Is World War III on Its Way? | George Friedman at Brain Bar
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There's never been a century that didn't have global war, says George Friedman, Founder of Geopolitical Futures. Today's generation lives in a fantasy of creativity. It is not Bill Gates or Steve Jobs who have spurred rapid technological development, but war. Everything from GPS to smartphones originate from war. There's not going to be another 70 years before the next one.
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Really not a fan of the interruptions. I watched this to hear George Friedman talk, not to see random clips of tourists in Budapest.
That part sucked.
they have this without the cuts
It is imperative that each and every one of us, without exception, become well-informed, free of misinformation and disinformation, about what is actually taking place in the world today.
Michael Epstein absolutely..question is will we do anything w this knowledge;)
Merkel: pffft
Oh, well then. We are all DOOMED! DOOMED!
I really enjoying listening to George Friedman (I'm English) He is informative and engages you in his thinking whether you agree or not ...
In WW 3 nobody wins
We all lose
Hopefully.
It’s only a matter of time until WW3
Rameel & Azazel win!
Yeppers! Nukes. Ocean's will not save Us
But? It is coming.
no actually mass murder always results in a transfer of power
Not many people know this but the harmless little “Selfie Stick” was developed from the Scottish Claymore.
Joking aside, very interesting vid. Freaky that our smartphones were born out of war and death.
Obviously anything developed for war would (eventually) be applied to other things, but I don't think that necessarily means that ONLY war develops new ideas or products. I think a recent example of advances in "computer graphics" which seem to be driven by the "gamer" market, which has invested mostly in this technology. It used to be that the military was developing computers and graphics. I suspect these days, the military just use gamer tech.
no way to keep corrupt people from talking advantage of country's .in democracy you just need a group of hi rank corrupted people to equal one dictator.
I don't think you can call Germany a declining power.
Hello my name is Austin salazar the real meaning of this video as me from 21 year old man is that in this real world every young man in every generation in the future can become their dreams come true just remember in the past of reminder of the bible says there will always be war it does not mean all civilians have to be afraid because the past was frightening but starting now if you believe in the future there is no need to worry about war only because your goals in life are more important to become somebody special for example I want to travel so I travel an work hard.this is a correct answer to life in general um you know.
George is 100% right. The future of Europe is in Eastern Europe. An Intermarium connecting the Baltic sea with the Aegean and the East Med.
An intermarum is excellent. Then US Russia and Eastern Europé can fight its wars and Western Europé can do what we do best. Party.
dominic k used to be
+aviomaster Mackinder-Spykman! Only from that I know you know.
+aviomaster I know. I am Greek, I am forced to know about Mackinder and the Rimland theory as Spykman renamed it. By all means, even Mackinder was not the first to state it : the theory was already known to British, as the basics were known already by their Venetian godfathers (Britain developed into a power out of Venetian investments when they failed to make it big with their earlier investment at Netherlands) and it was discussed even among American so-called Fathers of Revolution. Our nation - tough luck - holds a very central role in this viewing and it is stated that it has to be contained and controlled. I can dig you out papers from the 18th century discussing on that. I could drop you down the full list of European affairs of the past 300 years and they all tie to this theory. The only reason the French Revolution happened and Napoleon existed was to go wage war on Russia simply because the British did not want to do it themselves and there was no other great power in central Europe at the time. Did you ever notice that every "great power" who waged war against Britain sent its 60% to 90% of its army in...Russia? I.e. Britain's no1 enemy! LOL! People think the modern world begins with the French Revolution or the American Revolution but in reality the modern world begins with 2 events :
1) The 7 years war => establishment of Britain as No1 imperial power and rising of Russia as an opposing force
2) The Greek revolution of 1768 => destruction of Ottoman navies causing a weakening of the Barbary piracy and a re-opening of the Mediterranean trade-routes, the reason why the British wanted to rush to close it by waging war against Russia (and thus sending the French to do so...) and supporting a zombie Ottoman Empire to repress the Greeks to not resurface back.
To this day, the Mediterranean is just a passage. If the Mediterranean trade-route really re-opens that will open up a new chapter in world history and the then world will be not at all as we know it now.
Trust me, I know very well the Rimland theory... very well...
+aviomaster P r e c i s e l y ! I am intrigued to learn where you are from because all that deep geopolitical knowledge is somehing that most British, Germans and of course Americans ignore. Even if you tell them they react to that. They do not realise it is not just about owning resources. It is about setting and controlling monopolistic-oligopolistic traderoutes, that is how you control the world. The WWI started in 1914 : the very year the Transiberian was completed! Communism in Russia was pre-prepared for at least 30 years prior the Red Revolution of 1917 and it is interesting to note that as early as in the 1870s when a German nationalist (whose name I forget) who was anti-marxist met finally Marx in person, he changed opinion over him and even called him a "German patriot" for he told him that "communism was to be first implemented in Russia". I.e. the German nationalist considered that communism applied in Russia would be catastrophic for Russians and as such it would be a means for Germans to control all their massive land and resources - or so he calculated - the piece of information of course is not this one but rather the fact that Marx knew that the ideology he was paid to spread was meant to be applied in future in Russia, i.e. that was a well known well-prepared well-financed plan.
The biggest threat to U.S national security is cronic obesity.
Our own Pentagon issued a report that stated that less than 30% of our adult population between 18 and 30 meets the minimum physical fitness requirements to be inducted into the military.
It also stated that the average American Soldier is now 40 lbs heavier than than he was in World War 2 and wouldn't be inducted into the military by the stricter standards of the selective service of the World War 2 era.
Half of the American population is cronicly overweight.
This not effects our country's ability to defend itself but also has become the leading cause of unnatural death due to the direct effects of health problems associated with obesity and bad excercize and dieting habits which has also had a hand in the sky rocketing cost of Health Care and insurance cost.
America has a very bad weight problem and nobody wants to talk about it.
“I do not know with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.” - Albert Einstein.
This quote (or at least a version of it) dates back to the 1940s, when the first nuclear weapons were being developed. Although Albert Einstein didn’t actually develop the atom bomb, his work did make such a device possible:
He was wrong. There will be 3 world wars in a short time period not including the first and the second w.wars. The third w.war will be short but very destructive and the fourth also. The fifth will be the last before Jesus returns to put a stop at this campaign otherwise nobody will be left alive. That's prophecy that no one believe in. Einstein was crazy and a lot of people today are crazy too. The illuminaties are behind the world wars organizations and the International bankers are the Rothschilds and architects of wars because they make trillions doing that but they are satanistists and know more about prophecies than anyone on this planet except God. They are assholes.
Unfortunately it cannot be prevented. Such is human nature.
Mr. Friedman has many valid points which he normally conveys in a very logical and linear way. The editing of this video makes him sound like a crazy hack. Almost all of it is completely out of context. I don't agree with everything he has to say, but he is better than this video portrays him and worth listening to.
Former soviet union countries are filled with great scientists, artists, opera singers, athletes, classical musicians and dancers, etc, specially the baltic states (thanks to the Soviet Union regime) which any US citizen with money thinks they have a right to exploit.
I love humanity, let us care about each-other, let us reach to each-other, let us know each-other, let us build brides of respect and love instead of hate. we are all brothers and sisters. let us hope for tomorrow. Peace on the mother Earth.
Are you Ukrainian by chance? Russian?
This guy is spot on he’s so intelligent and so true what he says
Well look at it this way everybody, when we all kiss our preferably asses goodbye
we can all take a selfy . So humanity really did make an ass of itself!!!. as it always does.
I find him bitterly and helpfully realistic and thought provoking.
Goerge Bush with plastic surgery
best comment ever lmaooo
Naah , bush would need a substantial brain upgrade to be anywhere near that intellect.
No! He looks and talks and laughs just like Dubya, but he’s got brains to spare! It makes it fun.
They just don’t care about the kids and the little little ones like can we just live in piece and be in a normal planet with no wars. Please please please don’t let it happen 😕😭😭😭😭😫😫😫😫😭😕
I need some entertainment in my life
Consider that historically the institutions with the hugh budgets have been governments and the spending done for defence proposes,.. which was understandable and necessary, however now certain individuals and companies also have hugh resources (both financial and recently AI processing ),.. goals and objectives will in part now be determined by those individuals and companys. I am not sure what implies for the human race going forward.
I hope so. We really need one.
Russia is declining Germany is screwed ... fine.
But how in the hell Poland is doing well??
Friedman is a prestidigitator.
Germany is dependent on exporting 50% of its GDP .
This means that 80% of the planet is dependent on Germany high end engineering and high quality manufacturing.
He is talking about Steve jobs marketing and he is doing the same. Basically making thing appears different from what they really are.
If you look deeply on his speech you will see that he is a great marketing guy that works for a declining empire. the one who still survive thanks to the dollar system. Without it they are just nothing and to keep it alive they need to convince you that any other nation is an enemy.
This is false the U.S will stay static Russia and Germany are in decline. China will be checked by a coalition of the U.S, India and other small Asian nations. China will then go into decline with less manpower by 2050.
ant21b
Wishful thinking
Said Aliouane yeah that is crazy.Polish are all imigrants running around europe to make an earning
Poland is independent and not under the thumb of Russia, Germany or Austria. That is doing VERY well! Poland is even giving Germany back talk about immigration and such!
The impudent nerve!
Nukes changed the equation. There can be economic war, tech war, cyber war, but actual conflict between nuclear powers is unlikely.
Hard to argue that there was a global war before the 17th century, so that opening is a bit overblown.
Hundred Years War, Thirty Years War, Moorish invasion of Spain/Europe, Ottoman invasion of Austria/Europe.
Heh, heh! The globe was smaller then! Existential wars to the death still a thing.
And here we are !
WW3 comes
North Korea: Time to use my nukes
George admits that his own studies had a profound effect on his thinking. Karl Marx studied in London and America. UNder whom? Who do you think were the real authors behind Das Kapital? They (Marx and Engels) lived way way above their means during those formative years. Who gave them that money? They were essentially poor, but lived very very well!? Did George by the way study German Philosophy in German or English? Only German would give you a deep insight. English is insufficient. Not precise.
Watching at 1.5 speed. Feels normal.
I also believe that technology is mostly created for military purposes and after a while it is given to the entertainment or transportation industry
I would assert that powered vehicles were developed for the convenience of wealthy civilians, and then for the American masses with the advent of the Ford Model T in 1908.
The military then came along and said "Hey, that's cool!"
But during WWI, the French military famously had to commandeer the Parisian taxis to get troops to the front in an emergency.
The canals of Britain and the United States were developed primarily for civilian shipping, not the military. I suggest the same thing was true of railroads, which began serving the military during the Civil War, decades after they were developed for civilian and industrial transportation.
Please feel free to pick apart these examples, and to add others.
The electric utility/power grid was developed in the late 19th century to serve civilian needs, I suggest. The military certainly decided that was keen and plugged in too.
This guy’s batting about 50%. In the majors that would be a phenomenal average, but in calling economic and political events in the future, that’s no better than flipping a coin. There will be a war, or there won’t. The big question is when.
...the ad to support the producer is inserted in the video itself ...that's why seen this is awkward.
on going
Ge also needs to define world war if he thinks cyber war hes probably right but i think conventional war is over
>
Heh, heh!
Everyone complaining about the editing of the video...completely missed the point of the video. Smh. You all are focused on the wrong shit. Hence why we are slaves to what is modern technology.
dont bother clicking on this vid so many ads.
Hey, youre also here.
Period
😂😂..yep..🍻🍻
Now all that technology is in the hands of the enemy!
tay sezginer and I hear that China in particular actively seeks out technology and steals it if necessary. They rapidly expand their military and it range of operations. And they profess to be displeased with North Korea but yet enable Kim’s political survival. 😬
Ha I've learned to cook on the interniet.it can be used for good or evil
Interesting thoughts partly obscured by the addition of utterly bizarre and random clips.
An eclectic mix, but the trashy music and format gain you a downvote. Never mix distraction with analysis.
rome had near constant warfare, and pretty slow technical progress.
I mean yea they were nowhere near the same level as the Greeks. I know that pulleys, fulcrum, aqueducts ( it carried clean drinking waters miles to the Roman capital) , sewer systems, armor and melee weapons ( roman armor had joints that made it flexible giving the roman soldier free range most motion, Roman shields were layers of wood, reinforced with steel, Roman swords and spears were considered the best in the world as well) they seem like archaic technology, but you have to to understand how basic humanity was before The Roman Empire to appreciate how much they really did for humanity. During the Punic Wars they developed a device that allowed the inferior Roman ships to board the Carthaginian ships. The Romans would ram into the enemy ship, then they would slam this bridge onto their deck. The bridge had spikes at the bottom that pierced the ship, making it difficulty to remove. Then the Romans would board the ship with heavy infantry and slaughter the unarmored sailors. The Romans were also masters in Architecture. Take a trip to Rome sometime. It's still standing after all these years. They even incorporated architecture into war. They would be deep in enemy territory with Intel that an army much larger than theirs was on the way. They would build a make shift fort in less than 24 hours and repel the numerically superior army. This is the only reason Julius Caesar survived one of his battles with the Gals. I hate to make stuff up, but I want to say he was outnumbered either 10 to 1 or 20 to1. I know, compared to technology developed during the industrial revolution, the Roman Empire looks like a bunch of cave men in metal suits, but there is a reason why Britain, France, Germany, and Russia all claim to be the heirs (or maybe the grandchildren lol) of the Roman Empire. Even the U.S has an obsession with the Roman Empire. Wherever the Romans conquered, civilization followed. This is why many people were happy to become a Roman territory, in the begining, when Rome was prospering. Again compared to an iphone the Romans look like Mexico lol. But all that shit you take for granted like roads, bridges, big buildings, the bones, the foundation of any city. The Romans made huge advances in all of it. Roman concrete is actually superior to modern day concrete. Roman concrete can last thousands of years. The Romans made sea port out of concrete that mother fucker actually became stronger from the sea water and it will be there forever until it gets blown up. Porters concrete will last 100 years tops. They dont suggest going past 50 years though. And sea water destroys Porters concrete.
Whoa...
what vas central europ in 19 century?
Same as today. Austria-Hungary and Germany is basically the definition of Central Europe of 19th century and today. German-speaking countries: Austria, Germany, Switzerland and countries of former Austria-Hungary: Czech Republic, Slovenia, Slovakia, Hungary, Poland are Central European countries.
Yes
DEEP!
some interesting facts about technology, but we don't have to kill each others.. It is the psychopaths we must route out...
It’s true, same in China, look at Jack Ma and others, invented nothing, but good at combining investment fund and marketing ideas and existing technologies.
Why Germany is declining? Population? Muslims rising? Neomarxism?
even thought I've sat here and made fun of this video I've actually really enjoyed it. But before I go did anyone else notice how many times this dude laughed though his nose
Now it is💀
Who's gniffling in the background
Well, that's 25 minutes I'll never have again. A lot of chunter with no conclusion...
It's not World War III. It's World War Z.
what the hell is wrong with the editing
Cell phones were created so we could talk to our people constantly . Right?
He doesn't seem to recognize that there is an effect of technologies on the human brain and perception such that each technological era has a specific mentality associated with it. This is vastly more important than war, and you could look at war as a social technology that is the product or outcome of a technological mentality. There have been regional wars, local wars, and civil wars throughout history, but there were no global wars until there was instantaneous one-to-many mass communication by electricity. Even the maritime conflicts between France, England, Spain, and Germany were really regional wars that extended to their territories.
So we return to the insight that technology creates a social and cultural mentality, and we have to determine what perceptual mentality is being created by digital devices that replaces the one-to-many mass electrical mentality of the era from 1850 - 2010. And it's not a mass mentality, so there can't be a global war. That isn't the danger at all. The danger is that the global system that has been in place since the dawn of civilization, and was industrialized first by the mechanical revolution in Europe during the 15th century, is now ending. There is now no reason for a global war, because there is no viability for the competition to become a global hegemon. It's a losing proposition so you can sit back and watch the TV empires collapse while they attempt to gin up wars to justify their existence. We have extended all of the human limbs, organs, brain, and central nervous system along with all of the human senses, both exterior and interior. There is nothing left to extend. The Earth itself is now a museum and will soon become the focus of nostalgia as "the place where it all began". Get ready to jump.
Essentially the wars, especially the large regional or global wars, were resets than inaugurated a new cognitive mentality. But we are going to have to negotiate this transition to a new human mentality without that kind of a brute force reset, because the mentality that has been dominant since the previous cataclysm 12,000 years ago is "self terminating". A brute force reset won't fix it.
War. War never changes.
Wow easy on the soundtrack
I'm Polish. I'll be united with Hungary. George Friedmas - He goes to the roots, explaining everything, extremely intelligent person (and our English language unites us).
George Friedman (writing in darkness). Opened third eye to correct myself. Greetings Hungarians !!!
i'm from Romania, we should party together
Przemyslaw Rozycki
he is selling a narrative .. I would be careful of all the information
@@przemyslawrozycki946 „Polak, Węgier, dwa bratanki, i do szabli, i do szklanki.” Greeting from Hungary.
Hi welcome to ice age because we don’t know how to live friendly
He was wrong about the technology on everything apart from GPS lmao
The origins of the Internet were military, i.e. ARPANET.
The real geniuses invented something and then regret for inventing it.
And now he is a great American.
It's an interesing prediction, it may or may not happen. My guess is that Friedman is onto something. I also think that China will end up enemy of Russia not US. The main reason they have common border and territorial disputes in the Far East which also happens to be resource rich. George Friedman observed in another lecture that demographics is working against Russia
or simply put Russia's population is declining on a vast territory while China has 1b people and eyeing Russia's Far East and Siberia.
USA would support both sides to fight this war and would come as a winner from this. China knows this and also Russia. That is why i think they will unite against USA first and maybe then fight a new war.
Dragan: "I also think that China will end up enemy of Russia not US"
The facts belie your belief. China and Russia are working together on the "one belt road" project, that will connect the entire eurasian land mass.
Naturally a friendly Russia and China leaves the US isolated and threatened by the rise of Russia and China working in tandem.
Europe is a complacent savant to the States, it will do whatever it is told.
It is already in progress. Believe me.
False for a time they may be but their interests will diverge very quickly when China no longer needs Russia for anything. Wake up.
@@tomascorej9261 Whilst Turkey, Poland, Russia are throwing rocks at each other, China, Indonesia and a mixture of other island countries will invade (claim) Australia, USA will be busy elsewhere. Once Australia has been captured it will probably be shared as bounty.
this old guy is in the twilight zone.
GEORGE I CAN SEE YOU
Facebook was created so people can have a way to follow friends and store pictures. Right?
Wait...I thought Al Gore invented the Internet.
And he got the Nobel Prize for it, too!
this aged well
I've become to respect this guy...he reminds me of George W Bush...I guess it must be a Texas kinda thing ;)
Age brings such an inner calm...I do envy that...what an interesting person...
Leninism is not Marxism. Any new idea must go through Reintegration of how it is brought into physical reality. Theory is followed by multiple attempts to make it work, never happens quickly, easily. It is work. So what? Work is part of living.
Too bad you didn't have a chance to explain that to Lenin and Stalin. They would have disabused you with a shot to the head.
The big debate after the 10/17 revolution of Lenin was should the new political movement establish itself in Russia or just export the revolution to the world? As it happened, they did both (Comintern). China under Mao, Vietnam under Ho Chi Minhm, Cambodia under Pol Pot Cuba under Castro, all the eastern European Warsaw Pact countries suggest you are wrong.
Indeed, the "woke" political movement in the United States is Marxist-Leninist in it's rhetoric and methods, rather commonly.
The Communists haven't gone away. They are merely adopting one of their common strategies of "boring from within" at the present time.
The goals remain the same.
Only Americans can prevent it...
Since you know it...
With American determination: House+Senate can remove the causes leading to it ..
Move....
Absolutely!
DON'T get involved in the Ukraine War. Let the Europeans do that.
The United States is Not the policeman of the world.
Here we see the next Empire Fall like the way of an Impire, do not care someone like an Medici an he does not is
Ww1 ww2 ww3 WAIT A MINUTT
WW100 WILL HAPPEN WHEN IM DEAD :O
Its not WW3..It's just WW1 S1E03...
I think that George Friedman is rather deciding what will happen than forecasting it.
Wow you are dumb
East and west are in a war but the bullet are all shot in the east but soon they will be also shot in west.
Technology invented for war ALSO helps prevent war, too. In the 50's and 60's we heard about "nuclear deterrence" granted by ICBMs (intercontinental Ballistic Missiles). Bot sides were scared into avoiding war because it was too costly. There is the "hot line" telephone to Moscow. So the "arms race" may have actually given us 70 years without a major war - proof of something going right. He's right that we can imagine a better way, but humans are not still able to enact those imaginations, too bad. There's still conflict and brutal competition. But no major world war.
So this is really a promotion of technology, fueled by fear of war and some greed by the inventors to make money off the situation.
Humans are still very primitive.. !!!!!
Simple whoever talks about war and taxes should be arrested.
My discernment skills allowed me turn this ding bat off after only 10 minutes, I gave him time to redeem himself but he did not.
Let slip the dogs of war. Let them fly.....
Skip to 2:24 to bypass the pointless B-roll.
Never mind; the jarring cuts never stop.
Man some of these people probably got such a wake up. What?! Most of our advanced tech we use everyday was government created not by "innovative" capitalists. lol
tldr: yes
George, your mind may be stuck in 20 BC, but reality is the nuclear age now.
Chavdar Naidenov no I don’t think anyone with power is stupid enough to go there they are smart and you relize nuclear war would result in wipe out of entire world thus leaving the people with no power they want us they need us they want to enslave us they want power and killing us all takes there power away and they know that with us why they won’t resort to that
I love my WAR PHONE 😂😂😂😂😂😂
You obviously don’t know how to listen!!
It started in 2001 ,
Why is it that people of his religion are so pro war?
Brain , hy . There is a nuclear war coming; this iswritten in revelation chapter 18v 17. One third of the human race will die in just one hour by fire and brimstone. Also in revelation chapter 9 v. 14 to 19. And in chapter 16 is the same story.
operation Gladio
He complains about Marx, but offers no reason for his complaint, until he talks about Lenin. Any Marxist knows the difference between Marxism and Leninism ... Marxist wants Communism which is stateless, but Lenin insists there needs to be a transitional state, but its clear to me, why this fails! Communism with a monetary system, and a government, is much much similar to our way of capitalism, than any definition of Communism. To a scientific man like myself, where definitions have meaning, I cannot call what I witnessed during old war times, as anything even coming close to Communism. I call bullshit on anyone who says otherwise.
I think you are wrong Marxism-Leninism share the same idea while Stalinism ruin it into State
>
TEN YEARS in the gulag, for that remark!
Hey guys
Guess what
...saw this in other space in Google, well done, well presented (deserved an A+) but here (deserves and F -). See you never.
watch Europe-the last battle
Sorry, my listening skills are too disciplined to deal with this.
Call him what you may... But a clown he is not. Class dismissed.
Trying to make war appealing?
Sicko !
He states obvious about known facts and then when it comes to analyzing the CURRENT geo-political situation he is more than wrong... So he has to be lying.
He predicted the war in Syria, George and Ukraine, he also predicted the inevitable uniting of South East Asia and rise of China. Tell me again how he's wrong ?
What a sensationally stupid cutting of the video.