Friedman on the “Two Chinas” and How Putin Saves Face

George Friedman says there are two Chinas: one based in Shanghai and another that is still effectively a third-world country. He paints a grim picture of China, with security lockdowns, home inspections, and paralysis among its leaders. He says Xi Jinping may have already lost control, and the risk of civil war is real.
George and I also unpack the military stalemate in Ukraine and the increasingly complex posturing in the Middle East.
You will also hear why China won’t invade Taiwan, which Middle East country is the best model for success, and how the US could help end the war in Ukraine.
George Friedman is a renowned geopolitical strategist, best-selling author, and the founder of Geopolitical Futures. You can get special access to his work at Geopolitical Futures by following the link below.
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Time stamps:
00:00 - Introduction
03:08 - Russia’s threat to NATO
07:50 - China’s economic demise
09:21 - America’s price for helping China
10:05 - Political unrest threatens civil war in China
13:30 - Why China won’t invade Taiwan
14:47 - The two Chinas
18:38 - American and European resilience
20:55 - The multisided war in the Middle East
32:02 - What the US got right in Ukraine