Well, Biden hasn’t led in a poll in months. Although I’m sure the Dims have figured it all out with ballot harvesting and mail-in votes that’ll give them enough to overtake a 10-point lead at 3am.
The campaign rally in Wildwood was brilliant. People ask why the rally in a Blue State? 1: The number of attendees. 2: Wildwood although in New Jersey, is in the Philadelphia TV Market, so it got lots of local coverage. Donald Trump even mentioned Pennsylvania. He needs the moderate voters outside of Philadelphia . If he can win them, he wins the election.
I was in RENO/SPARKS for Super Bowl Weekend and there was a Sea of MAGA Signs in residential areas there...NO way that WASHOE County is voting Blue in 2024
I think we have to remember that Trump also under polls. It’s not quite as bad as it used to be, but there are still people who don’t want to publicly show support for Trump, whether on a pole or anything else. And in fact, I think there’s going to be more Trump voters this time that are first time Trump voters, and they’re definitely going to carry that with them. Basically, I don’t think he can be overrepresented, he can only be under represented, and it’s by how much. Worst case scenario is its spot on.
I'm about 70% sure that some of the pollsters figured out how to calibrate for Trump. The problem for them wasn't only the social desirability responses, but that all their demographic models were completely inapplicable to Trump's electorate. They have to use past data to estimate turnout of different demos, and so that screwed their model, even for exit polls. Combined with Trump voters disproportionately claiming to be undecided, they have failed bigly. The problem is that now they have two elections of data, and if they are trying to learn from their past mistakes, then they could easily overcompensate. It has never been easier to publicly support Trump. And now they know the turnout he gets. I expect the polls to be completely off yet again, but it's now very possible that they could be wrong in either direction. I think one piece of evidence for this is the especially large variability in polls in some swing states. Some pollsters are putting Biden 10 points ahead of the overall state average. My guess is that those pollsters are using the older methods and models.
Also, we’re just under six months away, and I just heard yesterday that he’s going to be fined $100 million for taking advantage of tax benefits that he shouldn’t of or something. Basically, I think the betting markets are being realistic and knowing the Democrats are not going to quit and six months is still a long time and there’s still a lot that can be done not to mention what is being done right now could be enough.
Whoa. You are really starting to show true bias. Objectively, its hard to see Trump holding up late in October. Perhaps you dont have varied news sources
Genuine question, not looking to start anything, given how the economy has been and what's been happening in the country and world, what leads you to still preferring Biden 3+ years after the election?
I would ask the same have you looked at the price of eggs and how much absurd money we’re sending to Ukraine ? It’s just a question because I can’t comprehend how anyone can support this administration.
@@bryantsteury8910 Well for one, Trump's solutions for economic growth are cheap bandaids with no foresight, just like those of other GOP politicians since 1992. Russia would've still invaded Ukraine under Trump. Afghanistan would've still been a disaster. And Oct 7 would've been even worse. A problem I have with Trump that separates me from your typical boomerlib, though is this: Trump's "sane advisors" that the media loves to lionize are, in some cases, the real root of the problem. Trump doesn't seem to understand the populistic ideas and policies he hints towards. He still glorifies this idea of the U.S. being the altruistic leader of the free world, even as he makes moves away from international "globalist" organizations and really, the whole concept of the US having allies or enemies. This would probably be a better direction to take the country after embarrassing itself in the 2000s, but Trump insists on going to NATO/G-whatever summits without even understanding that the rest of the elite live on a different plane of reality than he does. The right thing to do, or at least the genuine "ideological" thing to do, would be to just leave NATO and possibly the UN, and not show up to G-summits at all. But the establishment Republicans that he keeps hiring are probably preventing him from doing so, making all his moves look like a spoiled toddler whining about orders from the "correct" people.
If Trump crushes rally attendance and polls…. Then, explain why Trump and Republicans are getting their asses kicked every important general and special electionsin 2018, 2020, 2022, 2023, and early 2024???
No popular vote. Then California will be picking the President every four years. The electoral college was set up to make elections more fair. They teach this in high school. Did you miss that class?
The nevada senate seat is way more important than trump winning nevada in my opinion
I find it funny how differently DG reacts to polls depending on who is leading in them
Yeah that’s kinda how it works, my dude.
@@paranoidandroid4270 Eh idk about that. Not everyone takes it to the extent that DG does my dude.
So true, my dude.
Well, Biden hasn’t led in a poll in months. Although I’m sure the Dims have figured it all out with ballot harvesting and mail-in votes that’ll give them enough to overtake a 10-point lead at 3am.
100,000 people! Now Trump can finally brag about his crowd size!
🍼😮
LFG! Trump 2024! FJB!
Trump is 🗑️
@@morriswatkins5667 🍊 + 🇺🇸 = ☮️
@@AwakenedFromWokeJanuary 6th
@@coreyk1501 Nancy Pelosi
@@AwakenedFromWoke Kristi Noem
this election is gearing up to be wilder than 2016
The campaign rally in Wildwood was brilliant. People ask why the rally in a Blue State? 1: The number of attendees. 2: Wildwood although in New Jersey, is in the Philadelphia TV Market, so it got lots of local coverage. Donald Trump even mentioned Pennsylvania. He needs the moderate voters outside of Philadelphia . If he can win them, he wins the election.
What an interesting swath of polls
Let's just all admit Biden-Kamalla are just terrible. Imagine 4 more years of that train wreck.
For real
Biden 2024
@@morriswatkins5667 I’d much rather not
I can't vote
Brown For Senate! Trump Landslide! Red Wave 2024!
Trump is 🗑️. Biden 2024
I was in RENO/SPARKS for Super Bowl Weekend and there was a Sea of MAGA Signs in residential areas there...NO way that WASHOE County is voting Blue in 2024
What's the point in having a traditional election when we can drive around and see who has more yard signs?
Stone Cold steel pipe lock.
I think we have to remember that Trump also under polls. It’s not quite as bad as it used to be, but there are still people who don’t want to publicly show support for Trump, whether on a pole or anything else. And in fact, I think there’s going to be more Trump voters this time that are first time Trump voters, and they’re definitely going to carry that with them. Basically, I don’t think he can be overrepresented, he can only be under represented, and it’s by how much. Worst case scenario is its spot on.
I'm about 70% sure that some of the pollsters figured out how to calibrate for Trump. The problem for them wasn't only the social desirability responses, but that all their demographic models were completely inapplicable to Trump's electorate. They have to use past data to estimate turnout of different demos, and so that screwed their model, even for exit polls. Combined with Trump voters disproportionately claiming to be undecided, they have failed bigly. The problem is that now they have two elections of data, and if they are trying to learn from their past mistakes, then they could easily overcompensate. It has never been easier to publicly support Trump. And now they know the turnout he gets. I expect the polls to be completely off yet again, but it's now very possible that they could be wrong in either direction. I think one piece of evidence for this is the especially large variability in polls in some swing states. Some pollsters are putting Biden 10 points ahead of the overall state average. My guess is that those pollsters are using the older methods and models.
👍100 percent Trump 2024 !
Fingers crossed that my neighbors here in the Las Vegas Valley vote for Trump
Also, we’re just under six months away, and I just heard yesterday that he’s going to be fined $100 million for taking advantage of tax benefits that he shouldn’t of or something. Basically, I think the betting markets are being realistic and knowing the Democrats are not going to quit and six months is still a long time and there’s still a lot that can be done not to mention what is being done right now could be enough.
Solid video man. Liberals are shaking rn 😂😂😂
Trump is 🗑️
Yea, democracy is overrated
Provided they don’t cheat
🍼😮
Whoa. You are really starting to show true bias. Objectively, its hard to see Trump holding up late in October. Perhaps you dont have varied news sources
It show Trump's losing what's this guy talking about
At this point, even as a Biden.....prefer-er, I'm starting to see less of an avenue for Biden to win than he ever had before.
Genuine question, not looking to start anything, given how the economy has been and what's been happening in the country and world, what leads you to still preferring Biden 3+ years after the election?
I would ask the same have you looked at the price of eggs and how much absurd money we’re sending to Ukraine ? It’s just a question because I can’t comprehend how anyone can support this administration.
@@bryantsteury8910Trump = mean tweets and Iib fee fees hurt😂
so you're one of the voters responsible for my grocery bill doubling and everything else costing atleast 25% more,
@@bryantsteury8910 Well for one, Trump's solutions for economic growth are cheap bandaids with no foresight, just like those of other GOP politicians since 1992.
Russia would've still invaded Ukraine under Trump. Afghanistan would've still been a disaster. And Oct 7 would've been even worse.
A problem I have with Trump that separates me from your typical boomerlib, though is this: Trump's "sane advisors" that the media loves to lionize are, in some cases, the real root of the problem.
Trump doesn't seem to understand the populistic ideas and policies he hints towards. He still glorifies this idea of the U.S. being the altruistic leader of the free world, even as he makes moves away from international "globalist" organizations and really, the whole concept of the US having allies or enemies. This would probably be a better direction to take the country after embarrassing itself in the 2000s, but Trump insists on going to NATO/G-whatever summits without even understanding that the rest of the elite live on a different plane of reality than he does. The right thing to do, or at least the genuine "ideological" thing to do, would be to just leave NATO and possibly the UN, and not show up to G-summits at all. But the establishment Republicans that he keeps hiring are probably preventing him from doing so, making all his moves look like a spoiled toddler whining about orders from the "correct" people.
liking and commenting for the algo!! the depressed ginger is the only place where I get my political content😭
Are those liberal tears in your cry emoji, lol.
@@paranoidandroid4270 what lmao
If Trump crushes rally attendance and polls….
Then, explain why Trump and Republicans are getting their asses kicked every important general and special electionsin 2018, 2020, 2022, 2023, and early 2024???
Because those elections are rigged.
Trump a lock to win the presidency, not just Nevada.
I don't know about that....I hope so.
Biden 2024
@@morriswatkins5667 Give me one good reason why you want Biden to be our leader. What has he done for us?
@@oneofthosecreativetypes24But you want a con artist tax invader running it this country is sad and doomed
TRUMP 2024🇺🇸🦅🇺🇲
Dude what is your obsession 💀
Dude what is your trigger?
@@paranoidandroid4270 awe somebody is reciting a buzzword isn't that cute
Great news.
I would love to see California flip go Republican, i doubt that will happen.
With RFK Jr on the ballot there, he might take votes from Biden, maybe it’ll help Trump
Amazing, I keep becoming unsubscribed to this channel, among others…
Why can’t we just switch to the popular vote??
Because that means the biggest cities would determine presidents..
No popular vote. Then California will be picking the President every four years. The electoral college was set up to make elections more fair. They teach this in high school. Did you miss that class?
@@dacokc As in more people??
@@Hydra48 why should 3 or 4 cities determine the president?
@@dacokc Why does the amount of cities matter to you more than the amount of people? Genuine question.
TRUMP FOR PRESIDENT FOREVER!!!!!!!❤❤❤❤
Please stay out of politics. I don't need political algorithm suggestions based on my baseball interest.
I perfer the politics and don’t follow the baseball. Sounds like your just a dem.
@@kevxsi16v Not wanting to see politics on your feed when you follow someone for other reasons doesn't mean you're a democrat lol
@@Hydra48 well your reaction suggests you’re a triggered liberal. Dont worry there’s always NYT. WAPO, MSNBC, CNN if you want be lied to. 😂😂😂
Good but give the guy a chance. I for one enjoy the politics videos.
If your life revolves around any sports you should re-evaluate what's important and what means nothing.
Stick to Stadium talk bruh. It’s more your thing than simping for Orangie.
I like DG’s political content. Bruh you sound triggered.
Agree. His simping is sad.
TRUMPSTER 2024!