Ukraine War: What the West Doesn't Understand
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- čas přidán 1. 03. 2022
- What western military analysts miss and we track the Russian invasion minute by minute. Follow Chris Cappy: / cappyarmy
Day 7 of the Russian invasion and Kyiv hasn't fallen yet but the Russian regular forces are changing their strategy.
Using a live update open source intelligence tool we can track the Russian military in real time.
liveuamap.com is the website used for open source intel.
www.researchgate.net/publicat...
Discord invite: / discord
inquiries: capelluto@taskandpurpose.com
#WAR #UKRAINE #UPDATE - Zábava
Thanks for watching Spare Parts Army. follow me for live updates instagram.com/cappyarmy
I know some of this information in this video won't be what people want to hear but I feel obligated to say what I believe is happening. I hope you want to hear honest assessments. I hope we are all interested in challenging our view points, myself included.
If you take the amount of Russian Combat Vehicles Available for the Campaign, the amount of loses they can suffer before Pressured to leave (example Afganistan) and the Amount of Ukrainian Combatants and Molotov Cocktails, in Mass Human Waves of Molotov Cocktails they'll win that War of Attrition...
the WILL to fight is almost always the primary determinate of victory ✌️ - advantage to the incredible WILL of the UKRAINIAN PEOPLE as russia may cause enormous damage via shelling
Cappy can you answer why USA attacked IRAQ and killed 170k peoples.
SYRIA, AFGANISTAN, VIETNAM?
THE TRUTH IS THAT, WESTERN MEDIA IS SHOWING SO MUCH RACISM ON LIVE TV[ SEE TELEGRAPH] FOR EVIDENCE
THEY ARE FELLING SORROW BECAUSE WHITE EUROPEAN ARE BEING KILLED.
hey, can you explain this: if everyone knows were the convoy is... why they don't just obliterate them from the air
Pray for Taiwan.
I make jokes in these videos because if I didn't I would be paralyzed with anger and fear. I make jokes to cope and its basically the only healthy way I know how to deal with stress. I make jokes to hide behind my disbelief that a world war could break out in my life time. I hope you understand where I am coming from and what my intentions are.
Completely understandable. It’s what’s comedy is for, to take the ugly shit and make us be able to look back and laugh.
Same
its ok cappy we are coo with it. focus on your self g.
Could put the recording date in the thumbnail or something? Just thinking of when these vids are inevitably used years from now in some history class, it might be nice. Unless the upload date and record date are the same.
Witness me papi cappy
By far, by far, the most insightful and honest assessments. Gallows humour helps us stay sane under crazy circumstances (and we have been doing it for millennium). Plz keep doing what you are doing. So many of us appreciate it.
And he is unbiased too, no blindly believing videos or statistics from twitter and such.
Just hijacking this to say, I've watched every captured soldier video I've been able to find, about 30, in the original, without translation, and they are 100% telling the truth, sometimes between tears. Almost to a man they were told they were just doing exercises. There were even two VDV paratroopers who were loaded up under the pretense of military exercises, then airdropped in the middle of Ukraine. It took them 4 hours to figure out where they were. That they would treat even their trained paratroopers this way is kind of mind-blowing. I really do think the Fyre Festival parallel is an interesting one. Add to that several levels of deception, and years of corruption and degradation of the armed forces, and this situation maybe starts to make sense.
EDIT: I want to amend this comment, as I've now seen signed consent forms for "completing military objectives on foreign territories" signed 02/21/22. I am still very inclined to believe them. The language is vague and they were probably just lined up and told to sign, most probably didn't bother to even read it.
They were told to kill civilians, no more pows. My opinion.
Moreover, people now hate Belarusian because these russian fascists attacking Ukraine from our territory. But people of Belarus remember their railway wars ww2 experience and destroyed railway automatic system . That's affected Russia supply and slowed them down. Please take into account that and tell people of the world. Thank you. From people of Belarus
THIS! Cappy you're the best. Keep it up!
Agreed.
14:00 Hearing a vet talk about having to take this stance, dealing with the fear and pain and trying to be productive through it. I feel like this was important even for those who weren't asking.
I'm not a vet but my job takes me to some dark places. You learn that if you can't laugh or make fun of any situation then life is just that bit darker.
@@Negativvv the best way of dealing with fear and being pinned down and hesitant to act under fire is to laugh at the situation. For me it really helped
It's called dark humor. I first learned of it from a detective I knew. Never allow family near the crime scene when the detectives are there. The dark humor is a psychological defensive devise. You described it well. I was an Air Force officer during the cold war. I was never close to anyplace people were being shot at. I have loads of dark humor anyway. I will never forget the day I first inventoried my mobility bags. The first was helmet and mostly camping gear. The second was cold weather gear for the artic, the third was chemical warfare gear. It was a cold slap in the face that things were real.
I'm interested in the jokes detectives say.
As Stalin once said: "Dark humor is like food. Not everybody gets it."
Now I feel like an awful person for laughing at that , look what you made me do lol
@@Taskandpurpose Welcome to the club.
this is also another dark humour joke😂😂😂
@@Taskandpurpose You said there are no footages of the Russian side. But there are. This channel shows the Mariupol cauldron
czcams.com/video/s4-zYV_6Tgk/video.html
@@hegemonycricket9549 he never said that
Great work here man. Pointed use of Open Source Intelligence. Thanks for keeping us informed
oh god is this becoming an 'ordinary thing'?
@@TotallyNotChris_ god no lol
Oh shit i just found your channel, love your work man, i bored the shit out of my girlfriend talking to her about coffee and beds because of you😂
War is becoming an ordinary thing.
Can’t wait for your 2022 year reflection
Your channel is one of the few with real, detailed, well researched information. that I can bear to watch. I grew up under war in Rhodesia. War is horrible. Humour is a sign of intelligence and the only thing that can make the sad news bearable, Thank You!!
Coming from a 40 yo middle class plumber these videos are extremely helpful. Most people outside of the military have absolutely no clue how war works . Most are used to respawning back in the next round, but this here is life there are no second chances no chance to revive your team bleeding to death on the ground where they hop back up without a scratch. You get into some really deep physics and reality of war. I appreciate you and have subscribed. Keep it up !
For a so called "average infantryman" you're providing more insightful and useful analysis about this war than those retired military dinosaurs that are being wheeled out onto the TV news shows.
Indeed a lot of propaganda and disinformation going out by these so called “Generals” and “Defence Secretaries”. Talking about Russia losing the war already less than week or so into the invasion.
The only way to get accurate news today is in OSINT spaces. Try Walter Lekh's space on twitter, voice panel going 24/7 with ppl on the ground in Ukraine and vetted top experts in related fields.
The truth of war exists on the battle field.
The difference between doing research and hungry for knowledge, and those egotistic blowhards resting on their laurels. Generals are pretty much politicians anyways.
AMEN TO THAT!!!!!! THAT GOES TO SHOW HOW MEDIA IS NOTHING MORE THEN LIES FED TO PEOPLE TO KEEP THEM BLIND!!! IF YOU WANT THE TRUTH YOU SHOULD SEEK IT. LIKE WE ARE IN THIS CHANEL, THE MEDIA THEY WANT YOU TO SEE SO BAD IS 99% FAKE , MISLEADING, LIES, OR EVEN STAGED, .... I PREFER THE TRUTH EVEN IF ITS BITTER!!!! THANK YOU FOR THAT 👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍
Here's an bullet point for your NCOER: This quality content you and the team are sharing is beyond the standard. Promote ahead of peers.
@ANTI I think both are useful in getting an understanding of the situation. This illustrates why they're making the decisions they are making, and Lazer explains how that is causing problems.
Recommend for OCS.
- Nix'd UR/RUS intel; managed 460k prsnl training/cert'd in CW2/critical analysis f/JCA--Ambassador for foreign policy
Exceeded most, if not all, standards
Nope....you do not reward a grunt who learned to walk upright.
@@cyberpunkalphamale 3 Day pass? How about a CQ shift slapped in the middle of that.
Im retired military and have multiple combat tours so I say go ahead with your humor- one of the many reasons I watch! You are a breath of fresh air and very informative
Man what a relief to finally find this channel I have been trying to follow what's going on over there now I truly believe I have found someone who knows what is really happening, thank you so much
I am from Kharkiv.
1. Everything you said is very sad, but very interesting and informative.
2. I am not offended by your humor. Because I, like most people in Ukraine, are well aware that under the bombardments, sometimes, only humor allows you to protect your mind from neuroses.
3. If we reduce the maximum values of Russian propaganda and Ukrainian propaganda, it turns out that Ukraine suffered several times less military losses than the Russians. I am very happy that at last, at least in something, we in some way, we came to an agreement with the Russians😁👌
Thank you for your work.
On the point 3 you may be right but you should relativise. Russia has knocked out most of Ukrainian air force, if not all of it by now. Most of Ukrainian tanks are destroyed already, and Russian logistics have started to reach deeply into Ukrainian territory. By shear numbers, it may be true that the amount of tanks Russia has lost is more than Ukrainians, but that's just because it had a lot more tanks to begin with, and the losses are insignificant compared to what they still have left.
This reminds me of when nato bombed Serbia. Serbs were all like, yes we gave resistance to NATO, shot down the invisible stealth and what not, but at the end they still came and took Kosovo away from them.
Because you said you're in Ukraine, can you tell me please what are peoples thoughts of Ukrainian president prior to Russian invasion, and thoughts on Azov militia?
Your country reminds me of Yugoslavia in early 90s,when America, Germany and others implemented spies, politicians, puppets to dismentle the country from within so later they can come in and occupy everything "democratically" aka money and corruption.
Stay safe!
@@julienckjm7430 . I don't know where you got this information from, but it's false. We started the first days of the war with much fewer armored vehicles than now, and almost no aircraft at all. For example, I know for certain that warehouses with military equipment of the Ukroboronprom concern (those that escaped the bombing) began to open no more than two days ago. now our equipment is being reopened from warehouses, and captured enemy equipment is being brought to the deployment of our troops.
2. So far, everything here is not as desperate as it might seem from the outside (at least for this period of time) For example, a couple of days ago, when I and a few other guys went to the recruiting station, we were refused because we were told that now the Ukrainian army does not need ordinary infantrymen at the moment, there is no shortage of them, now the army needs technical specialists. So not in all, but in some aspects, we are now in a better condition than on the first day of the war.
3. Yes, strategically, everything is sad with us, but I'm not going to despair and lie down alive in the grave because of this. There will be a hundred more moments, a hundred opportunities, when everything can change for the worse and for the better for us. We just need to try to be careful and do everything on time.
@@user-oj4ll2bf6k It's so saddening to read this, I just hope the negotiation are carried out and end this war as quickly as possible.
But I still really think that Ukraine doesn't stand any chance. I don't understand why Zelinsky didn't agree to a neutral strategy between West and East. Kind of like Finland. Was it that bad as a deal?
As someone who up until now had zero interest in military topics I just want to say thanks, your coverage is the only perspective that makes sense and doesn't seem hugely contrived.
This is some of the best information on the Ukraine war I have listened to. Thanks so much for keeping it real.
Oh hello i am studying english online
be my friend
Fox news!
@@investigativeoutcomes9343 you mean that crappy news station that pretends to be fair and balanced but in the end is just as bad as CNN Or MSNBC! Might as well each pbs!
@@Huva34 yes, that one, and that one too, oh and lets not forget that one, you little sheep are to many, time for the wolves to feast, this is going to be biblical. 🐑🐑🐑 🍴🐺
Chris amazing content that explains the situation in such a way even everyday people who have never served in any military can understand.
Excellent breakdown as always.
Btw, fuck anyone who ever questions the ability to joke at things. The darker the topic, the more humor is needed to lighten us up.
glad to see you here comrade papa klash, i live in Libya and if we don't joke about our situation, all we have is dread and that isnt a good thing for your mental health.
and im sure you would have the same attitude if it was americans dying? unless....
Shame on you
@Four Shore I did. You have to, or else you won't be able to function anymore from despair and depression. The human mind can only take so much.
If you think that's bad, look at the medical community. Their humor is dark and offensive, even worse than the militaries. You think doctors and medical staff aren't talking shit behind your back; you are sadly mistaken.
Great to see a comment from you in the wild on a video that I truly appreciated. Makes me even more happy to have subbed to you.
Finally! Someone bringing actual warfare doctrine and methodology into the conversation. A LOT of opinions flying around without any basis in actual combat operations knowledge. Keep it up Cappy!
Retired generals on TV seem to know whats going to happen. They've all predicted that Ukraine will eventually fall to Russia
Путин освободил Украину которую захватили нацисты. Это делала Украина в течении 8 лет: czcams.com/video/8veOzd39VWI/video.html&lc=Ugx7ihVSqIRSxRI3mn54AaABAg.9YrtymkJsjr9Yu-GnegHNG&ab_channel=Grishanov
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За Россию! За победу! За всех кто с нами!
@Драгољуб Лазаревић Russia might fall soon.
But perhaps not *during* the war....
Incredibly well done. MSM needs this analysis. I’m glad you clarified and toned down the wise ass lines. We need more like ya
Saw your content on All In with Chris Hayes. Congratulations! You are doing amazing work!
As a fellow vet...
"If you're laughing you're not crying. If you're crying, you can't work. You need to work. So laugh."
I will follow this advice thank you
You have the balls to say how the war is actually going. No sugar-coating, no western or Ukrainian bias, just the factual truth. And as saddening as it is to hear how the Russian war machine is just getting started l, it is nice to hear your take as a vet and not show favoritism to either side. This is by far the best analysis I've seen of the conflict. Kudos on the good research!
Ukraine and Russia are brother nations. Zelensky chose war rhetoric instead of talking peace with Putin. He thought other nations were going to fight for him. Zelensky shutdown 8 news stations that reported anything wrong against him and arrested his political opposition. Plus Kyiv chief of police Vadym Troyan is a Nazi and supports the Azov and Aydar battalion that wears SS insignia. I wouldn't not be surprised if Svoboda isn't involved. Ukraine was bombing it's own shelling 600+ explosions so Donbass ppl had to flee to Russia. I don't know what type of Democracy this is but it's not American. I'm glad US soldiers lives are not part of this mess. America won the Nazis we don't need to be helping them. Just saying
@@DavidRodriguez-er4rq Must be a cozy job, being a russian troll. Hope you get paid in rouble :3
@@lordearthwormjim Double sting, because Ruble has plummeted in value by 30% I believe. Very based.
@@DavidRodriguez-er4rq Very true, fucking poroshenko and his war criminal ass.
Anyone who sees the disarray the Ukrainians are in and how the Russians are going in the south and east know, there is no way for the Ukrainians to defend everywhere. I have already stated that the Ukrainians would be lucky if they could hold on to Kiev for 2 weeks into the war.
Love your insights cappy. I'll keep watching for your new uploads.
I like that you said the Russian army could've been telling their soldiers to say what they're saying. I had also thought that. It could actually be the case.
Same here, glad I'm not alone. I also thought that perhaps he put locator beacons(chips) in the soldiers and told them to "give up" so they can later track all the pow camps.
If they really thought, that they were on a training exercise, they wouldn't be stealing bank cash dispensers, chickens from peoples houses, break in to tec stores and grocery stores. It sure sounds like it was something they were told to say.
What I don't understand is why they would be told to say that? What purpose would that serve?
@@visassess8607 to give the enemy false confidence.
@@visassess8607 Could be many reasons, maybe they wont blow your head off, maybe they really was told it was just an exercise cause putin was thinking that if he put a 40mile convoy on the highway headed for Kyiv, that Zelenskyj would give up! Who knows
My granny lived throught WWII in Germany. She had been a teen back then. She used to tell us many stories of short, but happy moments. These happy moments gave people hope. And hope makes you not give up. So when you have to live through bad times and you don't know how long they will last: Cherish every time you can laugh. It might give you the strength to survive long enough to see truly good times again.
sounds like your granny had a good time
She was wounded when she fell off a watch tower
My Oma as well. Born in 1928 and still here. Came to Murica a few years after the war.
This is the kind of analysis/reports that everyone needs, non bias, no accusation, no BULLSHITS. Just simple yet profound analysis. WELL DONE.
Its a nice opinion but its clear Russia has failed most of their aims and its becomming chaotic
Very well done. Your insights are great.
@@chrissi.enbyYT He gives compelling reasons for why that's not the case
@@chrissi.enbyYT If you believe that Ukraine has a fighting chance in the next phase 2 of Russias Invasion. I would say to not get your hopes up mate, Ukrainian Special Forces are dying from Normal Cannon Fodder Russians, and that says alot. Trust me, I want Ukraine to possibly take independence from Russia for good and establish itself as a force to be reckoned with. But you have to realize there's just too many Russian forces compared to Ukrainian forces the only way Ukraine is winning this is if they either get NATO troops to assist in the war or by some miracle outlast the entire Russian Army which are both highly unlikely to happen. Ukraine defeat is inevitable im sorry to say.
Non bias? You're kidding right? All i heard was non-stop Russian bashing instead of actual neutral reporting.
This is so interesting. Please keep the updates coming! Dayli would be fantastic, but I understand how this would be time consuming and difficult. Awesome stuff.
Love the video and your humor. Well at least 5% of it. People that have never dealt with horror can’t understand how you have to laugh at it to get through it. Keep it up.
As a former US Infantryman with a familiarity of the Slavic landscape I really appreciate the level headed approach to your explanations. Once again CZcams proves to be a better tool for understanding complex warfare over East and West televised propaganda.
Comparing propaganda between Russia and the West is dishonest really
@@tomwhitworth1560 the West's is frankly just a propaganda machine. Russia's might be too, but the West's is the cream of propaganda.
A friend has been watching Russian TV because he has The Dish. Says it's a real hoot.
@@tomwhitworth1560 It's impossible to say, since officially, in both spheres of information, there is no propaganda on the friendly side and the enemy side is all propaganda which has no information that can be useful
@@SL92018 russian Has Just laughable high levels of Propaganda on their tv
Cappy, As a former Marine (0341) served in Vietnam and a retread 11D40 scout who served with the 11th ACR at OP Alfa on the old East German border for two years. Your analysis is spot on. Don't let the armchair warriors get you down. Operating vehicles in that climate is a challenge. They break down and use a lot more fuel than one would expect. My M113 or M114 would move a walking pace when off road. We were up against the 8th Mechanized Rifles, Order of Lenin Divison and doubt they had any better time. The logistics are everything in this type of maneuvering. Have you seen many vehicle recovery vehicles? Similar to heavy duty tow trucks or M88 type vehicle. You channel has the best coverage. Keep it up.
I was an Amtracker in the Marines, I agree, off the roads the terrain is tough. Even on tracked vehicles.
Tanks get gallons per mile, not miles per gallon. This war will get bad before it gets worse.
Welcome home @760raduran
"We were up against the 8th Mechanized Rifles, Order of Lenin Divison..."
But you said you were Vietnam War vet, not a WW2 vet (which would make you a German vet having fought against the Russians in WW2). Even after WW2 they basically stationed in Estonia, not East Germany.
I think your bot algorithm mixed up databases.
@@harryshuman9637 Maybe he meant 8th Guards Army, also Order of Lenin.
Stumbled across your channel, great content
Unfortunately, probably the best and most insightful video of your CZcams carrier. Please keep them coming. Cheers!
The very reason we laugh is to cope mentally with demanding situations. Just like you, without making jokes, I would go insane pretty quickly, as it becomes overwhelming. I also salute you for being one of the most informative and sober analysts of this war ATM. And you have knowledge of the background and geopolitics as well. Great work, and mixing humor with information is better than the blatant propagandist fearmongering and warmongering MSM serves! Keep up your good work! Thanks from Norway
I knew a lot of people just bieng horrible, in mali we found a group of women and children executed in a village and that one dude found it funny, sometimes people are just sadists and whatever their problem is. So it really kinda depends on the person.
Ukraine and Russia are brother nations. Zelensky chose war rhetoric instead of talking peace with Putin. He thought other nations were going to fight for him. Zelensky shutdown 8 news stations that reported anything wrong against him and arrested his political opposition. Plus Kyiv chief of police Vadym Troyan is a Nazi and supports the Azov and Aydar battalion that wears SS insignia. I wouldn't not be surprised if Svoboda isn't involved. Ukraine was bombing it's own shelling 600+ explosions so Donbass ppl had to flee to Russia. I don't know what type of Democracy this is but it's not American. I'm glad US soldiers lives are not part of this mess. America won the Nazis we don't need to be helping them. Just saying
@@DavidRodriguez-er4rq That's ridiculous. The Ukraine pock-marked faced man was a Russian puppet and the golden girl with braids had some questionable friends, so all of Ukraine politicians are not angels, but Zelensky is far from being a war-monger like Putin. As for "brother nations" the Jews and Arabs largely believe in the same God, but they fight each other anyway.
@@DavidRodriguez-er4rq Good point of view. People listen to the media and don't want to think for themselves.
They make headlines that Putin is crazy instead of looking at the whole situation.
I am not a fan of Putin and do not want war, but there are objective reasons for this invasion.
For 20 years, Russia has been trying to get closer to the EU, trying to join NATO or create an analogue of a defense union for the whole of Europe. It has always been denied.
As a result, Europe has received a powerful country that cooperates more with China than with the West.
And the borders of NATO are approaching close to the Russian ones. Everyone remembers what happened when the USSR placed missiles in Cuba.
It is a pity only for the civilian population, which became a victim of this war.
@@raylopez99 forcing (not asking) all men of fighting age to fight, regardless of their experience I'm combat, as well as forcing Indians and Africans on visas and exchange students to stay and fight while you get ethnic Ukrainians out...well, that gives some credence to some of what he says. Especially the fact that western media isn't even reporting the behavior of Ukraine towards these foreigners. Only stuff that makes them look good.
I need Ukraine war updates daily, pls upload everyday
I've considered doing it every day but I think it might work best if I put out updates every few days so I'm packing them with as much information as possible and I can sift through a few days worth of reports to find the most verified intelligence
Look up the youtuber Rimmy, and join his discord. We have a satellite gathering imagery every now and again, plus we have Ukrainians and Russians gathering info for us. Rimmy has done a couple information sorting/correction streams now, and plans to do one a week until the conflict is over.
@@Taskandpurpose maybe asking for daily upload is too much. Take your time sir👍
You earned yourself a sub by actually having a good fundamental understanding of what is going on.
Wow, one of the best tactical explanations of what's happening in Ukraine right now, hands down. Thank you!...Subscribed.
I've given you both praise and criticism before and i gotta say. This video is excellently done rhetorically and you've given off the most balanced views I've heard yet with explaining the other side's actual viewpoint instead of saying why they are wrong. Keep it up! Your channel isn't the only thing growing. You are too mate.
thank you, I appreciate that. I always welcome criticism it's what has helped guide me and accepting it has helped me grow as a person. Hopefully we can all commiserate here over what's happening.
@@Taskandpurpose A question for you, If the Russians and Ukrainians are both using Russian made tanks how can we be sure who's tanks are being destroyed. After all a can of white paint and a paint brush whala you have a russian tank.
@@Taskandpurpose go go murica ;) its a joke . nwo finally eat You on dinner its no joke ;) hahahha
Literally the only rational analysis I've seen on Russia's tactics so far. Nice job.
I was really glad to see his videos when all this started. So informative
This and s2 underground
Even s2 is not really good on logistic aspect of this
You are the man. More knowledgeable than most and sometimes more modest than you should be. I appreciate you and your efforts to keeping us informed. God bless
you've earned a sub, looking forward to growing my perspective analysis skills with your videos.
Glad to hear an assessment that actually takes into account the fact that deception exist/ is a valuable tool in war. Thanks Cappy, for not being an idiot. One of a rare few.
There's millions of people that are aware of deception propaganda on both sides and the story of both sides. You just don't see them shouting out loud in the comments. On both sides. But to say those are far and few between in focusing on what you see in youtube comments and media and is absolutely not representative of the reality of the opinion of people on both sides.
Deception is a necessity for military success most of the time. While Russia makes a big show of force approaching Kiev from the north, they will race down the eastern side of country to capture territory to connect with Crimea. The people on the peninsula have a lack of water, energy, and other things that will be fixed once it is geographically connected with the rest of Russian territory.
Also it is clear that Putin is going to push it as far as he captures the entire Ukrainian territory despite the lost human lives, that is part of the Russian doctrine that the westerns doesn't understand. It's very similar situation between the Ukrainian war and the Vietnam war, the Vietcong have lost almost 20 times more soldiers than the American army, but they didn't care, and continue to fight.
@@renanvinicius6036 That's because America was mostly just assisting the south Vietnamese. Losses in engagements between the NVC and the AVRN were closer to 1.25-1.5 to 1. America was supporting another military that was doing most of the fighting and dying. The VC kept a pretty even score.
@@stuf2201 yes, it also does make sense. But other examples to be made, it's for example de second world war, when the soviets had heavy losses and then still advancing towards Germany. Also the Korean war, when China intervene when the west was conquering the territory from North Korea and then the chineses achieved its goal of pushing the west back sacrificing its army.
I love how Cappy teaches me way more about this Ukrainian Russian war than any news channel ever could.
Have you checked out S2 Underground as well?
@@akseminole no I haven’t. I’d like to check it out though
@Alien Wanderer you’re totally right.
Great analysis and break down of this war. Keep up the good work you’re doing!
As a Veteran of the Cold War, Desert Storm, GWOT, and Aghanistan I sincerely can appreciate your insightful attempts at coping with the atrocities that are unfolding in the now and the days ahead. Make sure to get some fresh air and decompress as you go through this. Politicians be damned; this needs to stop! It's frustrating as hell to have to witness!
What is GWOT?
When you were in those wars did you feel same way ("this needs to stop"). Not trying to be disrespectful, just curious.
I trust Cappy's coverage more than anything else right now.
Everything else i see is Western perspective , emotional uninformed..
better than listening to the "other" Crappy guy
Honestly though
This and speak the truth podcast
You seem to lost the point of his message then, trusting only a single or one sided source will miscontrue your views on the reality of things. The man himself is humble enough to point out that he may be wrong on the things he adumbrated.
For some perspective - the last time the Russians came through this area in 1943, just for the Battle of Kharkov alone, they committed 350,000 troops, and took 45,000 kia and about 40,000 wounded. Defending SS Pz Korps with 120,000 troops took around 5,000 kia and 10,000 other losses.
Operation lasted from 19 February - 15 March 1943
The SS Pz Korps ignored orders to surround Kharkov, and just went head first into taking it in a street fight. Because, you know - thats just how they roll.
... this led to the big battle at Kursk.
A couple of months later in August 1943, the Russians hit back at Kharkhov with, get this :
- 1.2 million men
- 2500 tanks
- 12,000 artillery pieces
German remnant defenders - 200,000 men with 200 tanks
It took 20 days to take Kharkov and drive towards the Dniepr and Donbass.
The Russians took 200,000 casualties, and lost 1800 tanks retaking Kharkov. (thats 10,000 casualties per day, and 100 tanks lost - just to take that 1 city)
Germans took another 30,000 casualties, and lost all their tanks. all gone.
The Russians then rolled on the Dniepr, where a "big battle" was going to develop around the Cherkassy pocket.
Absolute hell on earth, and that was just a couple of pages out of a very big book that was the Eastern Front of WW2.
You cant understand the Russian side in this conflict without comprehending that most Russian soldiers over there are wading neck deep through the blood of their ancestors with every step they take. Same with the Ukrainians.
When we deploy overseas, we take with us our technology, our training, and our history. But we have never had to fight over ground that our grandparents were torn to pieces on. You need to comprehend this when crunching the numbers on this fight.
@bLackstar I suspect this is probably a bigger reason - even comparing to averting thermonuclear war - that NATO isn't in a rush to actively assist Ukraine. Would just make them look bad. :P
@bLackstar The Iraqi army was the fifth largest in the world pre-Desert Storm. Didn't stop the coalition forces from eradicating them. Not to mention guerilla warfare is usually more taxing than a conventional one.
Eastern front battles could be considered wars on their own
Well said sir.
@bLackstar true, they are not fighting farmers, but the point is they will send more and overwhelm regardless.
14:03 that was some unexpected honesty, delivered in a genuine way. I thought it was gonna be a cringey apology. But you managed to apologize, open up about yourself, and state your motivation behind your commentary in an unapologetic, healthy way that was beneficial to you, and the rest of us.
We can’t let ourselves linger in that dark mindset of war, pain, and suffering. We need to keep our ability to smile, and laugh.
I think that is something most civilians don’t learn. But those who deployed, whether soldiers or civilians in support operations know the importance of not letting your minds linger in the darkness. I think people like us have leaned not to sweat the small stuff, and have learned it’s healthier to keep our sense of humor, and try to find joy in even the darkest times.
Cheers Cappy.
Thanks for the info. Very informative and easy to follow. Thanks for putting in the work on this video and in the field. Subscribed
In Soviet Russia , we don't defeat you. We just keep sending in tanks and armored vehicles until you run out of anti-tank missiles.
Which is why Russia is going to sustain 6 figure casualties in this war
@@bradenmchenry995 And its why every country in the west is sending ungodly amounts of guns and ammo to the Ukrainians
Yeah, sure, Ukraine will win.
if so, then it's a war of attrition, will the West run out of money before Russia runs out of men?
Its funny how you guys keep drinking that cold war era koolaid, ignoring the fact that in ww2 soviet union faced the most advanced, most experienced army in the world at the time, who brought best units and the never seen before tactics to the battlefield. But hey, i cant blame you, you grew up on movies like Enemy at the Gates =))
Your assessments have been a beacon of realism amidst all of the propaganda. Keep doing EXACTLY what you’re doing. People need to see and understand this.
Yes - the Russian military isn't the laughing stock it is usually painted as. We (in the west) look at them with our views of technological superiority and aversion against own dead soldiers. Russia has always fought with huge losses in soldiers/civilians/infrastructure/economy and is ready to endure them (think about Napoleons invasion or both world wars). They rather wield a war hammer than a florett.
The military experts I've heard (mainly BBC World Service, CNN, various German news outlets) so far tend to fall into the category Chris Cappy argues against. A notable exceptions is Hans-Lothar Domröse, a former German general and chief of Allied Joint Force Command Brunssum in the 2010s. His hearty comments are not the 'dominant opinion', but that doesn't seem to bother him in the slightest.
I think propoganda is fair game, as it is part of the game of war. Gotta convince your allies that you are winning to get more to join up for glory. Both sides do it. I think we are never more dishonest than when we are at war.
Thank you Cappy for the explaining, your view of the situation on the ground, the possible insight in Russian military thinking (never thought that they still in WW2 tactics but in a crude way - losses are less important - it makes bloody sense) - and for the humor.
Your coverage is frankly brilliant guy. There’s clearly a straight talking way and thoughtful process to your assessments. Best and most in depth breakdown I’ve seen so far on the war
Nice to see someone who actually knows what they’re talking about analyze this situation. So many people who have no idea what they’re talking spew their opinions with no factual basis.
It has been very difficult to tell how many of these "experts" in the media understand Russian tactics. It seemed very strange to me that Putin would go off half-cocked on a military operation. It doesn't seem like most of them have actually invested the time to look into large research treatise and theses on Russian warfare. I've been watching about 5 different news agencies from different places in the world and none have brought up this documentation mentioned here in this video. In particular the 416 page report on Russian open warfare and the battle plans dating from Jan 8, which both are very convincing evidence that Russia hasn't been significantly deterred, and that most things are actually according to plan. I think our media is definitely playing us, and making the situation seem more hopeful than it actually is. I get why, good morale all around may help turn the tide, but it isn't looking good.
@@TheYgds I think part of the mistake by most armchair pundits is that this current fight is not what historically was planned or expected from the Warsaw Pact during the Cold War. A two week at most dash to the Rhein was the expectation back then; IMO this prevailing attitude is simply a perfect example of the old adage, "Generals are always fighting based on their last war", so likewise, people engaging in analysis see through the prism of similar expectations.
Search up speak the truth they are doing a good job as well breaking everything down.
FAKE News deliberately chooses those people to steer the narrative and support the politics of treachery.
I must say, your analysis of the situation in Ukraine is the most realistic I have seen or heard. It shows that they are using standard Russian tactics which I saw from the beginning. A few years back I meet a young Russian officer who had Immigrated to the US and had become a truck driver. He and I had a nice long talk about Russian and American battle tactics it was a very enlightening experience.
I would’ve loved to talk to him about those tactics. IMO, it’s very interesting to know how other militaries function.
This channel was a solid find. Keep up the good work
You make really good and honest videos, that is why i watch and follow you.
Keep up the good work 👍
Cappie getting real about how he deals with war is one of the reasons I love his analyses of this war. He truly understands what the stakes are, which very few mainstream sources do.
I'm even more impressed that he has all of this already written out and posted on the video before the videos even made public
Well your trying to give analysis, but I don't think you grasp certain things, like for example you sit there like the rest of the world and you hear that the Russian soldiers have said that they were told it was a training exercise and you added that that might be Ukrainian propaganda. I haven't heard one person who gave analysis explain why Russian troops were being told that it was an exercise. Now let's see if this makes sense to you, over several months they were accumulating troops and vehicles, not to mention the countless number of logistics involved, now for several months you're going to have upwards of 140-150 thousand troops waiting and waiting, don't these troops have cell phones, don't they have mothers fathers Brothers sisters girlfriends. If you told them that they were going to go to war in Ukraine, first they would be broadcasting it all over the place, there goes your element of surprise and secondly it would give them a chance to talk amongst themselves and maybe dessert if they found out what the mission was.
So in recap they were told that they were on a training exercise then once they were told to roll out and part way into Ukraine they were told what the mission was.
End of conversation.
Man, there are like a lot of russian and ukrainian telegram channels posting hundreds of videos every day almost live.
Thanks you Task and Purpose for your great content once again 👍
Thanks for this. I was starting to get my hopes irrationally up, but it's always good to take a level-headed look at how things really are, not how you would want them to be.
Dam, it's got to be hard to recruit or conscript motivated Russian soldiers when their doctrine involves taking heavy casualties.
What did Patton say?
"The object of war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his"
I always agree with that sentiment. As an army your greatest investment is your soldiers, you don't want to lose them. Fight smart, not hard.
Well the conscripts dont get a choice and they tend to be the ones sacrificed afaik.
Well your trying to give analysis, but I don't think you grasp certain things, like for example you sit there like the rest of the world and you hear that the Russian soldiers have said that they were told it was a training exercise and you added that that might be Ukrainian propaganda. I haven't heard one person who gave analysis explain why Russian troops were being told that it was an exercise. Now let's see if this makes sense to you, over several months they were accumulating troops and vehicles, not to mention the countless number of logistics involved, now for several months you're going to have upwards of 140-150 thousand troops waiting and waiting, don't these troops have cell phones, don't they have mothers fathers Brothers sisters girlfriends. If you told them that they were going to go to war in Ukraine, first they would be broadcasting it all over the place, there goes your element of surprise and secondly it would give them a chance to talk amongst themselves and maybe dessert if they found out what the mission was.
So in recap they were told that they were on a training exercise then once they were told to roll out and part way into Ukraine they were told what the mission was.
End of conversation.
Yep you're not doing anybody any good dead, except the enemy. It's kinda like the Russians never evolved tactics from ww1 and 2.
"Quantity has a quality of it's own"
I mean hey, this philosophy won them Stalingrad.
They aren’t recruited, they are forced to be a part of the army
Making jokes and laughing at terrible moments is one of the few ways of dealing with what is happening.Your bud describing use of booby traps is on point.
Been watching a few of your videos and I have to say I am impressed with your thorough analysis of this conflict.
I want that shirt with the Jack on it. Really enjoying your videos. You give perspectives not seen or heard elsewhere and make it make sense. Thanks for all you do.
You shouldn’t have to defend your humor. Most people who ask things like this will never understand what you went through. Keep doing your thing.
Its for that very reason it is worth making a note of where it comes from. Many people who are watching this situation have no frame of reference to understand.
I too wish it wasn't necessary to point out the origin of the gallows humor. Furthermore, i wish it wasn't necessary for gallows humor in the first place ie, this wasn't happening.
He is not defending it, he is explaining it, and I think he is smart to do so.
Honestly, your analysis of the war in Ukraine is the best I have seen so far in the internet. Much better than those presented by the mainstream media. Keep up with the good work.
It took the MSM what three days to start reporting the war at least on all the social media I use.
I enjoy all of your insights on tactical military maneuvers!
You do an amazing job. This is much more informative than network news.
That convoy looks like an A-10 pilot's dream come true.
Yeah! I'm just confused on why that highway hasn't been cratered beyond repair.
That A-10 looks like an SA-11 Gadfly operator dream come true :)
Yeah, been a lot of reports of gun runs by the Ukrainian air force, and one decent run could wipe out weeks of materials
That convoy likely contains anti-aircraft systems that can bite back, unlike the situation in Desert Storm.
An A-10 is a happy meal for an Su-35 in the sky.
Chis, i really appreciate ur humour and honesty about how u feel about the whole situation. i grew up in Russia with my closest friends there and relatives living in Ukraine (thankfully away from the war zones so far...) where i used to spent summer days in my childhood... and i feel my sanity slowly buckling under pressure. so i really struggle to express just much ur approach means to me atm. please keep it up!
Great video. Much better overview and analysis than main stream media. Keep them coming.
We need Ep 4...it's been 3 days since ep3. Great job. Keep this real news coming. Thanks
Actually explaining how Russians fight on the large scale helps put everything into perspective. Something lots of people only know in general terms and ideas instead of it all on a whiteboard
Your videos are on point. As someone that's grown up in a military family, lived my entire life surrounded by it, reading books, this guy hasn't said a damn thing out of 3 videos I can safely say I disagree with. Well done buddy and thanks for serving.
I am a new subscriber watching this after month and a half Apr 20 or 4 20 or weed time later. Anyway great pertinent information with great humour. Good Job!. You WIMPs ( War Initiated Military Personel) sure have a lot insight. All jokes aside, thank you for the excellent coverage. Slava Ukraine!
Good steady level headed reporting, keep it up Cappy.
As a long time ago infantryman, I really appreciate your analysis of the situation. As an ancient guy called Pindar once said, "War is sweet to those who have no experience of it." Refreshing to hear explanations from someone who is not pushing propaganda or waving a flag.
Never experienced war myself but those calling for it think it will be like a video or football game. Had buddies who spent breakfast with their fellow troops only to hear by dinner they were KIA. Worse stories from others ..
Cappy your understanding of the necessity to humanize the enemy and why they fight is refreshing and vital in times like these. Understanding the geopolitics will save our kids from fighting this same fight.
Best News online brotha 💯
Was an awesome post man.
That was a better analysis than 99% of the so called military experts have put out regarding intermediate Russian aims. Long term goals? We will just have to see.
Exactly! It might be not even Russian long-term goals. We live in the interesting and terrifying times.
Sooo, you think serious strategy talk would be actual in public, eh?
Putin's long term goals are to reimperialize. I did a thesis about Putin's foreign/domestic policies, increased aggressions, and what it means for the international community back in 2017.
@@michael7264 bollywood grade BS. Russia phisically cant do it. Above all, it has small core population and you absolutely cant expand much without core population. Not to mention other reasons.
Long term goal is to install a puppet government.
This is the analysis i've been waiting for. What i've been seeing and hearing hasn't been making sense, this puts it in a perspective that fits, and makes sense when dealing with a force that doesn't value its troops and material.
Agreed, makes way more sense than the whole take that Russia "doesn't know what they are doing" and was surprised by the resistance. They've been gaming out these actions for probably 30 years now, so it was always obvious that this wasn't Russia getting dominated like some are claiming.
Keep crushing 🤘 Some of the best content on platform.
Great efforts and great info. Learned something about military logistics.
Your unemotional, practical and reality based review of the situation on the ground based on what information we have is why most of us love you for the work you do. Thank you.
Man, as a civilian, it's a good thing knowing my views coincide with the analysis of an experienced soldier, about what is happening in Ukraine. From the first moment, I knew Russia would use soviet times tactics. Military doctrine doesn't change that fast.
It's true and it's going to be awful I just hope the Russians don't commit any war crimes like rape of Berlin because noone deserves that and ww3 will be the consequence.
I heard fron other sources that Russia is showing a lot of restraint. Might be propaganda, but the 330 killed civilians is low when you hear the media say all Russians do is through missiles at innocent people. Like blowing 1 apartment with people in it could kill more than that. 1 sucide bomber can kill 50 people(in Pakistantoday). So I am starting to doubt the "bombing ruthlessly innocent people" narrative.
@@aksmex2576 like that stuff in Syria? Making Russians look like total psychos? Yeah, I didn't belive that. But they are evacuating a lot of civilians, so now we are going to see some crazy sh1t.
@@gdc4736 Russian News banned. Russian Media banned. Russian Vodka banned. Russian flights banned. Russian athletes banned. Russian food banned. Russian gas banned. Unarmed Russians tortured and killed video tapped, no one cares because they are "spies and saboteurs".
Sounds like Russophobia to me. It is concerning.
@@aksmex2576 no kidding. I don't know, man, this sh1t didn't work very well whit Germany back then.
Thank you for making these videos. These are very understandable and informative. I like your honest take and the clever approach.
Dude, you are such a real one. Really helping me keep my head on straight, I can't thank you enough.
Despite the serious subject matter and the urgency to learn how each side operates, I found myself quite entertained as I'm working now. Keep it up, Chris.
Mr Cappy, your jokes are getting a lot of through some stress. Always have. There's a reason MASH existed (nearly 4 times longer than the actual war).
I for one (as I'm sure many) think youre doing an amazing job. And you actually one of my favourite comedians on YT. Keep up the great work. Much appreciated 👍🇦🇺🇺🇸
Well your trying to give analysis, but I don't think you grasp certain things, like for example you sit there like the rest of the world and you hear that the Russian soldiers have said that they were told it was a training exercise and you added that that might be Ukrainian propaganda. I haven't heard one person who gave analysis explain why Russian troops were being told that it was an exercise. Now let's see if this makes sense to you, over several months they were accumulating troops and vehicles, not to mention the countless number of logistics involved, now for several months you're going to have upwards of 140-150 thousand troops waiting and waiting, don't these troops have cell phones, don't they have mothers fathers Brothers sisters girlfriends. If you told them that they were going to go to war in Ukraine, first they would be broadcasting it all over the place, there goes your element of surprise and secondly it would give them a chance to talk amongst themselves and maybe dessert if they found out what the mission was.
So in recap they were told that they were on a training exercise then once they were told to roll out and part way into Ukraine they were told what the mission was.
End of conversation.
@@citizensusa8239 You know how I know this is a copy and paste effort? Cause either you're mentally deficient or completely ignoring that I made no comment in regards to what you are saying....
@@citizensusa8239 In a professional army every knows what the mission is and you train for it. If you have to lie to the world and betray everyone then you end up with unprepared soldiers who wonder where they are what they do any why the have to kill civilians who Putin calls their brother and sisters.
@@TorianTammas please re-read my initial comment. Then, wonder how the hell you decided to ran t my way.
Ps for accurscy's sake, I agree. Just wondering how thanking Cappy for a stress relief results in this? Wrong tree buddy.
@@TorianTammas BTW this is the second time I've asked what my comment has triggered you?
Watching this on 15/04/22. Great video.
Holy shit this is refreshing, thank you, literally just found your channel.
As a Brit got to say this man is outstanding in his interpretation and insight coming from an outstanding military on the ground hard earned experience as an infantryman as I was. You get sick of hearing I was an " elite" BS from others. Once again top man.
Walter Mitty's
Keep making jokes and analysis. I’m sure there are a lot of us former infantry / military/ LEOs appreciate it and understand completely. It’s actually uplifting instead of the constant drama bombs from the media. I’m getting a Cappy shirt now…
Absolutely agree, 25 year LEO. People would be completely offended by what we would say at death and crime scenes. It’s all to keep from loosing our minds. This guys info is better than any news channel , thank you !!!!!
@@DTMSHOW
Absolutely correct mate 👌
Previous life was no. 4626 RAuxAF Medical Reserves. Ended up being deployed to both Iraq and Afghanistan thanks to a piss-poor lack of combat medical technicians, paramedics and nurses during the early to mid 2000s. The most intense tour was Afghan' as was assigned to a Medical Emergency Response Team flight. "Gallows Humour" as we call it was/is essential for survival. It's true that just about everything has a time, a place and an audience, but (as you know full well yourself) you have to improv' and release that valve on occasions or you're gonna go "BANG!", and to be fair we already had plenty of our lads, the locals (including kids) and Tali' fighters _really_ going "BANG!" thanks to the place being littered with AP mines, IEDs, RPGs and mortars.
If I was paid a dollar for every time I heared one of the team chuckle "I gotta laugh, cos' if I don't I'll just cry." I'd be able to finally pay for a round down the pub 🤣
Agreed..ignore those that have something to say but do nothing at the moment of truth.
saying For 8 years, Ukraine has been killing its own civilians in Donbass and Lugansh (over 14,000 people killed) what did you say!? Nothing !!!
You are responsible for what is happening in Ukraine because you (NATO) have refused all the agreement proposals that Russia has proposed!!!
The war started in Ukraine 8 years ago
Thank you for understanding!!!
@@jamespickens3086 still this shits. It's quite easy...simply don't send regular troop, contractors and extremist in another territory. If you try to wrestle control from Ukraine of the two richest region of the country, of course they're gonna fight back
Thank you for the input.
So far, some of the most balanced reporting I’ve seen, good job!
Ive watched all the Generals on tv and not one mentioned RU military doctrine like this from a grunt.Ecellent observations and explanations.Keep up the work w EP 4.
Go Ukraine
The generals on TV have the job of boosting morale and make the enemies question themselves
They may not mention it, far from not being aware of it. There's what they tell us and what they know.
They are there to boost people's morale and ukraine's. Russia is breaking through now and not lost half as much as Ukraine propoganda is saying. Within 3-5 days Ukraine major cities will be surrounded and be a desperate last stand.
Why should they? Saying "we send Cannon fodder in First" is Not good Propaganda.
@@huwdavies-tallon3305 They might take much of Ukraine but can they hold it? There's no point of invading if you can't keep your gains. This all might be feeling up the enemy and see where he hard and soft as Cappy describes, but Ukraine isn't going to just bend over, especially when they know being part of Russia as it is now would be an economic and authoritarian nightmare. All of this will just hurt Putin in the long and short term.
First and foremost, thanks for this detailed and nuanced analysis.
Only one clarification on what you said on 18:40 : there are indeed jihadist separatists in Chechnya fighting alongside al-Qaeda and now ISIL, both at their country and abroad. The Chechens mobilised by Russia are those who fight AGAINST jihadists and favor keeping Chechnya as a part of the Russian federation. They are part of the regular Russian military, not a proxy, and definitely not the guys the US confronted in Iraq.
You would expect someone who claims that he has been studying Russian military for years to know such a general know thing. Ofcourse I am referring to the author of the video. Lol fail.
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Good work yet again! :)