The World Population in 2050
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- čas přidán 3. 06. 2024
- By 2050, the world population will be wildly different. Europe and East Asia will experience population declines. In contrast, Africa’s population will grow immensely. The rest of Asia, Latin America and Oceania’s populations will grow, but their growth rates will steadily slow down. Lastly, Northern America will experience a massive racial and ethnic transformation due to immigration. Over the next thirty years, the world population will transform. Watch this video to learn more!
If you enjoyed this video, please consider liking and subscribing for more videos very similar to this one!
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/ futurology_
Thank you to the following sources!
Information
www.un.org/en/sections/issues...
www.worldometers.info/world-p...
ourworldindata.org/region-pop...
www.populationpyramid.net/wes...
sites.ontariotechu.ca/sustain...
www.geographyrealm.com/map-of...
www.thegeniusworks.com/2018/0...
www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank...
www.cato.org/blog/census-find...
www.census.gov/content/dam/Ce...
www.axios.com/world-populatio...
Audio
Storyblocks
Graphics
Storyblocks
Google Earth
Africa Channel TV
• Video
MOLONGOO
• Molongoo - Project Dro...
Ludo Liu
• LAGOS Nigeria - flyin...
Nocopyright by Harry
• Video
population decline. In contrast, Africa’s population will grow immensely. The rest of Asia and Latin America’s populations will grow, but their growth rates will steadily slow down. Lastly, Northern America will experience a massive racial and ethnic transformation due to immigration. Over the next thirty years, the world population will transform. Watch this video to learn more!
If you enjoyed this video, please consider liking and subscribing for more videos very similar to this one!
If you enjoy Futurology, please consider supporting the channel on Patreon!
/ futurology_
Thank you to the following sources!
Information
www.un.org/en/sections/issues...
www.worldometers.info/world-p...
ourworldindata.org/region-pop...
www.populationpyramid.net/wes...
sites.ontariotechu.ca/sustain...
www.geographyrealm.com/map-of...
www.thegeniusworks.com/2018/0...
www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank...
www.cato.org/blog/census-find...
www.census.gov/content/dam/Ce...
www.axios.com/world-populatio...
Audio
Storyblocks
Graphics
Storyblocks
Google Earth
Africa Channel TV
• Video
MOLONGOO
• Molongoo - Project Dro...
Ludo Liu
• LAGOS Nigeria - flyin...
Nocopyright by Harry
• Video - Zábava
In a nutshell:
Developing countries' population: 📈 Developed countries' population: 📉
That's how human nature works. Once we're developed, we lose interest in making babies.
Except for migration which will make some areas have an easier time, as discussed
With the exception of the USA
@@abiez4018 no its not lmao 😂 do research before you speak in 2020 the USA has 330 million ppl in 2021 they have 332 million the United States and Canada are the only western 1st world countries increasing in population lol
capitalists who just want to import dirt cheap labour en mass: 'nah we have no interest in growing the population when we can just import 3 million already fully grown males. no need to wait 18 years for a new generation'
absolutely destructive. we we pay the price for their greed in the coming decades
A Turtle approved this video about world population.
Good that you watch futurology.
The Swordfish also approves this video
Nice
A panda approved this video about world population because I am endangered
Barbarian king approved this too
When it comes to predicting the future, your guess is just as valid as anyone else. In the 70's they predicted that most of coastal cities would be under water 20 years ago.
Several pacific islands are already threatened by sea level rise. They were wrong about the timeline but right about the trend.
No they didn't
Literally fake news
Hey Futurology, can you make a video about the future of each continent in 2050? Like in terms of economy, world affairs, etc? Thanks!
North America will be a burning shithole, Europe will be a dystopia of the Middle East. Australia will be a Chinese puppet, Asia will be ruled by China with the Russians a a co enforcer and Africa will be the manufacturer of the world ruled by China with the Chinese in control of the world's reserve currency. The US will be a flaming bag of shit no one talks about. Canada will be a resource hub filled with immigrants who worship China and the Middle East and no friend of the US. Myself as a white man. Castrated and mocked for ever supporting America.
@@HeritageStacking and then one country saved us all
goto Club of Rome 2050 - the World 3 model BAU ( bussiness as usual ) has project the last 50 years of History, remarkably on target.
I was just researching this subject! Very nice job!
This is getting interesting contineu
In Brazil it is notorious how families are shrinking, in the fifties the normal was 6 children, 80's fell to 3, today majority couples don't cross the line of 2 children and lot of them opted no children.
Good thing
@@samlosco8441 yes, I think the same, and majority Brazilian too.
@@samlosco8441 Not really, the decrease in population is bad for the economy because it will decrease the number of people able to work and increase the number of elderly people, this will negatively affect our social security. Moreover, only about 8% of Brazilians live in favelas, so a small population growth is good, it won't affect the increase of favelas that much. The decrease of slums has more to do with our ability to increase our productivity and reduce poverty and inequality.
@@samlosco8441 I'm from Brazil and I agree with your comment, favelas are one of the major factors that are destroying our natural environment
@@arthur_2399 We can take immigrants from Africa. Countries like Mozambique, Angola will continue with the demographic bonus.
It will certainly be interesting to look back on this in 30 years just to see how wrong we were.
This is gonna be very close to what is gonna happen, so dont be salty just because the predictions for your countries are bad
@@adamkinsten9231 I seriously doubt it, mostly because this doesn't seem to take into account the financial collapse, that was supposed to come sometime in 2022 as the Boomers retire, but which is currently ahead of schedule because of COVID.
@@loganprichard1439 Exactly, I dont think world will even reach 9 billion, reasons being rise of sterility amongst men, more pollution, if Covid stays, it'll singlehandedly reduce the world population by a quarter till 2050. But China govt has abolished 1 child policy and introduced 3 child policy and we very well know that if China puts its minds on something it'll not stop so lets see.
Africa's projected growth will come to a crashing halt once their water problems really start to hit. The Nile is running dry, when it goes, so does Egypt.
@@adamkinsten9231 if your from a poor country, population booms are going to be a big problem for u lol. Africa for example is predicted to go through even deeper poverty by 2050 because of their population increase and them not having enough resources to feed and take care of their population.
I can already Tell, that this will be an awesome Video❤️👍
1800s Europe: *frick frick frick simulator*
1900s Asia: *frick frick frick simulator*
2000s Africa: *NOW MY TURN*
I am a small youtuber and make statistical videos, if you like content like this, you might as well like mine, I have made an historical/future predictions graph 📈 of population that dates back all the way from 10,000BC to 2100AD in the future
1800: Europe fastest developing region
1900:Asia fastest developing region
2000:Africa fastest developing region.
Maybe South America's time is in 2100 lol.
What about Americas and Oceania?
@@uyilol4557 I think they might be the kid in the corner of the room that missed out the chance. As for Oceania and Antarctica, they will be the last to catch up but might become the biggest developing regions in the world after a global apocalypses due to their distance from the rest of the world.
@@1mol831When I said Europe I also meant the the European descent countries like US Canada Australia and all the rest as for South and Central America it doesn't look good for them
Love your content man
I don't take those predictions seriously. I'm old enough to remember that demography experts at the end of the 70s thought Latin America would have 1200 millions of people in 2010. And we're only 750 millions. So probably our population will decrease instead of grow for 2050. Some countries like Colombia and Argentina are already losing population.
Nobody in the 70s imagined the "Debt Crisis" in the 80s which destroyed Latin America economies. Fear of the future is the best contraception method.
Very good point. I remember how some Germans feared a vastly expanding Slavic population. Today, there is not a single Slavic nation with a TFR above 1.7.
In my country, in Croatia, wolves, bears and lynxes are reoccupying lands, where they have been last seen in the 19th century or even earlier. (Though this example might also be a consequence of the urbanization processes.)
I totally agree with you. People are gaining more awareness and opting for no kids and live a burden free lifestyle.
It also makes the assumptions that a lot of people will be migrating to USA, Canada and Northern Europe for better lives but this won’t be true when they’re own countries are doing better there will be no reason to migrate. Also it doesn’t take into consideration that’ most jobs will change in the future where u don’t physically have to be there to do the work. There are other reasons too for why this assumption is wrong.
Yes, who knows, maybe Nigerian government will start an aggressive one-child policy and population will reach a maximum of 500 million in 2100
I am currently on a binge session of this channel.
Just another reason to run away to Switzerland, I'm packing my bags
Naw, Switzerland has too many Albanians. New Zealand is better.
@@DacLMK I will go to albania , when all the Albanians go there 😂
What an interesting video! By the end, it's stated that the demand of goods and services will go down due to lower consumer pool, which makes perfect sense. However, I'd like to offer an alternative to the inference made. When analyzing demand, we have to consider consumption power. Maybe, it's possible that the people in Europe and East Asia (if I'm not mistaken) although fewer than before will be richer and, therefore, consume more. There are, in my opinion, other variables that need to be taken into account when calculating such behaviors.
Africa although more in population is significantly poorer and their consuming power is still negligible in comparison to East Asia and it will not alter significantly in 30 years . Africa is also technologically poorer than East Asia and Europe . Today's world is not middle ages where more population means more growth
no, there will be less consumers but people will become richer
@@anirudhmitra4232 nonsense. africa has the most resources
Don't stop when you are tired,stop when you are done
-Shazistic
Nice stolen quote
did you just quote yourself?
What are U saying to do?
Thanks for this info! If you could leave out the stock photos and leave the interesting charts on screen longer it would be even better!
You're underrated man!!❤
Nice Video. Also, you should make a video about the world in 2050. What could happen in each continent due to population changings, economic changings and climate change.
A more interesting question would be what people from the year 1990 thought 2020 was going to look like.
Great video ;)
Interesting stuff... 😀👍
awesome video
This was hella interesting
Thank you!
@Master Of puppets I think he from California haha
@Master Of puppets Apologies for my lack of lexicon in the English language used in this comment, I wasn't sure if a higher authority like you was going to see my remark on this beautifully crafted video which I was giving feedback on, indicating how well constructed this beautiful media was. Shut the fuck up
@@worldmapping4895 LMAOOOOO, I love it
I just hope Mumbai will not be the most populous in 2050 its already too small I live in the suburbs and the roads are too congested if I let alone the 10 lane highway which has really helped
I think a serious effort needs to take place to encourage people to have less kids in India. Free birth control perhaps. Can't get people out of poverty if they have too many kids to feed. I hope India succeeds.
Too many people in India.
@@dlazo32696 well thats not just now its so since long back as there are many fertile river plains here
@@vojnanaoruzanja9901 Id rather nuke Africa since their population is gonna groe from 1billion to 4 billion
@@sohamn9555 well yes, but also owerpopulation is big problem for India, I agree with you to nuke africa
Holy, I love this guy finally one person that gets straight to the point of the video.
PLEASE make an emerging technologies tier list!!!! (from the Wikipedia list)
According to : viability, coolness, usefulness, how much it will change society, how close we are too it, ect...
Cool idea!
"Hispanic" is not a race.
Yes!!! Finally someone said it. This video is full of misinformation. Such as saying NA is just Canada and the USA when there are actually 23 countries. And calling all of the Caribbean, CA and SA Latin America even though not all countries in those regions are Latin American.
@@brianisme6498 He said Northern America not North America. He also specified that he was including the Caribbean in Latin America.
@@mattheww.1583 well, "northern America" neither isn't a continent, and not all of Caribbean is Latin American, so he continued wrong
@@Omouja he was only talking about the USA and Canada since both country's literally are 95% the same in almost everything
@@Steve-zc9ht i know, but continue not been a continent. Sub reagion and continent are different
Nice video.
As a North American living in the United States, everything down to Panama and just about all of the Caribbean are considered by everyone to be part of North America lol.
US and Canada are vastly different compared to Mexico/central America
Doesn't matter how different we are from each other it's all Noth America... Central America is not a continent they are in North America!!!
Yes that is true, but he said northern america not north america, probs to specify only canada and us
@@francis2939 North America is technically not a continent neither. So that's just semantics. Our updated understanding of continents is that of large masses of land that somewhat share cultural, linguistic, and/or demographic similarities. So in that sense it's fair to separate ("Latin" America) from the (U.S. & Canada) from the (Caribbean). Also definitions change all the time as new terminology is adopted to describe our world.
Dirty Commie it’s “technically” whatever you want it to be. North and South America are at least separated in terms of tectonic plates
Nice vidoe. Check out also Hans Rosling's TED talk about this.
The main issue is getting over the current curve I think. Overall population stagnation is likely a good thing for the world, but what matters most is that a country gets out of poverty by the time it reaches its population peak, as we have seen in North America (US and Canada mainly), Europe, Japan, South Korea, and China. If Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, and the Indian Subcontinent can use their baby boom to escape poverty by the time their birth rates stagnate, we may have a bright future. I say this because, at a point of total or near total global poverty eradication, states can truly start to plan their future demographics and provide the necessary assistance to people to do so.
Population collapse is terrible, but a continuation of everyone having 7 kids will also be bad. The ideal birth rate is probably 2-3 children per woman. That way a population can either sustain itself, or foster a steady growth in population which can be handled. But of course, this kind of future all depends on us getting over the population growth curve that we will go through during the rest of this century. One positive is that we've already peaked in terms of population growth rate, which is already slowing globally.
you're 30 years late if you think there’s still high birth rates in Latin America, the middle east, North Africa, South Asia, southeast asia, & Oceania.
also much of east europe has been declining in population since the early 90s, when most of it was still in poverty (and many parts still are).
the ideal children per women is definitely not 3. it's 2. (the current global birth rate has dropped to 2.3-2.5 and we're still growing rapidly). 3 children per woman means a 50% population increase EACH GENERATION. that would make our 8 billion grow to 10 billion in one generation (a couple decades)
not many benefits to an overcrowded world. if we try and fix the birth rates then in a few years overpopulations gonna be even worse. id rather live comfortably with fewer people around
Won't happen, a lot of these cities won't have water by 2050.
But mostly in the Sahel zone. The most states of Afrika have More drinking water than Germany for example. But of cause you are partly right because of the climate change in the future.
@@timisunder1404 all comments made in 2021 are enviormentaly ignorant
@@butlered4350 what the
Also, climate change. We're dead by then, atleast most of us.
new approach in water conservation. people are creating swales and catch basins.
7:44 smh the fact that "hispanic" is still referred to as a race when it is really a linguistic term. "Hispanics" are also white black and asian lol. Most of them are meztiso. Hopefully by 2050 Mestizo is included in race, just like in the rest of latin America
Don't blame the man for using it, blame the source, Worldometer
@@KentoKei not blaming him. But the US has to come up with a new term and drop the word hispanic.
but they speack spanish tho, not a race but an ethenicity
@@nonec384 Language does not determine ethnicity, Spain is nothing like latino America.
I feel like this is gonna become a heated argument
great video as always😃
Once again, details about changes in Canada or minimal while America is discussed extensively. I would love to see the details on Canada's population change, more specifically the ethnic makeup changes as well as which countries will provide the greatest immigration. Do you have that data in detail or links to where I can look at it myself? That would be greatly appreciated. Great video.
I think from South Asia like indian migrants
Yes, India and Pakistan will be biggest contributors
Canada is a cultural marxist country.
You can not expect anything good from it.
you need to cut the low end on your mic recordings (about 150 Hz I'm guessing). Your Ps and Bs are coming through my car stereo like a kick drum, haha
Minor mistakes like the Czech republic being green on the map. When you say urbanization increase is largely thanks to northern european cities like Helsink, Stockholm and Oslo. That is just wrong, the region has 25 million people and will not affect the overall urbanization of Europe in a significant effect.
Denmark will bro, its urban asf. 200ppl per square km
@@adamkinsten9231 Hold kjeft lol.
Personally
I'm not having kids, but I'm grateful to have become an uncle and to have a reason to still care for future generations
With ever growing automation, including AIs, I don't think economics will be too tied to population numbers. In fact, even historically the opposite is true, as Africa grew enormously in population but it's purchasing power per capita hasn't significantly increased in the past 50 years. While there are synergies to having larger economically active populations, the prevalence of capital and natural resources is a better determining factor for the economic prosperity of a nation. And capital accumulation, infrastructure investment, is still going to keep happening in East Asia and Europe despite a population decline, in fact, less people may mean an increasing emphasis in quality and abundance of resources that can be used for further R&D.
Except there would also be a lower demand since the consumer base would decrease due to obsolescence in labor. The question I have regarding the issue of a fully automated society is, who will finance the maintenance and growth of these machines if the human consumer base becomes unable to grow wealth that would allow them increased purchasing power for said automation in the first place?
And that furthering R&D will directly benefit Africa more than any other continent due to how far they have lagged behind the rest of the World. In a World with all the resources, technology and capital, there is no reason why Africa's rise will be nothing short of phenomenal.
@@connorohare229 my thoughts exactly,machines are doing everything so what are the people going to earn a living to buy the products the machines are making....it's completely ridiculous thinking
@@Eddyke they'll retort with UBI but it still doesn't really increase nor encourage spending past the bear minimum for survival
Good points. Still, a growing labor force is a positive force in economies, and the gradual aging of populations will cause problems even with higher productivity per work-hour (from ai etc). Also as others have said lower population and aging population will likely lower demand.
Do an video about the south American transoceanic railway!!
Nice video, but where does the data that the population growth temporarily has decreased during the coronavirus come from?
Covid 19 impacts the eldery and immune weakened people the most, which were mostly likely to die in the next few years anyways. The young and health have been minimally effected, no worse than the common flu.
@@wrexchicane8259 Old people maybe, Immune weakened folk not necessarily. People with diabetes and other conditions that have weakened immune systems can live years, often times an average lifespan. Folks with deadlier conditions such as cancer or HIV/AIDS not so much.
No the difference isn't too much, corona didn't affect much
Is "low fertility" even a thing? I think the terminology we're all looking for is "increased cost of living." People don't just suddenly lose interest in having kids. They lose interest in having to sustain another human when they can barely afford to sustain and house themselves. It's not Rocket Surgery.
@Fabio Vanelli Indeed, it's not so much income as it is evolution of gender roles and the disintegration of the traditional family structure.
If your average citizen is 75...you're getting invaded it's that simple
@Lile Stojkovic No it applies to the working class as well, though to what extent depends I suppose on which country you live in. It's true for the UK, France, Germany and Canada for instance, irrespective of class.
The "current trends" disclaimer was quite important. I believe several of these trends will change.
The pandemic proved a lot of jobs can be done from home. This, along with unaffordable hosing in a lot of cities, will cause people to move out and into more affordable places, suburbs or smaller towns. Dallas and Austin will probably grow a lot, Los Angelis and London will probably not (esp. due to Brexit). Starlink and similar providing reliable Internet anywhere will also help with that.
All the benefits of population growth are only achievable if the population also has access to social services - from water and sanitation, housing, to education and security. Countries in Asia generally invest a lot in these things, and are more or less successful. Countries in Africa, on average, invest a lot less, and their investments are mostly in shorter term populist measures like food and gas subsidies. The Arab Spring, Yemen war, Somalia collapse, conflicts in Ethiopia and so on are in large degree due to population expansion without the government being able to provide services to this population.
Authoritarian governments can make it worse - an extreme case can be seen in modern Haiti, which has about 10 times less income per capita than their neighbors in the Dominican Republic, with similar geography and history.
Some countries are doing better than others, and the ones doing best will reap the benefits, as long as they can avoid the instability coming from their neighbors.
I see proxy wars over African states in the World's future. If China hasn't already beaten everyone to the punch with their "investments"
you are wrong about africa
@@smoothkid765 that won't be an issue in 30 years. china will be out of africa way before that
@@terrancehall9762 Can you please show me what part of what I said was wrong, and what is the reality?
@@nikolatasev4948 africa's "problems" aren't due to population. they are due to the lingering effects of colonialism and neoliberalism. haiti isn't due to authorianism. it is due to french colonialism and us imperialism. most of instability you mention in your last sentence is from foreign interference. these countries will eventually break away from that, come together and grow. that is the benefit of a yopung population. so you are very misinformed and you stop reading propoganda that absolves the foreign powers.
Please make a video on Rail Baltica
Plz make a video on 2050 world economy...
Mexico should be grouped in with USA and Canada
she ks talking about northern america which is angloamerica not latin america¡!
So, should the rest of the 21 countries in NA
@@sianmoltie8979 Belize, Jamaica, The Bahamas, Bermuda, Guyana, Bermuda,, St Kitts and Nevis, Barbados. All countries in NA which speak English. Why are they incorrectly grouped into Latin America. To be considered Latino they have either Portuguese or Spanish.
@@brianisme6498 to make life easier but you're right!¡
Cheers from Bulgaria, we are the best at population decline, yogurt and roses. Japan, we know you like our yogurt, conquer us and ramp up production plz, we aren't doing anything with this country anyway. Thanks.
Lol this comment made my day 😂 but Italy is also very good at population decline.
So you want an already declining population to take over another declining population. Just so you know, Japans gdp and ecnomic growth is the same as the Uk France and Germanys but its just that there population is a bit higher. Bulgaria needs to have more babies. Dont worry you can jus tybecome a part of Turkey. They will give you the ecnomic growth and population boost as they are gonna be the elading power of europe by 2050 as their population will pass 100+ million
@@eatinsomtin9984 It's about being engaged in things that would be reason enough to stay (besides IT, that's good to do here). Japan would be more interested in developing our production than we are. And Turkey... They were already here for 500 years, no thanks.
At least it probably quite in Bulgaria. It hella loud over hear in USA. Too many people.
@@dylandavis29 Yea, it's mostly quiet, but you could find a quiet spot in the US too, it's enormous.
Northern Europe here .schools my area dubbelled in students in 15 years time . no slowing down imo
The trend of the world population (as mentioned in this video) in a simple to understand graph 📈
czcams.com/video/dPlN8Lsr6nA/video.html
@@theinfotainer3451 it couldn't be more wrong .
What race was the increase from? You're schools are doubling because of a temporary migration. That's going to be young so you have lots of people 0-25
@@TheMagicJIZZ The increase is mostly from teh middle East who are classified as being white. Northern Europe right now needs to use this to theri advantage before millions of africans start coing and drastically change the demographics
@@eatinsomtin9984 or just stop being a bitch.
He talks like this future growth curve is a fact. In fact this is all a wild estimate of growth, results may wary.
@bacon froyo I did not.
@@superm530 at least 120 mil germans
The video is nice, but I don't understand the logic behind the conclusion that population growth = fewer job opportunities, and vice versa; especially for young people.
Generally the opposite is true: rich countries with declining populations have fewer job opportunities, and high unemployment rates, especially among the young. This is because fewer people are needed to sustain a decent economy, because strong economies can provide a good-enough life for the unemployed with less incentive to work, because it's more difficult to retrain older people so if they lose their job it's permanent, because of bloated bureaucracies that keep people on their posts forever (not to mention labor laws), because of fewer new small businesses that hire inexperienced people, and many other reasons.
On the other hand, rapidly-growing populations with average or below-average economies (including just about anyone who isn't either rich or famine-level poor), create lots of new small businesses that employ young people, less space for huge government, not enough money to pay unemployment benefits, simply not enough old people to occupy many posts, etc.
On a side note, in the late 90s I read a world almanac that predicted that by 2005, Karachi would be the biggest city. Still waiting for that one. Demographic predictions for 30 years in advance are difficult in general, but when it comes to specific cities they are all the more difficult. Guess we will need to look at this again in 2050.
@@KentoKei Actually one of my points was that precisely because it's not rich, it would have more opportunities with population growth :) when you have too many people and too few jobs, the value of labor is lower, and in the medium term it incentivizes businesses to hire more people even when they don't absolutely need them, or when automation would be preferred in rich countries. India is a great example of this today; you still have stuff like two permanent staff members on many public buses (driver + conductor), low automation in the textile industry, and similar phenomena. As India is getting richer it's starting to change, but there is a huge variety between regions there. I am sure that the same will happen in Africa: there will be a long period where industry booms and hires just about anyone who wants a job. If this is coupled with education and smart policies, it will turn into a China-like economic miracle. If not then it might go bust. That's a prediction I'm not willing to make.
However, the point stands that population growth generally correlates with job opportunities. Even in rich countries, places with growing populations like Israel and Ireland have more job opportunities than places with shrinking populations like Italy or Portugal. In turn, the opportunities also create positive net migration, i.e. population growth. This is not a causal relationship and many factors influence it of course, but it's certainly a major one.
I think too many people still don't understand that the very survival of Capitalism is dependent on sustained population growth. There's a reason why Italy and Japan are starting to suffer economically. Too many old retirees is not good for any economy. People will learn the hard way why immigration is important for the survival of the West.
@@dirtycommie2877 Which would also mean this: RIP Europe
Oh and also RIP to the "Bastian of freedom"
You don't want Japan
Ironically, the expansion & collision of nations may have contributed to the sustainability of human civilization.
If there were overpopulation or disparity, they were able to “externalize” them to colonies. The infirm (like me) or outdated policies were
“selected” in the process of colonial development or war. However, it will be risky, costly, and even catastrophic now.
I hope we can achieve environmental, economic, social (including human), & political sustainability with new techs & humane policies.
Isn’t it interesting that many of the places that are expected to grow are often places that do not have strong agricultural output? Is anyone else worried that some of these places have to import so many of their calories from places with significant population shrinkage? Especially if we are looking at a lot of urbanization all over the world. Are we expecting some kind of agricultural breakthrough?
Could you do a world population projection for 2525? I need to know if I should relocate. I have to look around myself and say, maybe time for movin day. Ook
I want a percentage summary of the entire world at the end. How many globally?
And what about measuring different demographics, like how many Muslims will there be?
There's will be a lot of them considering their ill mindset of expansion of their population and religion to make any country an Islamic country. Most relevant example here is of India, in 2011 their population percentage was 14% and in 2020 it's 21% with similar increase in their population percentages in earlier decades. Their fertility rates are much higher than national average and global average.
In the end, the world Population will increase from 7.8 Billion to 9.7 Billion
Which would be a nominal world population increase of 24.3%
Most of the growth we'll be seeing is going to be within the next 15 years, where the population will reach 8.8 billion
Hopefully they won't increase but unfortunately they will. The future doesn't look good in that regard unless they start reforming and progressing, which I don't really believe will happen for sure.
The Muslim population will grow but actually decline by 2100 due to Iran and Indonesia and north Africa literally being below replacement level
@@TheMagicJIZZ you forgot that half of africa is muslim
our world can barely keep up with this population, our yearly consumption of food and resources takes 1.8 years with the current population to replenish, fish will run out by 2050, oil by 2060, and coal by 2110, assuming if you're in your 20s or 30s right now there's a good chance we'll be alive to see gasoline and fish cease to exist (at least for everyone).
the question is if the world is going to take action right now
This video assume if we continue this population growth chart, when in fact in developing country now, the birth rate is on the free fall without any proper record of the people who are death to the booth. Especially in Africa, some organization like ECOWAS have attempted to half their birth rate in a decade, the same with Northern Africa.
HELLO
DO YOU KNOW ABOUT PORTUGAL TGV OR JAPANESE MAGREV ? In October 2020, the government proposed a 75 minute rail link between the cities of Lisbon and Porto.[3]
Poor countries populate so much that they cant feed themselves and not only hurting humanity but the planet as well.
that is not true.
For example Haiti was one of 6he largest rice 🌾🌾growing countries in the caribbean; 4 US President implement strong-armed policy to stop farming rice AND BUY RICE from US farmers. WE ARE ALL ON THE WORLD WIDE WEB. simply google where top 10 countries ship their food to?
answer = to the bread-basket of the planet.
*lands that have abundant rain fall + sunshine. lands that are as fertile as their people
🤷ASK A LOGICAL QUESTION: what did undeveloped countries eat before developed countries were developed?
Not true. Pollution is the biggest enemy of the planet. It's the developed countries that are causing the damage to the planet with the excess of plastic, factories, cars/vehicles, etc. Poorer nations tend to live in better harmony with the planet. They don't have as many factories and don't use as much plastic that is detrimental to wild life.
Wrong, rich countires consuming a lot, that´s what is hurting the planet
I don't care what 2050 be like, I don't think I would live that long.
2050's closer than 1990
:(
Just 30 years, I can still have sexual ability at that time.
@@xiphactinusaudax1045 omg your right
@@jutea9858 by 2050 I'll be 44 years old dang
There's always a contest in this type of videos to see who will last: Latin America or Oceania
I thought Germany, Czechia and Slovakia would grow until 2036
Meh Europe kinda already reached its peak africa has alot of developing country's so it's good africa is getting ready to get back on the world stage the USA and Canada are expected to continue there growth till 2100 by 2080 the USA will reach 405 million people Canada would reach about 110 million so most of the world's growth would be in Africa India the USA Canada the middle East and Pakistan most of the world's decline would be in Japan China south Korea and Europe especially in Europe which means white ppl across the world are declining rapidly the only way Europe can remain relevant is if they let in immigration from Africa to Europe however that would mean in the next 100 years Europe would be minority European and majority asian Muslim and African
@@Steve-zc9ht My frined... Middle east wont get that up actullay..... Second your right US max Is 420 million and canada Is 100 M... Asia population will fall true
. But growth in population in middle east well be normal or less trust me more half of middle east have 1.75 birth rate or less!!!..
But africa on the other hand will eplodee... In 2100 theird of the world will live in africa....eroupe will stay the same.. 500 million people.. It was like that 15+ years ago and will stay.. Russsia will stay to its was 145 M people from littlery the 80s...everything Is ok ecpect africa.... South America will go from 450 million to 1 b I belive... ♥️♥️♥️
@@Steve-zc9ht basicly asia. middle east.north America. Eroupe. Australia.. All of this will be ok.. But africa and south America will go boom.. Africa will be a nucler boom actullay ♥️♥️... The civil wars and starfactoin will be unsenn before
@@saudmubarak8324 yes that is true the expected population of the USA will reach about 420 million after it hits 420 million it is expected to decline
@@Steve-zc9ht Bro wtf are you saying. Canada's population is barely growing thanks to immigration and it is slightly more than 30 million right now. How tf are they going to have 110 million. And besides that, even if Europe "let's immigration in" as you say it won't be minority European. You are just delusional
7:43 that's not a minority. It's still a majority since it's the biggest group.
A majority means more than 50 percent. Its just a large minority.
Majority means more than 50 %. Some "WASP males" still believe that BS they are the "rulers" and the "majority" of USA, but they are a "noisy and oppressive minority".
No majority means above 50% anything below that is a minority so white ppl would be a minority because of a rapidly growing population no racial or ethnic group in the USA will reach 50%
Africa population is growing so fast 🙂
Wow❤
I really like this introduction to Planetary Systems Dynamic Modeling . . . .
Makes Dr Dennis Meadow sad to see the equations on the wall.
Or is this Harri Seldon's psycohistory coming to be true ?
There’s No Tomorrow (Limits to Growth )
czcams.com/video/VOMWzjrRiBg/video.html
Africa will be the Asia of 2050
Honestly but I'm surprised north and south America are the only places having a NORMAL population growth
I bet anyone who hasn’t took AP Human Geography wouldn’t know what he means by TFR IMR and the other words
In Syria, Afghan and Palastine it's big part of people are refugees in different countries...
In population for the first time in history we are in a decline
nobody:
Africa:buisness is boomin'
The GDP is growing at a prectenage faster than the Population, Im quite happy for them since they might be less in poverty in the future with the growing economy and population
with cities being built, but, idk, anything bad could happen anywhere and slow everything down
mars getting infinite % growth from 0 to idk
Moon and Mars population will not be significant before the next century.
It'll probably take centuries to properly terraform Mars even if we can get to the point of starting it. But I'm not an expert, maybe I'm wrong
All 3 Martians will be pleased
Cool
The very simple solution, so that there is a population balance on the planet and so that the population does not wear out nature, it is necessary to implement space colonization in the solar system and beyond.
The Martians won't be very happy.
9:54 say Puerto Rico will grow slow due to low fertility but is extremely high fertility on the map. Certainly the slow will be caused by the emigration to mainland USA
No, it'll most likely be caused by the increasing cost of living. Most of the places that are "dying" out are doing so because of the high cost of living, not low fertility.
@@dirtycommie2877 Tell that to Japan who literally are not breeding
@@brianisme6498 Japan is one of the most expensive countries in the world.
@@dirtycommie2877 I don’t mean I wealth. I mean less people are getting together and having kids. That’s what they mean when they say fertility rate. Japan has it so bad that the government has actually made programs help people date by giving them dating advice and trying to get them to meet their “ideal” partner.
Other countries also have it bad. Denmark for example had to make an add to tell people to make babies. It’s all a part of a phenomenon were as a country gets more and more advanced people typically have less kids and we’re getting to the point where quite a lot of people aren’t having any at all.
@@brianisme6498 I understand your point and I would agree with it for the most part. But I think it's a combination of things. In my opinion there will always be a healthy number of people interested and primed to keep the birth rate steady. But when you add high cost of living, income stagnation, increasing number of people needing to work more than 1 job to survive, and increasing student debt load, they collectively turn an otherwise minor problem into a crisis. For many of these people (myself included), there is simply not enough time in the day to raise a child.
The time has changed.... UK is not in EU anymore. Can you plz make vid about what happened when England left EU😁
😁😄
In the farther future, like 2050-2100 we could learn to manipulate the climate. Freezing the oceans that nobody lives on, and melting the polar regions for an equilibrium. This gives more land for farming and housing, leading to Canada, Russia, Greenland and some of Antarctica exploding in population. New countries emerge, such as Cascadia, Quebec, Tibet and Siberia. Some countries combine, like Yugoslavia being reunited. Kim Jong Un finally dies, & the residents of North Korea are free. Korea reunites. Ellesmere, Canada becomes the new Indonesia. Some countries annex others, like Guatemala to Belize. The US is broken up into 14 new countries. In 2130, Tibet, Siberia, Canada, New California and Russia make their way to the top 10. We would also build colonies on the Moon and Mars that are ok in size.
*AFRICA RISING!!!* 🖤❤️💚
You mean poverty winning?
@@luisheredia4687 - Ha... *CRY HARDER!!!*
@@theblaqbuckeroo5127 me why?
@@theblaqbuckeroo5127 bro the future is who's gonna cry, I'm not talking because they are black cause I'm black too, the problem is the resources, the education, the climate change.
Africa begging you mean
WH-WHAT IS THIS MAP!? 0:25
Just curious when did Mexico join South America?
Latin America
Bro the cities that you mentioned will be the center of European growth are super small. Maybe you have your data wrong cause like Oslo has only 670.000 people lmoa
Hi Futurology, can you make a video like this but population in 2100? Thanks!
by 2100, world population will reach 11.8 billion with 80 percent of that being from africa
LOLOLOL *Africa Rising 🖤❤️💚*
Zero
Climate change and rising sea levels will make life very uncomfortable for anyone living in 2050, I would suggest levels much lower.
It will be intresting to see africa in the next few years weather it goes through the same path of Asia or not
Asia will continue growing up through the 2020s and 2030s, before beginning a decline up through the late 2030s and through the 2040s,
Africa is about 80-90 years behind East Asia in terms of it's demographic transition, so really you'd need to look at the 2060s or 2070s for an Africa replicating East Asia from the 1980s-1990s, i.e. at the start of it's economic boom. What I anticipate until then is more or less a continuation of the last 20 years or so but slowly ramping up over time as the population ages a bit and the dependency ratio decreases, i.e.: sustained and slowly increasing if a bit underwhelming GDP per capita improvements but fairly large overall GDP improvements driven mainly by increase in population.
@@decus9544 Africa problem is they have little to export that's added value
@@decus9544 Africa is the fastest growing region on earth
@@uyilol4557 Actually Asia is, but parts of Africa are growing extremely quickly, and in addition Africa as a whole is likely to exceed Asia's annual GDP growth in about 30 years or so, and will likely begin to match Asia's per capita annual GDP growth of the past 3 decades in about 50-60 years. Atleast this is what I expect based on demographic trends. This may not sound great but it is really, Africa has probably 80 years of steadily increasing annual growth rates ahead of it.
I wonder if any of these predictions ahve changed over the past two years.
I’ll be ... years old
There have been discussions of Africa already having 2.5+ billion people. Much of Rural Africa is not counted in a census but estimated by people per square mile. It is all speculation.
I am a small youtuber and make statistical videos, if you like content like this, you might as well like mine, I have made an historical/future predictions graph 📈 of population that dates back all the way from 10,000BC to 2100AD in the future
the hispanic parameter always had been wrong ,exists many white hispanics ,also black and even asian ,also many people don´t know that spaniards are considered hispanics also for some reason,so considereing hispanics as a race or ethnics is a mistake
Enough said.
Overpopulation can be defined as a situation where the total number of the existing human population exceeds the actual carrying capacity. Of all the environmental problems our planet is facing today, overpopulation is the one that sometimes slips from the radar. Overpopulation places a great demand on resources and land, which may be the reason for widespread environmental issues in addition to impacting global economies and standards of living.
Poverty is to be believed as the major cause of overpopulation. High mortality rate and lack of educational resources, leads to high birth rates, resulting in a large population.
If overpopulation grows, this effect is said to be so widespread that the United Nations has predicted that the 48 poorest countries of the world contribute to the largest population growth. They estimate that the combined population of these countries is expected to be 1.7 billion in 2050 from 850 million in 2010.
The effects of the overpopulation are quite severe. One of these is the lack of natural resources. Earth has the capacity to only produce a limited amount of food and water, falling short of current needs of the people which are increasing day by day.
Rapid population growth makes the choice between high consumption and investment needed to bring more consumption in the future more scarce. Economic development depends on investment. Therefore, rapid population growth repels the investment needed for higher future consumption.
With a rapidly growing population, the adjustment becomes difficult to manage with economic and social change. Urbanization in UDC creates problems like housing, electricity, water, transport etc. In addition, the growing population is at risk of permanent environmental damage through urbanization in some rural areas.
The rapidly growing population transforms the economy into mass unemployment and low employment. As the population increases, the ratio of workers to the total population increases. The result is that with an increase in the labour force, unemployment and low employment increases. Rapid increment of the population reduces savings and investment.
Domestic consumption of exportable goods also increases with rapid population growth. As a result, there is a decline in the exportable surplus. On the other hand just to meet the demand of the rapidly growing population, more food and other consumer goods are needed so that demand can be fulfilled.
I'm surprised that your comments don't have thousands of 'likes'.
It's exactly what we studied at university in the 1960s using UN demographic stats.
He:The population of the western European countries will grow.
Me:Yes, Yes ,Yes!
He:except Germany
Me, a German:No, No, No!
Well me being a north American I'm happy that Canada and the USA will continue to grow while other western country's decline by 2050 Canada is expected to reach 45 million people the USA is expected to reach 380 million ppl
@@Steve-zc9ht i guess it were 400 in US but Germany is expected to drop to 74 million people and actually that's pretty chill cuz u now, Germany is very, very crowded.
For example:
Germany is 3 times smaller than Texas and has 2½ the population.
That's just crowded af.
But still not as crowded as Bangladesh lmao
What are the demographics of Germany like? Are most children in schools ethnically German? Sorry if the question sounds weird, but I've heard some bad stories about Germans not having enough children.
@@samlosco8441 At my school most of the Children are German.But at the other schools in my town, there lot's of non-Germans.
Yeah it's true, most of the current births in Germany are from non-Germans, like Turks and so on.
@@samlosco8441 And still, there lot's of Migrants coming to Germany.So i guess, Germany will just have a slower population grow and will probably drop to 75-70 million ppl, but i think than it'll start slow growing again.
But Germany is one of the most developed countries in this world, and i think there only a few high developed countries with a population growth.
Most of the population grow in the world comes from the developing countries like India, Nigeria, Brazil, Indonesia etc.
So sad that some people are seeing population decline as something good
tbh I feel like population decline is good but not that much
@@French_Polynesia not really it mean collapsing economy country's have to keep there population stable or decline slowly as possible but Europe is declining faster then expected same with China
The main issue is getting over the current curve I think. Overall population stagnation is likely a good thing for the world, but what matters most is that a country gets out of poverty by the time it reaches its population peak, as we have seen in North America (US and Canada mainly), Europe, Japan, South Korea, and China. If Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, and the Indian Subcontinent can use their baby boom to escape poverty by the time their birth rates stagnate, we may have a bright future. I say this because, at a point of total or near total global poverty eradication, states can truly start to plan their future demographics and provide the necessary assistance to people to do so.
Population collapse is terrible, but a continuation of everyone having 7 kids will also be bad. The ideal birth rate is probably 2-3 children per woman. That way a population can either sustain itself, or foster a steady growth in population which can be handled. But of course, this kind of future all depends on us getting over the population growth curve that we will go through during the rest of this century. One positive is that we've already peaked in terms of population growth rate, which is already slowing globally.
indefinite population growth is bad, good to occasionaly clean the slate
This planet has a chance to heal if there are less people competing for limited resources. Cause of war in the future is potable water.
North America. 2020 - 331million.
2050 - 425 million.
15.3% increase?
Surely 28%.
It seems like your projections are based on todays fertility ratio but as urbanization increases fertility rate drop. So world total fertility rate may decrease below replacement level before 2050 may be around 2040 which may be our peak population and start to decrease.
The population decline in Europe and East Asia and population growth decrease in Africa and Latin America should easily show you that declining fertility rates have been taken into account
I hope that those declining population trends pick back up eventually. The world will become empty otherwise.
@@KentoKei There is absolutely no scientific certainty that demographics will not start increasing again in low birthrates countries. Demography is no hard science. Geometric world population increase has been the rule for the last 200 years. Why would that change in 2050 ?
@@towaritch look at countries with low birthrates, in these nations, population may decrease overall, but will have small periods of stagnation (and in some cases a small growth) as each generation begins to have children
The world would be better with fewer people.
@@vetiarvind that statement is both correct and incorrect
@@vetiarvind tell that to africans
And no predictions of large scale migrations because of population pressure?
I really hope Europe is not overrun. Here's to hoping that Africa and the Middle East do really well in the coming decades so that they can enjoy their lives in their own homelands.
Oy vey!
The peak world population is around 2085 at 11.3 billion dropping sharply to extinction in 2172.
Why would you think extinction?
My concern is who will think about jobs and infrastructure
you forgot the people at Mars
Moon and Martian population will not be significant before the next century. West Antarctica maybe the next booming territory.
meant as a joke btw
North America in Canada, USA, Mexico and Caribbean!!
and Central America from Guatemala to Panama.
@@antovador He said northern america
*Antarctica still waiting for its turn
Is it just me, or does he kinda sound like Beglua