Second Half Goal Hunt - A Traders Holy Grail
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- čas přidán 6. 08. 2022
- Second Half Goal Hunt - A Traders Holy Grail
Let's delve deeper into Laying The Half Time Correct Score and Laying Under Markets @Half Time.
The criteria I use for the Second Half Goal Hunt and game selection.
Join us on a journey to find A traders Holy Grail.
Laying Under 1.5 Goals Strategy 👉 • A Low Risk Football Tr...
Lay The Correct Score Strategy 👉 • Lay The Half Time Corr...
Discord Server Link 👉 / discord
#Goals #GoalHunt #MakeMoneyFromGoals - Sport
Well, that put everything on hold for 30 minutes - thanks guys and especially Aaron for his sheet and the explanation in the vid. Need a cold beer after that! 🍺🤣
Fantastic, this makes it much easier. Looking forward to getting right into this process.
great video again. And the spreadsheet is a work of genius, thanks guys
This is fantastic content. I've also just joined the discord. Good luck chaps ❤️
Amazing!!! Thank you so much James and Aaron for this crack video. Nice to see a new pic of you James 😎
Great IDEA...thank you Trading the Market !!!
You are really amazing! I cannot thank you enough. Awsome!
Very noble of you! Can't thank you enough. Definitely the best channel out there, like no other.
Wow, thank you!
Great vid I’m going to try and automate the lay under 👍I’ll be joining discord soon too 🎉
The lads put a lot of time into helping me this morning. Sorted my problems with the spreadsheet and all good. Ready to learn now
Your more than welcome Mark 👊🏻
Thank you made my 7 figures thanks
World class 👍 the saying “if you give a man a fish” springs to mind. Many thanks Gents 👍👍
Just discovered this channel and what a gold mine. I can't believe the information and the learning I've got from listening and reading in just a single day. Thank you all so much.
Bot ?
@@skymarshall7379Don't be daft, now is it you who is the BOT?
@@BlockFHatter ahan juss checking
Good job !!!!!!
I need to download this spreadsheet 👌👏👏
Love the channel and the strategies shared just a thought on the trading the 3-0 correct score, wouldn't it be much more profitable to just back the first team to score? My reasoning being if the team you back doesn't score first your 3-0 trade is dead anyway?
Love the channel great video thanks guys ...
Great video, as a Trader, I’m trying to specialise in SHG … I’ve joined your Discord I need to become more active :-)
Don't be afraid to ask questions.
Everyone is helpful and you can even DM myself.
James 👊🏻
wow
What do you do if there are over 1.5 or 2.5 goals in the first half? Do you abandon it or still go for goals in 2nd half? Thanks
I probably missed it but are you trading out once the goal goes in or leaving the trade until the end of the game? Thank you
HI, when you say you backtested your strat across all the major leagues, which ones do you mean apart from PL, LA liga, Bundesliga and Serie A ?
finding it hard to find games where the odds are below 6 at ht on this market
especially if there is a goal to the fave
sometimes you have to wait till the 60th or 70th min and that's too late in the game
Hi, thanks for your video. Please could you list the major leagues you used for the 471 point profit you mentioned?
Hi Paul, the leagues are as follows.
English Premier League.
French Ligue 1.
Spanish La Liga.
Italian Serie A.
German Bundesliga.
for these favourable shg selections the starting odds are usually around 1.30, maby even lesser. Have you backtested them taking into account these staring odds solely in order to get the 410 units profit?
Thats actually amazing info. Does the spread update all the games? And if so how lol. Are people updating everything cos if so thats fkin impressive.
You can download the spreadsheet and update it yourself every day 👍🏻
Definitely one of the best channels out there for learning how to trade and for inspiration in perfecting strategies.
One question I would like to ask, as this video has given me an idea:
I like to back under 2.5goals at K.O and every 2 minutes after, I remove 20% of my liability, leaving me with profit or a free bet if it's still 0-0 after 10 minutes. Would I be more beneficial to increase my percentage each time I lay? So for example, after 2 minutes I remove 10%, after another 2 minutes I remove 20%, after another 2 minutes I remove 30%, until I have removed all my liability? I realise that I would only be in the market for only 8 minutes this way which would mean I could get out quicker. Or I could remove my liability every 2 and a half minutes? Do you think that would be more financially rewarding without increasing my risk at all? Many thanks for giving me the idea and hopefully I can learn more from your amazing channel!🙂
Hi Alex.
I think any scenario where you are removing your risk as quick as possible is the best course of action, the above scenarios you mentioned will not differ too much in your end profit but will remove your risk in the market quicker which is always a good thing in my opinion.
All the best with it and Happy Trading 💥
Hi Alex, what do you do if there is an early goal? Do you trade the next market, or do you cut your losses?
Thank you for this great video. Do you always get involved if the pre - match stats are favourable or do you take into account the in-play stats at half - time and decide whether to enter trade or not? For example, if there has only been one shot on target in the first half and/or no team showing dominant possession would you still get involved or wait for 10/15 minutes to see if the in-play action improves?
I trust the Stats and If the matches meet my criteria I will enter the trade regardless of in play stats 👍🏻
@@TradingTheMarket Thanks for quick reply. Great channel, by the way.
@@mangojones3707 thanks pal. Much appreciated 🙌🏻
@@TradingTheMarketI will agree seen so many games where the game is dead and goals come out of nowhere.
I have two question. Thanks in advance.
In 22:12 Aaron says : “I would be trading this game here…”, i.e. he shows what games he is going to trade. Trading only games that have SHG chance >60%>. However, the two games that he has chosen to trade have O1.5 goals chances less than 90%.
First question is> Do I take 60% SHG stat from league’s average or from L8 played games? Why? Which is more important?
Second question is>If you entered a trade with O1.5 goals chance being less than 90% does that mean that you wait only wait for one goal?
HI y are laying every 5 ticks and i goal scored before the 70 min also let it run or remove liab... but lay every 10 tick also be fine
because sometimes goals flying in time frame from 5 min like molde game yesterday.... for that lay u 1.5 sh can be fine
Hi great video, do I need to have Excel to do this as I don't currently have...if so any idea where I can get this reasonably priced??
You can purchase Excel 365 for £5.99 a month (the price of a beer) having it will greatly improve your selections using Aaron's data model 👍
Really good video, much appreciated. Here is my question. In the legging in example you gave, the total liability if the match ended 0-0 would be £54.50. But if a goal goes in say the 46th minute, the profit is going to be only about 4 quid. I realize most matches will eventually have a goal but the liability is big if they don't. Is it not more profitable to leg in say 3 times up to the 65th minute or so and then red out at 80 minutes if 0-0? Your liability would then be similar to your loss & if you have all your stats right, you will have your edge by winning 60% or so of the time. Or is there something i am missing as to why this version makes more money over time?
Hi Mike, The staking amounts are just an example, It's more the odds I am staking at that ensures a good profit from one goal, the matches I get involved with I am supremely confident of a SHG and my staking/no cash out reflects this.
I have a high SR with game selection and using this method.
It's entirely up to you the amounts you stake with as you leg in and also if you cash out at 80 mins, the amount of games with goals in the last 10 minutes and beyond are phenomenal so staking all the way to the end with increasing amounts really does work.
Game selection is the key component using my filters, having the discipline to not trade every game that looks lively without the stats to back up the reasons for entry.
This is where people fail. Getting on too many games and having a straight punt, a hit and hope so to speak.
@@TradingTheMarket Yes, that makes a lot of sense. Thank you for taking the time to explain, I appreciate it.
@@TradingTheMarket Hi so do you have a fixed staking plan ie in the example you would of potentially had 12 lays in total into the market....and is it as your example showed 7 lays at 1st stake 2 lays at double the 1st stake 1 lay at 4 times your 1st stake and 1 final lay of 10 times your origional stake ?
Thanks
sorry 2 lays at 4 times your 1st stake thats the 12 trades per game in total
At 22:10 Aaron highlights two games he will be trading for second half goals. Why though when only the filter for SHG has been met but not the 1.5, 2.5 columns? I thought all four of the filters outlined in this video had to be met.
Yeah it's an error in the video. It's Aaron's first video and you wouldn't know it. All 4 need to be met to trade it. But as always do your own research and play your own game. Thanks for pointing this out.
Hi guys - fabulous stuff.. but now my head is spinning - where best to start for a newbie like me... do i lay over 3.5 at ten minutes after kick off? Lay over 3.5 at start of half time? Lay correct score at halftime to 70 minutes, or lay unders after half time... blimey.. What market/trade would you guys suggest for a freebie to concentrate on initially so your head doesnt explode? Thanks a lot... now I'll go and download the spreadsheet.
As a simple starter strategy I would recommend Laying Over 3.5 Goals - there is also a video on the channel for this specific strategy.
James.
Do you take the HT score into consideration? What if fav is winning 5-0 at HT? Would you still expect a second half goal?
In most cases no, a score as extreme as 5-0 I would most likely give it a miss though.
Superb. but I love SportsTradingLife also.
🤮
Love giving them your money you mean
Great watch, could anyone share invite link to the discord chanel.
discord.com/invite/DHqFkQMCRv
Não está mais habilitado o fitro por datas?
Hey guys, great video but i'm a complete technophobe. I have downloaded the discord app on my computer and after that i'm lost. any tips on how to download the spreadsheet (which looks fabulous btw) I have no idea whether I need an invite or how to actually find your thread. Thanks in anticipation
Hi Gordon you need to click the discord invite link in the video description to join the server.
Once your in then head to the excel thread (you will find down the left hand side) and the spreadsheet is there waiting to be downloaded 👍🏻
what's the website used
Great video packed with loads of info. Just one point to make, you cannot get Aaron’s spreadsheets on Apple. I did message him and he confirmed this. Despite this there is still loads available in the discord group.
Hi Nigel a quick update, Aaron has informed me that he will now upload the sheet without formula every day so you can now use this on apple 👍🏻
Might sound like a silly question and sorry if it is, but why do you lay instead of backing on the over markets? Thanks in advance
It all depends on what you are trying to do and what strategy you are trying to implement
When Laying Overs you are effectively trading against the specified number of goals on the market and when backing the Overs you are trading in favour of the specified number of goals 👍
Is the SHG chance above 60% for the full season or for the last 8 games?
The SHG 60% is based on data for the season 👍🏻
how do you get the free spreadsheet? class vids 👍
You will need to join our Discord Server 👍🏻 discord.gg/DHqFkQMCRv
@@TradingTheMarket already have mate 👍
It's possible to get an invitation for the Discord Channel?
Thanks
discord.gg/KwsFQqnwrt 👌🏻
I've been umming and arming about Favourite price filter for some time and what I have found is the shorter the fav the more chance they have of scoring, which is pretty obvious.
However, the shorter the fav the longer the Btts generally and in the short while I've been really getting stuck in to stats, when there's two sides with a chance, it's often better than just one fav who may for some reason be fielding a weak team thinking it's going to be an easy match.
Toooooooo many bloody variable and options with football trading.
WTA tennis anyone? Lol
Yeah what we do is give you the framework. It's up to you to make the choices and if the is to many then why bother I suppose. Well we do pretty well out of it so might as well carry on.
can't find many top tier games with this criteria maybe they will come in the second half of the season
This strategy/criteria will not always give huge amounts of games to trade on, some weeks there will be a lot, some weeks there will be a couple and some weeks there will be none.
Just trade the Data and don't go hunting for games when there are none 👍
@@TradingTheMarket I find using the l8 shg% gives more game choice and just as much success
why haven't you included the over 0.5 stats? if it's 0-0 at ht surely you want to know the stats for over 0.5, if you only need 1 goal in the SH
If the over 1.5, 2.5 % and SHG % are high then the 0.5 % will be high anyway. 0-0@HT scoreline then surely one goal should almost be a given
@@TradingTheMarket thanks-keep up the good work👊
how do you join please
The link is in the video description and also on the channel banner 👍🏻
Excel does not allow me to update this, stating that it contains macros
Hi Mark, if you enable the macro's and you will be able to update. All the updates are macro-based. All files are virus free, so you have no concerns.
I thought I had enabled macros but its still not updating for some reason
I have enabled macros but getting an error message now saying run time error 1004: Also I only have 5 leagues showing. Having problems with discord too and have messaged Aaron on there
I can't find them on Discord either
What is it your looking for??
@@TradingTheMarket I have been watching your excellent videos on CZcams but want to look at all the good things that you say is freely available to us, but can't find out where to look
@@davidbennett6719 appreciate the love.
Join our discord server and you shall receive 👊🏻
Here is the link to join discord.gg/JE4J8aUczn
Create an account and then hit the link 💥
Your information is slightly incorrect.
At nine minutes in you suggest trading unders if we want immediate payout as laying correct score doesn't payout until full time.
Neither does one goal when you're trading on scoreline +1.5goals.
Cool story bro!
Mark beat me to this comment unfortunately 🤣
Sorry Zak you have your wires crossed. I am correct, when laying the under market instead of the correct score say the HT score is 1-0, instead of laying 1-0 lay the under 1.5 market. The SHG comes and the market closes and you are paid out immediately 👍🏻
@@TradingTheMarket yes this is correct, but if you go to the beginning of the video you are talking about if half time is 0-0 then youre going on 1.5 and if its 1-0 youre going on 2.5, meaning 2 goals to close the market. its right before your staking plan section, where youre talking about 1.60, 1.50 etc. there's no way youre getting those prices on current score +0.5 until after 80 mins
@@TradingTheMarket james' words not mine. watch from 2mins. "always a cushion of 2 goals"
@@zaklloyd4335 it's two different strategies mate. In that segment I'm talking about laying under markets with a drip lay stake which will need a cushion of 2 goals meaning go up to the next over/under market.
I dont mention the market will close here.
I joined the Sports trading life webinar which was claiming to be live. You couldn’t see anyone else participating and you could ask as many questions as you like, but you would never receive a reply. A complete sham
Sports Trading Life is an absolute Con, we have had many of our viewers tell us about the webinars not being live, spamming the chat with no reply and no one else commenting.
Your basically paying for an hours pre-recorded garbage designed to get you to pay for courses filled with strategies readily available on CZcams already for free.
#GiveAWideBirth
How the stl/uft guy gets away with it I don't know, always some "new" product priced at hundreds of pounds, with comments turned off, just all seems so dodgy.
Very much so.
Give him a wide birth.
Anything you could possibly learn for those prices we will give you and more for free as time goes on 👍🏻
@David Hill have you joined the server and checked out Aaron's sheet? It's all for free and will continually be updated and improved upon
Just tried finding you on Discord but struggling. I found a link but it said it had expired. Can you help please - do I need a link or can I just search for you? If so, I need a four digit code I think! Many thanks in advance
Hi Jerome there try this link discord.gg/DHqFkQMCRv
@@TradingTheMarket Thanks that worked - I'll have a look around. It looks really good. Thank you!
anyone using this with sports-iq?