches' ability to build programs as in the past. In fact, more and more of the better ones will look for ways to get out or move to The NFL. Tweaking the rosters every season is insane.

    • @DMP413
      @DMP413 Před 24 dny

      What do want to happen? The exact same players every year. No retirements, no rookies? So a coach/ team only has ONE chance to pick a team and they are stuck with it FOREVER? The Assistant coaches can't get new jobs? The team loses every game in the season. But can't change anything ¿

  • @NorthGeorgiaJosh
    @NorthGeorgiaJosh Před 24 dny +1

    I am an FSU Fan and we are still friends Greg. I have heard your support through the years of FSU in particular a time before the 2021 season you said I believe great things are ahead for the Noles and I knew you werent just talking or blowing smoke. I can even say if the roles were reversed (say we were 12-1 with #5 rated SOS and yall were 13-0 with an injured QB) last year I would be glad my team was in. I cant blame you for that. As unbiased as we might try to be I can never not give my team the benefit of the doubt. I also never played for or won a national champion ship with the team I root for either.

    • @SurferRC
      @SurferRC Před 24 dny +1

      If sos mattered michigan would have been left out too!

  • @jamesb0255
    @jamesb0255 Před 24 dny +1

    Dang Greg...i said i still like you and the show 😊...42 year FSU fan here.

  • @dwayneoukid
    @dwayneoukid Před 24 dny +2

    Okay so hear me out! Brent V yet he was a DC, he knows how to beat SEC teams when it counts! However, recency bias yall national commentators are so high on Texas because Sark is a good ole boy? Texas had one good year that mattered since 2009 but yall keep saying they are more positioned than Oklahoma team that has adapted to whatever conference they have ever been in… so make it make sense?

  • @messagetous
    @messagetous Před 24 dny

    Good show

  • @wlthomas8
    @wlthomas8 Před 22 dny

    60 teams, four 15 team divisions, and you can keep the proposed 14 team playoff set up.
    Then, you could have a 2nd division of the remaining 70 teams, open seeding like the DIV II setup, playing for their own natty

  • @UGAfan12132
    @UGAfan12132 Před 16 dny

    Happy Birthday!

  • @ivansalazar5448
    @ivansalazar5448 Před 24 dny +1

    Napier needs to have a stellar season in Gainsville in order to keep his job!

    • @jahendrix1543
      @jahendrix1543 Před 22 dny

      he wont. and im not sure what our AD is going to do about it.

  • @SurferRC
    @SurferRC Před 24 dny +1

    The problem with a super league is that it cuts off access to programs that want to make football a priority! Thats what makes college football great teams can come out of nowhere to be juggernauts! If you dont get in the super league from the inset you are screwed and teams like vandy or indiana/illinois who will never be good or care just sit there cashing huge football checks!!

  • @derekjancart215
    @derekjancart215 Před 24 dny

    Brian Kelly had an effort and attitude problem at ND, not a Notre Dame problem in getting a National Championship.

  • @gregcrowder7809
    @gregcrowder7809 Před 23 dny

    Happy Birthday RollTide

  • @rickysmith133
    @rickysmith133 Před 24 dny

    Brian Kelley won his LSU games with ED Orgeron players.

  • @timothycunningham3983
    @timothycunningham3983 Před 22 dny +2

    DESPITE WHAT ALL THE OHIO STATE AND MAYBE GEORGIA HATERS THINK, YOUR VIDEO COVER LEFT OUT THE PICTURES OF THE TWO COACHES MOST PROBABLE TO WIN THE CFP THIS YEAR. IM SURE THAT WAS ON PURPOSE. THIS IS A SEC/ ESPN DRIVEN PODCAST ISN’T IT? OH YEAH THATS WHY BAMA’S COACH’S PICTURE IS RIGHT UP FRONT. 😂

  • @user-cq3ys4pk1m
    @user-cq3ys4pk1m Před 24 dny

    Happy early birthday, Greg.
    You are a baby. I’m 78 and can you think of differences I’ve seen.

    • @DMP413
      @DMP413 Před 24 dny

      If he is a baby what is a one year old?

  • @MichaeLMahoney-kr8sg
    @MichaeLMahoney-kr8sg Před 21 dnem

    Not sure why no one can do math. If a conference champion wins a natty they will play 16 games. If the Irish win a natty they will have played…. 16 games. Disadvantage, where?

  • @dashien2605
    @dashien2605 Před 24 dny +2

    Oregon

  • @cindymikolajczyk9936
    @cindymikolajczyk9936 Před 24 dny

    Happy Birthday!!!! BK does not know how to recruit...that will always be his downfall.

  • @garygrunst140
    @garygrunst140 Před 24 dny +2

    Ducks. ❤

  • @MichaeLMahoney-kr8sg
    @MichaeLMahoney-kr8sg Před 21 dnem

    USC is really close! 7-5 with a generational QB 😂

  • @derekjancart215
    @derekjancart215 Před 24 dny

    You’re completely wrong about Notre Dame.

  • @runDATrun6
    @runDATrun6 Před 24 dny +3

    Miami looking a whole heck of a lot better than they showed, sums up Mario Cristobal’s teams. Always a has and always will have let down games against teams that shouldn’t beat his squad

    • @wlthomas8
      @wlthomas8 Před 22 dny

      Sounds kinda like Dan Lanning

    • @runDATrun6
      @runDATrun6 Před 22 dny +1

      @@wlthomas8 you mean Washington who just went to the national championship? Odd comparison

    • @wlthomas8
      @wlthomas8 Před 22 dny

      @runDATrun6 no. I mean Dan Lanning who always has the most talented team on the field (or in the conference) yet never win when needed

  • @Exodus850
    @Exodus850 Před 24 dny

    Miami has the easiest path in terms of schedule only 3 heavy hitters Florida, FSU, and GT…now that Texas and Oklahoma are in SEC i can’t see Georgia going unscathed at least 1 loss. Kansas State could surprise as well.

    • @jamesb0255
      @jamesb0255 Před 24 dny +1

      Aaahhh got to love that Miami off season, delusional optimism! ( Maybe your not a scUM fan)
      You cannot overlook Virginia Tech and Miami's biggest rival....Duke. 😂😂 6:21

    • @clarencewalder2985
      @clarencewalder2985 Před 24 dny

      It doesn't matter U know Miami will never win national championship yet

    • @Exodus850
      @Exodus850 Před 24 dny +1

      @@jamesb0255 nope not a miami alum. They haven’t had this firepower since 2002 on offense. Duke won’t be an issue Elko is gone to A&M. If Cam Ward, Sam Brown, and Damien Martinez are on last years team their winning all those games.

    • @pnut3844able
      @pnut3844able Před 24 dny

      Whoa whoa WHOA, GT is NOT a heavy hitter lmao. We're gonna thrash FL, they're junk. FSU lost all those players and won't even make the ACCCG

    • @Exodus850
      @Exodus850 Před 24 dny

      @@pnut3844able Yeah your right but they got this dual threat qb that gave them problems last year

  • @RiVer-Parish
    @RiVer-Parish Před 24 dny

    Go Vols!!!

  • @tylerjerry7681
    @tylerjerry7681 Před 12 dny

    Has Brian Kelly ever won a national championship? I don’t know but if he has not, you cannot call him and put him over the other coaches. I have one a national championship chill out, bro.

  • @andrewmohrmann3599
    @andrewmohrmann3599 Před 24 dny

    Mario Cristobal will never win a natty if he has anything to do with the playcalling. He is a top 5 recruiter and a bottom 5 X’s and O’s coach. I don’t know if I’ve ever seen anyone with such a wild disparity.

    • @pnut3844able
      @pnut3844able Před 24 dny

      Keep that same energy

    • @wlthomas8
      @wlthomas8 Před 22 dny

      Tell me you don't know football without saying you don't know football 🤣😂
      I'd love to see you find footage of Cristobal calling plays at Miami

    • @andrewmohrmann3599
      @andrewmohrmann3599 Před 22 dny

      @@wlthomas8 when you’re coach is too stupid to call a kneel down, you probably shouldn’t boast about him. Try harder

  • @ROUGHNECK75
    @ROUGHNECK75 Před 24 dny +1

    BOOMER! SOONERS!

  • @ODUCKSFAN1
    @ODUCKSFAN1 Před 24 dny +1

    GO DUCKS 🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆

  • @stevenselleck5460
    @stevenselleck5460 Před 24 dny

    I'd say 33% chance BK wins at LSU. If he coaches there 3 times he wins it all one time. So he could but unlikey

    • @DMP413
      @DMP413 Před 24 dny

      "If he coaches there 3 times..¿¿¿¿¿

    • @stevenselleck5460
      @stevenselleck5460 Před 24 dny

      @@DMP413 that's statistics. Use your brain. If he has a 33% chance of winning a natty then if he coaches there 3 times he'll win one. Obviously he won't coach there 3 times- it's a way of saying he could win one but I doubt it

  • @stuffestmites03
    @stuffestmites03 Před 24 dny

    Probably Alabama

  • @Da-Boo33
    @Da-Boo33 Před 24 dny

    Time will tell 🐘 ROLLTIDE n hbd bsafe god bless ...also if Ncaa still do they part will they stay

  • @JWCFB
    @JWCFB Před 22 dny

    Kelly just ruined his chance of winning a Natty.

  • @SuperMogul
    @SuperMogul Před 24 dny

    Buffs 🏆

    • @wlthomas8
      @wlthomas8 Před 22 dny

      Is Nick Saban replacing the HC?

  • @B_3_3_3
    @B_3_3_3 Před 24 dny

    Disliked the video and didn’t even watch once I saw Lincoln Riley in the thumbnail. Lol i knew it wasn’t a serious list

  • @johnobrien7945
    @johnobrien7945 Před 24 dny

    I only disliked this video because he mentioned the fact that he has his thirty fifth birthday tommorw and he says he is getting old. Greg should not say that because this week we lost someone in our community at the age of 28. Greg is wrong for saying he is 35 and is getting old when you have people who die at the age of 28.

  • @slomoshn6984
    @slomoshn6984 Před 23 dny

    FSU didn't deserve to be in the playoffs.