Useful sites www.football-bet-data.com/ www.soccerstats.com/ Other football trading videos Trading Football Pre Match - £400 Profit Step By Step Walkthrough (Betfair and Smarkets) - www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qQ8m... Football Trading Strategy 2022 - My Number One Method - £77 Profit Before The Game Starts! - www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpT8U... Best Way To Make Money From Bookmakers - Matched Betting Guide - smartsportstrader.com/guides/... Arbitrage Betting Guide - smartsportstrader.com/sports-... Make Money From Casino Offers Guide - smartsportstrader.com/make-mo... Value Betting Guide - smartsportstrader.com/value-b... Best UK Service For Matched Betting, Value Betting And Arbitrage (Free Trial) - bit.ly/3CxkTc0 Best USA Service For Matched Betting, Value Betting And Arbitrage (Free Trial) - bit.ly/3xbfS8c
The problem with most traders is they have it ingrained in their head that after a goal they have to trade out, even if the under dog scores, why??? You have laid the draw, if the score continues to be the same you can cash out and win, if they score another you can cash out and win, if the favourite equalises you are back to the beginning, if the game is still a draw after 70 mins cash out for a loss, get over this underdog scoring first and cashing out for a loss!!
Also point out that at 70min you loose +-40% of your stake if you cashout for a loss, The best strategy lies in understanding your edge and controlling your bank roll!
the good thing about betfair markets with good liquidity is that the market overround is very low, which means betting randomly you should break even or end up with a very very small loss over the long term... which means you need to push the needle just a little bit in your direction to start generating profit, unlike with bookmakers where most markets have 4-5+% overround, meaning your strategy needs to make enough money to cover the artificial 5% (on betfair that number is less than 0.5% on markets with good liquidity) and then you start earning for yourself,.... so you need to have 6 or 7 % edge over the market long-term which is pure insanity. Thats why Betfair is the best
Hi Ryan. Great video ,in fact I watched quite a few of your videos and they all seem to be pretty good. I was wondering whether you would be kind enough to share the filters you use to find games for your LTD strategy and maybe which leagues you prefer to use for it at the moment , . A future video on that would be great.
Great video - still a little bit unsure on how you find your picks for the FT LTD? I understand that odds should range from 3.2 to 3.5, however still between those you need to find the best ones, or do I miss something?
If I have a winning lay football strategy ( liability £100 each bet ) 0:01 and have shown a profit over 1000 bets of average odds of 3 , shall I just lay to £2000 a game
I just bet lay the draw with a £5 if I lose I just double it in another match to get back a £5 I lost in the previous game, if lost again I triple it.... Never had more than a 4 draw in a row...only problem than you need a 2k on your betfair account.
@@antoniocross5956 It tells you in the video. He uses FTS Ultimate. He also says it's expensive, £500 a year. Actually, it's £600 a year. However, they offer a FTS Beginners Set for £49 a year which I've opted for. What's good about their Lay The Draw daily selections is they are Set and Forget.
Wow 40 consecutive winning lays at 3.20, it's 0,69 power 40 = 0,000036% or 3,6 in 10 000 000 tries, the best joke I've ever seen , very smart sports trader :)
Hi SST. I've enrolled with FTS Ultimate. Just received my first 8 LTD tips today. Odds range from 3.70 to 5.20. Average 4.39. You say you lay your bets at 3.2 and 3.5. So, do you lay your bets at these lower odds before the match or wait until the odds drop to these lower figures?
Hi Guys. All the Set and Forget tips today averaged odds of 4.39. SST says he got ALL his 40 LTD winners in a row from FTS Ultimate. Really? Why didn't I get ANY tips from 3.2 to 3.5? The tips gave me 6 winners today and 2 losers. At stakes of £15 per bet, I won £87.47 and lost £96.70. Balance -£9.73. I'll keep you posted
@@SmartSportsTrader thanks for getting back to me! What was the reason for this if you don't mind me asking? Just from my side it seems some of the Betfair strategies (like this one) seem so simple that a bot could do it in background/overnight to make just as much profit without you having to do the work? Cheers
just a bit new to lay the draw so you put £20 lay on the man utd game the first goal went in the you backed at 11 at £9 but how much do you know how much to put on the back bet like you did is it half of the lay stake? thanks if you can help
@@SmartSportsTrader Nice! I’ve seen you mention Bets &Beers before as a good tipping service so would you recommend I give that a go? Im trying to find 3 or 4 solid tipsters like Mark to start building the bankroll over time before i then look at trading and other things such as casino offers and matched betting perhaps. The biggest problem im trying to overcome atm is avoiding getting restricted and how to multi account successfully
@@TANK123cs I think its a good service especially if you are only able to bet with exchanges. I would start matched betting and casino offers if you have the accounts available. Still good money to be made
Useful sites
www.football-bet-data.com/
www.soccerstats.com/
Other football trading videos Trading Football Pre Match - £400 Profit Step By Step Walkthrough (Betfair and Smarkets) - www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qQ8m...
Football Trading Strategy 2022 - My Number One Method - £77 Profit Before The Game Starts! - www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpT8U...
Best Way To Make Money From Bookmakers -
Matched Betting Guide - smartsportstrader.com/guides/...
Arbitrage Betting Guide - smartsportstrader.com/sports-...
Make Money From Casino Offers Guide - smartsportstrader.com/make-mo...
Value Betting Guide - smartsportstrader.com/value-b...
Best UK Service For Matched Betting, Value Betting And Arbitrage (Free Trial) - bit.ly/3CxkTc0
Best USA Service For Matched Betting, Value Betting And Arbitrage (Free Trial) - bit.ly/3xbfS8c
The problem with most traders is they have it ingrained in their head that after a goal they have to trade out, even if the under dog scores, why??? You have laid the draw, if the score continues to be the same you can cash out and win, if they score another you can cash out and win, if the favourite equalises you are back to the beginning, if the game is still a draw after 70 mins cash out for a loss, get over this underdog scoring first and cashing out for a loss!!
I have to agree
Also point out that at 70min you loose +-40% of your stake if you cashout for a loss, The best strategy lies in understanding your edge and controlling your bank roll!
the good thing about betfair markets with good liquidity is that the market overround is very low, which means betting randomly you should break even or end up with a very very small loss over the long term... which means you need to push the needle just a little bit in your direction to start generating profit, unlike with bookmakers where most markets have 4-5+% overround, meaning your strategy needs to make enough money to cover the artificial 5% (on betfair that number is less than 0.5% on markets with good liquidity) and then you start earning for yourself,.... so you need to have 6 or 7 % edge over the market long-term which is pure insanity. Thats why Betfair is the best
Please turn the music off.
Hi Ryan. Great video ,in fact I watched quite a few of your videos and they all seem to be pretty good. I was wondering whether you would be kind enough to share the filters you use to find games for your LTD strategy and maybe which leagues you prefer to use for it at the moment , . A future video on that would be great.
Great video - still a little bit unsure on how you find your picks for the FT LTD? I understand that odds should range from 3.2 to 3.5, however still between those you need to find the best ones, or do I miss something?
You need to look at historical data to find the best matches.
@@SmartSportsTraderhow many previous matches per each team?
Never heard of this before. Great video
Excellent video, backed up with data love it
Profit or not, LTD from kick off is not for me... I wait until the right game and the right odds (under 2.0) = more profit and lower liability.
Makes sense, should do what you're comfortable with.
Most matches are 3-4 at KO even at half time if 0-0 the odds wont move much very few games to get 2.0 unless its 0-0 late on
If I have a winning lay football strategy ( liability £100 each bet ) 0:01 and have shown a profit over 1000 bets of average odds of 3 , shall I just lay to £2000 a game
Do you concentrate on any particular league? Statistically, it would appear the smaller leagues have lower incidence of draws than the major leagues.
I trade multiple leagues but you can look at specific traits for each league and find an edge.
@@SmartSportsTrader FTS Ultimate use 28 leagues.
What do you guys do in case of draw? Still back the draw minimising the lost?
I just bet lay the draw with a £5 if I lose I just double it in another match to get back a £5 I lost in the previous game, if lost again I triple it.... Never had more than a 4 draw in a row...only problem than you need a 2k on your betfair account.
Hi, great video. :)
I was wondering, how do you do your match research? How do you know in what match to lay the draw and what not?
The LTD methods I use are based on historical data.
@@SmartSportsTrader Could you maybe tell me where to get such data?
@@antoniocross5956 It tells you in the video. He uses FTS Ultimate. He also says it's expensive, £500 a year. Actually, it's £600 a year. However, they offer a FTS Beginners Set for £49 a year which I've opted for. What's good about their Lay The Draw daily selections is they are Set and Forget.
@@SmartSportsTraderbut if 1st round so do you mean data from last season ?
Você fecha a entrada, caso aconteça um gol? Ou deixa até o fim.?
Wow 40 consecutive winning lays at 3.20, it's 0,69 power 40 = 0,000036% or 3,6 in 10 000 000 tries, the best joke I've ever seen , very smart sports trader :)
You bet for long enough you will see the unlikeliest runs happen in all aspects of your betting. Sometimes positive sometimes negative.
Is using the double chance home or Away same as lay the DRAW ? Just in order to control the loss for a small BK.
Yes it is
Hi SST. I've enrolled with FTS Ultimate. Just received my first 8 LTD tips today. Odds range from 3.70 to 5.20. Average 4.39. You say you lay your bets at 3.2 and 3.5. So, do you lay your bets at these lower odds before the match or wait until the odds drop to these lower figures?
Hi Guys. All the Set and Forget tips today averaged odds of 4.39. SST says he got ALL his 40 LTD winners in a row from FTS Ultimate. Really? Why didn't I get ANY tips from 3.2 to 3.5? The tips gave me 6 winners today and 2 losers. At stakes of £15 per bet, I won £87.47 and lost £96.70. Balance -£9.73. I'll keep you posted
Think you have FTS beginner, FTS Ultimate you use the data to build your own selections.
@@JulesRulesOKhow did it go? What is your strategy?
Great video! Have you ever thought about a Betfair Bot which could place the bets automatically for you?
I have but currently not using any
@@SmartSportsTrader thanks for getting back to me! What was the reason for this if you don't mind me asking? Just from my side it seems some of the Betfair strategies (like this one) seem so simple that a bot could do it in background/overnight to make just as much profit without you having to do the work? Cheers
@J The strategies I use are set and forget. They don't need adjusting inplay so no real reason to use a bot.
Bf bot manager, 7 day free trial
I use a really good bot made by netuno team (brazilian tipster)
What do you think to the idea of laying draw at ko and back 1-1 as insurance.
i do, i see in other channel , bust one 0-0 i lost a lot money dude ... so
Still works, just have to have the plan and stick to it. Was the 3.2 - 3.5 system from ultimate database?
40 winners in a row is lovely!
It was 👍
@@SmartSportsTrader
Is this strategy lay correct score FT or HT? Thank you
@@josele7666 Its lay the draw
@@SmartSportsTrader Are you referring to the lay of the match, not the Haft Time, right? Do you make the pre-match bet?
@@josele7666 There are several different strategies that I talk about in the video. Use the approach that suits you.
Yeah, but what happens if you let's say hava a 3-4 draw in row.... Remember that you lose more than win...
You said you had 2% premium charge? Details? Its about betinasia?
2% is the standard commission in the UK
@@SmartSportsTrader ok but what about the premium charge? still 2%?
@@Diaconu No you still get hit with premium charge
I am against lay the draw, you are better of laying the score.
This strategy is misapplied. Because people do not hedge it
both strategies are viable
just a bit new to lay the draw so you put £20 lay on the man utd game the first goal went in the you backed at 11 at £9 but how much do you know how much to put on the back bet like you did is it half of the lay stake? thanks if you can help
Do you still straight up follow any value betting tipsters? And if so who? I’ve started following mark o’haire and hes seem very decent so far.
what site are you using to follow value betting tipsters?
Heard Mark O'Haire is very good. Not using many tipsters trying to focus on building my edges. Find that easier to scale.
@@SmartSportsTrader Nice! I’ve seen you mention Bets &Beers before as a good tipping service so would you recommend I give that a go? Im trying to find 3 or 4 solid tipsters like Mark to start building the bankroll over time before i then look at trading and other things such as casino offers and matched betting perhaps. The biggest problem im trying to overcome atm is avoiding getting restricted and how to multi account successfully
@@TANK123cs I think its a good service especially if you are only able to bet with exchanges. I would start matched betting and casino offers if you have the accounts available. Still good money to be made
What subscription do you recommend on fts for lay the draw? Thank you
ultimate
Where do you get the selections from ?
Selections are from a service called bets and beers on twitter.
@@SmartSportsTrader In your video you say you use FTS Ultimate?
Is lay the draw mean betting that a draw will happen or won't?
It means that the draw will not happen
Any chance of getting your selections? (For a fee obviously.)
Sorry no they are not available
what about a game whit 0-0 , ? what min i can doed cash out , because one 0-0 i lost maybe 5 or 6 wins in line to take up that money
That will happen with bigger however can still be profitable long. It's completely up to you when to enter or exit. There is no magic number.
Hi Ronald how much money do you have on betfair?
can u test 2 goals in second half if dry first half with this expensive program ?
Don't think it has historical data for this
@@SmartSportsTrader tnx
How many leagues do you bet on lay the draw?
Lots of different leagues all over Euro
The background elevator music is annoying..
lay the draw is not a strategy its gambling, you'll make many small wins, and a few big losses that will wipe out all the wins and some more
I'm afraid you're right
shocking jan!!!
Thanks, Bro! Best regards from Germany
Thanks for the comment
I Am Like #587 Viewer #4,33,246 Comment #98 Subscriber #6,014
All betfair strategy are the same, at every strategy you are waiting for goal to happen and then you go out.
£300 profit in one year is not impressive by any means
I was thinking the same thing
It's relative to the stakes you are using. So for £5 stakes that's pretty damn good
if you find anything that is profitable with good liquidity, you are a rich man
I need betfair account
Fs 5 mins in and you've told us absolutely fuck all
What do you think to the idea of laying draw at ko and back 1-1 as insurance.
Sure it would work with the right selections.
More likely to be 0-0 than 1-1, the extra staking will seriously impact profit, bet and forget works best