"That could be a killer for some" Mark Bouris & Tom Panos

Sdílet
Vložit
  • čas přidán 19. 05. 2024
  • Leading auctioneer Tom Panos returns to Property Insights with Mark Bouris.
    In this episode, Tom shares his latest observations of the market, with an increasing number of properties coming onto the market and vendors considering selling due to financial strain or the opportunity to upgrade. They also discuss the impact of high interest rates on homeowners and the potential for a surge in properties coming onto the market.
    Tom and Mark express concern about the financial situation of many homeowners and the difficulty young Australians face in achieving the dream of owning property due to rising ages of first-time buyers and a housing supply issue exacerbated by immigration. They also touch upon the political climate and the lack of effective solutions to address the housing crisis.
    #markbouris #propertyinsights #tompanos

Komentáře • 392

  • @yellowbrickroadtv
    @yellowbrickroadtv  Před 27 dny +24

    📌 What did you think of the podcast? Do you have any questions for Mark? Pop them below.

    • @sammohis
      @sammohis Před 27 dny

      One question to RBA- you have increased the rates as ablanket to all.Which menas the struggling section are pushed further into hardship and making them go into arrears and making their credit ratings go bad. Why aren't the rates first increased for investors AMD may be later for owner occupier? Wouldn't that have solver housing problem to some extent?

    • @sammohis
      @sammohis Před 27 dny +1

      Also, why is the government OT asking investors to invest in building rather than buying existing homes and competing with people who want to buy their first home

    • @christesoriero2203
      @christesoriero2203 Před 27 dny

      Hey Mark,
      When as a nation are we going to say enough’s enough, and it’s time to end speculation with a 5% land tax? Or go back to a leasehold system?
      As evidenced in your Podcast, if you’re not old money, mum and dad money, successful in business or high wage earning, you’ll stay on struggle street for your working life.

    • @midnighteightsix6919
      @midnighteightsix6919 Před 27 dny

      Hey Mark, really enjoy your content on CZcams. What are your thoughts on the Coalition's potential plans (if they win the next election) to allow first homebuyers to use significant amounts of their super to buy a home? Is this a helpful initiative for those young Aussies who don't have a bank of Mum/Dad to rely on or will it only make housing affordability worse?

    • @judybrowning6002
      @judybrowning6002 Před 26 dny

      What the Gold Coast conference??
      Sounds like the place to be.

  • @samdrew4746
    @samdrew4746 Před 27 dny +44

    So good hearing older guys (with respect) acknowledging the difficulties for younger generations 🙏

    • @nicolle_2944
      @nicolle_2944 Před 25 dny +3

      Unfortunately giving all the wrong solutions though.

  • @MaxWell-pp9zs
    @MaxWell-pp9zs Před 17 dny +85

    My journey shifted after achieving an initial $1.4M return in 13 months. Over time, this success has led me to just close on my 11th rental property. With rising home prices and stagnant wages, many people will struggle to ever own a home.

    • @MarjorieRyanJoy
      @MarjorieRyanJoy Před 17 dny

      the housing market feels rigged against us. You mentioned returns, to be realistic luck plays a significant role more-so than the resources to thrive with investing. without it, it's very challenging to succeed

    • @MaxWell-pp9zs
      @MaxWell-pp9zs Před 17 dny +1

      when its consistent, its not considered luck. I attribute this to research which was the challenging part before it led me to Emily Ava Milligan, a top fund manager, in turn she made 310k into this, and counting.

    • @MarjorieRyanJoy
      @MarjorieRyanJoy Před 17 dny +1

      I pasted her name into safari, and her page popped right up. from our interaction It became clear she's in high demand. Your example is rare. I stumbled on a gem when i least expected to. Thanks

  • @markblake2699
    @markblake2699 Před 27 dny +32

    I'm not A huge fan of Tom Panos..however he talks complete common sense.... and good to see how calm he is in conversation....well done

  • @baldrick6071
    @baldrick6071 Před 27 dny +23

    Mark you have an amazing ability to speak in lay terms without bombarding us with unnecessary jargon. Appreciated!

    • @joshuajackett6371
      @joshuajackett6371 Před 27 dny +1

      Great point, So true, explaining things in plain English (lay terms) is something that needs to be brought into government, law, business, economic terms and banking.

  • @TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv
    @TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv Před 27 dny +68

    TAX THE F OUT OF OVERSEA INVESTORS ON THERE PROPERTY'S THAT THEY DO NOT USE OR RENT OUT.!

    • @user-pu6jv7wi5x
      @user-pu6jv7wi5x Před 27 dny +2

      greatest comment ever

    • @Alig3388
      @Alig3388 Před 27 dny +2

      Labor already did this

    • @TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv
      @TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv Před 27 dny +1

      @@Alig3388 yeah but on a small percentage.

    • @Alig3388
      @Alig3388 Před 26 dny

      @@TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv won't make a huge difference. Negative gearing and capital gains discount is fundamental reform.

    • @redgatecrt
      @redgatecrt Před 26 dny

      They already do and it’s tax deductible 😂 wake up

  • @vittorianesse
    @vittorianesse Před 21 dnem +4

    Rather plough $1m into a business that creates jobs for young people for 30yrs, than a single pile of bricks for me to die in.

  • @ivica351
    @ivica351 Před 27 dny +26

    the sheep are jabbed and head high in debt. Easy to control now for whats coming
    Good Luck 🙏 🚬

    • @markovasil1608
      @markovasil1608 Před 27 dny +6

      Perfectly summarized

    • @darren2351
      @darren2351 Před 21 dnem +5

      I plan to buy one of the sheeps distressed properties when they tap out finally. I don't feel bad for them, they screwed us all with their blind compliance.

  • @jpak22
    @jpak22 Před 27 dny +12

    We need someone like you in government

  • @user-mw4go7ez9t
    @user-mw4go7ez9t Před 26 dny +17

    As a father of 3 kids who have just entered the work force and would like to buy a home, my ability to assist them is limited. Rather than spend 20 years to save a deposit and then be paying off a home in retirement, might it be better to immigrate ourselves to a country where we could achieve ownership much earlier.

    • @damienhall9814
      @damienhall9814 Před 25 dny +1

      Great idea. More opportunity and better nightlife

    • @markas1987
      @markas1987 Před 21 dnem +1

      That's not the reason to leave. The reason to leave is that Australia is a poor imitation of what a Western country is

    • @KoDeMondo
      @KoDeMondo Před 21 dnem

      The issue is that others countries have used the same monetary experimental done here in Australia. So they are also hyperinflated.

    • @KoDeMondo
      @KoDeMondo Před 21 dnem

      ​@@markas1987why not? The comment is valid and I understand his point of view.

    • @LP-up9dy
      @LP-up9dy Před 21 dnem

      Yes it could be a way of doing it. Or finding ways of investing their money to maximize growth, rather than saving it in the bank. I wish you and your family the best of luck. Better times will come

  • @PaddyAU
    @PaddyAU Před 27 dny +26

    Cash rate is not low. Debt trap has been laid for a decade- bank, gov and media hyping a debt bubble. Interest rates need to go higher. We are looking at a stagflationary environment.

    • @leonie563
      @leonie563 Před 27 dny

      Wish we could see APRA Stress testing the banks etc in real time....the rocks they are turning over would be chilling. Liar loans and probably lots of them. Now they pay.

    • @KoDeMondo
      @KoDeMondo Před 21 dnem

      Yep yep

    • @farnorth9075
      @farnorth9075 Před 18 dny

      Totally agree. We have entered stagflation.

  • @iphoneography
    @iphoneography Před 26 dny +10

    Harry Triguboff has the 'power' to make units more expensive by publicly saying he's not going to make so many.

    • @TheTestride
      @TheTestride Před 24 dny +1

      harry is almost dead .... he will die rich ... big deal! I am sure he has spawn that will continue his useless legacy.

  • @Al-jv2pn
    @Al-jv2pn Před 22 dny +11

    Im 37 single no kids, have a small amount of savings, I have given up on the dream, also given up on the country. There is no prosperity, i think I am going to try it out in a SE Asian country.

    • @jonathanmichaelsmith9012
      @jonathanmichaelsmith9012 Před 21 dnem +1

      I'm the same age as you. Living part-time in Australia might be the plan for me.

    • @Al-jv2pn
      @Al-jv2pn Před 21 dnem +1

      @@jonathanmichaelsmith9012 hypothetical, say you have $100k saved , earn 80k pa, buy a 500k 2 bedroom dog-box in the suburbs, you are pretty much left with maybe 5-10k at the end of each year if you are good with your mortgage, paying insurances, rates, body corp, feed yourself, car rego etc. this is the middle income aussie. far from what our parents had opportunities for.

    • @junheehan2448
      @junheehan2448 Před 15 dny

      ​@@Al-jv2pn You said you are a single, why not consider renting out one of the bedrooms? It can pay off half the mortgage unless more.
      80K by yourself is pretty good enough. 400K loan at current LVR 80% rate would charge you ~$2600/month in mortgage, and taking every house related expenses into account, it would be roughly $3500/month.
      500k 2 bedrood dog-box being said, I'm assuming you live in urban suburbs. Renting a room in such areas can cover $1500~2500 every month depending on what state you live, so that will cut down your cost of ownership to maximim $2000 a month. That's pretty good deal with ur 5k monthly salary.
      Not a single, you've got a partner? Even better. More savings, more income!

    • @junheehan2448
      @junheehan2448 Před 15 dny +1

      ​@@Al-jv2pnEconomy's always on cycle. It is indeed a sad fact we are having less opportunities than what our parents had in the past, but if you compare space-wise, Australia is still a great place with full of opportunities.

    • @dingo-dile
      @dingo-dile Před 11 dny

      No kids, you should be fine. Easy life, much lower expenses / time for career

  • @mitchspackman6744
    @mitchspackman6744 Před 25 dny +4

    The increase in gst is a great idea but when has the government ever reduced a tax after introducing it?

  • @rodmunch1012
    @rodmunch1012 Před 15 dny +2

    Perhaps check out the connection between Jim Chalmers and The World Economic Forum. It provides greater clarity as to where his priorities quite possibly are focused.

  • @vickiwithers8563
    @vickiwithers8563 Před 27 dny +1

    Great show. Thank you

  • @michaelsciacovelli4725
    @michaelsciacovelli4725 Před 27 dny +5

    Love listening to your podcast. I always learn something

  • @dr.vaheed6558
    @dr.vaheed6558 Před 26 dny

    Well done mates - thanks a lot

  • @scottcox8559
    @scottcox8559 Před 27 dny +62

    Houses are so far beyond fair value now it's not funny. Anyone who buys in now is buying into one of the largest property bubbles in history.

    • @juantokyo_
      @juantokyo_ Před 26 dny +8

      This has the line for so long yet the property market keeps moving up...

    • @redgatecrt
      @redgatecrt Před 26 dny +6

      It’s not about to burst anytime soon, believe me 👍🏽

    • @scottcox8559
      @scottcox8559 Před 26 dny +10

      @juantokyo_ There's no such thing as infinite growth. Every market has a crash.

    • @juantokyo_
      @juantokyo_ Před 26 dny

      @@scottcox8559 crash and then more growth. Look at market history and the market always recovers to newer highs. If a crash comes the government will intervene and on we go.

    • @scottcox8559
      @scottcox8559 Před 26 dny +3

      @redgatecrt if supply and demand were the only thing at play, I would agree with you. But there are so many other factors inflating all assets. it's not going to take much to pop the asset bubble.

  • @user-bn4kw8dk3r
    @user-bn4kw8dk3r Před 14 dny +2

    A 50yr old fibro shack knock down property fetches 1.7 million. 20 years ago it fetched 70,000. Wow!

    • @sodot887
      @sodot887 Před 9 dny

      That pretty much sums up the insanity

  • @lllchironexlll
    @lllchironexlll Před 26 dny +1

    Really enjoyed this commentary.

  • @jonwijaya8539
    @jonwijaya8539 Před 27 dny +19

    The only direction interest rate is going, is UP.

    • @AussieZeKieL
      @AussieZeKieL Před 27 dny +1

      Maybe, but the economy isn’t doing very well either. Just because a housing shortage is causing house prices to go up, doesn’t mean interest rates will go up. There is more to the CPI than house prices.

    • @AussieZeKieL
      @AussieZeKieL Před 27 dny

      @@InfinityIsland2203 Housing is the highest weighted group in the CPI, accounting for around one quarter of the basket.

    • @eddie8pints804
      @eddie8pints804 Před 26 dny +5

      @@AussieZeKieL The US will increase rates to sell bonds, RBA will follow US to avoid the Aud dropping and causing a foreign debt repayment problem.

    • @sirdekkar
      @sirdekkar Před 26 dny

      Politicians will do anything to protect their investment. They will give people cash, discount tax, stamp duty, buyer incentives, do anything to keep the property market hot and bring more buyers. They will never make a decision that will cause property prices to go down until the rest of the economy has crashed around them.
      Property will be the last thing standing.

    • @KoDeMondo
      @KoDeMondo Před 21 dnem

      😂Maybe... I personally don't care

  • @c.s2001
    @c.s2001 Před 27 dny +1

    Enjoyed the discussion thanks. Listening at 2335 hours.

  • @MattHerbAu
    @MattHerbAu Před 26 dny +1

    Wow awesome podcast thanks Mark and Tom you guys are legends very informative

  • @user-bv7lt5ri8t
    @user-bv7lt5ri8t Před 27 dny +1

    Great conversation

  • @Steve-kk8yb
    @Steve-kk8yb Před 26 dny +8

    Anyone calling for rate cuts this year is quite delusional.

    • @suad01
      @suad01 Před 25 dny

      Two year federal funds rate usually leads fmoc rate cuts

  • @thepotager9816
    @thepotager9816 Před 27 dny +13

    I have stopped spending on unnecessary things, I don’t eat out or go on holidays or buy fashion, and put extra payments on my mortgage to pay it down quicker.

    • @ronaldov09
      @ronaldov09 Před 26 dny +1

      I've been doing that since day 1 (10 years ago) and have basically paid off my mortgage in 8 years instead of 30, while others I know spent up big and are now under servere mortgage stress...silly silly.

    • @user-ye3fk9me1i
      @user-ye3fk9me1i Před 25 dny +2

      Good idea yes but at the same
      Time you don’t live forever you wanna have a boring life just to pay for your home your gonna die in common wake Australians at brain washed to much by the system working life worried about paying a house off go enjoy your life it’s only once 🤦‍♂️

    • @ronaldov09
      @ronaldov09 Před 25 dny

      @@user-ye3fk9me1i I enjoy life while paying double my mortgage repayments. Bali with the family last year, Perth and QLD holiday this year...just dont buy expensive cars, caravans, boats, bikes, dining out and takeaway coffee every day...if I didnt have kids I would probably would spend more on crap, but I want them to have a decent life so I also go without in xome areas of life...its called sacrifice.

    • @thepotager9816
      @thepotager9816 Před 25 dny +1

      @@user-ye3fk9me1i what makes you think I’m not enjoying my life? Eating out and buying clothes and travelling are not enjoyable activities for me.

  • @VoteLaborOut
    @VoteLaborOut Před 10 dny

    Love these podcasts thanks for the insight the recordings are very easy to listen to

  • @tokenomics1233
    @tokenomics1233 Před 27 dny +18

    This increase gst every time inflation comes up is actually more inflationary. They need property prices to come down, and this can only be done by increasing interest rates. They should enforce property owner by foreigners to be compulsory rented if they do not use the properties

    • @sparkie996
      @sparkie996 Před 27 dny +7

      The Chinese property bubble shows what happens when real estate is used to store wealth and not used to actually house people.

    • @vincentc7920
      @vincentc7920 Před 27 dny +1

      Increase interest rate further will be detrimental to the building industry. So less homes will be built , it will be even worse for the potential home owners

    • @tokenomics1233
      @tokenomics1233 Před 27 dny

      @@vincentc7920 Its actually the building code and beauracatic red tape that was restrictive to supply and the inflation of building supplies. and the historicly low and prelonged levels of low intrest rates that has caused this. They should of allowed developers to build more when intrest rates were low and building supplies were cheap, but councils were very restrictive. also they said it themselves, as soon as the market realises interest rates are being cut the market goes stupid again and people over leverage. We cant undo the mistakes now, so we need to go through stagflation, like the 70's a peroid of higher levels of infaltion with stagnat wage growth. This usually takes a decade to pass and clear, maybe 8 years. the other option is cause a 50% property crash over a space of 1.5 years, flush out the unecessary debt and start a fresh. but my money is on stagflation

    • @tokenomics1233
      @tokenomics1233 Před 27 dny

      @@sparkie996 What happened in china is actually so retarded its not funny. They were building ghost cities to purley drive the economy and create job, not just a store wealth, they actually did the exact opposite of australia which didnt allow developers to build. the sweet spot is actualy somwhere in the middle and were equally as fucked but just in a different way.

    • @scottprice1943
      @scottprice1943 Před 26 dny +2

      Interest rates have absolutely nothing to do with property values. They can subdue activity or increase them but the underlying value is always replacement value. If your existing home is broken apart you look at land price and then cost to rebuild your house, then look at its condition and age. The simple fact is land and building is more expensive than its ever been. The collapse of the building industry and limited margins and land development clearly shows that land and housing prices do not have margins in them that can be reduced, hence existing house prices wont drop. Then you look at supply and demand and supply will never catch up to demand now. Only 35% of all houses have a mortgage. Interest rates will not impact prices long term

  • @spunout5184
    @spunout5184 Před 27 dny +3

    Inflation is also affected by the amount money printed that adds to the M2 Money supply . Starting in Jan 2020 it jumps .

  • @Susan-yd1nm
    @Susan-yd1nm Před 25 dny +8

    Just a comment about sharing the omelette, for my husband and I, we’ve started sharing our cafe/pub foods because we simply don’t eat as much now and we’re making better food choices/portion sizes. We found we were wasting money buying two meals because we simply couldn’t eat it, not because we couldn’t afford it. I’d like to think we’re not wasteful either, so I guess responsibility for spending our hard earned money, hinges on the success of the everyday choices we make.

    • @kristene2372
      @kristene2372 Před 23 dny

      My wife and I have been doing the same thing for 6 years for the same reason

    • @amyhudson1016
      @amyhudson1016 Před 20 dny

      Agree. Meals are way too big at a lot of cafes and restaurants.

  • @stevedrane9301
    @stevedrane9301 Před 24 dny +4

    You really should point out that this is a Sydney based view.It certainly isn't representing Australia as a whole.

  • @michaelschnepel5000
    @michaelschnepel5000 Před 25 dny +2

    It blows my mind how much money gets allocated to bricks and mortar ,in my own experience the increase in house price is mostly land value

  • @JJ-mc8lu
    @JJ-mc8lu Před 27 dny +10

    Unfortunately greed which motivated people in the good times has now come back to haunt them. People should take responsibility for their own actions!

    • @geoffvalero3516
      @geoffvalero3516 Před 26 dny +2

      what choice do most have? its the system and politicians and (their lobbyists) who have rigged the game.

  • @arthurjones6364
    @arthurjones6364 Před 16 dny +3

    A Chinese resident, not a citizen of Australia has recently purchased 165 units. How the f..k is this allowed?

  • @HSMET2023
    @HSMET2023 Před 21 dnem +1

    Govt must do something to stop this artificial prices of houses.

  • @katherine4365
    @katherine4365 Před 26 dny

    Excellent!

  • @crazyham
    @crazyham Před 26 dny +1

    Council to State Governments are down to State policy and not Federal Policy.
    Loving the Chat Guys.
    Thnx for the Great Video.🙏

  • @jarrodmartins8663
    @jarrodmartins8663 Před 27 dny +4

    Interesting commentary. I think the biggest thing around interest rate commentary is even if they go down it’s not going to be by much as these interest rates are more normal (what we had the last 10yrs is not normal). And until gov fixes supply nothing is going to change and generally property will continue to go up and the imbalance of rich and poor will increase. Unless there is a major event like 7/8% unemployment, war etc. but then we have bigger problems.

  • @vincentc7920
    @vincentc7920 Před 27 dny +1

    Agree with the guest , rate will stay the same. If rate goes down , i will chuck more into the mortgage to reduce debt 😕

  • @anthonypai6127
    @anthonypai6127 Před 27 dny +1

    Great interview. Thank you Mark.

  • @jameswillis8969
    @jameswillis8969 Před 27 dny +11

    The RBA doesn’t lend money, they exchange securities
    Banknotes are RBA debt

    • @nicolle_2944
      @nicolle_2944 Před 25 dny +4

      And government borrowing and spending is what causes inflation, not consumers

    • @KoDeMondo
      @KoDeMondo Před 21 dnem +1

      Let me see...
      - Create money from thin air
      - Lend it out and earn interest off it
      - Filter it through fractional banking,
      extracting all the value off the top,
      give us the scraps.
      - Have everyone trade their limited
      time for it.
      On top of that...
      - The company where you work is
      taxed through corporate tax.
      - You're taxed through income tax.
      - Your invested savings are taxed
      through capital gains tax.
      - Your spent money is taxed through
      sales tax.
      - You're then taxed again through
      inflation 'The invisible tax '.
      An endless cycle of theft!

  • @phoneticau
    @phoneticau Před 25 dny +4

    RBA too spooked to lower rates Inflation is too strong

  • @CR-pr4sd
    @CR-pr4sd Před 26 dny +3

    Lol my wife grew up in as house in Kingsley St, Byron. Parents sold in 90s for 300k odd, last sold for 3m. Stupid prices for Airbnb street.

  • @TheFfabinhoo
    @TheFfabinhoo Před 25 dny +3

    Australia cannot bear 30 million people.

    • @DBolt-xb7sg
      @DBolt-xb7sg Před 20 dny

      It definitely can with proper management

  • @sunrisesunset8843
    @sunrisesunset8843 Před 9 dny

    Great chat gents, thanking you. I love the increase/decrease of the GST idea from Mark. 100% behind that. Also, interesting to hear Mark say that people over 50 who have property low or no mortgages are the only ones spending/travelling. If spending is the issue with the RBA, that's the people the pollies need to target then. i.e. the super industry. It must be worth about $3.5 trillion now. Take just 1% of funds and you have fund of $35 billion. loan that to local councils to develop land estates and develop in small stages, say 50 to 100 lots at a time. Sell for cost + a small profit say $25k. reinvest all money back into the next stage of 50 to 100 lots. When the estate is sold out, the money is paid back to the super industry. That's the best way for older Australians to help younger Australians. Older Australians have more tied up in super. Forget the bank of mum and dad. It should be outlawed. Also, I think we need to open up more competition in this country for construction materials companies. Its the only way to reduce prices to build a home. If lending conditions were really tightened up for people who already own property or are using their mum and dad to help them purchase, than overall demand will drop off and cause a slow down in the market. Under no circumstances should they tighten lending conditions for people trying to get into the market.

  • @tweesgniw4603
    @tweesgniw4603 Před 12 dny

    great conversation

  • @tarkangulenc
    @tarkangulenc Před 27 dny

    This was your best video, Mark. Please get a Melbournian equivalent of Tom on the show sometime soon. We've got plenty of Greek real estate agents down here. Surely you know some of them.

  • @williamcrossan9333
    @williamcrossan9333 Před 27 dny +8

    42:30: "Ok, so you've got people on 150 grand who have finished uni..."
    OK, yeah...
    This is the problem with Tom. He's too freaking rich to know what the average QLD'er is on!

  • @scottpetherick7650
    @scottpetherick7650 Před 27 dny +1

    First time I’ve heard Tom. Excellent chat.

  • @anitacohen8753
    @anitacohen8753 Před 25 dny +2

    Australia.........too huge an administrative class. The rest have bugger all! When this changes, so will the price of housing. We are yet to discern that there are two groups in Australia. One with money, the other with nothing!

  • @OzzyBoz
    @OzzyBoz Před 27 dny

    Hi Mark, what do you think of have the 1031 exchange policy from the USA introduced here? It will trigger a lot more sales, more stamp duty.

  • @james3744
    @james3744 Před 26 dny +1

    Bank portfolio analytics should always be treated carefully. You will find that many times the underlying data is mis-specified or downright wrong.
    Also, be very wary of paying down your mortgage too quickly, because if the market ever gets truly rattled and house prices start falling rapidly, the banks will reduce that available limit (the amount you could theoretically redraw because you are ahead) and tell you after its done it. If you are near your limit, then its a lot more work.
    Keep your payments up to date, but keep the extra cash in a 100% offset account. The added bonus, is that if you buy another property, and want to keep the current one as a rental, you have not boned yourself in terms of tax and interest deductability.

  • @dustingoldsworthy7303
    @dustingoldsworthy7303 Před 26 dny +2

    interest rates come down, house prices go up and we are back to food sharing and mortgage stress, and high rents...

  • @stuart249
    @stuart249 Před 26 dny +1

    The stats about it taking 20 years to save for unit are based on single people income, with a 20% deposit. If you are a couple and can get a 5% deposit you can do it a few years. But if you’re single, it’s extremely hard!

  • @Rojosi
    @Rojosi Před 26 dny

    Underrated spend area is medical, private everything outside of any gov subsidies especially dental!

  • @benhamilton574
    @benhamilton574 Před 26 dny +2

    Government needs to connect the satellite cities like Newcastle, Bathurst Orange and Woollongong to Sydney via high speed rail. This will give more of a chance to young people to buy a house outside of Sydney but still be connected to the city whether this is work or play. Sydney is now a global city like New York, London or Paris (for example) where affordability is extremely low and only the wealthy can afford.

    • @nicolle_2944
      @nicolle_2944 Před 25 dny

      All the wealthy immigrants can afford it, just not locals. Stop the foreign demand, stop the problem.

    • @sodot887
      @sodot887 Před 9 dny

      No that's too smart an idea for our politicians, no no, keep that quiet to yourself mate it's too benficial

  • @DIEGOARTESAO
    @DIEGOARTESAO Před 21 dnem

    Great content and expressed kind of realistic sense of what’s going on not what media says despite people got freaked following media’s predictions regard the interest and so on.

  • @redgatecrt
    @redgatecrt Před 26 dny +3

    I don’t think people understand that even higher inflation and higher interest rates will be back within 12 months. As a result, financial repression will be introduced and those in debt for non income producing assets will be left holding the bag.

  • @ja88ott
    @ja88ott Před 12 dny

    @yellowbrickroadtv hi, what is your opinion on fixing the Negative Gearing and Capital Gains taxation?

  • @sbk2262
    @sbk2262 Před 27 dny +4

    Reject the basic assumptions of civilization-especially the importance of material possessions.

  • @jammashjam
    @jammashjam Před 26 dny

    I just realised I bumped into Tom Panos at a 2BR Burwood auction and he said the same thing lol units are a good property to buy. How important is pre-approval if your income hasn't changed?

  • @cryptocounselor9415
    @cryptocounselor9415 Před 22 dny

    Great engagement and thats good Tom has proper experience in the rich and poor side of different spectrums of people ie understanding of the real estate market.
    Im writing a book when my health (i hope) gets better about sharing with housemates and the shit rental market. Been stuck in rental b.s. in Melbourne 12yrs, now when the house is literally falling apart my agent is being a dismissive prick of a bully. Have severe health issues, no proper family to help with love,and now i need to get out of the house due to mould/sewage issues😢
    Sad thing...i kept the house going keeping my mouth shut.

  • @robm1415
    @robm1415 Před 8 dny

    Exactly. There is too much "commentary" around rate movement expectations. There are a lot of people hanging on waiting for interest rates to come down ("as promised") but property prices are going up, people are spending, new car regos are at record levels, interest rates are relatively higher if you look at the last 5 years, but if you look at 20 years they are not high at all. Where is the case to reduce rates in that context???

  • @dsinghr
    @dsinghr Před 25 dny

    Blue chip suburbs like Glen Waverley and Mount Waverley in Melbourne south east have seen price rise in last three months. A townhouse with 300 sqm in decent condition now goes for 1.45 mils while just early next year, many of these sold around 1.35 mils. And the ones which are well built and less than 10 years old, they are going crazy between 1.5 to 1.65. That’s the house price !!

  • @shazmac8555
    @shazmac8555 Před 27 dny +4

    Who would buy a unit for $7M? How about buy land & become self sufficient, they are going to need it.

  • @gav240z
    @gav240z Před 21 dnem +2

    38 mins rich people spending more shouldn't cause inflation. CPI is a measured based on a basket of goods. It's the price of those items in the basket increasing ahead of wage inflation that's the issue.

    • @rodmunch1012
      @rodmunch1012 Před 15 dny

      Not sure about Australia. But in Canada it is known as the C P Lie. Because the list of goods year in year out is not immutable.

  • @amyhudson1016
    @amyhudson1016 Před 20 dny

    Who said inflation needs to be between 2-3% When determining inflation are wages considered in the final number?

  • @weekends4xploring325
    @weekends4xploring325 Před 26 dny +1

    There needs to be better rules around investing into residential property. The issue isn’t the interest rates, the rates are only a current issue because of a bigger issue which is residential property has become such a huge investment platform that it has become out of hand.
    I’m a property investor myself (small time). It’s the big time investors those who have made epic money from residential property in the buy and hold(rent). Investing in residential property needs to be capped and only personal purchases not companies or businesses.

  • @LibertyDownUnder
    @LibertyDownUnder Před 20 dny

    I think people are paying off MORE as it is no longer easier to keep cash elsewhere.
    People who had equity loans and for example bought shares - now have a big incentive to sell the shares and put the money back in an offset account. Makes perfect sense.

  • @user-pu6jv7wi5x
    @user-pu6jv7wi5x Před 27 dny +3

    Mark will gain every time the Gov puts up rates ,he dosent need another $1

    • @user-pu6jv7wi5x
      @user-pu6jv7wi5x Před 27 dny

    • @harperproperties1306
      @harperproperties1306 Před 27 dny +7

      Yeah these guys are out of touch with reality...money is no concern to them. Real estate agents just get up my nose because I know the ridiculous commissions they receive for not doing much at all. Real estate sells itself now.

    • @williamcrossan9333
      @williamcrossan9333 Před 27 dny +1

      @@harperproperties1306 Yeah, I cant believe that sector is still going the way it is. I would have thought something would replace this madness by now.

  • @daryldeuter683
    @daryldeuter683 Před 26 dny

    Great podcast, GST rise makes so much sense...problem is untrustworthy politicians won't reduce it when they say they will

    • @nicolle_2944
      @nicolle_2944 Před 25 dny

      GST increases hurt the poorest people the most. It would only ever go up, as the biggest lie about inflation is that it is caused by money printing and government spending, not consumer spending. It's a double hit as the expansion of money also reduces the value of the existing currency.

    • @robertr1421
      @robertr1421 Před 25 dny

      Just remember, only 2 weeks to flatten the curve

  • @annefraser2915
    @annefraser2915 Před 11 dny

    For housing we need to allow tiny homes, they are a great interim measure to get people off the streets. We need to invest and support prefab housing factory made and assembled on site in a day. There are some excellent solutions out there. However councils are very contrived around their permits. I am talking about solutions for rural areas. Granny flats in the cities need to be allowed for renters not just your elderly relative. Even if councils were flexible for a period of 10 years while the government is doing their traditional builds promised. Property in Australia is our gold. There is nothing like it to make money with. Young people can buy property out side of where they live that are positively geared or they can do the old lets buy with a group of mates with our names on the title and live in it and pay it down. Yes there are some excellent buys in other countries where it is so much more affordable. Just remember there is a deal out there for you the right size.

  • @tonechowdhury3739
    @tonechowdhury3739 Před 22 dny +1

    Maybe they should stop migration in John Howard's era migration was minimal

  • @k.b4273
    @k.b4273 Před 24 dny

    Most home loan repayments on a home was less than what renters were paying.

  • @DanTuber
    @DanTuber Před 22 dny

    No one knows which way rates are going. it's all a guessing game. But i'd agree with tom's guess, if anything we might get a raise but it all depends what happens overseas.

  • @terryp6396
    @terryp6396 Před 25 dny

    dont forget the small real estate agencies, farmers and property investors prior to 2010 that subdivided or bought like crazy, sold a small portion and held the rest. Despite them holding interest only debt they saw stupid amounts of equity and rental income generation particularly in smaller cities that can now perpetually buy.

  • @amyfyffe8158
    @amyfyffe8158 Před 26 dny +3

    the pure bred expensive prestige dog markets completely gones
    no1 is buying dogs or has the money to buy 4000/5000$ dogs.
    most breeders have stopped doing litters or breeding

  • @standcontractdelta8120

    I was looking for a house, the prices are just ridiculous though. I can afford one, but it feels wrong to me to support the rip off prices. I just lost enthusiasm after seeing countless 2 bedroom cheaply-constructed tiny townhouses for 700k in really uninspiring areas.

  • @johnny-yi2oi
    @johnny-yi2oi Před 26 dny

    I think what surprised me the most was that Tom Panos didn't start yelling his argument at you Mark.

    • @geoffvalero3516
      @geoffvalero3516 Před 26 dny +2

      but the basic premise of his arguement is increasing values is the norm and the solution..his argument is actually the problem..ever increasing house prices is a bad thing!!

  • @alex98b627
    @alex98b627 Před 25 dny

    There is only way to slow down house prices - balance the supply and demand.
    How to do that is where the complexity lies. Many options for this, and some of them will not be supportive of first home buyers in the short term. And because most of the solutions are unfair to certain demographics - that’s why the politicians don’t implement them.
    For example, ‘back in the day’ home buyers needed a huge deposit whereas now buyers only need 5% plus stamp duty. There was a period during the early 2000s (when prices when gangbusters) that buyers could borrow 105% home loans. Regulating a min 20% deposit and banning LMI would significantly reduce demand and therefore reduce prices, but would be wildly unpopular.
    On the Supply side, we desperately need more more medium density housing in existing neighbourhoods. But NIMBYs fight against this, so that most new housing is skyscrapers or on the outskirts. This is not sustainable but legislating medium density housing in the middle ring suburbs would be wildly unpopular. It’s ironic that the NIMBYs who fight medium density also love London, Paris, Barcelona and Copenhagen which are perfect examples of how 3-5 storey medium density housing creates great outcomes.

  • @IsaacLHarrison
    @IsaacLHarrison Před 14 dny +1

    Love good aussie content. Ta lads!

  • @c.s2001
    @c.s2001 Před 27 dny

    Listened to Chalmers not Chambers.

  • @Svinky-mate
    @Svinky-mate Před 27 dny +32

    Time to bring in Pauline

    • @sydney8382
      @sydney8382 Před 27 dny +2

      Hanson? 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

    • @harisdiz.5817
      @harisdiz.5817 Před 27 dny +2

      And you believe she'll fix the corrupt system? Bless you...

    • @Turd_farmer
      @Turd_farmer Před 26 dny

      ​@harisdiz.5817 Funnily enough she is probably our best chance at swinging the current Liberal voters away from the 2 corrupt major parties. She's batshit crazy, but the Labor or Liberal voting shit has to stop.

    • @voodoodoctor1435
      @voodoodoctor1435 Před 26 dny +2

      @@harisdiz.5817 so keep voting for the UNI-PARTY?

    • @crazyham
      @crazyham Před 26 dny +3

      One Nation are the most genuine & for the people party we have in my opinion.
      🙏
      We need more One Nation power
      to keep the Ba**ards Accountable (Honest would be an impossibility 😂)

  • @evanovski
    @evanovski Před 27 dny

    Judo economist is talking his book with those rate increase predictions. They are largely term deposit funded so needs fixed lending to address his interest rate risk. Shape of yield curve will cost to hedge with swaps, so makes sense to try address it organically

  • @LibertyDownUnder
    @LibertyDownUnder Před 20 dny

    All these references to 'million' dollar houses used to be reserved for exclusive mansions. Now it's for just about anyone in Sydney / Melbourne.
    Whether prices go through the roof or collapse - this will end very badly for millions of people.
    Very sad. Also very avoidable if average citizens educated themselves more on these issues.

  • @nicholasgad2781
    @nicholasgad2781 Před 26 dny +1

    The GST example is never going to happen. If GST is increased, it will never go down.

  • @tristan4491
    @tristan4491 Před 26 dny +1

    Inflation is a monetary phenomenon, not a spending phenomenon

  • @gav240z
    @gav240z Před 21 dnem +1

    29 mins, only fans to buy a house? God.. I managed it, I invested in stock market for 10 years and bought a house with a substantial deposit, 4 years ago. I'm now in a position where my house is almost paid off ($30k to go). If I saved using bank deposits I would have never been able to do it. You must invest in a share market index fund.

  • @mangoman9290
    @mangoman9290 Před 27 dny +5

    As much as GST changes would be a good idea does anyone truly think a government will ever reduce the rate once it has been lifted? They would be drunk on the extra tax and come out with every reason under the sun to not reduce it.

    • @andrewkerr5296
      @andrewkerr5296 Před 27 dny

      Of course, there is nothing more permanent than a temporary government program

    • @M.-.D
      @M.-.D Před 27 dny +4

      How about we stop taxing income/spending at the individual level and focus on leverage the massive resources industry we see little from.

    • @mangoman9290
      @mangoman9290 Před 27 dny

      @@M.-.D We should tax spending more, you buy more so pay more tax, this would also have the effect of reducing personal consumption. This should be balanced by reducing income tax, mostly by lifting the no tax threshold.

    • @M.-.D
      @M.-.D Před 27 dny

      @@mangoman9290 tax on spending rapidly accelerates wealth differences as essential spending is fixed costs while discretionary is the cream on top.
      If we focus on consumption tax my household can cut back to the same basics as an average income earner’s household and save $100-150k a year, and the capital gains can be rolled into further investments as income tax is being spared for a spending tax….
      Income through labour should be the lowest of taxes. Use of land should be taxed - penalising land banking and excessive land holdings that are held through generational luck or rezoning.

    • @mangoman9290
      @mangoman9290 Před 27 dny +1

      @@M.-.D You and I arnt normal, we can live frugally and bank the extra coin but average Jill and Joe will still spend spend spend. If a Kmart pair of jeans is $30 instead of $20 they will buy it, if a 60" tv is $2000 instead of $1000 they will still buy it. Most essential spending is exempt from GST so if someone like us want to FIRE or just get ahead in life then we could take advantage of higher GST and lower Income tax, but most wouldnt.
      If they had the saving mindset then they would have banked a huge amount in the last decade whilst interest rates were sub 5%. But no, they get used to the extra money in their pockets, get used to the spending and when rates come back to the long term average they cry poor.
      Tax the consumers and reward the frugal.

  • @cryptodojoau5425
    @cryptodojoau5425 Před 15 dny +2

    While currencies printing is tolerated and promoted by coercion and manipulation?...
    Stores of value, gold, real estate, Bitcoin, rare art, collectable wine, low stock to flow ratio commodities will seem to be increasing in price!!
    It's not the values rising! It's the currency devaluing!
    Nearly, nearly!, all analysis is an illusion beyond that.

  • @williamcrossan9333
    @williamcrossan9333 Před 27 dny

    21:28: Wow. that is genuinely disturbing. But I see much more protests in the community, about events not even on our shores. So I guess the public must be OK with this?
    And those without inherited wealth?

  • @philmelb1022
    @philmelb1022 Před 26 dny

    1 on 1 economics wages go up prices go up business cost go up materials go up services go up gurss what fellers interest rates go up.

  • @dustingoldsworthy7303
    @dustingoldsworthy7303 Před 26 dny +3

    Overpriced housing in crippling this country for the sake of benefiting those who own more than one property... oh and those in the real-estate transaction businesses.
    The next generation wont be able to buy.. millions of Australians! and AI impacts of incomes.. well who knows, the rules of the game are changing and also the game.

    • @nicolle_2944
      @nicolle_2944 Před 25 dny +1

      Who is buying up all the homes?? Recent immigrants and foreign buyers.

  • @nathanspinks6676
    @nathanspinks6676 Před 11 dny

    Can this be made into a podcast? i don’t have time to watch youtube

  • @waffle_burger8499
    @waffle_burger8499 Před 21 dnem

    Very Sydney-centric discussion, the Western suburbs are not representative of the rest of the country. They also keep saying "high rates", but the actual cash rate is not high by historical standards, all that's happened is that rates have reverted to historical norms. We all got used to 1-2% cash rates in the 2010's and during covid, but this was never going to last. Try the early 1990's, where some people's mortgages were 15%.

  • @stevesimeonidis5488
    @stevesimeonidis5488 Před 13 dny

    Can you say ‘every dollar extra they pay towards their Loan can give them a 6.5% return’?

  • @goranstojanovski5213
    @goranstojanovski5213 Před 24 dny

    in terms of GST narrative. We should have two different groups of itemisation essential products and services and luxury products services.
    Introduce 25% GST on luxury goods.
    Problem is government collecting more revenue will be used to Chanel towards populist policy which will drive further inflation.

  • @striderGMT
    @striderGMT Před 15 dny

    Thanks for your video Mark. The irony is nobody wants the new units anymore after dodgy builders and developers self certifying and building trash like at mascot and Olympic park. We need more red tape to ensure the quality of buildings.
    There's a glut of new units available nobody wants to buy but rents are sky rocketing on them more than it would cost to have a mortgage. There's a stigma now on new units thanks to Mascot and Opal towers. And only the old brick 6-12 unit buildings are selling. It sucks for those that bought new units 7-10 years ago before the debacle of structural defects coz they have hardly had any capital growth no equity to buy and upgrade after 10 years of ownership. Albanese and Labor have only made it worse too. Australia is such a lazy inefficient country compared to Japan.

  • @striderGMT
    @striderGMT Před 15 dny +2

    I think the answer is to cut negative gearing and CGT discount coz a home has turned into a pure asset when it should be an essential. Can't run a small business with such crazy property costs and rent. It permeates through the whole economy. Can't afford to start a family and live in a shoe box. The last 30 years of property boom is a disgrace!