Ukraine is not a strategic asset that Taiwan is. There is little upside to the US supporting Ukraine beyond grinding the Russian war machine to dust. And the benefit of that is mixed at best. Yes, it sucks for Ukraine, but it is their fight, not ours. While I am all for giving our old and soon to be expired gear to them, there is no reason for pallets of cash to be laundered by companies such as Burisma.
As you said "their fight" might not happen if in 90th the US didn't push Ukraine to surrender to bloody ruzzia all nuclear weapons and bunch non nuclear as well theatening with sanctions and stuff. Did it work well for the peace? Now it "their fight, not ours" for u👏
How much of a fish brain do you have to be to think that an island can win against one of the largest and most populous nations in the world? Just how many kilometers of their shore?
The most famous blunder is never to get involved in a land war in Asia. The second most famous blunder is to never go up against a Sicilian when ☠️ is on the line
4 lessons of Taiwan from a Ukrainian: 1. air defense 2. development of naval drones 3. many familiar drones and fpv and jammers from enemy drones 4. the power of endurance and not succumbing to enemy information and psychological operations
Where did that get them ? They lost already doesn’t matter what they do , are they gonna be able to do that for the next 10 years ? Absolutely not they cant , Russia is able to keep going for decades with no issue . Look at facts and stop being delusional . All they did was buying time and delaying an inevitable faith .
I disagree with your analysis. It sounds good on the surface but if you cut to the heart of the matter. The biggest mistake that Ukraine made, that no one wants to talk about because it's the hot potato. Is Ukraine forfeited their nukes. Taiwan could eliminate the CCP invasion in an instant. All they have to do is acquire nuclear capability. Putin wouldn't have invaded a nuclear foe on his boarder, nor would China.
@@zebraDtoriko Russia is able to keep going for decades with no issue LMAO. No way. Even the Soviets didn't withstand a decade of war in Afghanistan. Russia is running on a massive deficit, the first time since 2000x something. Even the official state pols are showing sinking approvals for the war.
You know, sometimes I wonder if people are just intentionally ret*rded or something. Taiwan is only 1/20th the size of Ukraine and is entirely dependent on imports to the world. The moment China locks in a Blockade and it starts flooding it with multiple bombardments from cruise missiles and glide guided precision bombs and ballistic missiles from Land, Sea and Air the island is fucked as that island will have every nook and cranny accounted for from AWACs, satellites, spy planes, drones, etc etc. This is not even getting into the fact the China is a manufacturing powerhouse and would make Russia's production look like child's play and like if the world woke up World War II America all over again from how much they'd be able to produce if China pivots to a war economy. Edit: Oh and just in case anyone responding as if pretending Taiwan is some continental nation and not an island, the only way Taiwan is getting supplies is if Western nations run China's blockade on the island like the Soviets wanted to run the blockade of America on Cuba leading to World War III or well us being back into a Cuban Missile Crisis situation seeing who blinks, the USSR blinked because it had enough sanity not endanger the human species over goddamn Cuba, let's see if America has the same maturity to not do the same over Taiwan for the sake of the world. Taiwan will only have the military stockpiles it has currently at present, if those run out they better be prepared to fight with tasers, sticks, stones or whatever blunt and sharp object they can grab. And those stockpiles they currently have would barely last a month of the fighting Ukraine is undergoing.
I'm sure if China invaded Taiwan, the US Government would force Starlink to comply. They've straight up taken over entire companies before when the owner refused to help in a war effort. The bigger issue is that China could just blow up the satellites. They have missiles that can do it, and they've tested them on their own satellites before.
Taiwan has yet achieved independence while Ukraine is recognised independent country. People in the West may have forgotten the fact that Taiwan is part of China, and the civil war has not been resolved although they stopped the shooting for years. Independence or not, it’s still an agenda during Taiwan’s election.
The US is the ONLY way Taiwan can stand up to Red China. And Taiwan is NOT Ukraine. The US has a vested interest in Taiwan that doesn't exist for Ukraine.
@@lionrock2023 Good grief, Karen. If the Chinese is thinking of invading, don't they need to get close? You can't invade a country from 120 miles away, Sherlock.
China to "throw in the towel"? Highly unlikely given it's repeated defeats in the past. Unless there is a civil unrest due to some kind or economic crunch which is also a long shot.
Taiwan should probably retire its destoyers and larger surface warships and redirect those personnel and money towards more stealthy missile boats and shore-based anti-ship missiles. This is critical as all Mainland forces will have to come on ships.
Have you actually looked into their destroyer-escorts? The Kidd-class (aka Dead Admiral or Ayatollah class) is one of their best investments despite being a ship built in the 1980s.
@davidford3115 I am familiar with the beautiful ex-Kidd destroyers, the ex-Oliver Hazard Perrys, and Lafayette class frigates. It seems to me that, lacking Aegis, these ships would get swarmed by anti-ship on Day 1. Taiwan's new stealthy corvettes and submarines would have a better chance of putting warheads on PLAN warships. That must be the role of the ROCN.
Well, another lesson would be: "expect help but don't be surprised if it arrives late, insufficient and even with the precondition of not targeting your enemy lest "nuclear war" could be triggered." In other words: Expect to become a Swiss cheese whose only aspiration must be fending whatever land that was taken from you, not hurting the big guy where it surely enough it could hurt.
China has no “nuclear first strike” policy against anyone, including those with nuclear bombs. That doesn’t mean, however, that it wouldn’t shoot hypersonic ICBM equipped with conventional warheads at the US mainland cities when it is attacked.
Beautiful people - would you be inclined to talk about the German or British militaries, their decline, and how they could become Tier 1 forces again? Or any of the sort?
Poland did not copy territorial defence forces from Ukraine, quite the opposite, Poland has that brunch of military since 7-8 years. It was Ukraine that was being instructed and trained on how to fight from Nato countries since their army was non existing during the beggining of this war in 2014. Im fed up with this bullshit propaganda.
No THAAD system because China might object? Who cares? I would have that Russia invading Ukraine was lesson enough about what happens when dictators are appeased; of course, one could go back to WW2 for that, as well.
The most important lesson , which you did not talk about, is how Taiwan will obtain Western support during the war like Ukraine is doing since this is the first reason for Ukraine’s resilience . Taiwan is an island, and this makes it difficult to support it in the event of war if it is besieged
If this were to happen US is In In this war. US just supplies Ukraine but no direct physical support. US would use its Navy to insure supplies make it in Taiwan.
"Tyranny of Distance". The US Navy already figured out how to do it during the 1920s, coming up with "War Plan Orange" for fighting Imperial Japan. A modern war with China will play out very similar, which is why the Chinese are so keen on securing allies in the Solomon Islands.
@@Flowerboy.flores But this means breaking the Chinese naval blockade, i.e. direct intervention. Ukraine can be supported without a direct clash with Russia, but Taiwan, because it is an island that China can blockade, makes supporting it during the war almost impossible without a direct clash with China
@@Flowerboy.flores at least that's what the US make China believe into, while in fact... We've already heard about support of Ukraine till its victory. Where is American support now? Besides, Biden gave Putin extra motivation to invade when he withdrew military advisors from Ukraine and said he's not sending boots on the ground in Ukraine. I hope he doesn't do the same mistake with Taiwan.
@@Chou-seh-fu Red China is an ethno-nationalist society despite their claims otherwise. Taiwan's Han Chinese population has evolved over the last 75 years into a distinct sub-culture much like the Hakka, Teochew, Hokkien and Tanka are a subset of Han.
@davidford3115 Agree 100%, but I'd add that 64% of people in Taiwan don't even consider themselves Chinese anymore -- they regard themselves as Taiwanese. (Although I think that percentage declined slightly to 62% in the most recent poll.)
Considering China is No.1 drone manufature and her AI techique is fast evolving, Taiwan will facing unimaginable situation much worse than Ukriane did. Maybe another replica of Armenian war in Nagorno-Karabakh.
@qingzhou9983 Matching PRC is not necessary, nor should it even be a goal. Taiwan is a small island with a limited number of beaches suitable for amphibious landing. Even with all of the ships, planes, and troops in the world, PRC could only land the number of troops and equipment that a beach could physically support. ROC simply needs enough ASuMs and SAMs to engage the PRC ships and aircraft approaching Taiwan's limited beaches and airspace.
@@Rob_F8F It seems the US military disagree with you. Without US direct military involvement, Taiwan gets no chance. Even with US Navy, PLA still could win in the 1st round. And US knows its could not beat PRC in a battle lasting for years or decades in Taiwan Strait. All these are common knowledge in US.
Ukraine is still holding, and it doesn’t even have direct warfighter involvement from its supporters. The PLA though has yet to prove its competency treating combat injuries and battle damage from an opponent who actually shoots back. And unlike Mainlanders, Taiwanese are much more proactive to support each other and take up arms without government direction.
The situation in Ukraine is 20-25% of its population left the country as refugees to neighboring EU countries. NATO supported the war through both weapon supply, military advisers and suspected special forces in the frontline, surveillance, command and control support, fiscal support and of course political and media. But all of these does not prevents the enormous destruction of its towns and human suffering. Considering the density of Taiwan settlements, this situation will be worse. Taiwan is an island with uninhabitable mountainous interior and almost entirely dependent on the sea route for its fuel and food. Imagine 20% of its population trying to leave the country and many more trying to survive in the interior. The suffering is likely to be much greater. I would think a negotiated peace is a much better option.
@@olderchin1558 Negotiated peace is Russian and Chinese propaganda. Empires will always want to expand, you give them an inch they will want another mile. What's happening in Ukraine and would happen in Taiwan is a tragedy but there's no other way.
Big one for all countries is your on your own in the beginning you must be able to hold and resupply your self no one can fully count on support coming or getting though a blockade.
And be willing to fight. The fall of Saigon and the Fall of Kabul both occurred because the locals refused to step up to the plate. Kiev and Seoul both stand free because their populations DID fight for their country.
You're not serious right? Modern blockade does not require warships sitting physically in the way. Houthis basically blockades the red sea via cheap drones and missiles. To counter that you need an almost endless supply of anti-air missiles which no one except the USA has.
won't work in Taiwan, Taiwan strait is much rougher than black sea and also no close allie nearby where Ukraine can rely on NATO to provide Realtime intel closest will be Philippines or Japan which are hundreds of miles away.
How about: when you have your opponents on the back foot, don’t give them 6 months to recover and build defensive lines, and then attack with half your strength exactly where the opponent is expecting you to…?
You forgot drones. Sea drones in particular. Ukraine destroyed 20% of the Russian fleet. Attacking across the sea will be rather difficult in this world of kamikaze drones.
@@IK_MK Russian fleet is massive. Black sea fleet only a small portion of it. 20% in the one or the other changes the meaning dramatically, and op knows this.
Those relatively fast and inexpensive naval drones that Ukraine has developed combined with anti-ship missiles should be able to diminish an invasion quite well. Possibly start the drones when the fleet is starting en route and fire the missiles so that all arrive at about the same time.
Xi is forbidden by Chinese law to militarily attack Taiwan as long as it remains as a Chinese polity, in whatever permutation of naming convention. Currently, Taiwan remains as Republic of China.
I know Xi wants Taiwan but the thing with the Chinese is that they actually care about their position on the world stage If an attempt to take over Taiwan ever comes to fruition, I bet it'll be from the inside somehow
If the war in Ukraine has taught the world anything, it’s that drones have fundamentally changed the way in which war is waged in the modern era. If Taiwan isn’t investing heavily in large numbers of relative cheap drones for both offensive operations and reconnaissance missions id be very surprised. Do I think China could take Taiwan given the vastly larger size of its military, most likely yes. Do I Think that the cost in lives lost would be so great that it could cause the populous to rise up and oust the CCP, well that’s also a resounding yes. Nobody outside of china is ever going to remove the CCP, only the Chinese people can do that.
It is interesting to look at the Korean war for your last point. China went on a big offensive with a staggering number of losses in a time I would argue, where the ccp wasn't yet so strongly integrated into the country yet. No uprising came from that, and even western analysts are acknowleging how resiliant the population is in regards to losses in wartime.
China has the same problem Russia has with Ukraine. A quick victory or total failure. Their dependence on imports and exports makes China even more vulnerable than Russia to being economically isolated. China has more to lose by taking Taiwan than any gains it may achieve. And their threats only strengthens the building of alliances against them.
No, China depends on export to the west. If Taiwan holds out even months while preventing shipment from China, China has a problem. However, Xi may be willing to take that gamble.
@@thiloreichelt4199 Maybe so ! Ji knows that having his navy bunched up in the strait would create the potential for heavy losses. Protecting the landing forces and logistic train will be critical. They are slow and their movements are predictable.
What i dont get is that its an island, so lets say China doesnt invade, but starts a full blockade for a year and totally surrounds it ? Food and Fuel run out, then what ?
Blockades are legally considered a full act of war, and may be reacted to accordingly by Taipei’s allies. Plus the PLAN hold on the Pacific side will be tenuous at best since they’ll be on the opposite end of Taiwan who will resist any missions to support the vessels out there, especially since the eastern half of the island is where all the defensible mountains are.
Cuban Missile Crisis. Look to that should Red China try to blockade. If not for Admiral Vasiliy (Laim Neeson's character from K-19 Widowmaker), the American blockade would have been hit with a nuclear torpedo.
And what I don't get is that China depends on 47% of its oil on imports, and 35% of its food on imports. So, let's say America starts a blockade for a year? Food and Fuel run out in China -- then what ?
The most of important lesson is not to arm yourself with the weapons provided by your enemy’s adversaries, and make them feel even more threatened to the point you leave them no choice.
@@ajaykumarsingh702 When the Russians are losing 7 men for every 1 Ukrainian killed, that is NOT victory by ANY measure. And don't get me started on the rapid attrition of their armor.
They need sea drones with computer vision and AI. It’s not difficult with their technological capabilities. Finding a ship on the high seas is very easy for computer vision. Drones should exchange information about targets using a distributed MESH network. If you have thousands of such drones, then you will not be able to capture the island from the sea.
Lessons for Ukraine (too late): Don't be used as a tool of the USA to contain Russia. Lesson for Taiwan (not too late): Don't be used as a tool of the USA to contain China.
I think that marine drones would be essential to preventing the successful invasion by Chinese landing ships as well as attacking marine shipping into Chinese ports. My guess that the second mission would need to have the range to get to much of the South China Sea.
Personally, I doubt Taiwan will be invaded. The stakes are just too high for both sides Also, this could have all been just a bluff - A scare tactic if you like -
That's a very interesting comment because I've had a student from Taiwan who basically said that most of what we hear about the relationship of Taiwan and China is a lie. He said china could invade years ago if they wanted but despite the fact they're butthurt about Taiwan wanting to be independent their main concern is US presence in the area
I believe this as well. the mainland government might be a clown show, but they aren’t completely stupid. (that said, stupidity has no bounds, so ….we’ll see)
@@DetectiveRackham Yes, but given then ensuing disaster dragging onto its 2nd year now Xi Jinping and China has had a golden opportunity to witness 1st hand catastrophic consequences for failure 😅
I visited Taiwan recently. All of the points in this video are good, but I think it misses a much bigger problem for Taiwan's defense. The basic training of conscripts there is absolutely awful. Former conscripts told me that they only get to shoot ~60 rounds during their *entire* service period. The reason given was that it's "too expensive". Make of that what you will. They also said that very little of the other time is spent on any useful training. For specialized roles like artillery, conscripts will often go their entire service period without ever firing a cannon because "someone might get hurt". Tons of bayonets, push ups, and marching. Very little urban warfare, marksmanship or grenade throwing. They haven't fought a real war in like 80 years, and it definitely shows. It all gives the impression that the Taiwanese think they can hold off a Chinese invasion simply through buying lots of fancy western missiles, jets and submarines. They seem unwilling to accept that the war might devolve into brutal fighting in the streets of Taipei or a guerilla war in the mountains. In a battle of jets, boats and missiles, China will always win. I think the only way Taiwan can really deter an invasion is if they show that every man and woman is ready to pick up a gun and fight viciously for every inch of ground.
There are, however, a few major differences: Taiwan is wealthy and highly developed, while Ukraine is not as much. Taiwan has many hills and natural protection, while Ukraine has almost none. And most importantly, China wants control over all of Taiwan, while what Russia wants is still not entirely clear but is a much smaller goal than owning the entire territory.
I agree on all except Russia's goals. Their march on Kiev was clear that at a minimum Putin wanted a puppet government much like in Belarus. It is an open debate as to if he would have simply annexed the entire country.
Most importantly, it’s 1.4 billion people under historical mission to reunite their ancestral land, to awash away 100 years of humiliation imposed by western alien interventions and Japanese raw aggression against the sole surviving civilization since antiquity.
Taiwan already has the 2nd highest density of missile installations in the world and is producing 1000 of missiles this year, new drone factories, launching 5 new warships & first ever domestic submarine.
Is density such a big feat if you don't have much available soil to begin with? China on the other hand conducted more balistic missile tests then every other country in the world, combined. That was in 2022.
@@John_Doe448 China's rockets are filled with water due to corruption. The leader of PLA rocket force just recently "disappeared" with no replacement. PLA's defense minsters also disappeared with no replacement. Corruption is deep in the PLA. Taiwan's missiles are mostly on mobile launcher and disguised in the mountains. There is an entire subterranean Chiashan Air Force base carved into the side of Taiwan's east cost mountain in the shadows of Chinese missile fly path. I'm NOT saying Taiwan will win a war with China. I'm saying Chinese victory is not guaranteed, and Taiwan has been working hard to make Chinas odd's of success as low as possible.
So much of this is the fault of the US; in rushing the normalization of our relationship with the PRC, we left the issue of Taiwan hanging in the breeze. Also, the US by not providing such weapon systems as THAAD to Taiwan hamstrings our own flexibility. Such systems, being defensive, allows for not only Taiwan's air defense, but also defends the US' own assets in theatre.
In case of this war, how much oil & food reserve CCP need when denied of access to Hormuz, Suez, Andaman, Malacca, Pacific, Panama, etc... when 80% of energy & 8.5% of food are imported?
@@kenh758 Arable land is already all spoken for, overly stressed infertile land, and bigger problem is lack of clean water (barely enough to drink). As per importing, 4,000km is the problem. You can't rail or truck it due to horrible infrastructure to Beijing from the Russian sources (near Artic for oil/gas or gains near Ukraine). Can't ship as per Japanese Navy & thick ice/stormy sea. Otherwise, can you imagine building a pipelines that is longer than Alaska to Florida? Oh, one more thing, how to pay for imports for 1.4B people, when u can't trade. Invade Taiwan, then go back to 18th Century economy within a year or less but with 1.4B population. Half of them will to die of starvation. BTW: World will suffer as well.
@@kenh758 How easy do you think it is to transport billions of tons of food across the trans-Siberian railway from European Russia to China? It isn't the slam dunk you think it is.
Russia did use a "brutal amount of fire" in the opening of the invasion, didn't they? I thought they used up pretty much their entire precision weapons stockpile. Maybe it wasn't much.
Taiwan should become the drone capital of the world. Their tech industry is fantastic. They can export to Ukraine for real world testing & some funding….
Sea-Babies. Sea drones have almost negated the reason for annexing Crimea, instigating & participation in the revolts in Donbas/Luhansk, and subsequent invasion; Russia's having a Black Sea fleet.
Main thing is anti aircraft and anti ship capabilities… Taiwan is in much better position, it is no small feat to land an invasion fleet, the undertaking would be serious like D-Day in WW2 and Chinese army has not seen real combat too, naval drones would be an asset too. I think in modern war if you do not allow them to overrun you in sky it is very hard to really do a naval landing… it was also true in WW2 but now I think even with some air superiority for China it would be a tall order
Ships are really slow, in moder war you see everything on the battlefield, hard to obscure anything, ships also cost a ton… and not easy to replace. Bad for morale to gave 1000s of troops fighting the sharks in ocean after ships are hit, instead of being invasion force
Taiwan has a massive advantage over Ukraine: geography. Ukraine is situated in the the Great European Plain which acts as a highway, Taiwan is on an island protected by the Taiwan Strait and its difficult weather.
The key number is three months. If the US were to come to Taiwan's aid, it would take six weeks to put in place an effective counter blockade of China. And about that much time again before cutting off oil supplies from the Persian gulf to start causing economic pain in China. So Taiwan has to hold out for at an absolute minimum three months. Once the pipelines from Russia to China get built, a few years in the future, but they are being built, the amount of time they need to hold out will get longer.
The fondness Japan has for its former prized colony still remains. Formosa was the crown jewel of the Empire of Japan and that affection hasn't diminished.
1. Win fast or America will give up on you lol
America gave up 3 months ago... 😂😂😂
@peterpanini96 Thank god, my street has potholes that need fixing haha.
Ukraine is not a strategic asset that Taiwan is. There is little upside to the US supporting Ukraine beyond grinding the Russian war machine to dust. And the benefit of that is mixed at best.
Yes, it sucks for Ukraine, but it is their fight, not ours. While I am all for giving our old and soon to be expired gear to them, there is no reason for pallets of cash to be laundered by companies such as Burisma.
As you said "their fight" might not happen if in 90th the US didn't push Ukraine to surrender to bloody ruzzia all nuclear weapons and bunch non nuclear as well theatening with sanctions and stuff. Did it work well for the peace? Now it "their fight, not ours" for u👏
How much of a fish brain do you have to be to think that an island can win against one of the largest and most populous nations in the world? Just how many kilometers of their shore?
1. Don't declare independence
2. Navy drones
3. Win fast or US wil lose interest lol
First rule of warfare: don’t go into war.
There’s just a very slight possibility, that China is also learning from Ukraine?
The most famous blunder is never to get involved in a land war in Asia. The second most famous blunder is to never go up against a Sicilian when ☠️ is on the line
The Art of War: Prepare for welcoming peace when you are fully prepared for war.
_"The greatest victory is that which requires no battle."_
- Sun Tzu, *The Art Of War*
@@rmar1273rd, don't invade Russia in winter
I'm pretty sure the last 45 years are proof that China knows that lesson
One lesson : might better not poking the dragon.
4 lessons of Taiwan from a Ukrainian: 1. air defense 2. development of naval drones 3. many familiar drones and fpv and jammers from enemy drones 4. the power of endurance and not succumbing to enemy information and psychological operations
Where did that get them ? They lost already doesn’t matter what they do , are they gonna be able to do that for the next 10 years ? Absolutely not they cant , Russia is able to keep going for decades with no issue . Look at facts and stop being delusional . All they did was buying time and delaying an inevitable faith .
I disagree with your analysis. It sounds good on the surface but if you cut to the heart of the matter. The biggest mistake that Ukraine made, that no one wants to talk about because it's the hot potato. Is Ukraine forfeited their nukes. Taiwan could eliminate the CCP invasion in an instant. All they have to do is acquire nuclear capability. Putin wouldn't have invaded a nuclear foe on his boarder, nor would China.
Russia is slowly chewing up Ukraine by sheer attrition
@@zebraDtoriko Russia is able to keep going for decades with no issue
LMAO. No way. Even the Soviets didn't withstand a decade of war in Afghanistan. Russia is running on a massive deficit, the first time since 2000x something. Even the official state pols are showing sinking approvals for the war.
You know, sometimes I wonder if people are just intentionally ret*rded or something. Taiwan is only 1/20th the size of Ukraine and is entirely dependent on imports to the world. The moment China locks in a Blockade and it starts flooding it with multiple bombardments from cruise missiles and glide guided precision bombs and ballistic missiles from Land, Sea and Air the island is fucked as that island will have every nook and cranny accounted for from AWACs, satellites, spy planes, drones, etc etc.
This is not even getting into the fact the China is a manufacturing powerhouse and would make Russia's production look like child's play and like if the world woke up World War II America all over again from how much they'd be able to produce if China pivots to a war economy.
Edit: Oh and just in case anyone responding as if pretending Taiwan is some continental nation and not an island, the only way Taiwan is getting supplies is if Western nations run China's blockade on the island like the Soviets wanted to run the blockade of America on Cuba leading to World War III or well us being back into a Cuban Missile Crisis situation seeing who blinks, the USSR blinked because it had enough sanity not endanger the human species over goddamn Cuba, let's see if America has the same maturity to not do the same over Taiwan for the sake of the world. Taiwan will only have the military stockpiles it has currently at present, if those run out they better be prepared to fight with tasers, sticks, stones or whatever blunt and sharp object they can grab. And those stockpiles they currently have would barely last a month of the fighting Ukraine is undergoing.
Definitely don’t rely on Starlink for internet. China has Elon by the balls.
I'm sure if China invaded Taiwan, the US Government would force Starlink to comply. They've straight up taken over entire companies before when the owner refused to help in a war effort. The bigger issue is that China could just blow up the satellites. They have missiles that can do it, and they've tested them on their own satellites before.
Some Starlink satellites are now owned by the US military.
Elon has nothing to do with them. So Starlink for Taiwan will be perfect.
Slava TSMC 🇹🇼
Your CCP check is already in the mail.
I think Taiwan uses Oneweb
Number 1: If one has nuclear weapons, don't surrender them for "peace", money, or promises of "security".
Ask Ukraine, and Israel.
The British nukes does not even work... 😂
I suspect despite the bad PR, the UK's nuclear powered subs, armed with nukes, would work just fine and dandy if pressed into action. @@peterpanini96
@@peterpanini96 The Italians don't even possess nukes. 😂
I came here to say this.
@@InvictusVirtus Ukraine had nukes & surrendered them.
Main lesson from Ukraine - do not rely on "allies"
Do not fall for American trap
the only 1 thing needed: white flag.
Taiwan has yet achieved independence while Ukraine is recognised independent country. People in the West may have forgotten the fact that Taiwan is part of China, and the civil war has not been resolved although they stopped the shooting for years. Independence or not, it’s still an agenda during Taiwan’s election.
@@estiennetaylor1260 Bingo. 5 rubbles
@@ylo114It's independent from the PRC, that's the only thing that matters.
There’s only one lesson to learn, don’t trust or rely on the US
The US is the ONLY way Taiwan can stand up to Red China. And Taiwan is NOT Ukraine. The US has a vested interest in Taiwan that doesn't exist for Ukraine.
Slava 🇹🇼 Heroyam TAIWANese 🦾
huh?
Don't trust China is more important.
How can Taiwan don't trust the US? Taiwan should make more effort to stand up on its own though.
"Counting on the massive and unanimous support of the west". Which will never come
Peacetime Singapore has got 2 years of military conscription plus 10 years of reservist duty...so Taiwan needs to do even more
They need to stock a lot of munitions, way more than what they think they need, both smart and dumb bombs.
Tell me.. what traditional artillery pieces can fire over 120 miles?!?
@@lionrock2023 Good grief, Karen. If the Chinese is thinking of invading, don't they need to get close? You can't invade a country from 120 miles away, Sherlock.
There's only one lesson: #1. Don't be cannon fodder for Washington DC
One lesson should be: Get AI-controlled drones. Lots of them.
China produces lot of those drones even the ones Ukraine is using. China will mass produce drones like crazy.
Good idea! And of course to continually upgrade them.
China to "throw in the towel"? Highly unlikely given it's repeated defeats in the past. Unless there is a civil unrest due to some kind or economic crunch which is also a long shot.
All drones or drone parts are made in China
If China stopped drones parts exports then Taiwan won't have any extra drone in their arsenal
China wont ship them
Lesson #1: DON'T. JUST DON'T.
Taiwan should probably retire its destoyers and larger surface warships and redirect those personnel and money towards more stealthy missile boats and shore-based anti-ship missiles. This is critical as all Mainland forces will have to come on ships.
Also they may come as paratroopers or air mobile assaults.
Have you actually looked into their destroyer-escorts? The Kidd-class (aka Dead Admiral or Ayatollah class) is one of their best investments despite being a ship built in the 1980s.
and China proceeds to spam drones until Taiwan runs out of ammo
@davidford3115 I am familiar with the beautiful ex-Kidd destroyers, the ex-Oliver Hazard Perrys, and Lafayette class frigates. It seems to me that, lacking Aegis, these ships would get swarmed by anti-ship on Day 1.
Taiwan's new stealthy corvettes and submarines would have a better chance of putting warheads on PLAN warships.
That must be the role of the ROCN.
@@Rob_F8F Don't need an Aegis, you just need the Vulcan Phalanx. While not specifically designed for anti-drone, it more than meets the challenge.
Well, another lesson would be: "expect help but don't be surprised if it arrives late, insufficient and even with the precondition of not targeting your enemy lest "nuclear war" could be triggered." In other words: Expect to become a Swiss cheese whose only aspiration must be fending whatever land that was taken from you, not hurting the big guy where it surely enough it could hurt.
China has no “nuclear first strike” policy against anyone, including those with nuclear bombs. That doesn’t mean, however, that it wouldn’t shoot hypersonic ICBM equipped with conventional warheads at the US mainland cities when it is attacked.
US will be just chest thumping and then quiet when it really started.
1) Don't rely on those who aren't directly involved to fund your cost.
I bet US don't want china ships in the pacific
8:55 that statement could send mix signals
You forgot the best lesson, avoiding NATO like plagues.
Beautiful people - would you be inclined to talk about the German or British militaries, their decline, and how they could become Tier 1 forces again? Or any of the sort?
Poland did not copy territorial defence forces from Ukraine, quite the opposite, Poland has that brunch of military since 7-8 years.
It was Ukraine that was being instructed and trained on how to fight from Nato countries since their army was non existing during the beggining of this war in 2014.
Im fed up with this bullshit propaganda.
Thanks u Visual Politics!
Greeting from Taiwan 🇹🇼
No THAAD system because China might object? Who cares? I would have that Russia invading Ukraine was lesson enough about what happens when dictators are appeased; of course, one could go back to WW2 for that, as well.
Indeed. People forgot the lessons of Munich. At least JFK didn't forget them during the Cuban Missile Crisis.
The most important lesson , which you did not talk about, is how Taiwan will obtain Western support during the war like Ukraine is doing since this is the first reason for Ukraine’s resilience . Taiwan is an island, and this makes it difficult to support it in the event of war if it is besieged
If this were to happen US is In In this war. US just supplies Ukraine but no direct physical support. US would use its Navy to insure supplies make it in Taiwan.
We Americans will have to hound owe leaders to keep their ward but elections make that difficult.
"Tyranny of Distance". The US Navy already figured out how to do it during the 1920s, coming up with "War Plan Orange" for fighting Imperial Japan. A modern war with China will play out very similar, which is why the Chinese are so keen on securing allies in the Solomon Islands.
@@Flowerboy.flores But this means breaking the Chinese naval blockade, i.e. direct intervention. Ukraine can be supported without a direct clash with Russia, but Taiwan, because it is an island that China can blockade, makes supporting it during the war almost impossible without a direct clash with China
@@Flowerboy.flores at least that's what the US make China believe into, while in fact... We've already heard about support of Ukraine till its victory. Where is American support now? Besides, Biden gave Putin extra motivation to invade when he withdrew military advisors from Ukraine and said he's not sending boots on the ground in Ukraine. I hope he doesn't do the same mistake with Taiwan.
The 4 Dreams Lessons...
Hey, Grant is back. Nice.
Imagine thinking Taiwan & Ukraine's geographical situations are the same... Delusional.
They acknowledge that with point 1. They are talking tactics here.
Ukraine managed to successfully slowly but surely dismantle their own country...well played😂
Don't fight the war, look at Ukraine.
Дякую 💪🇺🇦🇺🇸🇹🇼❤️
Slava 🇹🇼 Heroyam TAIWANese 🦾
Guys, really, as much as I normally appreciate your content: who are you to tell Taiwan or anybody what Taiwan has to learn???
Because freedom and a sides of genocide is on the line , and a sprinkle of hegemony.
@@lie01234 What kind of anti-colonialist drivel are you muttering about? Taiwan is mostly Han Chinese, just like mainland China.
@@davidford3115 "Taiwan is mostly Han Chinese, just like mainland China."
Chinese "re-education" camps aren't just for Uighurs.
@@Chou-seh-fu Red China is an ethno-nationalist society despite their claims otherwise.
Taiwan's Han Chinese population has evolved over the last 75 years into a distinct sub-culture much like the Hakka, Teochew, Hokkien and Tanka are a subset of Han.
@davidford3115 Agree 100%, but I'd add that 64% of people in Taiwan don't even consider themselves Chinese anymore -- they regard themselves as Taiwanese. (Although I think that percentage declined slightly to 62% in the most recent poll.)
The biggest lesson, try to partner with your next-door neighbor instead of listening to some jerks sitting a thousand miles away.
Spot on!!
the only lesson should be "don't be a war proxy for america"
Considering China is No.1 drone manufature and her AI techique is fast evolving, Taiwan will facing unimaginable situation much worse than Ukriane did. Maybe another replica of Armenian war in Nagorno-Karabakh.
Simple...
1. Accept 92 consensus
2. Never believe US will help
As the Mainland has focused on a strategy of A2AD against the USA, Taiwan must have a similar strategy against the Mainland.
Very difficult as Taiwan is just adjacent to mainland China.
A2AD requires distance.
Yes
Not possible to match PRC's military strength and advance.
@qingzhou9983 Matching PRC is not necessary, nor should it even be a goal. Taiwan is a small island with a limited number of beaches suitable for amphibious landing. Even with all of the ships, planes, and troops in the world, PRC could only land the number of troops and equipment that a beach could physically support. ROC simply needs enough ASuMs and SAMs to engage the PRC ships and aircraft approaching Taiwan's limited beaches and airspace.
@@Rob_F8F
It seems the US military disagree with you. Without US direct military involvement, Taiwan gets no chance.
Even with US Navy, PLA still could win in the 1st round.
And US knows its could not beat PRC in a battle lasting for years or decades in Taiwan Strait.
All these are common knowledge in US.
A lot of youtube experts these days..
Excellent video 👍 Thank you 💜
I need Grant back!!!
Yes, Taiwan can resist China like Ukraine resisted Russia. But look at Ukraine now.
Ukraine is still holding, and it doesn’t even have direct warfighter involvement from its supporters.
The PLA though has yet to prove its competency treating combat injuries and battle damage from an opponent who actually shoots back. And unlike Mainlanders, Taiwanese are much more proactive to support each other and take up arms without government direction.
Ukraine is playing warship bingo and holding back the russians without US support. That's a pretty good state.
Yep, and you will still looking at Ukraine, not at some part of russia
The situation in Ukraine is 20-25% of its population left the country as refugees to neighboring EU countries. NATO supported the war through both weapon supply, military advisers and suspected special forces in the frontline, surveillance, command and control support, fiscal support and of course political and media.
But all of these does not prevents the enormous destruction of its towns and human suffering. Considering the density of Taiwan settlements, this situation will be worse. Taiwan is an island with uninhabitable mountainous interior and almost entirely dependent on the sea route for its fuel and food. Imagine 20% of its population trying to leave the country and many more trying to survive in the interior. The suffering is likely to be much greater.
I would think a negotiated peace is a much better option.
@@olderchin1558 Negotiated peace is Russian and Chinese propaganda. Empires will always want to expand, you give them an inch they will want another mile. What's happening in Ukraine and would happen in Taiwan is a tragedy but there's no other way.
The only lesson is: never mess with Russia.
MANPADs can also down cruise missles. Documented in Ukraine
Big one for all countries is your on your own in the beginning you must be able to hold and resupply your self no one can fully count on support coming or getting though a blockade.
And be willing to fight. The fall of Saigon and the Fall of Kabul both occurred because the locals refused to step up to the plate. Kiev and Seoul both stand free because their populations DID fight for their country.
Can’t blockade an island if the blockade ships keep getting blown up by ai controlled naval drones.
You're not serious right?
Modern blockade does not require warships sitting physically in the way.
Houthis basically blockades the red sea via cheap drones and missiles. To counter that you need an almost endless supply of anti-air missiles which no one except the USA has.
won't work in Taiwan, Taiwan strait is much rougher than black sea and also no close allie nearby where Ukraine can rely on NATO to provide Realtime intel closest will be Philippines or Japan which are hundreds of miles away.
Submarines?
@@ConvetionalHeretic We'll work on getting those [starts frantically hammering away in workshop]
How about: when you have your opponents on the back foot, don’t give them 6 months to recover and build defensive lines, and then attack with half your strength exactly where the opponent is expecting you to…?
The longest-range Western anti-aircraft missile is the Standard Missile 6. This weapon is usually deployed on US Navy destroyers.
You forgot drones. Sea drones in particular. Ukraine destroyed 20% of the Russian fleet. Attacking across the sea will be rather difficult in this world of kamikaze drones.
20% of black sea fleet not whole russian fleet
@@archiearevalo5648 you say that like 20% is a small insignificant amount😂 that's worth millions in damages
@@IK_MK Russian fleet is massive. Black sea fleet only a small portion of it. 20% in the one or the other changes the meaning dramatically, and op knows this.
@@IK_MK dude russia occupied uktaines lands worth more than russian ships
Apple and orange
That's Very true
Those relatively fast and inexpensive naval drones that Ukraine has developed combined with anti-ship missiles should be able to diminish an invasion quite well. Possibly start the drones when the fleet is starting en route and fire the missiles so that all arrive at about the same time.
U mean the British have developed
The voice. Is he back?
It's Taime for Taiwan to rise up
in the smoke 🤨🤭
No worries, both are one family, be happy 😊 n they won't fight each other. 🎉 they're playing with the outside world 🌎 😳
Hopefully all this deterrence is enough to get Xi to decide to not invade
That’s the ideal. But as the PLA continues to plus up its capabilities, Taipei must improve its overall counterforce to match.
Xi is forbidden by Chinese law to militarily attack Taiwan as long as it remains as a Chinese polity, in whatever permutation of naming convention. Currently, Taiwan remains as Republic of China.
I know Xi wants Taiwan but the thing with the Chinese is that they actually care about their position on the world stage
If an attempt to take over Taiwan ever comes to fruition, I bet it'll be from the inside somehow
will never happened, unless something big happened.
China has the world's largest navy, and its military spending is five times that of Russia and 14 times that of Taiwan.🤣
War is never an option. People need to use diplomacy.
War never fixes anything. It only brings pain.
The hybrid warfare theory is like the department of funny walks, we have a budget so we have to have a threat so we get new money the next year.
If the war in Ukraine has taught the world anything, it’s that drones have fundamentally changed the way in which war is waged in the modern era. If Taiwan isn’t investing heavily in large numbers of relative cheap drones for both offensive operations and reconnaissance missions id be very surprised.
Do I think China could take Taiwan given the vastly larger size of its military, most likely yes. Do I Think that the cost in lives lost would be so great that it could cause the populous to rise up and oust the CCP, well that’s also a resounding yes. Nobody outside of china is ever going to remove the CCP, only the Chinese people can do that.
And whatever replaces CCP will be even more nationalistic
so many ifs and many of them are unlikely to be happened.
It is interesting to look at the Korean war for your last point. China went on a big offensive with a staggering number of losses in a time I would argue, where the ccp wasn't yet so strongly integrated into the country yet. No uprising came from that, and even western analysts are acknowleging how resiliant the population is in regards to losses in wartime.
1. Lesson dont be fooled if someone tells you you can beat 1.4 bn population country with your 20m population
Taiwan is stocking up on drones. Each family is allocated five.
But China is having more families
my guy, China owns 80% of the market share of drones. There ain't no way Taiwan is getting enough for this
哇，這個影片有好多我沒看過總統視察的影像，台灣媒體上從未流出的，我覺得檯面下隱藏的秘密遠超出平民百姓的想像了。
Taiwan should build air craft carriers.
China has the same problem Russia has with Ukraine. A quick victory or total failure.
Their dependence on imports and exports makes China even more vulnerable than Russia to being economically isolated.
China has more to lose by taking Taiwan than any gains it may achieve. And their threats only strengthens the building of alliances against them.
In your delusional mind.
@@estiennetaylor1260
Of course you would pick a cartoon panda.
🙄
No, China depends on export to the west. If Taiwan holds out even months while preventing shipment from China, China has a problem. However, Xi may be willing to take that gamble.
China has the largest navy on the planet.
Taiwan can't stop that, no matter what.
@@thiloreichelt4199
Maybe so !
Ji knows that having his navy bunched up in the strait would create the potential for heavy losses. Protecting the landing forces and logistic train will be critical. They are slow and their movements are predictable.
What i dont get is that its an island, so lets say China doesnt invade, but starts a full blockade for a year and totally surrounds it ? Food and Fuel run out, then what ?
Blockades are legally considered a full act of war, and may be reacted to accordingly by Taipei’s allies. Plus the PLAN hold on the Pacific side will be tenuous at best since they’ll be on the opposite end of Taiwan who will resist any missions to support the vessels out there, especially since the eastern half of the island is where all the defensible mountains are.
Cuban Missile Crisis. Look to that should Red China try to blockade. If not for Admiral Vasiliy (Laim Neeson's character from K-19 Widowmaker), the American blockade would have been hit with a nuclear torpedo.
And what I don't get is that China depends on 47% of its oil on imports, and 35% of its food on imports. So, let's say America starts a blockade for a year?
Food and Fuel run out in China -- then what ?
@@Chou-seh-fu In your delusional dreams.
@estiennetaylor1260 Granted, China will probably be OK regarding its food supply -- provided it stir-fries some pandas.
VisualPoltik doesn't understand the concept of attrition
Nor have they heard of the term "pyrrhic victory".
Look to the South Vietnamese to see the depth of Americas commitment.
The most of important lesson is not to arm yourself with the weapons provided by your enemy’s adversaries, and make them feel even more threatened to the point you leave them no choice.
Making sure Taiwan is a quagmire would surely make china think twice...
unless invasion becomes a desperation move.
Like ukraine... things are not going well for ukraine. 😢
@@peterpanini96 But it is going far worse for Russia. Bakhmut and Advika are what is called a pyrrhic victory.
@@davidford3115throwing people to gain victory, seems like a soviet way
@@davidford3115
Far worse for Russia ?
Sorry buddy, but that's very hard to believe when looking at Ukraine right now.
@@ajaykumarsingh702 When the Russians are losing 7 men for every 1 Ukrainian killed, that is NOT victory by ANY measure. And don't get me started on the rapid attrition of their armor.
It useed to be a mouse(china in the 80s) steping on a tick(taiwan) but now its a bear steping on a racoon.
They need sea drones with computer vision and AI. It’s not difficult with their technological capabilities. Finding a ship on the high seas is very easy for computer vision. Drones should exchange information about targets using a distributed MESH network. If you have thousands of such drones, then you will not be able to capture the island from the sea.
Duh ... one well placed "BANG" at the THREE GORGES DAM ... and a number of nuke power plants get snuffed 😮
Lessons for Ukraine (too late): Don't be used as a tool of the USA to contain Russia.
Lesson for Taiwan (not too late): Don't be used as a tool of the USA to contain China.
Still trying to figure you out.. why do you wear Hawaiian shirts? Are your affiliated with the bugaboo movement or 'wannabe' affiliated?
I think that marine drones would be essential to preventing the successful invasion by Chinese landing ships as well as attacking marine shipping into Chinese ports. My guess that the second mission would need to have the range to get to much of the South China Sea.
Personally, I doubt Taiwan will be invaded. The stakes are just too high for both sides
Also, this could have all been just a bluff - A scare tactic if you like -
That's a very interesting comment because I've had a student from Taiwan who basically said that most of what we hear about the relationship of Taiwan and China is a lie. He said china could invade years ago if they wanted but despite the fact they're butthurt about Taiwan wanting to be independent their main concern is US presence in the area
I believe this as well.
the mainland government might be a clown show, but they aren’t completely stupid.
(that said, stupidity has no bounds, so ….we’ll see)
That’s what many people said just before Russia invaded Ukraine.
@@DetectiveRackham completely different circumstances . Taiwan aren't stupid enough to threaten to put nuclears in their country
@@DetectiveRackham
Yes, but given then ensuing disaster dragging onto its 2nd year now
Xi Jinping and China has had a golden opportunity to witness 1st hand catastrophic consequences for failure 😅
Mines mines lots of mines , land mines sea mines
When land mines play a major role for Taiwan, they have lost. The key is prevent landings.
@@thiloreichelt4199 as a defence line , it limits your loss and buys you time to re-org
I visited Taiwan recently. All of the points in this video are good, but I think it misses a much bigger problem for Taiwan's defense. The basic training of conscripts there is absolutely awful. Former conscripts told me that they only get to shoot ~60 rounds during their *entire* service period. The reason given was that it's "too expensive". Make of that what you will. They also said that very little of the other time is spent on any useful training. For specialized roles like artillery, conscripts will often go their entire service period without ever firing a cannon because "someone might get hurt". Tons of bayonets, push ups, and marching. Very little urban warfare, marksmanship or grenade throwing. They haven't fought a real war in like 80 years, and it definitely shows.
It all gives the impression that the Taiwanese think they can hold off a Chinese invasion simply through buying lots of fancy western missiles, jets and submarines. They seem unwilling to accept that the war might devolve into brutal fighting in the streets of Taipei or a guerilla war in the mountains. In a battle of jets, boats and missiles, China will always win. I think the only way Taiwan can really deter an invasion is if they show that every man and woman is ready to pick up a gun and fight viciously for every inch of ground.
if anything ukraine has taught us is that meatwaves is a taxing but viable strategy. and china has a lot of meat.
The most important lesson is You must not have an alliance with a Back Stabbing Friend like USA
Battle of Britain Break Walls Sand Walls Hedge Rows took weeks to get through
1st lesson: Taiwanese female should prepare going to battlefield.
Taiwan! Get some of these Seababies from Ukrain!
There are, however, a few major differences: Taiwan is wealthy and highly developed, while Ukraine is not as much. Taiwan has many hills and natural protection, while Ukraine has almost none. And most importantly, China wants control over all of Taiwan, while what Russia wants is still not entirely clear but is a much smaller goal than owning the entire territory.
I agree on all except Russia's goals. Their march on Kiev was clear that at a minimum Putin wanted a puppet government much like in Belarus. It is an open debate as to if he would have simply annexed the entire country.
Most importantly, it’s 1.4 billion people under historical mission to reunite their ancestral land, to awash away 100 years of humiliation imposed by western alien interventions and Japanese raw aggression against the sole surviving civilization since antiquity.
Russia wants all Ukraine of course.Just cant get it.
Taiwan already has the 2nd highest density of missile installations in the world and is producing 1000 of missiles this year, new drone factories, launching 5 new warships & first ever domestic submarine.
Is density such a big feat if you don't have much available soil to begin with? China on the other hand conducted more balistic missile tests then every other country in the world, combined. That was in 2022.
@@John_Doe448 China's rockets are filled with water due to corruption. The leader of PLA rocket force just recently "disappeared" with no replacement. PLA's defense minsters also disappeared with no replacement. Corruption is deep in the PLA. Taiwan's missiles are mostly on mobile launcher and disguised in the mountains. There is an entire subterranean Chiashan Air Force base carved into the side of Taiwan's east cost mountain in the shadows of Chinese missile fly path. I'm NOT saying Taiwan will win a war with China. I'm saying Chinese victory is not guaranteed, and Taiwan has been working hard to make Chinas odd's of success as low as possible.
The mecca of freedom and civil rights! 😅😅😅
Like Ukraine, Taiwan needs to show a willingness to defend itself, not capitulate overnight after 20 years of training.
So much of this is the fault of the US; in rushing the normalization of our relationship with the PRC, we left the issue of Taiwan hanging in the breeze. Also, the US by not providing such weapon systems as THAAD to Taiwan hamstrings our own flexibility. Such systems, being defensive, allows for not only Taiwan's air defense, but also defends the US' own assets in theatre.
You forgot about there ally’s
Lesson 1: better to be friends with NK than EU.
In case of this war, how much oil & food reserve CCP need when denied of access to Hormuz, Suez, Andaman, Malacca, Pacific, Panama, etc... when 80% of energy & 8.5% of food are imported?
They couldn’t grow their own food or buy from Russia, with whom they share over 4000 km of border?
@@kenh758 Arable land is already all spoken for, overly stressed infertile land, and bigger problem is lack of clean water (barely enough to drink). As per importing, 4,000km is the problem. You can't rail or truck it due to horrible infrastructure to Beijing from the Russian sources (near Artic for oil/gas or gains near Ukraine). Can't ship as per Japanese Navy & thick ice/stormy sea. Otherwise, can you imagine building a pipelines that is longer than Alaska to Florida?
Oh, one more thing, how to pay for imports for 1.4B people, when u can't trade.
Invade Taiwan, then go back to 18th Century economy within a year or less but with 1.4B population. Half of them will to die of starvation. BTW: World will suffer as well.
@@IQstrategy The United States can block the Strait of Malacca, but China can also ensure that the United States cannot use the world's sea routes.
@@kenh758 How easy do you think it is to transport billions of tons of food across the trans-Siberian railway from European Russia to China? It isn't the slam dunk you think it is.
@@ninglu4846 How can China do that? Specifics and details please.
Russia did use a "brutal amount of fire" in the opening of the invasion, didn't they? I thought they used up pretty much their entire precision weapons stockpile. Maybe it wasn't much.
Taiwan should become the drone capital of the world.
Their tech industry is fantastic.
They can export to Ukraine for real world testing & some funding….
Sea-Babies. Sea drones have almost negated the reason for annexing Crimea, instigating & participation in the revolts in Donbas/Luhansk, and subsequent invasion; Russia's having a Black Sea fleet.
Main thing is anti aircraft and anti ship capabilities… Taiwan is in much better position, it is no small feat to land an invasion fleet, the undertaking would be serious like D-Day in WW2 and Chinese army has not seen real combat too, naval drones would be an asset too. I think in modern war if you do not allow them to overrun you in sky it is very hard to really do a naval landing… it was also true in WW2 but now I think even with some air superiority for China it would be a tall order
Ships are really slow, in moder war you see everything on the battlefield, hard to obscure anything, ships also cost a ton… and not easy to replace. Bad for morale to gave 1000s of troops fighting the sharks in ocean after ships are hit, instead of being invasion force
Taiwan has a massive advantage over Ukraine: geography. Ukraine is situated in the the Great European Plain which acts as a highway, Taiwan is on an island protected by the Taiwan Strait and its difficult weather.
The key number is three months. If the US were to come to Taiwan's aid, it would take six weeks to put in place an effective counter blockade of China. And about that much time again before cutting off oil supplies from the Persian gulf to start causing economic pain in China. So Taiwan has to hold out for at an absolute minimum three months. Once the pipelines from Russia to China get built, a few years in the future, but they are being built, the amount of time they need to hold out will get longer.
The most important lesson is don't trust the USA😂
Japan must stand with Taiwan. Together they are stronger.❤
The fondness Japan has for its former prized colony still remains. Formosa was the crown jewel of the Empire of Japan and that affection hasn't diminished.
No.1 lesson, win fast or US will give up on you.
next episode
what about what China can learn from Russia when we unification with taiwan
Grant!!!!!!