Deadpool & Wolverine Box Office Projections Revealed
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- čas přidán 13. 06. 2024
- The TJCS crew discuss the Deadpool & Wolverine box office projections that were just released.
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Superhero fatigue isn’t the problem. Bad movies are
Thanks John campea
BINGO! Quality over quantity
Not overly surprised. This is easily the most hyped superhero movie since No Way Home.
Absolutely Superhero movie fatigue is not a thing. Mediocre movie fatigue is the issue
Exactly!
I’ll be happy if what Disney takes from this is that they have a maturing audience that is waiting to get movies targeted at them.
The caveat is that it's Deadpool and Wolverine. Everyone was gonna go see this regardless of rating, especially with all the cameo rumors. It would mean more if a film like Blade or a R rated Ghost Rider did huge numbers.
If it makes that money the twitter people will complain about how they went to see Deadpool and Wolverine’ and not the Marvels 😂
I think it was a blessing it took so long for DP3 to be made. I think that wilts all of the main superheroes (RDJ, Chris Evans) not doing these movies anymore, people are hungry for one of the heroes from the 2010’s to come back.
There is no doubt that Deadpool and Wolverine is going to make tons of money.
I mean, if we all see it twice opening weekend then we break $400M RIGHT GUYS??
Yesss
Supposedly there is suppose to be 3 popcorn bucket for Deadpool and Wolverine.
I know my son and I are super excited to FINALLY see Deadpool and Wolverine🙌🙌🙌🙌
Black Panther in the Top 10 with less Theater screenings 😮
John AMC (per Disney's request) has restricted AMC employees from seeing this movie for free with their employee pass benefit for the first 8 days of Deadpool vs Wolverine. Disney is going full Scrooge McDuck on this movie!
They did that during avatar was the last time my brother said they did it
I got my ticket
I got my tickets
An X-Men MCU movie will be at the number one spot, one day.
My whole family is going to see it opening weekend
I want this to be a banger. I want this to actually get the top spot. I think this is important for the future of the X-Men and MCU. Wolverine is my favorite character, and so I'm hoping this is just going to blow my mind. I will be there on opening day. And if it is good, I will go a couple, maybe a few times that opening weekend.
Lower your expectations. This is going to be one of those "it was really fun" movies. Not bad enough to say it sucked, not good enough to say it was amazing.
Filmbros are fuming
they always are.
1.5 billion if its good. I think it'll be heavily re-watchable . Already bought tickets for Friday and Saturday and there's so many good things surrounding this film.
Dont forget this its just domestic numbers not worldwide. Just wanted to point that out
what would be awesome is if the movie made a billion dollar profit. budget and marketing has to be around 300 million. hopefully it goes north of a billion
I believe I guessed $240M in the comments of the last video you did about this 🎯🎯🎯
If the movie meet this expectation for the opening weekend, it will make 1.5 billion easy
HUGE hit incoming...
I know the movie is Rated R, but I wonder if the Marvel Studios brand is making families still willing to bring their kids to go see this movie. Maybe they don't believe its going to be a hard, hard R
People took their kids to watch the first two Deadpool movies and were surprised it was R-Rated, so this made by Marvel will not make a difference. And even a guy on a forum was always saying that Deadpool 3 will never be R, because Disney can't do that. If I hadn't left the forum I think he would own me money^^.
If u give fans what they want you succeed
Good logic, but unfortunately, fans often don't even know what they want.
It is bonkers if this movie clears 200M easy on opening weekend. Popcorn buckets for everyone!
Twisters needs to move up another week . It’s going to get crushed
Highly Doubt it
Agreed, they’re going to get destroyed by Deadpool and Wolverine, I don’t know why they wouldn’t push it forward a week
I think you mean it'll get blown away! LOL
it was never going to make money lol ooo tornados lol
I think after all this time without MCU or X-Men movies, this one will make more than a billion dollars globally.
250 is a lot. No Way Home made 260 with the MCU in a better state and let’s be real the hype for this isn’t the same as NWH. I think a better comparison would be Multiverse of Madness. I think it’s gonna just miss that projection and come in like 180-200
Anyone know the production budget of "Deadpool 3"? Plus the P&A has to be through roof!
We'll have to see. 200Mil weekend open is big, that means the movie has to be epic.
I’m excited!
I bought my ticket the day they were available
3 things that will make this movie hit over the billion mark..1 you have returning deadpool mans..2 you got Hugh coming back as Wolverine and not just his normal Wolverine character but in the comic book yellow suit tons of fans have always wanted to see..and 3..if lady deadpool turns out to be Taylor Swift that alone will push this movie over the billion dollar mark..you'll have all the Tay Tay fans going to see this on top of everything thing else I mentioned..not to mention all the leaked characters and marvel and X men stars that will be in it.
It was just reported that Taylor Swift will not cameo in Deadpool & Wolverine unfortunately your #3 reason wouldn't be possible that & the X-Men character Dazzler will be the better choice for Taylor Swift to play because Dazzler is a pop singer & so is Taylor Swift...
@nerdywithautism99 and how many times have "reported" sources really be right.. Lol..that's pretty much saying that she's in the movie..I trust the "it's been reported" rumor as much as I do farting after taco bell. That's like believing everything you read on the front of those magazines in the check out lines
2.5 billion.
It will hit $300 million over the weekend.
Lmao
Obvious troll
Nooooooo way dude at this rate it could hit 200 million opening and a 1.3-1.5 billion opening which is still HUGE it may be in the top 20 biggest movies of all time but not the top 3😭😭😭
2 billion I said it.
Uh, yeahhh...no, sorry but ain't happening.
Probably not tbh. Realistically closer to 800M-900M.
@Reese_Knightguys yes I agree no way this is hitting 2 billion or even decently close but for those of yall who are saying 600 or even 800 tbh are crazy this 95 percent chance this makes a billion and beats joker for the highest r rated movie honestly this movie would have too be a huge disappointment like quantamania level bad too not hit a billion im thinking 1.1 billion at the lowest 1.5 at the highest so im predicting this will end its run with around 1.3 billion
@Reese_Knightand for more context joker hit 90 million opening which isn’t even that big tbh I mean it’s impressive but not like event film level and this will most likely be in the top 10 if not top 5 biggest openings of all time so this movie would have too have a HUGE drop off after its opening too not hit at least a billion
@Reese_Knight it all depends if the movie is worth it if Deadpool is good it will have a big rewatchability factor
I work at a movie theater and I am excited but horrified at the same time! Even before I worked at a movie theater I always loved following Box Office numbers. John I love your analogy about how Box Office numbers represent people and not dollars. That is incredibly true. This movie will be a Juggernaut (Pun intended) LFG!!
I will say both movies theaters of Regal Entertainment in AMC are kind of divided because AMC movie theater is practically jam-packed for Deadpool where Regal Entertainment is kind of a little bit on the low side but I believe they'll probably take those tickets when we get really close to the premiere date
250. They started selling these tickets two months in advance
Are these opening weekend numbers domestic or worldwide? Maybe it was mentioned and I missed it.
UPDATE: Indeed, they are domestic... wow, these predictions are insane!! And the fact that it can even surpass this is a game-changer, specially during these times. Hopefully the movie is good, too!!
Ryan Rynolds should have had a deal on Mint Mobile to get tickets, screensaver or updates.
Bad Boys Ride or Die
I say it will join billion dollar club
Lot's of rewatches
It's going to have to have a lot of rewatches since an R. Rated movie is going to have a limited audience to begin with And these days, with lots of people these dsys worried about the price of gas groceries and everything else with inflation, how many people are going to be able to afford to spend to go and rewatch.
@Walke-ts Joker was pre-pandemic when people weren't as worried about the cost of everything. Not to mention ever since End Game they have hyped every Marvel movie since snd they just keep disappointing. It's Marvel so the Marvel loyalists will probably empty their wallets opening weekend regardless and yes I'm sure many might probably spend more than they can afford to attend rewatches since these days some people focus more on wants than needs.
@Walke-ts Every movie is just a movie and nothing more. It's going to go to streaming at some point just like every other movie and society just uses the huge word "event" for movies, concerts and other forms of entertainment to help justify the money they know they are going to probably spend.
@Walke-ts Personally I want all movies to do good business. I just find it odd that people complain every day about gas prices, food prices and the cost of everything in general but don't think twice about spending the amount of money to watch the same movie in theaters multiple times. Personally, I will watch a movie I'm excited about once in imax (if available) and once in a standard theater just to see the difference in the experience and then I'll just wait for streaming after that.
So hyped for this movie. It's been what i wanted and many fans aswell to see Deadpool/Wolverine together in a movie with 2 of the greatest actors portraying the Characters. It's going to be such a treat... It's going to be awesome. I couldn't be more excited. I love Marvel Studios
I want to see it hit $260M opening week👍
What a shocking concept. Make something good and what the people actually want and you make money. Who would have ever thought.
But we don't know that it's good yet. We all assume it's going to be, but nobody has seen it yet. How many times have we seen amazing trailers or marketing campaigns to shitty movies?
@isaacbeeby2528
This movie is going to have ryan + hugh. Wolverine in the official yellow and blue. With the mask!. This movie could smoke a 12ft pole and everyone is still going to see it just for that.
The goalpost moving has already begun
I have been saying this for about a year now.
It just has be made right & good.
Judging by all that we have seen & heard so far, it's looking really good.
Thank you Marvel-Jesus!
I hope this encourages Marvel and others to take more gambles on R rated material. There's clearly an audience for it.
yea making movies not r rated cause "kids" cant see it is just stupid , how many kids are buying the tickets lol its the parents with the money
Those Star Wars movies have no business being in the top five for biggest box office opening weekend.
Alllll I’m saying Is if this is as big as they are thinking imagine the opening of the next avengers with Deadpool in it and you know he will br there😊😊
Tbf, Doctor Strange 2 didn‘t pass 1B+ because it didn‘t play in China and Russia…, it also had a very short theatrical window.
Deadpool & Wolverine will FOR SURE pass 1B…, probably even 1.4B+
Don't forget about "Oppenheimer"
What about it? It never made a billion but was close
Marvel haters are probably fuming right now
I dont think marvel haters hate deadpool. I dont particularly like the generic dr strange-thor-spiderman etc. Marvel movies. But I liked both deadpool movies
my guy, half the cmnts on this video are from you, go outside touch grass
Don't you remember? Marvel is dying and no one is going to see this😂😂😂😂💀
Well this movie has already made more the marvels entire theater run. It shows what people want. People don’t want captain marvel they want Deadpool and Wolverine
Well, this is not youe typical marvel/mcu film @MandosCulture
I think it's gonna take that number five spot for sure! Hopefully even fourth place but I wouldn't bet on it!! ;)
People are bored of the MCU kid friendly comicbook films. This is a unique R Rated movie with two popular characters. What else is likely to follow this and do as well ? X-Men ?
Some fun math stuff: Take the average ticket price of 2016 and 2024 and use them to compute the average number of tickets sold, or will be sold in case of DP 3 projections (let's say 200M). You see that the average number of ticket sales will increase by 25% from DP 1 to DP 3. Compare this to the increase in US population and you'll find that the relative attraction, i.e. number of ticket sales divided by population, increases just by 0,95%.
Wages also went up to so if you're trying to minimize the potential success of the movie upfront, I'm sorry to say this is water off a ducks ass. If they make the money, they make the money and you are just going to have to cope with the fact that people still want comic book movies
@@spicymemes7458 I'm not trying to minimize anything. I was just trying to add another perspective on Johns question "how many people will be excited to see this". All I'm saying is, 5% of the US population went to see DP 1 (huge success!) and probably 6% of the US population will go to see DP 3 (again a huge success). That's all...
I'm sorry I don't have faith that 200 million dollar films exist anymore. I would put money on $120 to maximum $150 M
Dude, it's probably already made $120-$150 in advance ticket sales alone.
@@isaacbeeby2528 if you're correct that would be awesome! 🥳
its gonna open at 269 mil :P and will make 1.4 billion minimum
first movie o will watch on the theaters after Ant-Man 3, and i hope i dont regret it like i did with ant-man...
opening weekend is way over done lol to many movie theaters closed during and shortly after covid
350 million opening week
I'm taking my 5 year old to this movie
And my son knows right from wrong and is mature for his age and I have a bad mouth and he let's me know not to say those words
I've had comments replying to me saying that this won't bring out casuals haha😂😂
Easy $1B
Furiosa
When this hits close to 2 billion I want it clear I saw the future lol got my ticket!!!!!!
If its awesome.
Id be surprised of it doesn't push 2 billion
Cause even of it's bad. I still see it hitting 1 billion, easy.
I just can't see that not happening. I'd totally shocked if this movie does not make a billion worldwide. There no way its not easily making that.
Someone please tell me why everyone has such a hard-on for the idea of comic book movie fatigue being a real thing? Like every time comic book movies start having less box office numbers everyone’s like “Hell yeah! Look we were right! Comic book movie fatigue is real!” I mean why would you even want it to be? Don’t you want good movies? What is there to gain by movies failing? This movie’s projections prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that the problem isn’t fatigue of the genre, it’s the mediocrity that it’s generally been associated with lately, because I will fully admit that since Endgame both the Marvel and DC movies, while they’ve had their good outings here and there definitely haven’t been putting out a ton of bangers either, for the first time since the beginning of its hot streak with the original Avengers in 2012 we’re in a true lull with the genre, it’s truly jarring because it hasn’t happened for 12 years now, but that doesn’t mean the hunger for them is gone now, people will still jump at the idea of seeing a great comic book movie and these projections prove it
It amazes me how much people DONT pay attention! I’m hoping most of this fanbase knows the Deadpool routine. Alas this movie will still be insane!
Remember folks, superhero fatigue doesn’t exist, it’s just bad movie fatigue, when you give up on superhero films, you think superhero fatigue is real
They should track ticket sales in number not price. Inflation accounts for the increase alone!
No it does not. 132M in 2016 money is about 172M today. And less people are going to the theaters today than in 2016.
next one will be Deadpool's popcorn buttcket
Exactly what I was thinking!!! LOL!
I don't think it's going to make 250million now 180-200 million i can rock with.
No way
Good evening John Campea. How did you know about, or become aware of the Deadpool Gin Bottles?
What the possibility that Deadpool & Wolverine beats spiderman no way home opening weekend no way home is 260 opening I think their a high chance it can top it
Oh, parents are bringing kids to see this and have no idea it is R rated. This movie should be close to No Way Home. Same premise, let's bring together characters we know from movies we mostly like and the people will come. Milking existing IP is par for the course. I may see it in week 2 or 3 if it still controls premium screens. Those jokes are just too tired for me to pretend I care about this movie enough to deal with all the people coming out to see this.
I don't think it's gonna open that high
I truly believe it's only going to hit at least 180 million at most. Whatever they are. There's a lot of variables nowadays that keep families fat asses at home and just waiting for it to stream lol.
Saying the "superhero fatigue" narrative is incorrect because people wanna see Deadpool & Wolverine is like saying if ratings for most sports collapsed, people not wanting to watch sports anymore isn't true because tons of people still watch the Superbowl that year. One colossal example does not a trend make. The public interest in superhero movies is trending down, that is indisputable.
THANK YOU
Why would they care? It’s just a freaking movie.
I am actually scared I won't be able to see it the first week
No Acolyte review?
John has a rule about reviewing series he thinks are garbage. He doesn’t want to ruin it for people who like it, so he won’t review it.
Rise DCU
A billion? I don't know about that. The loss from the family market will be a HUGE hurdle to get over
The question is, will it bet Madame Webb?
I am pretty sure it will!
it already has with presales lmao by like 5 times lol
Again John you fail to account for all the new fans of Deadpool who have seen it since its release
Popcorn Bucket! 🍿 🪣 🐺👹
Marvel is just crazy….😭
5:58 super Mario bros was mediocre and it hit a billion. People are always going to be selective of what they see it threatres. I already got my ticket to
See Deadpool and Wolverine.
Mario was a bit different tho cuz Mario was a kids movie aimed at young children and they don’t care about the quality of movies this is why animated movies have a huge advantage cuz of kids begging there parents too take them however Deadpool and Wolverine will be mostly older teens and adults plus people are really looking out for the quality on these marvel movies especially with how much mediocracity they have put out
the movie will make over a $1 Billion it will have a historic weekend its all set up to be that way
With the release of this movie and then following it up with San Diego comic con announcements, Marvel is gonna have a great weekend.
I dont think it will make 1 billion. At best it will make 750-800 million
It made that on it’s on in the last 2 films. They added Wolverine and the MCU. I think at least 1 billion
DCU FOREVER!
It will surpass Avatar and Endgame without a doubt.
bro what are you on?
Yeh for sure, it'll surpass Gone with the Wild footfalls too.
Ah, no
Even if the film is mediocre…, the opening will be so big that it will cross 1B+ no matter what…
People do have superhero movie fatigue. Marvel giving us a break this year by putting out only one movie was a good idea. I think the audience is ready for something new, and hopefully epic.
no they have bad movie fatigue...
@@talanock I think is both my boy
@@OhitsGeo i think your wrong my guy
@@talanock nah don’t get it twisted i myself love marvel and dc and it was fun at the beginning, but then it got excessive specially with unnecessary cash grab movies. I thought I would never get tired of superhero movies but I did when it didn’t feel special anymore and I’m sure I’m not the only one that felt that way.
It’s ok to have a traditional lead to your films. That’s what people want.
I think the movie will be successful but not make a billion more like 800 million.