Ukraine War Update NEWS (20240428a): Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
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- čas přidán 15. 05. 2024
- Here is today's UWU NEWS giving you all the nuggets you need to add to your understanding of events.
Del's open-source Russian loss stats:
onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?r...
Bill's stats dashboard: www.ukrainewarstatistics.com/
Merchandise for the A Tippling Philosopher blog network and CZcams channel. www.redbubble.com/people/john...
Buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/GkxsyfQ
Paypal Donate: www.paypal.com/paypalme/johnn...
UA Supporter merch: uasupporter.com/atp
Check out this website of pro-Ukrainian inks:
www.heroyam.org/slava_ukraini
Discord: / discord
Videos/sources:
Hits/losses
x.com/auto_glam/status/178414...
x.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/...
x.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1...
x.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1...
UkrReview/status/...
Strikes
x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/...
x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/...
x.com/Tendar/status/178419747...
x.com/UKikaski/status/1784193...
x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/...
x.com/The_Lookout_N/status/17...
x.com/WarVehicle/status/17842...
TWMCLtd/status/17...
Osinttechnical/st...
Maks_NAFO_FELLA/s...
Maks_NAFO_FELLA/s...
wartranslated/sta...
KyivIndependent/s...
NOELreports/statu...
NOELreports/statu...
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0:00 Start
0:10 Hits/losses
8:45 Strikes
26:30 Other
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DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
1) These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
2) These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
3) All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
4) Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
5) Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
6) Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
7) Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
8) All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
9) Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
![tattoo printer tutorial[제품단순선물]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/g40_GwEJak0/mqdefault.jpg)
forgot to press go.
Legend👍
Never mind, its weekend!❤
JP, awesome video update as always!!! Intriguing that the Russians have now adapted cages around the oil storage tanks. When they do that to the Kremlin we will know Ukraine 🇺🇦 will have won the mind game!!! Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
☕ good morning everyone hope your weekend is going well. Thanks Jonathan
Hi Bud ☕ 🏜
Morning JP 👍😊
Thank you
A very good Sunday to everyone in the team, I'm feeling much better than yesterday, I've been waiting for the first video of the day, thanks Jonathan
@Finnishguy777 Hello 👋 😊
@@louisefoley2683 Hi Louise
Hey JP
Awesome analysis!
Great news, but I hope you still rest and fully recover 🤗 love from Arizona 🏜
@@louisefoley2683Hi Louise 😊
Good morning Jonathan. I'm feeling better about the world today. Perhaps it's just the beautiful spring weather. Hope springs eternal. SLAVA UKRAINI from the United States.
Good Day JP, TEAM!!!!
G'day Jason 👋 😊
Hi Jason.. Good day
G'day JMTP 😊🌻
@@Finnishguy777 Hi Fin!!!!
@@smith...1 Hi Smith!!!!
Hello all!
Hi Mika 👋 😊
Allo Allo, Happy Birthday Mika
@@louisefoley2683 Hi Louise!
Is it your birthday Mika ? 💐
Have a great day and a good year too.☀️ With love from your southern friend 😉🤗✨
HBD Mika!
Hello Team and hi Jonathan 👋😊🌻
Hi there mate
G'day Smithy 👋 😊
G'day Louise, hope you're doing well 😊✨ and hi hi hi to the Finnish Guy ☀️👍😊
Hi Smitty!
Hi smith.
Good morning Jonathan and ATP team.
Have a great Sunday 😊
Cheers
Hi Ansel 🤗
Good morning from Arizona. Good morning, Jonathan.
Hi Stuart, good late morning from Surprise, Arizona 🏜
Goodmorning Team, Jonno and all wellthinking others. Have a nice sunday!!
Hello Peter 👋 😊
Hi louise!
Happy Sunday Peter 🤗
Thank you Jonathan great update as always 💙💛
Hello 👋 darling 🤠 😘
@@surpriseitsus9622 Hello my dear 😘
Thank you Jonathan ❤Love to Team ATP ❤Love to Ukraine 🇺🇦 ❤️ 🫂
Hi Nikki 👋 😊
Hi Nikki, happy sunday
Hey Nikki!
Morning Nikki.
@@louisefoley2683👋 😊 Hi Louise 🫂 ❤
🤔 Putting on my thinking cap about honesty, accurracy and the fight for truth today; and every day with your help 🙏
The successful drones dit enormous damage. It’s to be expected that some will not reach their targets. One has to budget for losses.
Russian artillery appears to work by quantity rather than accuracy
Such a good vid tonight! ❤
34:15 ... Beautifully stated Johnathan. Bravo Sir ... 👏👏👏
Thanks for your updates 🇬🇧❤️🇺🇦
02:00 -
D-10s? That's late WW2 artillery!
At least it's the same gun used in the old T-55 tanks we've been seeing.
They should be able to mix and match gun barrels.
The D-30s at least, are from the 1960s.
🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🇺🇦👍🇦🇺👋
👋☺️🇭🇲🇺🇦🌻
👍🚀👏😁🇦🇺❤️🇺🇦🌻
Hi Diesel 😊🚀 🔱 🌻 ❤
Oops, forgot my flag 😊 🇺🇸 🌵
J.P, Johnson talked about sending Spitfires to shoot down drones. Now is the time !
Good morning everyone. Thanks for the update JP.
Happy Sunday Elvis 🤗
Evan Gershkovich is the journalist who is jailed in Russia.
As soon as I finished, his name came to me. Dang
@@ATPGeo My little friend Google. I struggle to remember names constantly. So frustrating.
@@sherrillwhately7586
As do I. It isn't getting older as it has been that way since I was born.
@@sirsmeal3192 Hi Sir, I found you once again 😊
@@sherrillwhately7586Hello 👋 my friend 🏜 🤗 😍
It seems that the Ukrainian shell famine will end in the coming days but, without a means of suppressing the Russian glide bomb onslaught, then as long as the Russians have the necessary cannon fodder it will be almost impossible to halt the slow ‘grind and hold’ advances that have been ongoing since October. Fortunately, it would seem that the RuAF has neither the mechanised resources nor the expertise to conduct a strategically meaningful deep strike operation.
Didn't they attack the airbase where the glide bombs depart the destroyed the building housing the glide bomb kits ?
The idea of using trainers to defend against drones is interesting. The logical thing in then to get some modern trainers that can mount weapons. Pilatus makes a trainer that can mount weapons. I wonder if the can mount EM disruption devises in line with that idea.
🙏🇺🇦👏👍🇺🇸🤟🏽
Does it really matter how many shells Russia has if they don't have the artillery to use them?
👋
Thanks for the update, JP.
I wonder if the Kommuna recovery ship with its overhead gantries had anything to do with loading Kalibr into submarines?
Not likely. The ship does not have anything to handle missile handling at all.
Jonathan, you are a beacon of truth and information in these tough times 🙂
First
🏆🥇 👋😊 🫂❤️💐
🥇 ❤
A future speculation on Russian artillery loses might be interesting?
Hiya Nikki
👋 😊 Hiya Stuart 🫂 ❤
Russia storms onto the field like a team of rowdy freefighters, no rules, all muscle, while Ukraine sneaks in like a stealthy ninja armed with nothing but small tools. The scene's chaotic at first, with Russia throwing punches left and right, but Ukraine? Oh, Ukraine's the master of surprise, quietly and methodically unraveling the bully's plans, move by move, until they're left wondering what just happened. It's a showdown where brute force meets clever strategy, and in the end, it's the little ninja that walks away victorious, proving that sometimes, it's the smart moves that win the game.
I totally agree on the Biden speech. EPIC.
Russia are losing about 30,000 men a month. I keep wondering not how long Moscow can find more men but how long the men on the front can accept the fact that the odds of them still being alive in a year are somewhere close to zero. The Russian tactic has not changed if anything it is worse. I think once Ukraine get enough weapons and ammunition that the deaths a day could literally double. For one thing Russia is getting a false sense of superiority when in fact they have not had the experience to develop any stealth or skills to preserve themselves on the battlefield.
This is making a huge dent in russia's future prospects. Very soon they're going to run out of patriotic fools and stupid volunteers of fortune. Then things will start to get really ugly in russia. It's obvious that rus can never win this. It's already clearly very bad for russia. They should surrender now. It'll only get worse and cost even more the longer this goes on. Rus are doomed.
remember, when you own the battlefield after the engagement, you can cobble together 3 damaged pieces of equipment to get one good one. Russians are advancing, they have this advantage.
If one was a true ultra European centric person, suspicious of the US, and resentul of the apparent US hegemony, you could make the argument that alignment with the US was incredibly risky for Europe.
Looking at the Geopolitical landscape and US entanglements, its as likely the US might be involved in a war with, Iran, China, North Korea, or Russia at sny time.
NATO could easily be pulled into a war in a far away place because of the US being attacked,
I wonder if Europe will stand with the US as the world gets more dangerous the next decade, or if they decide the relationship is too risky.
I think they will for sure, but they might distrust the polarisation in the US. However, it's definitely a better alignment than any alternative. I trust this might strengthen idea of future strategic alliances, whilst at the same time causing the Europeans to become more security indepoendent.
even tho america has trump who wants to throw us under the bus we will be there for our american brothers and sisters should we be needed
@@harold22774 yes. Trumps comments were the most unfortunate foreign policy statements uttered the last several decades.
I recall Jimmy Carter visiting Poland in the 1970's. He was reading Polish that was translated improperly in a speech. The speech was supposed to say " when I left the US to come to Poland I was very happy. Instead the speech said " when I fled the US to escape to Poland I was very happy ". This was at the height of the cold war. The crowd wondered if Jimmy Carter was defecting 😂😂
NATO ended up in Afghanistan because the U.S. was attacked so I would say that Europe has already answered that question.
@@brianivey5682😂
🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦✌🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
You referred in a previous video to Russia apparently producing so many shells they are starting to store them. I wonder if they have lost so much artillery they no longer have the capability to fire them.
Interesting thought
If Ukraine falls back Russia has to move forward and uncover themselves this could work to Ukraines favor if they can target them
You need to take out air defense in Crimea because the F 16's jets are coming. Think think think.
Tiny drone has tiny propellers, easily broken a close pass would break the propeller.
The probability of successfully hitting a target within 100km of a drone is ten times higher than hitting a target 1000km away, or even farther at 3000km. Hence, larger waves of drones are deployed for closer targets. Evaluation and response occur a week later due to the prolonged nature of this conflict, spanning years. Why must we obliterate distant large buildings entirely? It makes no sense. What does make sense is understanding that in that building resides the esteemed Office of Explosive Affairs, led by none other than General Boomsworth. And perhaps, a personal "visit" to him is in order.
Good evening JP 👋🙂
Good evening team👋🙂
JP I sent you a email about a movie premiere in London about the battle of Kyiv. Not sure if you saw it.
Edit: Link to trailer: czcams.com/video/Ay0WOEv9vFo/video.htmlsi=KVk2Lezq0db_WRyv
Good evening Matt. Hope you had a great weekend 😊
@@louisefoley2683 good evening Louise 👋🙂 I certainly did🙂 I was naughty and took the day off everything yesterday🙂🙂🙂 how was your weekend? Good?
@saberint Not bad, one lazy day and one day preparing the house for winter. Hopefully, we get some rain soon.
@@louisefoley2683 Tuesday for us… apparently
Hi Matt and family 🤗 🔱 🌻
Two Ukrainians killed by a russian in a knife attack. Jonathan: 'It's not cool'.
Yeah. I undersold that. But it was kinda purposefully done like that.
@@ATPGeo No worries, a minor cavil. Keep up the good work.
Yep. You don't need a jet to shoot down drones. In fact the speed difference between a typical jet fighter and a relatively slow drone is a disadvantage, just as using an expensive air-to-air missile on a drone is not very cost effective. The ideal day time drone interceptor choice would be a turboprop trainer and light attack aircraft like the Super Tucano or AT-6. Its fast enough to chase down drones, but can comfortable slow down enough to shoot the drone down. This type of aircraft can carry a mix of AIM-9, guns and a couple of 7-round pods of 70mm APWKS laser guided rockets which using the aircrafts laser designator can be used to shot down drones.
Something like the Yak 52 trainer is a good compromise but could be improved on.
❤️❤️❤️🇺🇦🇩🇰🇺🇦🇩🇰🇺🇦❤️❤️❤️
Hi Jimmi ❤
Russian soldiers and conscripts are being ordered and supervised to take methamphetamine by means of staying up longer periods of time during advancing campaigns. And to eat less foods most are also given liquid dietary supplements much like ensure . But under a different Russian brand name made in Russian and Belarus. Some work long periods of addiction are going insane killing / murdering their very own military personal on frontlines . What an atrocity
Their losses are large, yet they still seem to be able to replace troops and equipment. They seem to be taking land more rapidly now. Not a good sign. I like your positive attitude, but I see bad things in the near to medium term.
Not rapidly just little faster than one kilometer a day.
Hey JP, if you and Andrew Perpetua *were* ships passing in the night, what ships would you be?
I'd be HMS Victory for local historical sake
@@ATPGeo Nelson nailing that 7/10 split at Trafalgar is *chef's kiss*.
If you're at all interested in early US naval history, I recommend Six Frigates by Ian Toll.
Yakaty Yak the drone shoots back
If Ukraine is trying to disable Russia financially, it doesn't seem to be working. Despite sanctions and oil field damage, Russia is still fielding masses of troops. Masses of equipment is still appearing. All this has to be paid for. Russia still has the cash to do that. Where is it coming from?
The equipment is coming from storage and that equipment is starting to run low. We know Russia is recruiting overseas for cannonfodder. That source will run out once word gets around you go to Russia you die. You don't see Chechen's or Syrians on the front-lines anymore. Most of them died.
Meanwhile in reality the pocket change of any random American is better than a Russian bank account! 😂😂
Russia is pumping hollow money into the economy. Consumer goods and services are being pre-empted by military production and Russia is sucking up manpower needed in the civilian economy and paying them high wage rates. This a classic formula for devastating inflation. The West was disappointed that sanctions didn't immediately implode the Russian economy. But we are just now entering the phase of their financial implosion.
“Do we spend all sorts of money building a thermal power plant only to have it taken out 3 months later, or a nuclear reactor and have it be protected because it’s a nuclear reactor?”
This will only work until Russia decides to start targeting nuclear reactors.
Instead, Ukraine should give all its citizens windmills, solar panels, diesel generators and batteries. They can make the diesel generators remote controlled by the grid operators. Then they can use the electrical grid to share the power among everyone.
oh Jonathan, I meant to ask you about last nights drone attack. I was hoping you would address it more than you did. So Russia sent 9 drones like you said and you just brushed over it but I think it was fairly significant. In the past Ukraine have shot down 45 out of 45 shaheeds launched at them.
Last night only 4 shaheeds were sent. Plus 5 unknown drones of which 4 managed to get through. So 80% of a new unidentified drone managed to get through Ukraines air defence where 100% of the shaheeds were intercepted.
I was hoping to get your thoughts on this.
Jon, did you mean to have a live today?
No
ok
Algo
Losing 1.000 people pr. day. How can this last for Russia? I know people from other countries are paid to join the war for Russia, but 1,000 is still a big number. How many people are at the frontline from Russia do you think ?
Ask Ukraine how they lose over a thousand a day? Ukraine has 508,800 KIA as of yesterday.
Trump skipped the White House Correspondent's Dinner events
Trump got roasted by Obama at the dinner and never went to it while he was president
He does not like his feelings getting hurt.
That was awesome ☺
And of course totally missing ALL the news of Ukrainian front lines falling back all over the place... Is this the start of the lines breaking??? Why no mention of it??
I do a Frontline update every single day
Trump was too scared of the Press to attend the dinner. Biden shines there.
Wow.. Biden was horrible last nite!! BUT the press was worst!!! Oh the Democrat Party Press!!
Sure
building new nuclear reactors is a mistake, it's a war zone and well - shit happens, targeted or not
worse nuclear power tends to centralize power production, meaning fewer targets for Russians to hit (even if they avoid the reactor, hitting all the transmission stations out from the plant is easy)
Ukraine needs DE-CENTRALIZED power production, hell the entire world does, but it is critical in a war zone or where disasters happen (Hurricane zones).
De-centralized means too many targets spread out over too much space, and when one is knocked out it is small potatoes
De-centralized is more democratic and less prone to corruption
De-centralized is more flexible, in some regions you can do hydro, geothermal, solar, wind, waves to help the environment, but you do not need to try the same solution in all regions - each can be localized...
You are very naive with ypur assessment of US press and journalism. Those of us who live here have a better understanding of the complete rote and bias prevelant across the media in US.
I think you misunderstood me. It's not to say US media is the paragon, but it is to say it FAR exceeds Russian and Chinese media. And the words of Biden are totally correct in where they should be and what they should be bearing in mind.
@ATPGeo I agree with both of the points you make in your reply. But the credibility of US mainstream media and news outlets and therefore reach and ability to inform and guide public opinion has dramatically deteriorated since 2016 or maybe a little before. Almost all my American friends turn to foreign or online news sources for unbiased opinion.
And again I raise a UK incident.... where a women quoted rapper lyrics on social media and was arrested. I don't like Russia but enough with the hypocrisy
Oh look, total russian fiction. What a lousy troll.......
Ridiculous false equivalence. Honestly, that's laughable.
@@ATPGeo oh please do tell. You only find it "ridiculous" because it doesn't support your commentary and we all know your ego can't handle that. The fact is over 3000 people from the UK were arrested for social media comments. I agree Russia is no saint, but it's clear the west are also just as bad. That said, by all means please justify this for me.
😂 Laughable indeed!
@@boogiewoogie9770 yes you are, child
Them dome like buildings are on an airfield Normally housing private planes