What Are The Odds of Making The NBA?

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  • čas přidán 31. 05. 2024
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Komentáře • 156

  • @Lola23339
    @Lola23339 Před 7 měsíci +183

    Slim to none! I play a lot of pickup bball on the UCLA campus. During the Summer, a lot of NBA players play there. I'm the average NBA height so I don't get killed just on account of size. I get killed on account of speed, quickness, length, strength, shooting accuracy etc. etc. Even guys barely hanging on to NBA roster spots are beyond unstoppable.

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 7 měsíci +36

      That’s true, they are people who have been gifted with a tremendous amount of talent and on top of that put in lots of hard work.

    • @kidproduction6720
      @kidproduction6720 Před 7 měsíci +13

      Bro just be able to have your experience is already amazing. And yes, don’t think the players sitting on the bench are not good. They can cook anyone in any arena, any day, any time, in any ways they want.

    • @unknownpy5003
      @unknownpy5003 Před 7 měsíci

      where at ucla?

    • @Lola23339
      @Lola23339 Před 7 měsíci +1

      @@unknownpy5003 yes

    • @unknownpy5003
      @unknownpy5003 Před 7 měsíci +1

      @@Lola23339 I asked where bruh

  • @kenstevens7855
    @kenstevens7855 Před 7 měsíci +48

    Each 4 year age group in America has 5 million males. About 20% of boys played organized basketball at one point. So in every 4 year grouping about 1M boys have pursued basketball. Of that age grouping, about 150 of them will be drafted for the NBA but only 2/3rds will actually make a roster. So the math says 100 out 1M. One of 10K are the odds.
    Now the odds of having a sustainable career are even longer. There are a ton of players that had 2-3 year stints as journeymen and primarily played overseas after not making the cut. So I'd say 1 in 30K of having a true NBA career.

    • @SISKCERTWaJaVlogs
      @SISKCERTWaJaVlogs Před 7 měsíci

      and making the allstar team and being MVP?

    • @nelsondendomo6687
      @nelsondendomo6687 Před 6 měsíci

      This makes extremely impressive for high school players that are clearly NBA bound without a doubt

    • @vlirx4739
      @vlirx4739 Před 4 měsíci +2

      The equivalent is if you and 9999 other basketball players were chosen at random you would have to be the best out of all of them

    • @SISKCERTWaJaVlogs
      @SISKCERTWaJaVlogs Před 4 měsíci

      and on top of that what about making an all-star team

    • @tu55Daniel18-ey8tt
      @tu55Daniel18-ey8tt Před 2 měsíci

      yes however that particular statistic isn't necessarily relevant to any individual. Realistically, how hard do all of those people try? Of course I am not saying that simply by trying hard to make the NBA, you will, of course that still doesn't guarantee it. However, you need to add up your personal situation's factors to get a more realistic percentage on your chances. If you have faster than average reaction time, great cardio, and are average or close to average NBA height, or if you're 7 foot, and you are training 3x more than the average basketball "pursuer" AND you are tracking the progression of your skills and adapting your training according to skill targets- then the 100 out of 1 million chance you talked about IMMEDIATELY gets raised, and you probably surpassed 95-99% of existing players with the factors i just listed. And yes that still doesn't guarantee you the NBA, and many more factors exist, but I'm saying the personal situation DOES matter, and those factors, and your effort and training do make a difference which can definitely SIGNIFICANTLY raise your chances.

  • @xdgamerdxdx
    @xdgamerdxdx Před 7 měsíci +22

    Living in a country where basketball isnt that bug my chances of making the NBA is like 0.000001% but im trying to get to the best leauges possible for me. Ofcourse I wish and hope I can make the NBA but being realistic I won't. I give my 100% everyday but its hard to play becuase 1. No competition where im from, I have already played against everyone thats better than me where I live 2. No court inside that I can play at daily (during winters when its -10 celsies where I live) Wish everyone luck in their basketball careers!

    • @nelsondendomo6687
      @nelsondendomo6687 Před 6 měsíci

      What country are you from?

    • @thesportsprodigy709
      @thesportsprodigy709 Před 5 měsíci

      You can do anything you want. If everyone said that realistically they wouldn't make it, then no one would.

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 5 měsíci +2

      If you’re good is it possible to join some sort of league around you that may allow you to play against better competition and get more recognition? I would do some digging into that if I were you and try to figure out if you can contact any coach or person that may give you a chance, good luck man!

    • @TheRealSandman
      @TheRealSandman Před 4 měsíci +1

      Good luck!

    • @gino_merlino5319
      @gino_merlino5319 Před 4 měsíci

      Germany?

  • @dipe6376
    @dipe6376 Před 4 měsíci +17

    Basketball is the sport that relies on genetics the most

    • @FotisNikou
      @FotisNikou Před 2 měsíci

      nah that's arm wrestling lmao

    • @tu55Daniel18-ey8tt
      @tu55Daniel18-ey8tt Před 2 měsíci

      I would disagree, I think strongman/weightlifting, and sprinting,, and swimming. Basketball cannot rely the most on genetics because by definition it isn't just testing your core abilities, like fast twitch muscle fibers for sprinting, or the big muscles for lifting, or lung capacity for say swimming, rather basketball also has a motor skills ball handling element, which requires a lot of trained skill. So in a sense thats why some people can outwork their genetics in basketball. However why I think it SEEMS to rely on genetics has more to do with the sheer VOLUME of basketball players and talent pool participating, where even if you are very skilled, there is simply too many "good genetics" guys also competing which statistically causes also many of them to be skilled, leaving less room to compensate for lack of genetics with mere training and effort. Combine that with the funding and training programs available everywhere in the country with great coaching and developed systems, and the very institution of basketball is already good at bringing out the best in all players, naturally giving the best gene guys an advantage.

    • @LegendGamer-dj8om
      @LegendGamer-dj8om Před 15 dny

      @@tu55Daniel18-ey8ttsoooooo genetics. lmao

  • @michaelb7718
    @michaelb7718 Před 4 měsíci +4

    If you’re watching this you aren’t going to be in the NBA. The guys in the NBA aren’t watching CZcams videos they are getting their shots in

  • @yeatdagoat173
    @yeatdagoat173 Před 7 měsíci +15

    statistically i think it's more likely for you to be a billionaire than an NBA player. I think trying to be a professional ball player is better cuz i heard they pay solid money in europe so yeah

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 5 měsíci

      I agree with you for sure. You don’t necessarily have to go the NBA route only. There’s other countries that also pay well and definitely aren’t as hard to get into as the NBA.

  • @ScottJamo
    @ScottJamo Před 4 měsíci +5

    The joker has good genetics but doesn’t like Basketball as much as horse racing. He is the best player in the nba 2 MVPS

  • @ivan.ma95
    @ivan.ma95 Před 4 měsíci +8

    There are 1 million people in the us with a height of atleast 6'4'' and under 24 yo, that makes it 1 in 2000 to compete for a NBA spot, or 0,05% chance of making it, I mean that's not terrible all things considered, but still low enough to discourage many

    • @RG-rb6om
      @RG-rb6om Před 16 hodinami

      Your math ain’t mathing

  • @jameswhitehead4435
    @jameswhitehead4435 Před 3 dny

    Using Bayesian inference controlling for the probability of a potential player who meets the same averages of previously drafted players in financial support, educational support, family support, visibility to a general manager, and height requirements, making it into the NBA is approximately 0.3, or 30%. Anyone outside of that see the percentage drop significantly.

  • @ChalupaHoopa
    @ChalupaHoopa Před 9 hodinami

    If youre genes are against you Dont get discouraged Just look at Fred Vanvleet Pretty solid player Donovan mitchell,T.Young,D.Garland and a few more yet these are the guys that went against the odds and so on but these players work in their ability of their game and became the best at it and thats just part of the key 2 good points in the video you need to have mind of steel and Skill

  • @pongraczlevente138
    @pongraczlevente138 Před 7 měsíci +5

    very good video, def deserves more views

    • @Guiltycircle486
      @Guiltycircle486 Před 7 měsíci +1

      Meh

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 7 měsíci

      Thank you but I’m still learning how to edit properly, I’ll get there with time haha I appreciate it tho!

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 7 měsíci

      @@Guiltycircle486What advice would you give for me to improve?

    • @Guiltycircle486
      @Guiltycircle486 Před 7 měsíci

      @@tungenceI think the video would work better in short term rather than a five minute video. The script, while it’s very detailed, can be edited down to a good minute - minute and a half. Other than that, the video is ok, the editing is very quick (I don’t love the fast editing style where for instance a picture pulls up from the bottom of the screen super quick.) Some of the pictures you chose didn’t make that much sense to be there. Some didn’t have to be there, and maybe like a light beat (music) in the background would’ve been nice, like 30-35% volume. That’s it.

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 7 měsíci

      @@Guiltycircle486I appreciate the feedback, there is music in the background btw it’s just very quiet haha

  • @rodenbak8840
    @rodenbak8840 Před měsícem

    Do you think that I will be tall enough if I am 6"0 at 13 years?

  • @jeremyteti914
    @jeremyteti914 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Yeah, They are averaging 100 points per points with heavy defense between themself in a match, making playing basketball too easy such as kid's games..

  • @tfg_sinser9685
    @tfg_sinser9685 Před 4 měsíci +2

    if anyone could overcome their bad genetics and were able to make it to the nba, so can i. they aint got nothing on me.nobody wants it more than me

  • @Zackattack123
    @Zackattack123 Před 5 měsíci +3

    You have more of a chance to win the lottery than be in the NBA but that’s what the history says GO CHANGE THAT HISTORY

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 5 měsíci +2

      Exactly my point. History can be a good indicator of reality but doesn’t fully determine your faith. Right now there’s a player named Markquis Nowell who’s 5’7 and a player named Jacob Gilyard who’s 5’8 so it’s possible for sure!

  • @HomerSimpson2121
    @HomerSimpson2121 Před 4 měsíci

    I’m interested in the odds of making it to the NBA and not getting arrested. I’m betting I’d somewhere in the 1 in a billion range😂

  • @sierrak3840
    @sierrak3840 Před 7 měsíci

    👌👌

  • @user-bp7ly4qx1k
    @user-bp7ly4qx1k Před 4 měsíci

    What if a NBA player was watching this.

  • @yamiyo6050
    @yamiyo6050 Před 4 měsíci +1

    You don’t have to be tall if ur a athlete freak like me . 4.3 40 yard dash 5’7 but can two hand dunk I have no issues playing against 7 footers as I just jump higher than them and I’m fast

    • @tu55Daniel18-ey8tt
      @tu55Daniel18-ey8tt Před 2 měsíci

      Its funny because you're proving a point you think you're debunking. If you can dunk at that height you are also genetically gifted just in a different way.

  • @jimbojimbo6873
    @jimbojimbo6873 Před 2 měsíci

    It’s 400 people, in the whole universe

  • @monahainz5904
    @monahainz5904 Před 4 měsíci

    Donthis Tell the ball bros

  • @Triumphator616
    @Triumphator616 Před 7 měsíci +12

    Not true about Europe. Lots of talent is needed there too. You look at players who were in a simple role position in the NBA but they are a key player on a European team roster - that's the system in Europe. Every player has their role and every role is important, whereas in the NBA you have 2, 3 superstars and the rest of the players are there to fill in the gaps. Also, playing in top 20 European teams pays really well, couple millions per year contracts.
    Europe has no Association that generates a money pool from which the teams are fed. European teams depend strictly on their sponsors and ticket sales. Players play for glory - and when they don't play, they don't come in in some pop culture clothes. Europe is a whole different system.
    NBA on the other hand, loves to take a Euro player, who was very accomplished in Euro league, only to tell that player that they want him to be a spot up shooter or just pick n roll and assist guy. Euro players go mad and quit very soon - to be disrespected so much is unheard of for them. You were an important if not the most important piece on your roster in Europe, a champion, an MVP perhaps, and then to be called and be told to play a support role. This is why you see Euro player coming into the league, staying for 1,2,3 seasons and coming back to Europe - the system of having a specific role in a team is alien to Euro players.
    The most simple reason I can provide for why this is so the fact that Euro teams play as actual teams. No team depends on 1 player, they are all equal. In important moments, yes, perhaps, some player either rises to the challenge or is selected by the coach. Overall, players who score the most in their teams are not considered stars, cause the next night some other teammate may start to feel it, so you had your 25 points previous night, but this night you will feed me the ball, cause I'm feeling it. That's the way they play. There are no all stars, super stars, there are only teammates and occasional heroes. And if you don't respect that type of game (cause basketball is a team game not a prima donna "i'm the best, feed me the ball otherwise we lose, no defense, just offense"), you'll be hearing from your coach in a very vocal and sometimes explicit manner.

    • @zzdahaewae
      @zzdahaewae Před 7 měsíci +8

      you forgot to mention its a retirement home for washed up NBA players due to how easy it is to perform there relative to NBA :D

    • @Triumphator616
      @Triumphator616 Před 7 měsíci

      @@zzdahaewae Not true. NBA wants the best of the best simply so that they can make more sales. If your role is obsolete, your play style is not to any team's standards, no one will want you. Europe doesn't have that. A player is a player. No matter the style, 2 pointer, 3 pointer, dribbler, cutter, roller, everything is important in Europe - like a part of an engine. NBA teams require specific role while allstars, superstars do whatever they want.
      So in essence, these so-called "washed up NBA players" are great players who do not seem to be compatible with the NBA any more. NBA is looking for theatrics, cause Americans love entertainment - this increases sales. It's all about capitalism. Just offense offense offense, alley-oops, and 40 attempts for 3pointers, over 300 points final score, etc. This is what keeps the fans hooked. All those jerseys sold, Curry Curry Curry, Lebron, Lebron, Lebron, high-fiving each other when their team scores. Excellent marketing. Europe has heart, the fans are crazy and you play for glory - you don't show up in a Kyle Kuzma style to feed the American pop culture.

    • @Triumphator616
      @Triumphator616 Před 7 měsíci

      @@zzdahaewae And don't get me wrong, I love the NBA, but I try to filter out that capitalism insanity that goes behind the curtain - people seamlessly unaware how much they're spending and keep feeding the hype. That's the American way. NBA feels that even this is not enough, hence why the league started promoting itself on other continents, by actually showing up with a couple of teams. And you can see that the top players are coming from Europe in the past few years, and none of them feels the need to add to the American pop culture, being all flashy off court, show up to social gatherings wearing 10 pounds of jewelry, etc. Players like Jokic will certainly not succumb to this type of life. He'd rather spend time with his family and horses back in his home country.

    • @Guiltycircle486
      @Guiltycircle486 Před 7 měsíci

      Bro is cooking this mans ass💀💀💀😂😂😂

    • @yo._._7117
      @yo._._7117 Před 7 měsíci

      That's why a team that is not even a champion of Spain made a move on Dallas by being chill and playing your game, running and jumping :D@@zzdahaewae

  • @Rlo09
    @Rlo09 Před 7 měsíci +3

    We gonna see. 10 years.

    • @gabisecret9108
      @gabisecret9108 Před 5 měsíci +2

      Ur not making it lmao

    • @veerbordia9824
      @veerbordia9824 Před 3 měsíci

      yep

    • @FatherManus
      @FatherManus Před 15 dny

      If you get to the G League you would be extremely lucky. And WNBA players get paid more than the G League.

  • @shapex9951
    @shapex9951 Před 4 měsíci +2

    i am 6 foot at 14 and ı have 6foot 3inches wingspan is that good for my age ?

    • @DamianLooksBlocky
      @DamianLooksBlocky Před 4 měsíci +2

      Very good I’m sure at 12 you were already like 5”6 and I’m only 4”10 and 1/2 you’d tower over me bro

    • @seahawksfaithful9624
      @seahawksfaithful9624 Před 4 měsíci

      I am 14 and 6’3 with a 6’6 wingspan

  • @stinkykid1352
    @stinkykid1352 Před 7 měsíci +4

    No reason not to try

  • @ItsThicc
    @ItsThicc Před 5 měsíci

    😂😂😂 get thru Duke first

  • @lukesmith9692
    @lukesmith9692 Před 4 měsíci +2

    You just need black skin and be able to shoot a 3 pointer. That's it

  • @69bucaco420
    @69bucaco420 Před 7 měsíci +9

    im 6foot and im 15 i hope i atleast grow a few inches like 3 or 4

  • @SamuelKiernan-xb8tm
    @SamuelKiernan-xb8tm Před 4 měsíci

    I think I got the genetic I’m under the age of 15 won’t say my age but I’m 5”2 and on track to be around 6”3-6”6 also you should have. Thousand of subscribers

  • @T_Alexander.
    @T_Alexander. Před 4 měsíci

    I live in Africa, what's your advice?

  • @T3CH0NJAY.
    @T3CH0NJAY. Před 6 měsíci +4

    this video made me very sad

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 5 měsíci

      Sorry bro :(

    • @vlirx4739
      @vlirx4739 Před 4 měsíci

      You don’t need to go to the nba to have a successful career

  • @chickenjoestudios7529
    @chickenjoestudios7529 Před 3 měsíci +1

    I am going to become the best basketball player in the world

  • @radd3359
    @radd3359 Před 7 měsíci +7

    My name is Kaven and I'm currently 15 and i'm 6,2 right now, I just wanted to write that remember my name, because your gonna see me in the league, in a couple years just wait. I'm going to become the greatest of all time.

    • @kobemrclutchful
      @kobemrclutchful Před 7 měsíci +3

      Well I’d be damned if the greatest of all time is a guy named kaven 😂😂

    • @radd3359
      @radd3359 Před 7 měsíci

      @@kobemrclutchful Remember the name.

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 7 měsíci +1

      Hopefully you got this man!

    • @ishanprabhakar4883
      @ishanprabhakar4883 Před 7 měsíci

      remember me gang

    • @Isaiahvsthegame
      @Isaiahvsthegame Před 5 měsíci +3

      That's what I used to think too buddy wait till reality hits you 😂

  • @theuserme2024
    @theuserme2024 Před 4 měsíci

    nah becoming a pro boxer is harder than making in nba

    • @mcmask3018
      @mcmask3018 Před 4 měsíci +3

      Hell no nba is way way harder u Gotta have like 10 plus years old experience if your short

  • @alejandroenriquepuente4931
    @alejandroenriquepuente4931 Před 5 měsíci

    bet

  • @shalierichardson5812
    @shalierichardson5812 Před 3 měsíci

    No one wants to be an engineer

  • @Smoothyoki
    @Smoothyoki Před 7 měsíci +7

    I’m 6’8 at 16 I’m supposed to be 6’9 when I’m done growing but I’m thinking ill be a bit taller

    • @sosynp
      @sosynp Před 5 měsíci

      your 11 bro

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 5 měsíci

      Sheesh you’re tall

    • @alr22
      @alr22 Před 4 měsíci

      Biggest cap lmao

    • @sosynp
      @sosynp Před 4 měsíci

      @@alr22 fr

    • @Hurly
      @Hurly Před 4 měsíci +1

      im 6'4 at 17

  • @eddierosario1537
    @eddierosario1537 Před 2 měsíci

    Nobody makes it to the nba I was dumb enough to think I could even after playing college basketball. It’s literally a lightning strike the odds aren’t in your favor there’s a 0.03 chance of making it to the nba it’s a waste of time.

  • @tamajthelegend4232
    @tamajthelegend4232 Před 5 měsíci +1

    oh now i know ima def go to the nba this isnt that hard also im not gonna only go to the nba but ima hold up 8 or more fingers the same way mj did 6 in the future

    • @Athxdya
      @Athxdya Před 5 měsíci

      I'll be there to 🤞

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 5 měsíci +1

      Idk about it not being hard haha but good luck my man

    • @alr22
      @alr22 Před 4 měsíci +1

      Bro it’s not easy

    • @tamajthelegend4232
      @tamajthelegend4232 Před 4 měsíci

      @@alr22 why should i think its not easy its actually isnt that hard to get in the nba just get ur skill issues solved the hard part is if people persist and dont give up and want to put in the work unlike the rest of u ill put in the work which i am i just dont have the oppurtunity to be ona team yet or u bet i would get starting sf fr fr

    • @alr22
      @alr22 Před 4 měsíci

      @@tamajthelegend4232 So tell me you want to make it to the nba ritgh? whats your age and where are your highlitghs

  • @user-ew5to2zb1x
    @user-ew5to2zb1x Před 4 měsíci

    I'm 10 I average 30 points in my game and I'm 5'9

    • @boldpear9614
      @boldpear9614 Před 4 měsíci

      you got a chance if that’s true

  • @gigimakesmoney
    @gigimakesmoney Před 7 měsíci

    What’s the chances for WNBA?

    • @tungence
      @tungence  Před 7 měsíci +1

      I’m not sure but if you focus on playing ball in college first at the D1 level and than excelling at that I think you’d have a chance.

    • @kathyuzumaki4261
      @kathyuzumaki4261 Před 4 měsíci

      @@tungencecan you make a vid on it please

  • @benk9086
    @benk9086 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Bro i'm 5'10 at 12 i'm pretty sure i have high chances of making it to the nba.

    • @Kingweiss
      @Kingweiss Před 4 měsíci +1

      Normally when u grow very tall at a young age you will stop to grow soon

    • @boldpear9614
      @boldpear9614 Před 4 měsíci +2

      and i bet you have no guard skills because you’ve been playing center your whole life

    • @dipe6376
      @dipe6376 Před 4 měsíci

      Can you actually play😂

  • @kidproduction6720
    @kidproduction6720 Před 7 měsíci +6

    I hope every delusional teenager watches this video.
    I was playing against some 14 yrs old 1 on 1. He told me he wants to play D1 and NBA. He was trash talking, and calling NBA fouls. I beat him twice game to 15, and told him, if he wants to play NBA he should’ve be dunking on me now.

    • @rockyx_x
      @rockyx_x Před 7 měsíci +19

      imagine shitting on some kid with dreams for no good reason

    • @mekacrab
      @mekacrab Před 7 měsíci +16

      What's that "fuck them kids" mentality ?
      Congrats, you beat a 14 year old at the game of basketball and told him some nonsense afterwards. GG man

    • @Guiltycircle486
      @Guiltycircle486 Před 7 měsíci

      Bruh

    • @mikhailavanesov5912
      @mikhailavanesov5912 Před 6 měsíci

      what are u babbling about

    • @northofmainstreet7281
      @northofmainstreet7281 Před 5 měsíci +1

      I did the same thing. I told a lil 11 yo kid he sucks and he left the court crying like a lil baby. I yelled at him as he was going home to change his diaper .. ten minutes later came back with my wife... that night I was sleeping on the couch and that kid my son still sucks...
      FYI my son will probably be 6'1 or 6'2 I'm 6'3 and his momma is 5'5 he has
      No athletic ability and don't work on fundamentals... 😭