Hurricane Season Getting Serious - June 28, 2024

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  • čas přidán 27. 06. 2024
  • #95L #tropics #travel #hurricanes #weather
    Hurricane U Video with Craig Setzer from Royal Caribbean • Hurricane U: Cruising ...
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    hurricanetrack.com/trackmap/
    With 95L poised to develop and possibly become a hurricane, it is time to really take the hurricane season very serious - especially considering that it's only late June.
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Komentáře • 91

  • @kathleencraig3804
    @kathleencraig3804 Před 2 dny +5

    Very educational way you put it. Being in SWFL I am concerned 95L could head up this way our waters are very warm ...wished you had long term just so we know what could happen

  • @denisegrant3961
    @denisegrant3961 Před 2 dny +3

    So happy that I found you!! Very Impressive 😊

  • @anthonygambitta6220
    @anthonygambitta6220 Před 2 dny +9

    The NHC might start issuing watches for the Windward islands for the 5pm update. Invest 95 imminent to become Beryl (100%. chance at 1pm.)

    • @justinw-bs7053
      @justinw-bs7053 Před 2 dny +3

      Ive never seen 100%, only 90. Is this new or is does it show 100 for a short period of time in the past.

    • @johnnyfrancois9491
      @johnnyfrancois9491 Před 2 dny +1

      Man this thing is about to explode to Cat 4 or 5 Hurricane Beryl

  • @timmygro3688
    @timmygro3688 Před 2 dny +7

    Just raised the odds of development for invest 95L to 100/100

    • @ericjones8791
      @ericjones8791 Před 2 dny +1

      It be a td by 5 pm

    • @justinwilson3922
      @justinwilson3922 Před 2 dny

      @@ericjones8791I should have been a TD during this update I don’t understand why they didn’t

  • @bouncyfun3
    @bouncyfun3 Před 2 dny +5

    Mark i enjoy all your vidoes with coffee so educational and interesting at once

  • @helengill4785
    @helengill4785 Před 2 dny +5

    Watching from BARBADOS thank u

  • @vickycarson1026
    @vickycarson1026 Před 2 dny +4

    Hello from the UK. Wonderful video, very informative.

  • @TheCreator-dx3vc
    @TheCreator-dx3vc Před 2 dny +2

    I’d like you to talk about the Atlantic La Niña developing too. Because that is going to really help the MDR activity too this season I would think

  • @PremierCCGuyMMXVI
    @PremierCCGuyMMXVI Před 2 dny +6

    Without El Niño being a factor, I think this hurricane season is gonna be extremely active. Even NOAA is predicting its most intense hurricane season forecast in a while. But fascinating analysis Mark thank you! ❤🌀

  • @lightening_ward8121
    @lightening_ward8121 Před 2 dny +3

    Very informative video, thanks!

  • @GoliathFish75
    @GoliathFish75 Před 2 dny

    I always enjoy your vids, especially in Hurricane season. Thanks.

  • @scottpearson9692
    @scottpearson9692 Před 2 dny +1

    Those SST anomalies tho...I think this season will be a beast.

  • @Sharon-hn9wn
    @Sharon-hn9wn Před 2 dny +2

    Thanks , Mark. 👍

  • @canucksfan2024
    @canucksfan2024 Před 2 dny +1

    So ur gonna convert the Tacoma from Hail Collector to Hurricane Tracker? Nice!!!

  • @paulyneskipsey
    @paulyneskipsey Před 2 dny +2

    Watching from Grenada on a boat ⛵️

  • @rowanbarrows7724
    @rowanbarrows7724 Před 2 dny +2

    Thx Mark

  • @MrDANGEROUSIDEAS
    @MrDANGEROUSIDEAS Před 2 hodinami

    thank you it's refreshing to get information based on data instead of infotainment

  • @Supernova-lc2yf
    @Supernova-lc2yf Před 2 dny

    105 mph PEAK with a 85 mph storm heading south of Barbados 😮 definitely one to seriously consider

  • @deepblue812
    @deepblue812 Před 2 dny +1

    seems like the Atlantic every year is +4/+5° SST above average. What's scary is that raises the average slightly every year yet the next year it's still +4/+5... 😬

  • @heraldosanchez-yv1fp
    @heraldosanchez-yv1fp Před 2 dny

    thanks mark. awesome aurora pic

  • @bigrooster6893
    @bigrooster6893 Před 2 dny +1

    It truly takes thousands of years to truly know what’s rare or not rare or what’s unusual. if we were living 15,000 years ago, we would’ve never seen any hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico because we were 8° colder.

    • @hurricanetrack
      @hurricanetrack  Před 2 dny +1

      Well yeah but we only have 150 good years so we have to go with what we’ve got.

  • @ac7350
    @ac7350 Před dnem

    Also watching from Barbados !!

  • @jamesgentry13
    @jamesgentry13 Před 2 dny +1

    Heres something to consider the years where we have had early carribeanhurricanes like this might be?
    2020
    2005
    1933
    The top 3 busiest seasons

  • @terryboldenjr.3555
    @terryboldenjr.3555 Před 2 dny

    With Facebook memories around this time a few years back; we had Bret; Cindy; PTC 2. Also remember Beryl in 2018?

  • @Concerned97
    @Concerned97 Před 2 dny

    Very informative

  • @ADreamingTraveler
    @ADreamingTraveler Před dnem

    I guess the ECMWF wasn't far off from its idea of this being one of the strongest signal seasons its ever predicted ahead of time. I'm not that shocked the eastern pacific is dead this year but the fact there's been zero activity there for almost 2 months is very alarming for the atlantic. Though what's really alarming is the fact the intensity models are seeing this system get to category 2 or potentially category 3 strength in this area...the only other year I can remember that ever pulled something off like that in July was 2005 with Dennis.

  • @ericjones8791
    @ericjones8791 Před 2 dny +1

    The wave behind 95L could be pulled in to the gulf end of next week because a incoming trough and the heat dome moving to the south west states

  • @CarleyOdom
    @CarleyOdom Před dnem

    We are leaving Orlando July 6 for a cruise that goes to St Thomas and st Marteen, July 10 and 11, how will things be looking then?

  • @brandondunn4562
    @brandondunn4562 Před 2 dny +2

    TD two as of after 3pm!!!!

  • @HurricaneJD
    @HurricaneJD Před 2 dny

    I would never accuse you of fear-mongering... We know you and your passionate about your work and fear-mongering is not amongst it. The fear-mongers are easy to spot because it will look like they spent more time on their thumbnail than they did the entire video

  • @ErnestOfGaia
    @ErnestOfGaia Před 2 dny

    Mississippi river is cresting sunday in st Paul MN

  • @Supernova-lc2yf
    @Supernova-lc2yf Před 2 dny

    TD2 has just been designated on the best track 👀👀, im going for a 75 mph peak on the first advisory, definitely everyone in windwards to need brace for atleast a strong tropical storm...also it wont just blow by like Elsa did at 30 mph, it will be moving at 20 mph which is still brisk but not anywhere else to how fast systems can travel in June/July in this part of the basin. The wave behind TD2 also looks kinda interesting on the models, cant imagine having two tropical cyclones moving through the windwards within 3 days like 2004 TD Charley and 5 days later Tropical storm Earl came through. Definitely one system to watch

  • @gladysmold
    @gladysmold Před 2 dny

    My family's are from Aruba 🇦🇼 ❤️

  • @billyjoesmo8251
    @billyjoesmo8251 Před 2 dny

    How long is that high pressure front going to stay in the Atlantic if I have a vote I want it to stay the whole season😂

  • @helengill4785
    @helengill4785 Před 2 dny

    Hi on vacation from mon. Going to the us soon omg.

  • @mak529
    @mak529 Před 2 dny

    Is this August?

  • @scpatl4now
    @scpatl4now Před 2 dny

    Per NHC this will be designated TD 2 at 5pm

    • @hurricanetrack
      @hurricanetrack  Před 2 dny

      Yep. Here we go. First up will be Windward Islands.

  • @brandondunn4562
    @brandondunn4562 Před 2 dny +1

    A category 4 or 5 hurricane in the Caribbean? Seems possible to me depending on the RI phase if it goes through that. I'm more unsure about category 5, but category 4 is never off the table yet even if the models don't show it as they could underestimating this storm that's now already a depression expected to become beryl by this evening or tonight and any RI phases will boost odds of this to be stronger than a category 3.

    • @tedjustadmitit.1540
      @tedjustadmitit.1540 Před 2 dny

      Absurd. Its June. Relax.

    • @ADreamingTraveler
      @ADreamingTraveler Před dnem +1

      Hurricane Emily in 2005 was the only category 5 July hurricane we ever got. Dennis in that same year got very close to cat 5 as well. But 2005 was a anomaly. There have only ever been 2 category 4 hurricanes ever in July and those were the same two I just mentioned back in 2005 so it is very hard to get them. Not saying Beryl can't do it, it definitely could if things line up perfectly for it.

  • @brandondunn4562
    @brandondunn4562 Před 2 dny

    Me and my family are just getting ready to go on a cruise actually from the 4th of July to the 13th, and it'd be real extremely concerning if any tropical cyclone whether hurricane beryl or another system moves into the subtropical Atlantic based on where we're going to. We'll be in Bermuda first then later in the Turks and Caicos and the Dominican Republic. It would be nice for things to clear out during our time sailing in the Atlantic, but because we're not sure hopefully our ship is prepared for anything and that we'll be fine. Not all shipping interests luck out to survive rough seas as we've seen before.

    • @kattmilk
      @kattmilk Před 2 dny

      Take it from a seasoned Floridian - The best time to cruise is December - March. Lowest prices and of course hurricane season is over.

    • @brandondunn4562
      @brandondunn4562 Před 2 dny

      @@kattmilk I know but a lot of people cruise during hurricane season regardless because the summer season is within that time which is the normal time when people like to do it and the warm weather by then.

  • @Gamingsystum-ch7jh
    @Gamingsystum-ch7jh Před 2 dny +1

    Plz explain barbados weather today nd tommorow ❤

  • @perrylim9728
    @perrylim9728 Před 2 dny +1

    100/100

  • @WeggieQueen2005
    @WeggieQueen2005 Před 2 dny

    I live on Hutchinson Island and I'm disabled now. I"m so scared and me, the sick one, is responsible for two 80+ year olds. :(

  • @Jaxaughningrxm
    @Jaxaughningrxm Před dnem +1

    Watch in jamaica 🇯🇲

  • @mikeparis3915
    @mikeparis3915 Před 2 dny

    Has ther ever been a hurricane season in east Pacific that had no named storms

  • @ashleybabb1764
    @ashleybabb1764 Před 2 dny

    How will Cancun be July 2-6 trying to seee if we need to cancel our vacation

    • @hurricanetrack
      @hurricanetrack  Před 2 dny +2

      Wish I had an easy answer - too many puzzle pieces right now.

    • @ashleybabb1764
      @ashleybabb1764 Před 2 dny

      @@hurricanetrack thank you: I will continue to monitor the situation

  • @Jdog667.
    @Jdog667. Před 2 dny

    Setting up like 2004 😮

  • @ErnestOfGaia
    @ErnestOfGaia Před 2 dny

    94l probably gonna heep TX soil saturated with water?

  • @wildearth3992
    @wildearth3992 Před 2 dny

    Why do you only look till 5 days (120 hours) while the NHC have outlook for the next 7 days (168 hours) ? Are 7 days forecast are even relevant and useful ?

    • @TheTania323
      @TheTania323 Před dnem

      The farther out you go, the higher the uncertainty. 7 days out give countries an understanding of who needs to be on alert. Mark prefers to stop at 5 days😊

  • @brandondunn4562
    @brandondunn4562 Před 2 dny +1

    Beryl might likely form today based on that it's now a depression!!!!

  • @canucksfan2024
    @canucksfan2024 Před 2 dny

    Tropical Depression Beryl!!!!

  • @brandondunn4562
    @brandondunn4562 Před 2 dny

    Thanks for the update, Mark!!! Interesting stuff happening in the tropics now that foreshadows the rest of the season!!!❤💘💝💖💯.

  • @Maria-kw1zm
    @Maria-kw1zm Před 2 dny

    How hard would this hit Puerto Rico

  • @Edalfredo
    @Edalfredo Před 2 dny

    Mark, please we get it, there are some people out there that pull your hair out, but man, i just wanna get to the point and forget about all other stuff because it's hurricane season, had to skip the vid so many times just to get to the point of the vid. thanks. 7:35

  • @carolcalicott1464
    @carolcalicott1464 Před 2 dny +1

    👍🏻👍🏻❤️🇺🇸

  • @willsessions2474
    @willsessions2474 Před 2 dny

    Hey bro, I really appreciate the information you share. I only watch your channel for tropical information. For the record, I have zero social media accounts, so I'm not fully aware of the amount of detractors and opposition your presentation of science faces that necessitates the constant defensive stance you take in all of your videos. Is there that much pushback to you interpreting the NHCs data and telling everyone about it? And if so, what is the counter-argument, and what meteorologist is offering it? It would be nice to see you more relaxed and just talking about the weather without having to constantly defend yourself and justify why you're saying what you're saying. For what it's worth, I believe you. And hey, cool stuff you're doing with the hail study.

    • @hurricanetrack
      @hurricanetrack  Před 2 dny +1

      I like this comment - great perspective from you end. Yes, I need to just keep on keeping on and those who wish to counter the science do so at their peril.

  • @kennycarter5682
    @kennycarter5682 Před 2 dny

    i wonder if the female storms are going to dominate this season?? its something interesting to keep an eye on

  • @helengill4785
    @helengill4785 Před 2 dny

    Time change

  • @SWSW560
    @SWSW560 Před 2 dny

    "...especially tourists"...smh

  • @faithwebster-el5rx
    @faithwebster-el5rx Před dnem

    I don't believe you are fearmongering!

  • @atheflin
    @atheflin Před 2 dny +1

    "if you complain, I just dont care" ... goes on to bitch about people complaining for 20 minutes (which is I guess a complaint as well LOL) very informative video, could do without all that commentary

  • @jesperhammarlund300
    @jesperhammarlund300 Před 2 dny

    dude chill. we had hurricane Alex in january2016. so anything in june is mega normal.
    wake me up when we get a cat 5 in june

    • @Holabirdsupercluster
      @Holabirdsupercluster Před 2 dny +2

      What

    • @hurricanetrack
      @hurricanetrack  Před 2 dny +3

      Not impressed except in cases of cat-5, got it. Duly noted.

    • @nicholaspark4165
      @nicholaspark4165 Před 2 dny

      Do Cape verde hurricanes, especially ones that hit the W. Atlantic, happen during June? Normally, I thought not.

  • @jx-dama9611
    @jx-dama9611 Před 2 dny

    will have to wait till at least august before anything affects the us mainland.....until then, STAND DOWN..........take a nap🙄

    • @gregd4633
      @gregd4633 Před 2 dny +1

      How do you know that?

    • @Nadine-bv3jm
      @Nadine-bv3jm Před 2 dny +4

      Please stop spreading false news. Make sure your supply kit is ready no matter what.

    • @canucksfan2024
      @canucksfan2024 Před 2 dny +1

      Anything can happen no matter what STAY VIGILANT