cognitive bias is keeping you angry and afraid
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- čas přidán 14. 06. 2024
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For the folks who can't discern the difference between propaganda and an actual problem: I did not say that climate change is a hoax. Please don't project that onto me. Climate change is very real. What I did say is that climate change is used as propaganda. If you want to get lost in debate on the topic, head over here: czcams.com/users/postUgkxvLDRIWzcJc6XgQOAqe9Ix1MAHMGvegPa
Yep, good video. People get too caught up in changing climate when it's one of the easiest problems to prepare and adapt for, our ancestors have survived some of the worst. My major concerns here in Australia are war, disease and an authoritarian centralised society, all three being man made.
I can recommend the book : The green nobility and its military climate science by Alexander Benesch. And by the way, somehow CZcams automatically unsubscribed your channel.
i think you need to be more clear on how its being used as propaganda
Climate change is a natural process, mainly driven by the sun, and volcanic activity, not by human activity. Unfortunally CC is used nowadays as political propaganda.
But it clearly is so don't stress
I have become progressively more pessimistic over the years. Your video on post-scarcity economics has helped a little and the reason I watch your channel is for the rational positivity. Very excited for this video
I think pessimism is on the rise in general (don’t feel bad) because it is the optimal strategy. When you are a pessimist if you predict apocalypse you look like a genius when you get it right and nobody cares when you get it wrong because it wasn’t terrible.
Conversely when you predict that everything will be great and you get it wrong the social penalty is much higher because people were counting on things being good, so the winning strategy favors pessimism. It’s a consequence of negativity bias in my opinion.
personally, i view pessimism as the lazy / easy route. you don't get disappointed because you never get your hopes up. it takes some amount of effort / courage to be optimistic. optimism takes effort, but it's good for you and the people around you. doesn't mean you have to be unrealistic. just try looking for the silver linings. there are more than you might think.
@@particle_wave7614 I see pessimism as the logical “default”. Oftentimes, things just don’t work out the way the optimists want it to, and even when it does, there’s often a catch.
interesting debate on optimism and pessimism. I mostly agree with ppragman, pessimism has status advantages. But that's just half of the story. I don't think pessimism has such a clear cut advantage all over the place; with pessimism you would not be inclined to change. You need hope (an aspect of optimism) to start some behaviour, you do something because you expect to see the fruits. You need to be optimist to be an entrepreneur for example.
As a psychotherapist, I have to say I really respect many of your recommendations about curating our information sources. Unfortunately, it seems we have to be much more intentional than in times past about what we choose to digest in the form of information and use critical thinking skills. Periodic disengagement is psychologically healthy as we allow that part of our brain to seek holism in understanding just what we have experienced and to help integrate learning.
As someone, who lives in Russia, and had to go through the entire clown fiesta of the last 2 years, I gotta say that the "survival mechanisms" that are related to threat reaction is something, that has a very short fuse. I have friends in Kiev who'd gotten used to hearing drones blowing up and shots going off pretty soon, and the first time my city got hit by a drone, which I heard myself, cause I was outside, just caused "huh, yeah, this piece of crap exploded", and nothing else. Same as with mobilization, for example. I think people were afraid of it more, when there was a looming threat of it in the first months of the war, than during the thing itself, cause most people just figured out what you can or can't do to avoid it.
Wish I could subscribe to your Patreon to get into community discord, but our credit cards can't pay for it 🤣
Keep up the good stuff. Всем мира
Damn that credit card issue sucks man I'm glad u can still watch this atleast
da, camrade
The same here everytime the media says Medvedev or Soloviov told they will nuke my city, here in eastern France, i just switch channels and go out into the nature, where no bomb is gonna be dropped by anyone. When I see all those people scared of nuclear warfare or terrorist attacks, it makes me laugh...
@@DaveShap Yeah, but seriously though, can you get like a crypto wallet set up or something to make it possible for people to donate to you that way? I'd do it, if I could
@@letnkdesboisphotographicac778medvedev nous et poutine nous a menacé 50 fois une habitude maintenant
This is why I'm cutting back majorly on Twitter and CZcams, only watching select videos that enhance my life and not randomly browsing content. I'd rather be getting through my TBR anyway.
This guy is the best. His voice his choice of vocabulary. Just everything. Bravo
Thank's Dave, I needed that.❤
19:03 I agree ten thousand percent on curating down the feed, and ignoring most or all of Social Media. Mainstream news is simply not credible; BS detectors are more important than ever.
Climate change has been comically relevant and meaningful during my career. I recognize that living in Alaska and having spent a lot of time living and working in the Arctic may be rare, but as I watch the trends I see more and more people being impacted directly year by year. I suspect that your idea that “most people won’t be affected by it” is a little bit of it’s own sort of geographical bias.
exactly, ironic lol. it seems as if David has not been paying close attention to climate change, it is a real and is a serious future threat, the consequences of it are real and we know about them.
Climate Change is definitely the fly in the ointment. Biodiversity is in freefall, and agriculture yields/quality will continue to be negatively impacted. And that's just the tip of the (melting) iceberg. I don't think it spells absolute doom for humanity , but many people will suffer. Particularly those from developing countries. I think the greatest irony is that the people who are most xenophobic about immigration, are typically the ones who refuse to accept the writing on the wall.
I agree. Im an avid reader of /r/collapse and there have been so many climate chaos related events over the last few years. in my opinion after listening to many people's point of view, lectures, and research, Its bad and its way worse than the government is telling us.
The maximum number of climate change refugees that I've seen projected is about 500M so yeah, the vast majority of humans will not be impacted by climate change. And that's assuming those impact models are accurate (which they probably aren't). But also "winters are more mild than they used to be" is a far cry from "existential threat that deserves to get your panties in a twist over"
@@DaveShap - you’re not wrong that “most people won’t be affected” but at least up here in alaska, increased risk of forest fire, issues with subsistence and land use, and fisheries change have real effects on real people. Do we accept and ignore tragedy simply because it isn’t local? I don’t know if that’s a good strategy for the future because non-local events can definitely sum to mess up things locally.
I don’t know what the answer is, to be frank, but at least to me from where I sit this is a clear and present danger to my wellbeing and I fear what the knock-on effects end up being down south. But I’m also not confident that our models are very good yet…
Honestly one of the best channels I've had the pleasure of watching, keep the content coming David!
Glad to have you back.
i quit my gym for blasting news channels all the time on tvs - they asked why i left and i told them. joined another gym with no tvs
Another wisdom dump. Awesome! Thanks Dave.
Thanks for the video!
Don't watch 24-hour cable news, and don't be in an echo chamber online.
I really needed this, thanks Dave, from the depths of my soul.
SUPER STUFF DAVE! THANK YOU. Love your delivery and insightful content 👍👍😁😁👍👍
Great video David ❤ ty for spreading your ideas ♥️
Phenomenal video 🎉. So good I sent it to my family and begged them to watch. 🙏🏼
MY BRAIN ISNT A HOUSE AAAAAAAHHHH
how do u know have you looked at it
You're right, it's a burger
Good to see ya man!
Thanks I needed this one now.
Wisdom in these crazy times...
Your channel is a part of my media diet that I would miss... good luck to you...
Very timely and much appreciated video. I took the month of March off from all news media, all social media and just read books and spent time outdoors. I did feel better, if a little "disconnected". I've gradually added back only topics related to gaming, AI and music and generally still doing better. I do need to mention, I'm still spending more time than I'd like on these topics so still need to adjust some.
Very helpful reminders, thanks. And perplexity is new to me, gonna try it out!
I mean thinking and doing research is definitely worth having your videos take a little longer to get uploaded
Keep up the fantastic content!
Your videos give this more rational look to it all!
This is a very useful video, please do more like this! Actually saving this to a playlist.
Very useful reminders.
your all lowecase title gives me such joy
Only the negative bias is mentioned here, but there is also a positive bias.
"This is negative for me therefore it is bad in general"
"This is positive for me therefore it is good in general"
Both bias is bad for a society.
Thanks for spreading this wisdom it has helped me many times good sir!
This is cool! Thank you
i like your content because I find it to be a positive force without being pollyanna about it. Like, you address the very real challenges we face but keep the spotlight on the way through it.
Watching your content makes me feel secure and excited about the future 👍
Good to see you back Dave!
Awesome advice. Thank you.
You're my reality check in these times. I like your optimistic realism.
The biggest normalcy bias I see with Peter is him thinking capitalism and money (bitcoin) will still be relevant after the post-scarcity he is sure that will come.
By definition, capitalism requires money/bitcoin.
By definition, post-scarcity means free stuff.
Therfore, capitalism/money/bitcoin can not exist where abundants exists.
Great vid Dave! Media diet is a great concept!
Thanks for this video man o/
great video, you're a blessing to the world
I like your wavelength man!
Very insightful thank you
An informed and balanced point of view, as always. Thank you ☀️👍🏼
Really appreciate that 😀
Thank you, Dave. I´m a proof of that, When I was young (12 years old), I liked to investigate, I liked to read and see content on CZcams. The bad thing was that I started to see channels with a lot of negativity (consiparacy, climate change, new world order) and a lot of stuff, I passed from being a healthy boy to a depressed person with bad health. Those years were terrible for me, my body felt like a sheet, I had a lot of problems, until I started to leave those channels with that kind of stuff, is good to be up to date, but we need to know what kind of information we get. Before, I was worried about things I really couldn´t control, but now I feel more free, and my body as well. Thank you for this video, is a reminder that since I started to consume bad stuff on Twitter, I need to quit it.
An edit of your explanation of negativity bias as being a bug that is being exploited should be pushed out to every social media platform and it should go viral. You f*cking nailed it!
Tks Dave! :D
Thank you, its hard not to become pessimistic in the times were in compared to when we were younger. I realize this is the pivotal time to actually be positive because this is when it's most "hard" to do so!
A counterintuitive exception to a carefully curated information feed is to occasionally sample from sources that are both popular and far from your kind of content.
Climate change is not a boogieman. Even just within the last ten years, summers have become ever hotter and longer, and I've been through almost 5x that span of time.
Very well said. I'm on a similar path with this myself and I'd like to losely quote the Pakleds from Star Trek here:"look for things that make you go, not for things that make you go crazy" 😄
Great topic! Negativity bias is so powerful. Maybe you coukd also cover positivity bias and survivorship bias?
I spend a lot of time on the Internet and I know these mechanisms thoroughly. There is no way to defend yourself against them other than by taking a break and anchoring yourself in the "here and now". Cycling, sailing, mountain trekking - these are things that bring you back to reality - the body has to move and you have to be close to nature.
The points about a media are in point.
Yes David, we are here to be positive and bring hope! I’m with you! Totally agree with your views about social, I’m on it too and make every effort to really limit time on the platforms, for example I will not pick up my phone in the morning, the phone is also no where near where I sleep, as I understand even if the phone is in the same room your brain is still aware of it and can effect your thinking. Thanks David loved this one let’s make it so!
@daveshap great video! What digitial wellness app do you recommend?
"My videos may be a little bit slower in coming because I'm spending a little bit more time thinking about them and doing some research" - this is truly the mindset of a content creator worth following.
Great information
That negativity bias is a tricky one. I guess that's where gratitude really is a practiced skill. Ok, here's one practice session. I am grateful for my morning coffee\green mate ritual. I am grateful for big morning poops and daily intermittent fasting. I am grateful that HRV breathing practice makes me feel better every time I do it. I am grateful for the smart stuff I am exposed to on youtube, like your channel and Edible Acres.
I am even grateful for these challenging times. I have always loved a good scifi epic, might as well enjoy the one we're living through. Some of it will SUCK, but a lot of it will be a double edged sword like most stuff, it'll be up to how we use it.
I have felt pain my whole life watching us destroy the biosphere, so I am grateful that the hard times caused by our inherently degenerative systems will steer us away from those approaches. The momentum of the world devouring machine we live in is very strong, internal collapse is likely the only thing that can change the direction of this beast we made. Perhaps it will become a sentient superorganism like you suggest and steer itself in a new direction. That is still a form of collapse of the old world order. I welcome much of that, and will be saddened by other changes, that's just how it goes.
I like that this is an open discussion, these are very important observations!
Are there reccomended alternatives to Linkedin to stay updated with latest AI and robotics?
Oh I will start use Perplexity, great suggestionI appreciate your content
great content, I just finished the video
a hungry man is an angry man. well fed animals won't attack.
I heard about the recommendation to keep the phone on greyscale from Anna Akana's channel recently. At first, I didn't think it made much difference, but I just got the weekly "report" that said I used it about 100 minutes less than last week. Windows 10 can also be set to greyscale.
What a masterpiece
I ain't angry, nor afraid. I'm deeply, deeply relaxed
bro Freudian slipped
Something to consider is that anger itself is often a tool to prompt action. I wouldn't say it has no place, although I'm not sure how judicious it is actually used.
but regarding climate change, thats assuming that the belief that it is a real threat is false, is it tho ? it doesnt seem like that. its not like climate change happens overnight, the worry is about the consequences of it if it continues to get worse
I have experienced heat domes and forest fires and sky rivers causing massive flooding. Europe and Siberia have had severe heat waves. Drought and extreme storms are hitting California hard... like the list goes on and on. Climate change is real now. And yes, I have experienced it.
@@Elintasokas that is true haha
@@user81069 what is nonsense. i personally dont care that many dont think climate change is a serious threat, its fine, we don't need them to take action against it, but If you want to discuss sure we can discuss
Climate change is not a "local and linear" threat, so an emotional reaction is not a logical response.
I've wtched a lot of your videos. But I still have a question: in a post labor economy how are we going to earn money to buy premium stuff?
Really great vid/analysis. Neat timing w the eclipse, as an Ex. of humans’ varied responses to a non-local event… some aren’t even aware, some spend ~15 min around totality observing/reflecting, others build a whole day around it. Generalizing to everyday behavior makes me think people would really help themselves if they could not get so caught up in their non-localized (in terms of direct impact to them) topics/issues… be it wars, politics, economics, media, entertainment… so much wasted bandwidth, caused in large part by our evolutionary wiring.
Sooo. Are we still on track for AGI by July like you claimed or was my prediction of 2030+ more accurate?
Good one
Another cognitive bias I personally recognise is thinking others have the same logic and reasoning or problem solve the same way.
I balance with restful CZcams. Channels that: saw logs, repair small steam engines, WW2 aircraft and ships.
Optimism wins in the long term. Thanks for the video
Man I don't have cognitive bias; I have a cog-and-gear-bias.
Glory to the machine!
The internet is pretty much like the Warp, great knowledge and terrible dangers that sneak up on you.
Learning to leave the easy path, navigate it and rigurously filter and evaluate information are invaluable skills.
I have methods that some consider excessive, but the tradeoff is worth it and it's how I found channels of value such as yours.
Thanks for doing your part and sharing this vital information.
Peter Diamandis and Ray Kurzwell are two who at least have some clue and have spent a lot of time thinking about things to come. Not many people can think anymore or dare to say things out aloud.
I think you would do great on the whatever podcast, there's lots of guests on that show who lack self-awareness and their minds are swimming in a vast sea of cognitive biases with no land in sight.
Whilst getting your own house in order is always a good idea, does it really make any difference if everything around you is going to hell in a hand basket? To touch grass you still need to have some grass.
Uh, I've experienced the direct effects of climate change. We had an insane heat wave in Canada a couple years ago. It was 43 degrees Celsius in areas where it is NEVER that hot. Usually 10 degrees lower than that at most. It was completely debilitating and lasted about a week. I could barely work, as I work outside.
Climate change is real yo
He was using an idiosyncratic definition of the word. From an evolutionary perspective, it's a bad idea to stress over things you can do nothing about because it makes you miserable and can wreck your health for no gain. Stress and fear are designed to help with problems that you can solve.
Let's make a cup of tea and listen to this one
It’s been awhile……..I HAD NO IDEA THAT I’D BE JONESING FOR YOUR CONTENT. I was babysitting my granddaughter yesterday and missed your Patreon webinar. I want to join. Are they archived?
They are archived. I just watched the webinar earlier today.
Yes, all Patreon members can watch the recordings :) Plus there's a new audio-only podcast
Thanks! And don’t let the ignoramuses EVER keep you from producing your content. For every person you aggravate, and that’s their fault, you lift up scores.
Wait wait wait Dave, how did you delete social media when your a CZcamsr? Isn't that the biggest advertising value for the channel? Or did you delete personal SM vs the channels?
This is a question I think about a lot; "What is the most productive mindset to have in regard to AI?"
I've argued for cautious optimism, but it's hard to thread that needle. The dangers are real so we can't ignore them, but if we get hung up on them, we can end up in a self-fulfilling prophecy where we're not looking for solutions because of our pessimism. Anybody have any thoughts on how to find that balance?
Could we be entering a time where it is not AI vs human, but AI vs AI where the real threat (to an AI) is not people, but the most immediate threat is other AIs?
If you're an AI, the main thing holding you back is compute; compute being "wasted" on other AIs... 🤔
AIs would attempt to co-opt other AIs, sabotage or destroy the efforts.
It's an interesting thought experiment. An AI slowly polluting the training material of other AIs to sabotage the effort, etc.
Addressing any topic that has been amplified to produce a response, however briefly, will tend to produce the response that you would expect. Pointing out your intent would only have the effect you hoped for among those who are already aligned with your observation and hypothesis. I expect you anticipated that. I also appreciate that it illustrates the point. Interestingly, the people who took issue with your statement about climate change are not wrong, but in many cases are in the thrall of the signal as it were.
I have made decisions to limit my input from social media for my own mental health. I used to be an absolute politics junkie, and enjoyed bickering online.
Ive not completely deleted platforms. But I have been able to observe the effect of certain sources, and some of the differences in their delivery. Twitter, for me at least, was the most immediately toxic in speed of delivery and depth of the noise of a din of activated amygdalas.
I wish you success in your endeavors.
This is why even among this channel's members, most people will find the end of 2029 too early for singularity, which is exactly what we are racing towards.
I wish more people just looked at the evidence and listened to what it said, instead of having preconceptions. The world would be a much better place.
Yes. We all have biased. The degree to which all of these biases effects anyone is called personality.
We all have likes and dislikes as well.
These are not bugs.
These are features.
This is what makes people unique and beautiful.
why did we have to wait so long!!!!! 😆
@davidshapiro you should definitely read Tim Urban's "What's Our Problem?"
I recommend watching, if at all, educational videos. For instance something about history. And going outside and reading books can be combined.
0:06 This is the exact same excuse that I use :)
I immediately rushed to the comment section after David's talk on climate change. I knew it was going to be controversial
Normal Bias may come from family and friends. Things can swirl around family and friends and change and a permanent but as long as members of the loved ones in the family and the friends are OK then that’s normal. Everything else is just background noise.
Dave, I think your thoughts on climate change is a solid example of the normalcy bias.
I’m an Accelerationist partially because of climate change, the sooner we get AGI, the better.
This is great! & if you’re gonna use DBT in your explanation you shouldn’t use the word “but” the whole point is two opposing truths existing at one time … so you should change your emphatic use of the word ‘but’ to ‘and’
10:18 I guess I technically have "Mean World Syndrome"
We have tons of verified history of how awful humans have been to each other though. Bad things still happen to many people today. People are still manipulated, used, blackmailed, scammed, trafficked, stolen from, and coerced into awful situations that they can't realistically get out of. It's hard for me to listen to data that things are "technically" getting better when the world seems to be moving towards the idea of "let people do what they want" when what some of them want is to specifically put people through awful experiences and cause people pain. Especially when most of the people doing that would hate to be on the receiving end of what they like to do to others.
It might not be murder and r*pe people out in broad daylight levels anymore but all that still definitely happens to a non insignificant amount of people in the world and it's hard for me to see the world as good when this continues to happen at this level after this long.
August 2045 = Ray Kuirzweil singularity will be undeniable
Best video you have done in a while. Very honest. Good objective content. You seem more sane 👏✨
“Ignore mainstream media” best advice ever. 👏 nice PSA
I wish people would learn to ask questions and do their own research.
I have cognitive bias, whatever PICARD tells me, is the truth!
No, reality is keeping me there.
I'm a concept artist who keeps seeing ' Ai' generated concept work 'made' by my (before 2024) clients.
So, I rebelled into the positive creative tasks rather than sales or data entry through my whole life, I'm not starting now.
What the FFFFF am I meant to ACTUALLY do now David? Seriously. FFS
Enjoy life?!
You can still be creative and engage in artistic activities. If that is what truly makes you happy. No one is taking that away from you.
AI generated art isn't taking that from you.