3 Reasons China Might be About to Invade Taiwan
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- čas přidán 13. 08. 2023
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With tensions between the US and China growing, and Xi's fixation on the "One China" Policy, we break down the three reasons Taiwan might be invaded: China's diminishing window of opportunity, spiralling relations with the US and their domestic problems.
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1 - asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Inte...
2 - www.newstatesman.com/world/as...
3 - www.dailysignal.com/2022/08/2...
4 - www.pewresearch.org/global/20...
5 - www.taipeitimes.com/News/fron...
6 - www.theguardian.com/us-news/2...
7 - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rally_%...
Any US / China conflict would be a naval affair. US naval assets are completely untouched by the Ukraine conflict.
Any country that underate America is doing that at its own peril. Nearly all the ammunition needed to defend Taiwan militarily is already on the ground. Also, the only thing that brings unity between Republicans and Democrats currently is any action against China by the US. Russia has more sympathy with the American congress than China.
Yeah, just like how the War would be over by Christmas as well buddy lmao. Wouldn't stay in the sea.
Unfortunately, many of the officers for the US navy has promotions held up, so any naval conflict initiative is on China's side.
Russia's playing cat and mouse but whoever wins inherits a war-torn landscape on top of the war debt they racked up. If Russia loses I don't see them having to pay reparations.
Russia is often symbolized by the bear. The bear is seen as a symbol of strength, resilience, and sometimes, protection.
@@zachgamr5475 So, you think we would invade China?? All the US Navy has to do is sink any troop transport leaving China and blockade the Malacca Strait. That is 100% Navy. Air force could be involved if needed. Air force equipment is also untouched.
I think its important to note, the U.S is largely clearing out outdated equipment to Ukraine, almost none of the U.S most modern equipment is in Ukraine. Additionally, learning from WWII, the U.S military is designed to sustained a prolonged two front conflict.
This isn’t going to be a “2 front war” the manufacturing industry isn’t there anymore for 1 and 2 did you forget Iran and North Korea?
@@Skyhulk95 yes you are correct, the United States doesn't make as much weaponry as we did in the 40s, great observation genius. My point is that the U.S is not straining itself to support Ukraine, and if needed the military industrial complex is there to get to the level of manufacturing needed.
😅😅😅 not true. USA literally say they have a shortage
What about the fact that France wants war in Africa, wouldn’t we be fighting a 3 headed war? Russia, China and Africa?
@@juanvga the US is running out of things they could give at the tip of a hat. Big difference from "the US is running out of kit"
Next week : 5 reasons China definitely most likely probably will not invade Taiwan
This is a followup video to the '3 Reasons China Won't Invade Taiwan' showing arguments for the other side
They already made that video.
PLOT TWIST, Taiwan invades China, but it doesnt stop at Beijing, moves in to weakened Russia, all the way to Moskva, it is the Mongol Empire 2.0!!! The next batch of TSMC chips will be made of human bone dust.
@@JackSmith-mk1ru no they aint m8. it takes 2 seconds to find that video on the channel.
Next week will be three reasons why Taiwan could invade China.
After Russia’s catastrophic Ukraine blunder, I think everyone is reviewing their basic assumptions and thinking about unintended consequences. While China might have a better than 50/50 chance, failure could result in regime change, and success may only be only a Pyrrhic victory. A weaken China could embolden their neighbors to reassert their South China Sea claims and for India to push China back to the line of control or further. Add in sanctions, blockades, foreign direct investment, possible internal descent and the risk vrs reward is not completely clear.
But leaders do do stupid things.
Study china's military doctrine. If they attack taiwan it won't be anything like Russia's rushed invasion of ukraine. China will aim to use its massive arsenal of missiles to destroy taiwan's ability to function as a state by engaging in 'systems destruction warfare' and target critical energy, transport and communications infrastructure.
China will then use its anti-access-area-denial capability to prevent any help arriving on taiwan and effectively starve the island into submission.
Chances for failure on that front is basically nil as taiwan is an incredibly small landmass with no strategic depth and no borders with NATO to fall back on. After the first 12 hours nothing is coming in or going out of taiwan.
Even if the US and allies tried to send a relief effort to taiwan, the ports would have been bombed out and likely mined and transport aircraft cannot remotely deliver enough supplies to taiwan to make up for lost maritime imports.
Finally you have to keep in mind the US really REALLY does NOT want to start shooting things into the chinese mainland as that would dramatically escalate the war to where china would have every right to strike the continental US with ballistic missiles in which case it would be upto the US to decide whether they are nuclear or not.
You can call it whatever you want it still wouldnt be true to be described as catastrophic or blunder, what would be described as a failure however is the western made predictions about russias inability to fight and very like failure to establish peace as soon as possible to save themselves from an embarrassing geopolitical defeat that will only encourage russias allies to be more aggressive in their foreign policy
@@Silver_PrussianBased on what? Russia being unable to take Ukraine in 2 years is embarassing for them, and it seems unlikely they will ever actually succeed without a significant geopolitical change.
Also, NATO, if anything, has overestimated Russia's fighting power. The vast majority of their modern equipment has been destroyed, to the point of needing to deploy Cold War-era tanks, their Navy is non-existent outside submarines, with both carriers being out of commission, and their air force is too weak to breach Ukraine's air defense, requiring the usage of their aircraft as glorified missile batteries, with their usage of Stand-Off Missiles.
They had to mobilise its' population, too.
Just about the only things Russia has going for it are its' submarines, missiles, and defenses.
Of which, of those 3, only the missiles would be useful in an offensive war against NATO (do remember that NATO is a defensive pact), as their submarines are useless in the Baltic Sea, the North Sea/Atlantic being a NATO death trap, and American dominance over the Pacific, along with their defensive doctrine being relatively useless in, y'know, offensive warfare?
Russia cannot maintain this war, especially since if you think the West is running out of munitions, one can only imagine how the Russians are doing.
@@Silver_Prussian If anything the sentiment in the west when the war started over a year and a half ago was that Ukraine would be lucky to survive the month. Harder for Putin not to call it a war when it's not over yet and he has less secure territory than when he started it
But it would be very funny
I always wonder every time that "China invades Taiwan" story comes up, that nobody is actually talking about Taiwan and its defensive capabilities. Taiwan is not a grass field with sheep walking around and suddenly a million soldiers will come from China and everything will be finished in a day. First, if there is some sort of preparation to invade, Taiwan can see it. Second, Taiwan is a rich country and bought tonne of defensive equipment for one purpose only - invasion. Third, geographically Taiwan is rather hard to invade. And then we come to the last and biggest factor, USA will help out. So if China does invade, I don't think that success chance is good for China...
China launches older model missiles and decoys at Taiwan to squander its defensive arsenal then launches more missiles followed by many squadrons of jet fighters to destroy Taiwan war ships and coastal defenses, all to secure the strait for its aircraft carriers. Its jets destroy military installations, industrial and commercial infrastructure, attacking key energy resources. Not falling short of destroying government buildings to further undermine Taiwan’s autonomy and force them to capitulate. As China withdraws its valuable carriers and J-20 fighter jets it launches an amphibious invasion. Taiwan is now ceding control and is under Chinese military occupation.
You think 😂😂
No because they prefer diplomacy where they use people for their taxes over sacrificing them for an ideal
US has prepped that one day they’ll lose Taiwan
Taiwan has many missiles which can reach Beijing and the 3 gorges dam
I swear I’ve seen like 500 videos on this topic in past year alone
Hahaha yup TLDR is just gonna post this kind of thing decades and decades ahead... Totally Gordon-Changishly
yeah bcz this topic is as hot as blaming China for everything😂
Fear mongering tactics.
World leaders should focus on making this world a better place, we the ordinary people have no time for wars.
It's the armed forces. It's their job. You can be like the US and recruit people and pay them and their ads through taxes or be like these other countries and draft them when you need them and pay them then. Seems cheaper overall if you ask me just to have an army of conscripts.
That would mean invading the USA the number one driver of hot zones around the world
What better way to solve domestic issues than by creating more domestic issues.
One small mistake: Taiwan's current ruling party DPP's full name is Democratic Progressive Party, not Democratic People's Party.
small?
@@riskinhos You're right that invalidates the entire video, I can't tell which China he was talking about now :/
@@riskinhos pp?🗿
ah yes yes yes... anything with "People" slapped on it is usually more concerned about people
@@xxxjcalibur3212 my country's ruling party (since 1965) has the word "people" in its name. They are certainly very concerned about the people and the welfare of the nation.
Sorry guys, but to think the US has somehow depleted their munitions and military hardware is just incorrect... They've been clearing old inventory off to help in Ukraine and continually add stockpiles of the latest gear always.. that's why they are such a dominant force globally, but they most definitely are not "running low"..
Not to mention what other allies like Japan, South Korea et al have as well
How do you know this?
@@fnbuyBecause it is public knowledge
@@jangerritse1110 could you drop a link to look at it?
US officials themselves mention it. And numbers suggest atleast 2/3 of the US Artillery ammo stock was sent to Ukraine.
One thing that is very often not mentioned is that the Chinese Military has nowhere near the experience in actual active conflicts that the U.S. Military has, being that the last proper engagement the Chinese Military had was in the late 1970's with Vietnam and even those were mixed results, so everything they would be doing would be a first for the entire military establishment, and contrary to many other nations which have Militaries in the vein of China like Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and so on (by that I mean without effective real-world experience in high-intensity conflicts and operations) is that the true real-world performance of Chinese military technology is still an unknown, especially their newer indigenous design, sure they've been used in small quantities in small regional conflicts but not to the extent of what the equipment (incidentally mostly American made) those nations field which has been constantly been used and their performance is a known quantity their capabilities and deficiencies and those can be planned around.
On top of that while there seems to be no major discontent coming from the population at the prospect of a possible invasion of Taiwan the sheer amount of casualties they would take should that operation go anything but perfectly might incite rebellion or at least major discontent in China (then again China much like Russia have historically put up with staggering losses in manpower and not batted an eye, although that was mostly always in civil wars or fighting in defense of their territory) which may disrupt their ability to maintain a cohesive war effort.
And also the economic ramifications would ensure that it won't become a drawn-out conflict as blockading China would effectively bring their economy to a standstill, and unlike Russia right now China does not have the wealth of natural resources to fall back on and keep at least their internal economy going. While the world would be initially impacted it would adjust to it, much like it has done with the absence of Russian gas.
In order for it to work out for China so many things would have to align and go perfectly right that it's probably more likely for Xi to show up in Macau at the world's largest Casino play the entire Chinese economy on 7 and win than everything to work perfectly for China in such an attack.
Chinese Military has nowhere near the experience in actual active conflicts that the U.S.
Who needs experience, when they have expendable infantry ?
You should watch videos about their navy, basically every Chinese civilian ship is also a military landing ship.
They can send waves after waves of convicts, to keep the Taiwanese busy and exhaust their ammo, before the actual military lands.
China can also nuke the shit of that island and leave nothing alive. If Putin is reluctant to use nukes yet, Xi will do it, if he's cornered.
I agree with most of what you said, though China's 1984-esque control of its population means that I highly doubt any sort of large scale rebellion would rise in China, even if the war went catastrophically wrong. Compared to China's grip on its population, Russia seems like an open-press democracy in comparison, and even Russia has had its population under control since its rapidly spiraling invasion of Ukraine.
@@brainwasher9876 the ccp u-turned incredibly hard on zero-covid after like two nights of protests - china isnt as orwellian as you think
Why do you think that warmongering against 3rd world countries means a better military? The U.S cannot produce enough ammunition nor replace its expensive equipment fast enough to deal with a peer nation. Chinese forces will face heavy casualties but the U.S will not be able to sustain any conflict. Economically it will crumble and its populous will not be happy with its sons being called up to a draft to deal with potentially several conflicts in Eurasia. It's just not going to happen. U.S society will NOT recover ever.
@@deezeed2817 there’s one thing you miss calculated. China is not just fighting America, they’re also fighting against Taiwan. It’s also likely that Canada will join because we always join in America’s conflicts, there’s Japan who have expressed interest in helping Taiwan, as well as South Korea and Australia. While America is a pretty strong country alone, it’s biggest strength is in its ability to make allies that it can trust.
At 05:14 - 05:16 my guy just had an instantaneous growth spurt. Caught me off guard xD
5:26 saying the CCP is the reasonable party is like saying a bear treats fish like friends.
Chi Na is 💩
Saying US wants peace is like terrorist giving lectures on peace.
Also beware of Wumao
@@toasteroven6761 also beware of CIA bots.
@@IamHandsome4u And Russian bots trying to start wars with garbage takes in YT comments just like Putler in Europe. Russia and China are the actual peace hating nations here not the US.
Russia invaded Ukraine, and China wants to invade the peaceful constitutional republic of Taiwan. Simple.
Russia is weak now. And the CCP is in panic mode after ironically losing their 'mandate of heaven' after the biblical floods and apocalyptic disasters and events that have been happening there since the end of July.
That's also excluding the current and ongoing genocides in China----Uyghurs in Xinjiang, Christians, Tibetans; many end up being killed by having their organs slowly harvested from them while still alive and conscious-----all out of hate-----nothing even close to peace.
I think when you do "3 reasons why X might happen" and "3 reasons why X might not happen" videos, you should upload them at the same time. Makes them seem less clickbaity.
I mean they did say they were gonna make the second one in the first one.
it's not really clickbait, the content of the video is accurate to the description. These are 3 reasons that they might invade taiwan.
They are not clickbaity if you watched their previous video about this on "might not invade." But if you watched this first, then you really got clickbaited😂
They should've put all of the reasons into one video, but 2 videos is better than 1 video if you're doing it for money.
seems? it's clickbait
excellent report
The "Oi wait! Come back!" was hilarious. 🤣
China will need months to gather the men and material in ports, in full view of US satellites and Taiwan. It will definitely not be a surprise and Taiwan will have months to make final preparations
US public does not want to waste anymore of our Wartime Supplies on Ukraine especially since the EU does absolutely nothing to help. Russia is no threat to the US, and Ukraine is not strategically important to the US. China is the only reason Russia is still fighting. They released covid as precursor to war and obviously Putin knew about it. A biolab linked back to CCP was found in cali a week ago with almost 1000 mice where they were trying to infect them with covid and get them to spread it to humans. They have been pumping fentanyl for years, and manipulating their currency for years, while stealing tech. Also US is bound to protect Taiwan so US 100% needs to pivot to asia now and move on from Ukraine. We have gave them so much and they constantly ungrateful making excuses trying to blame us for their lack of progress. They are corrupt and selling weapons we give them to 3rd party for drugs. Also EU is reason Russia was able to build its army up from money they made even tho we warned EU for 15 years. EU is currently doing the exact samething with China. NATO is absolutely useless, US pays more then every country combined but then EU doesnt want to help Japan, S Korea, and China. EU is useless, China owns German ports, France also goes behind US back. US public is tired of paying for their security and get nothing absolutely nothing in return. US congress and public is calling for ending of supplying weapons to Ukraine and instead they all go to Taiwan, Japan and Philippines. Taiwan has already paid 25 billions for stingers and javelins but they cant get them because Ukraine has wasted alot of US stockpile and Alot US stockpile of 155mm shells, Patriot missiles ect. Shooting drones with patriot missiles are a waste, and has NO BALLS to even supply Ukraine with tanks/missiles unless US does. France useless talk about not helping Pascific countries and still buying/selling with china. France cant even defend Niger without US its pretty pathetic. EU has about 3-6 months to get ready for US to switch to Taiwan and EU needs to support Ukraine without US. Alot US public is calling for defunding NATO since NATO allies wont allow US to put office in Japan even tho US basically only country that funds NATO.
They already have it they been doing that for last 15 years. Also they are supplying Russia. They are literally ready to attack anytime, they are waiting for Ukraine to run US supplies low.
unless china makes a habit of gathering these forces on a regular basis. It certainly has the infrastructure for it to do so without much cost.
@@hughmungus2760 wouldn/ building them up over time be even more costly though? After all keeping a large amount of man in a single place already would cost a lot for the supplies alone
Yea if they ever invade Taiwan, they will disguise it as one of their routine military exercise.
If I have to hear the word anxiety one more time...
We get most of our most sophisticated computer chips for our military from Taiwan. Until our 2 billion dollar computer chip plant is up and running here in America we can’t allow China to invade and China knows this. They know they can’t successfully invade if we commit our forces and I’m sure behind the scenes we’ve made it clear we will as it’s vital to our national security.
arent you brainwashed. TSMC dont even want to build the plant further in Arizona. America doesnt want to pay for it. Second of all China controles the gallium germanium minerals. Which they put huge restriction on. so you can build all the chip companies that you want. but without those 2 minerals you cant build any Chips. the world needs China,. but the US is selfish and think they can do it all on their own. its funny to see the puppet states of the US crumble. look at south korea they crawled back to China again because Samsung lost 96% in their chip revenue. all because of the Chip war created by the US. point is its the US who provokes war nobody else
We all know that the U.S isn't actually committed to defending democracy and only has economic interests in Taiwan, I mean, the U.S has never tried exporting democracy to Saudi Arabia right? The U.S is incredibly selfish and hypocritical
@@Muhammad_Ahmad_Because exporting democracy to an authoritarian regime means war…..
With all that unemployed young (Han) Chinese, you'd think Xi would conscript them into the PLA, and ready them for the big push to "reintegrate the Renegade Province of Chinese Taipei into the PRC." For now, they need to deal with their economic issues, & clean up the massive flood damage.
That's what I worry about, too. War would be an easy way for the CCP to deal with unemployment and dissatisfaction in the short term.
China doesn't need more military manpower; they've got spades of that. If anything, the CCP has been trying to cut the size of the PLA down a bit. It's better equipment and doctrine which they are focussed on. Whether or not they are succeeding in that remains to be seen.
@@napoleoncomplex2712 it's less about China's military needs and more about its societal ones. By declaring war on Taiwan they're giving employment to a lot of people, and they can direct the ire of their citizens away from internal affairs for a while--particularly if the war goes well for them.
The big problem for China in invading Taiwan is that to do so would destroy everything that makes Taiwan worthwhile to China. A war in Taiwan would destroy it's manufacturing base which China sorely needs. It would also lead to ever greater trade restrictions from more countries (like Australia which China depends on for coal). It's possible Xi might do it just for the political "win" at home, but it would compound the economic pain they are already experiencing, and accelerate their economic collapse. Of course, this all depends on how insulated Xi is from practical realities.
@martinpalm5 If a war were to start, SOTA semiconductor manufacturing in Taiwan will surely be self-sabotaged to make them useless to the enemy. Whatever contingency plans that follow will involve conditionally giving this manufacturing power to its allies in exchange of maintaining the defensive pact.
Invasion is geopolitical suicide. At most, you can block some trade routes, at the cost of every last bit of access to advanced technology, weakening every aspect of your economy. Then it'll be a repeat of the Qing, and look where that got them.
@@martinpalm5 Fair enough, but won't do them a lot of good when economic collapse brings on a revolution in the country. The bulk of the Chinese population are no longer uneducated farmers, and it is unlikely Xi will be able to get away with what Mao did.
Indeed. The issue for Xi is that he can't invade his way out of his problems. 0:07
@@martinpalm5
But the Chinese forces quietly know they can't succeed. Their most educated segment is Xi's vaunted Rocket Force who are very shy about prospects to the extent Xi recently had to replace its leader. 0:07
The goal here is projection of power into the South China Sea
"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when we are able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must appear inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near."
Quoting who?
@@icephoenix5466sun tzu
It just means preparing for war while denying you're preparing for war. That's it, no need for smart long ass wording.
And that's exactly what China is doing. As well as what Russia was doing before 24/02/2022.
US public does not want to waste anymore of our Wartime Supplies on Ukraine especially since the EU does absolutely nothing to help. Russia is no threat to the US, and Ukraine is not strategically important to the US. China is the only reason Russia is still fighting. They released covid as precursor to war and obviously Putin knew about it. A biolab linked back to CCP was found in cali a week ago with almost 1000 mice where they were trying to infect them with covid and get them to spread it to humans. They have been pumping fentanyl for years, and manipulating their currency for years, while stealing tech. Also US is bound to protect Taiwan so US 100% needs to pivot to asia now and move on from Ukraine. We have gave them so much and they constantly ungrateful making excuses trying to blame us for their lack of progress. They are corrupt and selling weapons we give them to 3rd party for drugs. Also EU is reason Russia was able to build its army up from money they made even tho we warned EU for 15 years. EU is currently doing the exact samething with China. NATO is absolutely useless, US pays more then every country combined but then EU doesnt want to help Japan, S Korea, and China. EU is useless, China owns German ports, France also goes behind US back. US public is tired of paying for their security and get nothing absolutely nothing in return. US congress and public is calling for ending of supplying weapons to Ukraine and instead they all go to Taiwan, Japan and Philippines. Taiwan has already paid 25 billions for stingers and javelins but they cant get them because Ukraine has wasted alot of US stockpile and Alot US stockpile of 155mm shells, Patriot missiles ect. Shooting drones with patriot missiles are a waste, and has NO BALLS to even supply Ukraine with tanks/missiles unless US does. France useless talk about not helping Pascific countries and still buying/selling with china. France cant even defend Niger without US its pretty pathetic. EU has about 3-6 months to get ready for US to switch to Taiwan and EU needs to support Ukraine without US. Alot US public is calling for defunding NATO since NATO allies wont allow US to put office in Japan even tho US basically only country that funds NATO.
@@pjjunior1402 It's how he works
TLDR Global in 2035: “Why China might be about to invade Taiwan”
Yes, I've lost count on the videos talking about China invading Taiwan.
Tell us you haven't watched the video without telling us
I hope you’re right
@@saraj2995 oh I’m sure those same ones were also speculating on whether Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq were about to be invaded by the US
@@saraj2995 if anything, Ukraine actually has made it more likely for China to invade Taiwan as the time Russia waited between the annexation of Crimea and the full war allowed Ukraine to build up their defenses
I think something everyone should consider is that China will never invade Taiwan and never had intention to. If you look at it like that it actually looks like a very clever plan. Taiwan keep wasting money on unnecessary defence, as do the US and are 'living in fear'. Meanwhile China gets on with their daily business without an ounce of effort.
Isn't this a re upload
Polymatters video basically counters this
I was told by our media that our military stockpiles haven’t been depleted, but rather we were giving away old and unusable military hardware and ammo. So which is true?
The stinger and javelin missiles we have been giving to Ukraine are 90s era tech designed for a land conflict (e.g. against tanks) and are particularly suited for the Ukrainian army. A war over Taiwan would be a naval conflict, and that tech would be useless in that theater.
@@BartlebyHiggensworth No, stingers, anti tank launchers yes, but no stingers, Russian helicopters over Ukraine have become such a menace for tanks that Raytheon has to bring back retirees that worked on, because they lost the blue prints for stingers and the current engineers don't know how build them.
Correction: Try to invade.
Can’t wait until next year for this same exact video!
There was an old piece of TV called Rumpole of the Bailey. Rumpole was always referring to Xi who must be obeyed.
The US military has long been assuming a two-theatre stance. They're fine.
I think their ideological differences has decreased substantially. Hong Kong transition was watched carefully by Taiwan and though CCP has not completely abided by the
agreement, they have behaved much better than honestly expected. CCP has better ways to win that to destroy their prize, risk war with US, lose their biggest trading partners...
China isn't known for its short-term politics, at least not in global politics
can't wait.
"usa military depletion via ukraine" is not relevant: if usa gets involved with taiwan invasion, that will be naval/air battle, while ukraine is land war munitions, and most of them are older stuff anyway that we would have to cycle out at some point.
I think another important factor to consider is the Ideology of the Xi Jinping and his allies, which is a kind of Neo-Maoism. From what we know, Xi is likely the most pro-Mao head of state the PRC has had since Mao himself. He seems to believe in the expansion of the country through military means (Like a Chinese Crusade or Jihad) using the massive Chinese population to weather an hits dealt to itself, and does not seem to particularly value the individual Chinese citizen and worry about their hardships. He also seems genuinely interested in the full reunification of China. Previous head cared only about Taiwan as tool to boost internal support through a external goal/enemy (Think 1984 Goldstein). China has also been far more vocal about it historic claims and influences every since Xi came to power, expressing neo-colonial interests or even hinting at aggression in every direction, against Korea, Vietnam, Japan, Russia, Mongolia, Central Asia and Southeast Asia. Overall, much like how Hitler invaded Austria, Czechoslovakia, Poland and The Soviet Union largely for Ideological ambitions that were not at all logical, Xi might start expanding and growing for his own Ideological ambitions, that would seem irrational to most others.
🎉🎉
So stupid comment only Europe aggressive, China just assimilate
Nah wouldn’t worry about this!
We won't call a leader as dictator if he really cares about his own citizens
At this point, China isn't just aiming into invading Taiwan, but also the Philippines as well.
outside of grabbing some islands and atolls I dont see chinese troops landing in the phillipines.
@@hughmungus2760 Apparently china is planning on using imperial Japan's tactic to secure Taiwan. Meaning Philippines might be a target to prevent US intervention similar to the 1940s.
Right now it look like china is attempting to make Philippines appear to be the aggressor to it's own people to justify any future conflict with them which in extension involves the US, but kind of failing considering the Philippines had attempt to make the first moved to be friendly with them and the publicly available viewing of Chinese navy bullying Philippines fishermen isn't helping with their agenda.
Their attention might be averted by a small problem with the Three Gorges Dam.
@@richardkammerer2814 Sigh... you might as well go after the nuclear power stations too because they'd be an easier target. Seriously does anyone know how hard it is to bring down a dam? let alone one thats 150m thick?
Might as well try going for Indonesia while they are at it.
"Reunification' under One China is a term only excited Chinese and mostly KMT Chinese in Taiwan, most real Taiwanese actually turned off by his political rhetoric. 🥱🥱
4:24 You're not my mom 😂
I would've died if it said... Your mama!🤣
Man, the US can EASILY support Ukraine and fight a full scale war in the Indo-Pacific. Im not saying they would win, nobody knows for sure, but when it come to fighting multiple fronts the US can do two fronts for sure.
In WW2 the US strategy was using diversionary tactics to fight Japan while concentrating its main force on Germany. The US right now isn't too occupied with a European front to fight a pacific war. The Russia-Ukraine war is a NATO conflict. It's political. Supporting Ukraine and fighting a war. Likely moral support and encourage the rest of NATO to help Ukraine supplying weapons.
They couldn't do that in Iraq and Afghanistan wars
@@charlest2858what makes you say that lol
The objective was to bring iraq n afghanistan back to stone age. Sowing division n instability in middle east by weaponising some n sanctioning the others.
while at the sametime money laundering taxpayers dollars through Military Industrial Complex.
in that regards US won the war.
@@charlest2858 lol got me there
Xiàn zài wǒ yǒu bing chilling
Wǒ hěn xǐ huān bing chilling
Dàn shì "sù dù yǔ jī qíng jiǔ" bǐ bing chilling.
Bin chilling people
Now I want ice cream
So fallout predicted the future if we continue like this
1:26 "Back"?
yes, Taiwan has been a part of China for hundreds of years.
The US Military was designed for, and therefore supplied to sustain, 2 simultaneous wars in different theatres.
So it's not like the USA can't/won't support Taiwan because of Ukraine, so when people/analysts say the USA could be running low on supplies of X, Y and Z, yes that may be true, but it's not like the USA would run out of its own supplies in a couple days, it could support its own offensive war in another theatre without running out.
Also, The US sends land equipment such as Tanks & HIMARS. Taiwan is an island so the US would give ships & Airplanes
@@pepigaming4786 Absolutely, it'd be a lot of personal-use weapons and missiles, for example, Javelins and Patriot missiles.
True, but this is why China's initial moves will be to damage US forces in the area, such as at Guam, and limit their ability to react fast and giving Beijing a window of opportunity to invade
@@JackSmith-mk1ru Afghanistan and Taiwan have very different Geography. Afghanistan is full of mountains and Taiwan is an island. The US would be welcomed in Taiwan so it isn't the same
Also US would use other nations in Asia in their war against China
I think China navy should do freedom of navigation exercices in the caribean to assure Cuba's safety from us blockades.
That gonna be a long ride, like holy sh*t
I think crynese ships should escort ships in and out of Ukranian ports on the Black Sea. In not too much time they will need that grain to feed their billions of unemployed people
In my opinion if China wants Taiwan needs to act now!
Especially since the West will be stretched with Ukraine.
Is it because there is nothing else going on in the news??
The chips, kiddo
China's Navy does not have an advantage over the US Navy. Not now not in the past, not in the future. China's Navy is a paper force. Just one US super carrier can pretty much take on the entire Chinese Navy and US has 11 super carriers.
the same super carriers that cant get into operational range because of chinese missle cover?
there will never be another jutland or leyte gulf - the chinese know their advantage is their postion on the coast and they have built for it.
@@viva5208how will China spot the flotilla. Being in range but not knowing where to shoot is a luxury China doesn’t have.
@Jeremy-qm6cn
The Chinese DF-ZF HGV is a laughable answer to American super carrier groups. The problem with HGVs is they have to slow down before reaching their target, making them flies to be swatted out of the sky by any SAM defensive system out of Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, or from the carrier group itself. That means the Chinese will have to wait until the carriers are closer to shore, making the launch sites vulnerable to air strikes originating from the CARRIER GROUP.
Nice try, China bots.
@@viva5208 Those rocks in the South China sea don't move, are all GPS locked in and would be disappeared promptly. 0:07
@@Jeremy-qm6cn Speed means little without eyes. 0:07
You know, your vids would be easier to listen to if the vocal audio wasn't so echoey.
Made to be realistic, when watched sitting on the toilet.
I think thats you
They don’t have the troop transports and probably won’t for several years
“Might be… about to..” u mean “may be possibly”?
I think there are some good arguments to be made why it should be called unification not reunificiation. As far as I know reunification is a Chinese narrative which a politically informed person should acknowledge
I also want to appreciate the fact that you are trying to show arguments for both sides regarding a possible Chinese Invasion of Tawian
Edit: *Taiwan
Taiwan was part of China, but is occupied by the government they pushed out of the mainland. It should be called reunification. Likewise the DPRK should reunify the occupied territories in the US backed south
Yeah, the term is just 統一, "unification," though given public sentiment in Taiwan, the term is inseparable from violent invasion or annexation.
Taiwan is the only true One China. Historically they are the lineage of chinese dynastys and china is nothing but enemy to the entire world. Also China is the only reason Russia is still fighting.
@@benvat Calling South Korea US backed does not apply in this situation, right? To call a country backed by the US is to say that is would collapse if that backing didn't exist. That's a hard claim to make about modern south Korea, them being a major exporter of everything. Except if you want to tell me that taking part in global trade counts as US backed.
A reply to Tom, I lived in the United States for nearly 2 decades longer than some people been alive and as a American I say if Finland decided to get aggressive and be aggressor then all of NATO would undoubtedly be annihilated resulting in a nuclear annihilation of the whole of NATO along with its economy crashing down way harder than Russia. European NATO countries can’t just go demand nuclear annihilation on any country without facing inevitable heavy consequences too. Russia currently has countless allies and recently been developing more on its nuclear capabilities and submarines. It’s literally impossible to destroy Russia without getting destroyed back. It would be extremely foolish for any democratic NATO nations to threaten a nuclear power that can destroy the world a thousand times over. NATO isn’t as peaceful as some people make it out to be. Let me tell you, coming from a American it’s NOT a security or defense if you’re threatening to nuke Russia in fact it violates all values that NATO goes by.
Bruh... Like every day Russia threatens coutnries like Endland with exactly you are crying about. Read more news. You are terrible out-dated and ill-informed. ;)
Brother, no one threatened to nuke Russia...
North Korea, Iran and China. I only make that three mate.
Ok Putin.
You can live in America and say as an American all you want.
If you aren’t saying “as a veteran” then I honestly think your opinion means nothing, and you really don’t know what you’re talking about as far as warfare is concerned.
Nothing like a war to stimulate a lagging economy
1:00 I do think its strange if people were to call you biased for presenting arguements in either direction. Ofc there will be arguements for and against invading taiwan for china, its never just onesided
You did a video about this "earlier this week"? I do know that you probably made this video last week, so "earlier this week" refers to sometime last week, but I still find it funny
"Getting Taiwan 'back'" and "'re'-unification," are terms that erroneously suggest that Taiwan was ever a part of the PRC (it wasn't). It has never been unified with the PRC, and you can't get back what you never had. Even "The Mainland" is a little silly - the main land to what, exactly? You don't mean "Continental East Asia," so maybe you can see how that's not a neutral term despite its common usage. Please try harder to at least adopt neutral phrasing.
Not to defend the PRC on this, but “the mainland” would technically be a correct, neutral terms. Officially, both countries recognize there is only one China, but never made it clear officially which one that is, and while the PRC is indeed officially the People’s Republic of China, Taiwan is officially the Republic of China and with that in mind, the ROC/Taiwan officially lays claim to the PRC lands as well as other land (though it obviously doesn’t have any serious diplomatic or military intentions on any of it at this point, it’s most just because of the previously mentioned one China policy helps stave off invasion because the kabuki theater of it all just pans out to work that way), so technically speaking, as both nations officially claim themselves as the true China, and both technically claimed each other’s land, referring to the PRC as the mainland in the context of Taiwan as a center actually is a proper neutral term.
@@forsociopoliticalstuff2629 There's nothing factually wrong with what you've said, but I want to add more context for anyone going deep in the comments for whatever reason.
This subject is something we have to be careful with, since usually (not in your case, but usually,) when you hear "both sides think they own all of 'China'" offered without qualifiers, it's to insinuate that Taiwan is an equally belligerent little island with delusions of reclaiming an empire, that will share equal blame in the event that it is invaded. That's obviously not true.
If the ROC officially drops its claim to its former borders: the PRC has been clear that they'd consider it an act of seeking dejure independence, and therefore a cause for war. It's a very strange game where the PRC is essentially threatening the Taiwanese at gunpoint to KEEP the ROC's conflicting claims with them. So you've got one country that is *actively* seeking to shore up the borders of the old Qing Dynasty, and one that literally cannot release the obsolete claims they have on paper that they take no effort to secure, because the former would attack them if they did. Wacky stuff.
That just brings me to my point that most issues regarding Taiwan need to be viewed in a defacto lens rather than dejure. To the average Taiwanese, the ROC's claim to its old borders died along with Chiang Kai Shek, single party rule and martial law. The notion of a mainland is culturally not really a thing, and I find that to be more important than something they're under threats of violence not to change. All you gotta do is not say "mainland" like it's a universally shared notion, but in TLDR's case it's an uphill battle just getting them to stop with the more overt PRC propaganda terms.
You are wrong because Taiwan issue is an unfinished Chinese Civil War. No Civil War in history has ever stopped by One Side Alone.
@@BenSalernoMedia if I’d have to take a guess, it’s partially because CZcams (whether through human or automatic means) tends to not like too much phrasing that implies directly to Taiwan’s de facto independence and videos that have a “notable” amount have a tendency to get demonetized, get strikes, etc.
@@forsociopoliticalstuff2629 funny how that works, innit.
You didn't mention any strategic reasons in this run down.
Yes he did, he mentioned that an invasion army be needed to support the CCP's main goal: to stay in power for ever and for Xi-Jinping to stay in power for life despite China's economic decline.
Learn more about the Taiwanese perspective on this matter:
czcams.com/video/XbobiiglwD4/video.html
5:59 - you are wrong - that was not an accidental escalation by China, that was intentional ?
It’s funny af reading hundreds of comments claiming the US could manage to defend Taiwan when they couldn’t even beat the Taliban with a 20 nation coalition over the course of 2 decades😂
It’s with great love reading the even more stupid comments like this one that compare insurgency based conflict with conventional open armed conflict as being the same.🤦♂️
@@MrWhitmen1981 you seem to not understand conventional has immediate ramifications rather than drawn out guerrilla war. Keep that delusion up fam😂😂😂
Interesting topic but such a clickbait title.
They made another video talking about the opposite, they just make a video for each side of the debate to show both sides.
Great
The artificial reverb is distracting.
Going on the “it’s only going to get more difficult if they wait”… definitely true. Taiwan is a relatively rich country and they have definitely put A LOT into their defense spending. The military is VERY modern, equipped with long range cruise missiles, modern aircrafts, etc. they have also done a lot in researching effective ways of remaining operational militarily even after a “overwhelming” first strike
Yay
Didn’t you release a video 11 days ago stating reasons China won’t invade Taiwan??
It took the allies 2.5 yrs (after US entered the war) to cross 30 miles of water to land on a shore of a country ready, willing and able to help and support them China’s current invasion plans include militarizing all the civilian ferries they can get their hands on to help transport troops. I think any invasion will be loudly trumpeted well before it begins.
One reason why it might not:
They better not do that
Is that an order, who do you think you are?
thats what Xi didnt say 😢
for what happens to Xi-Jinping if it ends in defeat..
The only thing the war in Ukraine is tying up is the older US equipment and some modern land based units.
Since Taiwan will mainly be a naval engagements with only a small amount of marine units and assets on the island. So the war in Ukraine likely won’t help China much.
New name: TLDR News China
Invade or not, it's an internal affair and non of others' business
Except Taiwan is a long time western ally so it’s the West business as well, hell it is a potential WW3 starting event if it happens
Recently seen a video about how Taiwan might be able to hit the 3Gorge dam in the event of an invasion potentially killing HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS and knocking China out of the war with one hit.
Dont know if its true but crazy to think about
Surely that would put nukes on the table?
If that happens Taiwan would be wiped out with nuclear weapons.
@@privatebandana probably but if Taiwan did have the capability that's all the deterrent they would need it would be the equivalent of both sides have nukes. ( if the 3 gorge dam broke it could very possibly trigger a serious of nuclear accidents also
once Taiwan attack on 3 george dam it will be over for Taiwan CCP sure gonna use nuclear and destroy whole island
@@od9694 The goverment in taiwan claiming to be the legitamate goverment of china and then bombing the three gorges dams and killing 100 million chinese doesnt seem that fruitful does it ?
Reason #3 is grossly overrated. Even in Bush's case, the boost in popularity is very temporary - and that is even after the US crushed Saddam's regime in 2 months. As Putin found out the hard way, a long protracted stalemate is bad for popularity. It's not enough to overthrow him, but defeats the purpose of using a war to boost popularity.
Learn more about the Taiwanese perspective on this matter:
czcams.com/video/XbobiiglwD4/video.html
You are completely wrong about Putin. His popularity at home is among the highest between world leaders, around 70-80%.
@@hyhhy It's high, but I doubt it's that high.
@@pierrecurie Just look it up bro. And you were wrong anyway.
You are completely underestimating russian resolve and buying into us propaganda of "a good guy that will always win". War is not as simple as good vs evil, but a conflict of idealogies, ethnicities and tons of other reasons like resources and money. Us is not a cartoon character of superman but a country with its own realities and problems as well. Lol. Before you poke into other countries' conflicts, make sure you take care of your own problems first like the fraud election and racism issues.
You really won't talk about face I see. Look just because face is not part of Western culture doesn't mean that you should disregard it. Face in Asian countries is really important culturally important you don't disrespect face. And the reason I keep harping on it is because China has said that Taiwan will be reunited with mainland China. So they can't back off without losing face and they can't do that. I don't mean they won't I mean they cannot as in they do that and there own people would revolt. Face is important it is one of the bedrocks of Chinese culture.
China won’t invade Thailand in my lifetime. But when I pass away, it might be on. I also just learned there’s now tank emoji. I’m disappointed
Read the Taiwan Relations Act, especially Section 3 TLDR! It places no restrictions on the amount of equipment or services for the Defense of Taiwan but is up to the U.S. government. If the U.S. government decides they need U.S. Navy's, Army's, and Air Force's total involvement, under this act it is permitted if approved by the President and Congress. There has been no change in this policy since 1979.
Wikipeida: The TRA does not guarantee the U.S. will intervene militarily if the PRC attacks or invades Taiwan nor does it relinquish it
US public does not want to waste anymore of our Wartime Supplies on Ukraine especially since the EU does absolutely nothing to help. Russia is no threat to the US, and Ukraine is not strategically important to the US. China is the only reason Russia is still fighting. They released covid as precursor to war and obviously Putin knew about it. A biolab linked back to CCP was found in cali a week ago with almost 1000 mice where they were trying to infect them with covid and get them to spread it to humans. They have been pumping fentanyl for years, and manipulating their currency for years, while stealing tech. Also US is bound to protect Taiwan so US 100% needs to pivot to asia now and move on from Ukraine. We have gave them so much and they constantly ungrateful making excuses trying to blame us for their lack of progress. They are corrupt and selling weapons we give them to 3rd party for drugs. Also EU is reason Russia was able to build its army up from money they made even tho we warned EU for 15 years. EU is currently doing the exact samething with China. NATO is absolutely useless, US pays more then every country combined but then EU doesnt want to help Japan, S Korea, and China. EU is useless, China owns German ports, France also goes behind US back. US public is tired of paying for their security and get nothing absolutely nothing in return. US congress and public is calling for ending of supplying weapons to Ukraine and instead they all go to Taiwan, Japan and Philippines. Taiwan has already paid 25 billions for stingers and javelins but they cant get them because Ukraine has wasted alot of US stockpile and Alot US stockpile of 155mm shells, Patriot missiles ect. Shooting drones with patriot missiles are a waste, and has NO BALLS to even supply Ukraine with tanks/missiles unless US does. France useless talk about not helping Pascific countries and still buying/selling with china. France cant even defend Niger without US its pretty pathetic. EU has about 3-6 months to get ready for US to switch to Taiwan and EU needs to support Ukraine without US. Alot US public is calling for defunding NATO since NATO allies wont allow US to put office in Japan even tho US basically only country that funds NATO.
Even if you're right, it would not matter. The US is not going to do something against its will because of a treaty. There is not a single nation on the planet that has not broken treaties or other agreements and the US certainly has quite a few broken promises under its belt. The US will intervene only if it is politically expedient to do so, and with the current trend of short-term political thinking I would not hold much hope for Taiwan if China gets shifty.
@@cacojo15Biden has repeatedly confirmed US will come to Taiwans aid if invaded.
@@kevlee80rudalsBiden isn't always going to be in power.
The irony is that the traditional Hawks, the Republicans, are less likely to support Taiwan. I guess the Republicans are huge pussies who'd rather fight Afghani goat herders than a near-peer military power.
What do they even do after taking Taiwan? Got sanctioned like North Korea? This doesn't make any sense.
The whole global economy would spiral downwards were that to happen.
US public does not want to waste anymore of our Wartime Supplies on Ukraine especially since the EU does absolutely nothing to help. Russia is no threat to the US, and Ukraine is not strategically important to the US. China is the only reason Russia is still fighting. They released covid as precursor to war and obviously Putin knew about it. A biolab linked back to CCP was found in cali a week ago with almost 1000 mice where they were trying to infect them with covid and get them to spread it to humans. They have been pumping fentanyl for years, and manipulating their currency for years, while stealing tech. Also US is bound to protect Taiwan so US 100% needs to pivot to asia now and move on from Ukraine. We have gave them so much and they constantly ungrateful making excuses trying to blame us for their lack of progress. They are corrupt and selling weapons we give them to 3rd party for drugs. Also EU is reason Russia was able to build its army up from money they made even tho we warned EU for 15 years. EU is currently doing the exact samething with China. NATO is absolutely useless, US pays more then every country combined but then EU doesnt want to help Japan, S Korea, and China. EU is useless, China owns German ports, France also goes behind US back. US public is tired of paying for their security and get nothing absolutely nothing in return. US congress and public is calling for ending of supplying weapons to Ukraine and instead they all go to Taiwan, Japan and Philippines. Taiwan has already paid 25 billions for stingers and javelins but they cant get them because Ukraine has wasted alot of US stockpile and Alot US stockpile of 155mm shells, Patriot missiles ect. Shooting drones with patriot missiles are a waste, and has NO BALLS to even supply Ukraine with tanks/missiles unless US does. France useless talk about not helping Pascific countries and still buying/selling with china. France cant even defend Niger without US its pretty pathetic. EU has about 3-6 months to get ready for US to switch to Taiwan and EU needs to support Ukraine without US. Alot US public is calling for defunding NATO since NATO allies wont allow US to put office in Japan even tho US basically only country that funds NATO.
Aside form not letting Taiwan exist an a independent states so they can have China united as one China also want island own by Japan in the south and the whole of south sea to make sanction less effect
@@RabbitShirakthe whole global economy would spiral in the event of an attempted invasion regardless
Sanctions don't work for the loop holes but yeah it wouldn't help the global economy. The US could try to sanction China and those who think the US is leading the world in the right direction may fall in line with whatever the US tells them to do-if they can afford to. China is supposed to be the new USSR and the world now is like the 1900s in reverse, with the events that took place. For example, in the latter half of the century, we will have ww3.
Even if you did a companion video, the clickbait is getting really annoying
Bet you, with the thousands of soldiers in formation not one single live ammo is in possession. Cannon fodders.
"There is Nothing More Grotesque Than a Media Pushing for War," - Snowden
Lol, "pushing for war", China is having some serious economic issues it needs to plug with a war, and since they don't want political reforms or actual economic liberalization its going to be some sort of conflict fairly soon or some form sort of collapse and downturn.
But surely we must always be prepared for the worst. If we do not accept it is highly likely China could have a military intervention in Taiwan, then Taiwan may be completely unprepared for it when it happens. No one was helping Ukraine before it invaded explaining Russia's limited success. No one gave enough military support to Poland when Germany invaded during WW2. All of this because people hate the idea of considering invasions as a real possibility we need to prepare for.
Isn’t Snowden palling around with Putin?
@@MagicNash89 China won't be able to take TSMC. Taiwan will blow up all semiconductor factories as soon as PLA land. Taiwan is gradually moving their semiconductor industries to South Korea, Japan and America. Taking Taiwan is pointless. China will only get sanctioned like North Korea.
I agree but it is not media that determines the war. It is individual states that make decisions. You are confusing reporting with decision making.
I am still intrigued by the speculation that an invasion of Taiwan would be Battle of Normandy Encore, which is very very unlikely.
Edit: What I really mean is that China would not attempt the totally outdated Normandy landing operation, even if she decide to invade Taiwan.
As in a success or failure?
You're correct. It will be Normandy on steroids. China attacking will be the end of North Korea. Why? .. there is noway China could attack Taiwan without bringing USA, Philippines, Vietnam, South Korea and Australia into the war. Xi knows this! Invading Taiwan will be pushing Hong Kong, Tibet, and Mongolia to independence . China has more to lose than Russia and Ukraine combined!
@@user-op8fg3ny3j Unlikely that it will go like that at all.
How does a country get 3 million soldiers on to Taiwan without a naval landing? A massive paradrop?
you know Normandy had an entire harbour built just for that operation?
c’mon it’s getting so close… uhh
it has to happen
Back? It never been part of china
I reaaaaally doubt it , this is just a click bait video 🪤
as 80% here very vanilla sht
The US has 800+ military bases around the world. China has only 1. It is the US we should be worried about. The US has been at war 93% of the time - 227 out of 245 years - since its founding in 1776. i.e. the U.S. has only been at peace for less than 20 years total since its birth.
History teaches us lessons about how it’s easier to blame others than blame ourselves.
The greatest danger we face today is not coming from China
agree, nothing worse than the US , they just seem like the saviours just because they won WW2 and after that created and controlled the narrative.
@@silveriver9
The USA is at war because it’s the hegemonic empire. War is unfortunately inevitable but if ONLY ONE empire is at war then that’s where we get peace. Once the empire weakens and several other empires go to war for their interests that’s where chaos ruins everything. If you get rid of the USA you won’t get peace you’ll get more war
@@silveriver9 In this world you are either a puppet or a puppet master, and if a choice must be made, there's a reason most democracies pick the US as their puppet master over China.
Remember last time when TLDR released a video saying there was a chance of a impending invasion? TLDR’s playing with fire again
They said they were making 2 videos with all argument for and against. Why are you trolling?
we havent run out of bullets, we just cant spare more right now. we gotta build more up
The same channel made a video on 3 Reasons China Won’t Invade Taiwan two weeks ago
Anyone who thinks Taiwan is more important Ukraine is either lying or not educated on it.
Taiwan is a mountainous island surrounded by dozens, if not hundreds of miles of ocean. It’s uninvadvable in the modern age.
Nothing is "uninvadable".
@@gfys756 In the modern era. It’s effectively impossible as China had no way of supporting an invasion, let alone an occupation of Taiwan.
@@gfys756has any other country invaded the United States?
Because the moment America gets invaded, every American and their Grandmother's will defend their territory to the last man.
It's very difficult to invade you are correct yes but it is one of the most geopolitically important countries in the world. Why? Because of the TSMC. No other manufacturer of computer chips are making chips as small as Taiwan. Other countries like the US are working with Taiwan to manufacture 2 nano metre chips but the TSMC are researching chips which are much much smaller, faster and more powerful giving a huge military advantage to Taiwan's allies or controller. Taiwan is the only country currently manufacturing such small chips.
They are within missiles range from china though. Its more of a question how much CCP want to keep taiwan intact.
1) In 1894, Japan invaded China and Korea, the Qing govt was defeated and signed the [Treaty of Shimonoseki] to cede Taiwan Island to Japan.
2) During the WW2, at the Cairo Conference held in 1943, China asked the transfer of Taiwan's sovereignty back to China after the war. This content was included in the [Cairo Declaration] and later reiterated in the [Potsdam Proclamation] that it should be implemented.
3) In 14 Aug & 2 Sept 1945, the Emperor and govt of Japan issued the [End War Edict] and [Japanese Instrument of Surrender] , Japan surrendered and accepted the [Potsdam Proclamation]. The Japanese troops in Taiwan surrendered to KMT General CKS. Taiwan re-entered the territory of the Republic of China (ROC).
4) Soon after that China civil war broke out between KMT and CCP, the KMT was defeated and fled to Taiwan. However, due to US intervention, the CCP without strong navy at that time has no ability to unify Taiwan. The CCP then established the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 1949. The civil war continues.....
5) In 1971, UN Resolution No. 2758 ruled that the PRC had obtained the representation rights and all legal rights originally owned by the ROC in the UN, that means the PRC is China’s only legal govt under international law. Today, the PRC also become China’s only legal govt recognized by 181 countries around the world, including the USA.
"The USA recognizes the Government of the PRC as the sole legal Government of China."
"The USA acknowledges the Chinese position that there is but one China and Taiwan is part of China."
Joint Cummunique on the Establishment of Diplomatic relations between the PRC and the USA in 1979.
Please refer to President Jimmy Carter's Speech on Relations with China.
6) Therefore, according to international law, international reality, and the wishes of the 1.4 billion Chinese people, Taiwan should return to PRC and the PRC has every rights to protect it's sovereign integrity.
I truly admire the history lesson here. But the issue is that most of this stuff happened in the past, and over the last few decades and administrations positions have changed. So what 1 billion Chinese want Taiwan? Most people on Taiwan don’t want to be apart of China… and isn’t that want it boils down to? If Taiwan wanted to be apart of China it would have happened, but it hasn’t. UN 2758 was about who represented “China”, had nothing to do with who rules Taiwan, hence china never actually controlling anything. And how do you claim an island is apart of your country when the communist party never even stepped foot on it? I feel like Taiwanese democracy is a big piece to leave out too, the people there actually speaking for themselves rather than an authoritarian govt saying that everyone in the country is on their side
@@Drewstir68
I thought western democracy saying 23 millions Taiwanese minority should obey 1.4 billion Chinese majority? That's why the west support Ukraine fighting for it's sovereignty and calling Crimea and Donbass separatists, right?
@@Drewstir68
You support Kiev or Donbass?
@@Drewstir68
Or you want to tell me ONLY western countries and pro western countries sovereignty should be respect?
@@PlaYer-sn5or Do you want to talk about my peach cobbler recipe or do you want to stay on topic? It’s unfortunate that the Chinese people live under a totalitarian regime, I believe that people have different opinions and they should have some control over what happens in the state they live in. It’s easy to say everyone in China wants Taiwan when there isn’t free press and freedom of speech. I have heard zero good reasons for Taiwan to ‘return’ to China, I don’t hear about how the people have missed each other, or about how they will economically and socially prosper… Instead I just get bots telling me about resolutions from 50 years ago, they just talk about the land and how it’s theirs (they never stepped foot on it). The CCP should have taken it a long time ago, now all they’ll get is a battle scared island, bad reputation and economic sanctions… seems like a good deal for the Chinese and Taiwanese people
People’s Republic of China and Republic of China are two different and both independent countries since 1949. Nowadays, Republic of China is well known as Taiwan. We are already an independent country since 1912 no matter we are now called ROC or TAIWAN or both. One main reason why PRC(CHINA) want to invade ROC(TAIWAN) because TAIWAN a nice gate for CHINA entering the pacific.
2:14 No America's stockpiles have not been depleted.
A: America has only been supplying Ukraine out of reserve stockpiles.
B: The US reserve stockpiles are running low on some specific systems like Javelins for example but there are a plethora of other systems that can fill that gap.
C: Have you any idea how insane the idea of depleted US stockpiles sound? They have by far the largest defense budget in the world and haven't been in many high intensity wars as of late so no, they're not running low as they'd never touch the stockpiles allocated for a war with PR China to support Ukraine.
For any task we might use javelins for the Ukranians can teach us show to use $1000.00 drones.
Again such a complex issue that would demand a 1 hour short documentary. As a Finn I feel some similarity to the Taiwan issue. With the difference that Finland alone is military so strong Russia would be insane to try anything. But Russia is, in fact insane, by Western standards. Second - in the case this would happen Finland would demand the implementation of Article 5. of NATO with complete nuclear annihilation of the whole of Russia. And we would demand that.There is no question. Everyone - be sure Finland will demand for complete nuclear annihilation of any country threatening ANY European country.
As for Taiwan alone - I feel EU as a whole is quite silent on the issue. But rest assured Taiwan - in a serious situation the US AND the EU are there to help.
It would be extremely foolish for any authoritarian government to threaten Europe, the US or any of our allies. NATO was built for our protection. The 'West' wants to be left alone. BUT after decades and centuries of extreme hardship from these certain countries - don't think for a second NATO would not strike with everything we got. Why do you think Finland joined? We will alone trigger Article 5. And we will if needed.
Bro you got wrecked by Russia despite them being invaded by the axis on all sides. They scrambled their most inexperienced recruits and still managed to beat you and annex lots of land...
Complete nuclear annihilation of millions of innocent people....? And Russia is insane. I ain't saying Putin's regime isn't but that's a bit of an extreme response hahahaa.
No. Nuclear attacks will never be started by nato, nor will finland demand it. Nor does finland have anywhere near enough influence in nato to demand anything, you only just joined an alliance. You joined for your benefit, not ours
@@Bolognabeef I think you need to relearn your history.
Nuclear attacks are not by demand 😅😅 listen when was on the table Russia attack Ukraine nuclear the NATO decision was not to answer nuclear but conventional war full scale .
Nobody wants nuclear escalation , that being said Finland is a capable country and with NATO by their side Russia would collapse in days 😅.
Russia wouldn't dare, I would love Wagner to escalate and Bielorussia invasion in a couple days . People of Bielorussia would support and help to take down Luka for sure .
Free the world from Russia influence
window of oppertunity is all you have to care about. If China will attack ,it will be soon. it's not just the US but Japan, Australia, Philippines, Vietnam, India etc are all building up their military forces. US has also sent a considerable amount of hardware and munitions to support to Ukraine so i can't think of a better opportunity than to strike now. Peacefull take over of Taiwan is a pipedream. They have no chance on this prospect.
And i hope to whatever higher forces there is, that US, Japan and other countries intervene... Taiwan in the hands of the Chinese will pave way to so many more wars and insecurity that i honestly don't want us to experience. China already lay claim to the entire south china sea... but they are also eyeing large portion of the polar regions.. Chinas imperialism has to be stopped at Taiwan.. or we will have a new but similar situation what happened during WW2 after Germany occupied Poland.
US public does not want to waste anymore of our Wartime Supplies on Ukraine especially since the EU does absolutely nothing to help. Russia is no threat to the US, and Ukraine is not strategically important to the US. China is the only reason Russia is still fighting. They released covid as precursor to war and obviously Putin knew about it. A biolab linked back to CCP was found in cali a week ago with almost 1000 mice where they were trying to infect them with covid and get them to spread it to humans. They have been pumping fentanyl for years, and manipulating their currency for years, while stealing tech. Also US is bound to protect Taiwan so US 100% needs to pivot to asia now and move on from Ukraine. We have gave them so much and they constantly ungrateful making excuses trying to blame us for their lack of progress. They are corrupt and selling weapons we give them to 3rd party for drugs. Also EU is reason Russia was able to build its army up from money they made even tho we warned EU for 15 years. EU is currently doing the exact samething with China. NATO is absolutely useless, US pays more then every country combined but then EU doesnt want to help Japan, S Korea, and China. EU is useless, China owns German ports, France also goes behind US back. US public is tired of paying for their security and get nothing absolutely nothing in return. US congress and public is calling for ending of supplying weapons to Ukraine and instead they all go to Taiwan, Japan and Philippines. Taiwan has already paid 25 billions for stingers and javelins but they cant get them because Ukraine has wasted alot of US stockpile and Alot US stockpile of 155mm shells, Patriot missiles ect. Shooting drones with patriot missiles are a waste, and has NO BALLS to even supply Ukraine with tanks/missiles unless US does. France useless talk about not helping Pascific countries and still buying/selling with china. France cant even defend Niger without US its pretty pathetic. EU has about 3-6 months to get ready for US to switch to Taiwan and EU needs to support Ukraine without US. Alot US public is calling for defunding NATO since NATO allies wont allow US to put office in Japan even tho US basically only country that funds NATO.
why do people think china has any interest in conquering countries with no natural resources and a population that has nothing in common with chinese people like Japan ect. China's long term geopolitical goals is to rebuild the tributary system where it's sheer economic weight naturally makes it the center of gravity in asia and extend its power through commerce.
In fact its working right now as any real attempts to contain china is basically a non-starter because china has become so indispensible to the global economy that nobody is willing to sink their own economy to stick it to china. (or at least not do so and continue to stay in power)
You're delusional if you think china will invade any country after they reunify with Taiwan. Reunification will actually bring MORE stability to the region.
The dragon is known to represent power, wisdom, and good fortune in Chinese culture.
To be fair, there is no chinese current advantage
US advantage is its Navy. Destroy its Navy, it's game over. It loses influence abroad. The US tries to assert its dominance on other countries like a world police. It's losing support. The world wants to see a multipolar system. Not one ruled by one superpower. The world wants balance.
Chinese foreign ministry desperately needs lessons on how not to make foreign governments wary
Yes, even the African ones.
Yeah. Diplomacy really isn't Chinas strength, never has been.
TLDR literally just did a video on why Africa is siding with China...
My Country 🇳🇬 sides which 🇨🇳 70+%
As an American, I say that Taiwan is a province of the People’s Republic of China. Taiwan is not really a country nor do I even recognize it as one.
Lmao what a bot
Laughable bot
Beep bop boop
Why are you calling west taiwan "china?"
like the plates???
@@noel0622 I hope you are one of the first to go to the front lines then when the war starts. As American I do not want to go to war with China. Taiwan doesn't belong to us.
So again if you are so pro war get in line and be one of the first to be deployed to defend Taiwan.
No, because we’d already be well aware if it was.
Tie…one!!