Anders Puck Nielsen - Will Munitions being Shipped to Ukraine at Scale Help Turn the Tide of War?

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  • čas přidán 24. 04. 2024
  • The US has apparently supplied Ukraine with “significant numbers of ATACMS”. Will these capabilities, and other munitions supplied by US, Germany, UK, and allies turn the tide of war in favour of Ukraine, about a period of uncertainly, dwindling supplies, losses, and anxiety.
    ----------
    GUEST: Anders Puck Nielsen - CZcamsr and military analyst.
    Today I’m speaking with Anders Puck Nielsen, military analyst and influential CZcamsr based in Denmark. He specialises in naval warfare and strategy; in today’s video we are going to be talking about Ukrainian successes against Russia’s Black Sea fleet and state of the ground war in Ukraine.
    ----------
    CHAPTERS:
    00:01:23 Introduction to topics under discussion with Anders Puck Nielsen
    00:02:11 Weapons for Ukraine are arriving just in time to stop Russian advances
    00:03:43 Frontline position could be described as 'stalemate' over last 12 months
    00:07:04 New technology such as drones seem to favour the defensive side
    00:10:42 There is a real difference between 'stalemate' and a frozen conflict
    00:13:19 Self-guiding long-range Ukrainian drones are a real game-changer
    00:14:30 Drones can be programmed to understand what an oil refinery looks like
    00:16:15 Dragon-fire laser air defence - could it take our Iranian drones?
    00:19:37 Ukraine is trying to undermine Russian economy and military logistics
    00:24:10 Russia is not crazy - just their frame of reference is different
    00:27:46 Potential scenarios for a brittle and destabilised Russian regime
    ----------
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Komentáře • 1,3K

  • @ptonpc
    @ptonpc Před 16 dny +546

    This delay has cost Ukraine dear. In blood. For that we should all be ashamed.

    • @migproductions4045
      @migproductions4045 Před 16 dny

      I was working every day for Ukraine so I will not be hanging my head in shame. Russia brought shame on themselves by buying US politicians and spending billions of Rubles on delaying aid and brainwashing half the GOP. Democracy takes time and Russia is out to exploit that weakness. the SHAME belongs to Russia who started this conflict and continued it despite continued demands for their withdrawl. It is Rusha murdering women and children, raping and torturing their way across the occupied territories and made rape legal, emptied their prisons to unleash convicted rapists on the innocents in Ukraine. So feel ashamed if it suits you, I am with Ukraine. Slava Ukraine!
      PS - I liked your comment but wanted to say more..x

    • @terryhand
      @terryhand Před 16 dny +41

      I completely agree with you, but we are where we are now and we have to move on from here.

    • @garageboy2172
      @garageboy2172 Před 16 dny +9

      Yep.

    • @helengrunow5094
      @helengrunow5094 Před 15 dny +11

      Exactly!💙💛

    • @bobtheaccountant2534
      @bobtheaccountant2534 Před 15 dny

      Why should the US be ashamed? We’ve already given billions to a war Europe should be able to handle and to a group who for decades has failed to live up to their NATO defensive spending commitments. I want the US to withdraw from NATO. we simply cannot trust Europe to do their part.

  • @damianm-nordhorn116
    @damianm-nordhorn116 Před 15 dny +108

    Anders is my favorite expert on the matter.
    Clearly on Ukraine's side, but assessing things neutrally and never dramatizing anything.
    He simply means to inform people and it's not a business for him.

    • @martavdz4972
      @martavdz4972 Před 15 dny +4

      It's a bit of a business, he has supporters who send some money to him, but it's not a big business. Otherwise, totally agree.

    • @Mastercane98
      @Mastercane98 Před 15 dny +6

      "expert"

    • @lorenzcassidy3960
      @lorenzcassidy3960 Před 15 dny +8

      "Clearly on Ukraine's side"
      He's a Royal Danish Navy commander and military analyst at the Royal Danish Defense College.
      Honestly, I'd be quite surprised by the contrary. 😅

    • @damianm-nordhorn116
      @damianm-nordhorn116 Před 15 dny +3

      @@lorenzcassidy3960
      Yeah, I could have written "as a Danish/NATO naval officer he obviously sides with Ukraine bla bla bla".
      I kept it brief.

    • @damianm-nordhorn116
      @damianm-nordhorn116 Před 15 dny

      @@martavdz4972
      The things is, he's not a pro CZcamsr.
      He's giving his audience only information and not something else they might desire or connect to.

  • @squireson
    @squireson Před 16 dny +265

    Nielson is one of my favorite speakers on the subject of Ukraine, alongside Ben Hodges and Timothy Snyder.
    Slava Ukraini !

    • @Ryan-Fkrepublicnz
      @Ryan-Fkrepublicnz Před 16 dny +13

      Ben Hodges for president

    • @alexhidell4546
      @alexhidell4546 Před 16 dny +8

      And you also believe in the tooth fairy as well.

    • @singlespeedpunk7744
      @singlespeedpunk7744 Před 16 dny +16

      @alexhidell4546 You believe that Putin cares about you or will pay you potato for your comments

    • @nozhki-busha
      @nozhki-busha Před 16 dny +11

      @@alexhidell4546 awwww cope more comrade!

    • @squireson
      @squireson Před 16 dny +6

      @@Ryan-Fkrepublicnz We might need an ex-general for president in the coming decade. I'm not thrilled about that but in reality we might be better served by strategic thinkers and less political thinkers.

  • @jacafren5842
    @jacafren5842 Před 15 dny +42

    Thank you both for a insightful conversation. Now let us all step up support for Ukraine 🇺🇦

    • @sebastianforbes1
      @sebastianforbes1 Před 13 dny

      - 'all'... what are you 'stepping up' ?

    • @65TossTrap
      @65TossTrap Před 12 dny

      This is the most disingenuous and factually-wrong presentation that I have seen in quite some time. The war is over.

  • @raneroth7981
    @raneroth7981 Před 16 dny +136

    My 2 favorite voices on Ukraine - great!

    • @zetristan4525
      @zetristan4525 Před 14 dny +1

      I always appreciated Nielsen's military analysis, but here he appears quite clueless, as if drunk on propagandistic suppositions.

    • @65TossTrap
      @65TossTrap Před 12 dny

      This is propaganda is simpletons.

  • @xerolad4086
    @xerolad4086 Před 16 dny +110

    We've seen drones in lieu of artillery. Now we will see drones PLUS artillery.

    • @HerpDerpNV
      @HerpDerpNV Před 16 dny +16

      The use of commercial spotter drones for artillery fire adjustment have shown to be a great success.

    • @bogdanplay2983
      @bogdanplay2983 Před 15 dny +2

      Which you have already seen during summer counteroffensive

  • @howtoappearincompletely9739

    What a fantastic guest and fantastic conversation. Kommandøren Nielsen is *always* worth listening to.

    • @nicolachable
      @nicolachable Před 6 dny

      The try at Danish is appreciated, he is however addressed as 'Kommandør', which equates to 'Commander'. 'Kommandøren' equate 'The Commander'.

    • @l.s68
      @l.s68 Před 20 hodinami

      He makes me Proud of being danish. He represent very much the danish personality and spirit

  • @robertgoldbornatyout
    @robertgoldbornatyout Před 16 dny +48

    2 FANTASTIC GOOD WISE MEN, THANKS FOR YOUR VERY WISE TALK. BLESS YOU BOTH .

    • @5GTrevor
      @5GTrevor Před 16 dny +6

      a wise man would surrender. ukraine lost.

    • @boris8577
      @boris8577 Před 14 dny

      Bs

    • @zetristan4525
      @zetristan4525 Před 14 dny

      Not 'wise' obviously. You're welcome to like and appreciate them and their intentions, but choose a more sensible adjective, please, or it's embarrassing...

    • @zetristan4525
      @zetristan4525 Před 14 dny

      A wise person questions himself and his own narrative far more deeply. It's a complex world to gain multifaceted understanding of, not just a simple good vs evil&crazy scenario.

  • @andrewfarrington2193
    @andrewfarrington2193 Před 15 dny +8

    Fantastic! Anders P. is certainly among the top ten Ukraine commentators. Very many thanks.

  • @camillalotus1177
    @camillalotus1177 Před 15 dny +11

    Great, insightful discussion with Anders. I have the highest respect for him and his analytical skills. Thank you Jonathan for inviting such distinguished experts.

  • @GreenGoblinDK
    @GreenGoblinDK Před 16 dny +287

    My own personal opinion. Russia doesn't look strong. Ukraine was out of ammunition. Russia couldn't force a breakthrough even when Ukraine was on their knees.

    • @carolwilliams8511
      @carolwilliams8511 Před 16 dny +36

      My thought too. Where was their push? In 7 months??

    • @sichere
      @sichere Před 16 dny +35

      Russia lost the impetus at Hostimel and it's been in denial and gradually bleeding out ever since .

    • @berndhofmann752
      @berndhofmann752 Před 16 dny +15

      ​@@sichereabsolutely! I was really astonished, how idiotic they were acting. 😂😂😂😂

    • @Coffeepanda294
      @Coffeepanda294 Před 16 dny +24

      To be fair, they weren't out of ammo, they were rationing it because they didn't know when they would receive more.
      But yes, russia is clearly struggling when they couldn't take more advantage of this shortage.

    • @EEX97623
      @EEX97623 Před 16 dny +41

      To be frank, Russia gave it the best shot to take Kyiv, with a 64km convoy, 500 elite paratroopers with swarms of choppers and planes at Hostomel, and failed. It's lost more territory than gained since Feb 2022, record KIA this year, Black Sea Fleet 33% gone, Crimea looking very vulnerable. Once the US, UK, and European munitions, armour, and defence systems are on site, with mobilisation, Ukraine will really ramp up the heat on Putin.

  • @mylessalmon2569
    @mylessalmon2569 Před 16 dny +228

    The air defense equipment from the US & the UK will hopefully stop Russia sending bombers into Ukraine.

    • @daydays12
      @daydays12 Před 16 dny +11

      Why did the UK wait so long?

    • @mylessalmon2569
      @mylessalmon2569 Před 16 dny +4

      @@daydays12 Most likely it's the cost.

    • @matthendricks9666
      @matthendricks9666 Před 16 dny +21

      Even when facing the threat of a new Soviet Union you guys just think in terms of US and the UK. What is the UK btw? Does Northern Ireland help as well? Get out of the stone ages or face defeat. This war is about teamwork of every single free nation.

    • @daydays12
      @daydays12 Před 16 dny +4

      @@mylessalmon2569 Probably. Or maybe waiting for the US to renew its aid?

    • @davidl.7317
      @davidl.7317 Před 16 dny

      ​@@williamkevinjames Trump will lose the election. Reason will prevail over disorder.

  • @sai_puzich
    @sai_puzich Před 16 dny +72

    Hello from 🇺🇦

    • @patandsandytrierweiler2440
      @patandsandytrierweiler2440 Před 16 dny

      So, we have a growing homeless population, a huge national debt and border issues....yet, we fund ( close to $1T in borrowed $$) 2 wars on distant continents. ( Isreali and Ukraine)...nothing for taxpayers! Just plain wrong. War begets more war
      ...and we never learn.

  • @christinamuzzu6414
    @christinamuzzu6414 Před 16 dny +130

    In the ocean of oblivious people around me intent on ignoring the shameful lack of ammo to the people holding the wall up between us and those that openly express their intent and desire to accelerate the inevitable destruction of the decadent West (in their minds),
    it is so soul-healing to see there are people that see, and care, and counter the poisonous narratives every day.
    So much respect for Silicon Curtain.

    • @carolwilliams8511
      @carolwilliams8511 Před 16 dny +7

      Same.

    • @markdeckard7651
      @markdeckard7651 Před 16 dny +10

      Beautifully said Christina.

    • @TheTruth-vi1nf
      @TheTruth-vi1nf Před 16 dny

      The fact that you pretend to know what you saying by writing what I assume you believe to be a carefully crafted response, does not hide the fact that you don't know what you are talking about, don't do any basic research , and basically comes off as a complete idiot

    • @dermodsmyth7645
      @dermodsmyth7645 Před 16 dny +3

      Hear, hear...👍

    • @5GTrevor
      @5GTrevor Před 16 dny

      holding the wall ? the west has nothing anyone wants LMAO

  • @robertohio4473
    @robertohio4473 Před 16 dny +91

    Europe really started stepping up when US would not approve aid.
    I hope Europe maintains its commitments in light of the passed US aid bill.

    • @hendrikvanleeuwen9110
      @hendrikvanleeuwen9110 Před 16 dny +4

      Don't worry, Europe will be left with the bill.

    • @kristiansandsmark2048
      @kristiansandsmark2048 Před 16 dny +18

      I will gladly pay the bill. We have the money to do so it was never truly a big financial problem. The problem is bureaucracy, and strong reassurance that production will be profitable for arms manufacturing.

    • @hendrikvanleeuwen9110
      @hendrikvanleeuwen9110 Před 16 dny

      @@kristiansandsmark2048 Have fun with that. Europe will be hobbled for decades, thanks to this debacle.

    • @johnathanhughes4367
      @johnathanhughes4367 Před 15 dny

      ​@@hendrikvanleeuwen9110 Put it on Russia's tab.

    • @Antti5
      @Antti5 Před 15 dny +13

      @@hendrikvanleeuwen9110 As with any cost, the important concept is that of the alternative cost. Many Europeans with good reason believe that if we let Russia win, the long term cost will be even higher.

  • @larsrons7937
    @larsrons7937 Před 15 dny +17

    This conversation should be eye-opening. Many in Europe fail to see how dependent we are on Ukraine both to be on our side and to win, to defeat russia. The alternative is that russia will go further (either after or before finishing Ukraine), and that could be our defeat. On the long term we are in a very dangerous situation. We must prepare ourselves, and most of all give Ukraine all they need to defeat russia, and be able to join our economic and military alliances. We must spread those news among us.

    • @ostwelt
      @ostwelt Před 15 dny +3

      Well said; fully agree.
      Most of us, of course, here in Eur don't want to have to give up the easy life be it characterised by peace-in-our-time, "low" gas prices, minimal defence spending or whatever. However, we did it through the Cold War for over forty years. And think, as you rightly suggest, as the recognition grows, that the alternative is de minimis RU hegemony over Eastern Europe, if not far wider on the Continent, then the popular political willpower for resistance/UA aid will come.
      Meantime, then as you say, spread the knowledge :)

    • @peetky8645
      @peetky8645 Před 14 dny

      Europe and NATO should be spending this money to refurbish their own militaries. using it to make rubble bounce in ukraine is not helpful

    • @johanmetreus1268
      @johanmetreus1268 Před 14 dny

      @@peetky8645 As long as Russia is occupied in Ukraine there's little need for the own military.
      Thus the money is mostly spent on rebuilding the military industry from its three decade hiatus.

  • @Bytesplice
    @Bytesplice Před 15 dny +16

    Deadlock, not stalemate -
    Stalemate is a chess term, meaning there is no way to resolve, so game over. War is not a game,
    Deadlock is a computing term, meaning processes are blocked waiting for a resource held by other processes. A deadlock can be broken

    • @ostwelt
      @ostwelt Před 15 dny +2

      Insightful; thank you will remember this!

    • @donotmislead
      @donotmislead Před 6 dny

      There is no deadlock either but a high treason committed by president Zelensky and his bunch of quislings, including general Syrsky who undermined all the war efforts.

  • @philjameson292
    @philjameson292 Před 16 dny +14

    This $60bn from the US plus EU support is likely to last to the end 2024
    NATO needs to be planning now for 2025

  • @TNx368
    @TNx368 Před 15 dny +9

    What’s also needed is for western advisors to help address the problem of Russia’s use of large gliding bombs. This is a severe problem for the AFU.

  • @jimyost2585
    @jimyost2585 Před 16 dny +59

    "When you discover that you are riding a dead horse, the best strategy is to dismount." Dakota Indian Proverb

    • @martavdz4972
      @martavdz4972 Před 15 dny +5

      Have you asked the Dakotas what they think about the Russo-Ukrainian War?

    • @philippage60
      @philippage60 Před 15 dny +12

      ​@@martavdz4972
      I asked them. They said that the russian federation is doomed.

    • @Mastercane98
      @Mastercane98 Před 15 dny +3

      @@philippage60 You mistook datura for sunflower seeds again grandpa.

    • @philippage60
      @philippage60 Před 15 dny

      @@Mastercane98
      Ukraine will win because
      russia was SUPPOSED to be the second most powerful army in the world and yet...
      russia failed to take Kyiv in 3 days. In ANY days in fact.
      They failed to take Zaporizhia.
      They failed to take Kharkiv.
      They failed to take Kherson.
      They failed to take Donetsk and Luhansk after trying for 10 years.
      They have run away from Sevastopol, beaten back by a country that has no navy.
      Naval headquarters in Sevastapol has been destroyed.
      The black sea fleet is being turned into a coral reef.
      They failed to take Odessa.
      They could not even keep hold of Snake Island.
      putin has had to go to North Korea with his begging bowl.
      North Korean armaments are already backfiring with a one in three failure rate.
      The ruZZian economy is mortally wounded and will eventually collapse.
      russian launches of international satellites has decreased by 90%.
      russia is an international pariah.
      At least a million russians have left the country, never to return.
      Shortages of labour have meant laws have been passed to allow 14 year olds to work in factories.
      Laws are due to be passed for women to work in heavy industries.
      Laws are being passed to allow russian employers to force workers to do overtime.
      russia has lost an estimated 90% of its pre invasion armed forces using WW1 meat assaults.
      russia has been using convicted criminals to stock its army, as well as conscripting people in debt, to avoid an open mobilisation.
      Freed criminals have returned from war to murder russian civilians.
      russia is even recruiting Nepalese, Indians, Somalians and Cubans against the wishes of the governments of those countries, and migrants working in russia are also being targeted.
      putin is so desperate for conscripts he has changed the law to fast track russian citizenship for foreigners who will fight for russia.
      russia is no longer Europe's gas station and will never be trusted again. The cash cow is dying.
      China is beginning to rewrite its maps to take back Chinese territory from russia and has now abandoned russia for the USA.
      China is forcing russia to bear the full cost of building a new gas pipeline so they can get cheap russian gas.
      China now owns russia.
      russia as a world power is finished.
      60% of the territory russia took in the initial unprovoked, illegal invasion has already been taken back.
      putin has already faced one coup and there will be more to come.
      russia has lost more officers and generals of any army in any war EVER.
      NONE of russia's strategic objectives have been achieved.
      Ukraine has the long term backing of the EU and the United Nations.
      Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova are in the accession for EU membership.
      Tourism to russia has fallen by 96% since February 2022.
      NATO has never been more united and has expanded by two countries BECAUSE of the war.
      The G7 has pledged to support Ukraine for as long as it takes.
      At the most recent military arms show in Saudi Arabia, russia did not make a single sale (not ONE) while the USA made billions of dollars in overseas orders.
      Belief in russia's invincibility and military might is over.
      Dissent within russia is beginning to grow.
      Nobody believes russian propaganda any more.
      russian utility infrastructure is beginning to collapse.
      Whole towns in Russia are without heating and electricity.
      russian soldiers are beginning to revolt.
      russian wives are beginning to revolt.
      Mysterious fires are increasing throughout russia.
      Partisan activity is increasing on russian territory.
      The russian volunteer corps has begun to attack inside russia.
      Attacks on railways and communication hubs deep inside russia are rising.
      Attacks on oil facilities are rising.
      russia keeps losing SU30s and A50 planes to Patriot missiles.
      The EU has unanimously approved a four year €50 billion package signed off by all 27 heads of state.
      F16s arrive in spring meaning russia will no longer have air superiority.
      putin is desperately clinging to the hope that the USA will abandon Ukraine.
      The USA has passed a Bill to send $62 billion in lethal aid to Ukraine.
      Now, which part of that are you struggling with, little vatnik?
      Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦🇬🇧💙💛

    • @philippage60
      @philippage60 Před 15 dny +7

      ​@@Mastercane98
      Oh look, the russian made an ad hominem. 🥱

  • @jimcuifolo1898
    @jimcuifolo1898 Před 15 dny +6

    goodbye Kersch bridge

  • @GreenChugach
    @GreenChugach Před 15 dny +6

    Always has the most concise, smartest questions. Best place for in depth analysis.

  • @juergenlorenz9698
    @juergenlorenz9698 Před 14 dny +7

    You are absolutely right in your analysis. Unfortunately some Europeans and European Politicians have not understood this yet.

  • @theequalisermouse2301
    @theequalisermouse2301 Před 16 dny +13

    Thanks for a great interview. Really like Neilsen. Very factual, thoughtful and rational.

  • @elirich3145
    @elirich3145 Před 16 dny +64

    It is sad to hear that casualties have gone up 20% in March vs previous months. The cost of playing a political game in the House.

    • @jerrymiller9039
      @jerrymiller9039 Před 16 dny +4

      Agreed, the democrats should start doing things to help Americans.

    • @squireson
      @squireson Před 16 dny +14

      Marjorie Taylor Greene and Matt Gaetz have established their legacy in Ukrainian casualties.

    • @PaxHeadroom
      @PaxHeadroom Před 16 dny +8

      ​@@jerrymiller9039Why do you insist on tying together disparate issues?

    • @jerrymiller9039
      @jerrymiller9039 Před 16 dny +4

      @@squireson The US has no obligation to Ukraine. MTG and Gaetz are American politicians. They took an oath to support the US Constitution and the republic for which it stands. Their job is to support Americans.

    • @jerrymiller9039
      @jerrymiller9039 Před 16 dny +4

      @@PaxHeadroom What lie did I tell?
      Are you aware that US politicians take an oath to support the US constitution and the republic for which it stands, not Ukraine?

  • @sailawayteam
    @sailawayteam Před 15 dny +6

    Jonathan and Anders, thank you. As 90% of my comments just disappear nowadays this will probably also, but keep up the good work. I really hope Europeans especially further away from russian front wake up soon and not too late.

  • @philjameson292
    @philjameson292 Před 16 dny +15

    The trouble for the UK is that the 2% defence spending doesn't get much
    Spending at this level is actually leading to a reduction in the size and capabilities of the UK armed forces and volumes of weapons

    • @user-vb1hy3li1h
      @user-vb1hy3li1h Před 15 dny +3

      I read somewhere the UK's military spending was less than 4% before WW2 and 40% during - so they really need to step up, all of Europe does. We in the US do too since we stupidly decided to allow Hitler to take Poland (Russia Ukraine) again rather than doing everything to prevent it. It would have been a bargain.

    • @philippage60
      @philippage60 Před 15 dny

      The 2% is a NATO guideline. It's not compulsory. It's a guideline for a nation's own defence. Britain is above that and has been for some time. It's pointless inventing arbitrary percentages when that one is the NATO guideline. Countries like the USA who go higher do so by choice and this is also a reflection of the strength of their economy overall. Not all economies are that powerful.

    • @user-vb1hy3li1h
      @user-vb1hy3li1h Před 15 dny +1

      Correct, however given the situation, essentially not stopping Hitler in Poland, the UK like others in Europe will be forced to increase their spending for their own defense. The US has proven itself undependable it would be foolish to count on us and our spending isn't much more it's under 3% adjusted for inflation. We need to increase ours as well. As Churchill said you were given the choice between war and dishonor you chose dishonor you will have war. That was the choice we all made not defending Ukraine like we did Israel

    • @whatevername8551
      @whatevername8551 Před 15 dny +1

      Seems like UK would be more eager to invest in military if they didn't self-own their economy with Brexit.

    • @peetky8645
      @peetky8645 Před 14 dny

      someone said they were spending 3.5% back in the 1980's

  • @tomasp886
    @tomasp886 Před 16 dny +82

    The US political system may be messed up and slow but our military logistics are the best so Ukraine shouldn’t be waiting too long.

    • @daydays12
      @daydays12 Před 16 dny

      The US is a mess ...just consider what the Supreme Court is up to and the deliberate abandonment of Ukraine for seven months
      effected by just ONE man, not the President ( speaker Johnson). Is that the rule of law or democracy?
      The US is untrustworthy

    • @ptonpc
      @ptonpc Před 16 dny +10

      It looks the Pentagon had been moving as much stock as it could into Poland and neighbouring countries, while the Republicans were doing their russian owner's bidding. So that as soon as it gets the go ahead, it can move it into Ukraine.

    • @TheVeritas2100
      @TheVeritas2100 Před 16 dny

      @@ptonpc ****It looks the Pentagon had been moving as much stock as it could into Poland and neighbouring countries,**** YES , HAVE BEEN MOVING THE OLD 1980's MILITARY JUNK !
      ***the Republicans were doing their russian owner's bidding***
      LOL - you mean by CLAIMING that NO CASH should be send to Zelenskij and his CORRUPT Oligatchs .... seems like avery good position ! 🙂

    • @leonardgmiller8924
      @leonardgmiller8924 Před 16 dny +1

      I do agree with this statement

    • @Shoelessjoe78
      @Shoelessjoe78 Před 16 dny

      That's correct a lot of things were pre-positioned. It's a matter of weeks not months before it hits the front line. Same with the first round of ammo from the CZECH deal.
      It's sad that it took this long but we are where we are. Now we just have to hope Europe is ready to stuff up and 9 to 12 months. I don't believe another significant aid package will be coming out of the US following this one.

  • @draganjagodic4056
    @draganjagodic4056 Před 15 dny +7

    Dear Jonathan, listened yesterday brilliant Ms. Jessica, now also Mr. Nielsen, however, the "Wirtschafts- und Handelskammer der Russischen Föderation" = Russian Trade -and Commerce Chamber is still active in Germany and EU is maintaining full trade with Russia through Belgrade.
    Ashamed to say, not much better in my beloved Croatia.
    I´m afraid, if things with Russia get worse in couple of years, our police and military will have a homework to do.

  • @stevendaugherty7590
    @stevendaugherty7590 Před 16 dny +16

    Johnathan, you're a very skilled interviewer! You ask the very pointed questions that I would like to have asked of your guests. Outstanding job. And, by the way, thanks for having Anders on your show. I always enjoy his analyses & perspective on the war.

  • @unvergebeneid
    @unvergebeneid Před 12 dny +2

    It's crazy that we've been discussing the ethics of autonomous weapons systems for so long and now it's just happening because there's a war going on and nobody has the luxury of having these philosophical discussions when there's lives on the line.

  • @philiplbrown
    @philiplbrown Před 14 dny +4

    At last there are some commentators echoing what I've banged on about on all of these pro-Ukraine channels, the fact the west does not want an outright battllefield victory for Ukraine, as much as that infuriates me. The west, even with the recent overdue US aid to Ukraine only keeps them in the fight. The west is petrified of societal collapse that would ensue in Russia. Even now the US and Spain have refused to send Patriot systems, only missiles, so instead of the minimum 7 Patriot systems Ukraine needs, they'll be lucky to receive 3.Germany still refuses outright to send Ukraine Taurus missiles. We must have this conversation and demand our leaders answer a simple question which nobody has asked in 26 months. Do we want Ukraine to win? Winning defined as liberating all of its internationally recognised territory - YES OR NO ? I pray for the sake of the people of Ukraine the answer is a resounding YES.

  • @grahamcroston
    @grahamcroston Před 15 dny +4

    I don't like what I'm hearing but I do appreciate the clarity. Thanks for this Jonathan and Anders.

  • @johncromwell2529
    @johncromwell2529 Před 16 dny +28

    Thank you 🙏 🇺🇦

  • @LisaNH934
    @LisaNH934 Před 16 dny +41

    Thoughtful and honest discussion....Thank you gentlemen ! 🇺🇦

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  Před 16 dny +8

      👍👍👍

    • @philippage60
      @philippage60 Před 15 dny +1

      Honest, thoughtful and beautiful comment.
      Slava Ukraini 🇬🇧🇺🇦💛💙🇺🇸

    • @migproductions4045
      @migproductions4045 Před 15 dny +1

      @@philippage60 Wonderful intelligent and delightful response to the comment! Slava Sixty One BILLION dollars in Aid! Slava Ukraine! 😀

    • @migproductions4045
      @migproductions4045 Před 15 dny

      Likey! This is your week America! 🤝🙌👍

    • @philippage60
      @philippage60 Před 15 dny +1

      @@migproductions4045
      As ever, great to hear from you and know you're there supporting Ukraine. 👍😉

  • @rhendersbee685
    @rhendersbee685 Před 16 dny +6

    An excellent, easy-flowing conversation.
    Brought up more nuance than set-piece talks, easier to follow and somehow more credible.

    • @user-yq2wk6yg8s
      @user-yq2wk6yg8s Před 16 dny

      "Brought up more nuance than set-piece talks, easier to follow and somehow more credible"
      We all need the stimulation of conversation to get our thinking sorted out.

  • @davidl.7317
    @davidl.7317 Před 16 dny +9

    The best host and guests on the subject of Ukraine. Please like 👍, subscribe for all future casts, comment and share via social media.
    Thank you Jonathan and Anders.

  • @terryhand
    @terryhand Před 16 dny +17

    If as not only that the West has been slow to arm Ukraine, but our politicians are still one step behind in understanding the consequences of Ukraine losing this war.

    • @halporter9
      @halporter9 Před 15 dny

      Yes. But I fear they are terrified of potential chaos of the breaking up of the Russian state, or “worse” yet the “Russian” nation.

    • @mattiasdahlstrom2024
      @mattiasdahlstrom2024 Před 15 dny

      The current trend is that every western nation will be minority western/european by 2050. The largest cities in Europe will be predominantly Muslim. How does Ukraine matter in all this? Is it important who controls Donbas or if a Russian stooge controls Kiev if our daughters cannot walk free on a street without a hijab?

  • @JK4507
    @JK4507 Před 14 dny +1

    What a joy it is to listen to both you talk about this critical subject. Thank you!!!!!

  • @donmedwedeff
    @donmedwedeff Před 16 dny +19

    Thank you for having Anderson Nielson back.

    • @lagoni8741
      @lagoni8741 Před 16 dny +3

      Anders Puck Nielsen,
      but you're close 🙂
      Greetings from Denmark 🇩🇰

    • @lor3419
      @lor3419 Před 15 dny

      Yeah, experts like Anderson is why Ukraine lost 600,000 men and why all western Europe is getting it's ass kicked economically and militarily

    • @Unicorn-on9to
      @Unicorn-on9to Před 14 dny

      He is Danish, not Swedish. So you might change the spelling......

  • @Grahamgusbull
    @Grahamgusbull Před 14 dny +6

    Is the Western world finally realising that if Putin isn’t ejected from Ukraine,there’ll be Bucha’s the length and breadth of the country…am I wrong?

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  Před 14 dny +3

      You are not wrong. It’s imperative the collective west takes action.

    • @taraswertelecki3786
      @taraswertelecki3786 Před 4 dny +1

      I hope they understand Buchas follow the Russian armies wherever they go.

  • @philjameson292
    @philjameson292 Před 16 dny +6

    NATO countries need to increase their defence spending to Cold War levels which were around 5%

  • @dx-ek4vr
    @dx-ek4vr Před 16 dny +24

    Hopefully the Europeans continue to step up. This year is election year for America, and there is a non-zero chance of American aid getting cut off, meaning the Europeans have to be able to keep Ukraine supplied.

    • @daydays12
      @daydays12 Před 16 dny

      The Supreme Court in the USA is doing everything they can to get Trump re-elected. They recently decided that Texas can ( and Texas will) ban postal ballots, for example. There is now nothing to stop other states doing the same.
      Fascism 101- subvert the judiciary.

  • @jackbragg1893
    @jackbragg1893 Před 16 dny +7

    a cautiously optimistic view of things, nice to see the tide slowly turning

  • @JMJfat
    @JMJfat Před 15 dny +3

    "other munitions supplied by US, Germany, UK, and allies" why citing Germany who refuses to send Taurus, but not France who put on the table a new batch of Scalp and AASM Hammer?

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  Před 15 dny +1

      I listed them in terms of size of unilateral provision of weapons. But we do mention France specifically later, and the strong contribution it is making through multi lateral military support.

  • @DavidWebb-wr1do
    @DavidWebb-wr1do Před 16 dny +8

    Excellent discussion. Thank you both. Subscribed

  • @uribensh
    @uribensh Před 15 dny +4

    Great interview, thank you both

  • @tabithan2978
    @tabithan2978 Před 10 dny +3

    The lesson to Americans is vote for the sane party, 💙!

  • @natalyapergat1171
    @natalyapergat1171 Před 16 dny +6

    I am watching all of your videos.
    Thank you for the outstanding work you do!

  • @cogentdynamics
    @cogentdynamics Před 16 dny +14

    Two great people who help us understand by your insightful commentary. Thank you!

  • @carlcramer9269
    @carlcramer9269 Před 15 dny +4

    Rebuilding power production in Ukraine is interesting to me, who is a big supporter of nuclear power and SMRs (Small Modular Reactors). These are nuclear reactors are built in a factory and then assembles on site. They are smaller than regular nuclear reactors, but much faster to build, and still large in a conventional sense. SMR seems perfect for Ukraine once the war is over!

  • @eddiegoodman9267
    @eddiegoodman9267 Před 16 dny +7

    Great podcast....

  • @brianmulholland2467
    @brianmulholland2467 Před 15 dny +4

    Don't assume the US political fights over Ukraine are over. There is a substantial isolationist portion of the GOP. It has outsized power right now due to the extreme narrowness of the majority, but close majorities have been the recent trend. It will continue to wield power far in excess of it's size. Europe needs to really step up and not rely on the US as much as is possible. If necessary, it should approach the US about BUYING munitions from it to give to Ukraine. This would blunt some of the criticisms.

    • @jfverboom7973
      @jfverboom7973 Před 14 dny

      Agree, Europe should be self sufficient as much as possible.
      There is still a chance of Trump winning elections due to gerrymandaring and the obsolete electoral college.
      USA democracy needs a number of important reforms to prevent a minority from hijacking policies.

  • @imipak23
    @imipak23 Před 13 dny +1

    Several new points in there I'd never thought of or heard discussed anywhere else... might have to listen again when I'm not doing the washing up!

  • @jperksification
    @jperksification Před 15 dny +1

    This was a most enlightening discussion. Much deeper than I expected. Synergistic effect with this host and guest that was greater than the sum of their channel contributions individually, which has been great for each.

  • @tordsteiro9838
    @tordsteiro9838 Před 15 dny +5

    Just a detail: rebuilding ukraines energy infrastructure will be much faster and easier than most anticipate. The green energy revolution and the digital revolution does set the stage for a rapid transition, and with soon-to-be stranded assets being destroyed by russia, the new system stands up as the logical solution. And itll go far faster than most anticipate.

  • @paulchambers3142
    @paulchambers3142 Před 16 dny +9

    Excellent guest 👌
    Very interesting though much is purely stating the obvious.
    Thanks to you both.
    Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦

  • @WalterBurton
    @WalterBurton Před 9 dny +1

    We're on the vanguard, socially. It's up to us to drag our fellow citizens into the light, as it were. Each to his own ability. 💛💛💙💙❤❤

  • @bc-guy852
    @bc-guy852 Před 14 dny +1

    You both do so much good work in support of Ukraine! Thank you for this thought-provoking conversation that seemed to fly by; you're both so well informed and analytical, a pleasure to listen in. Heroyam Slava.

  • @djparn007
    @djparn007 Před 16 dny +19

    Thank you, Jonathan. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

  • @williambrown5966
    @williambrown5966 Před 16 dny +4

    Strong analysis

  • @paulkearsley9509
    @paulkearsley9509 Před 13 dny +2

    Great article

  • @dusk2dawn2
    @dusk2dawn2 Před 14 dny +1

    Fantastic conversation.

  • @GafferBob
    @GafferBob Před 16 dny +8

    Thank you, Jonathan and Anders, for the great questions and insights.So refreshing and unfortunately rare.👏

  • @DarkestAlice
    @DarkestAlice Před 16 dny +13

    Thank you, Jonathan, for your conversation with Anders Puck Nielsen, very much appreciated.
    🇺🇦 Перемоги і миру всім українцям! 🇺🇦

  • @andrewplowman1002
    @andrewplowman1002 Před 14 dny +1

    Puck Nielsen is invariably insightful.

  • @curiousemu6462
    @curiousemu6462 Před 15 dny +2

    An excellent and thought-provoking discussion, many thanks

  • @Marsubleu
    @Marsubleu Před 14 dny +4

    You completely missed the topic of FAB-500 that are critical to the current change in frontline dynamics. And for which there is no proper solution yet

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  Před 14 dny

      The glide bombs? I’ll bring this up in another interview soon.

  • @Calligraphybooster
    @Calligraphybooster Před 16 dny +12

    The future is going to be very different. I doubt if Ukraine will find any value in producing main battle tanks, or rebuild large power plants. I think both are pretty obsolete as concepts.
    Thank you both, gentlemen!
    Slava Ukraïni! ❤️🇺🇦🔱✌️

  • @a.barker7792
    @a.barker7792 Před 14 dny +2

    I cant believe this stuff is not there already? All of the bases of nato have a supply of them in inventory. A small portion from each is all thats needed to keep the machine rolling till reinforcement arrive in mass.

  • @jimdale9143
    @jimdale9143 Před 16 dny +2

    A very valuable discussion from two knowledgeable observers. Thank you! On drones influence being primarily defensive, I think that is a feature of their early stage of development. If you look at drones as a subset of AirPower and the evolution of AirPower from reconnaissance and some bombardment in WW1 to a necessary component of blitzkrieg in WW2, I expect drones to eventually play as large a part in breaking defenses as reinforcing them.

  • @halporter9
    @halporter9 Před 16 dny +3

    Fascinating decision discussing important matters from a deeper and slightly different perspective. Thank you.
    I see that Mr Nielsen looks like he has been outside, (or at sea?) and got some son. You appear energized and very good. I hope that substance is tracking appearance!

    • @halporter9
      @halporter9 Před 16 dny

      Oh lord, spell much. sun, is the subject.

  • @stellascott4584
    @stellascott4584 Před 14 dny +5

    These discussions give me hope. Even though the future looks grim, with long war and military escalation all over Europe. But... Democracy must be armed to protect itself, that has become very clear in these last two years.
    Thank you Jonathan! 🙏🏽 🇸🇪💙💛🇺🇦

  • @paulmurray8922
    @paulmurray8922 Před 13 dny +1

    I'm not so pessimistic about future US aid. I believe what we saw playing out over the last few months was politicians realizing this war not the blitzkrieg for which they'd hoped and coming to terms with the need for sustained support. I think something similar, though not quite so dramatic, has been happening in Europe.

  • @user-lw6zf1cb1f
    @user-lw6zf1cb1f Před 14 dny +1

    Excellent and engaging as always

  • @user-cm8co5nx4k
    @user-cm8co5nx4k Před 15 dny +3

    …and one must consider the costs incurred if the inexpensive drone hits its target. If a $4 million missile saves a damn or a hospital or a drone production line or a $60 million aircraft…

  • @markgoicoechea7826
    @markgoicoechea7826 Před 16 dny +20

    The biggest issue with Ukraine is Sustainability, In morale and man power. And unfortunately those are very uncertain. I still don't see total commitment from Europe and America to this conflict. Economics will be the driving force in the future which will be a major headwind for Ukraine.

    • @ninemoonplanet
      @ninemoonplanet Před 16 dny +4

      There are 1.6 million people of the Ukranian diaspora in one country 🇨🇦 and if the government asks, I will likely see thousands of people go to Ukraine.
      Rebuilding, restoration, new businesses, more innovation.
      These are possible starting with those people.

    • @dacorum8053
      @dacorum8053 Před 16 dny +3

      @@ninemoonplanet Why would they want to go home to a shattered country when they would be better off staying where they are?

    • @charlesparr1611
      @charlesparr1611 Před 15 dny +3

      @@dacorum8053 Because many of them have family there, and because they care about them. same reason so many non Ukrainians have gone to fight for Ukraine: Because they are brave and when the brave see evil, they DO something about it.
      What's your excuse?

    • @ThomasTomiczek
      @ThomasTomiczek Před 15 dny

      @@ninemoonplanet Great. Now, problem is - those are cannon fodder. See, Ukraine would need a year of Russia doing nothing - plus imaginary trainer and training centers - to make them into soldiers. Right now Ukraine "standard" (which often seems to be broken down to a couple of days of training) is 4 weeks. This is cannon fodder training. You cheer the death of a nation by mass murder through incompetent leadership.

    • @prisoneroffortune
      @prisoneroffortune Před 15 dny +2

      @@dacorum8053 Because they are not Ruzzians.

  • @gbu31mk84
    @gbu31mk84 Před 13 dny +1

    Those experts talking about unsuccessful counteroffensive of 23 should open the book, read articles about advancing under which circumstances (air superiority etc) and close their month. "We will give you penny , make a thousand from it."
    Ty for podcast.

  • @toby9999
    @toby9999 Před 15 dny +1

    Great guest, and finally some good news.

  • @xaveblanch1385
    @xaveblanch1385 Před 16 dny +6

    Ideas.
    Electricity infrastructure underground in metro

  • @halporter9
    @halporter9 Před 16 dny +4

    some people feel that slow reactions by security forces is a function of lack of authority to act without authorization from on high. Messages down the entire chain of command takes time (especially when responses need to be formulated by high level cadre in the first place). Power seems to fear individual initiative, I guess because A mania for effective control leads to suppression of initiative. It can’t be planned for, and planned for in advance. Lose degrees of (fictional) control if people willing to act alone, even in an emergency.

    • @mikefallwell1301
      @mikefallwell1301 Před 16 dny +2

      And independent action can lead to charges of corruption or worse🎉🎉🎉

  • @michaelhoran407
    @michaelhoran407 Před 16 dny +2

    Thank you sir.

  • @pamelastones4802
    @pamelastones4802 Před 14 dny

    Thank you, Debmark , for all your help! ❤

  • @neilwilson5785
    @neilwilson5785 Před 16 dny +4

    Thanks for these insights. This guy knows what he is talking about.

  • @Brendanno100
    @Brendanno100 Před 16 dny +5

    Great Interview both 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦

  • @fredblogs5801
    @fredblogs5801 Před 15 dny

    Very very good and revealing discussion between Anders Puck Nielsen and your self, many thanks.

  • @connectwithyourdeck
    @connectwithyourdeck Před 11 dny +1

    I think the idea of Russia losing slowly is very insightful….

  • @omarlopez8893
    @omarlopez8893 Před 16 dny +9

    Greetings from Spain.

  • @user-yq2wk6yg8s
    @user-yq2wk6yg8s Před 16 dny +4

    A truly enlightening conversation. Thank you Jonathan and Anders.
    I think that we must also be careful that, if we are going to have to empower Ukraine with arms we at the same time must prevent Russia getting its hands on any of those weapons. So, as I think Anders said, once you go into this there is no turning back. This would essentially take us from preventing Russia from winning to making it essential that Russia lose.

  • @nikolajjrgensen3750
    @nikolajjrgensen3750 Před 12 dny

    Wauv, that was a brillant and informative video. Thank you so much to Silicon Curtain and Anders 🙏

  • @AnnafromUkraine
    @AnnafromUkraine Před 7 dny

    This is a great interview. But I have no hopes/fears/concerns that russian population will somehow interfere. They’ve atrophied or never had that feature.

  • @jessicarowley9631
    @jessicarowley9631 Před 16 dny +3

    Very interesting conversation. I found Anders comments about defensive war being suited to drone warfare rather than offensive war particularly compelling.
    You always have such good guests and conversations Jonathan.

    • @briandbeaudin9166
      @briandbeaudin9166 Před 16 dny

      Don't understand his argument. Drones make great forward observers, spies, capable of attacking enemy logistics, capable of curtailing enemy movement... All these attributes are very beneficial to an offensive.

  • @catherineandpaulfuters2523

    Thank you for your coverage and insights
    🇬🇧🇺🇦🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇺🇦🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇺🇦🇪🇺

  • @TheFANROCKER
    @TheFANROCKER Před 9 dny

    I love your channel! Keep up the factful work! Let us all spread facts!

  • @honzak2
    @honzak2 Před 12 dny

    Great interview, thanks to both of you.

  • @kallekonttinen1738
    @kallekonttinen1738 Před 16 dny +3

    I calculated late 2022 what west was sending and saw that it was not inaf. US, UK, Germany, France.. each was sending tanks maybe inaf for one battalion when they should have send tanks for division.. ten times more.. hope that now west sends inaf.

  • @peterwhite7428
    @peterwhite7428 Před 16 dny +5

    Thank you Jonathan for these great interviews. I depend upon you for good information.

  • @patricklowe4886
    @patricklowe4886 Před 11 dny +1

    Thank you, CZcams

  • @michaelbecker2814
    @michaelbecker2814 Před 14 dny +1

    Great interview!

  • @typxxilps
    @typxxilps Před 16 dny +9

    Anders is always doing carefull analysis