AminToufani | Exponential Transportation | Global Summit 2018 | Singularity University
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- čas přidán 24. 07. 2024
- Amin Toufani, CEO T Labs, SU Chair for Finance & Economics,
Singularity University
The exponential growth and convergence of technologies like AI,
IoT, and blockchain have massive implications for the future of
transportation. In this talk we will discuss the fast-emerging trends
around autonomous vehicles, levitating trains, flying taxies, and
subterraneous loops, while also exploring the long-term implications of this tsunami of change for how human societies will move, work, shop and live. We will conclude with actionable recommendations for technology development, business model strategy, and policy implementation.
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Remember the *GRATITUDE*
@Mario Van you're right, no one gives a shit. You fucking scammer
And He says guitar is just a hobby 😂
This is the first time that I see so many different emerging technologies merged in a single speech
with an 'out of the box' vision. Crazy useful. A lot to learn here.
When it comes to energy and cars he's not the first, Tony Seba might have been.
Bro just search his name in CZcams ...Amin toofani
@7:10 This is *exactly* how a typical intersection in India looks like! India is already ahead of the curve :-)
He should have sped it up to make the message clear. Imagine all these cars are going around 60k.
i agree unconditionally
Came here because of gratitude!
Gratitude, gratitude, gratitude
🪕🎸😆
Best SU GS talk this year
At 6:51, We already have this kind of traffic movement in India where nobody stops and still it keeps moving :-)
Wow! This is outstanding.
One of the best speech.
Amin, great presentation. Let me suggest a couple of things you might know but left out for the sake of brevity.
1) Wind is likely to be as important, perhaps more important, than solar. An all-solar grid would require significant storage to make solar 24/365. The wind blows a lot of the time the Sun is not shining. Electricity from a wind turbine will almost certainly be cheaper than stored electricity from wind. Especially in places where solar output can be low for days. Look for a wind/solar mix with wind contributing as much or more generation as solar.
2) As the cost of transportation drops I suspect quality of life may become a larger driver. I suspect people are going to find "flying things" annoying. I can't imagine being happy with a bunch of buzzing whirring things passing overhead. The reason for flying is, I think, speed. But with that speed comes annoyance. And higher energy use.
Consider Boring Company's Loop and self-driving robotaxis capable of driving at 150+ MPH. A robotaxi picks you up at your door, drives surface streets to the nearest Loop elevator/ramp, and then zips you across town at 150 MPH. Below the city streets with their traffic, pedestrians, and other problems.
Rather than the CEO taking the elevator to the roof and getting into a battery powered robo-flyer they would go to the building's basement and take a fast, comfortable, quiet robotaxi (or robolimo) to the airport. Or hyperloop station. Quiet, smooth, no problems with inclimate weather. And no chance of falling out of the sky.
Now we've got the speed of flying with none of the annoyance. And, probably, for less cost if we amortize the tunnel system of enough years. Flying robotaxis are likely to spend a lot more time parked than the average robotaxi.
well good and i agree to all you say
Much more of the worforce, suppliers etc.,we need also a new economic system, without interests
(10:01 the year 2017 is the first moment in history in the US when more people bought online than offline) it is not clear when? Online shopping in year 2017 = 9% of total retail sales.
A lot of the stats in this video are wrong. Also, suggesting that self driving cars will make real estate cheaper is ridiculous......... There is only so much land and population grows every day. Actually, there might be less land over time with sea level rise....
I don't know how accurate the information is, but I saw a little hint at Australia's "plan" for a UBI. 2030 implementation, 240$ a month.
The market will adapt... but not as fast as technology. And not as continuously. More and more people will be unable to find employment, because why pay someone for something that doesn't need to be done?
Good luck training truck drivers etc. in fields that will still be done by people.
"Oh but more jobs will exist." yeah, maybe, but you have an aging population filled with people who have no interest in further education ... 50 year olds aren't gonna want to restart their careers.
UBI is the market adapting. That's why the people building this future are also the ones pushing for universal income.
Final point... its not about not working. It's about giving people the choice. UBI doesn't need to be enough to live a lavish lifestyle, it needs to cover the basics. Allow people to live without working (Officially end slavery) and give them the option to focus on creativity, problem solving and living their lives and those who want more can work for it, but it won't be easy.
First!!!
At about 21:00, the speaker seems to be pointing out some economic and social challenges we will have to face.
1) Drivers, about 1% of the workforce, will lose their jobs. They will "be very unhappy."
There are several things wrong here. First, the trucking industry has a notoriously high turnover rate for drivers--recently hitting a peak of 95%. Of course, most of these drivers are not leaving the profession, just hiring on with a different fleet for higher pay. There is a tremendous shortage of good truck drivers.
So as self-driving trucks make their way into fleets, the first effect will be to mitigate the current driver shortage. This will not be a short period of time. Trucks are very expensive so self-driving trucks will be introduced as older trucks are retired. There is also the question of infrastructure. For example, truckers pump their own fuel. Truck stops and fuel depots across the country will have to upgrade to a "self-pumping" complement to "self-driving" trucks. This also will not happen immediately.
Truckers, in the meantime, will not be caught unaware. A good many truckers are self-employed. As owner/operators, they own their own rig and lease it out to fleets as needed. Trucking is seasonal. Trucking companies will only buy as many trucks as they need during their slow season. When the busy season hits, they lease from owner/operators. There is nothing preventing owner/operators from buying self-driving trucks, becoming just "owners" as they no longer have to operate them. They can buy a second and third--no need to hire drivers to operate additional trucks. Company drivers could do the same thing.
There are also many duties truckers perform not directly tied to actually driving a truck. There could be positions created akin to harbor pilots for cargo ships. Self-driving trucks replace only actual driving duties. Humans will still be needed during the loading/unloading parts of a trip.
Truckers will adapt. There is not going to be a sudden layoff of a "very unhappy" 1% of the workforce.
2) Reduced car ownership. I thought it was the ride, not the car. Yes, fewer cars will by produced and this will have some negative impact on the auto manufacturing industry. But it will have a positive impact on other parts of the overall auto industry, including the automobile-using public.The pressure to increase the capacity of the highway system will be eased if not completely eliminated. This will free up billions of dollars a year for other, more productive uses. But don't be concerned with the manufacturers. Self-driving cars, at least initially, will be more expensive than regular cars so will provide more profit per car. Eventually, sure, the larger manufacturers will struggle. Larger? Yes. As cars move toward the much simpler all-electric models and the driving systems toward open-source, there will be a resurgence of smaller manufacturers, producing a much larger array of personalized/personalizable cars. The benefits of demonetizing the manufacturing of cars.
It may soon be more about the ride than the car, but there will always be *something* about the car.
3) Dramatically reduced accidents and injuries. Ah yes, the Broken Window Fallacy in full force. Don't worry about the loss of GDP now going into auto repair and medical services. Think of the much higher impact of the loss of GDP caused by accidents that will no longer occur. Despite what we hear over and over again, recovering from a disaster is NOT a net benefit to the economy.
So nothing but benefits as far as the eye can see. Self-driving cars and trucks...bring'em on!
"Yes, fewer cars will by produced and this will have some negative impact on the auto manufacturing industry. "
Someone predicted up to 90% less cars will be produced and most of those that are are meant for fleets, which means brand marketing for them is kind of dead in the water too (no premium payment for premium brands).
the Guitar guy!!
is he alive??
HA91 Altaf nah bruh that’s his ghost
Is he is that guitarist
Me feeling- "where i am" who came here searching for Toofani's more guitar videos😂
6:52 Holy crap. That's crazy. Also gotta be scary as shit.
Fricken' Coruscant.
Get this man a guitar 🎸........
Just give him a Guitar
He procrastinated about Working From Home. And here we are..
This person need a guitar
excellent presentation! I was however disappointed by the “progressive” conclusion that the world needs yet another Positive Right in the UBI and transportation. the last thing the world needs is more Government mandates. tech will solve for out basic human needs in the coming decades. the world needs more liberty and less Gov.
Guaranteeing a standard minimum of living doesn't have to be "the government." There is a class war. There are bad pathways that we have to avoid taking or we will kill off our entire species. We have to be active in keeping oligarchs from sabotaging good policy.
If not the "Government" then who will guarantee the wage?
To me, there are no "good" policies; there are only bad and awful economic policies. The Free Market is the only long term good policy. Thus, Oligarchs do not sabotage good policies. they simply have the government create bad policies on their behalf.
But I would love to hear what good policies you think the Central Authority should enact to create more prosperity.
@@shakiramer Let's start with who the "government" is. In a democracy the government is a group of people hired by voters to run things. If we don't like the policies that are put in place it's up to us to tell our employees to do things differently or to replace those employees. Essentially, we the voters, are the government.
Now let's talk about a fully Free Market. Take off controls and within a few months a small group of people would own everything of importance in the US. I don't know exactly how it would happen but it could happen this way.
1) All oil companies combine into one large oil company. And they raise their prices as much as the market will tolerate.
2) Mega-Oil then turns to an industry that critically needs oil to survive and makes them an offer they can't refuse. Sell out to us for pennies on the dollar or we'll cut off your oil supply and your business will be worth nothing.
3) Mega-Oil/Airlines now seeks out a new takeover target and becomes Mega-Oil/Airlines/Something Else. Soon Mega- owns it all. Including us. We would have no choice but to accept whatever Mega was willing to pay us because there would be no other employer. And we'd have to pay whatever they asked for food, clothing and shelter.
What we need, IMHO, is a well-regulated free(ish) market. An economic system that allows people to profit from their effort and ingenuity but doesn't put us into poverty and servitude. Right now we've let things shift too much it assist the wealthy. Time to make some adjustments so things improve for the rest of us.
And going forward there are not likely to be enough jobs for those who are willing to work hard. That is simply where our technology is taking us. We need to think about how we distribute goods and services when we get there. Do we simply let those who can't find a job starve to death? Do we require them to live in abject poverty? Do we establish a guaranteed basic income? Or is there a better solution that we haven't yet thought about?
Man,..he gained alot of weight in all these years.
The agreeable walk coincidentally yawn because harbor markedly bolt regarding a agreeable laugh. boundless, innate hacksaw
these glasses do not suite him
Lmao what happened to all that young and cocky hair combing look? Nice beer belly.
Pretentious meaningless nonsense that won’t achieve anything.